Australian Broker Call

August 01, 2017

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COMPANIES DISCUSSED IN THIS ISSUE

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The number next to the symbol represents the number of brokers covering it for this report -(if more than 1)

Last Updated: 12:16 PM

Your daily news report on the latest recommendation, valuation, forecast and opinion changes.

This report includes concise but limited reviews of research recently published by Stockbrokers, which should be considered as information concerning likely market behaviour rather than advice on the securities mentioned. Do not act on the contents of this Report without first reading the important information included at the end.

For more info about the different terms used by stockbrokers, as well as the different methodologies behind similar sounding ratings, download our guide HERE

Today's Upgrades and Downgrades
GMG - GOODMAN GRP Upgrade to Hold from Lighten Ord Minnett
JHC - JAPARA HEALTHCARE Downgrade to Neutral from Buy UBS
LLC - LEND LEASE CORP Downgrade to Hold from Accumulate Ord Minnett
AJD  ASIA PACIFIC DATA CENTRE GROUP

REITs

Overnight Price: $1.88

UPDATED

Morgans rates AJD as Hold (3) -

NextDC ((NXT)) has announced an unconditional, all-in cash off-market takeover offer at $1.87. The company has also stated it may buy units on market from July 31 at or below the offer price.

360 Capital ((TGP)), a 19.9% holder of Asia Pacific Data Centre, originally made a conditional proposal for all units at $1.80 and triggered the bidding war.

Morgans retains a Hold rating while these competing bids are underway. Target is $1.66. The broker recommends investors await further developments as the competing bids are not final.

Target price is $1.66 Current Price is $1.88 Difference: minus $0.22 (current price is over target).
If AJD meets the Morgans target it will return approximately minus 12% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY17:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY17 dividend of 9.70 cents and EPS of 10.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.16%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 18.80.

Forecast for FY18:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 9.90 cents and EPS of 10.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.27%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 18.80.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

AZJ  AURIZON HOLDINGS LIMITED

Transportation & Logistics

Overnight Price: $5.02

Morgans rates AZJ as Hold (3) -

FY17 unaudited operating earnings were in line with expectations but Morgans observes the significant impairment of the bulk business shows the company's concerns regarding the outlook.

The company's pre-released unaudited EBIT for FY17 of $836m is down -4%. The result was delivered from a -4-5% decline in above-rail volumes.

Morgans retains a target of $4.92. Hold rating retained.

Target price is $4.92 Current Price is $5.02 Difference: minus $0.1 (current price is over target).
If AZJ meets the Morgans target it will return approximately minus 2% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $4.84, suggesting downside of -5.0% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY17:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY17 dividend of 23.00 cents and EPS of 36.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.58%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.94.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 19.7, implying annual growth of 479.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 24.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 25.9.

Forecast for FY18:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 25.00 cents and EPS of 25.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.98%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 20.08.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 26.5, implying annual growth of 34.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 26.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 19.2.

Market Sentiment: -0.6

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

AZY  ANTIPA MINERALS LIMITED

Mining

Overnight Price: $0.02

UPDATED

Morgans rates AZY as Add (1) -

Morgans observes drilling continues at Minyari and WACA and resource extensions are the key. The company is also free-carried in a joint venture with Rio Tinto ((RIO)) which has commenced exploration at Citadel.

The broker remains attracted to the company's large land holding in the Patterson province but suggests the stock is only suitable for investors with a high-risk tolerance. Speculative Add retained. Target is reduced to 3.6c from 3.7c.

Target price is $0.04 Current Price is $0.02 Difference: $0.014
If AZY meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 64% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

BDR  BEADELL RESOURCES LIMITED

Gold & Silver

Overnight Price: $0.19

UPDATED

Citi rates BDR as Neutral (3) -

And yes, another disappointment was unleashed upon investors as Beadell reported its June quarter performance.

Citi analysts note management is taking measures, but a cautious approach seems but the right strategy given the company now has established a fairly consistent track record of disappointments.

Gold production in the quarter was no less than -30% below Citi's forecast. Neutral/High Risk rating retained as the price target tumbles to 22c from 28c.

Target price is $0.22 Current Price is $0.19 Difference: $0.035
If BDR meets the Citi target it will return approximately 19% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $0.25, suggesting upside of 30.2% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY17:

Citi forecasts a full year FY17 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 1.20 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 15.42.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 1.0, implying annual growth of -54.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 19.2.

Forecast for FY18:

Citi forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 1.00 cents and EPS of 2.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.41%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 6.85.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 3.4, implying annual growth of 240.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 0.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 5.6.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Macquarie rates BDR as Outperform (1) -

June quarter production was weak versus Macquarie's expectations. The emphasis has again shifted to the second half but this time delivery is more critical, as the company needs certain components of the mill upgrade to be in place before the dry season ends and cash pressures begin.

Outperform retained on the basis that both production and upgrades are delivered as planned. Target is reduced to $0.30 from $0.40.

Target price is $0.30 Current Price is $0.19 Difference: $0.115
If BDR meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 62% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $0.25, suggesting upside of 30.2% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY17:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY17 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 0.20 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 92.50.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 1.0, implying annual growth of -54.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 19.2.

Forecast for FY18:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 3.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 5.14.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 3.4, implying annual growth of 240.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 0.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 5.6.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

BXB  BRAMBLES LIMITED

Transportation & Logistics

Overnight Price: $9.24

Morgans rates BXB as Hold (3) -

While the company has withdrawn its FY19 target, Morgans still believes return on invested capital (ROIC) is an important metric for assessing the ability to allocate capital effectively and would like to see returns track upwards over time.

ROIC at the first half was down 140 basis points to 15.9%, a disappointing result in the broker's opinion. The broker suspects this may oscillate around current levels.

The company will report FY17 results on August 21. Hold  retained. Target is reduced to $9.71 from $10.53.

Target price is $9.71 Current Price is $9.24 Difference: $0.47
If BXB meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 5% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $10.42, suggesting upside of 12.1% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY17:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY17 dividend of 38.35 cents and EPS of 50.25 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.15%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 18.39.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 48.5, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 30.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 19.2.

Forecast for FY18:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 39.67 cents and EPS of 55.54 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.29%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 16.64.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 54.7, implying annual growth of 12.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 32.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 17.0.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

CCL  COCA-COLA AMATIL LIMITED

Food, Beverages & Tobacco

Overnight Price: $8.24

Deutsche Bank rates CCL as Hold (3) -

The NSW state govt has appointed an industry joint venture to come up with a container deposit scheme, which includes the country's major beverage companies, one being Amatil.

The broker considers Amatil's involvement a positive for Coke-Amatil but a CDS a clear negative. Even if beverage prices rise to pass on the cost, volumes will be impacted, the broker believes. Hold and $9.50 target retained.

Target price is $9.50 Current Price is $8.24 Difference: $1.26
If CCL meets the Deutsche Bank target it will return approximately 15% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $9.31, suggesting upside of 11.2% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY17:

Deutsche Bank forecasts a full year FY17 dividend of 50.00 cents and EPS of 56.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.07%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.71.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 54.4, implying annual growth of 68.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 46.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.4.

Forecast for FY18:

Deutsche Bank forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 51.00 cents and EPS of 58.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.19%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.21.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 56.1, implying annual growth of 3.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 46.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.9.

Market Sentiment: -0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


UPDATED

Macquarie rates CCL as Neutral (3) -

The NSW government intends to introduce its container deposit scheme on December 1, 2017. Container deposit schemes have also been proposed in Queensland and Western Australia, adding to those that exist in South Australia and Northern Territory.

Macquarie calculates the container deposit schemes are a headwind to earnings and already factors in a partial impact on forecasts. While the risk is to the downside for consensus expectations, the broker observes the company is well capitalised and trading at a discount to its global bottling peers.

Neutral retained. Price target is $9.29.

Target price is $9.29 Current Price is $8.24 Difference: $1.05
If CCL meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 13% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $9.31, suggesting upside of 11.2% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY17:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY17 dividend of 44.10 cents and EPS of 54.20 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.35%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.20.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 54.4, implying annual growth of 68.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 46.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.4.

Forecast for FY18:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 43.70 cents and EPS of 54.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.30%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.26.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 56.1, implying annual growth of 3.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 46.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.9.

Market Sentiment: -0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

EHE  ESTIA HEALTH LIMITED

Aged Care & Seniors

Overnight Price: $2.90

UPDATED

UBS rates EHE as Buy (1) -

UBS believes the company has a significant opportunity for earnings growth if it can build out its forward pipeline and better manage occupancy and costs.

The broker updates revenue and cost assumptions and reduces the target to $3.40 from $3.60. Buy.

Target price is $3.40 Current Price is $2.90 Difference: $0.5
If EHE meets the UBS target it will return approximately 17% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $2.98, suggesting upside of 3.9% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY17:

UBS forecasts a full year FY17 dividend of 7.00 cents and EPS of 16.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.41%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 18.13.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 21.4, implying annual growth of 41.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 12.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.4.

Forecast for FY18:

UBS forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 13.00 cents and EPS of 18.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.48%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 16.11.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 17.3, implying annual growth of -19.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 12.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 16.6.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

GMG  GOODMAN GROUP

Infra & Property Developers

Overnight Price: $7.96

Ord Minnett rates GMG as Upgrade to Hold from Lighten (3) -

Following an update to the model, Ord Minnett raises its recommendation to Hold from Lighten and lifts the target to $7.90 from $7.80.

Target price is $7.90 Current Price is $7.96 Difference: minus $0.06 (current price is over target).
If GMG meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately minus 1% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $8.19, suggesting upside of 2.6% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY17:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY17 dividend of 26.00 cents and EPS of 53.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.27%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.02.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 44.6, implying annual growth of -38.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 25.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 17.9.

Forecast for FY18:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 28.00 cents and EPS of 46.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.52%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 17.30.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 46.0, implying annual growth of 3.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 27.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 17.4.

Market Sentiment: 0.4

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

GPT  GPT

Infra & Property Developers

Overnight Price: $4.79

Deutsche Bank rates GPT as Hold (3) -

As was expected, GPT Wholesale Shopping Centre Fund has purchased another 25% stake in Highpoint. The broker considers the price at the high end of expectations, on an implied cap rate below other recent acquisitions.

The acquisition will be funded by debt but not force a capital raising, the broker notes. Hold retained, target rises to $4.82 from $4.81.

Target price is $4.82 Current Price is $4.79 Difference: $0.03
If GPT meets the Deutsche Bank target it will return approximately 1% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $5.12, suggesting upside of 6.4% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY17:

Deutsche Bank forecasts a full year FY17 dividend of 25.00 cents and EPS of 30.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.22%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.97.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 29.7, implying annual growth of -48.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 24.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 16.2.

Forecast for FY18:

Deutsche Bank forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 26.00 cents and EPS of 32.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.43%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.97.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 31.0, implying annual growth of 4.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 25.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.5.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

IFL  IOOF HOLDINGS LIMITED

Wealth Management & Investments

Overnight Price: $10.05

Credit Suisse rates IFL as Neutral (3) -

The company announced a -$40m goodwill impairment relating to its 42% holding in Perennial Value Management, which will affect the FY17 result. The impairment is a non-cash item and will not affect net profit or the dividend.

Credit Suisse does not believe the impairment will have a major influence on the investment outlook. FY17 marks the return of meaningful flows to funds under management and the broker expects this to continue into FY18.

The company has potential upside from further cost reductions, mergers & acquisitions and/or leverage of the balance sheet. Yet, the broker retains longer-term concerns about the ability to maintain the net operating margin.

Neutral retained. Target is $10.00.

Target price is $10.00 Current Price is $10.05 Difference: minus $0.05 (current price is over target).
If IFL meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately minus 0% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $9.34, suggesting downside of -7.1% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY17:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY17 dividend of 52.00 cents and EPS of 55.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.17%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 18.27.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 54.5, implying annual growth of -17.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 52.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 18.4.

Forecast for FY18:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 57.00 cents and EPS of 64.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.67%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.70.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 58.9, implying annual growth of 8.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 53.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 17.1.

Market Sentiment: -0.2

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

IVC  INVOCARE LIMITED

Consumer Products & Services

Overnight Price: $13.90

Morgans rates IVC as Hold (3) -

Morgans expects first half operating earnings of $51.7m, implying 9% growth. The result is due August 16 and should be driven by an overall increase of 1% in the number of deaths in the company's core markets.

Hold rating retained. Target is lowered to $14.42 from $14.45.

Target price is $14.42 Current Price is $13.90 Difference: $0.52
If IVC meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 4% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $13.63, suggesting downside of -1.9% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY17:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY17 dividend of 44.00 cents and EPS of 53.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.17%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 26.23.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 53.9, implying annual growth of -16.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 45.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 25.8.

Forecast for FY18:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 49.00 cents and EPS of 58.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.53%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 23.97.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 57.9, implying annual growth of 7.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 48.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 24.0.

Market Sentiment: -0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

JHC  JAPARA HEALTHCARE LIMITED

Aged Care & Seniors

Overnight Price: $2.04

UBS rates JHC as Downgrade to Neutral from Buy (3) -

UBS believes the future is bright for Japara Healthcare. The company carries the most options on its balance sheet of the three listed players and a significant opportunity for margin upside.

While positive on long-run growth the broker envisages significant risk that FY17 guidance is missed, given the quantum of the turnaround required from the first half.

Rating is downgraded to Neutral from Buy.  Target is reduced to $2.15 from $2.40.

Target price is $2.15 Current Price is $2.04 Difference: $0.11
If JHC meets the UBS target it will return approximately 5% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $2.15, suggesting upside of 6.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY17:

UBS forecasts a full year FY17 dividend of 11.00 cents and EPS of 11.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.39%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 18.55.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 11.9, implying annual growth of 3.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 11.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 16.9.

Forecast for FY18:

UBS forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 12.00 cents and EPS of 12.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.88%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 17.00.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 12.2, implying annual growth of 2.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 12.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 16.5.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

JHG  JANUS HENDERSON GROUP PLC.

Wealth Management & Investments

Overnight Price: $41.55

UPDATED

Citi rates JHG as Neutral (3) -

Citi has updated its modeling for the merger company, making small changes to forecasts. The analysts speculate whether management is poised to upgrade guidance about how much in synergies can be achieved.

Underlying, the analysts think Henderson inflows are likely strong, while Janus is still experiencing net outflows. Target price has dropped to $43.65 from $45 (due to strong AUD). Neutral rating retained.

Target price is $43.65 Current Price is $41.55 Difference: $2.1
If JHG meets the Citi target it will return approximately 5% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $46.71, suggesting upside of 9.8% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY17:

Citi forecasts a full year FY17 dividend of 203.65 cents and EPS of 268.71 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.90%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.46.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 255.5, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 196.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 16.6.

Forecast for FY18:

Citi forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 248.61 cents and EPS of 325.44 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.98%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 12.77.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 317.9, implying annual growth of 24.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 236.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.4.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.6

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

KAR  KAROON GAS AUSTRALIA LIMITED

Crude Oil

Overnight Price: $1.35

Macquarie rates KAR as Outperform (1) -

The company has entered into a strategic partnership with DEA Deutsche Erdoel. The partnership will evaluate opportunities in the offshore Brazilian oil and gas assets.

DEA has been granted an option for a 50% non-operated interest over the Echidna and Kangaroo discoveries. Macquarie considers this a positive step for the company as it can obtain a carry on the development and reduce upfront capital commitments.

Outperform retained. Target is $2.10.

Target price is $2.10 Current Price is $1.35 Difference: $0.75
If KAR meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 56% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $1.98, suggesting upside of 45.9% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY17:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY17 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 10.80 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 12.50.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is -13.4, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is N/A.

Forecast for FY18:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 7.90 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 17.09.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is -7.1, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is N/A.

Market Sentiment: 0.7

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

LLC  LEND LEASE CORPORATION LIMITED

Infra & Property Developers

Overnight Price: $16.85

UPDATED

Ord Minnett rates LLC as Downgrade to Hold from Accumulate (3) -

Ord Minnett has revised earnings estimates and dividend forecasts, noting Lend Lease is reasonably well-positioned to deliver growth in earnings per share over coming years. Nevertheless, the share price has rallied over recent months, pushing up multiples and thus the broker downgrades to Hold from Accumulate.

Target is reduced to $17.00 from $17.20. Ord Minnett raises FY17 estimates by 1% and cuts FY18 by -2%. The broker's view on the company is underpinned by a substantial list of development projects and a solid construction backlog.

Target price is $17.00 Current Price is $16.85 Difference: $0.15
If LLC meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 1% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $16.94, suggesting upside of 1.1% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY17:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY17 dividend of 57.00 cents and EPS of 117.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.38%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.40.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 129.0, implying annual growth of 2.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 64.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.0.

Forecast for FY18:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 63.00 cents and EPS of 128.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.74%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.16.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 138.9, implying annual growth of 7.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 69.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.1.

Market Sentiment: 0.7

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

MDL  MINERAL DEPOSITS LIMITED

Mineral Sands

Overnight Price: $0.71

UPDATED

Morgans rates MDL as Add (1) -

The company reports positive free cash flow from its stakes in TiZir projects in the June quarter. With the re-financing of the bonds, Morgans reduces its discount to the valuation to -20% from -40%.

Add rating retained. Target rises to $0.88 from $0.71.

Target price is $0.88 Current Price is $0.71 Difference: $0.17
If MDL meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 24% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY17:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY17 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 1.72 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 41.30.

Forecast for FY18:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 1.10 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 64.55.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

MIN  MINERAL RESOURCES LIMITED

Iron Ore

Overnight Price: $12.27

Morgan Stanley rates MIN as Overweight (1) -

The company has reported a 64% increase to the Wodgina resource. Morgan Stanley observes, importantly, the indicated resource category now contains 43.5mt at 1.21% lithium dioxide and this is enough for a mine life of around 20 years.

Meanwhile, Mt Marion reports throughput and production yields surpassing nameplate production rates. Morgan Stanley observes the iron ore operations were -2-3% softer than forecast as weather affected the third and early in the fourth quarters.

Overweight retained. Target is $13.30. Industry view is Attractive.

Target price is $13.30 Current Price is $12.27 Difference: $1.03
If MIN meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately 8% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $13.27, suggesting upside of 5.1% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY17:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY17 dividend of 17.80 cents and EPS of 120.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.45%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 10.23.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 108.3, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 39.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 11.7.

Forecast for FY18:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 60.10 cents and EPS of 92.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.90%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.34.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 102.2, implying annual growth of -5.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 55.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.4.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

MLX  METALS X LIMITED

Tin

Overnight Price: $0.82

Macquarie rates MLX as Outperform (1) -

The company has secured a copper hedge for Nifty over the next 10 months. The hedge collar covers 40% of Macquarie's forecast production for Nifty and is around 5% above the broker's Australian dollar copper price forecast for FY18. Macquarie considers this a sensible development.

Completing the drill out and reserve upgrade remain the key near-term catalysts for Nifty. Outperform and $1.00 target retained.

Target price is $1.00 Current Price is $0.82 Difference: $0.185
If MLX meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 23% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY17:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY17 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 0.40 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 203.75.

Forecast for FY18:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 1.30 cents and EPS of 4.80 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.60%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 16.98.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

MML  MEDUSA MINING LIMITED

Gold & Silver

Overnight Price: $0.30

UPDATED

Citi rates MML as Neutral (3) -

Target price has fallen to 31c from 38c as Citi analysts prefer to stay cautious post the release of the June quarter production report.

It’s hard to be more constructive until completion of the E15 shaft, now expected for March quarter 2018, say the analysts.

Investors hoping for positive free cash flow and significant cash generation will have to wait until FY19 on Citi's projections. Neutral/High Risk rating retained.

Target price is $0.31 Current Price is $0.30 Difference: $0.015
If MML meets the Citi target it will return approximately 5% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $0.31, suggesting upside of 2.6% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY17:

Citi forecasts a full year FY17 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 18.65 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 1.58.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 32.9, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 0.9.

Forecast for FY18:

Citi forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 24.73 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 1.19.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

NXT  NEXTDC LIMITED

Cloud services

Overnight Price: $4.11

UPDATED

Deutsche Bank rates NXT as Buy (1) -

Next has increased its all-cash unconditional takeover bid for Asia Pacific Data Centres ((AJD)) to $1.87 from $1.85, which is a 4% premium to the price paid for 19.8% by 360 Capital ((TGP)) recently. Next owns 19.99%. The acquisition will be made out of cash reserves.

The increase in price increases the chance of success, the broker believes, but also exposes NextDC's desperation to secure its strategically important assets. 360 may wish to play games. The broker would rather see capital deployed on higher returning assets but also appreciates the importance of the data centre assets.

Buy and $4.60 target retained.

Target price is $4.60 Current Price is $4.11 Difference: $0.49
If NXT meets the Deutsche Bank target it will return approximately 12% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $4.83, suggesting upside of 17.3% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY17:

Deutsche Bank forecasts a full year FY17 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 8.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 51.38.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 6.3, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 65.4.

Forecast for FY18:

Deutsche Bank forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 6.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 68.50.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 5.0, implying annual growth of -20.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 82.4.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

ORG  ORIGIN ENERGY LIMITED

NatGas

Overnight Price: $6.92

Citi rates ORG as Neutral (3) -

Judging from Citi's commentary today, Origin's June quarter production report beat expectations on just about every metric.

The analysts point out APLNG is still producing above nameplate despite a 90-day lenders test completing. Estimates have been slightly raised, but the analysts would prefer a cheaper entry point.

Neutral rating retained. Target shifts to $7.44 from $7.34. The return of dividends is not expected until FY19.

Target price is $7.44 Current Price is $6.92 Difference: $0.52
If ORG meets the Citi target it will return approximately 8% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $7.52, suggesting upside of 5.5% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY17:

Citi forecasts a full year FY17 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 32.80 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 21.10.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 18.1, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 39.4.

Forecast for FY18:

Citi forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 54.90 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 12.60.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 51.1, implying annual growth of 182.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 9.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.9.

Market Sentiment: 0.4

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Deutsche Bank rates ORG as Hold (3) -

Origin's June Q production beat the broker by 12% thanks to outperformance at APLNG. Otway also exceeded expectations.

The broker has increased APLNG production assumptions. LNG pricing is expected to come under pressure, thus Origin's capacity to sell into a tight east coast domestic gas market offers high value monetisation of incremental gas volumes, the broker suggest.

Hold retained, target rises to $6.40 from $6.25.

Target price is $6.40 Current Price is $6.92 Difference: minus $0.52 (current price is over target).
If ORG meets the Deutsche Bank target it will return approximately minus 8% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $7.52, suggesting upside of 5.5% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY17:

Deutsche Bank forecasts a full year FY17 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 28.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 24.71.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 18.1, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 39.4.

Forecast for FY18:

Deutsche Bank forecasts a full year FY18 EPS of 39.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 17.74.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 51.1, implying annual growth of 182.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 9.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.9.

Market Sentiment: 0.4

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Macquarie rates ORG as No Rating (-1) -

APLNG had a strong June quarter, completing the two-train production test. Revenue was ahead of Macquarie's expectations for the project, with no capitalisation occurring.

Macquarie is restricted on rating and target at this stage.

Current Price is $6.92. Target price not assessed.

Current consensus price target is $7.52, suggesting upside of 5.5% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY17:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY17 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 34.90 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 19.83.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 18.1, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 39.4.

Forecast for FY18:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 20.00 cents and EPS of 43.30 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.89%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.98.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 51.1, implying annual growth of 182.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 9.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.9.

Market Sentiment: 0.4

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


UPDATED

Ord Minnett rates ORG as Accumulate (2) -

June quarter production revenue was below expectations because of weaker-than-expected pricing. APLNG assets performed strongly, exceeding full-year guidance which Ord Minnett believes bodes well ahead of the expected sale of Lattice Energy.

Overall, the broker retains a positive view on the stock, driven primarily by market dynamics that should have a positive impact on both the electricity and gas retailing businesses within energy markets.

Ord Minnett retains an Accumulate rating and $7.85 target.

Target price is $7.85 Current Price is $6.92 Difference: $0.93
If ORG meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 13% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $7.52, suggesting upside of 5.5% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY17:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY17 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 74.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 9.35.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 18.1, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 39.4.

Forecast for FY18:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 10.00 cents and EPS of 55.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.45%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 12.58.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 51.1, implying annual growth of 182.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 9.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.9.

Market Sentiment: 0.4

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


UBS rates ORG as Buy (1) -

APLNG achieved record production and successfully completed the 90-day production test. June quarter production for Origin Energy was 12% of ahead of the prior quarter but -3% below UBS estimates because of lower APLNG domestic gas volumes.

The broker observes the next catalysts for the company are FY18 operating earnings guidance which should confirm continued growth in energy markets. Buy rating retained. Target is $8.50.

Target price is $8.50 Current Price is $6.92 Difference: $1.58
If ORG meets the UBS target it will return approximately 23% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $7.52, suggesting upside of 5.5% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY17:

UBS forecasts a full year FY17 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 31.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 22.32.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 18.1, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 39.4.

Forecast for FY18:

UBS forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 10.00 cents and EPS of 60.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.45%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 11.53.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 51.1, implying annual growth of 182.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 9.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.9.

Market Sentiment: 0.4

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

QBE  QBE INSURANCE GROUP LIMITED

Insurance

Overnight Price: $11.85

Macquarie rates QBE as Outperform (1) -

Macquarie reviews the June results so far from international insurers. Overall, margins appear to be holding while gross written premium growth remains a challenge.

The broker observes slight positive signs in the premium rate cycle and an average performance in the US crop portfolio. Target is reduced to $13.30 from $13.50. Outperform retained.

Target price is $13.30 Current Price is $11.85 Difference: $1.45
If QBE meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 12% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $12.69, suggesting upside of 4.8% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY17:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY17 dividend of 50.65 cents and EPS of 78.68 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.27%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.06.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 75.2, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 52.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 16.1.

Forecast for FY18:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 57.79 cents and EPS of 90.85 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.88%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.04.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 97.0, implying annual growth of 29.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 66.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.5.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Ord Minnett rates QBE as Lighten (4) -

Ahead of the first half result on August 17 Ord Minnett assesses that the insurance margin faces low risk, given guidance was provided on June 21. Nevertheless, the broker does not believe first-half margin should be extrapolated because of the potential distortion from estimates of reinsurance recoveries and crop insurance results.

These will not be confirmed until the full year. The broker believes the current reported margin guidance for 2017 of 8.7% will be difficult to achieve and suspects an underlying insurance margin of around 8% is more likely.

Lighten rating retained. Target is reduced to $11.05 from $11.32.

Target price is $11.05 Current Price is $11.85 Difference: minus $0.8 (current price is over target).
If QBE meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately minus 7% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $12.69, suggesting upside of 4.8% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY17:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY17 dividend of 43.64 cents and EPS of 71.41 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.68%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 16.59.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 75.2, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 52.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 16.1.

Forecast for FY18:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 54.22 cents and EPS of 87.28 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.58%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.58.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 97.0, implying annual growth of 29.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 66.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.5.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

REG  REGIS HEALTHCARE LIMITED

Aged Care & Seniors

Overnight Price: $3.69

UBS rates REG as Buy (1) -

UBS believes the company is the clear leader in operating efficiency and portfolio quality in the aged care sector.

The broker believes the recent sell-down of the stock is overdone and the market is pricing in the worst outcome from the case before the Federal Court.

UBS updates revenue and cost assumptions and reduces the target to $4.80 from $5.10.  Buy rating retained.

Target price is $4.80 Current Price is $3.69 Difference: $1.11
If REG meets the UBS target it will return approximately 30% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $4.70, suggesting upside of 29.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY17:

UBS forecasts a full year FY17 dividend of 21.00 cents and EPS of 20.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.69%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 18.45.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 20.4, implying annual growth of 33.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 20.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 17.7.

Forecast for FY18:

UBS forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 21.00 cents and EPS of 21.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.69%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 17.57.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 21.4, implying annual growth of 4.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 20.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 16.9.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

RMD  RESMED INC

Medical Equipment & Devices

Overnight Price: $9.66

Morgan Stanley rates RMD as Overweight (1) -

Morgan Stanley expects US device growth to return to market growth after a weak third quarter. Mask growth should outpace devices again but not enough to lift gross margins in the current quarter.

The broker continues to envisage upside risk to gross margins in FY18 and believes the first quarter will be the acid test for its thesis.

Overweight rating. Industry view is In-Line. Price target is US$76.30.

Current Price is $9.66. Target price not assessed.

Current consensus price target is $9.90, suggesting upside of 3.2% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY17:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY17 dividend of 17.56 cents and EPS of 37.11 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.82%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 26.03.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 33.9, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 16.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 28.3.

Forecast for FY18:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 17.56 cents and EPS of 42.83 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.82%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 22.55.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 39.6, implying annual growth of 16.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 18.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 24.2.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.7

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

SEH  SINO GAS & ENERGY HOLDINGS LIMITED

NatGas

Overnight Price: $0.09

ADDED

Citi rates SEH as Buy (1) -

Citi analysts are wearing rose tinted glasses when it comes to assessing Sino Gas & Energy and today's research update is no exception.

Production ramp-up is happening slower than expected and thus the June quarter production report disappointed, but only minor changes have been made to forecasts.

There is still potential for material upside, maintain the analysts. Target price 14c (was 15c). Buy/High Risk.

Target price is $0.14 Current Price is $0.09 Difference: $0.055
If SEH meets the Citi target it will return approximately 65% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY17:

Citi forecasts a full year FY17 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 0.10 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 85.00.

Forecast for FY18:

Citi forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 0.10 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 85.00.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Macquarie rates SEH as Outperform (1) -

Production fell short of Macquarie's expectations in the June quarter. The miss to forecasts was driven by offtake constraints downstream at Sanjiaobei and has resulted in guidance being narrowed towards the bottom end of an 18-21mmscf/d range.

Outperform rating and $0.20 target retained.

Target price is $0.20 Current Price is $0.09 Difference: $0.115
If SEH meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 135% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY17:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY17 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 0.10 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 85.00.

Forecast for FY18:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 0.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.17.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

SYR  SYRAH RESOURCES LIMITED

Rare Earth & Minerals

Overnight Price: $2.88

Credit Suisse rates SYR as Outperform (1) -

June quarter milestones were missed and disappointed Credit Suisse. There is a two-month delay to first production and a consequent US$5m increase in project capital at Balama.

The broker had also hoped for confirmation of the mining agreement and the working capital facility. The main positive is that sales agreements with Hiller Carbon, Marubeni and MINERALS GmbH have all been upgraded.

Target is $7.45. Outperform retained.

Target price is $7.45 Current Price is $2.88 Difference: $4.57
If SYR meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately 159% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $4.69, suggesting upside of 65.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY17:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY17 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 10.25 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 28.10.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is -8.9, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is N/A.

Forecast for FY18:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 20.64 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.95.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 8.6, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 32.9.

Market Sentiment: 0.8

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Deutsche Bank rates SYR as Buy (1) -

Syrah's June Q report featured a further 6-week delay for Balama commissioning but the broker notes the cost impact is immaterial. Otherwise there seems to be little progress on the two de-risking catalysts the broker is looking for: downstream offtake negotiation and the finalisation of a working capital facility.

Buy retained, target falls to $5.70 from $5.80.

Target price is $5.70 Current Price is $2.88 Difference: $2.82
If SYR meets the Deutsche Bank target it will return approximately 98% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $4.69, suggesting upside of 65.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY17:

Deutsche Bank forecasts a full year FY17 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 11.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 26.18.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is -8.9, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is N/A.

Forecast for FY18:

Deutsche Bank forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 12.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 24.00.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 8.6, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 32.9.

Market Sentiment: 0.8

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Morgan Stanley rates SYR as Equal-weight (3) -

Production is now expected to commence in October at Balama because of delays in completing construction of the processing plant, while capital expenditure is increased by US$5m. Morgan Stanley observes 12-month production guidance is maintained.

The company continues to progress discussions with potential buyers of offtake. Equal-weight retained. Target is $2.90. Industry view is Attractive.

Target price is $2.90 Current Price is $2.88 Difference: $0.02
If SYR meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately 1% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $4.69, suggesting upside of 65.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY17:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY17 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 14.55 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 19.80.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is -8.9, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is N/A.

Forecast for FY18:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 1.32 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 217.85.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 8.6, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 32.9.

Market Sentiment: 0.8

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


UBS rates SYR as Buy (1) -

Construction at Balama is over 90% complete but first production is delayed to October as a result of the slower completion of construction work.

UBS awaits the obtaining of the mining agreement, which should provide longer term stability around fiscal terms in Mozambique.

Buy rating and $3.80 target.

Target price is $3.80 Current Price is $2.88 Difference: $0.92
If SYR meets the UBS target it will return approximately 32% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $4.69, suggesting upside of 65.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY17:

UBS forecasts a full year FY17 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 1.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 288.00.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is -8.9, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is N/A.

Forecast for FY18:

UBS forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 3.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 96.00.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 8.6, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 32.9.

Market Sentiment: 0.8

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

WBC  WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION

Banks

Overnight Price: $31.82

Morgans rates WBC as Add (1) -

The bank has reported that margins in the institutional term lending space remain under pressure as a result of intensive competition from offshore banks, particularly Asian banks.

Morgans was not surprised and expects this margin pressure to continue until quantitative easing programs conducted by the Bank of Japan and European Central Bank are meaningfully tapered.

However, the broker believes Westpac has been doing well in transaction banking and continues to add it to its relationship tally in net terms this year.

Westpac remains Morgans' preferred exposure in the sector. Add rating retained. Price target unchanged at $38.

Target price is $38.00 Current Price is $31.82 Difference: $6.18
If WBC meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 19% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $33.59, suggesting upside of 5.2% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in September.

Forecast for FY17:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY17 dividend of 188.00 cents and EPS of 248.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.91%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 12.83.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 237.3, implying annual growth of 5.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 188.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.5.

Forecast for FY18:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 190.00 cents and EPS of 260.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.97%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 12.24.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 243.6, implying annual growth of 2.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 188.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.1.

Market Sentiment: 0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

WES  WESFARMERS LIMITED

Food, Beverages & Tobacco

Overnight Price: $40.73

Morgan Stanley rates WES as Underweight (5) -

Morgan Stanley observes Bunnings is set to become the company's largest profit contributor and is already its most valuable business, although, while this is a very high quality business, growth appears set to slow.

The company is due to report FY17 earnings on August 17 and Morgan Stanley expect Bunnings to report like-for-like sales growth in the fourth quarter of 5.2% versus 6.0% in the third quarter.

Underweight. Target is $36.  Industry view is Cautious.

Target price is $36.00 Current Price is $40.73 Difference: minus $4.73 (current price is over target).
If WES meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately minus 12% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $40.37, suggesting downside of -1.0% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY17:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY17 dividend of 216.00 cents and EPS of 253.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.30%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 16.10.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 257.9, implying annual growth of 612.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 217.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.8.

Forecast for FY18:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 216.00 cents and EPS of 240.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.30%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 16.97.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 256.0, implying annual growth of -0.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 217.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.9.

Market Sentiment: -0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

Summaries
AJD - ASIA PACIFIC DATA CENTRE Hold - Morgans Overnight Price $1.88
AZJ - AURIZON HOLDINGS Hold - Morgans Overnight Price $5.02
AZY - ANTIPA MINERALS Add - Morgans Overnight Price $0.02
BDR - BEADELL RESOURCES Neutral - Citi Overnight Price $0.19
Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $0.19
BXB - BRAMBLES Hold - Morgans Overnight Price $9.24
CCL - COCA-COLA AMATIL Hold - Deutsche Bank Overnight Price $8.24
Neutral - Macquarie Overnight Price $8.24
EHE - ESTIA HEALTH Buy - UBS Overnight Price $2.90
GMG - GOODMAN GRP Upgrade to Hold from Lighten - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $7.96
GPT - GPT Hold - Deutsche Bank Overnight Price $4.79
IFL - IOOF HOLDINGS Neutral - Credit Suisse Overnight Price $10.05
IVC - INVOCARE Hold - Morgans Overnight Price $13.90
JHC - JAPARA HEALTHCARE Downgrade to Neutral from Buy - UBS Overnight Price $2.04
JHG - JANUS HENDERSON GROUP Neutral - Citi Overnight Price $41.55
KAR - KAROON GAS Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $1.35
LLC - LEND LEASE CORP Downgrade to Hold from Accumulate - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $16.85
MDL - MINERAL DEPOSITS Add - Morgans Overnight Price $0.71
MIN - MINERAL RESOURCES Overweight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $12.27
MLX - METALS X Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $0.82
MML - MEDUSA MINING Neutral - Citi Overnight Price $0.30
NXT - NEXTDC Buy - Deutsche Bank Overnight Price $4.11
ORG - ORIGIN ENERGY Neutral - Citi Overnight Price $6.92
Hold - Deutsche Bank Overnight Price $6.92
No Rating - Macquarie Overnight Price $6.92
Accumulate - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $6.92
Buy - UBS Overnight Price $6.92
QBE - QBE INSURANCE Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $11.85
Lighten - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $11.85
REG - REGIS HEALTHCARE Buy - UBS Overnight Price $3.69
RMD - RESMED Overweight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $9.66
SEH - SINO GAS & ENERGY Buy - Citi Overnight Price $0.09
Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $0.09
SYR - SYRAH RESOURCES Outperform - Credit Suisse Overnight Price $2.88
Buy - Deutsche Bank Overnight Price $2.88
Equal-weight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $2.88
Buy - UBS Overnight Price $2.88
WBC - WESTPAC BANKING Add - Morgans Overnight Price $31.82
WES - WESFARMERS Underweight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $40.73
RATING SUMMARY
Rating No. Of Recommendations
1. Buy

18

2. Accumulate

1

3. Hold

17

4. Reduce

1

5. Sell

1

Tuesday 01 August 2017

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Disclaimer:
The content of this information does in no way reflect the opinions of FNArena, or of its journalists. In fact we don't have any opinion about the stock market, its value, future direction or individual shares. FNArena solely reports about what the main experts in the market note, believe and comment on. By doing so we believe we provide intelligent investors with a valuable tool that helps them in making up their own minds, reading market trends and getting a feel for what is happening beneath the surface. This document is provided for informational purposes only. It does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy any security or other financial instrument. FNArena employs very experienced journalists who base their work on information believed to be reliable and accurate, though no guarantee is given that the daily report is accurate or complete. Investors should contact their personal adviser before making any investment decision.