Australian Broker Call

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June 29, 2021

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COMPANIES DISCUSSED IN THIS ISSUE

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The number next to the symbol represents the number of brokers covering it for this report -(if more than 1).

Last Updated: 05:00 PM

Your daily news report on the latest recommendation, valuation, forecast and opinion changes.

This report includes concise but limited reviews of research recently published by Stockbrokers, which should be considered as information concerning likely market behaviour rather than advice on the securities mentioned. Do not act on the contents of this Report without first reading the important information included at the end.

For more info about the different terms used by stockbrokers, as well as the different methodologies behind similar sounding ratings, download our guide HERE

Today's Upgrades and Downgrades
ASG - Autosports Downgrade to Neutral from Outperform Macquarie
MGH - MAAS Downgrade to Hold from Add Morgans
360  LIFE360, INC

Software & Services

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Overnight Price: $5.96

Morgan Stanley rates 360 as Initiation of coverage with Overweight (1) -

Morgan Stanley observes Life360 has a user base of "unparalleled scale and engagement" and believes the business is under appreciated, envisaging a broader adoption and acceptance of location tracking.

Life360 plans to be a point of connection for families and has expanded from location tracking to a wide range of services such as roadside assistance, ID theft protection and phone insurance.

Morgan Stanley expects consumers will value the targeted product offers and initiates coverage on the stock with an Overweight rating and $8.60 target. Industry view is In-Line.

Target price is $8.60 Current Price is $5.96 Difference: $2.64
If 360 meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately 44% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY21:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 13.39 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 44.50.

Forecast for FY22:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 13.39 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 44.50.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

AIZ  AIR NEW ZEALAND LIMITED

Transportation & Logistics

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Overnight Price: $1.45

Macquarie rates AIZ as Underperform (5) -

Air New Zealand expects losses will remain significant over FY22 while pre-tax losses for FY21 are not expected to exceed -NZ$450m. No material long-haul recovery is expected in FY22 amid a rolling off of government support and other mechanisms.

Despite a weaker profit outlook the cash performance has been better, Macquarie notes, with no further drawdowns of the government facility since February. Target is reduced to NZ$1.10 from NZ$1.20. Underperform retained.

Current Price is $1.45. Target price not assessed.

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY21:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 24.67 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 5.88.

Forecast for FY22:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 20.01 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 7.25.

This company reports in NZD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: -1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

APT  AFTERPAY LIMITED

Business & Consumer Credit

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Overnight Price: $119.30

UBS rates APT as Sell (5) -

Afterpay has launched one-time cards for use at non-integrated merchants such as Amazon. UBS believes this represents an evolution in the company's revenue model, from merchant fees to affiliate marketing.

The broker considers this a positive development and increases medium term sales assumptions in the US by 29%. The base case now assumes $70bn in underlying sales in existing markets and a further $13bn in sales in new markets by FY25.

The re-evaluation of the sales outlook drives an increase in the target to $42 from $37. UBS maintains a Sell rating on valuation grounds.

Target price is $42.00 Current Price is $119.30 Difference: minus $77.3 (current price is over target).
If APT meets the UBS target it will return approximately minus 65% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $121.61, suggesting upside of 0.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY21:

UBS forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 12.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 994.17.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is -19.3, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is N/A.

Forecast for FY22:

UBS forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 67.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 178.06.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 27.2, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 443.8.

Market Sentiment: 0.4

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

ASG  AUTOSPORTS GROUP LIMITED

Automobiles & Components

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Overnight Price: $2.60

Macquarie rates ASG as Downgrade to Neutral from Outperform (3) -

The company has produced strong operating margins over FY21 as demand continues to outstrip supply. Despite some production limitations supply has performed in line with expectations.

Autosports has also acquired and 80% interest in John Newell Mazda, Alexandria. The purchase price is $12m in goodwill and $4m for the net asset interest, to be funded by existing cash.

Macquarie expects operating margins will remain elevated for the majority of FY22 but following the recent share price performance downgrades to Neutral from Outperform. Target is raised to $2.50 from $2.15.

Target price is $2.50 Current Price is $2.60 Difference: minus $0.1 (current price is over target).
If ASG meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately minus 4% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY21:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 9.40 cents and EPS of 25.50 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.62%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 10.20.

Forecast for FY22:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 12.50 cents and EPS of 25.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.81%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 10.40.

Market Sentiment: 0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


UBS rates ASG as Buy (1) -

Autosports Group will acquire an 80% stake in John Newell Mazda. Management has forecast around $90m in revenue for the business with operating earnings and pre-tax profit margins exceeding Autosports Group's first half margins.

The company has also provided a positive trading update amid strong demand, reduced discounting and a normalisation of the parts & services back end business.

UBS envisages margins will remain elevated for the next 6-12 months. The acquisition reinforces the consolidation opportunities and the broker considers the valuation compelling. Buy rating retained. Target rises to $3.00 from $2.85.

Target price is $3.00 Current Price is $2.60 Difference: $0.4
If ASG meets the UBS target it will return approximately 15% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY21:

UBS forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 7.00 cents and EPS of 22.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.69%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 11.82.

Forecast for FY22:

UBS forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 11.00 cents and EPS of 22.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.23%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 11.82.

Market Sentiment: 0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

BAP  BAPCOR LIMITED

Automobiles & Components

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Overnight Price: $8.40

Citi rates BAP as Buy (1) -

Citi believes there are plenty of medium and long-term growth opportunities for Bapcor as it cycles favourable changes to consumer mobility and retail conditions.

The main growth drivers include the rolling out of stores and private-label expansion. Bapcor remains the broker's top pick in the small cap automotive sector with a Buy rating. Target is raised to $9.55 from $9.50.

Target price is $9.55 Current Price is $8.40 Difference: $1.15
If BAP meets the Citi target it will return approximately 14% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $9.13, suggesting upside of 8.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY21:

Citi forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 19.00 cents and EPS of 36.40 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.26%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 23.08.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 37.3, implying annual growth of 38.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 17.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 22.5.

Forecast for FY22:

Citi forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 22.70 cents and EPS of 37.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.70%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 22.34.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 38.9, implying annual growth of 4.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 20.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 21.6.

Market Sentiment: 0.9

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Morgan Stanley rates BAP as Overweight (1) -

Bapcor has updated its five-year targets with a 260 store target in Australia, up from 240, and 90 in New Zealand, up from a target of 75. The company has a new target of 65% for its own brand, up from 55%.

Bapcor has also committed to a similar consolidation of its Brisbane distribution centre, in line with Melbourne. Morgan Stanley retains an Overweight rating. Target is $9.70. Industry view: In-Line.

Target price is $9.70 Current Price is $8.40 Difference: $1.3
If BAP meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately 15% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $9.13, suggesting upside of 8.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY21:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 9.00 cents and EPS of 38.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.07%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 22.11.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 37.3, implying annual growth of 38.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 17.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 22.5.

Forecast for FY22:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 19.00 cents and EPS of 39.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.26%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 21.54.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 38.9, implying annual growth of 4.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 20.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 21.6.

Market Sentiment: 0.9

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Morgans rates BAP as Hold (3) -

The key highlight of Bapcor's five-year strategic targets for Morgans was articulation of the group’s long-term Asian growth ambitions. Asian revenue of $500m is targeted over five years, which includes $200m from Tye Soon. (assuming full ownership over that period).

Regarding the FY21 result on 18 August, the broker expects a strong result at least in-line with consensus forecasts, with the trading update and any margin trajectory commentary being key.

The analyst makes modest upgrades to outer year forecasts, incorporating the Tye Soon 25% stake, and lifts the target to $8.53 from $8.42. The Hold rating is maintained.

Target price is $8.53 Current Price is $8.40 Difference: $0.13
If BAP meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 2% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $9.13, suggesting upside of 8.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY21:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 23.00 cents and EPS of 38.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.74%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 22.11.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 37.3, implying annual growth of 38.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 17.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 22.5.

Forecast for FY22:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 23.00 cents and EPS of 38.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.74%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 22.11.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 38.9, implying annual growth of 4.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 20.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 21.6.

Market Sentiment: 0.9

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Ord Minnett rates BAP as Buy (1) -

Bapcor has increased its store targets and is now targeting 260 Burson Trade stores in Australia (up from 240), 90 BNT stores in NZ (up from 75) and 165 Service Workshops in NZ (up from 150). The Asian sales target is also increased to $500m from $100m.

The Asian target is comprised of its existing $100m target in Thailand and $200m in existing sales through the 25% stake in Tye Soon. The remaining $200m is through a combination of organic and inorganic expansion.

The company is also targeting higher levels of own brand penetration within its network, which generates higher operating margins, explains Ord Minnett.  The broker's Buy rating and $9.20 target are retained.

Target price is $9.20 Current Price is $8.40 Difference: $0.8
If BAP meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 10% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $9.13, suggesting upside of 8.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY21:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 19.50 cents and EPS of 37.90 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.32%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 22.16.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 37.3, implying annual growth of 38.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 17.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 22.5.

Forecast for FY22:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 22.00 cents and EPS of 41.40 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.62%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 20.29.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 38.9, implying annual growth of 4.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 20.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 21.6.

Market Sentiment: 0.9

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

BHP  BHP GROUP LIMITED

Bulks

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Overnight Price: $48.40

Macquarie rates BHP as Outperform (1) -

BHP Group has divested its 33.3% interest in Cerrejon for US$294m. A -US$80m impairment will be recognised at the FY21 result.

The company will also continue the divestment process for its remaining thermal coal asset in NSW and metallurgical coal assets in the BMC joint venture.

Macquarie observes earnings upgrade momentum remains strong and retains an Outperform rating and $63 target.

Target price is $63.00 Current Price is $48.40 Difference: $14.6
If BHP meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 30% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $50.50, suggesting upside of 5.1% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY21:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 408.52 cents and EPS of 465.85 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 8.44%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 10.39.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 450.3, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 358.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 7.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 10.7.

Forecast for FY22:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 383.07 cents and EPS of 477.77 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 7.91%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 10.13.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 512.2, implying annual growth of 13.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 393.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 8.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 9.4.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.4

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Morgan Stanley rates BHP as Overweight (1) -

Morgan Stanley believes BHP Group has taken a step in the right direction by removing its thermal coal exposure. The company will divest its 33.3% interest in Cerrejon for US$294m with completion expected in the first half of 2022.

An impairment charge of -US$80m will be recognised as an exceptional item in the second half of FY21. The remaining thermal coal asset left to divest is NSWEC.

Target is $50.70. Overweight rating. Industry view: Attractive.

Target price is $50.70 Current Price is $48.40 Difference: $2.3
If BHP meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately 5% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $50.50, suggesting upside of 5.1% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY21:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 208.95 cents and EPS of 454.06 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.32%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 10.66.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 450.3, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 358.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 7.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 10.7.

Forecast for FY22:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 464.77 cents and EPS of 590.68 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 9.60%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 8.19.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 512.2, implying annual growth of 13.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 393.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 8.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 9.4.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.4

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

CKF  COLLINS FOODS LIMITED

Food, Beverages & Tobacco

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Overnight Price: $12.70

Morgans rates CKF as Add (1) -

In a preview of today's FY21 result for Collins Foods, Morgans forecasts $132m of earnings (EBITDA) and notes consensus of $134m. This implies a 10.5%/9.1% split for 1H/2H growth, with Europe to be impacted by wholesale restrictions over most of the second half.

Overall, the broker expects a strong result, driven by the core engine, KFC Australia. It's felt positive same-store-sales growth can continue with improved margins, and thought KFC Aust earnings can incrementally grow into FY22. European covid headwinds should ease. 

The Add rating is unchanged and the target increased to $13.38 from $11.39 due to a roll-forward to FY22 and increased multiples in line with peer re-ratings.

Target price is $13.38 Current Price is $12.70 Difference: $0.68
If CKF meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 5% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in May.

Forecast for FY21:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 23.00 cents and EPS of 42.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.81%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 30.24.

Forecast for FY22:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 26.00 cents and EPS of 52.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.05%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 24.42.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

GMG  GOODMAN GROUP

Infra & Property Developers

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Overnight Price: $21.13

Ord Minnett rates GMG as Buy (1) -

Ord Minnett points out REIT-owned and managed assets were revalued 5% higher across $100bn of assets for the six months to June. Capitalisation rates tightened -25bps on average. Valuations for neighbourhood retail and bulky goods retail assets lifted 5-10%. 

The industrial segment led the way, rising a very strong 12% following exceptional transaction activity, notes the broker. It's believed office transactions are again accelerating, with pricing holding up far better than fundamentals alone might suggest, increasing by 3%.

Ord Minnett suggests these figure will be of particular relevance for those REITs yet to disclose June valuations including Goodman Group. The Buy rating and $21 target are maintained.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Target price is $21.00 Current Price is $21.13 Difference: minus $0.13 (current price is over target).
If GMG meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately minus 1% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $21.30, suggesting downside of -0.1% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY21:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 30.00 cents and EPS of 65.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.42%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 32.51.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 65.2, implying annual growth of -20.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 30.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 32.7.

Forecast for FY22:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 34.00 cents and EPS of 72.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.61%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 29.35.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 73.2, implying annual growth of 12.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 31.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 29.1.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

GOR  GOLD ROAD RESOURCES LIMITED

Gold & Silver

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Overnight Price: $1.32

Macquarie rates GOR as Outperform (1) -

Gold Road Resources expects production at the lower end of 2021 guidance following some problems with the conveyor belt and ball mill at the plant in the June quarter. The plant has returned to full operations.

Production from Gruyere in the second quarter is now expected to be 52-55,000 ounces. Additional maintenance and labour costs have also meant the cost guidance ranges have been lifted to $1675-1800/oz.

Macquarie maintains an Outperform rating and reduces the target to $1.50 from $1.60.

Target price is $1.50 Current Price is $1.32 Difference: $0.18
If GOR meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 14% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY21:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 2.00 cents and EPS of 3.90 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.52%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 33.85.

Forecast for FY22:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 2.00 cents and EPS of 5.10 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.52%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 25.88.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

GPT  GPT GROUP

Infra & Property Developers

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Overnight Price: $4.82

Ord Minnett rates GPT as Accumulate (2) -

Ord Minnett points out REIT-owned and managed assets were revalued 5% higher across $100bn of assets for the six months to June. Capitalisation rates tightened -25bps on average. Valuations for neighbourhood retail and bulky goods retail assets lifted 5-10%. 

The industrial segment led the way, rising a very strong 12% following exceptional transaction activity, notes the broker. It's believed office transactions are again accelerating, with pricing holding up far better than fundamentals alone might suggest, increasing by 3%.

Ord Minnett suggests these figure will be of particular relevance for those REITs yet to disclose June valuations including GPT Group. The Accumulate rating and $5 target price are retained.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Target price is $5.00 Current Price is $4.82 Difference: $0.18
If GPT meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 4% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $4.69, suggesting downside of -3.9% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY21:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 25.00 cents and EPS of 25.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.19%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 19.28.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 29.8, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 24.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 16.4.

Forecast for FY22:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 25.00 cents and EPS of 25.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.19%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 19.28.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 31.4, implying annual growth of 5.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 26.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.5.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

ISD  ISENTIA GROUP LIMITED

Software & Services

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Overnight Price: $0.17

Morgans rates ISD as Hold (3) -

Market share data shows Morgans that competition in the media monitoring space has escalated over the last few months. It shows that iSentia Group's share of contract value dropped meaningfully in FY21. The share of number of contracts won also fell. 

Competitors Streem and Meltwater have taken the bulk of market share, notes the broker. The target price remains at $0.175, which is the level of the current cash takeover offer from Access Intelligence. The Hold rating is unchanged.

Target price is $0.18 Current Price is $0.17 Difference: $0.005
If ISD meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 3% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY21:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 2.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 8.50.

Forecast for FY22:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 1.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 17.00.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

KMD  KATHMANDU HOLDINGS LIMITED

Sports & Recreation

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Overnight Price: $1.48

Morgan Stanley rates KMD as Overweight (1) -

In an quick, initial response to today's trading update, Morgan Stanley notes revised guidance for FY21 is below market consensus, suggesting earnings downgrades are forthcoming in the days ahead.

The analysts add prior to the latest covid-restrictions, Kathmandu's operations were trading ahead of expectations. They therefore consider this latest disappointment of 'transitory' nature.

Overweight. Industry view In-Line. Price target $1.80.

Target price is $1.80 Current Price is $1.48 Difference: $0.32
If KMD meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately 22% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in July.

Forecast for FY21:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY21 EPS of 8.38 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 17.67.

Forecast for FY22:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY22 EPS of 12.10 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 12.23.

This company reports in NZD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

MGH  MAAS GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED

Building Products & Services

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Overnight Price: $5.80

Morgans rates MGH as Downgrade to Hold from Add (3) -

Following share price strength, Morgans moves to a Hold rating from Add and increases the target to $5.85 from $4.35. It's felt several announced acquisitions/investments will contribute meaningfully to near-term earnings and deliver further medium-to-longer-term value.

The business acquisitions and property investments have a total upfront consideration of $92.2m, comprised of $62.7m in cash and $29.5m in scrip, with deferred consideration and earn-outs totalling $31.5m.

Australian corporate debt facilities have risen to $200m from $160m, and $100m in commercial property finance facilities has been secured. After this strengthening of balance sheet capacity, the analyst feels further M&A will be pursued.

Target price is $5.85 Current Price is $5.80 Difference: $0.05
If MGH meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 1% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY21:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 5.00 cents and EPS of 14.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.86%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 41.43.

Forecast for FY22:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 6.30 cents and EPS of 24.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.09%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 24.17.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

MGR  MIRVAC GROUP

Infra & Property Developers

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Overnight Price: $2.95

Ord Minnett rates MGR as Hold (3) -

Ord Minnett points out REIT-owned and managed assets were revalued 5% higher across $100bn of assets for the six months to June. Capitalisation rates tightened -25bps on average. Valuations for neighbourhood retail and bulky goods retail assets lifted 5-10%. 

The industrial segment led the way, rising a very strong 12% following exceptional transaction activity, notes the broker. It's believed office transactions are again accelerating, with pricing holding up far better than fundamentals alone might suggest, increasing by 3%.

Ord Minnett suggests these figure will be of particular relevance for those REITs yet to disclose June valuations including Mirvac Group. The Hold rating and $2.60 price are retained.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Target price is $2.60 Current Price is $2.95 Difference: minus $0.35 (current price is over target).
If MGR meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately minus 12% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $2.80, suggesting downside of -3.8% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY21:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 10.00 cents and EPS of 14.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.39%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 21.07.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 13.3, implying annual growth of -6.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 9.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 21.9.

Forecast for FY22:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 12.00 cents and EPS of 16.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.07%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 18.44.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 15.1, implying annual growth of 13.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 10.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 19.3.

Market Sentiment: 0.7

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

MTS  METCASH LIMITED

Food, Beverages & Tobacco

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Overnight Price: $3.69

Citi rates MTS as Buy (1) -

Citi upgrades estimates by 3% for FY22 and 1% for FY23. The broker expects Metcash will hold onto its grocery market share that was gained through the pandemic and lockdowns present upside risk in the first half of FY22.

Despite strong sales, the broker expects margins will hold at 2% as operating leverage is limited. After 62% growth in hardware earnings in FY21 the broker still forecasts a further 10% increase in FY22.

Citi also estimates the $175m buyback is likely to be 11% accretive on an after-tax basis for super fund investors. Buy rating maintained. Target is $4.10.

Target price is $4.10 Current Price is $3.69 Difference: $0.41
If MTS meets the Citi target it will return approximately 11% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $3.93, suggesting upside of 0.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in April.

Forecast for FY22:

Citi forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 17.00 cents and EPS of 23.50 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.61%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.70.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 24.0, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 17.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 16.3.

Forecast for FY23:

Citi forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 17.00 cents and EPS of 24.10 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.61%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.31.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 24.3, implying annual growth of 1.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 17.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 16.0.

Market Sentiment: 0.6

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Credit Suisse rates MTS as Outperform (1) -

After the FY21 result, Credit Suisse highlights a material shift in the earnings (EBIT) composition of the company, with less than 50% of earnings from Food for the first time. 

The broker also notes increasing confidence in the operating environment, which was demonstrated by a higher dividend payout ratio and an off-market buyback. It's felt that some market share improvement is likely to be sustained.

In addition, the analyst highlights hardware is providing an attractive and increasingly material growth option and the company is at a considerable valuation discount to peers. The Outperform rating is unchanged and the target increases to $4.16 from $4.08.

Target price is $4.16 Current Price is $3.69 Difference: $0.47
If MTS meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately 13% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $3.93, suggesting upside of 0.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in April.

Forecast for FY22:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 18.50 cents and EPS of 25.46 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.01%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.49.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 24.0, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 17.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 16.3.

Forecast for FY23:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 18.55 cents and EPS of 25.55 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.03%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.44.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 24.3, implying annual growth of 1.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 17.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 16.0.

Market Sentiment: 0.6

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Morgan Stanley rates MTS as Overweight (1) -

FY21 results were slightly below Morgan Stanley's estimates. Nevertheless, the broker observes ongoing elevated demand as the business continues to benefit from changes in consumer behaviour.

While the impact from contract losses, reduced provision releases and elevated insurance costs was well flagged, the broker explains it had fully appreciated the impact of the mix shift towards lower margin categories within food and liquor.

Metcash also announced a $175m off-market buyback. Morgan Stanley retains an Overweight rating and raises the target to $4.15 from $4.10. Industry view is Attractive.

Target price is $4.15 Current Price is $3.69 Difference: $0.46
If MTS meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately 12% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $3.93, suggesting upside of 0.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in April.

Forecast for FY22:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 15.80 cents and EPS of 22.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.28%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 16.33.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 24.0, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 17.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 16.3.

Forecast for FY23:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 16.30 cents and EPS of 23.30 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.42%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.84.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 24.3, implying annual growth of 1.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 17.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 16.0.

Market Sentiment: 0.6

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

MYX  MAYNE PHARMA GROUP LIMITED

Pharmaceuticals & Biotech/Lifesciences

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Overnight Price: $0.33

Credit Suisse rates MYX as Neutral (3) -

Credit Suisse lowers the target price for Mayne Pharma Group to $0.37 from $0.50, largely due to a change in valuation method. The Neutral rating is unchanged.

The broker believes the market is more concerned about short-term earnings headwinds for the base business and the initial launch costs of Nextstellis. However, Nexstellis is still considered transformational for the company.

The analyst forecasts launch costs of -US$10m in FY21 and -US$40m of opex in FY22, due to a large sales force (70 people). Thus, it's
forecast Nextstellis will not achieve breakeven until FY23. 

Target price is $0.37 Current Price is $0.33 Difference: $0.04
If MYX meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately 12% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $0.38, suggesting upside of 13.6% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY21:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 1.83 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 18.03.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is -0.9, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is N/A.

Forecast for FY22:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 1.45 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 22.76.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is -0.4, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is N/A.

Market Sentiment: -0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

NEC  NINE ENTERTAINMENT CO. HOLDINGS LIMITED

Print, Radio & TV

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Overnight Price: $2.97

Credit Suisse rates NEC as Outperform (1) -

Nine Entertainment has announced the acquisition by Stan of UEFA club competition rights in a three-year deal (commencing August 2021). The company also guided to FY22 opex for Stan Sport in the -$70-90m range.

Credit Suisse estimates Stan would need an additional 237k subscriptions to the platform to fully cover the mid-point of these costs. Even after the addition of the UEFA rights, it's considered highly unlikely that Stan Sport will deliver these subscriptions in FY22.

However, the analyst believes the company is pursuing the right strategy. The Outperform rating and $3.40 target are maintained.

Target price is $3.40 Current Price is $2.97 Difference: $0.43
If NEC meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately 14% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $3.45, suggesting upside of 17.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY21:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 10.00 cents and EPS of 13.32 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.37%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 22.30.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 15.6, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 9.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 18.8.

Forecast for FY22:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 10.00 cents and EPS of 14.90 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.37%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 19.93.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 16.9, implying annual growth of 8.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 11.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 17.3.

Market Sentiment: 0.8

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

NHC  NEW HOPE CORPORATION LIMITED

Coal

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Overnight Price: $1.76

Citi rates NHC as Buy (1) -

New Hope has raised $196m from a convertible note issue for general corporate purposes, which Citi points out could include M&A.

The broker suspects the company will be looking at the BHP Group ((BHP)) assets, as the latter is intending to exit the Mount Arthur thermal coal mine in the Hunter Valley. Citi retains a Buy rating with a $2.10 target.

Target price is $2.10 Current Price is $1.76 Difference: $0.34
If NHC meets the Citi target it will return approximately 19% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $1.91, suggesting upside of 11.2% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in July.

Forecast for FY21:

Citi forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 10.00 cents and EPS of 12.10 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.68%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.55.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 15.1, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 13.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 7.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 11.4.

Forecast for FY22:

Citi forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 9.00 cents and EPS of 18.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.11%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 9.78.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 21.5, implying annual growth of 42.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 14.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 8.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 8.0.

Market Sentiment: 0.8

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

PLS  PILBARA MINERALS LIMITED

New Battery Elements

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Overnight Price: $1.44

Macquarie rates PLS as Outperform (1) -

Fourth quarter spodumene shipments were 96,000dmt, 10% ahead of Macquarie's expectations. The Ngungaju plant has started earlier than expected and a faster ramp up has driven a 25% upgrade to the broker's spodumene production forecasts for FY22.

Macquarie finds the recent drilling results between Pilgangoora and Altura pits encouraging and expects upgrades to reserves and resources in the first quarter of FY22. Target is raised to $1.60 from $1.50. Outperform maintained.

Target price is $1.60 Current Price is $1.44 Difference: $0.16
If PLS meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 11% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $1.23, suggesting downside of -14.3% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY21:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 0.40 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 360.00.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is -0.2, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is N/A.

Forecast for FY22:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 3.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 38.92.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 3.3, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 0.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 43.3.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

RMD  RESMED INC

Medical Equipment & Devices

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Overnight Price: $32.64

Citi rates RMD as Downgrade to Neutral from Buy (3) -

Citi believes the recall of the Philips DreamStation devices creates an opportunity for ResMed. Philips is unlikely to be able to supply new patients until January 2022.

The broker upgrades ResMed's estimates for earnings per share in FY22-23 by 5-10% and increases the target to $32.50 from $28.50. The broker also downgrades to Neutral from Buy as the share price now reflects the base case scenario.

Target price is $32.50 Current Price is $32.64 Difference: minus $0.14 (current price is over target).
If RMD meets the Citi target it will return approximately minus 0% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $30.82, suggesting downside of -4.2% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY21:

Citi forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 22.37 cents and EPS of 70.55 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.69%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 46.27.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 70.1, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 21.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 45.9.

Forecast for FY22:

Citi forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 26.79 cents and EPS of 84.72 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.82%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 38.53.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 81.3, implying annual growth of 16.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 22.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 39.6.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.6

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

SCG  SCENTRE GROUP

REITs

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Overnight Price: $2.74

Ord Minnett rates SCG as Hold (3) -

Ord Minnett points out REIT-owned and managed assets were revalued 5% higher across $100bn of assets for the six months to June. Capitalisation rates tightened -25bps on average. Valuations for neighbourhood retail and bulky goods retail assets lifted 5-10%. 

The industrial segment led the way, rising a very strong 12% following exceptional transaction activity, notes the broker. It's believed office transactions are again accelerating, with pricing holding up far better than fundamentals alone might suggest, increasing by 3%.

Ord Minnett suggests these figure will be of particular relevance for those REITs yet to disclose June valuations including Scentre Group. The broker maintains a Hold recommendation with a target price of $3.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Target price is $3.00 Current Price is $2.74 Difference: $0.26
If SCG meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 9% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $2.84, suggesting upside of 3.4% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY21:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 14.00 cents and EPS of 19.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.11%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.42.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 19.1, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 14.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.4.

Forecast for FY22:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 16.00 cents and EPS of 22.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.84%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 12.45.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 21.0, implying annual growth of 9.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 15.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.1.

Market Sentiment: -0.2

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

SGP  STOCKLAND

Infra & Property Developers

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Overnight Price: $4.75

Ord Minnett rates SGP as Lighten (4) -

Ord Minnett points out REIT-owned and managed assets were revalued 5% higher across $100bn of assets for the six months to June. Capitalisation rates tightened -25bps on average. Valuations for neighbourhood retail and bulky goods retail assets lifted 5-10%. 

The industrial segment led the way, rising a very strong 12% following exceptional transaction activity, notes the broker. It's believed office transactions are again accelerating, with pricing holding up far better than fundamentals alone might suggest, increasing by 3%.

Ord Minnett suggests these figure will be of particular relevance for those REITs yet to disclose June valuations including Stockland. The Lighten rating and $4.30 target are retained.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Target price is $4.30 Current Price is $4.75 Difference: minus $0.45 (current price is over target).
If SGP meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately minus 9% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $4.63, suggesting downside of -1.5% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY21:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 24.60 cents and EPS of 33.10 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.18%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.35.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 31.6, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 25.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.9.

Forecast for FY22:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 25.40 cents and EPS of 32.80 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.35%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.48.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 33.6, implying annual growth of 6.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 26.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.0.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

WBC  WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION

Banks

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Overnight Price: $25.82

Morgan Stanley rates WBC as Overweight (1) -

Westpac has announced the sale of its motor vehicle dealer finance and novated leasing business to Angle Finance. Only a small proportion of the automobile loan portfolio will be transferred, meaning the financial impact is immaterial, Morgan Stanley notes.

Westpac will retain $10bn in automobile loans which will run down over time. The bank will also progressively cease new retail automobile loan originations.

The Overweight rating and $29.20 target are retained. Industry view: In-line.

Target price is $29.20 Current Price is $25.82 Difference: $3.38
If WBC meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately 13% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $28.49, suggesting upside of 10.2% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in September.

Forecast for FY21:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 118.00 cents and EPS of 163.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.57%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.84.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 176.0, implying annual growth of 176.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 116.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.7.

Forecast for FY22:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 125.00 cents and EPS of 173.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.84%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.92.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 180.1, implying annual growth of 2.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 124.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.4.

Market Sentiment: 0.7

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Ord Minnett rates WBC as Hold (3) -

The sale of the motor vehicle dealer finance and novated leasing businesses will add to Westpac Bank's capital surplus. However, Ord Minnett notes management indicated at its 1H21 result that it would defer any decision on possible capital management.

The bank awaits the finalisation of APRA’s new capital rules (expected in November this year). The sale in itself is considered by the broker to be a reasonable outcome for shareholders though is immaterial in the scheme of the group. Hold and $27.50 target retained.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Target price is $27.50 Current Price is $25.82 Difference: $1.68
If WBC meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 7% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $28.49, suggesting upside of 10.2% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in September.

Forecast for FY21:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 118.00 cents and EPS of 175.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.57%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.75.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 176.0, implying annual growth of 176.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 116.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.7.

Forecast for FY22:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 120.00 cents and EPS of 167.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.65%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.46.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 180.1, implying annual growth of 2.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 124.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.4.

Market Sentiment: 0.7

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

Today's Price Target Changes
Company Last Price Broker New Target Prev Target Change
APT Afterpay $120.71 UBS 42.00 37.00 13.51%
ASG Autosports $2.60 Macquarie 2.50 2.15 16.28%
UBS 3.00 2.85 5.26%
BAP Bapcor $8.40 Citi 9.55 9.50 0.53%
Morgan Stanley 9.70 9.50 2.11%
Morgans 8.53 8.42 1.31%
BHP BHP $48.06 Morgan Stanley 50.70 50.70 0.00%
CKF Collins Foods $11.98 Morgans 13.38 11.38 17.57%
GOR Gold Road Resources $1.28 Macquarie 1.50 1.60 -6.25%
KMD Kathmandu $1.42 Morgan Stanley 1.80 1.45 24.14%
MGH MAAS $5.55 Morgans 5.85 4.35 34.48%
MTS Metcash $3.90 Credit Suisse 4.16 4.08 1.96%
Morgan Stanley 4.15 4.20 -1.19%
MYX Mayne Pharma $0.33 Credit Suisse 0.37 0.32 15.62%
NHC New Hope $1.72 Citi 2.10 1.75 20.00%
PLS Pilbara Minerals $1.43 Macquarie 1.60 1.50 6.67%
RMD Resmed $32.17 Citi 32.50 28.50 14.04%
Summaries
360 Life360, Initiation of coverage with Overweight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $5.96
AIZ Air New Zealand Underperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $1.45
APT Afterpay Sell - UBS Overnight Price $119.30
ASG Autosports Downgrade to Neutral from Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $2.60
Buy - UBS Overnight Price $2.60
BAP Bapcor Buy - Citi Overnight Price $8.40
Overweight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $8.40
Hold - Morgans Overnight Price $8.40
Buy - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $8.40
BHP BHP Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $48.40
Overweight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $48.40
CKF Collins Foods Add - Morgans Overnight Price $12.70
GMG Goodman Buy - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $21.13
GOR Gold Road Resources Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $1.32
GPT GPT Accumulate - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $4.82
ISD iSentia Hold - Morgans Overnight Price $0.17
KMD Kathmandu Overweight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $1.48
MGH MAAS Downgrade to Hold from Add - Morgans Overnight Price $5.80
MGR Mirvac Hold - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $2.95
MTS Metcash Buy - Citi Overnight Price $3.69
Outperform - Credit Suisse Overnight Price $3.69
Overweight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $3.69
MYX Mayne Pharma Neutral - Credit Suisse Overnight Price $0.33
NEC Nine Entertainment Outperform - Credit Suisse Overnight Price $2.97
NHC New Hope Buy - Citi Overnight Price $1.76
PLS Pilbara Minerals Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $1.44
RMD Resmed Downgrade to Neutral from Buy - Citi Overnight Price $32.64
SCG Scentre Hold - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $2.74
SGP Stockland Lighten - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $4.75
WBC Westpac Banking Overweight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $25.82
Hold - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $25.82
RATING SUMMARY
Rating No. Of Recommendations
1. Buy

18

2. Accumulate

1

3. Hold

9

4. Reduce

1

5. Sell

2

Tuesday 29 June 2021

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Disclaimer:
The content of this information does in no way reflect the opinions of FNArena, or of its journalists. In fact we don't have any opinion about the stock market, its value, future direction or individual shares. FNArena solely reports about what the main experts in the market note, believe and comment on. By doing so we believe we provide intelligent investors with a valuable tool that helps them in making up their own minds, reading market trends and getting a feel for what is happening beneath the surface. This document is provided for informational purposes only. It does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy any security or other financial instrument. FNArena employs very experienced journalists who base their work on information believed to be reliable and accurate, though no guarantee is given that the daily report is accurate or complete. Investors should contact their personal adviser before making any investment decision.