Australian Broker Call

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March 31, 2021

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COMPANIES DISCUSSED IN THIS ISSUE

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The number next to the symbol represents the number of brokers covering it for this report -(if more than 1).

Last Updated: 05:00 PM

Your daily news report on the latest recommendation, valuation, forecast and opinion changes.

This report includes concise but limited reviews of research recently published by Stockbrokers, which should be considered as information concerning likely market behaviour rather than advice on the securities mentioned. Do not act on the contents of this Report without first reading the important information included at the end.

For more info about the different terms used by stockbrokers, as well as the different methodologies behind similar sounding ratings, download our guide HERE

Today's Upgrades and Downgrades
AFG - Australian Finance Upgrade to Add from Hold Morgans
AGL - AGL Energy Downgrade to Hold from Accumulate Ord Minnett
CRN - Coronado Global Resources Downgrade to Hold from Add Morgans
ADI  APN INDUSTRIA REIT

REITs

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Overnight Price: $2.96

Macquarie rates ADI as Neutral (3) -

APN Industria REIT has acquired 45-65 O’Briens Road in Corio (VIC) for -$36m reflecting a 5.5% cap rate/initial yield. The REIT continues to up-weight to industrial though the valuation remains a challenge relative to peers, explains Macquarie.

The Neutral rating is retained and the target price lowered to $2.66 from $2.73 to reflect the acquisition, a delay in settlement at Butler Boulevard and modelling adjustments.

Target price is $2.66 Current Price is $2.96 Difference: minus $0.3 (current price is over target).
If ADI meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately minus 10% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY21:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 17.10 cents and EPS of 19.80 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.78%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.95.

Forecast for FY22:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 16.90 cents and EPS of 19.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.71%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.03.

Market Sentiment: 0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

AFG  AUSTRALIAN FINANCE GROUP LTD

Banks

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Overnight Price: $2.58

Morgans rates AFG as Upgrade to Add from Hold (1) -

Morgans increases EPS forecasts for FY22 and FY23 by 6.8% and 8.4% due to increased net interest margin (NIM) forecasts and increased loan growth forecasts. The rating is upgraded to Add from Hold and the target to $2.90 from $2.60.

The broker expects the current contraction in residential mortgage backed securities (RMBS) will allow the AFG securities (AFGS) business to offer sharper pricing on its variable rate home loan products.

Target price is $2.90 Current Price is $2.58 Difference: $0.32
If AFG meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 12% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $3.12, suggesting upside of 18.6% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY21:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 15.00 cents and EPS of 19.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.81%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.58.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 15.4, implying annual growth of -11.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 13.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 17.1.

Forecast for FY22:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 17.00 cents and EPS of 21.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.59%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 12.29.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 15.2, implying annual growth of -1.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 13.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 17.3.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

AGL  AGL ENERGY LIMITED

Infrastructure & Utilities

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Overnight Price: $9.81

Macquarie rates AGL as No Rating (-1) -

Building on prima facie comments yesterday, Macquarie notes the New AGL's value is in its customers, and the wind and battery development pipeline. PrimeCo is the cash/yield generator leveraged to a recovery in power prices, explains the broker.

The analyst believes the creation of the New AGL will highlight the potential of telco/utility convergence, as access to the company’s 2.5m households would be attractive. It's considered likely to have solid non-cyclical earnings with capability to adapt to emerging technology.

Due to research restrictions, Macquarie cannot advise its valuation on AGL at present.

Current Price is $9.81. Target price not assessed.

Current consensus price target is $10.11, suggesting upside of 4.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY21:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 86.00 cents and EPS of 86.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 8.77%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 11.41.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 86.3, implying annual growth of -45.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 83.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 8.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 11.2.

Forecast for FY22:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 46.00 cents and EPS of 45.50 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.69%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 21.56.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 64.5, implying annual growth of -25.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 64.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.0.

Market Sentiment: -0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Morgan Stanley rates AGL as Underweight (5) -

AGL Energy has announced a separation of its parts. The new AGL will be a short energy carbon-neutral retailer, retaining most of its gas contracts including legacy contracts and the Crib Point import terminal. It will also run the newly acquired commercial solar businesses.

Over time, Morgan Stanley anticipates it will develop into a carbon-neutral integrated entity. The main uncertainty is just the detail in initial offtake agreements.

The other part, PrimeCo, will house the coal-fired generation, some gas and 0.9GW of wind farm offtake obligations to 2030.

Morgan Stanley suspects, if AGL is successful, more thermal carve-outs will occur in the industry but contend with limited debt and equity appetite.

Underweight rating. Target is reduced to $9.28 from $10.68. Industry view: Cautious.

Target price is $9.28 Current Price is $9.81 Difference: minus $0.53 (current price is over target).
If AGL meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately minus 5% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $10.11, suggesting upside of 4.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY21:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 89.00 cents and EPS of 88.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 9.07%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 11.15.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 86.3, implying annual growth of -45.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 83.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 8.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 11.2.

Forecast for FY22:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 60.00 cents and EPS of 60.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.12%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 16.35.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 64.5, implying annual growth of -25.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 64.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.0.

Market Sentiment: -0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Morgans rates AGL as Hold (3) -

AGL energy is investigating splitting into ‘New AGL’ which will focus on retail (and will be Scope 1 and 2 carbon neutral from creation), while ‘PrimeCo’ will hold the legacy thermal assets.

While there are opportunities to drive costs down, New AGL may need to effectively transfer value to Prime by underwriting its offtake for a period of time, explains the broker.

In the short term, Morgans thinks Australia’s electricity market weakness will continue to dominate the earnings profile of both parts of the business and the target is lowered to $9.74 from $10.43, as conditions remain weak. The Hold rating is maintained.

Target price is $9.74 Current Price is $9.81 Difference: minus $0.07 (current price is over target).
If AGL meets the Morgans target it will return approximately minus 1% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $10.11, suggesting upside of 4.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY21:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 82.00 cents and EPS of 82.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 8.36%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 11.96.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 86.3, implying annual growth of -45.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 83.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 8.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 11.2.

Forecast for FY22:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 66.00 cents and EPS of 66.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.73%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.86.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 64.5, implying annual growth of -25.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 64.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.0.

Market Sentiment: -0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Ord Minnett rates AGL as Downgrade to Hold from Accumulate (3) -

AGL Energy will divide into two energy businesses, basically retail and generation. Ord Minnett notes a lack of detail regarding capital structures, offtake arrangements and final asset allocations which makes it difficult to assess how the split will appeal to investors.

The broker suspects the retail business will not take on significant wholesale price risk so that the generation part, PrimeCo, cannot be structured as an infrastructure asset.

There are challenges ahead and the broker downgrades to Hold from Accumulate, finding it difficult to envisage how PrimeCo can be made attractive as a stand-alone entity. Target is lowered to $11.00 from $14.05.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Target price is $11.00 Current Price is $9.81 Difference: $1.19
If AGL meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 12% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $10.11, suggesting upside of 4.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY21:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 72.00 cents and EPS of 82.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 7.34%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 11.96.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 86.3, implying annual growth of -45.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 83.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 8.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 11.2.

Forecast for FY22:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 66.00 cents and EPS of 67.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.73%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.64.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 64.5, implying annual growth of -25.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 64.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.0.

Market Sentiment: -0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

ALL  ARISTOCRAT LEISURE LIMITED

Gaming

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Overnight Price: $33.61

Credit Suisse rates ALL as Outperform (1) -

The company has noted that slot machine industries in Australia and the US have recovered beyond original hopes and turnover through its machines is above pre-pandemic expectations. In both geographies Aristocrat Leisure has gained market share.

There has been heightened interest from venues in North America in lease and revenue share pricing because of constrained budgets and risk aversion. Credit Suisse upgrades estimates slightly, buyback 4-5%, and retains an Outperform rating. Target is raised to $38.00 from $34.50.

Target price is $38.00 Current Price is $33.61 Difference: $4.39
If ALL meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately 13% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $36.90, suggesting upside of 7.1% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in September.

Forecast for FY21:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 42.00 cents and EPS of 101.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.25%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 33.28.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 103.9, implying annual growth of -51.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 41.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 33.2.

Forecast for FY22:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 68.00 cents and EPS of 151.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.02%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 22.26.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 152.4, implying annual growth of 46.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 62.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 22.6.

Market Sentiment: 0.8

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Morgan Stanley rates ALL as Overweight (1) -

After the briefing, Morgan Stanley is now more confident that Aristocrat Leisure will emerge from the pandemic in a stronger competitive position with significant options on its balance sheet.

The company has noted a developing trend of operators preferring leasing over outright purchases and is considered well-placed to take advantage.

The broker notes the company has been actively evaluating opportunities across existing businesses as well as new ones. Nevertheless, digital multiples are elevated, making it hard. Morgan Stanley retains an Overweight rating and $38 target.

Target price is $38.00 Current Price is $33.61 Difference: $4.39
If ALL meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately 13% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $36.90, suggesting upside of 7.1% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in September.

Forecast for FY21:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 41.00 cents and EPS of 104.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.22%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 32.32.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 103.9, implying annual growth of -51.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 41.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 33.2.

Forecast for FY22:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 63.00 cents and EPS of 154.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.87%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 21.82.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 152.4, implying annual growth of 46.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 62.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 22.6.

Market Sentiment: 0.8

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Ord Minnett rates ALL as Accumulate (2) -

Aristocrat Leisure has indicated North America is ahead of expectations in terms of the recovery from the pandemic. Just over 92% of venues are open.

The Australian market is also ahead of expectations. The company intends to expand into all digital genres as well as find new avenues for expansion.

Ord Minnett retains an Accumulate rating and $36.90 target.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Target price is $36.90 Current Price is $33.61 Difference: $3.29
If ALL meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 10% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $36.90, suggesting upside of 7.1% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in September.

Forecast for FY21:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY21 EPS of 76.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 44.22.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 103.9, implying annual growth of -51.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 41.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 33.2.

Forecast for FY22:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY22 EPS of 129.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 26.05.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 152.4, implying annual growth of 46.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 62.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 22.6.

Market Sentiment: 0.8

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

ANZ  AUSTRALIA & NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP

Banks

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Overnight Price: $28.10

Macquarie rates ANZ as Outperform (1) -

Macquarie draws upon the UK experience to estimate the impact upon bank margins of lower rates for lower loan-to value ratio (LVR) mortgages. The broker concludes this will be an additional headwind contributing to mortgage margin compression and lower returns.

In aggregate, should a similar margin differentiation to UK banks across products hypothetically fully flow through Australian banks’ portfolios, the analyst sees an around -5-20 basis point impact to group margins.

ANZ Bank is one of Macquarie's preferred exposures in the sector and also the least impacted by the above scenario. The Outperform rating and $30 target are unchanged.

Target price is $30.00 Current Price is $28.10 Difference: $1.9
If ANZ meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 7% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $28.56, suggesting upside of 0.8% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in September.

Forecast for FY21:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 130.00 cents and EPS of 191.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.63%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.71.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 204.6, implying annual growth of 54.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 131.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.8.

Forecast for FY22:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 130.00 cents and EPS of 191.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.63%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.71.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 206.3, implying annual growth of 0.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 141.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.7.

Market Sentiment: 0.9

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

AWC  ALUMINA LIMITED

Aluminium, Bauxite & Alumina

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Overnight Price: $1.74

Macquarie rates AWC as Neutral (3) -

After a sensistivity analysis, Macquarie determines the company's dividends and AWAC earnings are highly sensitive to alumina prices, which are currently subdued and have recently slipped below US$300/t.

The broker also points out the company’s three year average dividend yield of 6% screens well against the ASX100 though spot iron ore divided yields of around 10-20% remain preferred. 

Alumina Limited’s dividend yields for 2021-23 are around 5-8% both based on Macquarie's outlook and in a spot-price scenario. The target is raised to $1.80 from $1.70 due to EPS forecast upgrades following a lowering of caustic soda assumptions by the analyst.

Target price is $1.80 Current Price is $1.74 Difference: $0.06
If AWC meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 3% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $1.93, suggesting upside of 10.5% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY21:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 10.30 cents and EPS of 8.91 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.92%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 19.53.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 9.9, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 9.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 17.7.

Forecast for FY22:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 12.95 cents and EPS of 11.28 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 7.44%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.43.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 12.9, implying annual growth of 30.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 13.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 7.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.6.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.7

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

BEN  BENDIGO AND ADELAIDE BANK LIMITED

Banks

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Overnight Price: $9.89

Macquarie rates BEN as Outperform (1) -

Macquarie draws upon the UK experience to estimate the impact upon bank margins of lower rates for lower loan-to value ratio (LVR) mortgages. The broker concludes this will be an additional headwind contributing to mortgage margin compression and lower returns.

In aggregate, should a similar margin differentiation to UK banks across products hypothetically fully flow through Australian banks’ portfolios, the analyst sees an around -5-20 basis point impact to group margins.

Bendigo and Adelaide Bank is one of Macquarie's preferred exposures in the sector. The Outperform rating and $11 target are unchanged.

Target price is $11.00 Current Price is $9.89 Difference: $1.11
If BEN meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 11% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $10.27, suggesting upside of 1.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY21:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 52.00 cents and EPS of 66.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.26%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.98.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 69.3, implying annual growth of 16.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 51.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.6.

Forecast for FY22:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 50.00 cents and EPS of 66.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.06%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.98.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 69.5, implying annual growth of 0.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 51.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.5.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

BOQ  BANK OF QUEENSLAND LIMITED

Banks

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Overnight Price: $8.52

Macquarie rates BOQ as No Rating (-1) -

Macquarie draws upon the UK experience to estimate the impact upon bank margins of lower rates for lower loan-to value ratio (LVR) mortgages. The broker concludes this will be an additional headwind contributing to mortgage margin compression and lower returns.

In aggregate, should a similar margin differentiation to UK banks across products hypothetically fully flow through Australian banks’ portfolios, the analyst sees an around -5-20 basis point impact to group margins.

Macquarie is under advice restriction for Bank of Queensland and no rating is provided.

Current Price is $8.52. Target price not assessed.

Current consensus price target is $9.15, suggesting upside of 5.5% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in August.

Forecast for FY21:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 35.00 cents and EPS of 56.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.11%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.21.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 59.4, implying annual growth of 126.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 37.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.6.

Forecast for FY22:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 45.00 cents and EPS of 67.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.28%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 12.72.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 65.7, implying annual growth of 10.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 44.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.2.

Market Sentiment: 0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

CBA  COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA

Banks

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Overnight Price: $85.40

Macquarie rates CBA as Neutral (3) -

Macquarie draws upon the UK experience to estimate the impact upon bank margins of lower rates for lower loan-to value ratio (LVR) mortgages. The broker concludes this will be an additional headwind contributing to mortgage margin compression and lower returns.

In aggregate, should a similar margin differentiation to UK banks across products hypothetically fully flow through Australian banks’ portfolios, the analyst sees an around -5-20 basis point impact to group margins.

The Neutral rating and $81.5 target are retained for Commonwealth Bank of Australia.

Target price is $81.50 Current Price is $85.40 Difference: minus $3.9 (current price is over target).
If CBA meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately minus 5% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $80.71, suggesting downside of -6.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY21:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 350.00 cents and EPS of 440.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.10%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 19.41.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 451.5, implying annual growth of 9.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 332.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 19.2.

Forecast for FY22:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 370.00 cents and EPS of 478.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.33%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 17.87.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 490.2, implying annual growth of 8.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 372.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 17.7.

Market Sentiment: -0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

CRN  CORONADO GLOBAL RESOURCES

Coal

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Overnight Price: $0.88

Morgans rates CRN as Downgrade to Hold from Add (3) -

Morgans believes the share price is vulnerable to a downside pricing scenario in the absence of a sustained met coal price recovery. The broker has always felt the company is a leveraged play on met coal pricing more than a play on production growth or development.

Now with sluggish QLD hard coking coal prices back near US$115/t, it places upward pressure on net debt, explains the broker.This needs to be weighed against a compelling earnings/valuation leverage to healthier prices.

Morgans downgrades the rating to Hold from Add. The target is lowered to $1 from $1.27 after the broker applies a -5% discount to a revised valuation to reflect the potential downside coal price scenario.

Target price is $1.00 Current Price is $0.88 Difference: $0.12
If CRN meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 14% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $1.30, suggesting upside of 42.9% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY21:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 4.18 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 21.07.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 0.8, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 0.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 113.8.

Forecast for FY22:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 2.79 cents and EPS of 9.61 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.16%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 9.16.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 11.6, implying annual growth of 1350.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 4.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 7.8.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.8

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

DBI  DALRYMPLE BAY INFRASTRUCTURE LTD

Infrastructure & Utilities

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Overnight Price: $2.16

Citi rates DBI as Buy (1) -

The Queensland Competition Authority has refused Dalrymple Bay's application for  "light handed regulation". Importantly, there was no objection to the negotiate-arbitrage model, Citi notes, and amendments to the agreement may be achievable within the timeframe required.

Hence, the broker considers the decision relatively positive and in line with its partial approval thesis. An agreement before July 1, 2021, when the old agreement is due to expire, is also considered likely. Buy rating and $2.51 target maintained.

Target price is $2.51 Current Price is $2.16 Difference: $0.35
If DBI meets the Citi target it will return approximately 16% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $2.52, suggesting upside of 15.6% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY21:

Citi forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 18.30 cents and EPS of 7.40 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 8.47%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 29.19.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 8.1, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 18.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 8.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 26.9.

Forecast for FY22:

Citi forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 18.60 cents and EPS of 8.40 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 8.61%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 25.71.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 10.7, implying annual growth of 32.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 18.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 8.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 20.4.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

MCR  MINCOR RESOURCES NL

Nickel

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Overnight Price: $0.96

Macquarie rates MCR as Outperform (1) -

After a site tour, Macquarie is satisfied work at Cassini is progressing in-line with budget and is encouraged by the solid ground conditions in the decline.The Durkin North decline is also well underway and ore extraction is expected to commence by November 2021.

The analyst highlights the company is set to return to producer status in the next twelve months and sees considerable upside risk to the base case through exploration success. The Outperform rating and $1.30 target are retained.

Target price is $1.30 Current Price is $0.96 Difference: $0.34
If MCR meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 35% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY21:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 3.50 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 27.43.

Forecast for FY22:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 3.10 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 30.97.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

MYX  MAYNE PHARMA GROUP LIMITED

Pharmaceuticals & Biotech/Lifesciences

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Overnight Price: $0.35

Citi rates MYX as Neutral (3) -

Mithra, the developer of Nextstellis, has received approval in Canada and a positive opinion in Europe. Mayne Pharma is the licensee for the drug in the US. As a result, Citi believes it more likely than not approval will come from the US FDA in the fourth quarter of FY21.

This is incorporated into forecasts, with sales expected to start in the first quarter of FY22. Nextstellis is expected to become a positive contributor to earnings in FY23. Neutral/High Risk retained. Target rises to $0.43 from $0.32.

Target price is $0.43 Current Price is $0.35 Difference: $0.08
If MYX meets the Citi target it will return approximately 23% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $0.35, suggesting downside of -3.5% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY21:

Citi forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 1.20 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 29.17.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is -0.8, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is N/A.

Forecast for FY22:

Citi forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 0.10 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 350.00.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 0.5, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 72.0.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

NAB  NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED

Banks

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Overnight Price: $25.91

Macquarie rates NAB as Neutral (3) -

Macquarie draws upon the UK experience to estimate the impact upon bank margins of lower rates for lower loan-to value ratio (LVR) mortgages. The broker concludes this will be an additional headwind contributing to mortgage margin compression and lower returns.

In aggregate, should a similar margin differentiation to UK banks across products hypothetically fully flow through Australian banks’ portfolios, the analyst sees an around -5-20 basis point impact to group margins.

The Neutral rating and $26.75 target are retained for National Australia Bank.  

Target price is $26.75 Current Price is $25.91 Difference: $0.84
If NAB meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 3% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $26.41, suggesting upside of 1.2% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in September.

Forecast for FY21:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 110.00 cents and EPS of 165.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.25%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.70.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 171.4, implying annual growth of 41.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 118.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.2.

Forecast for FY22:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 115.00 cents and EPS of 169.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.44%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.33.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 178.1, implying annual growth of 3.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 129.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.7.

Market Sentiment: 0.4

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

NIC  NICKEL MINES LIMITED

Nickel

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Overnight Price: $1.26

Macquarie rates NIC as Outperform (1) -

Nickel Mines has completed the US$175m senior unsecured notes offering, with funds to be used to complete the second stage of the Angel Nickel Project.

Macquarie considers upgrade momentum is strong with a spot price scenario generating 10-25% higher earnings in 2021-23.

The Outperform rating and $1.50 target are retained. Completion of the Angel Nickel project acquisition is expected imminently and should see a doubling of share of contained nickel production from around 30ktpa to circa 65ktpa by 2023, explains the analyst.

Target price is $1.50 Current Price is $1.26 Difference: $0.24
If NIC meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 19% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $1.57, suggesting upside of 27.4% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY21:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 4.73 cents and EPS of 9.33 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.76%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.51.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 10.1, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 4.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.2.

Forecast for FY22:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 4.18 cents and EPS of 8.49 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.32%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.84.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 8.3, implying annual growth of -17.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 4.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.8.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.7

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

SHL  SONIC HEALTHCARE LIMITED

Healthcare services

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Overnight Price: $35.21

Morgan Stanley rates SHL as Overweight (1) -

Morgan Stanley increases earnings estimates, expecting benefits from ongoing coronavirus testing and a recovery in base business volumes.

For now, the broker assumes testing ends in December 2021 with a minimal contribution from US serology testing in 2022. Morgan Stanley believes the strength of the balance sheet is under appreciated by the market. Covid-19 testing has also driven gearing to record lows.

The broker retains an Overweight rating and raises the target to $39.80 from $39.70. Industry view: In-line.

Target price is $39.80 Current Price is $35.21 Difference: $4.59
If SHL meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately 13% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $37.38, suggesting upside of 5.9% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY21:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 86.90 cents and EPS of 277.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.47%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 12.71.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 250.1, implying annual growth of 125.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 115.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.1.

Forecast for FY22:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 53.60 cents and EPS of 178.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.52%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 19.78.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 160.9, implying annual growth of -35.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 101.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 21.9.

Market Sentiment: 0.6

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

STO  SANTOS LIMITED

NatGas

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Overnight Price: $7.13

Macquarie rates STO as Neutral (3) -

Santos has taken a final investment decision on the US$3.6bn Barossa gas/LNG project.

The event triggers the selldown of a -25% interest in Bayu Undan and Darwin LNG to SK Group, resulting in US$390m gross proceeds, offset by a -US$200m contingent payment to ConocoPhillips. 

While maintaining a Neutral rating, Macquarie considers the risk/reward profile is improving. The broker's near-term EPS forecasts are largely unchanged though the target price is increased to $7.75 from $7.50 on enhanced Barossa project assumptions.

Target price is $7.75 Current Price is $7.13 Difference: $0.62
If STO meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 9% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $7.81, suggesting upside of 9.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY21:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 9.75 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.37%.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 46.6, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 13.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.3.

Forecast for FY22:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 4.18 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.59%.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 47.6, implying annual growth of 2.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 13.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.0.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Morgan Stanley rates STO as Overweight (1) -

Santos has announced a final investment decision has been made on Barossa. This will trigger the sale of a 25% interest in Darwin LNG and Bayu-Undan, raising a net US$200m. Santos is also finalising an agreement for a 12.5% interest in Barossa.

Morgan Stanley believes the project make sense in the current environment, being a brownfield project that is using some downstream LNG infrastructure. LNG offtake agreements are in place for around 80% of the company's sales from the project.

Overweight rating is retained. Target is $7.90. Industry view: Attractive.

Target price is $7.90 Current Price is $7.13 Difference: $0.77
If STO meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately 11% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $7.81, suggesting upside of 9.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY21:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 14.48 cents and EPS of 51.52 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.03%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.84.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 46.6, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 13.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.3.

Forecast for FY22:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 17.13 cents and EPS of 50.13 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.40%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.22.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 47.6, implying annual growth of 2.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 13.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.0.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Ord Minnett rates STO as Accumulate (2) -

A final investment decision has given the go-ahead to Barossa, which will backfill the Darwin LNG project. This should sustain production from the facility for a further 20 years.

Ord Minnett anticipates the equity sell-downs at the Bayu-Undan, Darwin LNG and Barossa will further strengthen the balance sheet and provide options for future growth. Accumulate rating and $7.95 target maintained.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Target price is $7.95 Current Price is $7.13 Difference: $0.82
If STO meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 12% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $7.81, suggesting upside of 9.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY21:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 18.10 cents and EPS of 54.30 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.54%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.13.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 46.6, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 13.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.3.

Forecast for FY22:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 12.53 cents and EPS of 45.95 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.76%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.52.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 47.6, implying annual growth of 2.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 13.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.0.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


UBS rates STO as Buy (1) -

Barossa has achieved a final investment decision which de-risks the project. Santos has an agreement to sell -25% of Darwin LNG and Bayu-Undan on achieving FID at Barossa. This sale should now occur at the end of April and result in net funds of around $200m.

UBS lifts its risk weighting to 85% from 75%. Santos remains the broker's preferred exposure across the energy sector as it is trading with the lowest implied oil price.

There are also near-term growth catalysts such as FEED for Dorado in the first half of 2021 and FID on Moomba CCS in the second half. UBS retains a Buy rating and raises the target to $8.35 from $8.20.

Target price is $8.35 Current Price is $7.13 Difference: $1.22
If STO meets the UBS target it will return approximately 17% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $7.81, suggesting upside of 9.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY21:

UBS forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 11.14 cents and EPS of 55.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.56%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 12.80.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 46.6, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 13.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.3.

Forecast for FY22:

UBS forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 11.14 cents and EPS of 61.26 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.56%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 11.64.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 47.6, implying annual growth of 2.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 13.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.0.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

WBC  WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION

Banks

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Overnight Price: $24.36

Macquarie rates WBC as Neutral (3) -

Macquarie draws upon the UK experience to estimate the impact upon bank margins of lower rates for lower loan-to value ratio (LVR) mortgages. The broker concludes this will be an additional headwind contributing to mortgage margin compression and lower returns.

In aggregate, should a similar margin differentiation to UK banks across products hypothetically fully flow through Australian banks’ portfolios, the analyst sees an around -5-20 basis point impact to group margins.

Westpac Bank is the most affected by the above scenario in Macquarie's coverage of banks. The Neutral rating and $25.75 target are unchanged.

Target price is $25.75 Current Price is $24.36 Difference: $1.39
If WBC meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 6% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $26.11, suggesting upside of 6.6% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in September.

Forecast for FY21:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 120.00 cents and EPS of 166.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.93%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.67.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 173.6, implying annual growth of 139.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 122.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.1.

Forecast for FY22:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 120.00 cents and EPS of 156.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.93%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.62.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 174.7, implying annual growth of 0.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 129.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.0.

Market Sentiment: 0.7

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

WSA  WESTERN AREAS NL

Nickel

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Overnight Price: $2.04

Ord Minnett rates WSA as Buy (1) -

Nickel prices have fallen -18% from February highs amid weaker demand for electric vehicles and increased supply of nickel pig iron. Ord Minnett reduces its short-term price forecast by -15% to US$7.50/lb.

Earnings estimates are reduced substantially for Western Areas although the target is unchanged at $3.10 after the AM6 mine life is added to calculations along with increasing mill capacity at Odysseus. Accumulate retained.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Target price is $3.10 Current Price is $2.04 Difference: $1.06
If WSA meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 52% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $2.65, suggesting upside of 28.4% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY21:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY21 EPS of minus 3.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 68.00.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is -0.7, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 0.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is N/A.

Forecast for FY22:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY22 EPS of 3.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 68.00.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 4.3, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 0.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 47.9.

Market Sentiment: 0.6

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

Today's Price Target Changes
Company Last Price Broker New Target Prev Target Change
ADI APN Industria Reit $2.94 Macquarie 2.66 2.73 -2.56%
AFG Australian Finance $2.63 Morgans 2.90 2.60 11.54%
AGL AGL Energy $9.66 Macquarie N/A 9.84 -100.00%
Morgan Stanley 9.28 10.68 -13.11%
Morgans 9.74 10.43 -6.62%
Ord Minnett 11.00 14.05 -21.71%
ALL Aristocrat Leisure $34.46 Credit Suisse 38.00 34.50 10.14%
AWC Alumina $1.75 Macquarie 1.80 1.70 5.88%
CRN Coronado Global Resources $0.91 Morgans 1.00 1.27 -21.26%
MYX Mayne Pharma Group $0.36 Citi 0.43 0.32 34.37%
SHL Sonic Healthcare $35.31 Morgan Stanley 39.80 39.70 0.25%
STO Santos $7.12 Macquarie 7.75 7.50 3.33%
Ord Minnett 7.95 7.50 6.00%
UBS 8.35 8.20 1.83%
WSA Western Areas $2.06 Ord Minnett 3.10 3.20 -3.13%
Summaries
ADI APN Industria Reit Neutral - Macquarie Overnight Price $2.96
AFG Australian Finance Upgrade to Add from Hold - Morgans Overnight Price $2.58
AGL AGL Energy No Rating - Macquarie Overnight Price $9.81
Underweight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $9.81
Hold - Morgans Overnight Price $9.81
Downgrade to Hold from Accumulate - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $9.81
ALL Aristocrat Leisure Outperform - Credit Suisse Overnight Price $33.61
Overweight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $33.61
Accumulate - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $33.61
ANZ ANZ Banking Group Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $28.10
AWC Alumina Neutral - Macquarie Overnight Price $1.74
BEN Bendigo And Adelaide Bank Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $9.89
BOQ Bank Of Queensland No Rating - Macquarie Overnight Price $8.52
CBA Commbank Neutral - Macquarie Overnight Price $85.40
CRN Coronado Global Resources Downgrade to Hold from Add - Morgans Overnight Price $0.88
DBI DALRYMPLE BAY INFRASTRUCTURE LTD Buy - Citi Overnight Price $2.16
MCR Mincor Resources Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $0.96
MYX Mayne Pharma Group Neutral - Citi Overnight Price $0.35
NAB National Australia Bank Neutral - Macquarie Overnight Price $25.91
NIC Nickel Mines Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $1.26
SHL Sonic Healthcare Overweight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $35.21
STO Santos Neutral - Macquarie Overnight Price $7.13
Overweight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $7.13
Accumulate - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $7.13
Buy - UBS Overnight Price $7.13
WBC Westpac Banking Neutral - Macquarie Overnight Price $24.36
WSA Western Areas Buy - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $2.04
RATING SUMMARY
Rating No. Of Recommendations
1. Buy

12

2. Accumulate

2

3. Hold

10

5. Sell

1

Wednesday 31 March 2021

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The content of this information does in no way reflect the opinions of FNArena, or of its journalists. In fact we don't have any opinion about the stock market, its value, future direction or individual shares. FNArena solely reports about what the main experts in the market note, believe and comment on. By doing so we believe we provide intelligent investors with a valuable tool that helps them in making up their own minds, reading market trends and getting a feel for what is happening beneath the surface. This document is provided for informational purposes only. It does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy any security or other financial instrument. FNArena employs very experienced journalists who base their work on information believed to be reliable and accurate, though no guarantee is given that the daily report is accurate or complete. Investors should contact their personal adviser before making any investment decision.