FYI | Sep 25 2015
By Rudi Filapek-Vandyck, Editor FNArena
I like to question the ruling logic that goads the herd, or at the very least stimulate independent thinking. There's a big difference between playing market momentum as a short term trader and trying to figure out what the best asset purchases are for longer term investing.
Since 2012 I maintain my own feed of quotes, comments, responses and market insights via Twitter. Not everyone is on Twitter, which explains the requests to make my Twitter items also available through the newsfeed on the FNArena website.
Usually I combine all Tweets from the week past in one weekly story. Below are my Tweets from the week past. Enjoy.
Investors can follow me on Twitter via @filapek
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- It's finally time to buy, exclaims Citi. Raises Myer (MYR) to Buy with target of $1.10 implying return potential 37% in year ahead
#ausbiz
- Analysts continue lowering
#commodities prices forecasts, incl#crudeoil. Today, it's the turn of Macquarie.#Gold producers the exception
- December Fed rate hike odds keep dropping, now 41% after three central banks cut in the past 12 hours
- ANZ Bank's revised RBA call based on "more of the same" in EMs and softening momentum housing/non-mining in 2016
#ausbiz#investing
- ANZ Bank changes RBA call. New "base case" now 2x cuts in 2016 (50bp) as domestic economy needs more help
#Ausbiz#investing#stocks
- Citi = self-declared
#ironore bears. Price expected to fall to <US$40/t in 2016 and average US$42/t over next 3 years#ausbiz#investing
- Citi's basic premise: Robust Supply + China Macro Risk = Tempered Commodity Price Recovery
#ausbiz#commodities#investing
- Dennis Gartman: fear bear market about to single the onset of global economic recession that may become quite serious indeed
#investing
- ANZ Bank initiates short trade position
#ironore. Sees price retesting US$50/t in weeks ahead as weak fundamentals will re-surface #ausbiz
#asx200 closes below 5000 for the first time since July 2013. #ausbiz
- Danske Bank: what may be soft landing for
#China clearly feels like hard landing for the rest of the world#ausbiz#investing#commodities
- Goldman Sachs concludes: Peak Coal soon upon us, both
#China and#India change market's outlook, dynamics (thermal coal)#ausbiz#investing
- This low confidence world lacks leadership. Last week's non-decision Fed yet another example http://goo.gl/pOuwVl
#ausbiz#investing
- Credit Suisse:
#Commodities prices will undershoot to the downside until a supply response can reassert market balance#ausbiz#investing
- UBS: believe the
#banks now offer more attractive valuations, [but] we think the medium term outlook remains challenging#ausbiz#investing
- Not a typo: Deutsche Bank initiates coverage IPH Ltd (IPH) with Buy rating and price target of $7.85
#ausbiz#investing#stocks
- Vocus' (VOC) financial results surprised and is rewarded by 12% jump in
@Bell_Potter target price to $6.15. Still Hold#ausbiz#investing
- Citi stockpickers have swapped Veda (VED) for Transurban (TCL) from the Citi Focus List Australia/NZ
#ausbiz#investing
- Moelis thinks Veda Advantage (VED) can attract higher bid. Says Buy with target of $2.90
#ausbiz#investing#stocks
- ADB lowers Asia economic growth forecasts http://ft.trib.al/gtUR3Ny
- Citi [on the Fed]: seeking a perfect moment for liftoff probably is the equivalent of Waiting for Godot
#tellmeabouit#investing#stocks
- We conservatively estimate that half of
#nickel industry is loss-making at the current spot price (Deutsche Bank). How long?#commodities
- There is little to like about most
#commodities over the medium-term, just relative degrees of unloveliness, says@CreditSuisse#ausbiz
- And so the debate continues… Probability of Fed Liftoff Should Be Much Less Than 50/50 This Year, concludes Morgan Stanley
#investing
- Morgan Stanley sees shine coming off
#healthcare sector in Australia: tougher outlook, less surprises, elevated valuations#ausbiz#stocks
- Blackmores (BKL): Stockbroker Morgans (finally) succumbs and lifts price target to $124.50 (from $83.03). Still below share price
#ausbiz
- Next! ANZ Bank cuts forecasts steel, bulks. For
#ironore in particular the analysts see little upside in prices for next few years#ausbiz
- Citi: In light of new Fed behaviour, tentatively have revised forecast of next interest rate increase to be "sometime in the spring of 2016"
- Oh No! By not hiking in September, Fed increased probability of still being at zero in April next year, says
@btigresearch 's Dan Greenhaus
- Trading Idea from Morgan Stanley: Boral (BLD) shares to underperform ASX200 next 30 days as support from buyback falls away
#ausbiz#stocks
- JP Morgan cautious US
#equities short term due technical deterioration, but expects grind higher year-end due to "window dressing"#stocks
- Goldman Sachs predicts S&P500 will rise by 5% to end 2015 at 2100, Fed to raise in Dec, likes US sales and High Quality
#stocks#investing
- Occam’s razor says the stock market is in a downtrend: http://on.mktw.net/1OEbxit
You can add my regular Tweets on Twitter via @filapek
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