Australian Broker Call

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June 01, 2020

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COMPANIES DISCUSSED IN THIS ISSUE

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The number next to the symbol represents the number of brokers covering it for this report -(if more than 1).

Last Updated: 05:00 PM

Your daily news report on the latest recommendation, valuation, forecast and opinion changes.

This report includes concise but limited reviews of research recently published by Stockbrokers, which should be considered as information concerning likely market behaviour rather than advice on the securities mentioned. Do not act on the contents of this Report without first reading the important information included at the end.

For more info about the different terms used by stockbrokers, as well as the different methodologies behind similar sounding ratings, download our guide HERE

Today's Upgrades and Downgrades
APT - Afterpay Downgrade to Hold from Add Morgans
BIN - Bingo Industries Upgrade to Buy from Neutral Citi
CGC - Costa Group Upgrade to Add from Hold Morgans
EVT - Event Hospitality Downgrade to Neutral from Buy Citi
FNP - Freedom Foods Downgrade to Hold from Add Morgans
LOV - Lovisa Downgrade to Sell from Buy Citi
VCX - Vicinity Centres Upgrade to Outperform from Neutral Credit Suisse
VEA - Viva Energy Group Upgrade to Add from Hold Morgans
APT  AFTERPAY LIMITED

Business & Consumer Credit

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Overnight Price: $47.57

Morgans rates APT as Downgrade to Hold from Add (3) -

The stock is trading at its highest multiples compared with historical averages. Morgans upgrades earnings forecasts for the next two years because of improved revenue and bad debt assumptions, based on recent trends.

However, the rating is downgraded to Hold from Add on valuation grounds. Target is raised to $46.00 from $33.11. The fact Tencent has taken a 5% stake in the company is an advantage, in the broker's view, providing substantial options going forward.

Target price is $46.00 Current Price is $47.57 Difference: minus $1.57 (current price is over target).
If APT meets the Morgans target it will return approximately minus 3% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $32.18, suggesting downside of -32.3% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 7.90 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 602.15.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is -19.9, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is N/A.

Forecast for FY21:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 9.30 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 511.51.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is -8.9, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is N/A.

Market Sentiment: 0.2

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

APX  APPEN LIMITED

IT & Support

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Overnight Price: $30.80

Citi rates APX as Buy (1) -

Appen has reiterated FY20 earnings guidance but this implies a minor downgrade given the translation benefit from a lower Australian dollar over March and April, Citi notes.

Still, the investment in sales and marketing is running to plan which also signals confidence in the demand outlook.

The broker retains a Buy rating and believes the business is well-placed to benefit from increased expenditure on artificial intelligence. Target is $30.90.

Target price is $30.90 Current Price is $30.80 Difference: $0.1
If APX meets the Citi target it will return approximately 0% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $31.48, suggesting upside of 2.2% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY20:

Citi forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 11.00 cents and EPS of 68.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.36%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 45.29.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 65.7, implying annual growth of 86.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 11.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 46.9.

Forecast for FY21:

Citi forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 15.60 cents and EPS of 89.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.51%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 34.38.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 85.7, implying annual growth of 30.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 14.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 35.9.

Market Sentiment: 0.6

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


UBS rates APX as Buy (1) -

Appen has reaffirmed guidance, expecting 2020 underlying earnings (EBITDA) in the range of $125-130m. UBS finds operating momentum positive and suspects there is upside risk to the guidance.

Importantly the company has reiterated expectations for a material step-up in investment in the first half, which signals confidence in the near-term growth opportunities. Buy and $32 target retained.

Target price is $32.00 Current Price is $30.80 Difference: $1.2
If APX meets the UBS target it will return approximately 4% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $31.48, suggesting upside of 2.2% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY20:

UBS forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 13.60 cents and EPS of 66.50 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.44%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 46.32.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 65.7, implying annual growth of 86.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 11.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 46.9.

Forecast for FY21:

UBS forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 18.90 cents and EPS of 92.50 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.61%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 33.30.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 85.7, implying annual growth of 30.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 14.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 35.9.

Market Sentiment: 0.6

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

ASB  AUSTAL LIMITED

Commercial Services & Supplies

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Overnight Price: $3.65

Citi rates ASB as Buy (1) -

The company has upgraded FY20 guidance and Citi highlights the opportunities in autonomous vehicles, hospital ships in the US and potential in the Philippines.

The broker suspects guidance could be conservative if Austal can continue to operate its shipyards without disruption from the pandemic. Buy rating maintained. Target is raised to $4.05 from $3.38.

Target price is $4.05 Current Price is $3.65 Difference: $0.4
If ASB meets the Citi target it will return approximately 11% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $3.22, suggesting downside of -11.9% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Citi forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 6.30 cents and EPS of 23.80 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.73%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.34.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 23.4, implying annual growth of 33.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 6.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.6.

Forecast for FY21:

Citi forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 6.80 cents and EPS of 22.10 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.86%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 16.52.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 24.9, implying annual growth of 6.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 7.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.7.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Ord Minnett rates ASB as Lighten (4) -

Austal has upgraded FY20 revenue and earnings guidance. The company has seen a strong recovery in its US shipbuilding business with margins improving each year, reports Ord Minnett.

The broker considers near-term earnings predictable but is not so positive on long term earnings with more than 70% earnings coming to an end soon, but as yet not being replaced by similar programs.

Rating maintained at Lighten with the target price increased to $2.50 from $2.40.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Target price is $2.50 Current Price is $3.65 Difference: minus $1.15 (current price is over target).
If ASB meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately minus 32% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $3.22, suggesting downside of -11.9% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY20 EPS of 24.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.21.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 23.4, implying annual growth of 33.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 6.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.6.

Forecast for FY21:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY21 EPS of 28.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.04.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 24.9, implying annual growth of 6.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 7.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.7.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

AWC  ALUMINA LIMITED

Aluminium, Bauxite & Alumina

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Overnight Price: $1.51

Morgan Stanley rates AWC as Overweight (1) -

Alcoa is reviewing its San Ciprian aluminium plant (Spain) post which it plans on starting a dismissal process. While the alumina refinery, 100% owned by AWAC (in which Alumina has a 40% stake) is not under review, Morgan Stanley notes it incurs high operating costs and there may be scope for restructuring the business.

The broker retains its Overweight rating with a target price of $2.05. Industry view: In-line.

Target price is $2.05 Current Price is $1.51 Difference: $0.54
If AWC meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately 36% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $1.65, suggesting upside of 9.3% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 10.71 cents and EPS of 11.91 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 7.10%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 12.68.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 8.3, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 7.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 18.2.

Forecast for FY21:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 11.46 cents and EPS of 7.44 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 7.59%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 20.30.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 9.3, implying annual growth of 12.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 10.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 7.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 16.2.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.2

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

BIN  BINGO INDUSTRIES LIMITED

Industrial Sector Contractors & Engineers

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Overnight Price: $2.55

Citi rates BIN as Upgrade to Buy from Neutral (1) -

Citi lowers FY20 forecasts by around -8% to reflect weaker waste collections and post collections volumes. Volumes are expected to return to trend growth from the second half of FY21.

The broker still expects Bingo Industries can reach its long-run margin target of around 30%. The broker also suspects consensus estimates and expectations for a market share war are overdone.

Rating is upgraded to Buy/High Risk from Neutral/High Risk and the target lowered to $3.10 from $3.30.

Target price is $3.10 Current Price is $2.55 Difference: $0.55
If BIN meets the Citi target it will return approximately 22% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $2.44, suggesting downside of -4.4% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Citi forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 4.20 cents and EPS of 8.40 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.65%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 30.36.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 8.0, implying annual growth of 105.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 3.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 31.9.

Forecast for FY21:

Citi forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 4.50 cents and EPS of 10.10 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.76%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 25.25.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 6.7, implying annual growth of -16.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 2.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 38.1.

Market Sentiment: 0.6

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

BKL  BLACKMORES LIMITED

Health & Nutrition

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Overnight Price: $82.55

Citi rates BKL as Neutral (3) -

Citi assesses Blackmores is trying to establish a platform for more sustainable and predictable growth. The capital raising reduces gearing and allows for investment in the business prior to the $50m in cost savings coming through by FY23.

Still, Citi assesses risks remain high in China. In Australasia strong demand for immunity products has led to some being out of stock amid reduced promotions.

Blackmores is also trying to reduce its reliance on the retail channel and build a stronger presence in practitioner markets. Neutral rating and $79.80 target maintained.

Target price is $79.80 Current Price is $82.55 Difference: minus $2.75 (current price is over target).
If BKL meets the Citi target it will return approximately minus 3% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $72.47, suggesting downside of -12.2% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Citi forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 116.20 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 71.04.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 110.1, implying annual growth of -64.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 75.0.

Forecast for FY21:

Citi forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 116.30 cents and EPS of 166.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.41%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 49.73.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 191.5, implying annual growth of 73.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 135.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 43.1.

Market Sentiment: -0.2

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

CGC  COSTA GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED

Agriculture

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Overnight Price: $3.18

Citi rates CGC as Neutral (3) -

The AGM included qualitative comments regarding trading which, on balance, Citi assesses has been good so far. The broker considers the business is on track to meet forecasts.

The main negatives have been lower demand for tomatoes and reduced volumes for raspberries. Citrus remains the biggest risk to earnings, with around $4-6m in EBITDA at risk in FY20, in the broker's estimates.

Buy rating and $3.40 target maintained.

Target price is $3.40 Current Price is $3.18 Difference: $0.22
If CGC meets the Citi target it will return approximately 7% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $3.32, suggesting upside of 4.5% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY20:

Citi forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 8.00 cents and EPS of 14.10 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.52%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 22.55.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 12.5, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 8.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 25.4.

Forecast for FY21:

Citi forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 10.50 cents and EPS of 15.80 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.30%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 20.13.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 16.6, implying annual growth of 32.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 11.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 19.2.

Market Sentiment: 0.4

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Credit Suisse rates CGC as Outperform (1) -

Credit Suisse found the AGM update conservative and retains estimates unchanged. Stronger prices and demand for mushrooms are holding up in the grocery channel while the company has described the citrus crop is smaller and variable.

In the berry market pricing remains strong. Outperform rating maintained. Target is $3.50.

Target price is $3.50 Current Price is $3.18 Difference: $0.32
If CGC meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately 10% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $3.32, suggesting upside of 4.5% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY20:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 7.20 cents and EPS of 10.98 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.26%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 28.96.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 12.5, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 8.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 25.4.

Forecast for FY21:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 9.20 cents and EPS of 15.37 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.89%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 20.69.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 16.6, implying annual growth of 32.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 11.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 19.2.

Market Sentiment: 0.4

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Macquarie rates CGC as Underperform (5) -

Macquarie found the AGM update mixed. The company has noted that the pandemic has meant a major dislocation of operations in markets and the international business.

This has affected the main harvest season in the UK, Europe and Morocco. On the positive side, demand and prices are solid, particularly in the retail market.

The main concern is citrus where there is generally smaller fruit. Underperform rating. Target is raised to $2.87 from $2.78.

Target price is $2.87 Current Price is $3.18 Difference: minus $0.31 (current price is over target).
If CGC meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately minus 10% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $3.32, suggesting upside of 4.5% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY20:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 10.00 cents and EPS of 11.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.14%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 27.41.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 12.5, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 8.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 25.4.

Forecast for FY21:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 13.50 cents and EPS of 15.90 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.25%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 20.00.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 16.6, implying annual growth of 32.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 11.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 19.2.

Market Sentiment: 0.4

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Morgans rates CGC as Upgrade to Add from Hold (1) -

Morgans assesses the outcome of the 2020 citrus crop is the main risk for the remainder of the year and will be the determinate of whether guidance is achieved.

The broker also believes Costa Group has done a good job of navigating pandemic-related challenges.

Amid signs the headwinds are moderating, Morgans upgrades to Add from Hold. Target is raised to $3.60 from $3.05.

Target price is $3.60 Current Price is $3.18 Difference: $0.42
If CGC meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 13% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $3.32, suggesting upside of 4.5% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 7.00 cents and EPS of 13.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.20%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 24.46.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 12.5, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 8.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 25.4.

Forecast for FY21:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 9.00 cents and EPS of 18.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.83%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 17.67.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 16.6, implying annual growth of 32.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 11.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 19.2.

Market Sentiment: 0.4

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


UBS rates CGC as Buy (1) -

UBS considers the AGM update in line with expectations and maintains forecasts. International business is stronger with good seasons in Morocco and China.

Mushrooms have benefited from improved pricing while citrus remains soft. The broker retains a Buy rating because of the improved earnings outlook and balance sheet. Target is $3.25.

Target price is $3.25 Current Price is $3.18 Difference: $0.07
If CGC meets the UBS target it will return approximately 2% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $3.32, suggesting upside of 4.5% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY20:

UBS forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 9.00 cents and EPS of 13.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.83%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 24.46.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 12.5, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 8.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 25.4.

Forecast for FY21:

UBS forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 14.00 cents and EPS of 18.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.40%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 17.67.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 16.6, implying annual growth of 32.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 11.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 19.2.

Market Sentiment: 0.4

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

CSL  CSL LIMITED

Pharmaceuticals & Biotech/Lifesciences

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Overnight Price: $284.09

Morgan Stanley rates CSL as Equal-weight (3) -

CSL has reaffirmed FY20 guidance but Morgan Stanley notes social distancing will impact plasma collection with April and May impacted. The broker also notes an increase in donor fees/cost per litre and expects these factors to impact earnings in the long term.

The broker forecasts a hit to collections to the tune of -10% in the June quarter with a rebound expected in the September quarter.

Equal-weight rating maintained with a target price of $288. Industry view: In-line.

Target price is $288.00 Current Price is $284.09 Difference: $3.91
If CSL meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately 1% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $314.81, suggesting upside of 10.8% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 294.15 cents and EPS of 661.36 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.04%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 42.96.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 694.0, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 308.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 40.9.

Forecast for FY21:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 345.98 cents and EPS of 776.79 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.22%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 36.57.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 780.8, implying annual growth of 12.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 344.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 36.4.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.4

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

EVT  EVENT HOSPITALITY AND ENTERTAINMENT LTD

Travel, Leisure & Tourism

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Overnight Price: $9.21

Citi rates EVT as Downgrade to Neutral from Buy (3) -

The share price has increased 52% since March 23 and, as a result, Citi downgrades to Neutral from Buy. The downgrade relates to risks to the cinema division outlook and the valuation of property.

While the hotel division should benefit from a resurgent domestic tourism sector, the broker still expects challenges from lower corporate travel because of increased use of videoconferencing.

Citi also suspects Event Hospitality will try to avoid raising equity and/or selling assets. New debt, however, may have higher borrowing costs or restrictions on dividends and growth capital expenditure. Target is raised to $9.75 from $7.45.

Target price is $9.75 Current Price is $9.21 Difference: $0.54
If EVT meets the Citi target it will return approximately 6% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Citi forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 21.00 cents and EPS of 4.10 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.28%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 224.63.

Forecast for FY21:

Citi forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 42.50 cents and EPS of 6.90 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.61%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 133.48.

Market Sentiment: 0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

FNP  FREEDOM FOODS GROUP LIMITED

Food, Beverages & Tobacco

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Overnight Price: $3.51

Citi rates FNP as Buy (1) -

The trading update disappointed Citi but the reasons are largely known and demand has started to improve. Growth strategies appear intact.

Citi expects the company will use $75m in increased short-term borrowing limits to meet its cash requirements in the second half.

The FY21 outlook is more positive as a number of factors, in addition to a consumer recovery, should contribute to better outcomes.

These include lower milk prices, amid more supply in the northern hemisphere and easing of drought locally, as well as cost savings.

Buy rating maintained. Target is reduced to $5.30 from $6.00.

Target price is $5.30 Current Price is $3.51 Difference: $1.79
If FNP meets the Citi target it will return approximately 51% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $4.79, suggesting upside of 36.6% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Citi forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 4.40 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 79.77.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 4.8, implying annual growth of 2.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 73.1.

Forecast for FY21:

Citi forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 7.70 cents and EPS of 12.80 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.19%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 27.42.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 11.6, implying annual growth of 141.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 3.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 30.3.

Market Sentiment: 0.7

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Morgans rates FNP as Downgrade to Hold from Add (3) -

The company's high-margin products have been severely affected by the restrictions relating to the pandemic. Morgans downgrades forecasts materially, expecting it will take time for the out-of-home channel to fully recover.

The broker believes Freedom Foods needs to closely manage its balance sheet or an equity raising will be required. As earnings will take time to recover and multiples are stretched, the broker downgrades to Hold from Add. Target is reduced to $4.33 from $5.05.

Target price is $4.33 Current Price is $3.51 Difference: $0.82
If FNP meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 23% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $4.79, suggesting upside of 36.6% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 4.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 87.75.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 4.8, implying annual growth of 2.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 73.1.

Forecast for FY21:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 9.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 39.00.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 11.6, implying annual growth of 141.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 3.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 30.3.

Market Sentiment: 0.7

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


UBS rates FNP as Buy (1) -

The impact of the pandemic is materially worse than UBS expected and second half estimates are reduced by -36% and FY21 by -14%. Debt concerns are heightened.

The main variance to the broker's previous expectations was the magnitude of the out-of-home impact, visibility on cream sales and promotional activity. UBS maintains a Buy rating and reduces the target to $4.75 from $6.40.

Target price is $4.75 Current Price is $3.51 Difference: $1.24
If FNP meets the UBS target it will return approximately 35% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $4.79, suggesting upside of 36.6% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

UBS forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 6.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 58.50.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 4.8, implying annual growth of 2.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 73.1.

Forecast for FY21:

UBS forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 4.00 cents and EPS of 13.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.14%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 27.00.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 11.6, implying annual growth of 141.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 3.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 30.3.

Market Sentiment: 0.7

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

JHC  JAPARA HEALTHCARE LIMITED

Aged Care & Seniors

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Overnight Price: $0.56

UBS rates JHC as Neutral (3) -

Occupancy has declined to 91.7% on May 26. The company's trading update showed net inflows from deposits of $18m in the second half. The broker suspects operating conditions remain challenging across the industry.

This is likely to continue into FY21 when the company will also be cycling around $5m in one-off government payments.

Japara Healthcare will deliver a -$270-300m impairment at its FY20 result, primarily affecting goodwill.

Neutral rating maintained. Target is reduced to $0.60 from $0.95.

Target price is $0.60 Current Price is $0.56 Difference: $0.04
If JHC meets the UBS target it will return approximately 7% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $0.67, suggesting upside of 18.8% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

UBS forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 2.00 cents and EPS of 2.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.57%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 28.00.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 2.9, implying annual growth of -52.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 2.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 19.3.

Forecast for FY21:

UBS forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 1.00 cents and EPS of 1.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.79%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 56.00.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 2.2, implying annual growth of -24.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 1.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 25.5.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

LOV  LOVISA HOLDINGS LIMITED

Luxury

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Overnight Price: $7.79

Citi rates LOV as Downgrade to Sell from Buy (5) -

Citi downgrades to Sell from Buy, following the V-shaped recovery in the share price, up 219% since March 19. The broker does not envisage downside risks are factored into consensus net profit forecasts, which assume FY22 will more than double FY20.

The broker envisages risks stemming from costume jewellery underperforming the broader discretionary retail category as well as dependence on shopping centres for foot traffic.

There is also the prospect of a slower roll-out of stores and exposure to countries that have experienced a greater impact from the pandemic. Target is reduced to $5.85 from $6.90.

Target price is $5.85 Current Price is $7.79 Difference: minus $1.94 (current price is over target).
If LOV meets the Citi target it will return approximately minus 25% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $6.67, suggesting downside of -14.4% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Citi forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 15.00 cents and EPS of 18.90 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.93%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 41.22.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 23.2, implying annual growth of -33.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 11.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 33.6.

Forecast for FY21:

Citi forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 10.00 cents and EPS of 15.10 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.28%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 51.59.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 30.1, implying annual growth of 29.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 18.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 25.9.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

NEC  NINE ENTERTAINMENT CO. HOLDINGS LIMITED

Print, Radio & TV

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Overnight Price: $1.50

Morgan Stanley rates NEC as Overweight (1) -

Nine Entertainment has revised the terms of its contract with NRL and the new one has a shorter season with Morgan Stanley noting a drop in FY20-22 costs.

The broker also approves of not extending the contract beyond three years due to fast-changing viewing patterns.

Overweight rating maintained with a target price of $1.90. Industry view: Attractive.

Target price is $1.90 Current Price is $1.50 Difference: $0.4
If NEC meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately 27% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $1.87, suggesting upside of 24.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY20 EPS of 13.50 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 11.11.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 9.4, implying annual growth of -37.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 6.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 16.0.

Forecast for FY21:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY21 EPS of 16.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 9.38.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 10.3, implying annual growth of 9.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 5.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.6.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Ord Minnett rates NEC as Buy (1) -

Nine Entertainment Group revised the NRL contract terms, expecting to save -$27.5m over FY21 and FY22. Ord Minnett expects free-to-air TV ads to decline in May and June by -35% year on year.

Revenue forecasts for FY20-21 have been downgraded to $2.2bn and $2.19bn by the broker. Buy recommendation reiterated with a target price of $2.10.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Target price is $2.10 Current Price is $1.50 Difference: $0.6
If NEC meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 40% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $1.87, suggesting upside of 24.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY20 EPS of 9.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 16.67.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 9.4, implying annual growth of -37.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 6.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 16.0.

Forecast for FY21:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY21 EPS of 9.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 16.67.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 10.3, implying annual growth of 9.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 5.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.6.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

OTW  OVER THE WIRE HOLDINGS LIMITED

Cloud services

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Overnight Price: $3.28

Morgans rates OTW as Hold (3) -

Despite the volatility over the last three months the business is tracking broadly in line with expectations.

The company has indicated it is comfortable with consensus expectations for FY20 and stronger demand for core voice and data services has offset weaker demand for project work.

Morgans revises forecasts marginally lower and retains a Hold rating believing, in the context of significant earnings declines for many companies, the update is a positive outcome. Target is reduced to $3.65 from $3.79.

Target price is $3.65 Current Price is $3.28 Difference: $0.37
If OTW meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 11% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 3.80 cents and EPS of 18.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.16%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 18.22.

Forecast for FY21:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 4.30 cents and EPS of 20.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.31%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 16.40.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

PBH  POINTSBET HOLDINGS LTD

Gaming

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Overnight Price: $6.00

Ord Minnett rates PBH as Buy (1) -

Pointsbet Holdings has benefited from horse racing in Australia which carried on even as sports shut down due to covid-19.

Ord Minnett notes the company is well-positioned due to its partnership with Channel 7. In the US, NBA and MLB aim for a return in July.

FY20-21 revenue forecasts increased by the broker. Ord Minnett reaffirms Buy with target price increased to $5.90 from $5.

Target price is $5.90 Current Price is $6.00 Difference: minus $0.1 (current price is over target).
If PBH meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately minus 2% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY20 EPS of minus 30.90 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 19.42.

Forecast for FY21:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY21 EPS of minus 51.50 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 11.65.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

RHC  RAMSAY HEALTH CARE LIMITED

Healthcare services

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Overnight Price: $69.23

UPDATED

Ord Minnett rates RHC as Accumulate (2) -

Ord Minnett is confident about Ramsay Health Care’s profitability rebounding in FY21 with core hospitals returning to normal. The broker forecasts increasing revenues due to deferred elective surgery cases.

FY21 earnings forecast revised upwards by 20% with the delayed Medibank Private (MBL)) contract presenting a key risk for the healthcare provider. Accumulate rating retained with target price increased to $78.25 from $66.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Target price is $78.25 Current Price is $69.23 Difference: $9.02
If RHC meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 13% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $67.52, suggesting downside of -2.5% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 62.50 cents and EPS of 199.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.90%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 34.79.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 193.1, implying annual growth of -27.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 63.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 35.9.

Forecast for FY21:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY21 EPS of 297.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 23.31.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 214.2, implying annual growth of 10.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 77.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 32.3.

Market Sentiment: 0.2

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

STO  SANTOS LIMITED

NatGas

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Overnight Price: $5.49

Credit Suisse rates STO as Resume Coverage with Outperform (1) -

Credit Suisse considers the two largest growth drivers are Dorado and Barossa, which are the most likely to proceed. The business has high exposure to the upside from a recovery in oil markets.

The broker also suggests Narrabri is more likely to proceed post the pandemic, with the lifting of onshore drilling restrictions in order to bolster the economic recovery.

Only PNG expansion remains materially at risk, in the broker's view. Credit Suisse resumes coverage with an Outperform rating and $6.61 target.

Target price is $6.61 Current Price is $5.49 Difference: $1.12
If STO meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately 20% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $5.85, suggesting upside of 6.5% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY20:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 10.52 cents and EPS of 27.56 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.92%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 19.92.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 20.1, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 7.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 27.3.

Forecast for FY21:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 9.94 cents and EPS of 31.62 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.81%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 17.36.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 29.5, implying annual growth of 46.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 7.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 18.6.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.6

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

SUL  SUPER RETAIL GROUP LIMITED

Automobiles & Components

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Overnight Price: $8.44

Macquarie rates SUL as Outperform (1) -

Macquarie considers the risk/reward more balanced now. The broker has feedback that suggests Supercheap Auto and Rebel are holding up well relative to other discretionary retail categories.

Macquarie suspects these brands will attract more investor attention in the current environment if this resilience continues and will support the share price despite weakness in the leisure brands.

Outperform rating maintained. Target is raised to $9 from $6.

Target price is $9.00 Current Price is $8.44 Difference: $0.56
If SUL meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 7% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $8.34, suggesting downside of -1.2% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 57.40 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.70.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 55.4, implying annual growth of -21.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 18.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.2.

Forecast for FY21:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 40.10 cents and EPS of 67.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.75%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 12.60.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 64.8, implying annual growth of 17.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 32.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.0.

Market Sentiment: 0.8

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

VCX  VICINITY CENTRES

REITs

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Overnight Price: $1.61

Credit Suisse rates VCX as Upgrade to Outperform from Neutral (1) -

Vicinity Centres has recently reported that 50% of retailers in its centres were open in the first week of May. The impact of rent relief on earnings remains unclear.

While Credit Suisse is unable to quantify the impact of the pandemic with any certainty, FY20-22 estimates are reduced by -8.0-14.5% to reflect the potential impact of rent relief and negative re-leasing spreads.

The company appears to be more inclined to take other capital management options, including cutting the dividend, rather than raising equity.

Nevertheless, the broker considers the downside is captured in the current price and upgrades to Outperform from Neutral. Target is reduced to $1.93 from $2.38.

Target price is $1.93 Current Price is $1.61 Difference: $0.32
If VCX meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately 20% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $1.73, suggesting upside of 7.6% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 14.00 cents and EPS of 16.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 8.70%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 10.06.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 15.0, implying annual growth of 65.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 11.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 7.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 10.7.

Forecast for FY21:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 13.00 cents and EPS of 15.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 8.07%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 10.73.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 14.6, implying annual growth of -2.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 12.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 7.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 11.0.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

VEA  VIVA ENERGY GROUP LIMITED

Crude Oil

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Overnight Price: $1.60

Morgans rates VEA as Upgrade to Add from Hold (1) -

Morgans suggests the recent sell-off in Viva Energy shares is overdone. Refining market conditions remain depressed but the recent divestment of property has ideally positioned the balance sheet, suggests the broker.

There is potential for a relief rally, stemming from initial signs that traffic activity is recovering, the report suggests. The broker upgrades to Add from Hold. Target is raised to $1.90 from $1.47.

Target price is $1.90 Current Price is $1.60 Difference: $0.3
If VEA meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 19% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $1.78, suggesting upside of 11.1% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 0.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 266.67.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 1.6, implying annual growth of -72.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 2.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 100.0.

Forecast for FY21:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 5.00 cents and EPS of 8.30 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.13%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 19.28.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 6.0, implying annual growth of 275.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 7.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 26.7.

Market Sentiment: 0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

VHT  VOLPARA HEALTH TECHNOLOGIES LIMITED

Medical Equipment & Devices

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Overnight Price: $1.41

Ord Minnett rates VHT as Hold (3) -

FY20 result of Volpara Health Technologies has the average rate of return (ARR) at NZ$18m, supported by the MRS systems acquisition.

Ord Minnett notes modest organic growth in the broader offering and expects management to focus on costs over the next 12 months. The broker considers ARR an important parameter for improvement and notes covid-19 to be a challenge.

Rating maintained at Hold with the target price reduced slightly to $1.46 from $1.47.

Target price is $1.46 Current Price is $1.41 Difference: $0.05
If VHT meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 4% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in March.

Forecast for FY21:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY21 EPS of minus 4.75 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 29.70.

Forecast for FY22:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY22 EPS of minus 3.32 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 42.42.

This company reports in NZD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

WPL  WOODSIDE PETROLEUM LIMITED

NatGas

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Overnight Price: $22.86

UBS rates WPL as Buy (1) -

The oil price has lifted from its April low, benefiting from a lift in sentiment as a result of reduced supply and the lifting of mobility restrictions.

Meanwhile, oil stocks have rallied up to 70% from the lows earlier in the year. UBS lifts Woodside Petroleum's price target to $26.00 from $22.64 on the improving sentiment. Buy rating maintained.

Target price is $26.00 Current Price is $22.86 Difference: $3.14
If WPL meets the UBS target it will return approximately 14% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $24.34, suggesting upside of 6.5% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY20:

UBS forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 37.20 cents and EPS of 44.64 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.63%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 51.21.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 66.3, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 29.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 34.5.

Forecast for FY21:

UBS forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 50.60 cents and EPS of 63.99 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.21%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 35.73.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 72.1, implying annual growth of 8.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 53.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 31.7.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.4

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

Today's Price Target Changes
Company Last Price Broker New Target Prev Target Change
APT Afterpay $47.57 Morgans 46.00 33.11 38.93%
ASB Austal $3.65 Citi 4.05 3.38 19.82%
Ord Minnett 2.50 2.40 4.17%
BIN Bingo Industries $2.55 Citi 3.10 3.30 -6.06%
CGC Costa Group $3.18 Macquarie 2.87 2.78 3.24%
Morgans 3.60 3.05 18.03%
CWY Cleanaway Waste Management $1.99 Citi 2.40 2.55 -5.88%
EVT Event Hospitality $9.21 Citi 9.75 7.45 30.87%
FNP Freedom Foods $3.51 Citi 5.30 6.00 -11.67%
Morgans 4.33 5.05 -14.26%
UBS 4.75 6.40 -25.78%
JHC Japara Healthcare $0.56 UBS 0.60 0.95 -36.84%
LOV Lovisa $7.79 Citi 5.85 13.20 -55.68%
OSH Oil Search $3.53 UBS 4.00 3.10 29.03%
OTW Over The Wire Holdings Ltd $3.28 Morgans 3.65 3.79 -3.69%
PBH Pointsbet Holdings $6.00 Ord Minnett 5.90 5.00 18.00%
RHC Ramsay Health Care $69.23 Ord Minnett 78.25 66.00 18.56%
STO Santos $5.49 Credit Suisse 6.61 N/A -
UBS 5.75 4.45 29.21%
SUL Super Retail $8.44 Macquarie 9.00 6.00 50.00%
VCX Vicinity Centres $1.61 Credit Suisse 1.93 2.38 -18.91%
VEA Viva Energy Group $1.60 Morgans 1.90 1.47 29.25%
VHT Volpara Health Technologies $1.41 Ord Minnett 1.46 1.47 -0.68%
WPL Woodside Petroleum $22.86 UBS 26.00 22.60 15.04%
Z1P Zip Co $3.75 Morgans 4.09 3.40 20.29%
Summaries
APT Afterpay Downgrade to Hold from Add - Morgans Overnight Price $47.57
APX Appen Buy - Citi Overnight Price $30.80
Buy - UBS Overnight Price $30.80
ASB Austal Buy - Citi Overnight Price $3.65
Lighten - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $3.65
AWC Alumina Overweight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $1.51
BIN Bingo Industries Upgrade to Buy from Neutral - Citi Overnight Price $2.55
BKL Blackmores Neutral - Citi Overnight Price $82.55
CGC Costa Group Neutral - Citi Overnight Price $3.18
Outperform - Credit Suisse Overnight Price $3.18
Underperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $3.18
Upgrade to Add from Hold - Morgans Overnight Price $3.18
Buy - UBS Overnight Price $3.18
CSL CSL Equal-weight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $284.09
EVT Event Hospitality Downgrade to Neutral from Buy - Citi Overnight Price $9.21
FNP Freedom Foods Buy - Citi Overnight Price $3.51
Downgrade to Hold from Add - Morgans Overnight Price $3.51
Buy - UBS Overnight Price $3.51
JHC Japara Healthcare Neutral - UBS Overnight Price $0.56
LOV Lovisa Downgrade to Sell from Buy - Citi Overnight Price $7.79
NEC Nine Entertainment Overweight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $1.50
Buy - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $1.50
OTW Over The Wire Holdings Ltd Hold - Morgans Overnight Price $3.28
PBH Pointsbet Holdings Buy - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $6.00
RHC Ramsay Health Care Accumulate - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $69.23
STO Santos Resume Coverage with Outperform - Credit Suisse Overnight Price $5.49
SUL Super Retail Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $8.44
VCX Vicinity Centres Upgrade to Outperform from Neutral - Credit Suisse Overnight Price $1.61
VEA Viva Energy Group Upgrade to Add from Hold - Morgans Overnight Price $1.60
VHT Volpara Health Technologies Hold - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $1.41
WPL Woodside Petroleum Buy - UBS Overnight Price $22.86
RATING SUMMARY
Rating No. Of Recommendations
1. Buy

18

2. Accumulate

1

3. Hold

9

4. Reduce

1

5. Sell

2

Monday 01 June 2020

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Disclaimer:
The content of this information does in no way reflect the opinions of FNArena, or of its journalists. In fact we don't have any opinion about the stock market, its value, future direction or individual shares. FNArena solely reports about what the main experts in the market note, believe and comment on. By doing so we believe we provide intelligent investors with a valuable tool that helps them in making up their own minds, reading market trends and getting a feel for what is happening beneath the surface. This document is provided for informational purposes only. It does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy any security or other financial instrument. FNArena employs very experienced journalists who base their work on information believed to be reliable and accurate, though no guarantee is given that the daily report is accurate or complete. Investors should contact their personal adviser before making any investment decision.