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Dr Boreham’s Crucible: SDI

Small Caps | Jul 19 2024

This story features SDI LIMITED. For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: SDI

By Tim Boreham

ASX code: ((SDI))

Shares on issue: 118,865,530

Market cap: $101.0m

CEO: Samantha Cheetham

Financials (first half to December 2023): revenue $52.2m (up 3.5%), earnings before interest tax depreciation and amortization $9m (up 49%), net profit $3.7m (up 37%), dividends per share 1.5 cents (steady), cash balance $7.1m (-18%), net debt $17.9m (-1.1%).

Board: Jeffery Cheetham (chair), Ms Cheetham, Cameron Allen, John Slaviero (CFO/COO), Gerald Bullon, Dr Geoffrey Knight, Gerard Kennedy

Identifiable major shareholders: Cheetham family interests 45.8%, Garrett Smythe Ltd 3.2%, Nicholas and Annette Debenham 3%, Nicholas Debenham 1.5%.

In 1987, then Prime Minister Bob Hawke said no child would live in poverty by 1990 an utterance that proved an aspirational statement rather than a core promise.

Over at the United Nations, promises are more like hard targets – at least when it comes to phasing out the use of mercury.

Specifically, signatory nations to the UN’s Minamata Convention on Mercury have pledged to abolish dental amalgams – a common filling used for the last 175 years – by 2030.

About half of the amalgam material consists of mercury, which is known for its manifold health risks. The remainder consists of easily recyclable silver, tin and copper.

It’s estimated that 3,000 to 5,000 tonnes of mercury are in our gobs and up to 40% enters water or solid waste streams. In the case of cremations, it ends up in the atmosphere along with Uncle Bertie’s soul.

Sweden, Norway and Germany have already banned amalgam, while 128 nations have signed up to the Minamata Convention. Over the last five years, fewer than 6% of posterior teeth fillings used amalgam, compared with 73% five years previously.

These trends are music to the ears of SDI, our home-grown supplier of filling and aesthetics material to more than 100 countries and regions including the US, Europe and Brazil.

SDI’s revenues mainly were derived from amalgam, which chief executive Samantha Cheetham dubs a “great product” given there’s no need for marketing spend.

But the company has bit the bullet and swung sharply to composite and glass ionomer cement materials, as well as whitening products.

“We have a really small market share in most countries, but we are growing,” she says.

SDI holds especially high hopes for its high-margin Stela, an amalgam replacement material that promises to revolutionise filling procedures by making dentist visits quicker and more efficient.

Meanwhile, management has a spring in its step after last week’s disclosure of a record performance for the financial year just ended (see below).

Long in the tooth

For more than 50 years, SDI has been developing and exporting dental supplies from its base at Bayswater, in eastern Melbourne.

Formerly known as Southern Dental Industries, SDI was founded in 1972 by Jeffery James Cheetham (now the company chair).

The company listed on the ASX in 1985, but ran into trouble after expanding into selling dental chairs. The elaborate patient repositories seemed an obvious allied activity, but in reality, it required very different skills.

The company quickly retreated to selling the mouth gob and smaller equipment, such as applicators.

Mr Cheetham’s daughter, Samantha, took over as CEO in July 2016, having been sales and marketing supremo. Two of her four brothers are also involved in the business.

SDI’s brands include Stela, Pola Rapid, Riva Star Aqua, Luna 2, Aura Bulk Fill, Riva Light Cure and Radii Expert.

A recently-launched aesthetic product called Riva Cem Auto Mix, is a self-curing, fluoride-releasing paste/resin for cementing metal and ceramic restorations.

While small by world standards, SDI competes with the likes of Dentsply, 3M, Kerr Dental and Coltene.

A Stela product

Developed by SDI with the University of New South Wales, University of Wollongong and University of Sydney, Stela has the potential to be the gold standard of filling material.

Stela is stronger than amalgam and – being tooth coloured – has pleasing aesthetics, and reduces the steps to complete a filling. The product is relevant for about half of all fillings.

With a silvery-grey hue, amalgam fillings might look ugly but they have the advantage of being incredibly strong and lasting for decades.

“With composites you have to drill the hole, etch it and put a bond on which is cured with the blue light,” Ms Cheetham says. “You then put on composite, layer upon layer.”

The material cannot be applied at once because it sets towards the light, which can result in the filling pulling away from the tooth surface.

“Because Stela is self-curing, it sets towards the tooth so it is gap-free.”

In 2022, the US Food and Drug Administration approved Stela, followed by the local Therapeutic Goods Administration and the Brazilian regulator.

European assent is pending, although post Brexit regulatory shifts have slowed the process.

With the product launched in April last year, Ms Cheetham says initial Stela sales are going “really well” and she is pleased dentists are using it not just for back teeth but the more prominent molars.

“The sales are not significant yet, but dentists are re-ordering it,” she says.

“It is something super-innovative and we are getting fantastic feedback from really important dentists and good evaluation results as well.

“It can take four years to get traction with any product but I would say this will be quicker.”

Stela’s -$6m development cost was supported by $4.5m of government and university grants.

Finances and performance

Some companies prefer to leave it to the August reporting season to lift the kimono on performance, but SDI last week was happy to pre-reveal the key numbers.

And why not? Sales for the year to June 30, 2024 will come in at an unaudited record $111.4m, 3.2% higher. Net profit is expected to be $9.5m to $10m compared with the previous $7.1m, or $10.5m to $11m excluding asset impairments.

SDI posted sales of $52.4m for the December 2023 half year, up 3.5% and also a record. Net profit zoomed 36% to $3.7m, reflecting abating costs (such as logistics) which were problematic in the prior period.

“There’s a lot of moving parts in the results, including currency movements, product and geographic mix and logistics costs,” chief finance officer John Slaviero says.

Post-pandemic, elevated supply chain costs have reduced but and are unlikely to come down further.

While most of SDI’s raw materials (including silver) are locally sourced, some chemicals are imported, while Switzerland is the main supplier of mercury.

In line with the 10-year trend, aesthetics products led the way with revenue of $26.3m for the half year, up 5%. Management attributes this to “market share gains and new product”.

Conversely, amalgam product sales crumbled -17% to $7.7m. This fall was partly attributed to stronger sales in the previous period, the result of two big rivals withdrawing from the market.

(While the use of amalgam has diminished, it’s still widely used in the US – especially in lower socio-economic markets).

Whitening product sales were -0.6% off the pace, although European sales held up. The company doesn’t service the do-it-yourself whitening market, for fear of annoying dentists.

Geographically, Europe and Australia each account for around 35% of sales, followed by North America on 22% and Brazil on 7.0%.

A curious aspect of the record first-half year turnover was that sales declined everywhere except for Europe, where they increased by 16%. This more than compensated for the falls elsewhere.

Brazil lost its cha cha cha, with sales down -13%, the result of major distributor Henry Schein reducing inventory. This was expected to “normalise” in the June half year.

Ms Cheetham says Brazil’s 200m people are well serviced by 350,000 dentists.

“They are the most beautiful looking, made-up people, including the men,” she says of this populace. “They are very conscious of the way they look.”

Australian sales declined -2.5%, the result of “inconsistent ordering patterns affected by customer import licences, payment terms and credit limits.”

A property purchase (see below) resulted in the company taking on debt in 2023, having had none previously.

Investors were bestowed with a 1.5c a share interim dividend, steady on previously.

Over the last year, SDI shares have gnashed between 72c (mid-February 2024) and 88c (mid-March this year).

The stock peaked at $2.38 in January 2004.

On the move

Having outgrown its current premises, SDI is on the move – but only down the road to nearby Montrose.

In 2022, the company confirmed the -$19m purchase of a 24,500 square metre site, which includes an 11,200 square metre warehouse (to be refurbished to a manufacturing facility in a staged process.)

The company hopes to move in in the 2026-’27 year.

In total, the company expects to spend -$60m on the Montrose site; -$45m on land and buildings and -$15m on machinery, for an expected return on investment of more than 20%.

SDI’s current net debt stands at $17.9m. Mr Slaviero says gearing will peak at $38m, falling to $22m after the sale of the 16,200 square metre Bayswater site.

The new facility is expected to support annual sales of $200m – twice the current run rate.

Dr Boreham’s diagnosis:

Ms Cheetham notes that tooth decay is the world’s number-one non-communicable disease – at a time when people are becoming more conscious of their dental health.

While the principle of applying fillings hasn’t changed much over the ages, the techniques certainly have. These days, all or most of the pain felt by patients is in the anticipation of the visit – and perhaps the wallet afterwards.

SDI is a minnow in a sea of giants, with a sub 1% share of the US composites market and a circa 5% share here.

But over the ages, the company has proved nimble enough to compete with the titans of teeth.

With products like Stela, it is well-placed to address the body beautiful’ market for which ugly silvery-grey fillings are simply not Instaworthy.

SDI has a solid record of earnings and dividends, although some observers reckon the company could do more in terms of expanding its global reach.

“In our category, there is so much we can do but you may as well stick to your knitting. We know what we can develop,” Ms Cheetham says.

Having seen more than a few up-and-coming corporates subsumed by their hubris, your columnist doesn’t mind the humble approach.

A year ago, SDI management said investors should see the benefit of increased sales “flowing through in the next year or so”.

Given the Stela revenue boost is yet to be seen in earnest, this utterance was more an aspirational statement more than anything.

But unlike Hawkie’s infamous promise, at least it has some semblance of being achieved.

Disclosure: Dr Boreham is not a qualified medical practitioner and does not possess a doctorate of any sort. He is often told to shut his gob – and not just because of the ugly grey fillings

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