FYI | Feb 06 2015
By Rudi Filapek-Vandyck, Editor FNArena
I like to question the ruling logic that goads the herd, or at the very least stimulate independent thinking. There's a big difference between playing market momentum as a short term trader and trying to figure out what the best asset purchases are for longer term investing.
Since 2012 I maintain my own feed of quotes, comments, responses and market insights via Twitter. Not everyone is on Twitter, which explains the requests to make my Twitter items also available through the newsfeed on the FNArena website.
Usually I combine all Tweets from the week past in one weekly story. Below are my Tweets from the week past. Enjoy.
Investors can follow me on Twitter via @filapek
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– JP Morgan research finds most #gold stocks fully valued while rally in bullion predicted to deflate later in the year #ausbiz #commodities
– Macquarie finds concerns about changing supermarket dynamics overdone and that implies Woolworths (WOW) is undervalued #ausbiz
– Deutsche Bank: The real question is not when RBA moves again, but if a cumulative 50bps of easing in H1-2015 will be enough #ausbiz
– Stockbroker downgrades coming in thick and fast today: REA Group (multiple), Brambles, Tabcorp, Nufarm, Toll Holdings,.. #ausbiz
– Trading tip from Morgan Stanley: MMA Offshore (MRM) to rise over next 30 days #ausbiz
– Trading tip from Morgan Stanley: Japara Healthcare (JHC) to rise over next 30 days #ausbiz
– Trading tip from Morgan Stanley: CSG Ltd (CSV) to rise over next 60 days #ausbiz
– Trading tip from Morgan Stanley: Burson Group (BAP) shares to rise over the next 30 days on the back of strong H1 results #ausbiz
– Trading Tip from Morgan Stanley: Estia Health (EHE) results to surprise this month. Share price to rise over next 30 days #ausbiz
– Dennis Gartman suggests #gold is warming up for break-out to upside. And he apologizes for going bearish US #equities way too soon #ausbiz
– And so the PBoC delivered another central bank "surprise" this week. Really? Is it genuinely still a "surprise" when CBs act? #ausbiz
– ANZ Bank prefers base metals markets with supply constraints such as zinc and nickel on a 12 month view #ausbiz #commodities
– ANZ Bank: With the macro environment creating headwinds, there appears to be little upside to base metals prices in next 3-6 months #ausbiz
– CBA: chance consumers maintain current repayment rates on mortgages, as prior, meaning benefit retail spending may be lower than expected
– Uh-Oh. Morgan Stanley report is titled "Iron Ore – new downside risk to prices". Cites lack of confidence steel manuf in #China #ausbiz
– Credit Suisse expects valuations will continue to overshoot long term averages on CB liquidity. ASX200 target for Dec-2015 at 6000 #ausbiz
– Hmmm. Look beyond index rise today (mainly carried by resources) and it appears profit taking has started after 10 days of gains #ausbiz
– JP Morgan notes January marked the eighth consecutive month of A-REIT outperformance in the Australian share market #ausbiz
– Morgan Stanley on 2015 outlook for mining services providers: A Time To Survive, Not A Time To Thrive #ausbiz
– Canaccord Genuity reports the valuation gap between resource cyclicals and defensives was at all-time high by end of January #ausbiz
– UBS finds Aussie share market upside appears somewhat constrained from here. Retains ASX200 December year end price target of 5700 #ausbiz
– Goldman Sachs' Small and MidCap Focus List also contains NEC, OFX, SKE and PNA – all have taken share price hit recently 2/2 #ausbiz
– Goldman Sachs' Small and MidCap Focus List taking quite a few hits ahead of reporting season. AUB issued profit warning, today it's KMD 1/2
– Ahead of reporting season, Citi's order of preference among insurance companies is QBE, AMP, TWR, SUN, IAG, NHF #ausbiz
– JP Morgan sees copper, base metals prices in general remain under pressure rest of 1Q2015 as sentiment and anxiety remain bearish #ausbiz
– Citi: to support growth of 7%, PBOC will have to ensure adequate liquidity and credit growth, and cut benchmark rates #ausbiz
– What's with all the excitement about JB Hi-Fi? Well, a meet is a beat in discretionary retail, explains Macquarie #ausbiz
– Dennis Gartman now officially bearish US #equities: "curtailing net long positions and we shall begin erring ever-so-slightly bearishly"
– Citi adds REA Group to its Focus List for 2015, removes http://Carsales.com (no catalysts) and ResMed (strong rally) #ausbiz
– NAB analysts suspect month-end exiting of short positions responsible for circa 8% jump in #crudeoil prices on Friday #energy #ausbiz
– Are we experiencing a new trend for the year ahead? Since mid-December the ASX200 is up 9.3% while the S&P500 is down 4.7% #ausbiz
– Official #China PMI drops to 49.8 in January, down 0.3. First time below 50 since Oct 2012 #commodities #ausbiz
You can add my regular Tweets on Twitter via @filapek
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