Australian Broker Call

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November 21, 2023

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COMPANIES DISCUSSED IN THIS ISSUE

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The number next to the symbol represents the number of brokers covering it for this report -(if more than 1).

Last Updated: 05:00 PM

Your daily news report on the latest recommendation, valuation, forecast and opinion changes.

This report includes concise but limited reviews of research recently published by Stockbrokers, which should be considered as information concerning likely market behaviour rather than advice on the securities mentioned. Do not act on the contents of this Report without first reading the important information included at the end.

For more info about the different terms used by stockbrokers, as well as the different methodologies behind similar sounding ratings, download our guide HERE

Today's Upgrades and Downgrades
ALU - Altium Upgrade to Outperform from Neutral Macquarie
DMP - Domino's Pizza Enterprises Upgrade to Outperform from Neutral Macquarie
HLS - Healius Downgrade to Neutral from Outperform Macquarie
SDF - Steadfast Group Upgrade to Outperform from Neutral Macquarie
AHL  ADRAD HOLDINGS LIMITED

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Overnight Price: $0.83

Bell Potter rates AHL as Buy (1) -

Adrad's FY24 guidance provided at the AGM fell shy of Bell Potter's forecasts but the broker agrees with management that earnings were respectable.

Earnings forecasts fall -3% over the forecast period.

Buy rating retained. Target price falls to $1.38 from $1.45.

Target price is $1.38 Current Price is $0.83 Difference: $0.55
If AHL meets the Bell Potter target it will return approximately 66% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY24:

Bell Potter forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 3.10 cents and EPS of 10.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.73%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 8.30.

Forecast for FY25:

Bell Potter forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 3.70 cents and EPS of 11.20 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.46%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 7.41.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

ALU  ALTIUM

Hardware & Equipment

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Overnight Price: $44.58

Macquarie rates ALU as Upgrade to Outperform from Neutral (1) -

Altium's investor day provided Macquarie with early signs the new strategy is resonating with both existing and new customers. These customers represent an expansion into a different engineering domain at the same customer, and in some cases, new customers in new areas of the value chain.

New deal wins at large customers will drive future results, the broker suggests. Moreover, the rollout strategy is to land at large customers, then grow wallet share.

Macquarie has upgraded its earnings forecasts and increased its target to $49.70 from $39.10. Upgrade to Outperform from Neutral.

Target price is $49.70 Current Price is $44.58 Difference: $5.12
If ALU meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 11% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $46.41, suggesting upside of 4.0% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY24:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 58.51 cents and EPS of 98.33 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.31%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 45.34.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 97.1, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 90.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 46.0.

Forecast for FY25:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 74.80 cents and EPS of 126.07 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.68%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 35.36.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 121.1, implying annual growth of 24.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 98.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 36.9.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

ASX  ASX LIMITED

Wealth Management & Investments

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Overnight Price: $57.80

Citi rates ASX as Neutral (3) -

In a long awaited update on a replacement for CHESS, ASX has announced it will employ TATA Consultancy Services' BaNCS for Market Infrastructure products, involving two releases in 2026 and 2028-2029 respectively, to run concurrently with CHESS. 

The first release is expected to cost between $105-$125m, while costs for the second release are to be determined, but Citi considers this a lower risk route than the already costly first version. While the update removes uncertainty, Citi sees a long way to go to project fruition. 

The Neutral rating and target price of $64.00 are retained.

Target price is $64.00 Current Price is $57.80 Difference: $6.2
If ASX meets the Citi target it will return approximately 11% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $60.62, suggesting upside of 6.1% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY24:

Citi forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 221.30 cents and EPS of 260.40 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.83%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 22.20.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 248.9, implying annual growth of 51.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 214.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 22.9.

Forecast for FY25:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 254.8, implying annual growth of 2.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 217.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 22.4.

Market Sentiment: -0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Morgan Stanley rates ASX as Underweight (5) -

In a modest positive for the share price, according to Morgan Stanley, the ASX has announced a staged CHESS replacement to run into 2028-29, which reduces strategic uncertainty and generates no immediate additional costs.

However, the broker maintains an Underweight rating with better value to be found elsewhere in the Financials sector, given no EPS growth is anticipated for the ASX until FY26.

Additionally, the analysts suggest it looks increasingly unlikely the ASX will derive any additional revenues from the CHESS
replacement.

The $53.50 target and Underweight rating are unchanged. Industry view: In-Line.

Target price is $53.50 Current Price is $57.80 Difference: minus $4.3 (current price is over target).
If ASX meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately minus 7% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $60.62, suggesting upside of 6.1% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY24:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 212.50 cents and EPS of 250.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.68%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 23.12.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 248.9, implying annual growth of 51.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 214.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 22.9.

Forecast for FY25:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 210.40 cents and EPS of 248.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.64%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 23.31.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 254.8, implying annual growth of 2.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 217.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 22.4.

Market Sentiment: -0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


UBS rates ASX as Sell (5) -

ASX has announced TATA Consultancy Services (TCS) as a new external technology provider in replacement of CHESS. While the announcment represents a fresh start, says UBS, and reduced delivery risk, a 5-6 year timeframe suggests the path remains complicated and expensive.

The broker was surprised by the selectation of TCS over higher profile providers. Implementation of the the new platform will happen over two releases, with first phase expenditure expected to total $105-125m over the next three years. 

The Sell rating and target price of $53.00 are retained.

Target price is $53.00 Current Price is $57.80 Difference: minus $4.8 (current price is over target).
If ASX meets the UBS target it will return approximately minus 8% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $60.62, suggesting upside of 6.1% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY24:

UBS forecasts a full year FY24 EPS of 243.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 23.79.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 248.9, implying annual growth of 51.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 214.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 22.9.

Forecast for FY25:

UBS forecasts a full year FY25 EPS of 249.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 23.21.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 254.8, implying annual growth of 2.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 217.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 22.4.

Market Sentiment: -0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

AX1  ACCENT GROUP LIMITED

Apparel & Footwear

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Overnight Price: $1.77

Bell Potter rates AX1 as Buy (1) -

Accent Group's AGM trading update for the first 19 weeks of FY24 missed Bell Potter's forecasts due to a -2% fall in like-for-like sales.

The revised store target of 70 outpaced the broker's forecast and Bell Potter considers the maintenance of gross margins was a win given challenging trading conditions.

The broker revises down earnings forecasts accordingly.

Buy rating retained, Accent representing the broker's favourite retail pick given its scale, channels and brands.

Target price falls to $2.35 from $2.50.

Target price is $2.35 Current Price is $1.77 Difference: $0.58
If AX1 meets the Bell Potter target it will return approximately 33% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $2.15, suggesting upside of 17.3% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY24:

Bell Potter forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 11.10 cents and EPS of 14.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.27%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 12.64.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 13.6, implying annual growth of -15.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 12.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.5.

Forecast for FY25:

Bell Potter forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 13.00 cents and EPS of 16.50 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 7.34%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 10.73.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 15.6, implying annual growth of 14.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 14.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 7.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 11.7.

Market Sentiment: 0.2

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

BLD  BORAL LIMITED

Building Products & Services

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Overnight Price: $5.02

Ord Minnett rates BLD as Hold (3) -

Ord Minnett estimates that Boral's FY24 guidance upgrades do not change the long term outlook.

FY24 EPS forecast rise 8% and FY23 DPS forecasts rise 10%.

Hold rating and $4.25 target price retained.

Target price is $4.25 Current Price is $5.02 Difference: minus $0.77 (current price is over target).
If BLD meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately minus 15% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $4.62, suggesting downside of -7.6% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY24:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 2.20 cents and EPS of 18.80 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.44%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 26.70.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 17.2, implying annual growth of 20.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 3.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 29.1.

Forecast for FY25:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 11.00 cents and EPS of 22.40 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.19%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 22.41.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 21.7, implying annual growth of 26.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 7.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 23.0.

Market Sentiment: -0.2

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

CXO  CORE LITHIUM LIMITED

New Battery Elements

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Overnight Price: $0.37

Macquarie rates CXO as Outperform (1) -

Macquarie observed first hand Core Lithium's strong preparedness for the upcoming wet season when visiting the Finniss project in the Northern Territory. Ore of 248kt is stockpiled, which is equivalent to around 1.5 quarters of mill feed, explains the analyst.

The Outperform rating and 60c target are unchanged.

The broker notes the BP33 (underground development) feasibility study and final investment decision are the main upcoming catalysts for the share price.

The Outperform rating and 60c target are unchanged.

This research was released yesterday by Macquarie.

Target price is $0.60 Current Price is $0.37 Difference: $0.235
If CXO meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 64% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $0.46, suggesting upside of 25.2% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY24:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 7.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 4.74.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 6.5, implying annual growth of 855.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 5.7.

Forecast for FY25:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 2.10 cents and EPS of 7.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.75%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 5.21.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 4.5, implying annual growth of -30.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 0.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 8.2.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

DMP  DOMINO'S PIZZA ENTERPRISES LIMITED

Food, Beverages & Tobacco

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Overnight Price: $53.69

Macquarie rates DMP as Upgrade to Outperform from Neutral (1) -

Macquarie anticipates margin improvement for franchisees of Domino's Pizza Enterprises from the addition of higher margin menu products.

An improvement in the overall growth outlook is expected as store openings depend on store-level profitability, explains the analyst. Hence, the rating is upgraded to Outperform from Neutral. It's also felt cost-of-goods-sold (COGS) pressures have peaked.

In addition, commentary from offshore competitors indicates to Macquarie fast food customer demand remains, despite rising cost of living pressures.

The target rises to $58 from $54 due to an improved earnings outlook for both A&NZ and Europe.

This research was released yesterday by Macquarie.

Target price is $58.00 Current Price is $53.69 Difference: $4.31
If DMP meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 8% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $58.77, suggesting upside of 8.1% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY24:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 105.00 cents and EPS of 162.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.96%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 33.14.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 168.8, implying annual growth of 266.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 123.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 32.2.

Forecast for FY25:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 124.00 cents and EPS of 192.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.31%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 27.96.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 218.3, implying annual growth of 29.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 161.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 24.9.

Market Sentiment: 0.6

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

HLS  HEALIUS LIMITED

Healthcare services

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Overnight Price: $1.84

Macquarie rates HLS as Downgrade to Neutral from Outperform (3) -

Healius is raising $187m to reduce net debt. First half earnings guidance was well below Macquarie's expectations, suggesting strong improvement in the second half is required to meet FY24 guidance.

The broker has cut earnings per share forecasts to reflect the raising and weaker guidance. Target falls to $1.95 from $2.90.

Despite a favourable longer-term outlook and improved balance sheet position, the nearer-term outlook remains uncertain, Macquarie suggests. Downgrade to Neutral from Outperform.

Target price is $1.95 Current Price is $1.84 Difference: $0.115
If HLS meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 6% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $2.61, suggesting upside of 42.2% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY24:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 3.10 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 59.19.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 6.2, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 2.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 29.6.

Forecast for FY25:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 5.00 cents and EPS of 8.10 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.72%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 22.65.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 11.0, implying annual growth of 77.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 5.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 16.7.

Market Sentiment: -0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

IAG  INSURANCE AUSTRALIA GROUP LIMITED

Insurance

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Overnight Price: $5.89

Macquarie rates IAG as Outperform (1) -

In FY24, Insurance Australia Group is aiming for more than $250m of insurance profit in its Intermediated Insurance Australia (IIA) division, and Macquarie believes underlying trends in the Commercial Lines market support this ambition.

In fact, the broker suggests a more aspirational target should be set for future years, given normalising for "Reported" items already accounts for circa $235m of the $250m target.

The Outperform rating and $6.30 target are unchanged.

This research was released yesterday by Macquarie.

Target price is $6.30 Current Price is $5.89 Difference: $0.41
If IAG meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 7% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $5.85, suggesting downside of -1.0% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY24:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 26.00 cents and EPS of 34.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.41%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 17.32.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 34.8, implying annual growth of 2.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 26.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 17.0.

Forecast for FY25:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 29.00 cents and EPS of 38.40 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.92%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.34.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 39.3, implying annual growth of 12.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 31.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.0.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

IGL  IVE GROUP LIMITED

Media

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Overnight Price: $2.07

UBS rates IGL as Buy (1) -

On strong comparables, underlying business momentum for IVE Group appears to be tracking flat year-on-year, and the company has reaffirmed full year earnings guidance for 3-7% growth excluding the JacPak acquisition. 

UBS points out macro conditions remain a concern, but IVE Group group typically has more than six months visibility over catalogue work and recent channel checks suggest strong demand for magazine publication. 

The Buy rating is retained and the target price increases to $2.70 from $2.65.

Target price is $2.70 Current Price is $2.07 Difference: $0.63
If IGL meets the UBS target it will return approximately 30% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY24:

UBS forecasts a full year FY24 EPS of 26.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 7.96.

Forecast for FY25:

UBS forecasts a full year FY25 EPS of 34.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 6.09.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

KAR  KAROON ENERGY LIMITED

NatGas

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Overnight Price: $2.12

Citi rates KAR as Buy (1) -

Karoon Energy has acquired producing assets within the Gulf of Mexico."Who Dat" has fields with "development upside" according to Citi. Alongside a $480m equity raise, the acquisition was financed through cash and refinancing of the Bauna facility. 

The broker is forecasting annual production of 44,000 barrels of oil equivalent, but sees upside risk if new new oil-bearing formations are penetrated, and is particularly optimistic about Who Dat East. 

The Buy rating is retained and the target price increases to $3.50 from $3.00.

Target price is $3.50 Current Price is $2.12 Difference: $1.38
If KAR meets the Citi target it will return approximately 65% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $3.07, suggesting upside of 44.6% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY24:

Citi forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 24.28 cents and EPS of 64.55 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 11.45%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 3.28.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 78.1, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 4.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 2.7.

Forecast for FY25:

Citi forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 24.28 cents and EPS of 61.68 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 11.45%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 3.44.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 58.7, implying annual growth of -24.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 4.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 3.6.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.9

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Morgan Stanley rates KAR as Overweight (1) -

Karoon Energy's FY24 pro forma production should increase by 27%, according to Morgan Stanley, following the acquisition of a 30% interest in the Who Dat project in the US Gulf of Mexico.

The transaction will be broadly free cash flow per share neutral, suggests the broker, but will add both production scale and diversity. 

The company will issue US$300m in equity via a fully underwritten placement and rights issue of $170 and $310m, respectively.

The target falls to $2.68 from $2.80 and the Overweight rating is maintained.  Industry view: Attractive.

Target price is $2.68 Current Price is $2.12 Difference: $0.56
If KAR meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately 26% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $3.07, suggesting upside of 44.6% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY24:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 55.80 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 3.80.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 78.1, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 4.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 2.7.

Forecast for FY25:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 49.77 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 4.26.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 58.7, implying annual growth of -24.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 4.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 3.6.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.9

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

NHC  NEW HOPE CORPORATION LIMITED

Coal

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Overnight Price: $5.23

Macquarie rates NHC as Underperform (5) -

New Hope Corp's quarterly production and sales at Bengalla were weaker than Macquarie expected due to annual dragline maintenance, which drove an earnings miss.

The restart of New Acland stage 3 is underway, however the broker notes recent legal action poses a risk to the timing and ramp-up of the restart.

Thermal coal prices have declined recently, and cost inflation pressures remain. Macquarie estimates free cash flow yields of 15% at spot prices from FY25.

Underperform retained, target falls to $4.20 from $4.30.

Target price is $4.20 Current Price is $5.23 Difference: minus $1.03 (current price is over target).
If NHC meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately minus 20% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $5.28, suggesting upside of 1.6% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in July.

Forecast for FY24:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 35.00 cents and EPS of 63.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.69%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 8.22.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 62.1, implying annual growth of -50.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 33.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 8.4.

Forecast for FY25:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 32.00 cents and EPS of 58.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.12%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 8.92.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 67.0, implying annual growth of 7.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 35.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 7.7.

Market Sentiment: -0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

PFP  PROPEL FUNERAL PARTNERS LIMITED

Consumer Products & Services

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Overnight Price: $4.78

Macquarie rates PFP as Initiation of coverage with Outperform (1) -

An upcoming period of peak death growth rates in A&NZ along with strong funeral industry pricing power should support mid-single digit organic industry growth, according to Macquarie.

Propel Funeral Partners has grown its A&NZ market share to around 8% from 3% June 2017 and the broker sees material scope for further industry consolidation. 

The company has only recently entered outer metro areas and the analyst highlights nine in ten funeral organisations are still independently owned. Macquarie initiates coverage on Propel with an Outperform rating given material potential upside from M&A.

A $5.95 target is set.

This research was released yesterday by Macquarie.

Target price is $5.95 Current Price is $4.78 Difference: $1.17
If PFP meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 24% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $5.92, suggesting upside of 23.3% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY24:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 13.80 cents and EPS of 18.40 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.89%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 25.98.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 18.9, implying annual growth of 17.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 15.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 25.4.

Forecast for FY25:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 15.00 cents and EPS of 20.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.14%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 23.90.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 20.8, implying annual growth of 10.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 16.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 23.1.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

SDF  STEADFAST GROUP LIMITED

Insurance

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Overnight Price: $5.39

Macquarie rates SDF as Upgrade to Outperform from Neutral (1) -

Steadfast Group has raised $280m at $5.14 in an institutional placement with a further $30m in an SPP over the coming months, which clears capital-raise risk, Macquarie notes.

Steadfast has acquired Sure Underwriting Agency which the broker believes is a good asset with solid underwriting capacity, exceptional management and optionality nationally, internationally and in strata risks.

Macquarie does not believe the premium rate cycle in Australia is done yet, expecting it will hold at 14-15% for SME clients for the coming 12 months. Upgrade to Outperform from Neutral. Target falls to $5.90 from $6.40 on dilution.

Target price is $5.90 Current Price is $5.39 Difference: $0.51
If SDF meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 9% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $6.33, suggesting upside of 17.1% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY24:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 17.00 cents and EPS of 27.90 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.15%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 19.32.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 25.6, implying annual growth of 38.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 16.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 21.1.

Forecast for FY25:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 17.00 cents and EPS of 28.10 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.15%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 19.18.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 27.4, implying annual growth of 7.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 17.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 19.7.

Market Sentiment: 0.6

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

SHL  SONIC HEALTHCARE LIMITED

Healthcare services

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Overnight Price: $29.13

Macquarie rates SHL as Neutral (3) -

Following last week's Sonic Healthcare AGM and trading update for the first four months of FY24, Macquarie lowers its EPS forecasts. Slightly higher revenue growth assumptions were more than offset by increased operating cost growth, explains the analyst.

Management reaffirmed FY24 earnings (EBITDA) guidance of $1,700-1,800m, yet the 1H/2H skew of 42%/58% implies a larger second-half contribution than either the broker or consensus was expecting.

The Neutral rating is unchanged as Macquarie believes the earnings risk is skewed to the downside. The target falls to $31.15 from $32.

This research was released yesterday by Macquarie.

Target price is $31.15 Current Price is $29.13 Difference: $2.02
If SHL meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 7% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $35.29, suggesting upside of 20.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY24:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 103.00 cents and EPS of 123.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.54%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 23.68.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 139.1, implying annual growth of -4.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 105.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 21.0.

Forecast for FY25:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 112.00 cents and EPS of 140.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.84%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 20.81.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 157.5, implying annual growth of 13.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 112.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 18.6.

Market Sentiment: 0.7

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

SLC  SUPERLOOP LIMITED

Telecommunication

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Overnight Price: $0.65

Morgans rates SLC as Add (1) -

Last week's AGM and trading update for Superloop showed Morgans the business is progressing well with record NBN net additions and strong customer growth across all three segments.

The FY24 guidance range for underlying earnings (EBITDA) represents a 31-42% year-on-year rise but was marginally shy of the broker's forecast, resulting in a target price fall to $1.00 from $1.07.

Morgans keeps the Add rating on significant undervaluation, and further notes how low current investor sentiment is toward small-cap stocks.

Target price is $1.00 Current Price is $0.65 Difference: $0.35
If SLC meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 54% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY24:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 2.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 32.50.

Forecast for FY25:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 4.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 16.25.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

SVW  SEVEN GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED

Diversified Financials

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Overnight Price: $32.13

Ord Minnett rates SVW as Lighten (4) -

Ord Minnett estimates that Seven Group's FY24 guidance upgrades do not change the long term outlook.

While a solid proposition, the broker considers the company's shares to overvalued.

FY24 EPS and DPS forecasts rise 5%, but the broker observes the dividend is still nothing to write home about.

Lighten rating and $27.50 target price retained.

Target price is $27.50 Current Price is $32.13 Difference: minus $4.63 (current price is over target).
If SVW meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately minus 14% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $32.15, suggesting downside of -0.2% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY24:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 60.90 cents and EPS of 203.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.90%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.83.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 208.8, implying annual growth of 27.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 52.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.4.

Forecast for FY25:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 70.90 cents and EPS of 236.20 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.21%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.60.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 249.3, implying annual growth of 19.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 55.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.9.

Market Sentiment: 0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

TLS  TELSTRA GROUP LIMITED

Telecommunication

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Overnight Price: $3.81

Bell Potter rates TLS as Initiation of coverage with Hold (3) -

Bell Potter initiates coverage of Telstra with a Hold rating and $4.15 target price.

The broker observes Mobile and Infrastructure constituted 92% of earnings in FY23 - a plus given Mobile is growing and Infrastructure is supported by an average 24-year contract period with the NBN says Bell Potter.

Given its small contribution to earnings (8%), the broker doubts challenges in Enterprise will greatly affect earnings.

Bell Potter estimates a compound annual growth rate in underlying earnings (EBITDA) between FY21 and FY25 of 6.85%. The broker forecasts an earnings compound annual growth rate of 20.2%.

Target price is $4.15 Current Price is $3.81 Difference: $0.34
If TLS meets the Bell Potter target it will return approximately 9% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $4.42, suggesting upside of 15.6% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY24:

Bell Potter forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 18.00 cents and EPS of 18.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.72%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 20.48.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 18.1, implying annual growth of 8.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 17.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 21.1.

Forecast for FY25:

Bell Potter forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 19.00 cents and EPS of 20.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.99%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 19.05.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 19.8, implying annual growth of 9.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 18.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 19.3.

Market Sentiment: 0.6

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

UNI  UNIVERSAL STORE HOLDINGS LIMITED

Apparel & Footwear

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Overnight Price: $3.46

Citi rates UNI as Neutral (3) -

No major surprises for Citi from Universal Store's annual general update, with the broker noting like-for-like sales have continued to decline, although pace has slowed. 

Citi continues to forecast a -4.5% like-for-like sales decline over the first half, implying a challenging switch to sales growth over the last six weeks. Positively, cost of doing business is set to improve on the previous comparable period. 

The Neutral rating and target price of $3.56 are retained.

Target price is $3.56 Current Price is $3.46 Difference: $0.1
If UNI meets the Citi target it will return approximately 3% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $4.13, suggesting upside of 21.5% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY24:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 33.2, implying annual growth of 2.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 23.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 10.2.

Forecast for FY25:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 39.2, implying annual growth of 18.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 26.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 7.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 8.7.

Market Sentiment: 0.6

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Macquarie rates UNI as Neutral (3) -

Universal Store has reported earnings in the four months to October ahead of Macquarie's forecast. Despite a weak macro backdrop, like-for-like sales have improved in November versus earlier months.

Recently acquired THRILLS is not yet in the numbers, but management suggested it continues to “trade well” and is on track for “strong” growth in the first half.

Macquarie remains cautious as the company is still to defend tough comparables over the December quarter and into January amid ongoing macro uncertainty. Neutral retained. Target rises to $4.00 from $3.70.

Target price is $4.00 Current Price is $3.46 Difference: $0.54
If UNI meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 16% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $4.13, suggesting upside of 21.5% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY24:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 23.00 cents and EPS of 35.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.65%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 9.72.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 33.2, implying annual growth of 2.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 23.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 10.2.

Forecast for FY25:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 24.00 cents and EPS of 40.40 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.94%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 8.56.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 39.2, implying annual growth of 18.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 26.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 7.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 8.7.

Market Sentiment: 0.6

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


UBS rates UNI as Buy (1) -

As per an update at its AGM, Universal Store has reported a- 6.4% like-for-like sales decline in the first twenty weeks of the financial year, below UBS's expectations. 

The broker notes like-for-like sales did improve in the last six weeks, demonstrating the resilience of Universal Store's customer. The retailer continues to benefit from a younger demographic, less likely to be impacted by cost of living pressures. 

The Buy rating and target price of $4.25 are retained.

Target price is $4.25 Current Price is $3.46 Difference: $0.79
If UNI meets the UBS target it will return approximately 23% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $4.13, suggesting upside of 21.5% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY24:

UBS forecasts a full year FY24 EPS of 30.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 11.53.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 33.2, implying annual growth of 2.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 23.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 10.2.

Forecast for FY25:

UBS forecasts a full year FY25 EPS of 36.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 9.61.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 39.2, implying annual growth of 18.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 26.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 7.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 8.7.

Market Sentiment: 0.6

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

WDS  WOODSIDE ENERGY GROUP LIMITED

NatGas

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Overnight Price: $31.80

Macquarie rates WDS as Neutral (3) -

Macquarie has materially raised its depreciation & amortisation rates on Woodside Energy's Sangomar and Trion to reflect full write-off of initial investment over proven reserve production lives (8 years for Sangomar, 13 years for Trion).

This lowers the profit outlook, the broker notes, and accordingly the dividend outlook as well. The broker has also re-phased capex on several developments to better reflect fresh guidance, noting 2024 is clearly peak-capex.

More material declines in North West Shelf offshore production are expected by Woodside.

Neutral and $32 target retained.

Target price is $32.00 Current Price is $31.80 Difference: $0.2
If WDS meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 1% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $35.57, suggesting upside of 11.3% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY23:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 194.54 cents and EPS of 242.80 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.12%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.10.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 241.6, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 181.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.2.

Forecast for FY24:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 182.48 cents and EPS of 230.73 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.74%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.78.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 238.7, implying annual growth of -1.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 165.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.4.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

WHC  WHITEHAVEN COAL LIMITED

Coal

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Overnight Price: $6.90

Bell Potter rates WHC as Sell (5) -

After including Whitehaven Coal's purchase of Blackwater and Daunia in its forecasts, Bell Potter finds the deal to be EPS accretive, shifting the company's metallurgical to thermal coal ratio to a more positive 70%:30%.

The balance sheet is another story, the broker finding the acquisition slightly net-present-value decretive, undermining balance sheet strength.

The broker expects the company will need to increase its US$0.9bn bridge finance facility to more than US$1bn to meet the upfront payment in the June 2024 quarter and could go as high as US$1.2bn if spot prices remains at these levels.

Bell Potter believes investors will shift from yield focuses to growth investors given the acquisition reduces the company's capacity to pay dividends. FY25 EPS forecasts rise sharply but FY25 DPS forecasts fall.

All up, the broker expects upfront payment plus costs will be US$2.4bn and $150m could be needed as a working capital cash buffer, and the broker expects the company will be US$271m to $341m short.

Sell rating retained. Target price falls to $6.50 from $7.

Target price is $6.50 Current Price is $6.90 Difference: minus $0.4 (current price is over target).
If WHC meets the Bell Potter target it will return approximately minus 6% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $7.56, suggesting upside of 10.1% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY24:

Bell Potter forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 93.50 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 7.38.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 96.6, implying annual growth of -68.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 15.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 7.1.

Forecast for FY25:

Bell Potter forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 31.00 cents and EPS of 211.40 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.49%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 3.26.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 115.7, implying annual growth of 19.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 21.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 5.9.

Market Sentiment: 0.2

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

Today's Price Target Changes
Company Last Price Broker New Target Prev Target Change
AHL Adrad $0.88 Bell Potter 1.38 1.45 -4.83%
ALU Altium $44.63 Macquarie 49.70 39.10 27.11%
AX1 Accent Group $1.83 Bell Potter 2.35 2.50 -6.00%
CXO Core Lithium $0.37 Macquarie 0.60 0.65 -7.69%
DMP Domino's Pizza Enterprises $54.37 Macquarie 58.00 54.00 7.41%
HLS Healius $1.84 Macquarie 1.95 2.90 -32.76%
IGL IVE Group $2.08 UBS 2.70 2.65 1.89%
KAR Karoon Energy $2.12 Citi 3.50 3.00 16.67%
Morgan Stanley 2.68 2.80 -4.29%
NHC New Hope $5.19 Macquarie 4.20 4.30 -2.33%
SDF Steadfast Group $5.40 Macquarie 5.90 6.40 -7.81%
SHL Sonic Healthcare $29.23 Macquarie 31.15 32.00 -2.66%
SLC Superloop $0.64 Morgans 1.00 1.07 -6.54%
UNI Universal Store $3.40 Citi 3.56 3.75 -5.07%
Macquarie 4.00 3.70 8.11%
WHC Whitehaven Coal $6.87 Bell Potter 6.50 7.00 -7.14%
Summaries
AHL Adrad Buy - Bell Potter Overnight Price $0.83
ALU Altium Upgrade to Outperform from Neutral - Macquarie Overnight Price $44.58
ASX ASX Neutral - Citi Overnight Price $57.80
Underweight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $57.80
Sell - UBS Overnight Price $57.80
AX1 Accent Group Buy - Bell Potter Overnight Price $1.77
BLD Boral Hold - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $5.02
CXO Core Lithium Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $0.37
DMP Domino's Pizza Enterprises Upgrade to Outperform from Neutral - Macquarie Overnight Price $53.69
HLS Healius Downgrade to Neutral from Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $1.84
IAG Insurance Australia Group Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $5.89
IGL IVE Group Buy - UBS Overnight Price $2.07
KAR Karoon Energy Buy - Citi Overnight Price $2.12
Overweight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $2.12
NHC New Hope Underperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $5.23
PFP Propel Funeral Partners Initiation of coverage with Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $4.78
SDF Steadfast Group Upgrade to Outperform from Neutral - Macquarie Overnight Price $5.39
SHL Sonic Healthcare Neutral - Macquarie Overnight Price $29.13
SLC Superloop Add - Morgans Overnight Price $0.65
SVW Seven Group Lighten - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $32.13
TLS Telstra Group Initiation of coverage with Hold - Bell Potter Overnight Price $3.81
UNI Universal Store Neutral - Citi Overnight Price $3.46
Neutral - Macquarie Overnight Price $3.46
Buy - UBS Overnight Price $3.46
WDS Woodside Energy Neutral - Macquarie Overnight Price $31.80
WHC Whitehaven Coal Sell - Bell Potter Overnight Price $6.90
RATING SUMMARY
Rating No. Of Recommendations
1. Buy

13

3. Hold

8

4. Reduce

1

5. Sell

4

Tuesday 21 November 2023

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Disclaimer:
The content of this information does in no way reflect the opinions of FNArena, or of its journalists. In fact we don't have any opinion about the stock market, its value, future direction or individual shares. FNArena solely reports about what the main experts in the market note, believe and comment on. By doing so we believe we provide intelligent investors with a valuable tool that helps them in making up their own minds, reading market trends and getting a feel for what is happening beneath the surface. This document is provided for informational purposes only. It does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy any security or other financial instrument. FNArena employs very experienced journalists who base their work on information believed to be reliable and accurate, though no guarantee is given that the daily report is accurate or complete. Investors should contact their personal adviser before making any investment decision.