Australian Broker Call

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December 23, 2024

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COMPANIES DISCUSSED IN THIS ISSUE

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The number next to the symbol represents the number of brokers covering it for this report -(if more than 1).

Last Updated: 05:00 PM

Your daily news report on the latest recommendation, valuation, forecast and opinion changes.

This report includes concise but limited reviews of research recently published by Stockbrokers, which should be considered as information concerning likely market behaviour rather than advice on the securities mentioned. Do not act on the contents of this Report without first reading the important information included at the end.

For more info about the different terms used by stockbrokers, as well as the different methodologies behind similar sounding ratings, download our guide HERE

IDX  INTEGRAL DIAGNOSTICS LIMITED

Medical Equipment & Devices

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Overnight Price: $3.00

Citi rates IDX as Neutral (3) -

Citi resumes coverage of Integral Diagnostics with a Neutral rating and a $3 target price following the completion of the merger with Capitol Health.

The combined group is now the third-largest radiology group in Australia, with an 11% market share.

Citi estimates the earnings impact to be neutral but highlights possible upside from cost synergy savings of $10m.

Management has provided no FY25 guidance, though Integral Diagnostics reported 1Q25 organic revenue growth of 8.6% year-on-year.

The broker forecasts earnings margin expansion of 400bps by FY28 and acknowledges long-term demand growth driven by ageing demographics and a transition to "higher-end modalities".

Target price is $3.00 Current Price is $3.00 Difference: $0
If IDX meets the Citi target it will return approximately 0% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $3.44, suggesting upside of 18.3% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY25:

Citi forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 7.00 cents and EPS of 11.20 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.33%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 26.79.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 11.1, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 7.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 26.2.

Forecast for FY26:

Citi forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 11.00 cents and EPS of 14.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.67%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 20.41.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 15.0, implying annual growth of 35.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 11.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 19.4.

Market Sentiment: 0.8

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

SKO  SERKO LIMITED

Travel, Leisure & Tourism

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Overnight Price: $3.34

Citi rates SKO as Buy (1) -

Citi believes growth for Booking.com in business customer acquisition is positive for Serko in 2H25, as Booking.com has experienced an acceleration in growth to over 800k business-registered companies.

The broker forecasts 2H25 annual growth in completed room nights for Serko, improving from 27% year-on-year growth in 2Q25.

The stock remains Buy rated with a $4.25 target price.

Target price is $4.25 Current Price is $3.34 Difference: $0.91
If SKO meets the Citi target it will return approximately 27% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $5.08, suggesting upside of 52.1% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in March.

Forecast for FY25:

Citi forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 1.84 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 182.02.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is -8.6, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is N/A.

Forecast for FY26:

Citi forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 7.98 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 41.85.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is -1.3, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is N/A.

This company reports in NZD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

WDS  WOODSIDE ENERGY GROUP LIMITED

NatGas

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Overnight Price: $23.55

Citi rates WDS as Sell (5) -

Citi lowers the target price on Woodside Energy to $21.50 from $23 due to the mark-to-market of long-term LNG prices following the fall in contract prices.

The analyst views the asset swap with Chevron, whereby Woodside Energy takes Chevron's interest in North West Shelf oil and gas and Angle carbon capture and storage for Woodside's interest in Wheatstone and Julimar-Brunello, as short-term earnings accretive.

Citi's estimated impact is a reduction in gearing at the peak by over 300bps and an improvement in credit rating, increasiing the ability to fund an 80% payout ratio.

The broker lifts EPS forecasts by 5% and 9% for 2024/2025, respectively, with 2026 earnings estimated to rise around 54% on a higher equity share of production.

A final investment decision on Browse appears unlikely, the analyst states, based on Citi's capex estimate of -US$25bn–US$30bn.

Sell rating maintained.

Target price is $21.50 Current Price is $23.55 Difference: minus $2.05 (current price is over target).
If WDS meets the Citi target it will return approximately minus 9% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $27.38, suggesting upside of 14.4% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY24:

Citi forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 196.61 cents and EPS of 243.04 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 8.35%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 9.69.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 267.2, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 204.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 8.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 9.0.

Forecast for FY25:

Citi forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 110.41 cents and EPS of 139.44 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.69%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 16.89.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 174.9, implying annual growth of -34.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 131.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.7.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

Today's Price Target Changes
Company Last Price Broker New Target Prev Target Change
IDX Integral Diagnostics $2.91 Citi 3.00 2.20 36.36%
PEN Peninsula Energy $1.24 Shaw and Partners 4.80 0.24 1900.00%
WDS Woodside Energy $23.93 Citi 21.50 23.00 -6.52%
Summaries
IDX Integral Diagnostics Neutral - Citi Overnight Price $3.00
SKO Serko Buy - Citi Overnight Price $3.34
WDS Woodside Energy Sell - Citi Overnight Price $23.55
RATING SUMMARY
Rating No. Of Recommendations
1. Buy

1

3. Hold

1

5. Sell

1

Monday 23 December 2024

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The content of this information does in no way reflect the opinions of FNArena, or of its journalists. In fact we don't have any opinion about the stock market, its value, future direction or individual shares. FNArena solely reports about what the main experts in the market note, believe and comment on. By doing so we believe we provide intelligent investors with a valuable tool that helps them in making up their own minds, reading market trends and getting a feel for what is happening beneath the surface. This document is provided for informational purposes only. It does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy any security or other financial instrument. FNArena employs very experienced journalists who base their work on information believed to be reliable and accurate, though no guarantee is given that the daily report is accurate or complete. Investors should contact their personal adviser before making any investment decision.