Australian Broker Call

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January 16, 2023

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COMPANIES DISCUSSED IN THIS ISSUE

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The number next to the symbol represents the number of brokers covering it for this report -(if more than 1).

Last Updated: 05:00 PM

Your daily news report on the latest recommendation, valuation, forecast and opinion changes.

This report includes concise but limited reviews of research recently published by Stockbrokers, which should be considered as information concerning likely market behaviour rather than advice on the securities mentioned. Do not act on the contents of this Report without first reading the important information included at the end.

For more info about the different terms used by stockbrokers, as well as the different methodologies behind similar sounding ratings, download our guide HERE

Today's Upgrades and Downgrades
CGF - Challenger Downgrade to Hold from Add Morgans
DXS - Dexus Downgrade to Underweight from Overweight Morgan Stanley
EVN - Evolution Mining Downgrade to Underperform from Neutral Credit Suisse
NST - Northern Star Resources Downgrade to Neutral from Outperform Credit Suisse
ORG - Origin Energy Upgrade to Overweight from Equal-weight Morgan Stanley
SFR - Sandfire Resources Downgrade to Underperform from Neutral Credit Suisse
360  LIFE360 INC

Software & Services

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Overnight Price: $5.42

Morgan Stanley rates 360 as Overweight (1) -

Life360's 2022 result broadly met Morgan Stanley's forecast, the company finishing the year with US$90m cash in the kitty.

The broker suspects December-quarter inventory destocking could prove a tailwind in 2023, with initial guidance outpacing.

Overweight rating and $8.50 retained. Industry view: In Line.

Target price is $8.50 Current Price is $5.42 Difference: $3.08
If 360 meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately 57% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY22:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 28.82 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 18.80.

Forecast for FY23:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 8.65 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 62.68.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

AMX  AEROMETREX LIMITED

Software & Services

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Overnight Price: $0.52

Morgans rates AMX as Add (1) -

The Department of Defense has awarded Aerometrex a big Lidar (laser imaging) contract and Morgans expects the funds will roll in this June half.

The broker expects the company will now feel vindicated in its Lidar investment.

Add recommendation and $1.24 target price retained.

Target price is $1.24 Current Price is $0.52 Difference: $0.725
If AMX meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 141% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY23:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 1.80 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 28.61.

Forecast for FY24:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 1.20 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 42.92.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

BBN  BABY BUNTING GROUP LIMITED

Apparel & Footwear

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Overnight Price: $3.03

Citi rates BBN as Neutral (3) -

While Citi considers Baby Bunting to hold long duration growth potential, the broker sees downside earnings risk in the near-term as headwinds take longer than expected to moderate. The broker expects net profit to decrease -19% to $10m over the first half. 

The broker would also like to see the retailer better leverage its scale advantage over smaller competitors. Longer-term, the broker sees an ongoing store rollout, potential market gains, and margin expansion initiatives as driving growth potential. 

The Neutral rating is retained and the target price decreases to $3.20 from $3.32.

Target price is $3.20 Current Price is $3.03 Difference: $0.17
If BBN meets the Citi target it will return approximately 6% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $3.79, suggesting upside of 43.0% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in July.

Forecast for FY23:

Citi forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 13.50 cents and EPS of 18.80 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.46%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 16.12.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 18.9, implying annual growth of 27.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 14.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.0.

Forecast for FY24:

Citi forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 16.30 cents and EPS of 22.80 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.38%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.29.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 23.1, implying annual growth of 22.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 16.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 11.5.

Market Sentiment: 0.6

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

CAR  CARSALES.COM LIMITED

Automobiles & Components

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Overnight Price: $22.25

Ord Minnett rates CAR as Hold (3) -

Now that Ord Minnett is whitelabeling Morningstar research, the Hold rating remains unchanged but the price target has lifted to $22.80.

Forecasts for the year(s) ahead are based on the premise that while overall volumes in car sales in Australia are expected to decline, this is likely to be compensated for through higher yields, i.e. spend per advertisement.

As FY23 will be the first year of inclusion for the somewhat controversial US acquisition of Trader Interactive, the forecast is that Carsales' EBITDA will be 40% higher than last year's.

The analyst anticipates strong growth from the Asian operations. Noteworthy: current forecasts don't seem to leave room for follow-up growth in FY24.

Target price is $22.80 Current Price is $22.25 Difference: $0.55
If CAR meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 2% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $24.30, suggesting upside of 7.0% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY23:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 61.30 cents and EPS of 76.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.76%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 29.05.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 76.9, implying annual growth of 35.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 57.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 29.5.

Forecast for FY24:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 61.50 cents and EPS of 76.90 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.76%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 28.93.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 86.2, implying annual growth of 12.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 65.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 26.3.

Market Sentiment: 0.7

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

CGF  CHALLENGER LIMITED

Wealth Management & Investments

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Overnight Price: $7.77

Morgans rates CGF as Downgrade to Hold from Add (3) -

Morgans revises its estimates and ratings for 13 companies heading into 2023.

Challenger's rating is downgraded to Hold from Add, following recent share price strength. Target price rises to $7.93 from $7.71.

Target price is $7.93 Current Price is $7.77 Difference: $0.16
If CGF meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 2% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $6.92, suggesting downside of -11.0% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY23:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 26.10 cents and EPS of 52.30 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.36%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.86.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 44.9, implying annual growth of 19.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 25.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 17.3.

Forecast for FY24:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 29.90 cents and EPS of 60.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.85%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 12.95.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 50.2, implying annual growth of 11.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 28.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.5.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

CHL  CAMPLIFY HOLDINGS LIMITED

Travel, Leisure & Tourism

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Overnight Price: $1.75

Ord Minnett rates CHL as Initiation of coverage with Accumulate (2) -

Ord Minnett has initiated coverage of Camplify Holdings with an Accumulate rating and $1.87 price target. Following the acquisition of PaulCamper late last year, the broker sees growth potential on the horizon as the company has increased its scale.

Ord Minnett is forecasting compound annual growth (CAGR) in revenue of circa 37% per annum between FY23 to FY26. The general outlook for domestic leisure as well as the company's own track record support these forecasts, suggests the broker.

Successful execution will hinge on Camplify develop best-in-class insurance products, as well as further automation to prove the business model is profitable at scale.

Target price is $1.87 Current Price is $1.75 Difference: $0.12
If CHL meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 7% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY23:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 5.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 35.00.

Forecast for FY24:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 0.10 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 1750.00.

Market Sentiment: 0.8

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

CPU  COMPUTERSHARE LIMITED

Diversified Financials

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Overnight Price: $24.10

Morgans rates CPU as Add (1) -

Morgans revises its estimates and ratings after reviewing 13 companies heading into 2023.

EPS forecasts for Computershare fall -1% to -4% across FY23 to FY25 to reflect margin pressure. Dividend forecasts take a big hit.

Target price falls to $30.97 from $33.52. Add rating retained.

Target price is $30.97 Current Price is $24.10 Difference: $6.87
If CPU meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 29% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $31.85, suggesting upside of 35.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY23:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 119.61 cents and EPS of 143.25 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.96%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 16.82.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 141.6, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 114.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 16.6.

Forecast for FY24:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 148.44 cents and EPS of 180.14 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.16%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.38.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 178.5, implying annual growth of 26.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 119.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.1.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.9

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

DXS  DEXUS

REITs

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Overnight Price: $8.02

Morgan Stanley rates DXS as Downgrade to Underweight from Overweight (5) -

Morgan Stanley downgrades Dexus to Underweight from Overweight as fundamentals deteriorate.

The broker observes office vacancies have hit a 20-year high and given the glut of developments, may take years to recover. Add that to a forecast economic slowdown in 2023 and question marks over asset valuations, and the picture is difficult to salvage.

While the broker admires management's enterprising spirit and its push to diversify, Morgan Stanley doubts this shift will be swift enough to combat the mounting negatives in 2023.

Target price falls to $7.90 from $10.55.

Target price is $7.90 Current Price is $8.02 Difference: minus $0.12 (current price is over target).
If DXS meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately minus 1% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $9.04, suggesting upside of 15.3% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY23:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 51.00 cents and EPS of 67.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.36%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 11.97.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 64.5, implying annual growth of -57.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 51.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.2.

Forecast for FY24:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 52.00 cents and EPS of 62.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.48%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 12.94.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 65.3, implying annual growth of 1.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 53.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.0.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

EVN  EVOLUTION MINING LIMITED

Gold & Silver

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Overnight Price: $3.29

Credit Suisse rates EVN as Downgrade to Underperform from Neutral (5) -

Credit Suisse reviews metals sectors and spies an increase in nickel, alumina and gold prices but expects copper prices will struggle. IGO is the broker's preferred pick across all sectors.

The broker's copper forecasts are -15% shy of consensus, the broker expecting that additional supply will land in a slowing economy, and oversupplied market.

Evolution Mining is downgraded to Underperform from Neutral to reflect the failure of the copper, zinc and gold prices to rise sufficiently to justify the broker's valuation.

Current Price is $3.29. Target price not assessed.

Current consensus price target is $2.90, suggesting downside of -12.9% (ex-dividends)

Forecast for FY23:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 16.5, implying annual growth of -7.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 3.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 20.2.

Forecast for FY24:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 21.9, implying annual growth of 32.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 8.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.2.

Market Sentiment: 0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

GDG  GENERATION DEVELOPMENT GROUP LIMITED

Wealth Management & Investments

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Overnight Price: $1.46

Morgans rates GDG as Add (1) -

Morgans revises its estimates and ratings after reviewing 13 companies heading into 2023.

Generation Development's target price rises to $1.65 from $1.56 on a roll-forward basis.

EPS forecasts are steady. Add rating retained.

Target price is $1.65 Current Price is $1.46 Difference: $0.19
If GDG meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 13% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY23:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 2.00 cents and EPS of 3.40 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.37%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 42.94.

Forecast for FY24:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 2.00 cents and EPS of 4.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.37%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 31.74.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

GEM  G8 EDUCATION LIMITED

Childcare

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Overnight Price: $1.18

Macquarie rates GEM as Neutral (3) -

G8 Education's year-to-date revenue and earnings have improved from the second quarter, driven by improvement in occupancy and cost control. Macquarie highlights a cost out program aiming to offset inflation worked to improve cost control. 

The broker feels the outlook remains challenging for G8 Education, but continues to expect the company to deliver 8.6% earnings per share growth for the year. Supply growth has slowed as construction and funding costs increased and staffing shortages are constraining benefits.

The Neutral rating and target price of $1.04 are retained.

Target price is $1.04 Current Price is $1.18 Difference: minus $0.135 (current price is over target).
If GEM meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately minus 11% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY22:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 3.00 cents and EPS of 5.10 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.55%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 23.04.

Forecast for FY23:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 4.00 cents and EPS of 7.20 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.40%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 16.32.

Market Sentiment: 0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

IAG  INSURANCE AUSTRALIA GROUP LIMITED

Insurance

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Overnight Price: $4.82

Morgans rates IAG as Add (1) -

Morgans revises its estimates and ratings after reviewing 13 companies heading into 2023.

EPS forecasts for Insurance Australia Group rise 3% to 4% after marking to market investment assumptions.

Target price rises to $5.57 from $5.24. Add rating retained.

Target price is $5.57 Current Price is $4.82 Difference: $0.75
If IAG meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 16% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $5.21, suggesting upside of 7.1% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY23:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 25.00 cents and EPS of 30.40 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.19%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.86.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 32.7, implying annual growth of 132.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 25.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.9.

Forecast for FY24:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 28.00 cents and EPS of 34.40 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.81%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.01.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 35.6, implying annual growth of 8.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 28.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.7.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

KLS  KELSIAN GROUP LIMITED

Travel, Leisure & Tourism

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Overnight Price: $5.96

Macquarie rates KLS as Outperform (1) -

Kelsian Group has announced a number of tendering developments. While the company has missed out on initial major Manchester contracts, it has been successful in the second tranche of the current tendering round in Sydney. 

R3 and R13 have been combined into an individual contract package in Sydney, spanning seven years and upwards of $800m in revenue. Macquarie sees potential for further tendering in Manchester, noting larger contracts form part of the next tranche of tendering. 

The Outperform rating and target price of $8.10 are retained.

Target price is $8.10 Current Price is $5.96 Difference: $2.14
If KLS meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 36% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $7.87, suggesting upside of 32.8% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY23:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 20.00 cents and EPS of 32.30 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.36%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 18.45.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 30.7, implying annual growth of 26.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 18.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 19.3.

Forecast for FY24:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 24.00 cents and EPS of 39.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.03%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.05.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 36.5, implying annual growth of 18.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 21.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 16.2.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

KSL  KINA SECURITIES LIMITED

Wealth Management & Investments

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Overnight Price: $0.79

Morgans rates KSL as Add (1) -

Morgans revises its estimates and ratings after reviewing 13 companies heading into 2023.

Kina Securities' target price falls to $1.11 - a 10% discount to the broker's $1.23 valuation - due to uncertainty surrounding a potential extra PNG bank tax.

Add rating retained.

Target price is $1.11 Current Price is $0.79 Difference: $0.32
If KSL meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 41% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY22:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 11.00 cents and EPS of 37.20 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 13.92%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 2.12.

Forecast for FY23:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 13.00 cents and EPS of 43.20 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 16.46%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 1.83.

This company reports in PGK. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

LNK  LINK ADMINISTRATION HOLDINGS LIMITED

Wealth Management & Investments

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Overnight Price: $1.98

Morgans rates LNK as Hold (3) -

Morgans revises its estimates and ratings after reviewing 13 companies heading into 2023.

EPS forecasts for Link Administration fall -8% in FY23; and -12% in FY24 after removing Pexa Group ((PXA)) from forecasts.

Target price falls to $2.06 from $3.31 accordingly. Hold rating retained.

Target price is $2.06 Current Price is $1.98 Difference: $0.08
If LNK meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 4% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $3.58, suggesting upside of 80.9% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY23:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 11.60 cents and EPS of 7.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.86%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 25.71.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 18.3, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 10.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 10.8.

Forecast for FY24:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 11.90 cents and EPS of 10.90 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.01%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 18.17.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 19.9, implying annual growth of 8.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 11.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 9.9.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

MND  MONADELPHOUS GROUP LIMITED

Mining Sector Contracting

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Overnight Price: $13.31

Credit Suisse rates MND as Outperform (1) -

Credit Suisse observes the contracts Monadelphous Group was expected to have in hand by the close of 2022 have not yet been awarded due to industry capacity restraints.

The broker expects the company will most likely win these but timing wise, the landing of the revenue will be pushed out, affecting 2023 June-half forecasts. The broker will be keeping a keen eye to second-half revenue guidance when the company reports on February 21, expecting a miss on consensus. Staffing remains an issue.

EPS forecasts fall -3.1% to -11.6% across FY23 to FY25 accordingly.

Outperform rating retained, a recovery forecast in FY24 and FY25. Target price falls to $15.10 from $15.60.

Target price is $15.10 Current Price is $13.31 Difference: $1.79
If MND meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately 13% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $13.82, suggesting upside of 7.6% (ex-dividends)

Forecast for FY23:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 61.0, implying annual growth of 11.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 53.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 21.0.

Forecast for FY24:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 72.5, implying annual growth of 18.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 62.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 17.7.

Market Sentiment: 0.2

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

MPL  MEDIBANK PRIVATE LIMITED

Insurance

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Overnight Price: $2.91

Morgans rates MPL as Hold (3) -

Morgans revises its estimates and ratings after reviewing 13 companies heading into 2023.

EPS forecasts for Medibank Private fall -1% in FY23 and -4% in FY24 after marking to market, and to reflect signs of margin pressure.

Hold rating retained. Target price falls to $2.95 from $3.12.

Target price is $2.95 Current Price is $2.91 Difference: $0.04
If MPL meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 1% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $3.18, suggesting upside of 9.6% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY23:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 14.20 cents and EPS of 14.80 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.88%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 19.66.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 15.5, implying annual growth of 8.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 14.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 18.7.

Forecast for FY24:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 15.40 cents and EPS of 18.40 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.29%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.82.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 14.9, implying annual growth of -3.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 15.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 19.5.

Market Sentiment: 0.4

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

NHF  NIB HOLDINGS LIMITED

Insurance

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Overnight Price: $7.70

Morgans rates NHF as Add (1) -

Morgans revises its estimates and ratings after reviewing 13 companies heading into 2023.

EPS forecast for nib Holdings rises 1% in FY23; and falls -1% to -9% in FY24 after marking to market investment assumptions.

Add rating retained. Target price falls to $8.15 from $8.54 to reflect lower forecast discounted cash flow growth.

Target price is $8.15 Current Price is $7.70 Difference: $0.45
If NHF meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 6% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $7.53, suggesting downside of -1.8% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY23:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 28.30 cents and EPS of 42.80 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.68%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 17.99.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 41.9, implying annual growth of 41.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 26.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 18.3.

Forecast for FY24:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 28.80 cents and EPS of 42.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.74%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 18.03.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 43.2, implying annual growth of 3.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 28.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 17.7.

Market Sentiment: 0.2

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

NST  NORTHERN STAR RESOURCES LIMITED

Gold & Silver

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Overnight Price: $12.08

Credit Suisse rates NST as Downgrade to Neutral from Outperform (3) -

Credit Suisse reviews metals sectors and spies an increase in nickel, alumina and gold prices but expects copper prices will struggle. IGO is the broker's preferred pick across all sectors.

The broker believes the gold price will remain largely flat year on year but should find near term support from US-dollar pressure and a likely economic slowdown, particularly if stagflation ensues.

Northern Star Resources is downgraded to Neutral from Outperform on valuation grounds.

The broker's preferred gold picks are Newcrest Mining and St Barbara Mines.

Current Price is $12.08. Target price not assessed.

Current consensus price target is $11.10, suggesting downside of -10.7% (ex-dividends)

Forecast for FY23:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 29.2, implying annual growth of -21.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 28.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 42.6.

Forecast for FY24:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 45.9, implying annual growth of 57.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 33.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 27.1.

Market Sentiment: 0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

ORG  ORIGIN ENERGY LIMITED

NatGas

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Overnight Price: $7.63

Morgan Stanley rates ORG as Upgrade to Overweight from Equal-weight (1) -

Morgan Stanley has used a deep dive into Australia's utilities sector to upgrade Origin Energy to Overweight from Equal-weight. The broker's price target has moved to $8.88 from $6.35.

The broker's analysis suggests energy transition opportunities are firming while distributed energy resources are opening up faster than before. Add higher conviction in the company's access to capital and that upgrade now hinges on Origin management monetising the multiple opportunities.

Morgan Stanley sees multiple question marks and headwinds for the industry as a whole and thus retains its Cautious view on sector-level.

The broker's bear case sees valuation dropping to $5.54 while a bull case scenario would lift it to $9.39.

Target price is $8.88 Current Price is $7.63 Difference: $1.25
If ORG meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately 16% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $8.60, suggesting upside of 12.4% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY23:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 31.70 cents and EPS of 22.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.15%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 34.68.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 26.0, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 22.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 29.4.

Forecast for FY24:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 23.80 cents and EPS of 25.50 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.12%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 29.92.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 46.2, implying annual growth of 77.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 22.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 16.6.

Market Sentiment: 0.8

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

PFP  PROPEL FUNERAL PARTNERS LIMITED

Consumer Products & Services

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Overnight Price: $4.30

Morgan Stanley rates PFP as Initiation of coverage with Overweight (1) -

Morgan Stanley initiates coverage on Propel Funeral Partners with an Overweight rating and $5.40 target price.

The broker appreciates the company's strong brands, scale, and competitive position in a fragmented market, not to mention the demographics of an ageing population, supported by strong immigration.

In the near term, risks include the affect of a slowing economy on prices, M&A and access to capital, but the broker believes the risk is to the upside.

Morgan Stanley forecasts EPS will rise 21% in FY23; and post a 14% compound annual growth rate through FY22 to FY25.

Target price is $5.40 Current Price is $4.30 Difference: $1.1
If PFP meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately 26% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY23:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 13.50 cents and EPS of 17.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.14%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 25.29.

Forecast for FY24:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 14.80 cents and EPS of 21.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.44%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 20.48.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

PPT  PERPETUAL LIMITED

Wealth Management & Investments

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Overnight Price: $25.79

Credit Suisse rates PPT as Upgrade to Outperform from Neutral (1) -

Perpetual's merger with Pendal Group has been approved, is legally binding and will be implemented on January 23.

Credit Suisse says the deal will provide scale, diversity and an above-peer exposure to ESG and value segments, which are attracting the greatest share of capital.

The broker spies strong upside for Perpetual if it delivers on its global expansion and expects the merger will deliver earnings synergies of roughly 19% in FY26.

EPS forecasts fall -1%; -5%; and -2% across FY23, FY24 and FY25.

Outperform rating. Target price is $28.

Target price is $28.00 Current Price is $25.79 Difference: $2.21
If PPT meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately 9% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $29.70, suggesting upside of 12.7% (ex-dividends)

Forecast for FY23:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 210.5, implying annual growth of 17.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 175.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.5.

Forecast for FY24:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 237.8, implying annual growth of 13.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 195.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 7.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 11.1.

Market Sentiment: 0.7

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

PRU  PERSEUS MINING LIMITED

Gold & Silver

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Overnight Price: $2.34

Credit Suisse rates PRU as Outperform (1) -

Credit Suisse reviews metals sectors and spies an increase in nickel, alumina and gold prices but expects copper prices will struggle. IGO is the broker's preferred pick across all sectors.

The broker believes the gold price will remain largely flat year on year but should find near term support from US-dollar pressure and a likely economic slowdown, particularly if stagflation ensues.

Perseus Mining is downgraded to Neutral from Outperform on valuation grounds.

The broker's preferred gold picks are Newcrest Mining and St Barbara Mines.

Current Price is $2.34. Target price not assessed.

Current consensus price target is $2.20, suggesting downside of -5.6% (ex-dividends)

Forecast for FY23:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 22.5, implying annual growth of 19.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 2.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 10.4.

Forecast for FY24:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 21.9, implying annual growth of -2.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 2.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 10.6.

Market Sentiment: 0.7

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

QBE  QBE INSURANCE GROUP LIMITED

Insurance

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Overnight Price: $13.03

Morgans rates QBE as Add (1) -

Morgans revises its estimates and ratings after reviewing 13 companies heading into 2023.

EPS forecasts for QBE Insurance rise 1% in 2022; an fall -1% to -2% in FY23 after marking to market and tinkering with earnings. 2023 dividend forecasts fall sharply.

Add rating retained. Target price rises to $15.05 from $14.89, after rolling forward the valuation.

Target price is $15.05 Current Price is $13.03 Difference: $2.02
If QBE meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 16% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $16.01, suggesting upside of 22.8% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY22:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 57.65 cents and EPS of 62.55 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.42%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 20.83.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 62.0, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 57.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 21.0.

Forecast for FY23:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 109.53 cents and EPS of 141.09 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 8.41%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 9.24.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 140.7, implying annual growth of 126.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 103.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 7.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 9.3.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

SFR  SANDFIRE RESOURCES LIMITED

Copper

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Overnight Price: $6.20

Credit Suisse rates SFR as Downgrade to Underperform from Neutral (5) -

Credit Suisse reviews metals sectors and spies an increase in nickel, alumina and gold prices but expects copper prices will struggle. IGO is the broker's preferred pick across all sectors.

The broker's copper forecasts are -15% shy of consensus, the broker expecting that additional supply will land in a slowing economy, and oversupplied market.

Sandfire Resources is downgraded to Underperform from Neutral to reflect the failure of the copper price to support the broker's company valuation.

Current Price is $6.20. Target price not assessed.

Current consensus price target is $5.40, suggesting downside of -13.7% (ex-dividends)

Forecast for FY23:

Current consensus EPS estimate is -14.7, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is N/A.

Forecast for FY24:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 10.3, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 1.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 60.8.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

SUN  SUNCORP GROUP LIMITED

Banks

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Overnight Price: $11.75

Citi rates SUN as Buy (1) -

Citi expects another double-digit rise in reinsurance costs is likely for Suncorp Group in FY24, with all covers due for renewal on July 1. The broker sees this as a significant headwind for the insurer, but does anticipate premium and interest rate rises to more than offset. 

Citi anticipates Suncorp Group will exceed its $580m first half hazard allowance, given the company flagged hazards of $470-530m to the end of October. The broker forecasts a strong second half skew to support Suncorp Group in reaching its 10-12% underlying insurance margin target for FY23.

The Buy rating and target price of $13.50 are retained.

Target price is $13.50 Current Price is $11.75 Difference: $1.75
If SUN meets the Citi target it will return approximately 15% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $13.62, suggesting upside of 15.3% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY23:

Citi forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 70.00 cents and EPS of 100.80 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.96%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 11.66.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 84.1, implying annual growth of 56.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 69.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.0.

Forecast for FY24:

Citi forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 72.00 cents and EPS of 90.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.13%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 12.95.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 96.7, implying annual growth of 15.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 73.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.2.

Market Sentiment: 0.9

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Morgans rates SUN as Add (1) -

Morgans revises its estimates and ratings after reviewing 13 companies heading into 2023.

EPS forecasts for Suncorp Group fall -2% in FY23 and rise 3% in FY24 after marking to market.

Add rating retained. Target price falls to $13.33 from $13.98 after the broker cuts long-term earnings assumptions.

Target price is $13.33 Current Price is $11.75 Difference: $1.58
If SUN meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 13% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $13.62, suggesting upside of 15.3% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY23:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 72.30 cents and EPS of 88.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.15%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.25.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 84.1, implying annual growth of 56.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 69.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.0.

Forecast for FY24:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 76.00 cents and EPS of 99.10 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.47%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 11.86.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 96.7, implying annual growth of 15.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 73.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.2.

Market Sentiment: 0.9

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

TBN  TAMBORAN RESOURCES LIMITED

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Overnight Price: $0.25

Macquarie rates TBN as Outperform (1) -

Following major acreage consolidation and capital raising, Macquarie anticipates 2023 could be a pivotal year for Tamboran Resources' Beetaloo asset, expecting the company is on the cusp of delivering potentially transformative flow tests.

The broker anticipates the market will be focused on 30-day flow rates to determine the extent to which Tamboran Resources has been able to successfully implement its US techniques.

While Tamboran Resources' share price has declined -39% since its initial public offering, Macquarie sees meaningful upside for new investors. 

The Outperform rating is retained and the target price increases to $0.35 from $0.30.

Target price is $0.35 Current Price is $0.25 Difference: $0.105
If TBN meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 43% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY23:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 1.50 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 16.33.

Forecast for FY24:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 1.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 15.31.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

TWE  TREASURY WINE ESTATES LIMITED

Food, Beverages & Tobacco

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Overnight Price: $13.89

Citi rates TWE as Neutral (3) -

Treasury Wine Estates appears to have outperformed the industry with its US off-premise performance through December, with retail wine sales up 1% year-on-year for the month, but Citi notes ongoing risk to higher-margin on-premise and cellar door channels. 

While volumes were down, higher pricing accounted for growth. The broker anticipates consumer spending may be increasingly challenged over the remainder of the fiscal year given rising  cost of living pressures.

The Neutral rating and target price of $13.50 are retained.

Target price is $13.50 Current Price is $13.89 Difference: minus $0.39 (current price is over target).
If TWE meets the Citi target it will return approximately minus 3% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $14.22, suggesting upside of 0.1% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY23:

Citi forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 37.00 cents and EPS of 54.50 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.66%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 25.49.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 54.8, implying annual growth of 50.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 37.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 25.9.

Forecast for FY24:

Citi forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 43.00 cents and EPS of 64.30 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.10%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 21.60.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 62.6, implying annual growth of 14.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 43.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 22.7.

Market Sentiment: 0.6

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

TYR  TYRO PAYMENTS LIMITED

Business & Consumer Credit

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Overnight Price: $1.37

Morgans rates TYR as Add (1) -

Morgans revises its estimates and ratings after reviewing 13 companies heading into 2023.

EPS forecasts for Tyro Payments fall more than -10% to reflect weaker growth forecasts as the economy slows.

Add rating retained. Target price falls to $1.79 from $2.05.

Target price is $1.79 Current Price is $1.37 Difference: $0.42
If TYR meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 31% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $1.83, suggesting upside of 24.4% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY23:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 1.10 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 124.55.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is -1.5, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is N/A.

Forecast for FY24:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 1.10 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 124.55.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is -0.3, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is N/A.

Market Sentiment: 0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

Today's Price Target Changes
Company Last Price Broker New Target Prev Target Change
BBN Baby Bunting $2.65 Citi 3.20 3.32 -3.61%
CAR Carsales $22.71 Ord Minnett 22.80 20.00 14.00%
CGF Challenger $7.77 Morgans 7.93 7.71 2.85%
CPU Computershare $23.47 Morgans 30.97 33.52 -7.61%
DXS Dexus $7.84 Morgan Stanley 7.90 10.55 -25.12%
EVN Evolution Mining $3.33 Credit Suisse N/A 2.00 -100.00%
GDG Generation Development $1.37 Morgans 1.65 1.56 5.77%
IAG Insurance Australia Group $4.86 Morgans 5.57 5.24 6.30%
KSL Kina Securities $0.80 Morgans 1.11 1.23 -9.76%
LNK Link Administration $1.98 Morgans 2.06 3.31 -37.76%
MND Monadelphous Group $12.84 Credit Suisse 15.10 15.60 -3.21%
MPL Medibank Private $2.90 Morgans 2.95 3.12 -5.45%
NHF nib Holdings $7.66 Morgans 8.15 8.54 -4.57%
NST Northern Star Resources $12.43 Credit Suisse N/A 9.40 -100.00%
ORG Origin Energy $7.65 Morgan Stanley 8.88 6.08 46.05%
PPT Perpetual $26.35 Credit Suisse 28.00 27.50 1.82%
PRU Perseus Mining $2.33 Credit Suisse N/A 2.00 -100.00%
QBE QBE Insurance $13.03 Morgans 15.05 14.89 1.07%
SFR Sandfire Resources $6.26 Credit Suisse N/A 3.45 -100.00%
SUN Suncorp Group $11.81 Morgans 13.33 13.98 -4.65%
TYR Tyro Payments $1.47 Morgans 1.79 2.05 -12.68%
Summaries
360 Life360 Overweight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $5.42
AMX Aerometrex Add - Morgans Overnight Price $0.52
BBN Baby Bunting Neutral - Citi Overnight Price $3.03
CAR Carsales Hold - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $22.25
CGF Challenger Downgrade to Hold from Add - Morgans Overnight Price $7.77
CHL Camplify Holdings Initiation of coverage with Accumulate - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $1.75
CPU Computershare Add - Morgans Overnight Price $24.10
DXS Dexus Downgrade to Underweight from Overweight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $8.02
EVN Evolution Mining Downgrade to Underperform from Neutral - Credit Suisse Overnight Price $3.29
GDG Generation Development Add - Morgans Overnight Price $1.46
GEM G8 Education Neutral - Macquarie Overnight Price $1.18
IAG Insurance Australia Group Add - Morgans Overnight Price $4.82
KLS Kelsian Group Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $5.96
KSL Kina Securities Add - Morgans Overnight Price $0.79
LNK Link Administration Hold - Morgans Overnight Price $1.98
MND Monadelphous Group Outperform - Credit Suisse Overnight Price $13.31
MPL Medibank Private Hold - Morgans Overnight Price $2.91
NHF nib Holdings Add - Morgans Overnight Price $7.70
NST Northern Star Resources Downgrade to Neutral from Outperform - Credit Suisse Overnight Price $12.08
ORG Origin Energy Upgrade to Overweight from Equal-weight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $7.63
PFP Propel Funeral Partners Initiation of coverage with Overweight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $4.30
PPT Perpetual Upgrade to Outperform from Neutral - Credit Suisse Overnight Price $25.79
PRU Perseus Mining Outperform - Credit Suisse Overnight Price $2.34
QBE QBE Insurance Add - Morgans Overnight Price $13.03
SFR Sandfire Resources Downgrade to Underperform from Neutral - Credit Suisse Overnight Price $6.20
SUN Suncorp Group Buy - Citi Overnight Price $11.75
Add - Morgans Overnight Price $11.75
TBN Tamboran Resources Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $0.25
TWE Treasury Wine Estates Neutral - Citi Overnight Price $13.89
TYR Tyro Payments Add - Morgans Overnight Price $1.37
RATING SUMMARY
Rating No. Of Recommendations
1. Buy

18

2. Accumulate

1

3. Hold

8

5. Sell

3

Monday 16 January 2023

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Disclaimer:
The content of this information does in no way reflect the opinions of FNArena, or of its journalists. In fact we don't have any opinion about the stock market, its value, future direction or individual shares. FNArena solely reports about what the main experts in the market note, believe and comment on. By doing so we believe we provide intelligent investors with a valuable tool that helps them in making up their own minds, reading market trends and getting a feel for what is happening beneath the surface. This document is provided for informational purposes only. It does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy any security or other financial instrument. FNArena employs very experienced journalists who base their work on information believed to be reliable and accurate, though no guarantee is given that the daily report is accurate or complete. Investors should contact their personal adviser before making any investment decision.