Australian Broker Call
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October 23, 2018
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COMPANIES DISCUSSED IN THIS ISSUE
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The number next to the symbol represents the number of brokers covering it for this report -(if more than 1).
Last Updated: 05:18 PM
Your daily news report on the latest recommendation, valuation, forecast and opinion changes.
This report includes concise but limited reviews of research recently published by Stockbrokers, which should be considered as information concerning likely market behaviour rather than advice on the securities mentioned. Do not act on the contents of this Report without first reading the important information included at the end.
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Today's Upgrades and Downgrades
DHG - | DOMAIN HOLDINGS | Upgrade to Neutral from Sell | Citi |
FLT - | FLIGHT CENTRE | Upgrade to Neutral from Underperform | Credit Suisse |
Upgrade to Neutral from Underperform | Macquarie | ||
Upgrade to Overweight from Equal-weight | Morgan Stanley | ||
Upgrade to Add from Hold | Morgans | ||
VAH - | VIRGIN AUSTRALIA | Upgrade to Neutral from Underperform | Credit Suisse |
VOC - | VOCUS GROUP | Downgrade to Neutral from Buy | Citi |
Overnight Price: $2.75
Morgans rates CIP as Hold (3) -
Propertylink ((PLG)) has withdrawn its proposal to acquire all outstanding Centuria Industrial units as, subsequently, an offer has been received for Propertylink which it intends to recommend. Propertylink does reserve the right to proceed with a proposal to acquire Centuria Industrial in the event that this offer does not proceed.
Centuria Industrial has also announced the acquisition of Cargo Park in Victoria for $42m. Post acquisition Morgans estimates gearing will be around 39%. The broker retains a Hold rating and reduces the target to $2.71 from $3.03.
Target price is $2.71 Current Price is $2.75 Difference: minus $0.04 (current price is over target).
If CIP meets the Morgans target it will return approximately minus 1% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY19:
Morgans forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 18.40 cents and EPS of 18.90 cents. |
Forecast for FY20:
Morgans forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 18.90 cents and EPS of 19.70 cents. |
Market Sentiment: 0.0
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
DHG DOMAIN HOLDINGS AUSTRALIA LIMITED
Real Estate
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Overnight Price: $2.65
Citi rates DHG as Upgrade to Neutral from Sell (3) -
Data suggest Domain's market share has stabilised in key regions, particularly Melbourne, which leaves the company well positioned for when market conditions normalise, Citi suggests. The broker is forecasting a rapid recovery in Sydney listing volumes from FY20.
The stock's PE still looks expensive in FY19 given a dip in earnings but reasonable thereafter, the broker notes. It's still a premium to REA Group ((REA)) but Citi expects a more rapid recovery for Domain on a Sydney rebound.
Upgrade to Neutral from Sell. Target rises to $2.75 from $2.50.
Target price is $2.75 Current Price is $2.65 Difference: $0.1
If DHG meets the Citi target it will return approximately 4% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $3.10, suggesting upside of 17.1% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY19:
Citi forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 8.50 cents and EPS of 7.60 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 8.9, implying annual growth of N/A. Current consensus DPS estimate is 7.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.9%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 29.8. |
Forecast for FY20:
Citi forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 9.00 cents and EPS of 10.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 11.2, implying annual growth of 25.8%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 8.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.2%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 23.7. |
Market Sentiment: 0.1
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
DMP DOMINO'S PIZZA ENTERPRISES LIMITED
Food, Beverages & Tobacco
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Overnight Price: $56.27
UBS rates DMP as Buy (1) -
After the company's investor briefing and focus on the use of data to drive efficiency, UBS is confident Domino's Pizza can better leverage its database and become a leaner business.
The broker considers Domino's Pizza a polarising stock, with the market divided over what to value for the long-term opportunity. UBS believes the long-term story is intact and near-term expectations are tapered post the FY18 result. With the risk to the upside the broker reiterates a Buy rating. Target is $57.
Target price is $57.00 Current Price is $56.27 Difference: $0.73
If DMP meets the UBS target it will return approximately 1% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $49.24, suggesting downside of -12.5% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY19:
UBS forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 132.60 cents and EPS of 180.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 180.7, implying annual growth of 29.6%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 131.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.3%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 31.1. |
Forecast for FY20:
UBS forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 151.70 cents and EPS of 205.90 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 207.7, implying annual growth of 14.9%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 149.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.7%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 27.1. |
Market Sentiment: -0.1
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
FLT FLIGHT CENTRE LIMITED
Travel, Leisure & Tourism
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Overnight Price: $47.91
Citi rates FLT as Neutral (3) -
A large fall in staff numbers, 90 store closures and 45 relocations, an adverse media investigation and higher staff costs have all conspired to provide for a disrupted FY19 for Flight Centre. Maiden guidance sees the broker cut its profit forecast and margin assumptions.
Earnings risk is no longer to the upside but valuation is no longer demanding after yesterday's drop. Target falls to $51 from $57, Neutral retained.
Target price is $51.00 Current Price is $47.91 Difference: $3.09
If FLT meets the Citi target it will return approximately 6% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $54.62, suggesting upside of 14.0% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY19:
Citi forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 173.00 cents and EPS of 289.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 297.4, implying annual growth of 14.2%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 179.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.7%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 16.1. |
Forecast for FY20:
Citi forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 194.00 cents and EPS of 323.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 326.9, implying annual growth of 9.9%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 196.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.1%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.7. |
Market Sentiment: 0.5
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Credit Suisse rates FLT as Upgrade to Neutral from Underperform (3) -
Credit Suisse notes guidance for FY19 is around -5% below market estimates and the cause appears to be an underestimating of the impact of labour costs in Australia as well as the absence of credit card surcharge revenue in the UK.
The broker expects the business to settle into a slower rate of productivity improvement in FY19 while the extent of re-basing in Australia is the main uncertainty. Rating is upgraded to Neutral from Underperform. Target is reduced to $43.67 from $44.17.
Target price is $43.67 Current Price is $47.91 Difference: minus $4.24 (current price is over target).
If FLT meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately minus 9% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).
Current consensus price target is $54.62, suggesting upside of 14.0% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY19:
Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 170.00 cents and EPS of 292.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 297.4, implying annual growth of 14.2%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 179.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.7%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 16.1. |
Forecast for FY20:
Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 180.00 cents and EPS of 308.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 326.9, implying annual growth of 9.9%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 196.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.1%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.7. |
Market Sentiment: 0.5
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Deutsche Bank rates FLT as Hold (3) -
At the AGM management provided a weak trading update, in Deutsche Bank's view. First half pre-tax profit is expected to be $140-150m. FY19 underlying pre-tax profit is forecast at $390-420m.
Deutsche Bank maintains a Hold rating and $53 target.
Target price is $53.00 Current Price is $47.91 Difference: $5.09
If FLT meets the Deutsche Bank target it will return approximately 11% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $54.62, suggesting upside of 14.0% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY19:
Current consensus EPS estimate is 297.4, implying annual growth of 14.2%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 179.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.7%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 16.1. |
Forecast for FY20:
Current consensus EPS estimate is 326.9, implying annual growth of 9.9%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 196.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.1%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.7. |
Market Sentiment: 0.5
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Macquarie rates FLT as Upgrade to Neutral from Underperform (3) -
Guidance provided at the AGM was below expectations, with Australia the source of weakness, Macquarie observes. FY19 pre-tax profit guidance is $390-420m.
With an FY19 PE of 16x the broker believes valuation is now largely addressed. Earnings risk is now more evenly balanced and, at current levels, Macquarie leans to being a buyer, although awaits a more compelling valuation and confidence that the Australian leisure market has stabilised.
Rating is upgraded to Neutral from Underperform. Target is reduced to $47.00 from $48.80.
Target price is $47.00 Current Price is $47.91 Difference: minus $0.91 (current price is over target).
If FLT meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately minus 2% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).
Current consensus price target is $54.62, suggesting upside of 14.0% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY19:
Macquarie forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 171.90 cents and EPS of 285.20 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 297.4, implying annual growth of 14.2%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 179.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.7%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 16.1. |
Forecast for FY20:
Macquarie forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 184.00 cents and EPS of 305.20 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 326.9, implying annual growth of 9.9%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 196.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.1%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.7. |
Market Sentiment: 0.5
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Morgan Stanley rates FLT as Upgrade to Overweight from Equal-weight (1) -
Morgan Stanley believes the pull back since the FY18 results provides an attractive entry point. The broker suggests US corporate business is under appreciated, noting Flight Centre now expects profits from overseas business to approach 50% during FY19.
The company is currently conducting a review of the balance sheet and the broker suggests there is scope for capital management. Morgan Stanley upgrades to Overweight from Equal-weight and reduces the target to $59 from $63. Industry view: Cautious.
Target price is $59.00 Current Price is $47.91 Difference: $11.09
If FLT meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately 23% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $54.62, suggesting upside of 14.0% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY19:
Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 175.00 cents and EPS of 293.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 297.4, implying annual growth of 14.2%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 179.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.7%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 16.1. |
Forecast for FY20:
Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 197.00 cents and EPS of 329.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 326.9, implying annual growth of 9.9%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 196.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.1%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.7. |
Market Sentiment: 0.5
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Morgans rates FLT as Upgrade to Add from Hold (1) -
First half and FY19 guidance were weaker than Morgans expected. The broker observes the top line may be growing but margins are under pressure because of higher costs. Nevertheless, Morgans believes the stock has been oversold and is now trading at a material discount to the sector.
The balance sheet is also strong and the company has an impressive track record in cash flow generation. Still, the broker cautions that patience is required and any re-rating will not occur until evidence the Australian business has recovered.
Rating is upgraded to Add from Hold and the target is reduced to $51 from $59.
Target price is $51.00 Current Price is $47.91 Difference: $3.09
If FLT meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 6% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $54.62, suggesting upside of 14.0% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY19:
Morgans forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 179.00 cents and EPS of 298.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 297.4, implying annual growth of 14.2%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 179.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.7%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 16.1. |
Forecast for FY20:
Morgans forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 197.00 cents and EPS of 328.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 326.9, implying annual growth of 9.9%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 196.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.1%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.7. |
Market Sentiment: 0.5
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
UBS rates FLT as Buy (1) -
The $390-420m in pre-tax profit guidance implies growth of 1-9%, UBS suggests. The broker leaves estimates unchanged and believes guidance is conservative, estimating Flight Centre is cycling over $50m of one-of costs in the second half of FY19 that were taken above the line previously.
The broker suspects the market is viewing the Australasian business as structurally challenged. Yet, following the fall in the share price over the last month, UBS reiterates a Buy rating. Target is $67.
Target price is $67.00 Current Price is $47.91 Difference: $19.09
If FLT meets the UBS target it will return approximately 40% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $54.62, suggesting upside of 14.0% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY19:
UBS forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 185.00 cents and EPS of 303.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 297.4, implying annual growth of 14.2%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 179.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.7%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 16.1. |
Forecast for FY20:
UBS forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 205.00 cents and EPS of 335.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 326.9, implying annual growth of 9.9%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 196.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.1%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.7. |
Market Sentiment: 0.5
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
HUB HUB24 LIMITED
Wealth Management & Investments
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Overnight Price: $11.65
Credit Suisse rates HUB as Neutral (3) -
HUB24 reported funds under administration of $9.1bn in the first quarter, up 10%. Market movements made a small positive contribution to growth.
Credit Suisse believes the business will attract significant flows in coming years because of a superior offering and a shift to specialist platform providers. However, with the share price rising substantially this year valuation appears full and a Neutral rating and $13.20 target are maintained.
Target price is $13.20 Current Price is $11.65 Difference: $1.55
If HUB meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately 13% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY19:
Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 11.00 cents and EPS of 19.00 cents. |
Forecast for FY20:
Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 16.00 cents and EPS of 29.00 cents. |
Market Sentiment: 0.5
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
JHX JAMES HARDIE INDUSTRIES N.V.
Building Products & Services
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Overnight Price: $18.91
Deutsche Bank rates JHX as Buy (1) -
Deutsche Bank updates currency forecasts but, following the changes, FY19 net profit estimates are largely unchanged with slight reductions made to FY20.
Buy rating and $23.60 target maintained.
Target price is $23.60 Current Price is $18.91 Difference: $4.69
If JHX meets the Deutsche Bank target it will return approximately 25% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $24.09, suggesting upside of 27.4% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in March.
Forecast for FY19:
Current consensus EPS estimate is 104.8, implying annual growth of N/A. Current consensus DPS estimate is 67.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.5%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 18.0. |
Forecast for FY20:
Current consensus EPS estimate is 122.5, implying annual growth of 16.9%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 77.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.1%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.4. |
This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.
Market Sentiment: 0.9
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
KDR KIDMAN RESOURCES LIMITED
New Battery Elements
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Overnight Price: $1.02
Ord Minnett rates KDR as Buy (1) -
Kidman Resources has published a pre-feasibility study on its integrated lithium business which includes a mine and concentrator at the Mount Holland tenements and the lithium refinery in Kwinana, Western Australia. The study assumes an integrated business producing 45,000 tpa of lithium hydroxide with capital costs of US$601m and first production in the second half of 2020.
Ord Minnett expects weak global sentiment towards the lithium market and legal proceedings related to the mining tenements will create obstacles for the stock. Nevertheless, the study should go some way towards establishing the valuation appeal of the project which can be more appropriately priced once sentiment improves.
Speculative Buy rating maintained and the target is $2.80.
This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.
Target price is $2.80 Current Price is $1.02 Difference: $1.78
If KDR meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 175% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY19:
Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 1.00 cents. |
Forecast for FY20:
Market Sentiment: 1.0
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Overnight Price: $15.32
Macquarie rates MIN as No Rating (-1) -
Mineral Resources has acquired the Kumina iron ore project for $27m. This acquisition expands the company's iron ore footprint in the Pilbara but, given the location, Macquarie finds it unclear if Mineral Resources will be able to incorporate the project into its infrastructure system.
Macquarie is currently on research restrictions and cannot advise a rating or target.
Current Price is $15.32. Target price not assessed.
Current consensus price target is $18.17, suggesting upside of 18.6% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY19:
Macquarie forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 84.00 cents and EPS of 181.10 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 152.0, implying annual growth of 4.6%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 54.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.6%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 10.1. |
Forecast for FY20:
Macquarie forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 94.00 cents and EPS of 199.70 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 205.2, implying annual growth of 35.0%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 82.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.4%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 7.5. |
Market Sentiment: 0.3
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Morgan Stanley rates MIN as Overweight (1) -
The company has acquired Kumina Iron Ore from BC Iron ((BCI)). Morgan Stanley notes the cash expenditure was $27m so the implications for the balance sheet are limited.
There is no feasibility available but the resources have indicated potential for product grades above 60% including a proportion as lump ore. Morgan Stanley retains an Overweight rating, In-Line industry view and $21 target.
Target price is $21.00 Current Price is $15.32 Difference: $5.68
If MIN meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately 37% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $18.17, suggesting upside of 18.6% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY19:
Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 32.40 cents and EPS of 146.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 152.0, implying annual growth of 4.6%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 54.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.6%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 10.1. |
Forecast for FY20:
Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY20 EPS of 211.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 205.2, implying annual growth of 35.0%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 82.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.4%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 7.5. |
Market Sentiment: 0.3
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
MQG MACQUARIE GROUP LIMITED
Wealth Management & Investments
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Overnight Price: $113.90
Morgan Stanley rates MQG as Overweight (1) -
Morgan Stanley believes Macquarie Group can continue to grow fees in a higher rate environment. The broker is increasingly confident in FY19 earnings growth and suggests guidance is likely to be upgraded at the first half result.
Morgan Stanley believes there is a role for infrastructure investment in a rising rate environment and, while tailwinds from lower rates may dissipate, as long as interest rate rises are gradual, inflation is higher and economic growth stronger, this may not necessarily create headwinds.
Overweight. Industry view is In-Line and the target is $130.
Target price is $130.00 Current Price is $113.90 Difference: $16.1
If MQG meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately 14% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $122.10, suggesting upside of 7.2% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in March.
Forecast for FY19:
Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 577.00 cents and EPS of 820.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 812.8, implying annual growth of 7.2%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 570.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.0%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.0. |
Forecast for FY20:
Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 617.00 cents and EPS of 886.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 854.6, implying annual growth of 5.1%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 597.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.2%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.3. |
Market Sentiment: 0.4
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Overnight Price: $4.30
Credit Suisse rates OGC as Outperform (1) -
Credit Suisse has factored in a mine life to the end of 2021 for Macraes but exploration suggests the current mine life may be exceeded.
The broker calculates a year of additional life of similar calibre to the current production could add 6-10c per share to value.
Outperform rating and $3.80 target maintained.
Target price is $3.80 Current Price is $4.30 Difference: minus $0.5 (current price is over target).
If OGC meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately minus 12% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).
Current consensus price target is $4.72, suggesting upside of 9.7% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in December.
Forecast for FY18:
Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 5.29 cents and EPS of 29.23 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 31.2, implying annual growth of N/A. Current consensus DPS estimate is 5.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.2%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.8. |
Forecast for FY19:
Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 5.29 cents and EPS of 20.64 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 31.8, implying annual growth of 1.9%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 6.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.5%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.5. |
This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.
Market Sentiment: 0.8
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
PWH PWR HOLDINGS LIMITED
Automobiles & Components
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Overnight Price: $3.81
Morgans rates PWH as Add (1) -
Morgans is impressed with the company's latest technology, demonstrated as part of the AGM. As a result of increased confidence in the outlook the broker upgrades its target to $4.25 from $3.60. Add rating maintained.
The broker observes the pipeline of work up to 2022 is very strong and the company has been awarded a number of OEM contracts.
Target price is $4.25 Current Price is $3.81 Difference: $0.44
If PWH meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 12% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY19:
Morgans forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 9.00 cents and EPS of 14.00 cents. |
Forecast for FY20:
Morgans forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 10.00 cents and EPS of 17.00 cents. |
Market Sentiment: 1.0
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Overnight Price: $14.35
Credit Suisse rates RMD as Neutral (3) -
Credit Suisse reviews assumptions ahead of the company's first quarter results on October 26. The broker expects weaker growth in US masks because of competition and suspects a cyclical challenge in Europe in FY19, as 12 months ago existing CPAP users in France upgraded to cloud connected devices to take advantage of higher reimbursement tariffs.
The broker maintains a Neutral rating and raises the target to $14.30 from $13.60.
Target price is $14.30 Current Price is $14.35 Difference: minus $0.05 (current price is over target).
If RMD meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately minus 0% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).
Current consensus price target is $14.66, suggesting upside of 2.2% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY19:
Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 20.09 cents and EPS of 43.56 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 51.5, implying annual growth of N/A. Current consensus DPS estimate is 20.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.5%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 27.9. |
Forecast for FY20:
Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 21.94 cents and EPS of 49.93 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 58.2, implying annual growth of 13.0%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 22.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.6%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 24.7. |
This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.
Market Sentiment: 0.3
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
RWC RELIANCE WORLDWIDE CORPORATION LIMITED
Building Products & Services
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Overnight Price: $4.68
Deutsche Bank rates RWC as Hold (3) -
Following changes to currency forecasts Deutsche Bank increases underlying net profit estimates marginally for FY19 and FY20, to $165m and $197m respectively.
Hold retained. Target is $4.80.
Target price is $4.80 Current Price is $4.68 Difference: $0.12
If RWC meets the Deutsche Bank target it will return approximately 3% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $5.89, suggesting upside of 25.9% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY19:
Current consensus EPS estimate is 22.2, implying annual growth of 80.5%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 10.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.3%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 21.1. |
Forecast for FY20:
Current consensus EPS estimate is 25.9, implying annual growth of 16.7%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 12.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.6%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 18.1. |
Market Sentiment: 0.5
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
VAH VIRGIN AUSTRALIA HOLDINGS LIMITED
Transportation & Logistics
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Overnight Price: $0.22
Credit Suisse rates VAH as Upgrade to Neutral from Underperform (3) -
First quarter revenue beat expectations and management expects second quarter revenue to rise 10% and underlying pre-tax profit to be at least $100m in the first half. Credit Suisse increases first half estimates to $120m. Rating is upgraded to Neutral from Underperform. Target is steady at $0.20.
The broker suspects Virgin Australia may be benefiting from the capacity cuts in the Qantas ((QAN)) domestic business. The broker raises FY19 pre-tax profit estimates by 17% but expects a weaker profit outcome in FY20 because of higher fuel costs.
Target price is $0.20 Current Price is $0.22 Difference: minus $0.02 (current price is over target).
If VAH meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately minus 9% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).
Current consensus price target is $0.21, suggesting downside of -5.7% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY19:
Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 0.64 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 0.2, implying annual growth of N/A. Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 110.0. |
Forecast for FY20:
Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 0.26 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 0.8, implying annual growth of 300.0%. Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 27.5. |
Market Sentiment: -0.5
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Deutsche Bank rates VAH as Hold (3) -
First quarter operating results were supported by solid domestic demand, revenue growth and hedging.
Deutsche Bank upgrades forecasts but retains a Hold rating because of higher fuel prices amid concerns price rises will start to affect demand. Target is raised to $0.24 from $0.23.
Target price is $0.24 Current Price is $0.22 Difference: $0.02
If VAH meets the Deutsche Bank target it will return approximately 9% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $0.21, suggesting downside of -5.7% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY19:
Current consensus EPS estimate is 0.2, implying annual growth of N/A. Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 110.0. |
Forecast for FY20:
Current consensus EPS estimate is 0.8, implying annual growth of 300.0%. Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 27.5. |
Market Sentiment: -0.5
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Ord Minnett rates VAH as Lighten (4) -
The better first half guidance indicates to Ord Minnett Virgin Australia is gaining ground on Qantas ((QAN)) but the second half of FY19 is likely to prove more challenging.
Fuel prices are likely to strengthen and, at spot prices, Ord Minnett estimates the fuel costs could increase to $1.23bn over FY19.
The broker also notes HNA Group is still considered to be a seller of its 19.9% stake as it divests assets in the bid to cut debt. This remains an overhang on the stock. Lighten rating and $0.20 target maintained.
This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.
Target price is $0.20 Current Price is $0.22 Difference: minus $0.02 (current price is over target).
If VAH meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately minus 9% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).
Current consensus price target is $0.21, suggesting downside of -5.7% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY19:
Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 0.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 0.2, implying annual growth of N/A. Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 110.0. |
Forecast for FY20:
Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 1.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 0.8, implying annual growth of 300.0%. Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 27.5. |
Market Sentiment: -0.5
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
UBS rates VAH as Sell (5) -
Virgin Australia has announced revenue was up around 10% in the September quarter and forward bookings imply growth of around 10% in the December quarter. The company has also guided to underlying pre-tax profit of at least $100m in the first half.
Regardless, UBS reduces forecasts by -12-17% over the next three years to reflect rises in the fuel price and increases in underlying cost assumptions. The broker maintains a Sell rating and 19c target.
Target price is $0.19 Current Price is $0.22 Difference: minus $0.03 (current price is over target).
If VAH meets the UBS target it will return approximately minus 14% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).
Current consensus price target is $0.21, suggesting downside of -5.7% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY19:
UBS forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 1.30 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 0.2, implying annual growth of N/A. Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 110.0. |
Forecast for FY20:
UBS forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 1.60 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 0.8, implying annual growth of 300.0%. Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 27.5. |
Market Sentiment: -0.5
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Overnight Price: $3.49
Citi rates VOC as Downgrade to Neutral from Buy (3) -
Vocus is in a transition year, Citi suggests, with new management in place which should provide for a rebase for earnings growth from FY20. The broker sees a meaningful step-up in earnings over the longer term but it is a three year recovery story.
With no meaningful upgrades likely this year and the stock price approaching Citi's target, the broker downgrades to Neutral from Buy. Target unchanged at $3.65.
Target price is $3.65 Current Price is $3.49 Difference: $0.16
If VOC meets the Citi target it will return approximately 5% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $2.86, suggesting downside of -18.1% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY19:
Citi forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 16.70 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 16.5, implying annual growth of 68.2%. Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 21.2. |
Forecast for FY20:
Citi forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 3.10 cents and EPS of 17.60 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 18.2, implying annual growth of 10.3%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 1.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.5%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 19.2. |
Market Sentiment: -0.2
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Overnight Price: $5.22
Macquarie rates WHC as Neutral (3) -
The first quarter was weaker, as expected. Going forward, Macquarie notes consensus expectations factor in a fall in seaborne thermal coal prices in the face of rising Chinese coal production, and switching to gas and renewables.
However, Macquarie is cautious and believes, while the structural shift from coal will eventually arrive, for those willing to risk a delay for yet another year there is potential dividend and cash flow yield on offer. Neutral rating and $5.20 target maintained.
Target price is $5.20 Current Price is $5.22 Difference: minus $0.02 (current price is over target).
If WHC meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately minus 0% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).
Current consensus price target is $5.86, suggesting upside of 12.2% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY19:
Macquarie forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 32.00 cents and EPS of 66.90 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 70.8, implying annual growth of 33.1%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 46.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 9.0%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 7.4. |
Forecast for FY20:
Macquarie forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 23.00 cents and EPS of 22.70 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 42.2, implying annual growth of -40.4%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 27.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.2%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.4. |
Market Sentiment: 0.8
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
WOR WORLEYPARSONS LIMITED
Energy Sector Contracting
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Overnight Price: $17.84
Citi rates WOR as Buy (1) -
Citi locally notes that Citi US has upgraded Jacobs ECR to Buy given the premium Worley is set to pay for a selection of the company's assets. Citi locally retains Buy for Worley given the acquisition will diversify sector and geographical exposure, make Worley the leader in certain sectors and position the company for a recovery in key markets.
Everyone's a winner. The broker believes synergy targets can be achieved. The flipside is Worley is likely no longer itself a takeover target, the broker notes. Target falls to $20.70 from $21.45 on dilution.
Target price is $20.70 Current Price is $17.84 Difference: $2.86
If WOR meets the Citi target it will return approximately 16% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $18.41, suggesting upside of 3.2% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY19:
Citi forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 36.00 cents and EPS of 63.10 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 76.1, implying annual growth of 226.6%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 37.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.1%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 23.4. |
Forecast for FY20:
Citi forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 62.00 cents and EPS of 96.60 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 92.7, implying annual growth of 21.8%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 52.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.9%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 19.2. |
Market Sentiment: 0.2
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Deutsche Bank rates WOR as Hold (3) -
WorleyParsons will acquire Jacob's Engineering's energy, chemcials and resources business for $4.6bn. Deutsche Bank observes the company is paying a full price although the transaction creates global leadership with exposure to the US chemicals and downstream market.
The broker calculates the acquisition to be 3-4% accretive. Deutsche Bank retains a Hold rating. Target is $19.10.
Target price is $19.10 Current Price is $17.84 Difference: $1.26
If WOR meets the Deutsche Bank target it will return approximately 7% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $18.41, suggesting upside of 3.2% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY19:
Current consensus EPS estimate is 76.1, implying annual growth of 226.6%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 37.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.1%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 23.4. |
Forecast for FY20:
Current consensus EPS estimate is 92.7, implying annual growth of 21.8%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 52.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.9%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 19.2. |
Market Sentiment: 0.2
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Macquarie rates WOR as No Rating (-1) -
WorleyParsons will acquire the energy, chemicals and resource business of Jacob's Engineering for US$3.3bn.
Cost synergies of $130m per annum are expected within two years of completing the transaction. The deal is to be funded by an entitlement offer, share issue and debt.
Macquarie is on research restrictions and cannot offer a rating or target.
Current Price is $17.84. Target price not assessed.
Current consensus price target is $18.41, suggesting upside of 3.2% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY19:
Macquarie forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 38.00 cents and EPS of 83.40 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 76.1, implying annual growth of 226.6%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 37.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.1%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 23.4. |
Forecast for FY20:
Macquarie forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 45.70 cents and EPS of 98.80 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 92.7, implying annual growth of 21.8%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 52.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.9%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 19.2. |
Market Sentiment: 0.2
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Morgan Stanley rates WOR as Equal-weight (3) -
WorleyParsons has acquired the energy, chemicals & resources division from Jacob's Engineering for US$3.3bn. The company plans to fund the acquisition via a non-renounceable entitlement offer, stock and additional debt.
Jacob's Engineering will own around 11% of the enlarged group. The transaction will increase exposure to downstream engineering and chemicals and Morgan Stanley notes a strong geographical advantage in North America and parts of Europe. The broker estimates the transaction could double WorleyParsons net profit.
The broker believes WorleyParsons has been trading at a premium to international peers after Dar Group made a formal offer for the company 12 months ago, subsequently building a stake. Dar Group has confirmed it will take up its entitlement.
Morgan Stanley retains an Equal-weight rating and downgrades the target to $18.33 from $20.13. Industry view is Attractive.
Target price is $18.33 Current Price is $17.84 Difference: $0.49
If WOR meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately 3% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $18.41, suggesting upside of 3.2% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY19:
Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 38.00 cents and EPS of 77.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 76.1, implying annual growth of 226.6%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 37.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.1%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 23.4. |
Forecast for FY20:
Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 52.00 cents and EPS of 87.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 92.7, implying annual growth of 21.8%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 52.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.9%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 19.2. |
Market Sentiment: 0.2
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Ord Minnett rates WOR as Buy (1) -
WorleyParsons will pay US$3.3bn to acquire the energy, chemicals and resources division of US-listed Jacob's Engineering, which is expected to more than double the size of the Australian company.
Ord Minnett is positive about the transaction as the assets complement the existing WorleyParsons business. This is the largest transaction to date for the company and should expand its geographical footprint to include the US, Canada and Europe. Ord Minnett maintains a Buy rating and $22.50 target.
This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.
Target price is $22.50 Current Price is $17.84 Difference: $4.66
If WOR meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 26% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $18.41, suggesting upside of 3.2% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY19:
Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 39.00 cents and EPS of 81.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 76.1, implying annual growth of 226.6%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 37.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.1%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 23.4. |
Forecast for FY20:
Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 54.00 cents and EPS of 92.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 92.7, implying annual growth of 21.8%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 52.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.9%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 19.2. |
Market Sentiment: 0.2
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
UBS rates WOR as Neutral (3) -
WorleyParsons will purchase the energy, chemicals and resources division of Jacob's Engineering. The acquisition its expected to deliver around 20% accretion to earnings per share, which increases to around 50% upon the inclusion of $130m in identified cost synergies.
UBS observes the combined entity will provide customers with an integrated end-to-end solution. The broker maintains a Neutral rating and $19.30 target, noting WorleyParsons reiterated FY19 outlook commentary.
Target price is $19.30 Current Price is $17.84 Difference: $1.46
If WOR meets the UBS target it will return approximately 8% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $18.41, suggesting upside of 3.2% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY19:
UBS forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 34.00 cents and EPS of 76.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 76.1, implying annual growth of 226.6%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 37.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.1%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 23.4. |
Forecast for FY20:
UBS forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 49.00 cents and EPS of 89.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 92.7, implying annual growth of 21.8%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 52.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.9%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 19.2. |
Market Sentiment: 0.2
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Overnight Price: $2.35
Credit Suisse rates WSA as Outperform (1) -
The definitive feasibility study at Odysseus has revealed a larger, long-life project with lower operating expenditure but higher capital expenditure. First production is expected in 2022.
Credit Suisse believes the commitment to Odysseus addresses the market's concerns over the short reserve life at Flying Fox and adds long-term visibility to production. Outperform rating and $3 target maintained.
Target price is $3.00 Current Price is $2.35 Difference: $0.65
If WSA meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately 28% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $3.19, suggesting upside of 35.6% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY19:
Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 2.00 cents and EPS of 17.48 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 16.6, implying annual growth of 282.5%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 3.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.4%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.2. |
Forecast for FY20:
Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 2.00 cents and EPS of 24.09 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 23.4, implying annual growth of 41.0%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 6.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.6%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 10.0. |
Market Sentiment: 0.6
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Macquarie rates WSA as Outperform (1) -
Macquarie observes the Odysseus definitive feasibility study has outlined a larger scale, longer life project which underpins the company's outlook.
Pre-production capital expenditure of $299m is 25% higher than the broker expected because of a change in mining methodology. However, this is largely offset by lower life-of-mine operating costs.
Macquarie maintains an Outperform rating and reduces the target by 3% to $3.30.
Target price is $3.30 Current Price is $2.35 Difference: $0.95
If WSA meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 40% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $3.19, suggesting upside of 35.6% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY19:
Macquarie forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 2.00 cents and EPS of 21.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 16.6, implying annual growth of 282.5%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 3.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.4%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.2. |
Forecast for FY20:
Macquarie forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 12.00 cents and EPS of 38.10 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 23.4, implying annual growth of 41.0%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 6.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.6%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 10.0. |
Market Sentiment: 0.6
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Morgan Stanley rates WSA as Underweight (5) -
Morgan Stanley is increasingly confident now that improved resource numbers for Odysseus have been confirmed by a definitive feasibility study. Processing capacity has increased to 900,000 tpa with mine life extended to 10 years. A maiden reserve of 164,000t of nickel was declared.
Underweight retained. Industry view is In-Line. Target is steady at $2.55.
Target price is $2.55 Current Price is $2.35 Difference: $0.2
If WSA meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately 9% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $3.19, suggesting upside of 35.6% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY19:
Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 6.00 cents and EPS of 14.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 16.6, implying annual growth of 282.5%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 3.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.4%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.2. |
Forecast for FY20:
Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 6.00 cents and EPS of 17.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 23.4, implying annual growth of 41.0%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 6.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.6%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 10.0. |
Market Sentiment: 0.6
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
UBS rates WSA as Neutral (3) -
UBS notes the Odysseus definitive feasibility study has indicated the project is economic. A decision to mine has been made. First concentrate is scheduled for 2022.
Project scope has been lifted with mine life extended through to the early 2030s and, the broker suspects, possibly towards 2040. UBS likes the nickel exposure but considers the share price in line with valuation, retaining a Neutral rating. Target is reduced to $2.65 from $2.85.
Target price is $2.65 Current Price is $2.35 Difference: $0.3
If WSA meets the UBS target it will return approximately 13% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $3.19, suggesting upside of 35.6% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY19:
UBS forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 4.00 cents and EPS of 10.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 16.6, implying annual growth of 282.5%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 3.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.4%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.2. |
Forecast for FY20:
UBS forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 9.00 cents and EPS of 25.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 23.4, implying annual growth of 41.0%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 6.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.6%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 10.0. |
Market Sentiment: 0.6
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Today's Price Target Changes
Company | Broker | New Target | Prev Target | Change | |
CIP | CENTURIA INDUSTRIAL REIT | Morgans | 2.71 | 3.03 | -10.56% |
DHG | DOMAIN HOLDINGS | Citi | 2.75 | 2.50 | 10.00% |
FLT | FLIGHT CENTRE | Citi | 51.00 | 57.60 | -11.46% |
Credit Suisse | 43.67 | 44.17 | -1.13% | ||
Deutsche Bank | 53.00 | 56.00 | -5.36% | ||
Macquarie | 47.00 | 48.80 | -3.69% | ||
Morgan Stanley | 59.00 | 63.00 | -6.35% | ||
Morgans | 51.00 | 59.00 | -13.56% | ||
PWH | PWR HOLDINGS | Morgans | 4.25 | 3.60 | 18.06% |
RMD | RESMED | Credit Suisse | 14.30 | 13.60 | 5.15% |
VAH | VIRGIN AUSTRALIA | Deutsche Bank | 0.24 | 0.23 | 4.35% |
WOR | WORLEYPARSONS | Citi | 20.70 | 21.45 | -3.50% |
Deutsche Bank | 19.10 | 18.22 | 4.83% | ||
Macquarie | N/A | 20.05 | -100.00% | ||
Morgan Stanley | 18.33 | 20.13 | -8.94% | ||
WSA | WESTERN AREAS | Macquarie | 3.30 | 3.40 | -2.94% |
UBS | 2.65 | 2.85 | -7.02% |
Summaries
CIP | CENTURIA INDUSTRIAL REIT | Hold - Morgans | Overnight Price $2.75 |
DHG | DOMAIN HOLDINGS | Upgrade to Neutral from Sell - Citi | Overnight Price $2.65 |
DMP | DOMINO'S PIZZA | Buy - UBS | Overnight Price $56.27 |
FLT | FLIGHT CENTRE | Neutral - Citi | Overnight Price $47.91 |
Upgrade to Neutral from Underperform - Credit Suisse | Overnight Price $47.91 | ||
Hold - Deutsche Bank | Overnight Price $47.91 | ||
Upgrade to Neutral from Underperform - Macquarie | Overnight Price $47.91 | ||
Upgrade to Overweight from Equal-weight - Morgan Stanley | Overnight Price $47.91 | ||
Upgrade to Add from Hold - Morgans | Overnight Price $47.91 | ||
Buy - UBS | Overnight Price $47.91 | ||
HUB | HUB24 | Neutral - Credit Suisse | Overnight Price $11.65 |
JHX | JAMES HARDIE | Buy - Deutsche Bank | Overnight Price $18.91 |
KDR | KIDMAN RESOURCES | Buy - Ord Minnett | Overnight Price $1.02 |
MIN | MINERAL RESOURCES | No Rating - Macquarie | Overnight Price $15.32 |
Overweight - Morgan Stanley | Overnight Price $15.32 | ||
MQG | MACQUARIE GROUP | Overweight - Morgan Stanley | Overnight Price $113.90 |
OGC | OCEANAGOLD | Outperform - Credit Suisse | Overnight Price $4.30 |
PWH | PWR HOLDINGS | Add - Morgans | Overnight Price $3.81 |
RMD | RESMED | Neutral - Credit Suisse | Overnight Price $14.35 |
RWC | RELIANCE WORLDWIDE | Hold - Deutsche Bank | Overnight Price $4.68 |
VAH | VIRGIN AUSTRALIA | Upgrade to Neutral from Underperform - Credit Suisse | Overnight Price $0.22 |
Hold - Deutsche Bank | Overnight Price $0.22 | ||
Lighten - Ord Minnett | Overnight Price $0.22 | ||
Sell - UBS | Overnight Price $0.22 | ||
VOC | VOCUS GROUP | Downgrade to Neutral from Buy - Citi | Overnight Price $3.49 |
WHC | WHITEHAVEN COAL | Neutral - Macquarie | Overnight Price $5.22 |
WOR | WORLEYPARSONS | Buy - Citi | Overnight Price $17.84 |
Hold - Deutsche Bank | Overnight Price $17.84 | ||
No Rating - Macquarie | Overnight Price $17.84 | ||
Equal-weight - Morgan Stanley | Overnight Price $17.84 | ||
Buy - Ord Minnett | Overnight Price $17.84 | ||
Neutral - UBS | Overnight Price $17.84 | ||
WSA | WESTERN AREAS | Outperform - Credit Suisse | Overnight Price $2.35 |
Outperform - Macquarie | Overnight Price $2.35 | ||
Underweight - Morgan Stanley | Overnight Price $2.35 | ||
Neutral - UBS | Overnight Price $2.35 |
RATING SUMMARY
Rating | No. Of Recommendations |
1. Buy | 14 |
3. Hold | 17 |
4. Reduce | 1 |
5. Sell | 2 |
Tuesday 23 October 2018
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