Australian Broker Call
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April 04, 2022
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COMPANIES DISCUSSED IN THIS ISSUE
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The number next to the symbol represents the number of brokers covering it for this report -(if more than 1).
Last Updated: 05:00 PM
Your daily news report on the latest recommendation, valuation, forecast and opinion changes.
This report includes concise but limited reviews of research recently published by Stockbrokers, which should be considered as information concerning likely market behaviour rather than advice on the securities mentioned. Do not act on the contents of this Report without first reading the important information included at the end.
For more info about the different terms used by stockbrokers, as well as the different methodologies behind similar sounding ratings, download our guide HERE
Today's Upgrades and Downgrades
ABP - | Abacus Property | Upgrade to Outperform from Neutral | Macquarie |
BOQ - | Bank of Queensland | Downgrade to Hold from Accumulate | Ord Minnett |
DHG - | Domain Australia | Upgrade to Buy from Hold | Ord Minnett |
MIN - | Mineral Resources | Upgrade to Hold from Sell | Ord Minnett |
PLS - | Pilbara Minerals | Upgrade to Buy from Hold | Ord Minnett |
Overnight Price: $5.20
Citi rates A2M as Buy (1) -
Synlait Milk ((SM1)) has indicated the onsite audit for a2 Milk Co's China label registration renewal will be delayed to June/July from March/April, for a final decision by year end, with Citi noting registration renewal is not guaranteed.
The registration allows access to the mother and baby store and domestic online channels which accounted for 40% of infant milk formula sales in the first half. The broker notes non-renewal of the registration would not only cease China label sales, but impact the reputation of English label product.
The Buy rating and target price of $7.02 are retained.
Target price is $7.02 Current Price is $5.20 Difference: $1.82
If A2M meets the Citi target it will return approximately 35% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $6.19, suggesting upside of 19.7% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY22:
Citi forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 14.23 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 14.7, implying annual growth of N/A. Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 35.2. |
Forecast for FY23:
Citi forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 18.38 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 19.7, implying annual growth of 34.0%. Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 26.2. |
This company reports in NZD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.
Market Sentiment: 0.2
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Overnight Price: $3.30
Macquarie rates ABP as Upgrade to Outperform from Neutral (1) -
Following Abacus Property's mid-March capital raising shares have underperformed to the extent they are now trading at a -24% discount to peers, according to Macquarie. The rating is lifted to Outperform from Neutral.
After the raising and the sale of 464 St Kilda Rd, the broker is more comfortable with near-term funding capacity. A continuation of the strong performance in self storage is seen as key. The target rises by 1% to $3.65.
Target price is $3.65 Current Price is $3.30 Difference: $0.35
If ABP meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 11% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $3.65, suggesting upside of 8.7% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY22:
Macquarie forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 18.00 cents and EPS of 16.40 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 18.4, implying annual growth of -63.1%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 18.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.4%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 18.3. |
Forecast for FY23:
Macquarie forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 17.40 cents and EPS of 17.70 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 19.0, implying annual growth of 3.3%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 18.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.4%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 17.7. |
Market Sentiment: 0.3
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Overnight Price: $12.40
Credit Suisse rates AKE as Outperform (1) -
Allkem expects its Olaroz to command carbonate prices of US$35,000 per tonne in the June quarter, up from previous guidance of US$25,000 per tonne, driving material upgrades to the Credit Suisse's outlook.
The broker notes expiration of lower-priced contracts likely drove the increase, and anticipates a strong price jump in the June quarter to be followed by further increases in the September quarter. The broker considers the net cash position provides ample room for shareholder returns.
The Outperform rating is retained and the target price increases to $15.30 from $14.70.
Target price is $15.30 Current Price is $12.40 Difference: $2.9
If AKE meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately 23% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY22:
Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 67.99 cents. |
Forecast for FY23:
Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 124.01 cents and EPS of 248.01 cents. |
Market Sentiment: 0.9
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Macquarie rates AKE as Outperform (1) -
Allkem expects to deliver 50kt of spodumenes concentrate in the June quarter, which is 58% above Macquarie's estimate. Management also estimates spodumene concentrate pricing for that period around 25% higher than the broker's prior forecast.
The average realised price in the 3Q was broadly in-line with Macquarie's forecast.
The analyst lifts its price target by 4% to $16.90. While the June quarter guidance suggests to the analyst a solid performance from Olaroz, materially higher than expected pricing and shipments from Mt Cattlin were a key highlight.
Outperform retained.
Target price is $16.90 Current Price is $12.40 Difference: $4.5
If AKE meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 36% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY22:
Macquarie forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 54.23 cents. |
Forecast for FY23:
Macquarie forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 106.17 cents. |
Market Sentiment: 0.9
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Morgans rates AKE as Add (1) -
Allkem upgraded guidance for June quarter lithium prices by 40% for carbonate and also doubled Morgans expectations for spodumene.
The broker notes that while the company is a pure-play in lithium, geographical and type of lithium diversification makes the company more attractive than most ASX-listed peers.
The company produces spodumene concentrate, lithium carbonate and soon to be lithium hydroxide. The analyst retains the Add rating and lifts the target price to $15.24 from $14.83, while also allowing for a moderation in long-term prices.
Target price is $15.24 Current Price is $12.40 Difference: $2.84
If AKE meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 23% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY22:
Morgans forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 73.00 cents. |
Forecast for FY23:
Morgans forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 155.00 cents. |
Market Sentiment: 0.9
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Ord Minnett rates AKE as Buy (1) -
Ord Minnett is very positive on the lithium outlook and doubles its prior 2023 price forecast for spodumene to US$5,000/t, while hydroxide and carbonate estimates have lifted 50% and 60%, respectively. Meanwhile, the long term forecast rises by 18%.
The broker lifts its price target for Allkem to $17.50 from $12.50 and maintains its Buy rating.
Target price is $17.50 Current Price is $12.40 Difference: $5.1
If AKE meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 41% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Forecast for FY22:
Forecast for FY23:
Market Sentiment: 0.9
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Overnight Price: $36.19
Credit Suisse rates ALL as Outperform (1) -
With data suggesting revenue from Aristocrat Leisure's Raid game was down -28% in March compared to the previous comparable period, Credit Suisse has lowered its casual games revenue forecast and decreased earnings per share forecasts -3% through to FY24.
Longer-term, the broker retains its view that 20%, or US$400m, of digital revenue will come from new games in FY25, but notes lack of certainty in the new game pipeline.
The Outperform rating is retained and the target price decreases to $43.50 from $45.00.
Target price is $43.50 Current Price is $36.19 Difference: $7.31
If ALL meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately 20% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $47.10, suggesting upside of 34.2% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in September.
Forecast for FY22:
Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 67.00 cents and EPS of 149.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 151.1, implying annual growth of 17.9%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 59.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.7%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 23.2. |
Forecast for FY23:
Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 75.00 cents and EPS of 167.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 175.8, implying annual growth of 16.3%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 72.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.1%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 20.0. |
Market Sentiment: 0.9
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Credit Suisse rates AMP as No Rating (-1) -
Asset managers with greater exposure to the US and European markets, which were outperformed by the Australian market in the first quarter, look to suffer larger downgrades from Credit Suisse, noting a preference for the more insulated platforms over managers.
Credit Suisse considers specialist platforms to be benefiting from larger inflows, and institutional platforms to be benefiting from lower outflows.
Marking to market for AMP Credit Suisse's earnings per share forecasts increase 5%, 3% and 3% for FY22, FY23 and FY24 respectively.
Credit Suisse remains research restricted and cannot provide a rating or target for AMP.
Current Price is $0.96. Target price not assessed.
Current consensus price target is $1.08, suggesting upside of 9.5% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in December.
Forecast for FY22:
Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 2.00 cents and EPS of 7.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 7.5, implying annual growth of N/A. Current consensus DPS estimate is 0.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.7%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.2. |
Forecast for FY23:
Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 3.00 cents and EPS of 8.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 9.2, implying annual growth of 22.7%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 2.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.8%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 10.8. |
Market Sentiment: -0.2
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Overnight Price: $2.03
Ord Minnett rates AWC as Buy (1) -
Following rising metal prices due to the Russia/Ukraine conflict, Ord Minnett increases its 2023 price forecast for aluminium and alumina by around 20%. Longer term forecast prices rise by 19% for aluminium and 23% for alumina.
The broker lifts its target price for Alumina Ltd to $2.60 from $2.30. Buy.
This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.
Target price is $2.60 Current Price is $2.03 Difference: $0.57
If AWC meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 28% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $2.25, suggesting upside of 10.3% (ex-dividends)
Forecast for FY22:
Current consensus EPS estimate is 22.3, implying annual growth of N/A. Current consensus DPS estimate is 20.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 9.9%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 9.1. |
Forecast for FY23:
Current consensus EPS estimate is 16.2, implying annual growth of -27.4%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 16.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 8.3%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.6. |
This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.
Market Sentiment: 0.6
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Overnight Price: $52.39
Ord Minnett rates BHP as No Rating (-1) -
Ord Minnett has raised its price forecast for iron ore by 22% to US$139/t in 2022 and by 14% to US$115/t in 2023. Strong steel output from China and lackluster supply from the iron ore majors in Australia and Brazil due to weather, covid and labour costs contributed.
The broker increases its FY23 thermal and metallurgical coal price forecasts by 68% and 38%. For the long term estimates rise by 27% and 29%.
Along with iron ore and coal, the broker is very positive on the lithium outlook and also notes higher prices for base metals and coal from supply disruptions from the Russia/Ukraine conflict.
Ord Minnett is on rating restriction for BHP Group.
This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.
Current Price is $52.39. Target price not assessed.
Current consensus price target is $49.56, suggesting downside of -5.5% (ex-dividends)
Forecast for FY22:
Current consensus EPS estimate is 536.8, implying annual growth of N/A. Current consensus DPS estimate is 395.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 7.5%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 9.8. |
Forecast for FY23:
Current consensus EPS estimate is 398.2, implying annual growth of -25.8%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 269.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.1%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.2. |
This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.
Market Sentiment: 0.4
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Overnight Price: $8.50
Ord Minnett rates BOQ as Downgrade to Hold from Accumulate (3) -
Ord Minnett sees Bank of Queensland's recent net interest margin (NIM) outperformance potentially reversing and lowers its rating to Hold from Accumulate, while the target falls to $8.90 from $9.80.
The broker attributes the potential reversal partly to a greater reliance upon term deposits (spreads are worsening). Additionally, 78% of the bank's lending is exposed to mortgages, which is currently considered a highly competitive space.
This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.
Target price is $8.90 Current Price is $8.50 Difference: $0.4
If BOQ meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 5% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $10.17, suggesting upside of 23.5% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in August.
Forecast for FY22:
Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 47.00 cents and EPS of 72.20 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 73.7, implying annual growth of 10.1%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 47.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.7%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 11.2. |
Forecast for FY23:
Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 50.00 cents and EPS of 71.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 77.7, implying annual growth of 5.4%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 50.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.2%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 10.6. |
Market Sentiment: 0.7
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Overnight Price: $21.16
Ord Minnett rates BSL as Buy (1) -
Ord Minnett raises its target price for BlueScope Steel to $28 from $25 as part of an overall review of both the iron ore and wider mining sector. The broker estimates ongoing strong steel demand from China.
The broker retains its Buy rating for BlueScope Steel.
This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.
Target price is $28.00 Current Price is $21.16 Difference: $6.84
If BSL meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 32% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $25.56, suggesting upside of 20.2% (ex-dividends)
Forecast for FY22:
Current consensus EPS estimate is 508.1, implying annual growth of 114.4%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 50.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.4%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 4.2. |
Forecast for FY23:
Current consensus EPS estimate is 250.7, implying annual growth of -50.7%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 50.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.4%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 8.5. |
Market Sentiment: 0.8
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Overnight Price: $9.82
UBS rates BXB as Buy (1) -
While not suggesting Brambles is worthy of its prior significant growth premium, UBS feels an around -25% discount to the ASX Industrials ex Financials and Healthcare index is overdone. This is especially the case given leverage to more stable trading post-covid.
A stabilisation of conditions should see the cost of lumber come down, according to the analyst, which would drive lower loss rates and lower maintenance capex. The Buy rating is maintained and the target slips to $13 from $13.35.
Target price is $13.00 Current Price is $9.82 Difference: $3.18
If BXB meets the UBS target it will return approximately 32% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $11.53, suggesting upside of 17.5% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY22:
UBS forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 39.22 cents and EPS of 73.03 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 54.7, implying annual growth of N/A. Current consensus DPS estimate is 31.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.2%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 17.9. |
Forecast for FY23:
UBS forecasts a full year FY23 EPS of 79.79 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 58.4, implying annual growth of 6.8%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 31.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.2%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 16.8. |
This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.
Market Sentiment: 0.4
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Overnight Price: $7.08
Ord Minnett rates CHN as Buy (1) -
Following rising metal prices due to the Russia/Ukraine conflict, Ord Minnett increases its FY23 and longer term price base metals forecasts.
The broker lifts its target price for Chalice Mining to $10 from $9.00. The Buy rating is maintained.
Target price is $10.00 Current Price is $7.08 Difference: $2.92
If CHN meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 41% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Market Sentiment: 1.0
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
DHG DOMAIN HOLDINGS AUSTRALIA LIMITED
Real Estate
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Overnight Price: $4.01
Citi rates DHG as Buy (1) -
In Citi's opinion, Domain Australia's acquisition of Realbase is in line with its marketplace strategy and strengthens the Agent Solution business, despite a purchase price 20.5x earnings appearing expensive to the broker.
Citi expects Domain Australia will need to prove the acquisition can strengthen its core listing business to dismiss purchase price concern.
The Buy rating and target price of $6.15 are retained.
Target price is $6.15 Current Price is $4.01 Difference: $2.14
If DHG meets the Citi target it will return approximately 53% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $5.09, suggesting upside of 28.9% (ex-dividends)
Forecast for FY22:
Current consensus EPS estimate is 9.4, implying annual growth of 60.1%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 5.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.5%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 42.0. |
Forecast for FY23:
Current consensus EPS estimate is 12.0, implying annual growth of 27.7%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 8.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.2%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 32.9. |
Market Sentiment: 0.6
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Credit Suisse rates DHG as Neutral (3) -
Domain Australia has agreed to acquire tech platform Realbase for $180m, as well as up to $50m in contingent consideration. Credit Suisse notes the move is consistent with company strategy to create a property marketplace, but considers the price a little high.
The broker notes growth in the coming year could justify the acquisition price.
The Neutral rating is retained and the target price decreases to $4.50 from $4.85.
Target price is $4.50 Current Price is $4.01 Difference: $0.49
If DHG meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately 12% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $5.09, suggesting upside of 28.9% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY22:
Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 4.00 cents and EPS of 10.37 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 9.4, implying annual growth of 60.1%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 5.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.5%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 42.0. |
Forecast for FY23:
Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 7.54 cents and EPS of 12.57 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 12.0, implying annual growth of 27.7%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 8.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.2%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 32.9. |
Market Sentiment: 0.6
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Ord Minnett rates DHG as Upgrade to Buy from Hold (1) -
Following an encouraging, though in-line trading update, Ord Minnett upgrades its rating for Domain Australia to Buy from Hold largely due to a recently weak share price. The target price of $4.80 is unchanged.
The analyst is cautious around aspects of both the Realbase acquisition and the company’s wider marketplace strategy. Realbase is the largest campaign management technology platform across Australasia.
The broker reminds investors the company's record of integrations points to the difficulty, and greater-than-expected expense, of stitching together ‘proptech’ businesses.
This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.
Target price is $4.80 Current Price is $4.01 Difference: $0.79
If DHG meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 20% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $5.09, suggesting upside of 28.9% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY22:
Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 7.00 cents and EPS of 8.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 9.4, implying annual growth of 60.1%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 5.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.5%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 42.0. |
Forecast for FY23:
Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 8.00 cents and EPS of 12.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 12.0, implying annual growth of 27.7%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 8.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.2%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 32.9. |
Market Sentiment: 0.6
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Overnight Price: $21.06
Ord Minnett rates FMG as Hold (3) -
Ord Minnett has raised its price forecast for iron ore by 22% to US$139/t in 2022 and by 14% to US$115/t in 2023. Strong steel output from China and lackluster supply from the iron ore majors in Australia and Brazil due to weather, covid and labour costs contributed.
The broker also notes higher prices for base metals from the Russia/Ukraine conflict.
The target price for Fortescue Metals falls to $20 from $21 and the Hold rating is unchanged.
This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.
Target price is $20.00 Current Price is $21.06 Difference: minus $1.06 (current price is over target).
If FMG meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately minus 5% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).
Current consensus price target is $17.45, suggesting downside of -19.6% (ex-dividends)
Forecast for FY22:
Current consensus EPS estimate is 262.6, implying annual growth of N/A. Current consensus DPS estimate is 179.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 8.2%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 8.3. |
Forecast for FY23:
Current consensus EPS estimate is 219.6, implying annual growth of -16.4%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 144.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.7%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 9.9. |
This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.
Market Sentiment: -0.4
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
GQG GQG PARTNERS INC
Wealth Management & Investments
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Overnight Price: $1.38
Morgans rates GQG as Add (1) -
Morgans expects market volatility and investor caution to have impacted fund flows for ASX-listed fund managers through the 1Q of 2022 and then carry over into the 2Q.
After a mark-to-market exercise, the broker downgrades FY22-24 EPS forecasts for GQG Partners by around -1.7%. Nonetheless, the stock is the broker's most preferred across its coverage of fund managers due to an attractive valuation and strength for flows.
The Add rating is maintained, while the target slips to $2.15 from $2.27.
Target price is $2.15 Current Price is $1.38 Difference: $0.77
If GQG meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 56% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
The company's fiscal year ends in December.
Forecast for FY22:
Morgans forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 12.00 cents. |
Forecast for FY23:
Morgans forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 13.00 cents. |
Market Sentiment: 1.0
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
HUB HUB24 LIMITED
Wealth Management & Investments
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Overnight Price: $27.02
Credit Suisse rates HUB as Outperform (1) -
Asset managers with greater exposure to the US and European markets, which were outperformed by the Australian market in the first quarter, look to suffer larger downgrades from Credit Suisse, noting a preference for the more insulated platforms over managers.
Credit Suisse considers specialist platforms to be benefiting from larger inflows, and institutional platforms to be benefiting from lower outflows.
Hub24 has grown its market share to 5% from 1% in the last five years, and the broker expects best in class product to support further gains. Marking to market Credit Suisse's earnings per share forecasts decrease -1%, -4% and -4% for FY22, FY23 and FY24 respectively.
The Outperform rating and target price of $37.00 are retained.
Target price is $37.00 Current Price is $27.02 Difference: $9.98
If HUB meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately 37% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $34.21, suggesting upside of 29.2% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY22:
Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 19.00 cents and EPS of 47.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 43.0, implying annual growth of 238.1%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 16.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.6%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 61.6. |
Forecast for FY23:
Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 29.00 cents and EPS of 59.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 59.7, implying annual growth of 38.8%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 24.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.9%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 44.3. |
Market Sentiment: 1.0
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Morgans rates HUB as Add (1) -
Morgans views the structural environment as supportive for flows into specialist platforms like Hub24, which should provide resilience through periods of market volatility. Flows from new adviser growth is thought to provide lagged and more stable flows.
The broker prefers Hub24 over Netwealth Group ((NWL)) due to a more compelling valuation when taking into account the growth potential of each company.
The Add rating and $32.85 target are retained.
Target price is $32.85 Current Price is $27.02 Difference: $5.83
If HUB meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 22% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $34.21, suggesting upside of 29.2% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY22:
Morgans forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 17.00 cents and EPS of 46.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 43.0, implying annual growth of 238.1%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 16.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.6%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 61.6. |
Forecast for FY23:
Morgans forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 21.00 cents and EPS of 56.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 59.7, implying annual growth of 38.8%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 24.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.9%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 44.3. |
Market Sentiment: 1.0
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
IFL INSIGNIA FINANCIAL LIMITED
Wealth Management & Investments
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Overnight Price: $3.64
Credit Suisse rates IFL as Outperform (1) -
Asset managers with greater exposure to the US and European markets, which were outperformed by the Australian market in the first quarter, look to suffer larger downgrades from Credit Suisse, noting a preference for the more insulated platforms over managers.
Credit Suisse considers specialist platforms to be benefiting from larger inflows, and institutional platforms to be benefiting from lower outflows.
Insignia Financial management's confidence and demonstrated ability to build on flow improvement suggests significant potential value according to the broker. Marking to market Credit Suisse's earnings per share forecasts decrease -1%, -6% and -6% for FY22, FY23 and FY24 respectively.
The Outperform rating and target price of $5.40 are retained.
Target price is $5.40 Current Price is $3.64 Difference: $1.76
If IFL meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately 48% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $5.24, suggesting upside of 41.2% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY22:
Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 24.00 cents and EPS of 38.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 37.3, implying annual growth of N/A. Current consensus DPS estimate is 25.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.8%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 9.9. |
Forecast for FY23:
Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 27.00 cents and EPS of 44.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 43.4, implying annual growth of 16.4%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 29.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 7.8%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 8.5. |
Market Sentiment: 1.0
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
JHG JANUS HENDERSON GROUP PLC
Wealth Management & Investments
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Overnight Price: $46.32
Credit Suisse rates JHG as Neutral (3) -
Asset managers with greater exposure to the US and European markets, which were outperformed by the Australian market in the first quarter, look to suffer larger downgrades from Credit Suisse, noting a preference for the more insulated platforms over managers.
While currently trading at a -45% discount to the market, a 15 year low in Credit Suisse's coverage, the broker expects flows for asset managers to improve in the first quarter of 2022.
The broker struggles to see positive catalysts for Janus Henderson in the coming months, although the INTECH sale offers medium-term opportunity. Marking to market, Credit Suisse's earnings per share forecasts decline -7%, -8% and -8% for FY22, FY23 and FY24 respectively.
The Neutral rating is retained and the target price decreases to $37.50 from $40.00.
Target price is $37.50 Current Price is $46.32 Difference: minus $8.82 (current price is over target).
If JHG meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately minus 19% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).
Current consensus price target is $51.70, suggesting upside of 8.9% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in December.
Forecast for FY22:
Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 216.39 cents and EPS of 476.06 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 608.6, implying annual growth of N/A. Current consensus DPS estimate is 213.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.5%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 7.8. |
Forecast for FY23:
Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 227.21 cents and EPS of 490.94 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 615.3, implying annual growth of 1.1%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 260.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.5%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 7.7. |
This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.
Market Sentiment: 0.0
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Overnight Price: $0.26
Macquarie rates JMS as Neutral (3) -
Following 4Q results for Jupiter Mines, Macquarie notes higher realised pricing offset lower operational volumes, as production and sales were -6% and -9% below expectations.
The broker's price target jumps by 25% to $0.25 on a valuation roll forward and due to higher spot price forecasts. Manganese prices have started to rally and the analyst notes this pricing is the big swing factor for share price upside or downside.
Target price is $0.25 Current Price is $0.26 Difference: minus $0.01 (current price is over target).
If JMS meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately minus 4% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).
The company's fiscal year ends in February.
Forecast for FY22:
Macquarie forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 2.20 cents and EPS of 2.80 cents. |
Forecast for FY23:
Macquarie forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 3.90 cents and EPS of 4.40 cents. |
Market Sentiment: 0.0
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Overnight Price: $2.19
Macquarie rates KAR as Outperform (1) -
Responding to media reports, Karoon Energy confirmed a proposal to acquire 50% of the Atlanta oilfield in Brazil's Santos basin was submitted. Macquarie notes another oil acquisition in the area had been previously flagged and the price paid will be the key.
The broker makes no changes to earnings forecasts or the price target of $2.65. The Outperform rating is maintained.
Target price is $2.65 Current Price is $2.19 Difference: $0.46
If KAR meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 21% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $2.48, suggesting upside of 12.4% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY22:
Macquarie forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 8.90 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 10.9, implying annual growth of 928.3%. Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 20.3. |
Forecast for FY23:
Macquarie forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 33.20 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 29.4, implying annual growth of 169.7%. Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 7.5. |
Market Sentiment: 1.0
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Morgans rates KAR as Add (1) -
In a transaction yet to be finalised, Karoon Energy will potentially acquire a 50% stake in the Atlanta field, an existing oil field in Brazil that has growth options, explains Morgans. Like the company's existing Bauna field, Atlanta is also located in the Santos Basin.
The broker likes the potential move which is consistent with the company's inorganic strategy. It's anticipated the acquisition and full-field development will receive solid support from debt markets. The Add rating and $2.60 target are maintained.
Target price is $2.60 Current Price is $2.19 Difference: $0.41
If KAR meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 19% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $2.48, suggesting upside of 12.4% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY22:
Morgans forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 14.88 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 10.9, implying annual growth of 928.3%. Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 20.3. |
Forecast for FY23:
Morgans forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 28.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 29.4, implying annual growth of 169.7%. Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 7.5. |
Market Sentiment: 1.0
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
MFG MAGELLAN FINANCIAL GROUP LIMITED
Wealth Management & Investments
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Overnight Price: $15.35
Credit Suisse rates MFG as Neutral (3) -
Asset managers with greater exposure to the US and European markets, which were outperformed by the Australian market in the first quarter, look to suffer larger downgrades from Credit Suisse, noting a preference for the more insulated platforms over managers.
While currently trading at a -45% discount to the market, a 15 year low in Credit Suisse's coverage, the broker expects flows for asset managers to improve in the first quarter of 2022.
Despite Barrenjoey offering upside risk for Magellan Financial, the broker expects further negative near-term catalysts. Flow stabilisation could improve outlook. Marking to market, Credit Suisse's earnings per share forecasts increase 2% for FY22, remaining flat in FY23 and FY24.
The Neutral rating and target price of $14.40 are retained.
Target price is $14.40 Current Price is $15.35 Difference: minus $0.95 (current price is over target).
If MFG meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately minus 6% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).
Current consensus price target is $13.67, suggesting downside of -18.8% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY22:
Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 191.00 cents and EPS of 232.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 220.4, implying annual growth of 52.4%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 189.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 11.2%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 7.6. |
Forecast for FY23:
Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 130.00 cents and EPS of 162.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 143.6, implying annual growth of -34.8%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 123.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 7.3%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 11.7. |
Market Sentiment: -0.7
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Morgans rates MFG as Hold (3) -
Morgans expects market volatility and investor caution to have impacted fund flows for ASX-listed fund managers through the 1Q of 2022 and then carry over into the 2Q.
After a mark-to-market exercise, the broker upgrades the FY22 EPS forecast for Magellan Financial by 1% and then by around 6% for FY23 onwards. The target rises to $16.73 from $15.78. Nonetheless, further significant outflows are expected.
The analyst believes the risk reward balance is unfavourable and retains a Hold rating.
Target price is $16.73 Current Price is $15.35 Difference: $1.38
If MFG meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 9% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $13.67, suggesting downside of -18.8% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY22:
Morgans forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 185.60 cents and EPS of 214.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 220.4, implying annual growth of 52.4%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 189.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 11.2%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 7.6. |
Forecast for FY23:
Morgans forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 125.90 cents and EPS of 142.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 143.6, implying annual growth of -34.8%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 123.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 7.3%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 11.7. |
Market Sentiment: -0.7
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Overnight Price: $54.59
Ord Minnett rates MIN as Upgrade to Hold from Sell (3) -
Ord Minnett has raised its price forecast for iron ore by 22% to US$139/t in 2022 and by 14% to US$115/t in 2023. Strong steel output from China and lackluster supply from the iron ore majors in Australia and Brazil due to weather, covid and labour costs contributed.
Along with iron ore, the broker is very positive on the lithium outlook and also notes higher prices for base metals and coal from supply disruptions from the Russia/Ukraine conflict.
Ord Minnett raises its rating for Mineral Resources to Hold from Sell and lifts its price target to $59 from $45.
This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.
Target price is $59.00 Current Price is $54.59 Difference: $4.41
If MIN meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 8% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $60.89, suggesting upside of 7.8% (ex-dividends)
Forecast for FY22:
Current consensus EPS estimate is 241.9, implying annual growth of -64.1%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 75.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.3%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 23.3. |
Forecast for FY23:
Current consensus EPS estimate is 792.9, implying annual growth of 227.8%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 295.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.2%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 7.1. |
Market Sentiment: 0.8
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
MQG MACQUARIE GROUP LIMITED
Wealth Management & Investments
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Overnight Price: $206.00
Citi rates MQG as Buy (1) -
Citi anticipates further surges in oil and gas markets may see Macquarie Group deliver a stronger full year result than suggested in its last market update in early February on the back of a strong contribution from its Commodities and Global Markets (CGM) segment.
The broker has lifted its profit estimate 6% to $4.61bn, noting the company has already revised CGM profit guidance up 120% since last May.
The Buy rating and target price of $226.00 are retained.
Target price is $226.00 Current Price is $206.00 Difference: $20
If MQG meets the Citi target it will return approximately 10% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $221.60, suggesting upside of 7.5% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in March.
Forecast for FY22:
Citi forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 642.00 cents and EPS of 1201.70 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 1142.5, implying annual growth of 35.5%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 653.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.2%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 18.0. |
Forecast for FY23:
Citi forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 610.00 cents and EPS of 1047.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 1063.2, implying annual growth of -6.9%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 645.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.1%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 19.4. |
Market Sentiment: 0.5
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Overnight Price: $4.47
UBS rates MTS as Buy (1) -
Due to an investment in stores and changed consumer shopping habits, UBS believes the dissipation of market share gained by Metcash during covid will be less than expected.
The broker likes the opportunity from hardware, which is a key growth driver and believes the risk reward balance suggests a higher share price. The $5 target price and Buy rating are retained.
Target price is $5.00 Current Price is $4.47 Difference: $0.53
If MTS meets the UBS target it will return approximately 12% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $4.76, suggesting upside of 6.0% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in April.
Forecast for FY22:
UBS forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 18.00 cents and EPS of 29.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 28.5, implying annual growth of 21.8%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 20.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.5%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.8. |
Forecast for FY23:
UBS forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 19.00 cents and EPS of 30.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 28.5, implying annual growth of N/A. Current consensus DPS estimate is 19.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.4%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.8. |
Market Sentiment: 0.7
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Overnight Price: $26.93
Ord Minnett rates NCM as Buy (1) -
Following rising metal prices due to the Russia/Ukraine conflict, Ord Minnett increases its 2023 price forecast for copper by 8% to US$4.61/lb, while the long term price rises by 6% to US$3.50/lb. The long term gold price forecast remains at US$1,600/oz.
The broker lifts its target price for Newcrest Mining to $31 from $29 and retains its Buy rating.
This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.
Target price is $31.00 Current Price is $26.93 Difference: $4.07
If NCM meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 15% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $30.12, suggesting upside of 10.8% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY22:
Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 20.29 cents and EPS of 136.60 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 141.8, implying annual growth of N/A. Current consensus DPS estimate is 20.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.7%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 19.2. |
Forecast for FY23:
Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 68.98 cents and EPS of 194.75 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 157.8, implying annual growth of 11.3%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 47.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.8%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 17.2. |
This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.
Market Sentiment: 0.7
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
NEC NINE ENTERTAINMENT CO. HOLDINGS LIMITED
Print, Radio & TV
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Overnight Price: $2.91
UBS rates NEC as Buy (1) -
Looking at valuations for both Nine Entertainment Co and Domain Holdings ((DHG)), UBS estimates the latter comprises 27% of the valuation of the former.
The remainder of Nine Entertainment Co is valued by the market at $2.16/share versus the value of $2.79 ascribed by the broker. The Buy rating and $3.90 target are unchanged.
Target price is $3.90 Current Price is $2.91 Difference: $0.99
If NEC meets the UBS target it will return approximately 34% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $3.56, suggesting upside of 20.7% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY22:
UBS forecasts a full year FY22 EPS of 19.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 19.1, implying annual growth of 92.2%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 13.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.5%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.4. |
Forecast for FY23:
UBS forecasts a full year FY23 EPS of 23.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 20.3, implying annual growth of 6.3%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 14.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.9%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.5. |
Market Sentiment: 0.8
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
NWL NETWEALTH GROUP LIMITED
Wealth Management & Investments
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Overnight Price: $14.83
Credit Suisse rates NWL as Outperform (1) -
Asset managers with greater exposure to the US and European markets, which were outperformed by the Australian market in the first quarter, look to suffer larger downgrades from Credit Suisse, noting a preference for the more insulated platforms over managers.
Credit Suisse considers specialist platforms to be benefiting from larger inflows, and institutional platforms to be benefiting from lower outflows.
Netwealth Group has grown its market share to 5% from 1% in the last five years, and the broker expects best in class product to support further gains. Marking to market Credit Suisse's earnings per share forecasts decrease -1%, -2% and -2% for FY22, FY23 and FY24 respectively.
The Outperform rating and target price of $17.00 are retained.
Target price is $17.00 Current Price is $14.83 Difference: $2.17
If NWL meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately 15% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $16.14, suggesting upside of 10.0% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY22:
Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 19.00 cents and EPS of 23.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 23.8, implying annual growth of 5.5%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 20.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.4%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 61.6. |
Forecast for FY23:
Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 21.00 cents and EPS of 27.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 30.7, implying annual growth of 29.0%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 25.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.7%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 47.8. |
Market Sentiment: 0.7
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Morgans rates NWL as Hold (3) -
Morgans views the structural environment as supportive for flows into specialist platforms like Netwealth Group, which should provide resilience through periods of market volatility. Flows from new adviser growth is thought to provide lagged and more stable flows.
The broker prefers Hub24 ((HUB)) over Netwealth Group due to a more compelling valuation when taking into account the growth potential of each company.
The Hold rating and $15.25 target are retained.
Target price is $15.25 Current Price is $14.83 Difference: $0.42
If NWL meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 3% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $16.14, suggesting upside of 10.0% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY22:
Morgans forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 20.00 cents and EPS of 23.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 23.8, implying annual growth of 5.5%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 20.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.4%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 61.6. |
Forecast for FY23:
Morgans forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 23.00 cents and EPS of 28.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 30.7, implying annual growth of 29.0%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 25.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.7%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 47.8. |
Market Sentiment: 0.7
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Overnight Price: $30.09
UBS rates NWS as Buy (1) -
Looking at valuations for both News Corp and REA Group ((REA)), UBS estimates the latter comprises 61% of the former's market value.
This calculation implies a valuation of around $11 per share for all of News Corp's other assets, well shy of the $20.03 valuation the analyst ascribes. The Buy rating and $42.50 target are unchanged.
Target price is $42.50 Current Price is $30.09 Difference: $12.41
If NWS meets the UBS target it will return approximately 41% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $41.88, suggesting upside of 41.3% (ex-dividends)
Forecast for FY22:
Current consensus EPS estimate is 109.6, implying annual growth of N/A. Current consensus DPS estimate is 28.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.0%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 27.0. |
Forecast for FY23:
Current consensus EPS estimate is 126.8, implying annual growth of 15.7%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 30.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.0%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 23.4. |
This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.
Market Sentiment: 1.0
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
PDL PENDAL GROUP LIMITED
Wealth Management & Investments
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Overnight Price: $4.48
Credit Suisse rates PDL as Outperform (1) -
Asset managers with greater exposure to the US and European markets, which were outperformed by the Australian market in the first quarter, look to suffer larger downgrades from Credit Suisse, noting a preference for the more insulated platforms over managers.
While currently trading at a -45% discount to the market, a 15 year low in Credit Suisse's coverage, the broker expects flows for asset managers to improve in the first quarter of 2022.
While softening of Pendal Group's key inflow driver fund, International Select, is a concern, retail flows appear to be outperforming the sector and ESG exposure could drive flow improvement. Marking to market, Credit Suisse's earnings per share forecasts decline -7%, -13% and -13% for FY22, FY23 and FY24 respectively.
The Outperform rating is retained and the target price decreases to $5.40 from $6.85.
Target price is $5.40 Current Price is $4.48 Difference: $0.92
If PDL meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately 21% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $6.53, suggesting upside of 23.5% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in September.
Forecast for FY22:
Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 40.00 cents and EPS of 49.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 51.0, implying annual growth of -1.8%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 42.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 8.1%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 10.4. |
Forecast for FY23:
Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 39.00 cents and EPS of 47.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 51.3, implying annual growth of 0.6%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 41.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 7.8%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 10.3. |
Market Sentiment: 1.0
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Morgans rates PDL as Add (1) -
Morgans expects market volatility and investor caution to have impacted fund flows for ASX-listed fund managers through the 1Q of 2022 and then carry over into the 2Q.
After a mark-to-market exercise, the broker downgrades the FY22 EPS forecast for Pendal Group by -8% and then by -12.5% for FY23 onwards. The target price falls to $5.65 from $6.85. It's thought flows need to stabilise for a sustained re-rating of the shares. Add.
Target price is $5.65 Current Price is $4.48 Difference: $1.17
If PDL meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 26% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $6.53, suggesting upside of 23.5% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in September.
Forecast for FY22:
Morgans forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 40.00 cents and EPS of 47.30 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 51.0, implying annual growth of -1.8%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 42.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 8.1%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 10.4. |
Forecast for FY23:
Morgans forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 38.00 cents and EPS of 43.80 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 51.3, implying annual growth of 0.6%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 41.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 7.8%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 10.3. |
Market Sentiment: 1.0
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
PLS PILBARA MINERALS LIMITED
New Battery Elements
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Overnight Price: $3.43
Credit Suisse rates PLS as Neutral (3) -
Credit Suisse anticipates Pilbara Minerals will achieve a realised spodumene price in the June quarter near the US$5,000 per tonne indicated by Allkem ((AKE)), and adjusts forecasts accordingly.
While the broker prefers Allkem, it notes that Pilbara Minerals should enjoy a premium over Allkem given a strong track record and management.
The Neutral rating is retained and the target price increases to $3.90 from $3.20.
Target price is $3.90 Current Price is $3.43 Difference: $0.47
If PLS meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately 14% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $4.05, suggesting upside of 11.6% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY22:
Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 19.78 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 19.5, implying annual growth of N/A. Current consensus DPS estimate is 0.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.2%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 18.6. |
Forecast for FY23:
Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 92.13 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 51.9, implying annual growth of 166.2%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 2.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.6%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 7.0. |
Market Sentiment: 0.5
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Macquarie rates PLS as Outperform (1) -
Macquarie points out spot lithium prices underpin strong earnings upgrade momentum for Pilbara Minerals. Also, a positive scoping study at the Mid-Stream Project highlights an opportunity to capture more value along the lithium value chain.
The broker sees a key near-term catalyst resulting from a potential spot sale on its battery material exchange (BMX) platform. The price target rises 8% to $4.30 and the Outperform rating is unchanged.
Target price is $4.30 Current Price is $3.43 Difference: $0.87
If PLS meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 25% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $4.05, suggesting upside of 11.6% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY22:
Macquarie forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 23.40 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 19.5, implying annual growth of N/A. Current consensus DPS estimate is 0.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.2%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 18.6. |
Forecast for FY23:
Macquarie forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 38.40 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 51.9, implying annual growth of 166.2%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 2.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.6%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 7.0. |
Market Sentiment: 0.5
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Ord Minnett rates PLS as Upgrade to Buy from Hold (1) -
Ord Minnett is very positive on the lithium outlook and doubles its prior 2023 price forecast for spodumene to US$5,000/t, while hydroxide and carbonate estimated have lifted 50% and 60%, respectively. Meanwhile, the long term forecast rises by 18%.
The broker lifts its rating for Pilbara Minerals to Buy from Hold and raises its target price to $4.50 from $2.90.
This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.
Target price is $4.50 Current Price is $3.43 Difference: $1.07
If PLS meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 31% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $4.05, suggesting upside of 11.6% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY22:
Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 3.00 cents and EPS of 18.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 19.5, implying annual growth of N/A. Current consensus DPS estimate is 0.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.2%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 18.6. |
Forecast for FY23:
Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 8.00 cents and EPS of 39.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 51.9, implying annual growth of 166.2%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 2.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.6%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 7.0. |
Market Sentiment: 0.5
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
PNI PINNACLE INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT GROUP LIMITED
Wealth Management & Investments
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Overnight Price: $10.66
Morgans rates PNI as Add (1) -
Morgans expects market volatility and investor caution to have impacted fund flows for ASX-listed fund managers through the 1Q of 2022 and then carry over into the 2Q.
After a mark-to-market exercise, the broker downgrades FY22-24 EPS forecasts for Pinnacle Investment Management by -1%, -6.5% and -4.5%.
While the analyst retains an Add rating on a long-term view, the stock remains susceptible to near term market volatility due to a premium valuation. The target price falls to $13.25 from $14.45.
Target price is $13.25 Current Price is $10.66 Difference: $2.59
If PNI meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 24% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $14.79, suggesting upside of 38.7% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY22:
Morgans forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 33.00 cents and EPS of 41.20 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 43.6, implying annual growth of 14.0%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 34.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.3%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 24.4. |
Forecast for FY23:
Morgans forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 37.00 cents and EPS of 45.70 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 49.5, implying annual growth of 13.5%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 40.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.8%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 21.5. |
Market Sentiment: 0.9
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
PPT PERPETUAL LIMITED
Wealth Management & Investments
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Overnight Price: $34.23
Credit Suisse rates PPT as Outperform (1) -
Asset managers with greater exposure to the US and European markets, which were outperformed by the Australian market in the first quarter, look to suffer larger downgrades from Credit Suisse, noting a preference for the more insulated platforms over managers.
While currently trading at a -45% discount to the market, a 15 year low in Credit Suisse's coverage, the broker expects flows for asset managers to improve in the first quarter of 2022.
With a higher Australian exposure than some peers, impact on Perpetual has been limited. Marking to market, Credit Suisse's earnings per share forecasts for Perpetual decline -1%, -6% and -7% for FY22, FY23 and FY24 respectively.
Perpetual remains the broker's preferred asset management pick. The Outperform rating is retained and the target price decreases to $42.00 from $43.00.
Target price is $42.00 Current Price is $34.23 Difference: $7.77
If PPT meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately 23% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $39.44, suggesting upside of 23.4% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY22:
Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 214.00 cents and EPS of 271.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 263.8, implying annual growth of 95.4%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 213.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.7%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.1. |
Forecast for FY23:
Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 198.00 cents and EPS of 263.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 286.5, implying annual growth of 8.6%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 225.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 7.1%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 11.2. |
Market Sentiment: 0.6
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
PTM PLATINUM ASSET MANAGEMENT LIMITED
Wealth Management & Investments
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Overnight Price: $2.13
Credit Suisse rates PTM as Neutral (3) -
Asset managers with greater exposure to the US and European markets, which were outperformed by the Australian market in the first quarter, look to suffer larger downgrades from Credit Suisse, noting a preference for the more insulated platforms over managers.
While currently trading at a -45% discount to the market, a 15 year low in Credit Suisse's coverage, the broker expects flows for asset managers to improve in the first quarter of 2022.
Following three years of outflows from Platinum Asset Management the broker considers further large outflows to be factored into the share price. Marking to market, Credit Suisse's earnings per share forecasts for Platinum Asset Management decline -4%, -18% and -19% for FY22, FY23 and FY24 respectively.
The Neutral rating is retained and the target price decreases to $2.20 from $2.70.
Target price is $2.20 Current Price is $2.13 Difference: $0.07
If PTM meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately 3% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $2.42, suggesting upside of 10.9% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY22:
Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 19.00 cents and EPS of 21.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 21.4, implying annual growth of -24.0%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 20.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 9.2%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 10.2. |
Forecast for FY23:
Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 16.00 cents and EPS of 16.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 19.6, implying annual growth of -8.4%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 19.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 8.7%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 11.1. |
Market Sentiment: -0.4
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
RHC RAMSAY HEALTH CARE LIMITED
Healthcare services
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Overnight Price: $64.45
Citi rates RHC as Buy (1) -
Citi analysts are valuing Ramsay Health Care on the basis of FY24 forecasts as this is considered the first 'normal' period for the private hospital operator since the disruptions from covid.
Apart from remaining confident the projected normalisation will occur, Citi also expresses concern about Ramsay's financial discipline (or the lack thereof) when opting for acquisitions.
It is this concern, suggest the analysts, that has been weighing down on the share price to date. Buy rating retained while the target price loses -$1 to $74.00.
Target price is $74.00 Current Price is $64.45 Difference: $9.55
If RHC meets the Citi target it will return approximately 15% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $69.52, suggesting upside of 8.0% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY22:
Citi forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 138.50 cents and EPS of 189.70 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 170.4, implying annual growth of -11.8%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 124.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.9%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 37.8. |
Forecast for FY23:
Citi forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 185.00 cents and EPS of 280.90 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 257.6, implying annual growth of 51.2%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 157.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.4%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 25.0. |
Market Sentiment: 0.1
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Overnight Price: $120.34
Ord Minnett rates RIO as Hold (3) -
Ord Minnett has raised its price forecast for iron ore by 22% to US$139/t in 2022 and by 14% to US$115/t in 2023. Strong steel output from China and lackluster supply from the iron ore majors in Australia and Brazil due to weather, covid and labour costs contributed.
The broker increases its FY23 thermal and metallurgical coal price forecasts by 68% and 38%. For the long term estimates rise by 27% and 29%.
Along with iron ore and coal, the broker is very positive on the lithium outlook and also notes higher prices for base metals and coal from supply disruptions from the Russia/Ukraine conflict.
Ord Minnett increases its target price for Rio Tinto to $118 from $105. Hold.
This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.
Target price is $118.00 Current Price is $120.34 Difference: minus $2.34 (current price is over target).
If RIO meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately minus 2% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).
Current consensus price target is $121.36, suggesting upside of 0.6% (ex-dividends)
Forecast for FY22:
Current consensus EPS estimate is 1722.7, implying annual growth of N/A. Current consensus DPS estimate is 1199.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 9.9%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 7.0. |
Forecast for FY23:
Current consensus EPS estimate is 1205.2, implying annual growth of -30.0%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 864.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 7.2%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 10.0. |
This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.
Market Sentiment: 0.4
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Overnight Price: $5.31
Ord Minnett rates S32 as Buy (1) -
Ord Minnett has raised its price forecast for iron ore by 22% to US$139/t in 2022 and by 14% to US$115/t in 2023. Strong steel output from China and lackluster supply from the iron ore majors in Australia and Brazil due to weather, covid and labour costs contributed.
The broker also notes higher prices for base metals and coal from supply disruptions from the Russia/Ukraine conflict.
The target price for South32 rises to $6.30 from $5.00 and the Buy rating is unchanged.
This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.
Target price is $6.30 Current Price is $5.31 Difference: $0.99
If S32 meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 19% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $5.91, suggesting upside of 12.1% (ex-dividends)
Forecast for FY22:
Current consensus EPS estimate is 75.3, implying annual growth of N/A. Current consensus DPS estimate is 31.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.0%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 7.0. |
Forecast for FY23:
Current consensus EPS estimate is 71.4, implying annual growth of -5.2%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 31.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.1%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 7.4. |
This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.
Market Sentiment: 1.0
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Overnight Price: $4.74
Ord Minnett rates SDF as Buy (1) -
While Steadfast Group has commissioned a review into the strata market, Ord Minnett estimates any changes in the market would only affect earnings modestly.
The broker estimates around 10% of earnings (EBITDA) derive from underwriting agencies writing strata insurance. As a result, the $5.50 target price and Buy rating are left unchanged.
This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.
Target price is $5.50 Current Price is $4.74 Difference: $0.76
If SDF meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 16% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $5.55, suggesting upside of 15.6% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY22:
Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 13.00 cents and EPS of 22.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 20.7, implying annual growth of 25.1%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 12.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.6%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 23.2. |
Forecast for FY23:
Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 14.00 cents and EPS of 23.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 22.3, implying annual growth of 7.7%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 14.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.9%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 21.5. |
Market Sentiment: 1.0
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Citi rates SDR as Initiation of coverage with Neutral (3) -
Citi initiates coverage on hotel tech software as a service provider SiteMinder. The broker notes SiteMinder's products are considered best in class, and coupled with travel industry recovery should drive strong near-term growth.
The company suffered a -10% revenue decline in the last financial year, but given leisure travel exposure Citi expects a faster return to pre-pandemic. The broker sees potential for SiteMinder in the small hotel segment, and considers increased penetration a key growth driver.
The broker initiates with a Neutral rating and a target price of $5.00.
Target price is $5.00 Current Price is $4.56 Difference: $0.44
If SDR meets the Citi target it will return approximately 10% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $6.38, suggesting upside of 30.7% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY22:
Citi forecasts a full year FY22 EPS of minus 18.90 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is -23.8, implying annual growth of N/A. Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is N/A. |
Forecast for FY23:
Citi forecasts a full year FY23 EPS of minus 15.10 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is -13.8, implying annual growth of N/A. Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is N/A. |
Market Sentiment: 0.7
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Overnight Price: $5.72
Ord Minnett rates SFR as Sell (5) -
Following rising metal prices due to the Russia/Ukraine conflict, Ord Minnett increases its 2023 price forecast for copper by 8% to US$4.61/lb, while the long term price rises by 6% to US$3.50/lb.The long term gold price forecast remains at US$1,600/oz.
The broker retains its $5 target price and Sell rating for Sandfire Resources.
This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.
Target price is $5.00 Current Price is $5.72 Difference: minus $0.72 (current price is over target).
If SFR meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately minus 13% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).
Current consensus price target is $7.39, suggesting upside of 27.4% (ex-dividends)
Forecast for FY22:
Current consensus EPS estimate is 56.5, implying annual growth of N/A. Current consensus DPS estimate is 10.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.9%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 10.3. |
Forecast for FY23:
Current consensus EPS estimate is 39.0, implying annual growth of -31.0%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 10.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.8%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.9. |
This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.
Market Sentiment: 0.6
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Overnight Price: $21.56
Ord Minnett rates SGM as Buy (1) -
Ord Minnett raises its target price for Sims to $27 from $20 as part of an overall review of both the iron ore and wider mining sector. The broker estimates ongoing strong steel demand from China.
The broker retains its Buy rating for Sims.
This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.
Target price is $27.00 Current Price is $21.56 Difference: $5.44
If SGM meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 25% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $21.85, suggesting upside of 0.5% (ex-dividends)
Forecast for FY22:
Current consensus EPS estimate is 252.9, implying annual growth of 121.6%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 75.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.5%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 8.6. |
Forecast for FY23:
Current consensus EPS estimate is 186.0, implying annual growth of -26.5%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 58.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.7%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 11.7. |
Market Sentiment: 0.5
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Overnight Price: $4.31
Citi rates SKO as Initiation of coverage with Buy (1) -
Citi initiates coverage on travel and expense management solutions provider Serko. The broker notes Serko's products are considered best in class, and coupled with travel industry recovery should drive strong near-term growth.
The company suffered a -51% revenue decline in the last financial year, and given higher corporate travel exposure Citi expects core business will not return to pre-pandemic levels until FY24. The broker considers Serko's Booking.com partnership as a key growth driver.
The broker initiates with a Buy rating and a target price of $5.75.
Target price is $5.75 Current Price is $4.31 Difference: $1.44
If SKO meets the Citi target it will return approximately 33% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $6.84, suggesting upside of 55.1% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in March.
Forecast for FY22:
Citi forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 27.33 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is -23.2, implying annual growth of N/A. Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is N/A. |
Forecast for FY23:
Citi forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 23.56 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is -7.0, implying annual growth of N/A. Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is N/A. |
This company reports in NZD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.
Market Sentiment: 1.0
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Overnight Price: $5.50
Macquarie rates TAH as Outperform (1) -
Macquarie believes The Lottery Corporation (soon-to-be-demerged) business within Tabcorp is undervalued considering the infrastructure-like qualities and growth outlook. As a result, there is considered to be material share price upside leading into the demerger.
At the same time, there may be capital adequacy concerns within Wagering & Gaming due to the potential capital required for licence opportunities, cautions the analyst.
The broker increases its target price to $6.10 from $5.95 following the release of the demerger scheme booklet. Outperform retained.
Target price is $6.10 Current Price is $5.50 Difference: $0.6
If TAH meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 11% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $5.83, suggesting upside of 6.6% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY22:
Macquarie forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 14.00 cents and EPS of 18.10 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 17.3, implying annual growth of 40.4%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 13.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.5%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 31.6. |
Forecast for FY23:
Macquarie forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 16.50 cents and EPS of 20.10 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 21.4, implying annual growth of 23.7%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 17.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.2%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 25.6. |
Market Sentiment: 0.8
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
TLS TELSTRA CORPORATION LIMITED
Telecommunication
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Overnight Price: $3.93
Ord Minnett rates TLS as Buy (1) -
Despite rising interest rates, Ord Minnett points to sustained demand for telecommunications assets as indicated by Australian Tower Networks' recent acquisition of Axicom (tower assets).
Australian Tower Network is a joint venture between AustralianSuper and Singtel.
The broker suggests the transaction has positive ramifications for Telstra which will be attempting to monetise some tower assets over the next 12 months. The Buy rating and $4.50 target are retained.
This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.
Target price is $4.50 Current Price is $3.93 Difference: $0.57
If TLS meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 15% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $4.43, suggesting upside of 13.1% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY22:
Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 16.00 cents and EPS of 15.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 13.9, implying annual growth of -11.1%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 16.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.1%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 28.2. |
Forecast for FY23:
Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 16.00 cents and EPS of 18.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 16.7, implying annual growth of 20.1%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 16.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.1%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 23.5. |
Market Sentiment: 0.8
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Overnight Price: $6.01
Ord Minnett rates TPG as Buy (1) -
Despite rising interest rates, Ord Minnett points to sustained demand for telecommunications assets as indicated by Australian Tower Networks' recent acquisition of Axicom (tower assets).
Australian Tower Network is a joint venture between AustralianSuper and Singtel.
The broker suggests the transaction has positive ramifications for TPG Telecom which will be attempting to monetise some tower assets over the next 12 months. The Buy rating and $7.25 target are retained.
Target price is $7.25 Current Price is $6.01 Difference: $1.24
If TPG meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 21% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $6.87, suggesting upside of 13.6% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in December.
Forecast for FY22:
Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY22 EPS of 11.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 17.2, implying annual growth of 190.5%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 18.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.0%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 35.2. |
Forecast for FY23:
Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY23 EPS of 17.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 22.9, implying annual growth of 33.1%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 20.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.3%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 26.4. |
Market Sentiment: 0.6
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Overnight Price: $1.25
Macquarie rates WAF as Outperform (1) -
Higher finance costs for West African Resources associated with the now fully repaid Taurus facility were responsible for a -16% miss versus Macquarie's expectation for FY21 profit. Management made no change to its 2022 guidance.
As a result, the broker makes no changes to its EPS estimates and retains its $1.50 target and Outperform rating.
Target price is $1.50 Current Price is $1.25 Difference: $0.25
If WAF meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 20% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
The company's fiscal year ends in December.
Forecast for FY21:
Macquarie forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 15.10 cents. |
Forecast for FY22:
Macquarie forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 10.60 cents. |
Market Sentiment: 1.0
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Today's Price Target Changes
Company | Last Price | Broker | New Target | Prev Target | Change | |
ABP | Abacus Property | $3.36 | Macquarie | 3.65 | 3.62 | 0.83% |
AKE | Allkem | $13.31 | Credit Suisse | 15.30 | 14.70 | 4.08% |
Macquarie | 16.90 | 14.00 | 20.71% | |||
Morgans | 15.24 | 14.83 | 2.76% | |||
Ord Minnett | 17.50 | 12.50 | 40.00% | |||
ALL | Aristocrat Leisure | $35.10 | Credit Suisse | 43.50 | 45.00 | -3.33% |
AWC | Alumina Ltd | $2.04 | Ord Minnett | 2.60 | 2.30 | 13.04% |
BOQ | Bank of Queensland | $8.23 | Ord Minnett | 8.90 | 9.80 | -9.18% |
BSL | BlueScope Steel | $21.26 | Ord Minnett | 28.00 | 25.00 | 12.00% |
BXB | Brambles | $9.81 | UBS | 13.00 | 13.35 | -2.62% |
CHN | Chalice Mining | $7.33 | Ord Minnett | 10.00 | 9.00 | 11.11% |
DHG | Domain Australia | $3.95 | Credit Suisse | 4.50 | 4.85 | -7.22% |
FMG | Fortescue Metals | $21.70 | Ord Minnett | 20.00 | 21.00 | -4.76% |
GQG | GQG Partners | $1.37 | Morgans | 2.15 | 2.27 | -5.29% |
HUB | Hub24 | $26.47 | Credit Suisse | 37.00 | 36.50 | 1.37% |
JHG | Janus Henderson | $47.47 | Credit Suisse | 37.50 | 56.00 | -33.04% |
JMS | Jupiter Mines | $0.27 | Macquarie | 0.25 | 0.20 | 25.00% |
KAR | Karoon Energy | $2.21 | Macquarie | 2.65 | 2.60 | 1.92% |
Morgans | 2.60 | 2.35 | 10.64% | |||
MFG | Magellan Financial | $16.84 | Morgans | 16.73 | 15.78 | 6.02% |
MIN | Mineral Resources | $56.46 | Ord Minnett | 59.00 | 45.00 | 31.11% |
MTS | Metcash | $4.49 | UBS | 5.00 | 4.60 | 8.70% |
NCM | Newcrest Mining | $27.17 | Ord Minnett | 31.00 | 29.00 | 6.90% |
PDL | Pendal Group | $5.29 | Credit Suisse | 5.40 | 6.85 | -21.17% |
Morgans | 5.65 | 6.85 | -17.52% | |||
PLS | Pilbara Minerals | $3.63 | Credit Suisse | 3.90 | 3.20 | 21.87% |
Macquarie | 4.30 | 3.50 | 22.86% | |||
Ord Minnett | 4.50 | 2.90 | 55.17% | |||
PNI | Pinnacle Investment Management | $10.66 | Morgans | 13.25 | 14.45 | -8.30% |
PPT | Perpetual | $31.97 | Credit Suisse | 42.00 | 43.00 | -2.33% |
PTM | Platinum Asset Management | $2.18 | Credit Suisse | 2.20 | 2.70 | -18.52% |
RHC | Ramsay Health Care | $64.35 | Citi | 74.00 | 75.00 | -1.33% |
RIO | Rio Tinto | $120.66 | Ord Minnett | 118.00 | 105.00 | 12.38% |
S32 | South32 | $5.27 | Ord Minnett | 6.30 | 5.00 | 26.00% |
SGM | Sims | $21.75 | Ord Minnett | 27.00 | 20.00 | 35.00% |
TAH | Tabcorp | $5.47 | Macquarie | 6.10 | 5.95 | 2.52% |
Summaries
A2M | a2 Milk Co | Buy - Citi | Overnight Price $5.20 |
ABP | Abacus Property | Upgrade to Outperform from Neutral - Macquarie | Overnight Price $3.30 |
AKE | Allkem | Outperform - Credit Suisse | Overnight Price $12.40 |
Outperform - Macquarie | Overnight Price $12.40 | ||
Add - Morgans | Overnight Price $12.40 | ||
Buy - Ord Minnett | Overnight Price $12.40 | ||
ALL | Aristocrat Leisure | Outperform - Credit Suisse | Overnight Price $36.19 |
AMP | AMP | No Rating - Credit Suisse | Overnight Price $0.96 |
AWC | Alumina Ltd | Buy - Ord Minnett | Overnight Price $2.03 |
BHP | BHP Group | No Rating - Ord Minnett | Overnight Price $52.39 |
BOQ | Bank of Queensland | Downgrade to Hold from Accumulate - Ord Minnett | Overnight Price $8.50 |
BSL | BlueScope Steel | Buy - Ord Minnett | Overnight Price $21.16 |
BXB | Brambles | Buy - UBS | Overnight Price $9.82 |
CHN | Chalice Mining | Buy - Ord Minnett | Overnight Price $7.08 |
DHG | Domain Australia | Buy - Citi | Overnight Price $4.01 |
Neutral - Credit Suisse | Overnight Price $4.01 | ||
Upgrade to Buy from Hold - Ord Minnett | Overnight Price $4.01 | ||
FMG | Fortescue Metals | Hold - Ord Minnett | Overnight Price $21.06 |
GQG | GQG Partners | Add - Morgans | Overnight Price $1.38 |
HUB | Hub24 | Outperform - Credit Suisse | Overnight Price $27.02 |
Add - Morgans | Overnight Price $27.02 | ||
IFL | Insignia Financial | Outperform - Credit Suisse | Overnight Price $3.64 |
JHG | Janus Henderson | Neutral - Credit Suisse | Overnight Price $46.32 |
JMS | Jupiter Mines | Neutral - Macquarie | Overnight Price $0.26 |
KAR | Karoon Energy | Outperform - Macquarie | Overnight Price $2.19 |
Add - Morgans | Overnight Price $2.19 | ||
MFG | Magellan Financial | Neutral - Credit Suisse | Overnight Price $15.35 |
Hold - Morgans | Overnight Price $15.35 | ||
MIN | Mineral Resources | Upgrade to Hold from Sell - Ord Minnett | Overnight Price $54.59 |
MQG | Macquarie Group | Buy - Citi | Overnight Price $206.00 |
MTS | Metcash | Buy - UBS | Overnight Price $4.47 |
NCM | Newcrest Mining | Buy - Ord Minnett | Overnight Price $26.93 |
NEC | Nine Entertainment | Buy - UBS | Overnight Price $2.91 |
NWL | Netwealth Group | Outperform - Credit Suisse | Overnight Price $14.83 |
Hold - Morgans | Overnight Price $14.83 | ||
NWS | News Corp | Buy - UBS | Overnight Price $30.09 |
PDL | Pendal Group | Outperform - Credit Suisse | Overnight Price $4.48 |
Add - Morgans | Overnight Price $4.48 | ||
PLS | Pilbara Minerals | Neutral - Credit Suisse | Overnight Price $3.43 |
Outperform - Macquarie | Overnight Price $3.43 | ||
Upgrade to Buy from Hold - Ord Minnett | Overnight Price $3.43 | ||
PNI | Pinnacle Investment Management | Add - Morgans | Overnight Price $10.66 |
PPT | Perpetual | Outperform - Credit Suisse | Overnight Price $34.23 |
PTM | Platinum Asset Management | Neutral - Credit Suisse | Overnight Price $2.13 |
RHC | Ramsay Health Care | Buy - Citi | Overnight Price $64.45 |
RIO | Rio Tinto | Hold - Ord Minnett | Overnight Price $120.34 |
S32 | South32 | Buy - Ord Minnett | Overnight Price $5.31 |
SDF | Steadfast Group | Buy - Ord Minnett | Overnight Price $4.74 |
SDR | SiteMinder | Initiation of coverage with Neutral - Citi | Overnight Price $4.56 |
SFR | Sandfire Resources | Sell - Ord Minnett | Overnight Price $5.72 |
SGM | Sims | Buy - Ord Minnett | Overnight Price $21.56 |
SKO | Serko | Initiation of coverage with Buy - Citi | Overnight Price $4.31 |
TAH | Tabcorp | Outperform - Macquarie | Overnight Price $5.50 |
TLS | Telstra | Buy - Ord Minnett | Overnight Price $3.93 |
TPG | TPG Telecom | Buy - Ord Minnett | Overnight Price $6.01 |
WAF | West African Resources | Outperform - Macquarie | Overnight Price $1.25 |
RATING SUMMARY
Rating | No. Of Recommendations |
1. Buy | 40 |
3. Hold | 13 |
5. Sell | 1 |
Monday 04 April 2022
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