Australian Broker Call
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January 08, 2024
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COMPANIES DISCUSSED IN THIS ISSUE
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The number next to the symbol represents the number of brokers covering it for this report -(if more than 1).
Last Updated: 05:00 PM
Your daily news report on the latest recommendation, valuation, forecast and opinion changes.
This report includes concise but limited reviews of research recently published by Stockbrokers, which should be considered as information concerning likely market behaviour rather than advice on the securities mentioned. Do not act on the contents of this Report without first reading the important information included at the end.
For more info about the different terms used by stockbrokers, as well as the different methodologies behind similar sounding ratings, download our guide HERE
Today's Upgrades and Downgrades
CEH - | Coast Entertainment | Upgrade to Accumulate from Hold | Ord Minnett |
CGF - | Challenger | Downgrade to Hold from Accumulate | Ord Minnett |
CSR - | CSR | Downgrade to Sell from Hold | Ord Minnett |
IAG - | Insurance Australia Group | Downgrade to Hold from Add | Morgans |
JDO - | Judo Capital | Downgrade to Hold from Accumulate | Ord Minnett |
MFG - | Magellan Financial | Downgrade to Sell from Neutral | Citi |
MTO - | Motorcycle Holdings | Downgrade to Hold from Add | Morgans |
NXT - | NextDC | Downgrade to Lighten from Hold | Ord Minnett |
PBP - | Probiotec | Downgrade to Hold from Add | Morgans |
SGM - | Sims | Downgrade to Sell from Neutral | Citi |
TLC - | Lottery Corp | Upgrade to Accumulate from Hold | Ord Minnett |
Citi rates ABG as Buy (1) -
The year ahead should see interest rates peaking and central banks cutting rates from the second half onwards, argues Citi. One of the consequences is renewed interest for A-REITs from investors.
The broker includes two general sector warnings; asset values remain under pressure and higher interest rates continue to create earnings risks for segments of the industry.
Citi remains constructive of the structural growth in Industrial, Self-Storage, Land-lease and housing sectors, while Retail is seen as "relatively supported" in the short term.
A-REITs have already rallied, leading Citi to prefer "structural growth at relatively reasonable value", with the analysts nominating Goodman Group, National Storage, Lifestyle Communities, Ingenia Communities and Stockland among sector favourites.
As investor focus turns towards results and the earnings growth outlook into FY25, Citi believes these stocks will continue to remain attractive.
The price target for Abacus Group remains $1.45, alongside a Buy rating. This update was released on January 4.
Target price is $1.45 Current Price is $1.12 Difference: $0.33
If ABG meets the Citi target it will return approximately 29% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $1.52, suggesting upside of 35.4% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY24:
Citi forecasts a full year FY24 EPS of 10.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 8.5, implying annual growth of 198.2%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 8.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 7.6%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.2. |
Forecast for FY25:
Citi forecasts a full year FY25 EPS of 10.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 8.6, implying annual growth of 1.2%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 8.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 7.6%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.0. |
Market Sentiment: 1.0
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
AIA AUCKLAND INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT LIMITED
Travel, Leisure & Tourism
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Overnight Price: $7.83
Ord Minnett rates AIA as Hold (3) -
International travelers numbers are catching up on the post-covid trajectory that earlier had proved much more robust for domestic travels, highlights Ord Minnett.
The broker points out additional airlines have been adding connections to mainland USA and Canada.
On Ord Minnett's projections, numbers will return to pre-covid levels by 2025 with the broker cautioning the trajectory won't be a straight line.
Fair value estimate is set at NZ$8.50 or $7.85 in Aussie dollars, unchanged. Hold. Forecasts have not changed. This update was released in December.
Target price is $7.85 Current Price is $7.83 Difference: $0.02
If AIA meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 0% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $7.85, suggesting upside of 0.4% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY24:
Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 11.37 cents and EPS of 16.18 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 18.1, implying annual growth of N/A. Current consensus DPS estimate is 14.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.8%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 43.2. |
Forecast for FY25:
Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 12.85 cents and EPS of 18.31 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 20.9, implying annual growth of 15.5%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 16.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.0%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 37.4. |
This company reports in NZD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.
Market Sentiment: 0.0
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Overnight Price: $1.08
Citi rates ASK as Buy (1) -
The year ahead should see interest rates peaking and central banks cutting rates from the second half onwards, argues Citi. One of the consequences is renewed interest for A-REITs from investors.
The broker includes two general sector warnings; asset values remain under pressure and higher interest rates continue to create earnings risks for segments of the industry.
Citi remains constructive of the structural growth in Industrial, Self-Storage, Land-lease and housing sectors, while Retail is seen as "relatively supported" in the short term.
A-REITs have already rallied, leading Citi to prefer "structural growth at relatively reasonable value", with the analysts nominating Goodman Group, National Storage, Lifestyle Communities, Ingenia Communities and Stockland among sector favourites.
As investor focus turns towards results and the earnings growth outlook into FY25, Citi believes these stocks will continue to remain attractive.
The price target for Abacus Storage King has been retained at $1.20, alongside a Buy rating. This update was released on January 4.
Target price is $1.20 Current Price is $1.08 Difference: $0.12
If ASK meets the Citi target it will return approximately 11% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Forecast for FY23:
Forecast for FY24:
Citi forecasts a full year FY24 EPS of 7.00 cents. |
Market Sentiment: 1.0
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Overnight Price: $0.13
Citi rates BUB as Neutral (3) -
Bubs Australia raised $3m through a share purchase plan to assist with its growth plans and Citi has incorporated the dilution into its modeling.
Target price is 13c. Neutral/High Risk rating. This update was issued on January 3.
Target price is $0.13 Current Price is $0.13 Difference: $0
If BUB meets the Citi target it will return approximately 0% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY24:
Citi forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 0.90 cents. |
Forecast for FY25:
Citi forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 0.20 cents. |
Market Sentiment: 0.0
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Citi rates BWP as Sell (5) -
The year ahead should see interest rates peaking and central banks cutting rates from the second half onwards, argues Citi. One of the consequences is renewed interest for A-REITs from investors.
The broker includes two general sector warnings; asset values remain under pressure and higher interest rates continue to create earnings risks for segments of the industry.
Citi remains constructive of the structural growth in Industrial, Self-Storage, Land-lease and housing sectors, while Retail is seen as "relatively supported" in the short term.
A-REITs have already rallied, leading Citi to prefer "structural growth at relatively reasonable value", with the analysts nominating Goodman Group, National Storage, Lifestyle Communities, Ingenia Communities and Stockland among sector favourites.
As investor focus turns towards results and the earnings growth outlook into FY25, Citi believes these stocks will continue to remain attractive.
The price target for BWP Trust has been retained at $3.40, alongside a Sell rating. It appears this is the broker's least preferred exposure in the sector. This update was released on January 4.
Target price is $3.40 Current Price is $3.45 Difference: minus $0.05 (current price is over target).
If BWP meets the Citi target it will return approximately minus 1% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).
Current consensus price target is $3.52, suggesting upside of 1.0% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY24:
Citi forecasts a full year FY24 EPS of 18.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 18.0, implying annual growth of 215.2%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 18.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.2%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 19.3. |
Forecast for FY25:
Citi forecasts a full year FY25 EPS of 19.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 18.4, implying annual growth of 2.2%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 18.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.2%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 18.9. |
Market Sentiment: -0.8
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Overnight Price: $13.67
Ord Minnett rates BXB as Hold (3) -
Despite the risk of a global economic slowdown, Ord Minnett argues Brambles' earnings outlook should remain "resilient". One of the defining features is the company's cost advantage, which is expected to benefit the company.
Ord Minnett points out Brambles receives an estimated third of all operating earnings from the USA, where the economy is projected to slow noticeably in 2024.
The broker thinks earnings growth will come in near the top end of management's guidance of 9%-12% growth in 2024. Hold. Fair value estimated at $14.
This update was released in December.
Target price is $14.00 Current Price is $13.67 Difference: $0.33
If BXB meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 2% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $14.96, suggesting upside of 10.1% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY24:
Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 63.06 cents and EPS of 118.57 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 87.5, implying annual growth of N/A. Current consensus DPS estimate is 42.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.1%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.5. |
Forecast for FY25:
Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 72.11 cents and EPS of 131.69 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 97.4, implying annual growth of 11.3%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 46.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.4%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.0. |
This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.
Market Sentiment: 0.2
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Overnight Price: $112.99
Morgan Stanley rates CBA as Underweight (5) -
It is Morgan Stanley's long standing observation the share price of Australia's number one bank, CommBank, moves in close correlation with the prices of domestic housing.
Want more evidence? CBA's share price appreciated by 9% in 2023. Housing values rose by 8% over the year.
Rating Underweight. Target $86. Sector view is In-Line. This update was released on January 1.
Target price is $86.00 Current Price is $112.99 Difference: minus $26.99 (current price is over target).
If CBA meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately minus 24% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).
Current consensus price target is $90.20, suggesting downside of -19.5% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY24:
Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 455.00 cents and EPS of 557.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 575.0, implying annual growth of -4.8%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 458.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.1%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 19.5. |
Forecast for FY25:
Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 460.00 cents and EPS of 559.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 588.4, implying annual growth of 2.3%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 469.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.2%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 19.0. |
Market Sentiment: -0.5
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
CBL CONTROL BIONICS LIMITED
Medical Equipment & Devices
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Overnight Price: $0.05
Morgans rates CBL as Hold (3) -
Morgans points out cashflows have been an issue for Control Bionics and the recent capital raising is not completely removing risks. Management now has some runway to execute on its strategy, but Morgans maintains things will be tight, still.
Price target drops to 5.8c on dilution. Hold rating retained.
For those not as yet familiar with this company: Control Bionics presents itself as a provider of innovative assistive technology systems to enable people with disabilities to communicate and control electronic devices using their neuroelectric signals.
Target price is $0.06 Current Price is $0.05 Difference: $0.008
If CBL meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 16% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY24:
Morgans forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 4.20 cents. |
Forecast for FY25:
Morgans forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 2.10 cents. |
Market Sentiment: 0.0
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
CEH COAST ENTERTAINMENT HOLDINGS LIMITED
Travel, Leisure & Tourism
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Overnight Price: $0.44
Ord Minnett rates CEH as Upgrade to Accumulate from Hold (2) -
Ord Minnett highlights shares in the former Ardent Leisure, now trading as Coast Entertainment, continue to trade well below the broker's fair value assessment of 60c.
For any modern day disciples of the Benjamin Graham style of value investing, this has now become a rare opportunity in today's share markets, the analyst argues.
Upgrade to Accumulate from Hold. This report was released on January 3.
Target price is $0.60 Current Price is $0.44 Difference: $0.16
If CEH meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 36% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY24:
Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 1.40 cents. |
Forecast for FY25:
Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 2.60 cents. |
Market Sentiment: 0.5
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
CGF CHALLENGER LIMITED
Wealth Management & Investments
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Overnight Price: $6.63
Morgans rates CGF as Add (1) -
A general sector re-assessment of non-bank financial services providers in Australia has triggered changes to forecasts on mark-to-market updates and a general re-appraisal of the sector's growth outlook, including adjustments for equity markets, bond yields and currency moves.
The broker's preferred sector Add calls are QBE Insurance, Computershare, Suncorp Group, Tyro Payments and Generation Development Group.
The price target for Challenger has risen slightly to $7.25 from $7.14. Add rating retained. This update was released on January 2.
Target price is $7.25 Current Price is $6.63 Difference: $0.62
If CGF meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 9% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $6.75, suggesting upside of 3.7% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY24:
Morgans forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 24.20 cents and EPS of 50.60 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 50.3, implying annual growth of 19.3%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 24.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.8%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.9. |
Forecast for FY25:
Morgans forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 25.20 cents and EPS of 55.10 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 57.0, implying annual growth of 13.3%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 26.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.1%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 11.4. |
Market Sentiment: 0.0
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Ord Minnett rates CGF as Downgrade to Hold from Accumulate (3) -
In what appears to be no more than a technical update, Ord Minnett's rating for Challenger has been pulled back to Hold from Accumulate.
The fair value estimate has remained unchanged at $7.30.
While Challenger has a number of positive features, including a strongly growing boutique funds management business, the broker maintains it is essentially a high-risk operation.
The latter assessment is based upon the assessment the business depends on annuities and high sales growth to offset recurring annuity payments obligations.
No changes have been made to forecasts.
Target price is $7.30 Current Price is $6.63 Difference: $0.67
If CGF meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 10% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $6.75, suggesting upside of 3.7% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY24:
Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 27.00 cents and EPS of 58.60 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 50.3, implying annual growth of 19.3%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 24.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.8%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.9. |
Forecast for FY25:
Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 33.00 cents and EPS of 70.80 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 57.0, implying annual growth of 13.3%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 26.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.1%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 11.4. |
Market Sentiment: 0.0
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Overnight Price: $11.37
Citi rates CHC as Buy (1) -
The year ahead should see interest rates peaking and central banks cutting rates from the second half onwards, argues Citi. One of the consequences is renewed interest for A-REITs from investors.
The broker includes two general sector warnings; asset values remain under pressure and higher interest rates continue to create earnings risks for segments of the industry.
Citi remains constructive of the structural growth in Industrial, Self-Storage, Land-lease and housing sectors, while Retail is seen as "relatively supported" in the short term.
A-REITs have already rallied, leading Citi to prefer "structural growth at relatively reasonable value", with the analysts nominating Goodman Group, National Storage, Lifestyle Communities, Ingenia Communities and Stockland among sector favourites.
As investor focus turns towards results and the earnings growth outlook into FY25, Citi believes these stocks will continue to remain attractive.
The price target for Charter Hall has dropped to $13.50 from $14, alongside a Buy rating. This update was released on January 4.
Target price is $13.50 Current Price is $11.37 Difference: $2.13
If CHC meets the Citi target it will return approximately 19% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $13.18, suggesting upside of 16.5% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY24:
Citi forecasts a full year FY24 EPS of 75.50 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 76.2, implying annual growth of 83.8%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 45.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.0%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.9. |
Forecast for FY25:
Citi forecasts a full year FY25 EPS of 93.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 88.4, implying annual growth of 16.0%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 47.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.2%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.8. |
Market Sentiment: 0.6
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
CKF COLLINS FOODS LIMITED
Food, Beverages & Tobacco
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Overnight Price: $11.83
Morgan Stanley rates CKF as Initiation of coverage with Overweight (1) -
Morgan Stanley has initiated coverage of Collins Foods with an Outperform rating and $14.20 price target. The broker likes the fast food restaurants operator for its defensive qualities amidst a challenging outlook for consumer spending.
Other positive features include a predictable incremental return on investments (ROIC) and optionality through M&A.
Anticipated margin expansion supports the broker's forecast for 19% EPS CAGR for FY23-FY26 (with 8% revenue growth throughout the period).
The impact from GLP-1 drugs is expected to be less for Australia and Europe than in the US where total calorie consumption is estimated to shrink by -1.3% by 2035.
While the risks from changing consumer behaviour can be greater, Morgan Stanley argues they remain manageable for a strong brand that is KFC.
Target price is $14.20 Current Price is $11.83 Difference: $2.37
If CKF meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately 20% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $12.36, suggesting upside of 3.7% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in May.
Forecast for FY24:
Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 27.00 cents and EPS of 51.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 50.3, implying annual growth of 362.3%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 28.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.4%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 23.7. |
Forecast for FY25:
Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 39.10 cents and EPS of 64.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 64.8, implying annual growth of 28.8%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 35.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.0%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 18.4. |
Market Sentiment: 0.4
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Overnight Price: $3.63
Citi rates CLW as Neutral (3) -
The year ahead should see interest rates peaking and central banks cutting rates from the second half onwards, argues Citi. One of the consequences is renewed interest for A-REITs from investors.
The broker includes two general sector warnings; asset values remain under pressure and higher interest rates continue to create earnings risks for segments of the industry.
Citi remains constructive of the structural growth in Industrial, Self-Storage, Land-lease and housing sectors, while Retail is seen as "relatively supported" in the short term.
A-REITs have already rallied, leading Citi to prefer "structural growth at relatively reasonable value", with the analysts nominating Goodman Group, National Storage, Lifestyle Communities, Ingenia Communities and Stockland among sector favourites.
As investor focus turns towards results and the earnings growth outlook into FY25, Citi believes these stocks will continue to remain attractive.
The price target for Charter Hall Long WALE REIT remains $4, alongside a Neutral rating. This update was released on January 4.
Target price is $4.00 Current Price is $3.63 Difference: $0.37
If CLW meets the Citi target it will return approximately 10% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $3.90, suggesting upside of 7.8% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY24:
Citi forecasts a full year FY24 EPS of 27.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 26.3, implying annual growth of N/A. Current consensus DPS estimate is 26.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 7.2%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.8. |
Forecast for FY25:
Citi forecasts a full year FY25 EPS of 27.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 26.9, implying annual growth of 2.3%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 26.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 7.4%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.5. |
Market Sentiment: 0.0
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Overnight Price: $24.65
Morgans rates CPU as Add (1) -
A general sector re-assessment of non-bank financial services providers in Australia has triggered changes to forecasts on mark-to-market updates and a general re-appraisal of the sector's growth outlook, including adjustments for equity markets, bond yields and currency moves.
The broker's preferred sector Add calls are QBE Insurance, Computershare, Suncorp Group, Tyro Payments and Generation Development Group.
The price target for Computershare has dropped to $27.21 from $28.28. Add rating retained. This update was released on January 2.
Target price is $27.21 Current Price is $24.65 Difference: $2.56
If CPU meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 10% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $28.24, suggesting upside of 15.3% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY24:
Morgans forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 113.14 cents and EPS of 178.16 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 177.3, implying annual growth of N/A. Current consensus DPS estimate is 128.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.2%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.8. |
Forecast for FY25:
Morgans forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 123.70 cents and EPS of 192.94 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 194.7, implying annual growth of 9.8%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 124.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.1%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.6. |
This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.
Market Sentiment: 0.8
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Overnight Price: $3.52
Citi rates CQR as Buy (1) -
The year ahead should see interest rates peaking and central banks cutting rates from the second half onwards, argues Citi. One of the consequences is renewed interest for A-REITs from investors.
The broker includes two general sector warnings; asset values remain under pressure and higher interest rates continue to create earnings risks for segments of the industry.
Citi remains constructive of the structural growth in Industrial, Self-Storage, Land-lease and housing sectors, while Retail is seen as "relatively supported" in the short term.
A-REITs have already rallied, leading Citi to prefer "structural growth at relatively reasonable value", with the analysts nominating Goodman Group, National Storage, Lifestyle Communities, Ingenia Communities and Stockland among sector favourites.
As investor focus turns towards results and the earnings growth outlook into FY25, Citi believes these stocks will continue to remain attractive.
The price target for Charter Hall Retail REIT has dropped by -10c to $4, alongside a Buy rating. This update was released on January 4.
Target price is $4.00 Current Price is $3.52 Difference: $0.48
If CQR meets the Citi target it will return approximately 14% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $3.63, suggesting upside of 3.4% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY24:
Citi forecasts a full year FY24 EPS of 28.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 27.3, implying annual growth of 320.0%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 24.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 7.1%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.9. |
Forecast for FY25:
Citi forecasts a full year FY25 EPS of 28.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 27.8, implying annual growth of 1.8%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 25.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 7.2%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.6. |
Market Sentiment: 0.3
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Overnight Price: $6.40
Ord Minnett rates CSR as Downgrade to Sell from Hold (5) -
Today's Ord Minnett report is obviously catching up on decisions made but not yet widely communicated. CSR's rating has shifted to Sell from Hold.
The broker's fair value assessment (nee Morningstar) is still set at $5.80.
Target price is $5.80 Current Price is $6.40 Difference: minus $0.6 (current price is over target).
If CSR meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately minus 9% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).
Current consensus price target is $5.94, suggesting downside of -6.4% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in March.
Forecast for FY24:
Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 34.70 cents and EPS of 43.30 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 41.8, implying annual growth of -8.2%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 32.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.0%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.2. |
Forecast for FY25:
Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 32.90 cents and EPS of 41.30 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 40.1, implying annual growth of -4.1%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 30.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.7%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.8. |
Market Sentiment: 0.1
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
DMP DOMINO'S PIZZA ENTERPRISES LIMITED
Food, Beverages & Tobacco
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Overnight Price: $55.74
Morgan Stanley rates DMP as Overweight (1) -
The key debate surrounding Domino's Pizza Enterprises, argues Morgan Stanley, is whether profit margins can be restored or whether the future now consists of structurally lower profitability?
The broker finds market consensus is positioned too conservatively with margin recovery the key element supporting its own Overweight rating for the shares.
Morgan Stanley thinks FY24 will act as an inflection point for key share price drivers. Industry view is In-Line. Target $70 (up from $65).
Target price is $70.00 Current Price is $55.74 Difference: $14.26
If DMP meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately 26% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $60.18, suggesting upside of 6.9% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY24:
Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 138.00 cents and EPS of 172.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 168.3, implying annual growth of 265.1%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 126.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.3%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 33.4. |
Forecast for FY25:
Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 186.00 cents and EPS of 232.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 218.9, implying annual growth of 30.1%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 164.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.9%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 25.7. |
Market Sentiment: 0.6
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Citi rates DXS as Neutral (3) -
The year ahead should see interest rates peaking and central banks cutting rates from the second half onwards, argues Citi. One of the consequences is renewed interest for A-REITs from investors.
The broker includes two general sector warnings; asset values remain under pressure and higher interest rates continue to create earnings risks for segments of the industry.
Citi remains constructive of the structural growth in Industrial, Self-Storage, Land-lease and housing sectors, while Retail is seen as "relatively supported" in the short term.
A-REITs have already rallied, leading Citi to prefer "structural growth at relatively reasonable value", with the analysts nominating Goodman Group, National Storage, Lifestyle Communities, Ingenia Communities and Stockland among sector favourites.
As investor focus turns towards results and the earnings growth outlook into FY25, Citi believes these stocks will continue to remain attractive.
The price target for Dexus remains $8.20, alongside a Neutral rating. This update was released on January 4.
Target price is $8.20 Current Price is $7.54 Difference: $0.66
If DXS meets the Citi target it will return approximately 9% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $8.55, suggesting upside of 13.3% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY24:
Citi forecasts a full year FY24 EPS of 63.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 60.7, implying annual growth of N/A. Current consensus DPS estimate is 48.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.4%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.4. |
Forecast for FY25:
Citi forecasts a full year FY25 EPS of 64.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 63.3, implying annual growth of 4.3%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 49.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.6%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 11.9. |
Market Sentiment: 0.2
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
GDG GENERATION DEVELOPMENT GROUP LIMITED
Insurance
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Overnight Price: $1.75
Morgans rates GDG as Add (1) -
A general sector re-assessment of non-bank financial services providers in Australia has triggered changes to forecasts on mark-to-market updates and a general re-appraisal of the sector's growth outlook, including adjustments for equity markets, bond yields and currency moves.
The broker's preferred sector Add calls are QBE Insurance, Computershare, Suncorp Group, Tyro Payments and Generation Development Group.
The price target for Generation Development has lifted to $1.91 from $1.70. This update was released on January 2.
Target price is $1.91 Current Price is $1.75 Difference: $0.165
If GDG meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 9% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY24:
Morgans forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 2.00 cents and EPS of 5.50 cents. |
Forecast for FY25:
Morgans forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 2.50 cents and EPS of 7.30 cents. |
Market Sentiment: 1.0
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Overnight Price: $24.02
Citi rates GMG as Buy (1) -
The year ahead should see interest rates peaking and central banks cutting rates from the second half onwards, argues Citi. One of the consequences is renewed interest for A-REITs from investors.
The broker includes two general sector warnings; asset values remain under pressure and higher interest rates continue to create earnings risks for segments of the industry.
Citi remains constructive of the structural growth in Industrial, Self-Storage, Land-lease and housing sectors, while Retail is seen as "relatively supported" in the short term.
A-REITs have already rallied, leading Citi to prefer "structural growth at relatively reasonable value", with the analysts nominating Goodman Group, National Storage, Lifestyle Communities, Ingenia Communities and Stockland among sector favourites.
As investor focus turns towards results and the earnings growth outlook into FY25, Citi believes these stocks will continue to remain attractive.
The price target for Goodman Group has risen to $25.50 from $24.50, alongside a Buy rating. This update was released on January 4.
Target price is $25.50 Current Price is $24.02 Difference: $1.48
If GMG meets the Citi target it will return approximately 6% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $23.90, suggesting downside of -0.5% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY24:
Citi forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 30.00 cents and EPS of 111.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 105.8, implying annual growth of 27.4%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 30.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.2%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 22.7. |
Forecast for FY25:
Citi forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 30.00 cents and EPS of 124.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 112.0, implying annual growth of 5.9%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 30.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.3%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 21.4. |
Market Sentiment: 0.8
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Overnight Price: $1.71
Macquarie rates GOR as Neutral (3) -
Gold Road Resources' preliminary update provided somewhat of a shock to Macquarie as both production and sales missed the broker's forecast by some -18%.
The broker explains Gruyere achieving consistent mill throughput of circa 9.5Mtpa in the longer term remains key to its base case scenario and forecasts.
Neutral rating retained. Price target unchanged at $2.
Target price is $2.00 Current Price is $1.71 Difference: $0.29
If GOR meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 17% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $2.14, suggesting upside of 26.5% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in December.
Forecast for FY23:
Macquarie forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 1.50 cents and EPS of 10.50 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 12.5, implying annual growth of 92.6%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 2.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.2%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.5. |
Forecast for FY24:
Macquarie forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 3.60 cents and EPS of 12.50 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 14.9, implying annual growth of 19.2%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 3.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.1%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 11.3. |
Market Sentiment: 0.8
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
GOZ GROWTHPOINT PROPERTIES AUSTRALIA
Infra & Property Developers
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Overnight Price: $2.37
Citi rates GOZ as Buy (1) -
The year ahead should see interest rates peaking and central banks cutting rates from the second half onwards, argues Citi. One of the consequences is renewed interest for A-REITs from investors.
The broker includes two general sector warnings; asset values remain under pressure and higher interest rates continue to create earnings risks for segments of the industry.
Citi remains constructive of the structural growth in Industrial, Self-Storage, Land-lease and housing sectors, while Retail is seen as "relatively supported" in the short term.
A-REITs have already rallied, leading Citi to prefer "structural growth at relatively reasonable value", with the analysts nominating Goodman Group, National Storage, Lifestyle Communities, Ingenia Communities and Stockland among sector favourites.
As investor focus turns towards results and the earnings growth outlook into FY25, Citi believes these stocks will continue to remain attractive.
The price target for Growthpoint Properties Australia remains at $2.70, alongside a Buy rating. This update was released on January 4.
Target price is $2.70 Current Price is $2.37 Difference: $0.33
If GOZ meets the Citi target it will return approximately 14% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $3.11, suggesting upside of 33.3% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY24:
Citi forecasts a full year FY24 EPS of 24.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 22.1, implying annual growth of N/A. Current consensus DPS estimate is 20.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 8.8%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 10.5. |
Forecast for FY25:
Citi forecasts a full year FY25 EPS of 25.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 24.0, implying annual growth of 8.6%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 21.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 9.2%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 9.7. |
Market Sentiment: 1.0
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Overnight Price: $4.48
Citi rates GPT as Buy (1) -
The year ahead should see interest rates peaking and central banks cutting rates from the second half onwards, argues Citi. One of the consequences is renewed interest for A-REITs from investors.
The broker includes two general sector warnings; asset values remain under pressure and higher interest rates continue to create earnings risks for segments of the industry.
Citi remains constructive of the structural growth in Industrial, Self-Storage, Land-lease and housing sectors, while Retail is seen as "relatively supported" in the short term.
A-REITs have already rallied, leading Citi to prefer "structural growth at relatively reasonable value", with the analysts nominating Goodman Group, National Storage, Lifestyle Communities, Ingenia Communities and Stockland among sector favourites.
As investor focus turns towards results and the earnings growth outlook into FY25, Citi believes these stocks will continue to remain attractive.
The price target for GPT Group has dropped to $4.90 from $5, alongside a Buy rating. This update was released on January 4.
Target price is $4.90 Current Price is $4.48 Difference: $0.42
If GPT meets the Citi target it will return approximately 9% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $4.81, suggesting upside of 7.5% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in December.
Forecast for FY23:
Citi forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 25.00 cents and EPS of 31.30 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 31.3, implying annual growth of 27.8%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 25.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.6%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.3. |
Forecast for FY24:
Citi forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 25.40 cents and EPS of 33.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 32.0, implying annual growth of 2.2%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 25.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.6%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.0. |
Market Sentiment: 0.7
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
GQG GQG PARTNERS INC
Wealth Management & Investments
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Overnight Price: $1.66
Morgans rates GQG as Add (1) -
In an update released on January 2, Morgans expresses the view that solid money flows are likely to have continued in December for GQG Partners.
The broker's mark-to-market exercise has triggered upgrades to forecasts. Morgans continues to see the stock as attractively priced.
Successful execution on the communicated diversification strategy will likely result in a re-rating, the broker argues. Add rating retained. Price target $2.05 (was $1.90).
Target price is $2.05 Current Price is $1.66 Difference: $0.39
If GQG meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 23% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $2.14, suggesting upside of 27.2% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in December.
Forecast for FY23:
Morgans forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 13.58 cents and EPS of 13.58 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 14.0, implying annual growth of N/A. Current consensus DPS estimate is 13.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 8.0%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.0. |
Forecast for FY24:
Morgans forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 15.09 cents and EPS of 16.59 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 15.8, implying annual growth of 12.9%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 14.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 8.8%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 10.6. |
This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.
Market Sentiment: 1.0
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Overnight Price: $5.73
Morgans rates IAG as Downgrade to Hold from Add (3) -
A general sector re-assessment of non-bank financial services providers in Australia has led to Morgans downgrading its rating for Insurance Australia Group to Hold from Add following a rise in the share price and a reduction in price target.
Across the board, forecasts have been amended on mark-to-market updates and a general re-appraisal of the sector's growth outlook, including adjustments for equity markets, bond yields and currency moves.
The broker's preferred sector Add calls are QBE Insurance, Computershare, Suncorp Group, Tyro Payments and Generation Development Group.
The price target for Insurance Australia Group has declined to $6 from $6.24. This update was released on January 2.
Target price is $6.00 Current Price is $5.73 Difference: $0.27
If IAG meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 5% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $5.96, suggesting upside of 2.0% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY24:
Morgans forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 31.00 cents and EPS of 36.50 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 35.5, implying annual growth of 4.7%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 27.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.7%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 16.5. |
Forecast for FY25:
Morgans forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 34.00 cents and EPS of 40.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 39.9, implying annual growth of 12.4%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 31.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.4%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.6. |
Market Sentiment: 0.3
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
INA INGENIA COMMUNITIES GROUP
Aged Care & Seniors
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Overnight Price: $4.39
Citi rates INA as Buy (1) -
The year ahead should see interest rates peaking and central banks cutting rates from the second half onwards, argues Citi. One of the consequences is renewed interest for A-REITs from investors.
The broker includes two general sector warnings; asset values remain under pressure and higher interest rates continue to create earnings risks for segments of the industry.
Citi remains constructive of the structural growth in Industrial, Self-Storage, Land-lease and housing sectors, while Retail is seen as "relatively supported" in the short term.
A-REITs have already rallied, leading Citi to prefer "structural growth at relatively reasonable value", with the analysts nominating Goodman Group, National Storage, Lifestyle Communities, Ingenia Communities and Stockland among sector favourites.
As investor focus turns towards results and the earnings growth outlook into FY25, Citi believes these stocks will continue to remain attractive.
The price target for Ingenia Communities remains $4.80, alongside a Buy rating. This update was released on January 4.
Target price is $4.80 Current Price is $4.39 Difference: $0.41
If INA meets the Citi target it will return approximately 9% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $4.54, suggesting upside of 3.4% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY24:
Citi forecasts a full year FY24 EPS of 26.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 23.6, implying annual growth of 49.5%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 10.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.4%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 18.6. |
Forecast for FY25:
Citi forecasts a full year FY25 EPS of 31.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 29.1, implying annual growth of 23.3%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 12.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.8%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.1. |
Market Sentiment: 0.7
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
JDO JUDO CAPITAL HOLDINGS LIMITED
Business & Consumer Credit
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Overnight Price: $1.00
Ord Minnett rates JDO as Downgrade to Hold from Accumulate (3) -
Judo Capital's rating has been pulled down to Hold from Accumulate with Ord Minnett's fair value assessment unchanged at $1.10.
The broker does not anticipate any dividend payments anytime soon as the bank is still in its growth phase, despite operating at a relative cost disadvantage to the larger banks in Australia.
Ord Minnett believes dissatisfied customers from brokers are the logical pool of opportunity for the challenger bank. No changes have been made to forecasts.
Target price is $1.10 Current Price is $1.00 Difference: $0.1
If JDO meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 10% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $1.20, suggesting upside of 20.0% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY24:
Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 5.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 5.2, implying annual growth of -21.7%. Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 19.2. |
Forecast for FY25:
Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 7.50 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 7.3, implying annual growth of 40.4%. Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.7. |
Market Sentiment: 0.4
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Overnight Price: $13.30
Ord Minnett rates JIN as Hold (3) -
Ord Minnett only initiated coverage of Jumbo Interactive with a Hold rating and $12.90 target price in November last year.
The broker observes lottery volumes have been abnormally soft which has forced the company into a slow start into FY24. In addition, it is expected The Lottery Corp's digital offering will continue to grab market share.
As more lottery tickets are shifting online, Jumbo Interactive can still grow its operations, the broker argues. Despite the company branching out in alternative growth areas, lottery ticket sales are expected to remain the lion's share of the business for a while.
This update was issued in December.
Target price is $12.90 Current Price is $13.30 Difference: minus $0.4 (current price is over target).
If JIN meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately minus 3% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).
Current consensus price target is $16.59, suggesting upside of 25.7% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY24:
Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 55.00 cents and EPS of 64.70 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 68.9, implying annual growth of 37.3%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 55.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.2%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 19.2. |
Forecast for FY25:
Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 61.20 cents and EPS of 72.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 81.1, implying annual growth of 17.7%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 65.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.0%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 16.3. |
Market Sentiment: 0.8
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
KSL KINA SECURITIES LIMITED
Wealth Management & Investments
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Overnight Price: $0.80
Morgans rates KSL as Add (1) -
A general sector re-assessment of non-bank financial services providers in Australia has triggered changes to forecasts on mark-to-market updates and a general re-appraisal of the sector's growth outlook, including adjustments for equity markets, bond yields and currency moves.
The broker's preferred sector Add calls are QBE Insurance, Computershare, Suncorp Group, Tyro Payments and Generation Development Group.
The price target for Kina Securities has risen to $1.14 from $1.09. Add rating retained. This update was released on January 2.
Target price is $1.14 Current Price is $0.80 Difference: $0.34
If KSL meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 42% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
The company's fiscal year ends in December.
Forecast for FY23:
Morgans forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 8.60 cents and EPS of 33.80 cents. |
Forecast for FY24:
Morgans forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 10.90 cents and EPS of 40.50 cents. |
This company reports in PGK. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.
Market Sentiment: 1.0
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
LIC LIFESTYLE COMMUNITIES LIMITED
Infra & Property Developers
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Overnight Price: $17.77
Citi rates LIC as Buy (1) -
The year ahead should see interest rates peaking and central banks cutting rates from the second half onwards, argues Citi. One of the consequences is renewed interest for A-REITs from investors.
The broker includes two general sector warnings; asset values remain under pressure and higher interest rates continue to create earnings risks for segments of the industry.
Citi remains constructive of the structural growth in Industrial, Self-Storage, Land-lease and housing sectors, while Retail is seen as "relatively supported" in the short term.
A-REITs have already rallied, leading Citi to prefer "structural growth at relatively reasonable value", with the analysts nominating Goodman Group, National Storage, Lifestyle Communities, Ingenia Communities and Stockland among sector favourites.
As investor focus turns towards results and the earnings growth outlook into FY25, Citi believes these stocks will continue to remain attractive.
The price target for Lifestyle Communities has remained intact at $21, alongside a Buy rating, on minor downward adjustments to forecasts.
This update was released on January 4.
Target price is $21.00 Current Price is $17.77 Difference: $3.23
If LIC meets the Citi target it will return approximately 18% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $18.37, suggesting upside of 6.7% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY24:
Citi forecasts a full year FY24 EPS of 110.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 83.2, implying annual growth of 5.6%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 13.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.8%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 20.7. |
Forecast for FY25:
Citi forecasts a full year FY25 EPS of 142.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 110.9, implying annual growth of 33.3%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 17.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.0%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.5. |
Market Sentiment: 0.3
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Overnight Price: $7.27
Citi rates LLC as Buy (1) -
The year ahead should see interest rates peaking and central banks cutting rates from the second half onwards, argues Citi. One of the consequences is renewed interest for A-REITs from investors.
The broker includes two general sector warnings; asset values remain under pressure and higher interest rates continue to create earnings risks for segments of the industry.
Citi remains constructive of the structural growth in Industrial, Self-Storage, Land-lease and housing sectors, while Retail is seen as "relatively supported" in the short term.
A-REITs have already rallied, leading Citi to prefer "structural growth at relatively reasonable value", with the analysts nominating Goodman Group, National Storage, Lifestyle Communities, Ingenia Communities and Stockland among sector favourites.
As investor focus turns towards results and the earnings growth outlook into FY25, Citi believes these stocks will continue to remain attractive.
The price target for Lendlease Group has remained $9.50, irrespective of lowered forecasts, alongside a Buy rating. This update was released on January 4.
Target price is $9.50 Current Price is $7.27 Difference: $2.23
If LLC meets the Citi target it will return approximately 31% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $10.00, suggesting upside of 37.3% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY24:
Citi forecasts a full year FY24 EPS of 79.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 81.5, implying annual growth of N/A. Current consensus DPS estimate is 21.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.0%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 8.9. |
Forecast for FY25:
Citi forecasts a full year FY25 EPS of 76.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 79.7, implying annual growth of -2.2%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 23.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.2%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 9.1. |
Market Sentiment: 0.6
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
MAF MA FINANCIAL GROUP LIMITED
Wealth Management & Investments
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Overnight Price: $5.60
Morgans rates MAF as Add (1) -
A general sector re-assessment of non-bank financial services providers in Australia has triggered changes to forecasts on mark-to-market updates and a general re-appraisal of the sector's growth outlook, including adjustments for equity markets, bond yields and currency moves.
The broker's preferred sector Add calls are QBE Insurance, Computershare, Suncorp Group, Tyro Payments and Generation Development Group.
The price target for MA Financial has remained unchanged at $6.25. Add rating retained. No changes have been made to forecasts.This update was released on January 2.
Target price is $6.25 Current Price is $5.60 Difference: $0.65
If MAF meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 12% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $6.62, suggesting upside of 19.2% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in December.
Forecast for FY23:
Morgans forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 15.80 cents and EPS of 31.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 28.6, implying annual growth of 2.3%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 16.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.0%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 19.4. |
Forecast for FY24:
Morgans forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 21.30 cents and EPS of 41.80 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 38.5, implying annual growth of 34.6%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 19.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.5%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.4. |
Market Sentiment: 1.0
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Overnight Price: $0.29
Bell Potter rates MEI as Buy (1) -
Bell Potter's (Speclative) Buy rating and target price of 40 cents are retained as the broker lauds the latest drilling results at Meteoric Resources' Soberbo deposit through wordplays revolving around "superb/Soberbo".
The broker expects to see a significant transfer from inferred material into indicated resource occurring in 2024. It is highlighted the company's plan is to de-risk the Caldeira project this calendar year.
No changes have been made to forecasts. This update was released in December.
Target price is $0.40 Current Price is $0.29 Difference: $0.11
If MEI meets the Bell Potter target it will return approximately 38% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY24:
Bell Potter forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 0.60 cents. |
Forecast for FY25:
Bell Potter forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 0.50 cents. |
Market Sentiment: 1.0
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
MFG MAGELLAN FINANCIAL GROUP LIMITED
Wealth Management & Investments
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Overnight Price: $9.65
Citi rates MFG as Downgrade to Sell from Neutral (5) -
A continuously cautious Citi remains sceptical about the justification of Magellan Financial's share price rise as global equities experienced one helluva Santa rally into 2024.
The broker has thus downgraded to Sell from Neutral. Its target price did appreciate to $8.10 from $7 on higher forecasts.
Citi highlights the investment performance when measured on 3 and 5-year horizons remains "weak".
Target price is $8.10 Current Price is $9.65 Difference: minus $1.55 (current price is over target).
If MFG meets the Citi target it will return approximately minus 16% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).
Current consensus price target is $8.45, suggesting downside of -5.1% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY24:
Citi forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 66.30 cents and EPS of 76.30 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 75.8, implying annual growth of -24.2%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 59.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.6%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 11.8. |
Forecast for FY25:
Citi forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 59.00 cents and EPS of 72.60 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 68.9, implying annual growth of -9.1%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 51.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.8%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.9. |
Market Sentiment: -0.1
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Overnight Price: $2.02
Citi rates MGR as Buy (1) -
The year ahead should see interest rates peaking and central banks cutting rates from the second half onwards, argues Citi. One of the consequences is renewed interest for A-REITs from investors.
The broker includes two general sector warnings; asset values remain under pressure and higher interest rates continue to create earnings risks for segments of the industry.
Citi remains constructive of the structural growth in Industrial, Self-Storage, Land-lease and housing sectors, while Retail is seen as "relatively supported" in the short term.
A-REITs have already rallied, leading Citi to prefer "structural growth at relatively reasonable value", with the analysts nominating Goodman Group, National Storage, Lifestyle Communities, Ingenia Communities and Stockland among sector favourites.
As investor focus turns towards results and the earnings growth outlook into FY25, Citi believes these stocks will continue to remain attractive.
The price target for Mirvac Group has dropped to $2.20 from $2.50, alongside a Buy rating. This update was released on January 4.
Target price is $2.20 Current Price is $2.02 Difference: $0.18
If MGR meets the Citi target it will return approximately 9% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $2.47, suggesting upside of 21.7% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY24:
Citi forecasts a full year FY24 EPS of 14.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 18.4, implying annual growth of N/A. Current consensus DPS estimate is 10.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.1%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 11.0. |
Forecast for FY25:
Citi forecasts a full year FY25 EPS of 15.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 18.7, implying annual growth of 1.6%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 10.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.1%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 10.9. |
Market Sentiment: 0.7
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Overnight Price: $8.58
Citi rates MP1 as Buy (1) -
Movements in currencies, more specifically a dearer Aussie dollar in comparison with USD and EUR, has the potential to weigh down Megaport's monthly recurring revenues, suspects Citi.
On a constant currency assessment, the broker suspects low growth of 4% quarter on quarter in Q2. This compares to 3% growth in Q1.
Citi thinks investors will need to wait until Q4 to see MRR growth picking up substantially. Growth is projected to accelerate in FY25.
The broker continues to see upgrade potential for current consensus projections. Buy. Target falls to $12.05 from $12.25 on slightly lower forecasts.
This update was issued on January 4.
Target price is $12.05 Current Price is $8.58 Difference: $3.47
If MP1 meets the Citi target it will return approximately 40% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $12.78, suggesting upside of 50.1% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY24:
Citi forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 8.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 8.9, implying annual growth of N/A. Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 95.6. |
Forecast for FY25:
Citi forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 14.60 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 19.5, implying annual growth of 119.1%. Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 43.6. |
Market Sentiment: 0.6
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Overnight Price: $3.67
Morgans rates MPL as Hold (3) -
A general sector re-assessment of non-bank financial services providers in Australia has triggered changes to forecasts on mark-to-market updates and a general re-appraisal of the sector's growth outlook, including adjustments for equity markets, bond yields and currency moves.
The broker's preferred sector Add calls are QBE Insurance, Computershare, Suncorp Group, Tyro Payments and Generation Development Group.
The price target for Medibank Private slightly increased to $3.76 (up 2c). Hold rating retained. This update was released on January 2.
Target price is $3.76 Current Price is $3.67 Difference: $0.09
If MPL meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 2% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $3.79, suggesting upside of 2.6% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY24:
Morgans forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 16.10 cents and EPS of 20.10 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 20.0, implying annual growth of 7.8%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 16.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.3%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 18.5. |
Forecast for FY25:
Morgans forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 16.80 cents and EPS of 20.90 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 20.7, implying annual growth of 3.5%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 17.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.6%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 17.8. |
Market Sentiment: 0.2
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
MTO MOTORCYCLE HOLDINGS LIMITED
Automobiles & Components
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Overnight Price: $2.03
Morgans rates MTO as Downgrade to Hold from Add (3) -
As the company has issued a rather disappointing guidance update (in December), Morgans has decided to downgrade to Hold from Add. The shorter term outlook has become uncertain, the analyst argues, while retaining a positive stance longer term.
Morgans had assumed the diversified earnings base would mitigate the impact from softer consumer spending. The broker highlights core new motorcycle sales remain strong, but margin pressure is real and tangible.
The broker finds the outlook for sales into the agricultural sector "unclear". EPS forecasts have received the chainsaw treatment. Short term uncertainty is the dominant feature in the broker's assessment.
Target price drops to $1.95 from $2.60. This update was issued in December.
Target price is $1.95 Current Price is $2.03 Difference: minus $0.08 (current price is over target).
If MTO meets the Morgans target it will return approximately minus 4% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY24:
Morgans forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 16.00 cents and EPS of 19.00 cents. |
Forecast for FY25:
Morgans forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 16.00 cents and EPS of 20.00 cents. |
Market Sentiment: 0.0
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Overnight Price: $7.56
Morgans rates NHF as Add (1) -
A general sector re-assessment of non-bank financial services providers in Australia has triggered changes to forecasts on mark-to-market updates and a general re-appraisal of the sector's growth outlook, including adjustments for equity markets, bond yields and currency moves.
The broker's preferred sector Add calls are QBE Insurance, Computershare, Suncorp Group, Tyro Payments and Generation Development Group.
The price target for nib Holdings gained 9c to $8.47. Add rating retained. This update was released on January 2.
Target price is $8.47 Current Price is $7.56 Difference: $0.91
If NHF meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 12% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $8.28, suggesting upside of 9.9% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY24:
Morgans forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 30.00 cents and EPS of 47.40 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 45.5, implying annual growth of 9.9%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 30.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.0%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 16.5. |
Forecast for FY25:
Morgans forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 31.00 cents and EPS of 48.70 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 48.6, implying annual growth of 6.8%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 31.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.2%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.5. |
Market Sentiment: 0.5
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Overnight Price: $2.22
Citi rates NSR as Buy (1) -
The year ahead should see interest rates peaking and central banks cutting rates from the second half onwards, argues Citi. One of the consequences is renewed interest for A-REITs from investors.
The broker includes two general sector warnings; asset values remain under pressure and higher interest rates continue to create earnings risks for segments of the industry.
Citi remains constructive of the structural growth in Industrial, Self-Storage, Land-lease and housing sectors, while Retail is seen as "relatively supported" in the short term.
A-REITs have already rallied, leading Citi to prefer "structural growth at relatively reasonable value", with the analysts nominating Goodman Group, National Storage, Lifestyle Communities, Ingenia Communities and Stockland among sector favourites.
As investor focus turns towards results and the earnings growth outlook into FY25, Citi believes these stocks will continue to remain attractive.
The price target for National Storage REIT remains intact at $2.60, alongside a Buy rating. This update was released on January 4.
Target price is $2.60 Current Price is $2.22 Difference: $0.38
If NSR meets the Citi target it will return approximately 17% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $2.33, suggesting upside of 4.9% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY24:
Citi forecasts a full year FY24 EPS of 12.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 11.3, implying annual growth of -56.2%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 10.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.8%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 19.6. |
Forecast for FY25:
Citi forecasts a full year FY25 EPS of 12.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 11.9, implying annual growth of 5.3%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 11.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.1%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 18.7. |
Market Sentiment: 0.0
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Overnight Price: $13.36
Ord Minnett rates NXT as Downgrade to Lighten from Hold (4) -
Ord Minnett (whitelabeling Morningstar) is clearly not a fan of NextDC, which is seen as having no moat and -essentially- no advantages as a business over its competitors and operational threats.
While demand for data and data centres is growing rapidly, the broker highlights competitors are investing heavily to capture that demand.
Downgrade to Lighten from Hold. Fair value assessment is $12.00.
Target price is $12.00 Current Price is $13.36 Difference: minus $1.36 (current price is over target).
If NXT meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately minus 10% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).
Current consensus price target is $14.81, suggesting upside of 12.4% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY24:
Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 5.60 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is -10.2, implying annual growth of N/A. Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is N/A. |
Forecast for FY25:
Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 1.10 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is -14.5, implying annual growth of N/A. Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is N/A. |
Market Sentiment: 0.7
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
PBP PROBIOTEC LIMITED
Pharmaceuticals & Biotech/Lifesciences
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Overnight Price: $2.89
Morgans rates PBP as Downgrade to Hold from Add (3) -
Probiotec has received a take-over approach from Indonesian pharmaceutical company Pyridam, with the board approving the proposed full acquisition at $3 per share.
Morgans awaits further developments and has downgraded to Hold from Add, as is custom within such a context. Target drops to $3 from $3.15.
This update was released in December.
Target price is $3.00 Current Price is $2.89 Difference: $0.11
If PBP meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 4% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY24:
Morgans forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 5.20 cents and EPS of 19.00 cents. |
Forecast for FY25:
Morgans forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 7.10 cents and EPS of 21.00 cents. |
Market Sentiment: 0.0
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Overnight Price: $10.93
Morgans rates PXA as Hold (3) -
A general sector re-assessment of non-bank financial services providers in Australia has triggered changes to forecasts on mark-to-market updates and a general re-appraisal of the sector's growth outlook, including adjustments for equity markets, bond yields and currency moves.
The broker's preferred sector Add calls are QBE Insurance, Computershare, Suncorp Group, Tyro Payments and Generation Development Group.
The price target for Pexa Group gained 1c to $11.66. Hold rating retained. This update was released on January 2.
Target price is $11.66 Current Price is $10.93 Difference: $0.73
If PXA meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 7% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $14.26, suggesting upside of 32.9% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY24:
Morgans forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 22.80 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 23.6, implying annual growth of N/A. Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 45.5. |
Forecast for FY25:
Morgans forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 36.40 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 35.2, implying annual growth of 49.2%. Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 30.5. |
Market Sentiment: 0.7
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
QAN QANTAS AIRWAYS LIMITED
Travel, Leisure & Tourism
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Overnight Price: $5.28
Ord Minnett rates QAN as Hold (3) -
As Qantas Airways' profitability is "normalising" post covid, Ord Minnett is happy to retain its fair value estimate for the airline at $6.10.
As this process plays out, the expectation is that prior, pre-covid industry burdens will return. Forecasts have been lowered.
Ord Minnett also reminds investors the fleet of more than 300 planes requires substantial capital investment in the years ahead.
Hold. This update was issued in December.
Target price is $6.10 Current Price is $5.28 Difference: $0.82
If QAN meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 16% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $7.18, suggesting upside of 35.8% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY24:
Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 72.80 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 94.6, implying annual growth of -1.5%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 1.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.3%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 5.6. |
Forecast for FY25:
Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 29.00 cents and EPS of 97.20 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 103.5, implying annual growth of 9.4%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 23.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.4%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 5.1. |
Market Sentiment: 0.7
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Overnight Price: $15.04
Morgans rates QBE as Add (1) -
A general sector re-assessment of non-bank financial services providers in Australia has triggered changes to forecasts on mark-to-market updates and a general re-appraisal of the sector's growth outlook, including adjustments for equity markets, bond yields and currency moves.
The broker's preferred sector Add calls are QBE Insurance, Computershare, Suncorp Group, Tyro Payments and Generation Development Group.
The price target for QBE Insurance has slightly increased to $17.56 from $17.46. Morgans suspects there might be room for a positive surprise for general insurers short term.This update was released on January 2.
Target price is $17.56 Current Price is $15.04 Difference: $2.52
If QBE meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 17% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $17.31, suggesting upside of 14.9% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in December.
Forecast for FY23:
Morgans forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 98.05 cents and EPS of 130.19 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 134.0, implying annual growth of N/A. Current consensus DPS estimate is 99.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.6%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 11.2. |
Forecast for FY24:
Morgans forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 135.77 cents and EPS of 172.42 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 176.3, implying annual growth of 31.6%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 122.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 8.1%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 8.5. |
This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.
Market Sentiment: 0.8
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Overnight Price: $1.63
Citi rates QRI as Buy (1) -
The year ahead should see interest rates peaking and central banks cutting rates from the second half onwards, argues Citi. One of the consequences is renewed interest for A-REITs from investors.
The broker includes two general sector warnings; asset values remain under pressure and higher interest rates continue to create earnings risks for segments of the industry.
Citi remains constructive of the structural growth in Industrial, Self-Storage, Land-lease and housing sectors, while Retail is seen as "relatively supported" in the short term.
A-REITs have already rallied, leading Citi to prefer "structural growth at relatively reasonable value", with the analysts nominating Goodman Group, National Storage, Lifestyle Communities, Ingenia Communities and Stockland among sector favourites.
As investor focus turns towards results and the earnings growth outlook into FY25, Citi believes these stocks will continue to remain attractive.
The price target for Qualitas Real Estate Income Fund remains $1.60, alongside a Buy rating. This update was released on January 4.
Target price is $1.60 Current Price is $1.63 Difference: minus $0.03 (current price is over target).
If QRI meets the Citi target it will return approximately minus 2% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY24:
Citi forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 14.00 cents and EPS of 14.00 cents. |
Forecast for FY25:
Citi forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 14.00 cents and EPS of 14.00 cents. |
Market Sentiment: 1.0
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Citi rates RGN as Buy (1) -
The year ahead should see interest rates peaking and central banks cutting rates from the second half onwards, argues Citi. One of the consequences is renewed interest for A-REITs from investors.
The broker includes two general sector warnings; asset values remain under pressure and higher interest rates continue to create earnings risks for segments of the industry.
Citi remains constructive of the structural growth in Industrial, Self-Storage, Land-lease and housing sectors, while Retail is seen as "relatively supported" in the short term.
A-REITs have already rallied, leading Citi to prefer "structural growth at relatively reasonable value", with the analysts nominating Goodman Group, National Storage, Lifestyle Communities, Ingenia Communities and Stockland among sector favourites.
As investor focus turns towards results and the earnings growth outlook into FY25, Citi believes these stocks will continue to remain attractive.
The price target for Region Group remains $2.60, alongside a Buy rating. This update was released on January 4.
Target price is $2.60 Current Price is $2.20 Difference: $0.4
If RGN meets the Citi target it will return approximately 18% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $2.41, suggesting upside of 10.7% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY24:
Citi forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 13.70 cents and EPS of 16.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 15.6, implying annual growth of N/A. Current consensus DPS estimate is 13.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.3%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.0. |
Forecast for FY25:
Citi forecasts a full year FY25 EPS of 17.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 15.6, implying annual growth of N/A. Current consensus DPS estimate is 13.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.3%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.0. |
Market Sentiment: 0.2
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Citi rates SCG as Neutral (3) -
The year ahead should see interest rates peaking and central banks cutting rates from the second half onwards, argues Citi. One of the consequences is renewed interest for A-REITs from investors.
The broker includes two general sector warnings; asset values remain under pressure and higher interest rates continue to create earnings risks for segments of the industry.
Citi remains constructive of the structural growth in Industrial, Self-Storage, Land-lease and housing sectors, while Retail is seen as "relatively supported" in the short term.
A-REITs have already rallied, leading Citi to prefer "structural growth at relatively reasonable value", with the analysts nominating Goodman Group, National Storage, Lifestyle Communities, Ingenia Communities and Stockland among sector favourites.
As investor focus turns towards results and the earnings growth outlook into FY25, Citi believes these stocks will continue to remain attractive.
The price target for Scentre Group has been retained at $2.95, alongside a Neutral rating. This update was released on January 4.
Target price is $2.95 Current Price is $2.94 Difference: $0.01
If SCG meets the Citi target it will return approximately 0% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $2.92, suggesting downside of -0.5% (ex-dividends)
Forecast for FY23:
Current consensus EPS estimate is 20.5, implying annual growth of 253.4%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 16.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.7%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.3. |
Forecast for FY24:
Citi forecasts a full year FY24 EPS of 22.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 21.2, implying annual growth of 3.4%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 16.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.8%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.8. |
Market Sentiment: 0.1
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Overnight Price: $14.19
Citi rates SGM as Downgrade to Sell from Neutral (5) -
Citi remains sceptical about the outlook for Sims and has thus downgraded to Sell from Neutral following a rise in share price.
It is the broker's view that global growth is poised for a slow down, with China's steel overproduction to continue. The latter should depress steel prices in the ASEAN region, as well as HRC spreads.
Ex-China steel production is expected to remain below-trend.
US prime scrap has risen to a price premium to pig iron from Brazil, which explains the share price rally, but Citi questions the sustainability of it all.
Target price retained at $14.30. This update was released on January 4.
Target price is $14.30 Current Price is $14.19 Difference: $0.11
If SGM meets the Citi target it will return approximately 1% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $13.90, suggesting downside of -1.3% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY24:
Citi forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 23.00 cents and EPS of 54.90 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 37.0, implying annual growth of -60.5%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 23.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.7%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 38.1. |
Forecast for FY25:
Citi forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 42.00 cents and EPS of 102.50 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 101.4, implying annual growth of 174.1%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 45.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.3%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.9. |
Market Sentiment: -0.5
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Overnight Price: $4.34
Citi rates SGP as Buy (1) -
The year ahead should see interest rates peaking and central banks cutting rates from the second half onwards, argues Citi. One of the consequences is renewed interest for A-REITs from investors.
The broker includes two general sector warnings; asset values remain under pressure and higher interest rates continue to create earnings risks for segments of the industry.
Citi remains constructive of the structural growth in Industrial, Self-Storage, Land-lease and housing sectors, while Retail is seen as "relatively supported" in the short term.
A-REITs have already rallied, leading Citi to prefer "structural growth at relatively reasonable value", with the analysts nominating Goodman Group, National Storage, Lifestyle Communities, Ingenia Communities and Stockland among sector favourites.
As investor focus turns towards results and the earnings growth outlook into FY25, Citi believes these stocks will continue to remain attractive.
The price target for Stockland has remained at $5.10, alongside a Buy rating. This update was released on January 4.
Target price is $5.10 Current Price is $4.34 Difference: $0.76
If SGP meets the Citi target it will return approximately 18% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $4.53, suggesting upside of 4.2% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY24:
Citi forecasts a full year FY24 EPS of 32.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 30.8, implying annual growth of 66.8%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 25.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.7%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.1. |
Forecast for FY25:
Citi forecasts a full year FY25 EPS of 35.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 33.0, implying annual growth of 7.1%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 26.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.0%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.2. |
Market Sentiment: 0.4
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Overnight Price: $0.91
Morgan Stanley rates SIG as Equal-weight (3) -
Following the reversed take-over agreement between Sigma Healthcare and key partner Chemist Warehouse, Morgan Stanley believes investors will price in bull case scenarios, at least until a definitive outcome is known about the proposed transaction.
Among the conclusions drawn are that Sigma Healthcare's valuation looks stretched without the Chemist Warehouse contract. Both partners are counting on -$60m in annual synergies.
Morgan Stanley has bumped up its price target to 94c in the meantime (was 75c). Equal-weight rating with an In-Line sector view. This update was released on January 4.
Target price is $0.94 Current Price is $0.91 Difference: $0.03
If SIG meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately 3% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $0.86, suggesting downside of -6.3% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in January.
Forecast for FY24:
Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 0.80 cents and EPS of 1.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 0.6, implying annual growth of 233.3%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 0.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.0%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 153.3. |
Forecast for FY25:
Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 1.50 cents and EPS of 2.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 2.2, implying annual growth of 266.7%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 1.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.4%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 41.8. |
Market Sentiment: 0.0
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Overnight Price: $13.99
Morgans rates SUN as Add (1) -
A general sector re-assessment of non-bank financial services providers in Australia has triggered changes to forecasts on mark-to-market updates and a general re-appraisal of the sector's growth outlook, including adjustments for equity markets, bond yields and currency moves.
The broker's preferred sector Add calls are QBE Insurance, Computershare, Suncorp Group, Tyro Payments and Generation Development Group.
The price target for Suncorp Group has increased to $15.07 from $14.55. This update was released on January 2.
Target price is $15.07 Current Price is $13.99 Difference: $1.08
If SUN meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 8% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $15.31, suggesting upside of 9.8% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY24:
Morgans forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 75.10 cents and EPS of 108.60 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 107.7, implying annual growth of 18.5%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 75.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.4%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.0. |
Forecast for FY25:
Morgans forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 83.00 cents and EPS of 111.70 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 111.1, implying annual growth of 3.2%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 85.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.1%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.6. |
Market Sentiment: 0.8
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Overnight Price: $0.78
Morgans rates TAH as Add (1) -
In the latest news (December), Tabcorp Holdings will be the sole operator of retail wagering in Victoria for a period of 20 years, now its Victorian Wagering Licence has been renewed exclusively.
Morgans is not surprised by the exclusivity or the renewal, but the favourable terms of the new agreement have come as a positive surprise.
Hence, Morgans is referring to a "significant victory". In forecast terms, costs have been reduced, and in combination with an improved tax structure, have pushed up prospective margins to 10%-12%.
The offset comes via higher interest assumptions. The end result is still for lower EPS forecasts in FY25 and FY26. Price target gains 10c to $1.10. Add rating retained.
This update was released in December.
Target price is $1.10 Current Price is $0.78 Difference: $0.32
If TAH meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 41% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $1.07, suggesting upside of 35.9% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY24:
Morgans forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 1.00 cents and EPS of 2.20 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 2.3, implying annual growth of -21.5%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 1.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.4%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 34.3. |
Forecast for FY25:
Morgans forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 3.00 cents and EPS of 4.60 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 5.4, implying annual growth of 134.8%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 3.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.9%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.6. |
Market Sentiment: 0.5
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Overnight Price: $4.69
Ord Minnett rates TLC as Upgrade to Accumulate from Hold (2) -
While describing Lottery Corp as having a wide-moat, with the company poised to dominate lotteries in Australia, Ord Minnett also acknowledges sales volumes have been abnormally soft.
The latter should translate into a rather soft H1 performance, estimated -7% below last year's performance. Oz Lotto, with sales down -20%, is the biggest drag to date, points out the broker.
With long term forecasts remaining intact, the analyst has reduced short term estimates. Fair value assessment remains $5. Upgrade to Accumulate from Hold.
This update was issued in December.
Target price is $5.00 Current Price is $4.69 Difference: $0.31
If TLC meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 7% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $5.38, suggesting upside of 15.1% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY24:
Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 14.00 cents and EPS of 14.90 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 16.7, implying annual growth of 40.3%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 16.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.5%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 28.0. |
Forecast for FY25:
Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 17.00 cents and EPS of 17.90 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 19.0, implying annual growth of 13.8%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 18.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.9%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 24.6. |
Market Sentiment: 0.8
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Overnight Price: $4.99
Macquarie rates TPG as Outperform (1) -
Macquarie has returned from research restriction with an Outperform rating and $5.40 price target, highlighting TPG Telecom is offering an attractive dividend yield and with its growth outlook (3 years) supported by improving mobile market dynamics (assisted by rational pricing).
The broker is anticipating a "solid" result in February. The explicit warning is that typical accountancy definitions might make the result appear weaker than it actually is.
Forecasts have been slightly increased for FY23 and FY24 (and there is more chatter about your typical accountancy practices and differences).
Target price is $5.40 Current Price is $4.99 Difference: $0.41
If TPG meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 8% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $5.57, suggesting upside of 10.5% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in December.
Forecast for FY23:
Macquarie forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 18.00 cents and EPS of 14.30 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 17.7, implying annual growth of -35.9%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 18.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.7%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 28.5. |
Forecast for FY24:
Macquarie forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 18.00 cents and EPS of 17.70 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 20.6, implying annual growth of 16.4%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 19.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.9%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 24.5. |
Market Sentiment: 0.3
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
TYR TYRO PAYMENTS LIMITED
Business & Consumer Credit
More Research Tools In Stock Analysis - click HERE
Overnight Price: $1.01
Morgans rates TYR as Add (1) -
A general sector re-assessment of non-bank financial services providers in Australia has triggered changes to forecasts on mark-to-market updates and a general re-appraisal of the sector's growth outlook, including adjustments for equity markets, bond yields and currency moves.
The broker's preferred sector Add calls are QBE Insurance, Computershare, Suncorp Group, Tyro Payments and Generation Development Group.
The price target for Tyro Payments has dropped to $1.61 from $1.77. Morgans suspects upside risk to prevail for the company heading into the February results season. This update was released on January 2.
Target price is $1.61 Current Price is $1.01 Difference: $0.6
If TYR meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 59% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $1.68, suggesting upside of 69.9% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY24:
Morgans forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 3.10 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 1.7, implying annual growth of 46.6%. Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 58.2. |
Forecast for FY25:
Morgans forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 4.40 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 3.3, implying annual growth of 94.1%. Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 30.0. |
Market Sentiment: 0.7
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Overnight Price: $2.01
Citi rates VCX as Neutral (3) -
The year ahead should see interest rates peaking and central banks cutting rates from the second half onwards, argues Citi. One of the consequences is renewed interest for A-REITs from investors.
The broker includes two general sector warnings; asset values remain under pressure and higher interest rates continue to create earnings risks for segments of the industry.
Citi remains constructive of the structural growth in Industrial, Self-Storage, Land-lease and housing sectors, while Retail is seen as "relatively supported" in the short term.
A-REITs have already rallied, leading Citi to prefer "structural growth at relatively reasonable value", with the analysts nominating Goodman Group, National Storage, Lifestyle Communities, Ingenia Communities and Stockland among sector favourites.
As investor focus turns towards results and the earnings growth outlook into FY25, Citi believes these stocks will continue to remain attractive.
The price target for Vicinity Centres remains at $2, alongside a Neutral rating. This update was released on January 4.
Separately: As shopping centres landlord Vicinity Centres is rolling out new development in Chatswood Chase and Chadstone through FY24 and FY25, Citi points out there will be negative consequences for metrics including earnings growth and finance costs.
The broker maintains its forecast for strong potential earnings growth in FY26, followed by organic growth thereafter.
Target price has been retained at $2. Rating Neutral. This update was issued in December.
Target price is $2.00 Current Price is $2.01 Difference: minus $0.01 (current price is over target).
If VCX meets the Citi target it will return approximately minus 0% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).
Current consensus price target is $1.90, suggesting downside of -5.3% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY24:
Citi forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 11.70 cents and EPS of 14.20 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 13.4, implying annual growth of 124.8%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 11.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.9%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.0. |
Forecast for FY25:
Citi forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 11.70 cents and EPS of 15.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 14.3, implying annual growth of 6.7%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 12.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.1%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.1. |
Market Sentiment: 0.0
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Overnight Price: $1.97
Macquarie rates WGX as Outperform (1) -
Macquarie saw Westgold Resources releasing a rather mixed market update with stronger realised pricing compensating for a weaker production in Q2.
Management did confirm the company remains on track to achieve FY24 production guidance, the broker highlights. Full Q1 metrics will be provided on January 31.
Macquarie also highlights the balance sheet remains "strong". Outperform rating retained. Target $2.50.
Target price is $2.50 Current Price is $1.97 Difference: $0.53
If WGX meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 27% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY24:
Macquarie forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 1.30 cents and EPS of 22.30 cents. |
Forecast for FY25:
Macquarie forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 2.00 cents and EPS of 24.50 cents. |
Market Sentiment: 1.0
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Overnight Price: $106.34
Citi rates XRO as Buy (1) -
Buy rating retained with a price target of $129.40 as Citi observes key competitor Intuit has raised its prices in the UK. This, the broker suggests, shows competition remains rational.
Intuit's offering is still cheaper than Xero's and Citi believes Intuit is aiming at accountants and bookkeepers, which are the key channel for Xero.
The Investor Day, scheduled for February 29, is seen as the next catalyst for the share price. This update was released on January 1.
Target price is $129.40 Current Price is $106.34 Difference: $23.06
If XRO meets the Citi target it will return approximately 22% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $110.62, suggesting upside of 4.9% (ex-dividends)
Forecast for FY24:
Current consensus EPS estimate is 60.5, implying annual growth of N/A. Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 174.3. |
Forecast for FY25:
Current consensus EPS estimate is 100.0, implying annual growth of 65.3%. Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 105.5. |
This company reports in NZD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.
Market Sentiment: 0.2
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Today's Price Target Changes
Company | Last Price | Broker | New Target | Prev Target | Change | |
BUB | Bubs Australia | $0.13 | Citi | 0.13 | 0.20 | -35.00% |
CBL | Control Bionics | $0.05 | Morgans | 0.06 | 0.09 | -35.56% |
CGF | Challenger | $6.51 | Morgans | 7.25 | 7.14 | 1.54% |
CHC | Charter Hall | $11.32 | Citi | 13.50 | 14.00 | -3.57% |
CPU | Computershare | $24.50 | Morgans | 27.21 | 28.28 | -3.78% |
CQR | Charter Hall Retail REIT | $3.51 | Citi | 4.00 | 4.10 | -2.44% |
DMP | Domino's Pizza Enterprises | $56.28 | Morgan Stanley | 70.00 | 65.00 | 7.69% |
GDG | Generation Development | $1.69 | Morgans | 1.91 | 1.70 | 12.35% |
GMG | Goodman Group | $24.02 | Citi | 25.50 | 24.50 | 4.08% |
GPT | GPT Group | $4.48 | Citi | 4.90 | 5.00 | -2.00% |
GQG | GQG Partners | $1.68 | Morgans | 2.05 | 1.90 | 7.89% |
IAG | Insurance Australia Group | $5.84 | Morgans | 6.00 | 6.24 | -3.85% |
KSL | Kina Securities | $0.80 | Morgans | 1.14 | 1.09 | 4.59% |
MFG | Magellan Financial | $8.91 | Citi | 8.10 | 7.00 | 15.71% |
MGR | Mirvac Group | $2.03 | Citi | 2.20 | 2.50 | -12.00% |
MP1 | Megaport | $8.51 | Citi | 12.05 | 12.25 | -1.63% |
MPL | Medibank Private | $3.69 | Morgans | 3.76 | 3.74 | 0.53% |
MTO | Motorcycle Holdings | $2.10 | Morgans | 1.95 | 2.60 | -25.00% |
NHF | nib Holdings | $7.53 | Morgans | 8.47 | 8.38 | 1.07% |
PBP | Probiotec | $2.89 | Morgans | 3.00 | 3.15 | -4.76% |
PXA | Pexa Group | $10.73 | Morgans | 11.66 | 11.65 | 0.09% |
QBE | QBE Insurance | $15.07 | Morgans | 17.56 | 17.46 | 0.57% |
SIG | Sigma Healthcare | $0.92 | Morgan Stanley | 0.94 | 0.75 | 25.33% |
SUN | Suncorp Group | $13.95 | Morgans | 15.07 | 14.55 | 3.57% |
TAH | Tabcorp Holdings | $0.79 | Morgans | 1.10 | 1.00 | 10.00% |
TPG | TPG Telecom | $5.04 | Macquarie | 5.40 | N/A | - |
TYR | Tyro Payments | $0.99 | Morgans | 1.61 | 1.77 | -9.04% |
WGX | Westgold Resources | $1.94 | Macquarie | 2.50 | 2.40 | 4.17% |
Summaries
ABG | Abacus Group | Buy - Citi | Overnight Price $1.12 |
AIA | Auckland International Airport | Hold - Ord Minnett | Overnight Price $7.83 |
ASK | Abacus Storage King | Buy - Citi | Overnight Price $1.08 |
BUB | Bubs Australia | Neutral - Citi | Overnight Price $0.13 |
BWP | BWP Trust | Sell - Citi | Overnight Price $3.45 |
BXB | Brambles | Hold - Ord Minnett | Overnight Price $13.67 |
CBA | CommBank | Underweight - Morgan Stanley | Overnight Price $112.99 |
CBL | Control Bionics | Hold - Morgans | Overnight Price $0.05 |
CEH | Coast Entertainment | Upgrade to Accumulate from Hold - Ord Minnett | Overnight Price $0.44 |
CGF | Challenger | Add - Morgans | Overnight Price $6.63 |
Downgrade to Hold from Accumulate - Ord Minnett | Overnight Price $6.63 | ||
CHC | Charter Hall | Buy - Citi | Overnight Price $11.37 |
CKF | Collins Foods | Initiation of coverage with Overweight - Morgan Stanley | Overnight Price $11.83 |
CLW | Charter Hall Long WALE REIT | Neutral - Citi | Overnight Price $3.63 |
CPU | Computershare | Add - Morgans | Overnight Price $24.65 |
CQR | Charter Hall Retail REIT | Buy - Citi | Overnight Price $3.52 |
CSR | CSR | Downgrade to Sell from Hold - Ord Minnett | Overnight Price $6.40 |
DMP | Domino's Pizza Enterprises | Overweight - Morgan Stanley | Overnight Price $55.74 |
DXS | Dexus | Neutral - Citi | Overnight Price $7.54 |
GDG | Generation Development | Add - Morgans | Overnight Price $1.75 |
GMG | Goodman Group | Buy - Citi | Overnight Price $24.02 |
GOR | Gold Road Resources | Neutral - Macquarie | Overnight Price $1.71 |
GOZ | Growthpoint Properties Australia | Buy - Citi | Overnight Price $2.37 |
GPT | GPT Group | Buy - Citi | Overnight Price $4.48 |
GQG | GQG Partners | Add - Morgans | Overnight Price $1.66 |
IAG | Insurance Australia Group | Downgrade to Hold from Add - Morgans | Overnight Price $5.73 |
INA | Ingenia Communities | Buy - Citi | Overnight Price $4.39 |
JDO | Judo Capital | Downgrade to Hold from Accumulate - Ord Minnett | Overnight Price $1.00 |
JIN | Jumbo Interactive | Hold - Ord Minnett | Overnight Price $13.30 |
KSL | Kina Securities | Add - Morgans | Overnight Price $0.80 |
LIC | Lifestyle Communities | Buy - Citi | Overnight Price $17.77 |
LLC | Lendlease Group | Buy - Citi | Overnight Price $7.27 |
MAF | MA Financial | Add - Morgans | Overnight Price $5.60 |
MEI | Meteoric Resources | Buy - Bell Potter | Overnight Price $0.29 |
MFG | Magellan Financial | Downgrade to Sell from Neutral - Citi | Overnight Price $9.65 |
MGR | Mirvac Group | Buy - Citi | Overnight Price $2.02 |
MP1 | Megaport | Buy - Citi | Overnight Price $8.58 |
MPL | Medibank Private | Hold - Morgans | Overnight Price $3.67 |
MTO | Motorcycle Holdings | Downgrade to Hold from Add - Morgans | Overnight Price $2.03 |
NHF | nib Holdings | Add - Morgans | Overnight Price $7.56 |
NSR | National Storage REIT | Buy - Citi | Overnight Price $2.22 |
NXT | NextDC | Downgrade to Lighten from Hold - Ord Minnett | Overnight Price $13.36 |
PBP | Probiotec | Downgrade to Hold from Add - Morgans | Overnight Price $2.89 |
PXA | Pexa Group | Hold - Morgans | Overnight Price $10.93 |
QAN | Qantas Airways | Hold - Ord Minnett | Overnight Price $5.28 |
QBE | QBE Insurance | Add - Morgans | Overnight Price $15.04 |
QRI | Qualitas Real Estate Income Fund | Buy - Citi | Overnight Price $1.63 |
RGN | Region Group | Buy - Citi | Overnight Price $2.20 |
SCG | Scentre Group | Neutral - Citi | Overnight Price $2.94 |
SGM | Sims | Downgrade to Sell from Neutral - Citi | Overnight Price $14.19 |
SGP | Stockland | Buy - Citi | Overnight Price $4.34 |
SIG | Sigma Healthcare | Equal-weight - Morgan Stanley | Overnight Price $0.91 |
SUN | Suncorp Group | Add - Morgans | Overnight Price $13.99 |
TAH | Tabcorp Holdings | Add - Morgans | Overnight Price $0.78 |
TLC | Lottery Corp | Upgrade to Accumulate from Hold - Ord Minnett | Overnight Price $4.69 |
TPG | TPG Telecom | Outperform - Macquarie | Overnight Price $4.99 |
TYR | Tyro Payments | Add - Morgans | Overnight Price $1.01 |
VCX | Vicinity Centres | Neutral - Citi | Overnight Price $2.01 |
WGX | Westgold Resources | Outperform - Macquarie | Overnight Price $1.97 |
XRO | Xero | Buy - Citi | Overnight Price $106.34 |
RATING SUMMARY
Rating | No. Of Recommendations |
1. Buy | 33 |
2. Accumulate | 2 |
3. Hold | 19 |
4. Reduce | 1 |
5. Sell | 5 |
Monday 08 January 2024
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Disclaimer:
The content of this information does in no way reflect the opinions of
FNArena, or of its journalists. In fact we don't have any opinion about
the stock market, its value, future direction or individual shares. FNArena solely reports about what the main experts in the market note, believe
and comment on. By doing so we believe we provide intelligent investors
with a valuable tool that helps them in making up their own minds, reading
market trends and getting a feel for what is happening beneath the surface.
This document is provided for informational purposes only. It does not
constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy any security or other
financial instrument. FNArena employs very experienced journalists who
base their work on information believed to be reliable and accurate, though
no guarantee is given that the daily report is accurate or complete. Investors
should contact their personal adviser before making any investment decision.
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