Australian Broker Call

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March 24, 2020

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COMPANIES DISCUSSED IN THIS ISSUE

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The number next to the symbol represents the number of brokers covering it for this report -(if more than 1).

Last Updated: 05:00 PM

Your daily news report on the latest recommendation, valuation, forecast and opinion changes.

This report includes concise but limited reviews of research recently published by Stockbrokers, which should be considered as information concerning likely market behaviour rather than advice on the securities mentioned. Do not act on the contents of this Report without first reading the important information included at the end.

For more info about the different terms used by stockbrokers, as well as the different methodologies behind similar sounding ratings, download our guide HERE

Today's Upgrades and Downgrades
ADH - ADAIRS Downgrade to Hold from Add Morgans
ANZ - ANZ BANKING GROUP Upgrade to Buy from Neutral Citi
BEN - BENDIGO AND ADELAIDE BANK Upgrade to Buy from Sell Citi
BOQ - BANK OF QUEENSLAND Upgrade to Buy from Neutral Citi
CBA - COMMBANK Upgrade to Buy from Sell Citi
EVT - EVENT HOSPITALITY Upgrade to Buy from Neutral Citi
FXL - FLEXIGROUP Downgrade to Hold from Add Morgans
JBH - JB HI-FI Upgrade to Neutral from Underperform Credit Suisse
MVF - MONASH IVF Downgrade to Hold from Add Morgans
WBC - WESTPAC BANKING Upgrade to Buy from Neutral Citi
WES - WESFARMERS Upgrade to Neutral from Underperform Credit Suisse
ADH  ADAIRS LIMITED

Furniture & Renovation

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Overnight Price: $0.56

Morgans rates ADH as Downgrade to Hold from Add (3) -

Managing liquidity is now primary focus for the company as, while the first 11 weeks of the second half produced buoyant trading, subsequently there has been a marked slowdown. Guidance is now withdrawn.

The board will no longer pay the interim dividend. The main risk is that non-essential retail stores may close and, in the above scenario, the balance sheet could come under pressure, Morgans points out.

Rating is downgraded to Hold from Add and the target lowered to $1.60 from $2.26.

Target price is $1.60 Current Price is $0.56 Difference: $1.04
If ADH meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 186% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 16.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 3.50.

Forecast for FY21:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 16.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 3.50.

Market Sentiment: 0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

ALL  ARISTOCRAT LEISURE LIMITED

Gaming

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Overnight Price: $16.91

Citi rates ALL as Buy (1) -

As part of the implementation of more widespread restrictions on social gatherings, pubs registered & licensed clubs and casinos in NSW will be shut.

Citi assumes three-months shutdown, which drives downgrades of -44% to FY20 Australasian segment earnings.

With a strong balance sheet, the broker looks through to FY22 and assesses there is a large earnings buffer. Buy rating maintained. Target is reduced to $29.40 from $32.10.

Target price is $29.40 Current Price is $16.91 Difference: $12.49
If ALL meets the Citi target it will return approximately 74% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $33.84, suggesting upside of 100.1% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in September.

Forecast for FY20:

Citi forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 58.00 cents and EPS of 113.20 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.43%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.94.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 138.2, implying annual growth of 26.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 59.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.2.

Forecast for FY21:

Citi forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 70.00 cents and EPS of 145.40 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.14%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 11.63.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 165.2, implying annual growth of 19.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 69.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 10.2.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


UBS rates ALL as Buy (1) -

Based on the latest data, the broker estimates Aristocrat Leisure's social gaming and casino app revenue has grown by 10-15% year to date. Total social gaming revenue is estimated to be up 90% year on year in February and 50% year to date.

Buy and $39.60 target retained.

Target price is $39.60 Current Price is $16.91 Difference: $22.69
If ALL meets the UBS target it will return approximately 134% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $33.84, suggesting upside of 100.1% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in September.

Forecast for FY20:

UBS forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 66.00 cents and EPS of 165.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.90%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 10.25.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 138.2, implying annual growth of 26.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 59.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.2.

Forecast for FY21:

UBS forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 72.00 cents and EPS of 180.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.26%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 9.39.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 165.2, implying annual growth of 19.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 69.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 10.2.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

ALX  ATLAS ARTERIA

Infrastructure & Utilities

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Overnight Price: $5.16

Macquarie rates ALX as Outperform (1) -

The company has postponed the distribution and withdrawn guidance, instead using distributions to repay debt. Long-term fundamentals are unchanged, in Macquarie's view.

The extent of the squeeze on distributions remains a function of the length of lock-downs and subsequent recovery, the broker adds. Outperform rating maintained. Target is reduced to $7.14 from $8.14.

Target price is $7.14 Current Price is $5.16 Difference: $1.98
If ALX meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 38% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $7.63, suggesting upside of 47.9% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY20:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 24.20 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 21.32.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 32.2, implying annual growth of 1188.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 26.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 16.0.

Forecast for FY21:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 19.00 cents and EPS of 98.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.68%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 5.23.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 60.2, implying annual growth of 87.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 34.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 8.6.

Market Sentiment: 0.2

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


UBS rates ALX as Neutral (3) -

Global lockdowns have led to an estimated drop in traffic on Atlas Arteria toll roads in excess of -50%. Resultant loss of cash flow puts near term dividends in question, the broker warns, and the complex structure of the business raises certain risks around debt covenants.

Dulles Greenway looks safe but APRR may hit lock-up, albeit a delay of dividends could avert this, the broker suggests. The broker now has the stock under review hence FNArena has withdrawn price target and EPS/DPS forecasts.

Current Price is $5.16. Target price not assessed.

Current consensus price target is $7.63, suggesting upside of 47.9% (ex-dividends)

Forecast for FY20:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 32.2, implying annual growth of 1188.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 26.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 16.0.

Forecast for FY21:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 60.2, implying annual growth of 87.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 34.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 8.6.

Market Sentiment: 0.2

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

ANZ  AUSTRALIA & NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP

Banks

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Overnight Price: $14.79

Citi rates ANZ as Upgrade to Buy from Neutral (1) -

Citi upgrades the banking sector to Buy. Even in a severe bad debt scenario the current crisis is not likely to de-stabilise the sector such as what occurred in the GFC, says the broker.

Citi lowers ANZ cash earnings forecast by -6-7% for FY20 and FY21. Stronger net interest income assumptions and markets income are offset by higher bad debts.

The broker cuts the second half dividend forecast by -18%. Rating is upgraded to Buy from Neutral and the target is lowered to $24.75 from $28.00.

Target price is $24.75 Current Price is $14.79 Difference: $9.96
If ANZ meets the Citi target it will return approximately 67% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $20.88, suggesting upside of 41.2% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in September.

Forecast for FY20:

Citi forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 145.00 cents and EPS of 186.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 9.80%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 7.95.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 192.0, implying annual growth of -8.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 144.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 9.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 7.7.

Forecast for FY21:

Citi forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 130.00 cents and EPS of 188.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 8.79%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 7.87.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 187.4, implying annual growth of -2.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 135.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 9.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 7.9.

Market Sentiment: 0.4

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

AQZ  ALLIANCE AVIATION SERVICES LIMITED

Transportation & Logistics

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Overnight Price: $1.09

Credit Suisse rates AQZ as Outperform (1) -

Credit Suisse notes at least 65% of Alliance Aviation's flight hours are sourced from fly-in, fly-out markets where consistent feedback signals there is no disruption.

Still, the business is not completely immune and, in the interests of being prudent, the company has cancelled the dividend and signalled profitability could be below FY19 levels.

Credit Suisse finds the valuation undemanding and retains an Outperform rating. Target is reduced to $1.90 from $3.15.

Target price is $1.90 Current Price is $1.09 Difference: $0.81
If AQZ meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately 74% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 7.30 cents and EPS of 13.09 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.70%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 8.33.

Forecast for FY21:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 12.27 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 8.88.

Market Sentiment: 0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

ARF  ARENA REIT

REITs

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Overnight Price: $1.54

Morgan Stanley rates ARF as Overweight (1) -

Guidance is withdrawn, specifically because of social isolation measures which may materially lower attendance at child care facilities.

As yet, Morgan Stanley notes, the government has not mandated closures of education centres. The board has deferred the March distribution in light of the uncertainties.

Overweight rating and In-Line industry view maintained. Target is $3.35.

Target price is $3.35 Current Price is $1.54 Difference: $1.81
If ARF meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately 118% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $3.17, suggesting upside of 105.6% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 14.40 cents and EPS of 14.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 9.35%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 10.55.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 14.4, implying annual growth of -33.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 14.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 9.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 10.7.

Forecast for FY21:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 15.30 cents and EPS of 15.40 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 9.94%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 10.00.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 15.1, implying annual growth of 4.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 15.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 9.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 10.2.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

ASB  AUSTAL LIMITED

Commercial Services & Supplies

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Overnight Price: $2.52

Macquarie rates ASB as Outperform (1) -

The impact of the crisis on FY20 guidance appears low to Macquarie. US operations are considered essential critical infrastructure.

Committed orders provide good visibility into FY20 and FY21 revenue. Macquarie retains an Outperform rating  and reduces the target by -36% to $3.20.

Target price is $3.20 Current Price is $2.52 Difference: $0.68
If ASB meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 27% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $4.12, suggesting upside of 63.4% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 7.00 cents and EPS of 22.30 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.78%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 11.30.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 21.1, implying annual growth of 19.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 6.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 11.9.

Forecast for FY21:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 7.50 cents and EPS of 24.10 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.98%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 10.46.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 22.8, implying annual growth of 8.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 6.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 11.1.

Market Sentiment: 0.7

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

AUB  AUB GROUP LIMITED

Diversified Financials

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Overnight Price: $10.94

Macquarie rates AUB as Outperform (1) -

Macquarie assesses insurance brokers are resilient in an economic downturn. FY20 guidance has not been withdrawn, with growth of 6-8% in earnings per share expected.

Macquarie retains an Outperform rating and reduces the target to $13.09 from $14.31.

Target price is $13.09 Current Price is $10.94 Difference: $2.15
If AUB meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 20% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 45.50 cents and EPS of 67.50 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.16%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 16.21.

Forecast for FY21:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 46.00 cents and EPS of 73.30 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.20%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.92.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

BBN  BABY BUNTING GROUP LIMITED

Apparel & Footwear

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Overnight Price: $1.82

Citi rates BBN as Buy (1) -

The company's update has indicated momentum in both like-for-like sales and online, although guidance has been withdrawn. So far the business has bucked the retail slowdown but the potential for store closures could make it challenging, Citi asserts.

The broker assumes one month of store closures and weak momentum in the fourth quarter. Nevertheless, Baby Bunting appears well-placed.

The business is delaying $7m of capital expenditure associated with the rolling out of the new brand. Meanwhile, short-term liquidity is supported by $27m in unused funds. Buy rating and $2.65 target.

Target price is $2.65 Current Price is $1.82 Difference: $0.83
If BBN meets the Citi target it will return approximately 46% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $3.15, suggesting upside of 72.8% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in July.

Forecast for FY20:

Citi forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 9.60 cents and EPS of 16.50 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.27%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 11.03.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 15.6, implying annual growth of 59.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 11.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 11.7.

Forecast for FY21:

Citi forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 12.10 cents and EPS of 20.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.65%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 8.83.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 19.5, implying annual growth of 25.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 14.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 7.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 9.3.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Morgan Stanley rates BBN as Overweight (1) -

The company has withdrawn guidance, despite a strong performance in the year to date

 Morgan Stanley expects most stores will stay open as 54 of the 56 stores are outside shopping centres.

Overweight. Target is $3.80. Industry view is In-line.

Target price is $3.80 Current Price is $1.82 Difference: $1.98
If BBN meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately 109% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $3.15, suggesting upside of 72.8% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in July.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 15.00 cents and EPS of 16.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 8.24%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 11.38.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 15.6, implying annual growth of 59.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 11.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 11.7.

Forecast for FY21:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 18.00 cents and EPS of 19.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 9.89%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 9.58.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 19.5, implying annual growth of 25.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 14.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 7.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 9.3.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

BEN  BENDIGO AND ADELAIDE BANK LIMITED

Banks

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Overnight Price: $5.44

Citi rates BEN as Upgrade to Buy from Sell (1) -

Citi upgrades the banking sector to Buy. Even in a severe bad debt scenario the current crisis is not likely to de-stabilise the sector such as what occurred in the GFC, says the broker.

The broker lowers cash earnings forecasts by -6% for FY20 but upgrades FY21 by 5% and FY22 by 16%.

The broker expects, while bad debts weigh, the bank will benefit from industry-wide mortgage repricing and a predominantly housing-related book.

The dividend is expected to be cut to $0.24 in the second half. Rating is upgraded to Buy from Sell and the target reduced to $7.25 from $9.25.

Target price is $7.25 Current Price is $5.44 Difference: $1.81
If BEN meets the Citi target it will return approximately 33% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $7.56, suggesting upside of 38.9% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Citi forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 55.00 cents and EPS of 66.90 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 10.11%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 8.13.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 69.7, implying annual growth of -18.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 58.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 10.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 7.8.

Forecast for FY21:

Citi forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 48.00 cents and EPS of 63.40 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 8.82%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 8.58.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 59.7, implying annual growth of -14.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 50.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 9.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 9.1.

Market Sentiment: -0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

BOQ  BANK OF QUEENSLAND LIMITED

Banks

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Overnight Price: $4.69

Citi rates BOQ as Upgrade to Buy from Neutral (1) -

Citi upgrades the banking sector to Buy. Even in a severe bad debt scenario the current crisis is not likely to de-stabilise the sector such as what occurred in the GFC, says the broker.

Citi lowers cash earnings forecasts for Bank of Queensland by -10% for FY20 but upgrades FY21 and FY22 by 9-11%.

The broker believes the bank should benefit from industry-wide mortgage repricing amid less sensitivity to cash-linked small and medium enterprises. Bad debts may weigh, nevertheless.

Rating is upgraded to Buy from Neutral and the target reduced to $6.50 from $7.75.

Target price is $6.50 Current Price is $4.69 Difference: $1.81
If BOQ meets the Citi target it will return approximately 39% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $7.01, suggesting upside of 49.6% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in August.

Forecast for FY20:

Citi forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 50.00 cents and EPS of 58.10 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 10.66%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 8.07.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 64.2, implying annual growth of -19.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 48.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 10.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 7.3.

Forecast for FY21:

Citi forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 40.00 cents and EPS of 67.30 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 8.53%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 6.97.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 63.0, implying annual growth of -1.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 47.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 10.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 7.4.

Market Sentiment: 0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

CBA  COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA

Banks

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Overnight Price: $56.55

Citi rates CBA as Upgrade to Buy from Sell (1) -

Citi upgrades the banking sector to Buy. Even in a severe bad debt scenario the current crisis is not likely to de-stabilise the sector such as what occurred in the GFC, says the broker.

Citi maintains Commonwealth Bank's near-term earnings estimates in FY20 and FY21. Stronger net interest income assumptions and markets income are offsetting higher bad debts, in the broker's assessment.

The dividend forecast for the second half is reduced to $1.90. Rating is upgraded to Buy from Sell and the target reduced to $68.75 from $72.50.

Target price is $68.75 Current Price is $56.55 Difference: $12.2
If CBA meets the Citi target it will return approximately 22% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $64.21, suggesting upside of 13.5% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Citi forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 390.00 cents and EPS of 474.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.90%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 11.92.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 475.0, implying annual growth of -2.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 411.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 7.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 11.9.

Forecast for FY21:

Citi forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 365.00 cents and EPS of 444.10 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.45%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 12.73.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 461.5, implying annual growth of -2.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 379.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.3.

Market Sentiment: -0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

CCX  CITY CHIC COLLECTIVE LTD

Apparel & Footwear

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Overnight Price: $0.92

Morgan Stanley rates CCX as Overweight (1) -

Morgan Stanley believes City Chic is well-placed to benefit from changes in consumer behaviour to online. This should help the business manage the risks from the virus relatively better than other retailers.

On the back of the broker's survey, 27% of consumers expect to buy more non-grocery items online in the next month and 55% expect to make less frequent visits to shopping centres in the next month.

Overweight rating and $4 target. Industry view is In-Line.

Target price is $4.00 Current Price is $0.92 Difference: $3.08
If CCX meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately 335% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

CSL  CSL LIMITED

Pharmaceuticals & Biotech/Lifesciences

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Overnight Price: $283.07

Ord Minnett rates CSL as Hold (3) -

The closure of the US/Mexico border will have implications for plasma collections, Ord Minnett believes, as the company has a number of centres along the border that rely on Mexicans.

Even while estimating this accounts for just 5% of collections, the broker expects the company will seek to raise collections elsewhere to offset the loss.

Plasma collection has been deemed part of the US critical infrastructure, the broker points out, but the company and competitors will need to raise awareness of the available cash payments for donations to ensure collections continue.

Hold rating maintained. Target is $305.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Target price is $305.00 Current Price is $283.07 Difference: $21.93
If CSL meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 8% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $316.59, suggesting upside of 11.8% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY20 EPS of 727.43 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 38.91.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 776.7, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 340.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 36.4.

Forecast for FY21:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY21 EPS of 831.14 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 34.06.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 964.1, implying annual growth of 24.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 421.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 29.4.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.4

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

CTD  CORPORATE TRAVEL MANAGEMENT LIMITED

Travel, Leisure & Tourism

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Overnight Price: $7.17

Morgan Stanley rates CTD as Overweight (1) -

Morgan Stanley considers the balance sheet and working capital position puts the company on a more sustainable footing versus its peers. The receivables risk is also considered less pronounced, while there is headroom in debt facilities.

FY20 and FY21 earnings estimates are reduced, although the broker expects a gradual recovery in the first half of FY21. Target is reduced to $10 from $27. Overweight rating retained. Industry view is In-Line.

Target price is $10.00 Current Price is $7.17 Difference: $2.83
If CTD meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately 39% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $13.90, suggesting upside of 93.8% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY20 EPS of 27.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 26.56.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 41.9, implying annual growth of -47.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 19.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 17.1.

Forecast for FY21:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY21 EPS of 53.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.53.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 64.0, implying annual growth of 52.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 31.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 11.2.

Market Sentiment: 0.6

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

CTX  CALTEX AUSTRALIA LIMITED

Crude Oil

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Overnight Price: $20.65

Morgan Stanley rates CTX as Equal-weight (3) -

Caltex has indicated that jet fuel may be down -80-90% in the months that travel restrictions are in place.

A six-month reduction in travel might imply a -40-50% reduction in jet fuel for 2020 and on Morgan Stanley's calculations this would approximate a -$40-50m reduction in earnings (EBIT).

All up, the broker envisage risk to the Couche-Tard offer, given the current earnings trajectory.

Target is $34. Industry view is In-Line. Equal-weight.

Target price is $34.00 Current Price is $20.65 Difference: $13.35
If CTX meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately 65% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $31.45, suggesting upside of 52.3% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY20 EPS of 182.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 11.35.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 181.4, implying annual growth of 19.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 107.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 11.4.

Forecast for FY21:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY21 EPS of 201.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 10.27.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 208.2, implying annual growth of 14.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 123.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 9.9.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

CWN  CROWN RESORTS LIMITED

Gaming

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Overnight Price: $6.41

Credit Suisse rates CWN as Outperform (1) -

Casinos have been ordered to shut down, until at least April 13 in the case of Victoria. Credit Suisse reduces estimates for earnings per share by -19% in FY20.

Some recovery is expected in FY21 off a much lower base. Crown Resorts' leverage ratio is projected to rise but to be well below covenants.

The broker assumes the company forgoes declaring dividends in the second half and FY21. Outperform rating and $11 target maintained.

Target price is $11.00 Current Price is $6.41 Difference: $4.59
If CWN meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately 72% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $11.14, suggesting upside of 73.8% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 30.00 cents and EPS of 12.76 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.68%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 50.24.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 39.6, implying annual growth of -33.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 52.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 8.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 16.2.

Forecast for FY21:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 30.58 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 20.96.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 45.3, implying annual growth of 14.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 45.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 7.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.2.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

DHG  DOMAIN HOLDINGS AUSTRALIA LIMITED

Real Estate

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Overnight Price: $1.80

Morgan Stanley rates DHG as Overweight (1) -

The company had pointed to a positive start to 2020 but there is now considerable uncertainty in the real estate market, Morgan Stanley observes.

The broker expects an acute reduction in new listings in Sydney and Melbourne over the next few weeks and months. The issue is now about the timing and trajectory of a recovery.

Target is $3.75. Industry view is Attractive. Overweight rating retained on a 12-month view.

Target price is $3.75 Current Price is $1.80 Difference: $1.95
If DHG meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately 108% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $3.31, suggesting upside of 83.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY20 EPS of 7.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 25.71.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 5.6, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 5.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 32.1.

Forecast for FY21:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY21 EPS of 10.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 18.00.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 8.6, implying annual growth of 53.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 7.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 20.9.

Market Sentiment: 0.6

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

EVT  EVENT HOSPITALITY AND ENTERTAINMENT LTD

Travel, Leisure & Tourism

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Overnight Price: $6.13

Citi rates EVT as Upgrade to Buy from Neutral (1) -

While the operating business has challenges, Citi believes there are multiple levers to cushion the impact on profitability in the current downturn.

Following the drop of -52% in the share price since the first half result, the broker assesses shareholders are now getting the operating businesses for free, given a $2bn property portfolio.

The broker factors in the closure of cinemas over the entire fourth quarter and hotel closures during April and May as well as lower occupancy in March and June.

There is also a risk that the sale of the German cinemas is delayed into the second half of FY21. Rating is upgraded to Buy from Neutral and the target is lowered to $7.45 from $12.65.

Target price is $7.45 Current Price is $6.13 Difference: $1.32
If EVT meets the Citi target it will return approximately 22% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Citi forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 21.00 cents and EPS of 4.10 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.43%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 149.51.

Forecast for FY21:

Citi forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 42.50 cents and EPS of 11.90 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.93%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 51.51.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

FXL  FLEXIGROUP LIMITED

Business & Consumer Credit

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Overnight Price: $0.41

Morgans rates FXL as Downgrade to Hold from Add (3) -

Guidance has been withdrawn. Morgans observes the company faces several challenges, particularly given its exposure to travel, point-of-sale retail and solar.

There is also a risk to the balance sheet if a steep increase in impairments is experienced. Morgans notes the company has not disclosed covenants, which makes understanding the risk difficult.

The broker regards the stock has high risk until more certainty is achieved and downgrades to Hold from Add. Target is reduced to $0.62 from $2.25.

Target price is $0.62 Current Price is $0.41 Difference: $0.21
If FXL meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 51% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $1.46, suggesting upside of 254.9% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 3.90 cents and EPS of 14.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 9.51%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 2.93.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 16.0, implying annual growth of 0.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 6.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 15.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 2.6.

Forecast for FY21:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 8.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 5.13.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 15.1, implying annual growth of -5.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 5.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 12.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 2.7.

Market Sentiment: 0.8

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

HUB  HUB24 LIMITED

Wealth Management & Investments

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Overnight Price: $6.70

Ord Minnett rates HUB as Buy (1) -

Despite the sharp contraction in the market, Ord Minnett still expects HUB24 will grow earnings by 27% in FY20 and 30% in FY21.

Strong flows are expected to buffer the business against weak markets and the reduced cash spread. Buy maintained. Target is lowered to $12.24 from $15.46.

Target price is $12.24 Current Price is $6.70 Difference: $5.54
If HUB meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 83% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $11.53, suggesting upside of 72.1% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 8.90 cents and EPS of 25.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.33%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 26.07.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 20.5, implying annual growth of 77.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 8.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 32.7.

Forecast for FY21:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 16.20 cents and EPS of 33.50 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.42%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 20.00.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 27.1, implying annual growth of 32.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 12.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 24.7.

Market Sentiment: 0.6

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

IEL  IDP EDUCATION LIMITED

Education & Tuition

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Overnight Price: $10.87

Morgan Stanley rates IEL as Overweight (1) -

Morgan Stanley assesses high-conviction stocks that can offer attractive long-term returns and withstand the current uncertainty. IDP Education has a leading position globally and an expanding opportunity.

It meets the broker's requirements of high quality, structural growth and a strong balance sheet. Target is reduced to $18.50 from $24.00. Overweight rating. Industry view is In-Line.

Target price is $18.50 Current Price is $10.87 Difference: $7.63
If IEL meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately 70% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $21.51, suggesting upside of 97.8% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 27.00 cents and EPS of 36.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.48%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 30.19.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 35.7, implying annual growth of 35.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 26.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 30.4.

Forecast for FY21:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 37.30 cents and EPS of 46.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.43%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 23.63.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 45.0, implying annual growth of 26.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 33.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 24.2.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

IFL  IOOF HOLDINGS LIMITED

Wealth Management & Investments

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Overnight Price: $2.74

Macquarie rates IFL as Neutral (3) -

Macquarie suspects the balance sheet will come into focus should there not be a recovery in equity markets.

At current levels, even after significant earnings reductions and limited cost offsets, the valuation is considered attractive.

However, questions surrounding the balance sheet preclude the broker from taking a more positive view

Target is reduced to $3.75 from $7.30. Neutral rating retained.

Target price is $3.75 Current Price is $2.74 Difference: $1.01
If IFL meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 37% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $6.37, suggesting upside of 132.4% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 28.00 cents and EPS of 35.90 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 10.22%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 7.63.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 42.6, implying annual growth of 425.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 33.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 12.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 6.4.

Forecast for FY21:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 18.50 cents and EPS of 31.50 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.75%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 8.70.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 49.2, implying annual growth of 15.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 38.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 13.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 5.6.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

JBH  JB HI-FI LIMITED

Consumer Electronics

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Overnight Price: $23.99

Credit Suisse rates JBH as Upgrade to Neutral from Underperform (3) -

Credit Suisse upgrades to Neutral from Underperform. The broker considers the business a relative safe haven in discretionary retail.

There is also a sound funding position which would only be tested if there was an extended closure of retail stores and an inability to extend credit payments.

While expecting cash flow will crimp expenditure, the broker notes the performance in the March quarter provides a cash buffer heading into the uncertain June quarter. Target is reduced to $26.98 from $31.97.

Target price is $26.98 Current Price is $23.99 Difference: $2.99
If JBH meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately 12% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $35.73, suggesting upside of 48.9% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 149.00 cents and EPS of 223.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.21%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 10.76.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 223.8, implying annual growth of 2.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 146.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 10.7.

Forecast for FY21:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 151.00 cents and EPS of 226.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.29%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 10.62.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 235.2, implying annual growth of 5.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 154.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 10.2.

Market Sentiment: 0.4

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Morgan Stanley rates JBH as Equal-weight (3) -

Like-for-like sales growth appears to have accelerated up until March on the back of strong demand for remote workstations and home appliances.

However, given the developments Morgan Stanley notes a risk that stores may be closed for an uncertain period of time in the near future and the company has withdrawn guidance as a result.

Significant headroom exists in facilities, the broker points out, while liquidity is likely to be the focus for investors across the retail sector.

Equal-weight. Target is $39. Industry view: Cautious.

Target price is $39.00 Current Price is $23.99 Difference: $15.01
If JBH meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately 63% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $35.73, suggesting upside of 48.9% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 143.00 cents and EPS of 232.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.96%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 10.34.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 223.8, implying annual growth of 2.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 146.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 10.7.

Forecast for FY21:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 148.00 cents and EPS of 245.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.17%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 9.79.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 235.2, implying annual growth of 5.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 154.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 10.2.

Market Sentiment: 0.4

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Morgans rates JBH as Add (1) -

The company has withdrawn guidance but the update revealed very strong trading in the third quarter, as consumers spent in anticipation of the potential impact of virus-related shutdowns.

Morgans had expected the business would be a beneficiary of increased demand for technology and white goods, but the withdrawal of guidance is considered prudent, given the significant uncertainty as to whether retailers/shopping centres can remain open in the short term if shut-downs escalate.

Add rating maintained. Target is reduced to $33.15 from $36.44.

Target price is $33.15 Current Price is $23.99 Difference: $9.16
If JBH meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 38% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $35.73, suggesting upside of 48.9% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 158.00 cents and EPS of 243.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.59%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 9.87.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 223.8, implying annual growth of 2.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 146.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 10.7.

Forecast for FY21:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 170.00 cents and EPS of 252.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 7.09%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 9.52.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 235.2, implying annual growth of 5.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 154.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 10.2.

Market Sentiment: 0.4

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Ord Minnett rates JBH as Accumulate (2) -

Guidance has been withdrawn. Ord Minnett notes sales are outperforming Harvey Norman ((HVN)) because of the category mix but also, arguably, market share gains.

In contrast, JB New Zealand is losing market share to Harvey Norman. While the shopping centre skew is a negative, the prospect of rent relief exists.

Airport stores, however, are an area of downside, the broker adds. Accumulate maintained. Target is $38.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Target price is $38.00 Current Price is $23.99 Difference: $14.01
If JBH meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 58% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $35.73, suggesting upside of 48.9% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY20 EPS of 227.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 10.57.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 223.8, implying annual growth of 2.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 146.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 10.7.

Forecast for FY21:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY21 EPS of 234.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 10.25.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 235.2, implying annual growth of 5.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 154.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 10.2.

Market Sentiment: 0.4

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


UBS rates JBH as Neutral (3) -

JB Hi-Fi's sales growth accelerated sharply in February-March as consumers jumped on home office, gaming and other products in the face of the virus. Despite this, management has withdrawn FY20 guidance due to uncertainty.

The broker has not changed its forecasts given the likely pending impact on overall sales from the oncoming wave of unemployment. The broker nevertheless notes the company has one of the strongest balance sheets in the domestic retail sector. Neutral and $43 target retained.

Target price is $43.00 Current Price is $23.99 Difference: $19.01
If JBH meets the UBS target it will return approximately 79% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $35.73, suggesting upside of 48.9% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

UBS forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 155.00 cents and EPS of 229.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.46%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 10.48.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 223.8, implying annual growth of 2.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 146.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 10.7.

Forecast for FY21:

UBS forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 161.00 cents and EPS of 239.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.71%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 10.04.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 235.2, implying annual growth of 5.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 154.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 10.2.

Market Sentiment: 0.4

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

LNK  LINK ADMINISTRATION HOLDINGS LIMITED

Wealth Management & Investments

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Overnight Price: $2.87

Credit Suisse rates LNK as Outperform (1) -

The company has withdrawn FY20 guidance. Credit Suisse downgrades estimates by -8% for FY20 and -20% for FY21.

While FY21 will capture most of the impact, the broker expects a snapping back of earnings in FY22-23 as corporate actions pick up.

High levels of gearing could be mitigated, in the broker's view, and at this stage an equity raising is not deemed necessary.

Outperform rating maintained. Target is reduced to $4.60 from $5.90.

Target price is $4.60 Current Price is $2.87 Difference: $1.73
If LNK meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately 60% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $5.17, suggesting upside of 80.0% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 12.78 cents and EPS of 27.43 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.45%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 10.46.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 27.1, implying annual growth of -54.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 14.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 10.6.

Forecast for FY21:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 13.37 cents and EPS of 27.82 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.66%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 10.32.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 30.7, implying annual growth of 13.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 16.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 9.3.

Market Sentiment: 0.8

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Macquarie rates LNK as Outperform (1) -

Link Administration has withdrawn FY20 guidance. Macquarie does not believe debt serviceability is an issue.

The broker considers the valuation attractive, the balance sheet solid and maintains an Outperform rating.

Earnings estimates are reduced by -33% for FY20 and -45% for FY21. Target is lowered to $4.40 from $7.10.

Target price is $4.40 Current Price is $2.87 Difference: $1.53
If LNK meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 53% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $5.17, suggesting upside of 80.0% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 9.00 cents and EPS of 19.80 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.14%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.49.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 27.1, implying annual growth of -54.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 14.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 10.6.

Forecast for FY21:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 10.00 cents and EPS of 20.30 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.48%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.14.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 30.7, implying annual growth of 13.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 16.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 9.3.

Market Sentiment: 0.8

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Morgan Stanley rates LNK as Equal-weight (3) -

Link Administration is withdrawing guidance for FY20. Some of the business is affected by market volatility and reduced margin income on float balances.

Still, Morgan Stanley considers the stock one of the more defensive in the non-bank financials.

The company has also indicated it will remain comfortably within its debt covenants but is also taking measures to reduce costs.

Equal-weight. Target is $5.30. In-Line industry view maintained.

Target price is $5.30 Current Price is $2.87 Difference: $2.43
If LNK meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately 85% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $5.17, suggesting upside of 80.0% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 18.30 cents and EPS of 32.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.38%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 8.97.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 27.1, implying annual growth of -54.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 14.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 10.6.

Forecast for FY21:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 22.30 cents and EPS of 38.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 7.77%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 7.55.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 30.7, implying annual growth of 13.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 16.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 9.3.

Market Sentiment: 0.8

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


UBS rates LNK as Buy (1) -

While 80% of Link Administration's revenue is recurring in nature, transactional and market-related revenues are at risk due to market volatility and economic pressures, the broker notes.

Link has withdrawn FY20 guidance. Taking the GFC experience as a guide, the broker lowers its 2020 profit forecast by -18%, noting outer year earnings are less affected thanks to the lower A$.

Link has said it is comfortably within its covenants, and on a -55% fall in share price the broker retains Buy. Target falls to $5.00 from $6.25.

Target price is $5.00 Current Price is $2.87 Difference: $2.13
If LNK meets the UBS target it will return approximately 74% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $5.17, suggesting upside of 80.0% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

UBS forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 10.00 cents and EPS of 27.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.48%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 10.63.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 27.1, implying annual growth of -54.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 14.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 10.6.

Forecast for FY21:

UBS forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 13.00 cents and EPS of 28.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.53%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 10.25.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 30.7, implying annual growth of 13.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 16.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 9.3.

Market Sentiment: 0.8

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

MME  MONEYME LIMITED

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Overnight Price: $0.59

Ord Minnett rates MME as Buy (1) -

The operating business is ahead of prospectus but a new funding facility is considered critical, expected at the end of FY20.

Ord Minnett suspects the true test of provision ratios and arrears is likely to come mid 2020. Buy rating maintained. Target is reduced to $1.35 from $1.88.

Target price is $1.35 Current Price is $0.59 Difference: $0.76
If MME meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 129% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY20 EPS of 0.10 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 590.00.

Forecast for FY21:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY21 EPS of 3.80 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.53.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

MVF  MONASH IVF GROUP LIMITED

Healthcare services

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Overnight Price: $0.40

Morgans rates MVF as Downgrade to Hold from Add (3) -

FY20 guidance has been withdrawn. Morgans believes it appropriate to revise forecasts and adjust dividend expectations, as cash conservation is paramount.

While the balance sheet is in a reasonable position, the broker reduces the valuation and applies a further -20% discount, setting the target at $0.66 from $1.15. Rating is downgraded to Hold from Add for the short term.

Target price is $0.66 Current Price is $0.40 Difference: $0.26
If MVF meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 65% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 3.00 cents and EPS of 7.10 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 7.50%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 5.63.

Forecast for FY21:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 4.00 cents and EPS of 7.30 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 10.00%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 5.48.

Market Sentiment: 0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

NAB  NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED

Banks

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Overnight Price: $14.27

Citi rates NAB as Buy (1) -

Citi upgrades the banking sector to Buy. Even in a severe bad debt scenario the current crisis is not likely to de-stabilise the sector such as what occurred in the GFC, says the broker.

The broker lowers cash earnings forecasts by -3-6% for FY20 and FY21, expecting stronger net interest income and markets income will be offset by higher bad debts.

Forecasts for the second half dividend are reduced to $0.75, restoring a 75% pay-out ratio. Buy maintained. Target is reduced to $25.50 from $30.50.

Target price is $25.50 Current Price is $14.27 Difference: $11.23
If NAB meets the Citi target it will return approximately 79% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $20.61, suggesting upside of 44.5% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in September.

Forecast for FY20:

Citi forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 158.00 cents and EPS of 198.40 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 11.07%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 7.19.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 190.2, implying annual growth of 6.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 152.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 10.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 7.5.

Forecast for FY21:

Citi forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 150.00 cents and EPS of 187.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 10.51%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 7.60.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 186.5, implying annual growth of -1.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 145.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 10.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 7.7.

Market Sentiment: 0.6

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Morgan Stanley rates NAB as Overweight (1) -

National Australia Bank has converted $750m in capital notes into ordinary equity and noted current volatility in global capital markets may negatively affect mark-to-market valuations and the market and treasury portfolios.

Meanwhile, the broader economic impact of the pandemic is expected to affect asset quality and lead to increased provisioning.

Morgan Stanley currently forecasts markets and treasury income to be broadly flat in FY20 and impairment charges to rise to around 19 percentage points of loans in FY20 and around 26 percentage points in FY21, from 15 percentage points in FY19.

Overweight. Target is $19.50. Industry view: In-line.

Target price is $19.50 Current Price is $14.27 Difference: $5.23
If NAB meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately 37% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $20.61, suggesting upside of 44.5% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in September.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 140.00 cents and EPS of 148.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 9.81%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 9.64.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 190.2, implying annual growth of 6.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 152.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 10.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 7.5.

Forecast for FY21:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 140.00 cents and EPS of 173.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 9.81%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 8.25.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 186.5, implying annual growth of -1.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 145.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 10.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 7.7.

Market Sentiment: 0.6

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

NCM  NEWCREST MINING LIMITED

Gold & Silver

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Overnight Price: $24.21

Ord Minnett rates NCM as Hold (3) -

Canada's Lundin Gold has temporarily ceased operations at Fruta del Norte, Ecuador, a mine in which Newcrest owns a 32% stake.

Ord Minnett notes the extent of the closure remains dependent on actions by local and national governments.

Hold rating and $26 target maintained.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Target price is $26.00 Current Price is $24.21 Difference: $1.79
If NCM meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 7% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $28.55, suggesting upside of 17.9% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY20 EPS of 111.01 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 21.81.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 148.0, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 29.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 16.4.

Forecast for FY21:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY21 EPS of 153.37 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.78.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 160.1, implying annual growth of 8.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 29.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.1.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

NHF  NIB HOLDINGS LIMITED

Insurance

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Overnight Price: $5.07

Macquarie rates NHF as Neutral (3) -

FY20 guidance has been withdrawn. While sales of private health insurance are holding up, the company is considering options to support members encountering financial difficulty.

The company has advised a -1% drop in hospitalisation for the remainder of 2020 would equate to a reduction of -$8.8m in claims.

Macquarie envisages material upside risk to FY20 and FY21 estimates should claims slow. Neutral maintained. Target is reduced to $4.95 from $5.00.

Target price is $4.95 Current Price is $5.07 Difference: minus $0.12 (current price is over target).
If NHF meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately minus 2% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $5.03, suggesting downside of -0.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 20.00 cents and EPS of 27.20 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.94%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 18.64.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 27.7, implying annual growth of -15.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 22.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 18.3.

Forecast for FY21:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 22.00 cents and EPS of 31.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.34%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 16.35.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 29.8, implying annual growth of 7.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 25.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 17.0.

Market Sentiment: 0.2

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Morgan Stanley rates NHF as Equal-weight (3) -

The company has withdrawn FY20 guidance. Membership of Australian resident health insurance is ahead of budget in the year to date but nib Holdings acknowledges the downside risk from recession and higher unemployment.

Sales of international inbound health insurance are expected to be negatively affected by restrictions on foreign entry but the claims impact is not significant.

Equal-weight rating maintained. Target is $5.05. Industry view is In-Line.

Target price is $5.05 Current Price is $5.07 Difference: minus $0.02 (current price is over target).
If NHF meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately minus 0% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $5.03, suggesting downside of -0.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 21.10 cents and EPS of 26.10 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.16%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 19.43.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 27.7, implying annual growth of -15.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 22.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 18.3.

Forecast for FY21:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 20.70 cents and EPS of 29.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.08%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 17.13.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 29.8, implying annual growth of 7.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 25.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 17.0.

Market Sentiment: 0.2

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


UBS rates NHF as Buy (1) -

Nib Holdings has withdrawn FY20 guidance due to uncertainty. That uncertainty goes both ways, the broker notes, for what nib might lose on the swings of travel revenues it may pick up on the roundabout of reduced hospital utilisation, as elective procedures are deferred. The impacts will be transitory, the broker notes, but difficult to predict short term.

The broker has taken a conservative approach in lowering earnings forecasts, but notes this implies earnings upside risk. Buy and $4.75 target retained.

Target price is $4.75 Current Price is $5.07 Difference: minus $0.32 (current price is over target).
If NHF meets the UBS target it will return approximately minus 6% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $5.03, suggesting downside of -0.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

UBS forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 39.00 cents and EPS of 27.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 7.69%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 18.78.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 27.7, implying annual growth of -15.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 22.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 18.3.

Forecast for FY21:

UBS forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 53.00 cents and EPS of 26.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 10.45%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 19.50.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 29.8, implying annual growth of 7.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 25.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 17.0.

Market Sentiment: 0.2

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

NWL  NETWEALTH GROUP LIMITED

Wealth Management & Investments

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Overnight Price: $5.91

Ord Minnett rates NWL as Buy (1) -

Despite the sharp contraction in the market, Ord Minnett still expects Netwealth will grow earnings by 10% in FY20 and 7% in FY21.

Strong flows are expected to buffer the business against weak markets and the reduced cash spread. Buy maintained. Target is lowered to $7.55 from $8.72.

Target price is $7.55 Current Price is $5.91 Difference: $1.64
If NWL meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 28% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $7.14, suggesting upside of 20.8% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 14.60 cents and EPS of 16.30 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.47%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 36.26.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 17.1, implying annual growth of 15.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 13.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 34.6.

Forecast for FY21:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 17.80 cents and EPS of 17.50 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.01%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 33.77.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 17.9, implying annual growth of 4.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 14.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 33.0.

Market Sentiment: 0.2

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

NWS  NEWS CORPORATION

Print, Radio & TV

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Overnight Price: $13.89

Morgan Stanley rates NWS as Underweight (5) -

REA Group ((REA)) has withdrawn guidance for FY20. REA Group contributes around 35% of News Corp's operating earnings.

Morgan Stanley expects consensus estimates for FY20-21 will move lower, noting the market value of the company's stake in REA Group has already fallen more than -50%.

Underweight rating and US$12.50 target maintained. Industry view: Attractive.

Current Price is $13.89. Target price not assessed.

Current consensus price target is $24.62, suggesting upside of 77.3% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 29.21 cents and EPS of 61.35 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.10%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 22.64.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 66.4, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 31.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 20.9.

Forecast for FY21:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 29.21 cents and EPS of 68.65 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.10%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 20.23.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 77.4, implying annual growth of 16.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 34.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 17.9.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

PMV  PREMIER INVESTMENTS LIMITED

Apparel & Footwear

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Overnight Price: $9.47

Credit Suisse rates PMV as Outperform (1) -

Premier Investments has the strongest funding position under Credit Suisse's coverage and is likely to be a beneficiary of competitors closing their doors.

There is a strong growth opportunity through the expansion of Smiggle and the broker maintains an Outperform rating. Target is reduced to $9.94 from $20.22.

Target price is $9.94 Current Price is $9.47 Difference: $0.47
If PMV meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately 5% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $13.97, suggesting upside of 47.5% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in July.

Forecast for FY20:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 43.75 cents and EPS of 70.13 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.62%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.50.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 67.6, implying annual growth of 0.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 52.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.0.

Forecast for FY21:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 64.90 cents and EPS of 82.80 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.85%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 11.44.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 75.6, implying annual growth of 11.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 61.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.5.

Market Sentiment: 0.6

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Macquarie rates PMV as Neutral (3) -

First half results were ahead of Macquarie's estimates. The broker notes the balance sheet is net cash and debt facilities are secured against the company's property.

Nevertheless, trading across Australasia, Europe and Asia has been affected by the crisis and Macquarie's is negative about trading in the short term.

The main positives are the balance sheet and the company's power over landlords in Australasia. Neutral maintained. Target is raised to $12.82 from $11.71.

Target price is $12.82 Current Price is $9.47 Difference: $3.35
If PMV meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 35% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $13.97, suggesting upside of 47.5% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in July.

Forecast for FY20:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 34.00 cents and EPS of 50.50 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.59%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 18.75.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 67.6, implying annual growth of 0.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 52.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.0.

Forecast for FY21:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 33.00 cents and EPS of 57.80 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.48%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 16.38.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 75.6, implying annual growth of 11.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 61.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.5.

Market Sentiment: 0.6

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Morgan Stanley rates PMV as Equal-weight (3) -

Morgan Stanley believes Premier Investments is better placed compared with peers because of its cost discipline and robust balance sheet.

Trade has been severely disrupted because of the virus. Morgan Stanley has a low level of confidence in downwardly revised forecasts as the size of the demand shock is too difficult to predict.

Sales forecasts are reduced by -15-20% across FY20-22. Equal-weight rating, In-Line industry view. Target is reduced to $13.50 from $20.55.

Target price is $13.50 Current Price is $9.47 Difference: $4.03
If PMV meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately 43% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $13.97, suggesting upside of 47.5% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in July.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY20 EPS of 66.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.35.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 67.6, implying annual growth of 0.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 52.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.0.

Forecast for FY21:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY21 EPS of 68.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.93.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 75.6, implying annual growth of 11.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 61.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.5.

Market Sentiment: 0.6

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

RWC  RELIANCE WORLDWIDE CORPORATION LIMITED

Building Products & Services

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Overnight Price: $1.72

Ord Minnett rates RWC as Accumulate (2) -

Ord Minnett expects the company will be able to manage the current crisis and retain its balance sheet in good order.

A relatively defensive exposure should also allow earnings to hold up in a recession. Ord Minnett reiterates an Accumulate rating and $4 target.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Target price is $4.00 Current Price is $1.72 Difference: $2.28
If RWC meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 133% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $3.88, suggesting upside of 125.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY20 EPS of 18.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 9.56.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 18.3, implying annual growth of 7.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 9.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 9.4.

Forecast for FY21:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY21 EPS of 20.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 8.60.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 20.3, implying annual growth of 10.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 10.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 8.5.

Market Sentiment: 0.4

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

SDF  STEADFAST GROUP LIMITED

Insurance

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Overnight Price: $2.94

Macquarie rates SDF as Outperform (1) -

Macquarie assesses insurance brokers are resilient in an economic downturn. The broker reduces estimates by -3.5% in FY20 and -8% in FY21 to reflect economic weakness, partially offset by premium funding.

Target is reduced to $3.50 from $4.40. Outperform.

Target price is $3.50 Current Price is $2.94 Difference: $0.56
If SDF meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 19% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $4.05, suggesting upside of 37.6% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 8.80 cents and EPS of 15.50 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.99%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 18.97.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 15.2, implying annual growth of 15.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 9.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 19.3.

Forecast for FY21:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 8.90 cents and EPS of 15.40 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.03%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 19.09.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 15.8, implying annual growth of 3.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 9.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 18.6.

Market Sentiment: 0.6

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

SGP  STOCKLAND

Infra & Property Developers

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Overnight Price: $1.89

Morgan Stanley rates SGP as Overweight (1) -

Stockland has withdrawn FY20 guidance. All previous outlook statements have also been withdrawn. Undrawn liquidity of $850m has been confirmed.

The company also reiterated gearing of 26.1% versus a covenant of 50%. Target is $5.55. Rating is Overweight. Industry view is In-Line.

Target price is $5.55 Current Price is $1.89 Difference: $3.66
If SGP meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately 194% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $4.55, suggesting upside of 140.5% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 27.60 cents and EPS of 37.40 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 14.60%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 5.05.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 36.7, implying annual growth of 182.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 27.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 14.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 5.1.

Forecast for FY21:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 28.70 cents and EPS of 38.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 15.19%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 4.88.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 37.5, implying annual growth of 2.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 28.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 15.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 5.0.

Market Sentiment: -0.2

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

STO  SANTOS LIMITED

NatGas

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Overnight Price: $3.46

Credit Suisse rates STO as No Rating (-1) -

Expenditure has been cut by -US$600m in 2020. Barossa FID has also been deferred until business conditions improve.

Credit Suisse assumes -US$200m of the reductions stem from exploration/appraisal of NT and offshore Western Australia and some capital expenditure is deferred onshore.

The company has indicated debt covenants are not under threat. There is a possible risk, in the broker's view, that sentiment on debt covenants will weigh if the oil price drops below US$20/bbl.

The broker is restricted on providing a rating or target at present.

Current Price is $3.46. Target price not assessed.

Current consensus price target is $6.76, suggesting upside of 95.3% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY20:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 11.22 cents and EPS of 33.36 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.24%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 10.37.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 42.6, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 17.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 8.1.

Forecast for FY21:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 13.67 cents and EPS of 43.47 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.95%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 7.96.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 50.7, implying annual growth of 19.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 15.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 6.8.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.6

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Macquarie rates STO as Outperform (1) -

Santos has cut capital expenditure guidance by -38%. This is largely related to expenditure on the PNG LNG expansion and Barossa. The company is also taking steps to lower costs.

Macquarie believes the company is in control of the portfolio, although weak oil prices are putting pressure on earnings, the balance sheet and growth options.

Outperform maintained. Target is reduced -5% to $8.20.

Target price is $8.20 Current Price is $3.46 Difference: $4.74
If STO meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 137% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $6.76, suggesting upside of 95.3% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY20:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 25.86 cents and EPS of 69.09 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 7.47%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 5.01.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 42.6, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 17.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 8.1.

Forecast for FY21:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 8.76 cents and EPS of 64.86 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.53%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 5.33.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 50.7, implying annual growth of 19.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 15.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 6.8.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.6

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Morgan Stanley rates STO as Equal-weight (3) -

Santos has guided for a -US$550m reduction in 2020 capital expenditure and a -US$50m reduction in cash production costs. Morgan Stanley expects the latter excludes the impact of the Darwin LNG acquisition.

This acquisition will provide a greater interest in a high-cost asset and Morgan Stanley expects group production costs will increase towards US$8/boe.

Equal-weight maintained. Target is $4.25. Cautious industry view.

Target price is $4.25 Current Price is $3.46 Difference: $0.79
If STO meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately 23% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $6.76, suggesting upside of 95.3% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 13.44 cents and EPS of 13.15 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.88%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 26.32.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 42.6, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 17.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 8.1.

Forecast for FY21:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 14.02 cents and EPS of 10.23 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.05%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 33.84.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 50.7, implying annual growth of 19.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 15.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 6.8.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.6

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

SUL  SUPER RETAIL GROUP LIMITED

Automobiles & Components

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Overnight Price: $4.06

Credit Suisse rates SUL as Outperform (1) -

The share price has fallen to such an extent, reflecting either the company is going out of business or the stock is very cheap on even a significantly downgraded view.

The latter is obviously the case, Credit Suisse asserts, also assessing the company could fund operations even through a period of enforced retail closures.

Outperform maintained. Target is reduced to $7.80 from $9.94.

Target price is $7.80 Current Price is $4.06 Difference: $3.74
If SUL meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately 92% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $8.86, suggesting upside of 118.3% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 21.50 cents and EPS of 33.05 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.30%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 12.28.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 60.0, implying annual growth of -15.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 37.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 9.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 6.8.

Forecast for FY21:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 42.31 cents and EPS of 64.97 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 10.42%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 6.25.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 73.1, implying annual growth of 21.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 48.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 11.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 5.6.

Market Sentiment: 0.9

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

SYD  SYDNEY AIRPORT HOLDINGS LIMITED

Infrastructure & Utilities

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Overnight Price: $4.97

Macquarie rates SYD as Outperform (1) -

Sydney Airport has withdrawn capital expenditure guidance. Macquarie now expects a slower recovery, with international traffic subdued for longer. The long-term earnings potential is unchanged.

However, the broker now expects it will take until 2022 for operating earnings (EBITDA) to exceed 2019. There is upside expected if the pace of recovery is faster. Target is reduced to $6.95 from $7.94 and an Outperform rating is maintained.

Target price is $6.95 Current Price is $4.97 Difference: $1.98
If SYD meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 40% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $6.90, suggesting upside of 38.8% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY20:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 12.10 cents and EPS of 2.90 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.43%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 171.38.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 9.0, implying annual growth of -49.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 24.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 55.2.

Forecast for FY21:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 31.00 cents and EPS of 15.80 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.24%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 31.46.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 17.4, implying annual growth of 93.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 37.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 7.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 28.6.

Market Sentiment: 0.4

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

TAH  TABCORP HOLDINGS LIMITED

Gaming

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Overnight Price: $2.34

Credit Suisse rates TAH as Outperform (1) -

Credit Suisse downgrades FY20 estimates by -10% now clubs and pubs are required to shut for several weeks.

The broker assumes a -22% drop in second half wagering revenue and a -24% drop in second half keno revenue. FY21-22 estimates are unchanged.

The broker now assumes no dividend is declared in the second half of FY20 and the first half of FY21. Outperform rating and $4.25 target maintained.

Target price is $4.25 Current Price is $2.34 Difference: $1.91
If TAH meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately 82% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $4.22, suggesting upside of 80.2% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 18.00 cents and EPS of 15.41 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 7.69%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.18.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 17.7, implying annual growth of -1.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 19.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 8.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.2.

Forecast for FY21:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 10.00 cents and EPS of 16.22 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.27%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.43.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 18.0, implying annual growth of 1.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 18.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 7.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.0.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Morgan Stanley rates TAH as Equal-weight (3) -

Tabcorp will seek to partially mitigate the impact on its business as hotels & clubs which offer its wagering & gaming services close. This will be done by reductions in expenditure and pushing digital product.

There is a risk around further sports and racing cancellations and closures to convenience outlets that distribute lottery products.

Equal-weight rating maintained. Target is $4.50. Industry view: Cautious.

Target price is $4.50 Current Price is $2.34 Difference: $2.16
If TAH meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately 92% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $4.22, suggesting upside of 80.2% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY20 EPS of 19.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 12.32.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 17.7, implying annual growth of -1.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 19.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 8.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.2.

Forecast for FY21:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY21 EPS of 20.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 11.70.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 18.0, implying annual growth of 1.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 18.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 7.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.0.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

TRS  THE REJECT SHOP LIMITED

Household & Personal Products

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Overnight Price: $2.53

Morgan Stanley rates TRS as Underweight (5) -

The company has reported comparable sales for the week of March 16-22 were up 36.1%, driven by groceries, cleaning products and pet care. The company has also noted that inventory is forthcoming from China.

Nevertheless, Morgan Stanley observes structural challenges are yet to abate. Underweight rating and $1.26 target retained. Industry view: In Line.

Target price is $1.26 Current Price is $2.53 Difference: minus $1.27 (current price is over target).
If TRS meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately minus 50% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY20 EPS of minus 8.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 31.62.

Forecast for FY21:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY21 EPS of 5.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 50.60.

Market Sentiment: -1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

WBC  WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION

Banks

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Overnight Price: $14.37

Citi rates WBC as Upgrade to Buy from Neutral (1) -

Citi upgrades the banking sector to Buy. Even in a severe bad debt scenario the current crisis is not likely to de-stabilise the sector such as what occurred in the GFC, says the broker.

Citi lowers cash earnings forecasts for Westpac by -4-7% for FY20 and FY21. FY22 estimates are upgraded by 6% on the back of higher net interest income from the re-pricing of risks as bad debts recede.

The second half dividend forecast is cut to $0.65. Rating is upgraded to Buy from Neutral. Target is lowered to $26.00 from $27.25.

Target price is $26.00 Current Price is $14.37 Difference: $11.63
If WBC meets the Citi target it will return approximately 81% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $20.33, suggesting upside of 41.5% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in September.

Forecast for FY20:

Citi forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 150.00 cents and EPS of 154.80 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 10.44%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 9.28.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 166.7, implying annual growth of -27.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 148.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 10.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 8.6.

Forecast for FY21:

Citi forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 130.00 cents and EPS of 172.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 9.05%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 8.35.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 177.8, implying annual growth of 6.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 141.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 9.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 8.1.

Market Sentiment: 0.4

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

WES  WESFARMERS LIMITED

Apparel & Footwear

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Overnight Price: $31.32

Credit Suisse rates WES as Upgrade to Neutral from Underperform (3) -

Credit Suisse upgrades to Neutral from Underperform. Wesfarmers has one of the strongest funding positions in the broker's coverage which should enable it to withstand a prolonged enforced closure of its retail stores.

Moreover, most of the businesses have fundamentally sound positions. While the business has been challenged by lower earnings growth from several of its segments, the broker notes the current crisis offers potential for M&A. Target is reduced to $30.07 from $34.43.

Target price is $30.07 Current Price is $31.32 Difference: minus $1.25 (current price is over target).
If WES meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately minus 4% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $35.02, suggesting upside of 11.8% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 136.00 cents and EPS of 167.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.34%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 18.75.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 160.9, implying annual growth of -5.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 147.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 19.5.

Forecast for FY21:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 156.00 cents and EPS of 173.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.98%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 18.10.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 165.5, implying annual growth of 2.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 152.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 18.9.

Market Sentiment: -0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

Today's Price Target Changes
Company Last Price Broker New Target Prev Target Change
ADH ADAIRS $0.56 Morgans 1.60 3.30 -51.52%
ALL ARISTOCRAT LEISURE $16.91 Citi 29.40 32.10 -8.41%
ALX ATLAS ARTERIA $5.16 Macquarie 7.14 8.14 -12.29%
UBS N/A 8.05 -100.00%
ANZ ANZ BANKING GROUP $14.79 Citi 24.75 28.00 -11.61%
AQZ ALLIANCE AVIATION $1.09 Credit Suisse 1.90 3.15 -39.68%
ASB AUSTAL $2.52 Macquarie 3.20 5.00 -36.00%
AUB AUB GROUP $10.94 Macquarie 13.09 14.31 -8.53%
BBN BABY BUNTING $1.82 Citi 2.65 4.05 -34.57%
Morgan Stanley 3.80 3.50 8.57%
BEN BENDIGO AND ADELAIDE BANK $5.44 Citi 7.25 9.25 -21.62%
BOQ BANK OF QUEENSLAND $4.69 Citi 6.50 7.75 -16.13%
CBA COMMBANK $56.55 Citi 68.75 72.50 -5.17%
CTD CORPORATE TRAVEL $7.17 Morgan Stanley 10.00 27.00 -62.96%
DHG DOMAIN HOLDINGS $1.80 Morgan Stanley 3.75 3.60 4.17%
EVT EVENT HOSPITALITY $6.13 Citi 7.45 12.65 -41.11%
FXL FLEXIGROUP $0.41 Morgans 0.62 2.25 -72.44%
HUB HUB24 $6.70 Ord Minnett 12.24 15.46 -20.83%
IEL IDP EDUCATION $10.87 Morgan Stanley 18.50 24.00 -22.92%
IFL IOOF HOLDINGS $2.74 Macquarie 3.75 7.30 -48.63%
JBH JB HI-FI $23.99 Credit Suisse 26.98 31.97 -15.61%
Morgans 33.15 40.66 -18.47%
LNK LINK ADMINISTRATION $2.87 Credit Suisse 4.60 5.90 -22.03%
Macquarie 4.40 7.10 -38.03%
UBS 5.00 6.25 -20.00%
MVF MONASH IVF $0.40 Morgans 0.66 1.15 -42.61%
NAB NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK $14.27 Citi 25.50 30.50 -16.39%
NHF NIB HOLDINGS $5.07 Macquarie 4.95 5.00 -1.00%
NWL NETWEALTH GROUP $5.91 Ord Minnett 7.55 8.72 -13.42%
PMV PREMIER INVESTMENTS $9.47 Credit Suisse 9.94 20.22 -50.84%
Macquarie 12.82 11.71 9.48%
Morgan Stanley 13.50 20.55 -34.31%
SDF STEADFAST GROUP $2.94 Macquarie 3.50 4.40 -20.45%
STO SANTOS $3.46 Macquarie 8.20 8.60 -4.65%
SUL SUPER RETAIL $4.06 Credit Suisse 7.80 9.94 -21.53%
SYD SYDNEY AIRPORT $4.97 Macquarie 6.95 7.94 -12.47%
TAH TABCORP HOLDINGS $2.34 Morgan Stanley 4.50 4.60 -2.17%
WBC WESTPAC BANKING $14.37 Citi 26.00 27.25 -4.59%
WES WESFARMERS $31.32 Credit Suisse 30.07 34.43 -12.66%
Summaries
ADH ADAIRS Downgrade to Hold from Add - Morgans Overnight Price $0.56
ALL ARISTOCRAT LEISURE Buy - Citi Overnight Price $16.91
Buy - UBS Overnight Price $16.91
ALX ATLAS ARTERIA Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $5.16
Neutral - UBS Overnight Price $5.16
ANZ ANZ BANKING GROUP Upgrade to Buy from Neutral - Citi Overnight Price $14.79
AQZ ALLIANCE AVIATION Outperform - Credit Suisse Overnight Price $1.09
ARF ARENA REIT Overweight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $1.54
ASB AUSTAL Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $2.52
AUB AUB GROUP Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $10.94
BBN BABY BUNTING Buy - Citi Overnight Price $1.82
Overweight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $1.82
BEN BENDIGO AND ADELAIDE BANK Upgrade to Buy from Sell - Citi Overnight Price $5.44
BOQ BANK OF QUEENSLAND Upgrade to Buy from Neutral - Citi Overnight Price $4.69
CBA COMMBANK Upgrade to Buy from Sell - Citi Overnight Price $56.55
CCX CITY CHIC Overweight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $0.92
CSL CSL Hold - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $283.07
CTD CORPORATE TRAVEL Overweight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $7.17
CTX CALTEX AUSTRALIA Equal-weight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $20.65
CWN CROWN RESORTS Outperform - Credit Suisse Overnight Price $6.41
DHG DOMAIN HOLDINGS Overweight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $1.80
EVT EVENT HOSPITALITY Upgrade to Buy from Neutral - Citi Overnight Price $6.13
FXL FLEXIGROUP Downgrade to Hold from Add - Morgans Overnight Price $0.41
HUB HUB24 Buy - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $6.70
IEL IDP EDUCATION Overweight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $10.87
IFL IOOF HOLDINGS Neutral - Macquarie Overnight Price $2.74
JBH JB HI-FI Upgrade to Neutral from Underperform - Credit Suisse Overnight Price $23.99
Equal-weight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $23.99
Add - Morgans Overnight Price $23.99
Accumulate - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $23.99
Neutral - UBS Overnight Price $23.99
LNK LINK ADMINISTRATION Outperform - Credit Suisse Overnight Price $2.87
Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $2.87
Equal-weight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $2.87
Buy - UBS Overnight Price $2.87
MME MONEYME Buy - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $0.59
MVF MONASH IVF Downgrade to Hold from Add - Morgans Overnight Price $0.40
NAB NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK Buy - Citi Overnight Price $14.27
Overweight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $14.27
NCM NEWCREST MINING Hold - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $24.21
NHF NIB HOLDINGS Neutral - Macquarie Overnight Price $5.07
Equal-weight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $5.07
Buy - UBS Overnight Price $5.07
NWL NETWEALTH GROUP Buy - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $5.91
NWS NEWS CORP Underweight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $13.89
PMV PREMIER INVESTMENTS Outperform - Credit Suisse Overnight Price $9.47
Neutral - Macquarie Overnight Price $9.47
Equal-weight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $9.47
RWC RELIANCE WORLDWIDE Accumulate - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $1.72
SDF STEADFAST GROUP Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $2.94
SGP STOCKLAND Overweight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $1.89
STO SANTOS No Rating - Credit Suisse Overnight Price $3.46
Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $3.46
Equal-weight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $3.46
SUL SUPER RETAIL Outperform - Credit Suisse Overnight Price $4.06
SYD SYDNEY AIRPORT Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $4.97
TAH TABCORP HOLDINGS Outperform - Credit Suisse Overnight Price $2.34
Equal-weight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $2.34
TRS THE REJECT SHOP Underweight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $2.53
WBC WESTPAC BANKING Upgrade to Buy from Neutral - Citi Overnight Price $14.37
WES WESFARMERS Upgrade to Neutral from Underperform - Credit Suisse Overnight Price $31.32
RATING SUMMARY
Rating No. Of Recommendations
1. Buy

37

2. Accumulate

2

3. Hold

19

5. Sell

2

Tuesday 24 March 2020

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