Rudi’s View: Previews To November Results

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Always an independent thinker, Rudi has not shied away from making big out-of-consensus predictions that proved accurate later on. When Rio Tinto shares surged above $120 he wrote investors should sell. In mid-2008 he warned investors not to hold on to equities in oil producers. In August 2008 he predicted the largest sell-off in commodities stocks was about to follow. In 2009 he suggested Australian banks were an excellent buy. Between 2011 and 2015 Rudi consistently maintained investors were better off avoiding exposure to commodities and to commodities stocks. Post GFC, he dedicated his research to finding All-Weather Performers. See also "All-Weather Performers" on this website, as well as the Special Reports section.

Rudi's View | 6:12 PM

Post midterms surprise, we look forward to corporate Australia's mini-results season in November. 

In today's update:

  • A Momentous Momentum Shift
  • November Results (Previews)

By Rudi Filapek-Vandyck, Editor

A Momentous Momentum Shift

Never, ever underestimate the potential for an unexpected surprise.

That financial markets truism has once again been vindicated by this week's midterm elections in the US.

In hindsight, what was all the worry about?

Indeed, Harry Hindsight is a very wise man for whom conclusions after events are always logical, simple, straightforward and easy to explain.

The political landscape in the US underwent a seismic shift on Tuesday, and I don't think there's any hyperbole in that statement.

FNArena's Overnight Report from earlier this morning already lined up multiple assessments from the likes of T. Rowe Price, MFS, Oxford Economics and RBC Capital, so I won't go through those general assessments again.

Here's a direct link to that story: https://fnarena.com/2026/11/05/the-overnight-report-post-election-rally/

Two things are still worth highlighting. While the political balance has shifted significantly in favour of the Democrats, the opposition won't have the two-thirds majority required in each chamber of Congress to override the President's veto.

As anyone can see from their portfolio on Thursday (I hope), that is being interpreted as a positive by investors across the world.

The second conclusion is that the rollout of the infrastructure needed to accommodate demand for computing power and data centres will probably proceed more slowly as rules and community requirements tighten.

Ironically, this might be a positive for everything else.

This is, to all intents and purposes, not the end of the trend, as also demonstrated by Goodman Group ((GMG)) securing a sizeable equity stake in NextDC ((NXT)) in cooperation with US partner Digital Realty.

Within this context, the power shift in Texas might well become the most significant change from the latest midterms, as a major portion of the country's planned data centre capacity is located in that state.

Long story short: existing infrastructure should increasingly attract a premium. Remember: the world remains short of compute and storage capacity.

The likes of Infratil ((IFT)), DigiCo Infrastructure REIT ((DGT)) and Macquarie Technology Group ((MAQ)) --all of which sold off as the world turned against the sector and NextDC shares were punished for a profit warning-- are, on this reasoning, significantly undervalued.

See also Stock Analysis on the website for more details.


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