Australian Broker Call

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February 21, 2019

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COMPANIES DISCUSSED IN THIS ISSUE

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The number next to the symbol represents the number of brokers covering it for this report -(if more than 1).

Last Updated: 05:00 PM

Your daily news report on the latest recommendation, valuation, forecast and opinion changes.

This report includes concise but limited reviews of research recently published by Stockbrokers, which should be considered as information concerning likely market behaviour rather than advice on the securities mentioned. Do not act on the contents of this Report without first reading the important information included at the end.

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Today's Upgrades and Downgrades
A2M - A2 MILK Downgrade to Neutral from Outperform Credit Suisse
Downgrade to Hold from Add Morgans
APA - APA Upgrade to Neutral from Underperform Credit Suisse
Upgrade to Buy from Hold Deutsche Bank
APE - AP EAGERS Upgrade to Add from Hold Morgans
Upgrade to Accumulate from Hold Ord Minnett
DTL - DATA#3 Upgrade to Add from Hold Morgans
FMG - FORTESCUE Downgrade to Neutral from Outperform Credit Suisse
MOE - MOELIS AUSTRALIA Upgrade to Buy from Accumulate Ord Minnett
PGH - PACT GROUP Upgrade to Hold from Reduce Morgans
RRL - REGIS RESOURCES Downgrade to Sell from Hold Deutsche Bank
Downgrade to Sell from Neutral UBS
SGP - STOCKLAND Downgrade to Neutral from Buy Citi
SHL - SONIC HEALTHCARE Upgrade to Accumulate from Hold Ord Minnett
Downgrade to Neutral from Buy Citi
Downgrade to Hold from Buy Deutsche Bank
SXY - SENEX ENERGY Downgrade to Hold from Buy Ord Minnett
WTC - WISETECH GLOBAL Downgrade to Hold from Buy Ord Minnett
A2M  THE A2 MILK COMPANY LIMITED

Dairy

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Overnight Price: $14.10

Citi rates A2M as Neutral (3) -

A2 Milk's first-half result beat guidance again but Citi believes the price-earnings multiple of 35x is hard to justify and retains a Neutral rating.

The broker sees potential headwinds developing in e-commerce, increased competition and declining birth rates (infant formula is the main driver of momentum).

Earnings-per-share forecasts rise 12% to 38% across FY19 to FY21 to reflect upgrades to Australian and New Zealand sales and margins and growth in China.

Target price rises to $14.60 from $10.65.

Target price is $14.60 Current Price is $14.10 Difference: $0.5
If A2M meets the Citi target it will return approximately 4% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $13.63, suggesting downside of -3.4% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Citi forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 37.69 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 37.41.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 37.7, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 1.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 37.4.

Forecast for FY20:

Citi forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 9.31 cents and EPS of 49.98 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.66%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 28.21.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 48.1, implying annual growth of 27.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 11.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 29.3.

This company reports in NZD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Credit Suisse rates A2M as Downgrade to Neutral from Outperform (3) -

First half results were ahead of Credit Suisse estimates. Importantly, revenue grew 41% and featured another step-up from Chinese labelled infant formula.

The company anticipates second half revenue growth at a similar level. Credit Suisse upgrades FY19-21 estimates for earnings per share by 7-8%.

Following the outperformance of the share price the broker lowers the rating to Neutral from Outperform. Target is raised to NZ$13.60 from NZ$12.25.

Current Price is $14.10. Target price not assessed.

Current consensus price target is $13.63, suggesting downside of -3.4% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 36.67 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 38.45.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 37.7, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 1.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 37.4.

Forecast for FY20:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 18.61 cents and EPS of 46.53 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.32%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 30.30.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 48.1, implying annual growth of 27.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 11.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 29.3.

This company reports in NZD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Deutsche Bank rates A2M as Buy (1) -

Deutsche Bank saw a "strong result", carried by slightly stronger operating margins. It still was in-line, argue the analysts, while noting the company upgraded guidance.

Lots to like, both in the published report and in the company's outlook. Deutsche Bank retains a firm Buy recommendation, target NZ$15.30.

Current Price is $14.10. Target price not assessed.

Current consensus price target is $13.63, suggesting downside of -3.4% (ex-dividends)

Forecast for FY19:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 37.7, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 1.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 37.4.

Forecast for FY20:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 48.1, implying annual growth of 27.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 11.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 29.3.

This company reports in NZD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Macquarie rates A2M as Outperform (1) -

First half operating earnings (EBITDA) were up 53% and ahead of Macquarie's estimates. Revenue growth was supported by infant formula, with Chinese labelled product up 83%.

The company continues to envisage share gains across all key markets. Macquarie is increasingly confident in the demand outlook, margin performance and global scalability.

Outperform rating maintained. Target is raised to $15.75 from $12.60.

Target price is $15.75 Current Price is $14.10 Difference: $1.65
If A2M meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 12% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $13.63, suggesting downside of -3.4% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 37.13 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 37.97.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 37.7, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 1.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 37.4.

Forecast for FY20:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 25.41 cents and EPS of 48.30 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.80%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 29.19.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 48.1, implying annual growth of 27.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 11.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 29.3.

This company reports in NZD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Morgan Stanley rates A2M as Underweight (5) -

Sales via daigou drove 54% of the company's first half sales growth. First half sales and earnings beat Morgan Stanley's expectations but, on the basis that the sustainability of sales via daigou is lower, the beat is considered low quality.

The broker observes the stock as effectively re-rated despite earnings upgrades. FY19-21 estimates for earnings per share are lifted by 6-7%. Continued strong sales growth is seen offset by higher marketing expenditure.

Underweight rating. The broker raises the target to $10.50 from $9.60. Industry view is Cautious.

Target price is $10.50 Current Price is $14.10 Difference: minus $3.6 (current price is over target).
If A2M meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately minus 26% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $13.63, suggesting downside of -3.4% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 35.37 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 39.87.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 37.7, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 1.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 37.4.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 44.67 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 31.56.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 48.1, implying annual growth of 27.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 11.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 29.3.

This company reports in NZD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Morgans rates A2M as Downgrade to Hold from Add (3) -

The a2 Milk Company's first-half result outpaced the broker by 11.7%, infant formula the star of the show. Guidance was upgraded.

Margins seriously surprised Morgans to the upside, the balance sheet was strong and costs rose due to marketing expenditure and administration - in part to reflect its very promising China expansion.

Earnings-per-share forecasts rise 8.3% and 3.4% for FY19 and FY20. Target price rises to roughly in line with the share price at $13.66 from $12.35.

Broker downgrades to Hold from Add after the strong rally in the share price.

Target price is $13.66 Current Price is $14.10 Difference: minus $0.44 (current price is over target).
If A2M meets the Morgans target it will return approximately minus 3% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $13.63, suggesting downside of -3.4% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 36.30 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 38.85.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 37.7, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 1.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 37.4.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 44.67 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 31.56.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 48.1, implying annual growth of 27.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 11.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 29.3.

This company reports in NZD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


UBS rates A2M as Neutral (3) -

It was another strong result from a2Milk, ahead of the broker, driven by A&NZ and China. There is no sign of a slowing of demand in China, the broker notes, and the a2 brand continues to enjoy a strong customer response. FY20 should see the benefits of marketing spend in the second half.

The broker would like to have a more positive view overall but retains Neutral, concerned about a single a2 brand and a rich valuation. New product launches would help, particularly in the US which the broker sees as an underappreciated opportunity. Target rises to NZ$14.00 from NZ$11.80.

Current Price is $14.10. Target price not assessed.

Current consensus price target is $13.63, suggesting downside of -3.4% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

UBS forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 9.31 cents and EPS of 37.13 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.66%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 37.97.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 37.7, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 1.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 37.4.

Forecast for FY20:

UBS forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 32.20 cents and EPS of 52.10 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.28%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 27.06.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 48.1, implying annual growth of 27.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 11.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 29.3.

This company reports in NZD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

AFG  AUSTRALIAN FINANCE GROUP LTD

Banks

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Overnight Price: $1.18

Morgans rates AFG as Add (1) -

Morgans is defending Australian Finance Group against the recent savaging of its share price, believing it was unwarranted and misconceived.

It notes AFG is trading on a price-earnings multiple of just 6.3x and offers a fully franked dividend yield of 9.9% and sees no good reason why the company should further bolster its balance sheet, meaning the dividend should be maintained. It believes it is more defensively positioned than peers and in a good relative position to grow its loan book. It also notes that APRA has abolished two macroprudential measures that should result in an improvement in home-loan lending.

EPS forecasts fall -4.5% in FY19 to reflect weaker lodgements in the first half and -1.3% and -1.5% in FY20/FY21. Target price falls to $1.80 from $2. Add recommendation retained.

Target price is $1.80 Current Price is $1.18 Difference: $0.62
If AFG meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 53% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 10.00 cents and EPS of 15.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 8.47%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 7.87.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 12.00 cents and EPS of 18.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 10.17%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 6.56.

Market Sentiment: 0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

AHY  ASALEO CARE LIMITED

Household & Personal Products

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Overnight Price: $0.93

Citi rates AHY as Buy (1) -

Asaleo Care's half-year result met the broker but Citi estimates Asaleo will increase spending in 2019, which will eat into earnings.

The broker expects lower pulp costs could prove a boon but the FX position is likely to reduce the net benefit. Citi notes the sale of the Australian consumer tissue business should improve the balance sheet and decrease earnings volatility.

Target price is steady at $1.05. Buy rating retained, Citi expecting a re-rating to reflect the improved balance sheet, return on capital, better margins and a resumption of dividends.

Target price is $1.05 Current Price is $0.93 Difference: $0.12
If AHY meets the Citi target it will return approximately 13% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $1.15, suggesting upside of 23.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY19:

Citi forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 3.00 cents and EPS of 6.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.23%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.88.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 5.8, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 3.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 16.0.

Forecast for FY20:

Citi forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 4.80 cents and EPS of 7.50 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.16%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 12.40.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 6.9, implying annual growth of 19.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 4.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.5.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Credit Suisse rates AHY as Outperform (1) -

Credit Suisse believes the investment case is in good shape and falling pulp prices should provide a solid lift in earnings in 2020. This underpins the broker's Outperform rating.

2019 operating earnings (EBITDA) guidance is $80-85m. Free cash flow in 2019 is expected to be lower. Target steady at $1.25.

Target price is $1.25 Current Price is $0.93 Difference: $0.32
If AHY meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately 34% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $1.15, suggesting upside of 23.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY19:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 4.40 cents and EPS of 5.90 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.73%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.76.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 5.8, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 3.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 16.0.

Forecast for FY20:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 5.60 cents and EPS of 7.50 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.02%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 12.40.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 6.9, implying annual growth of 19.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 4.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.5.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Macquarie rates AHY as No Rating (-1) -

2018 underlying operating earnings (EBITDA) were in line with downgraded guidance. 2019 underlying guidance of $80-85m has been provided. The company does not expect any easing of pulp prices.

Macquarie expects net debt of $110-120m following the completion of the tissue sale. Macquarie is restricted on rating and target at present.

Current Price is $0.93. Target price not assessed.

Current consensus price target is $1.15, suggesting upside of 23.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY19:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 2.90 cents and EPS of 4.80 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.12%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 19.38.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 5.8, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 3.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 16.0.

Forecast for FY20:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 3.40 cents and EPS of 5.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.66%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 16.32.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 6.9, implying annual growth of 19.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 4.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.5.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

ANZ  AUSTRALIA & NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP

Banks

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Overnight Price: $27.77

Morgans rates ANZ as Add (1) -

ANZ has reported its Pillar 3 disclosures for the December quarter. 

Asset quality was generally stable and the bank's home-loan book contracted over the first quarter, seeming to double down on the previous quarter's tightening, and despite suggestions that the system home lending improved in the first quarter after APRA removed limits on investors loan growth and interest only loans.

Broker retains an Add recommendation. Target price rises to $29 from $28.50 on valuation.

Target price is $29.00 Current Price is $27.77 Difference: $1.23
If ANZ meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 4% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $28.73, suggesting upside of 3.4% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in September.

Forecast for FY19:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 160.00 cents and EPS of 236.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.76%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 11.77.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 229.3, implying annual growth of 3.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 160.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.1.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 164.00 cents and EPS of 253.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.91%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 10.98.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 240.9, implying annual growth of 5.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 164.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 11.5.

Market Sentiment: 0.6

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

APA  APA GROUP

NatGas

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Overnight Price: $9.67

Citi rates APA as Neutral (3) -

APA Group's first-half result met the broker but Citi says the balance sheet looks stretched, presaging a possible equity raising in the next two years to fund acquisitions.

On the upside, the company says more than 90% of contract renewals have been priced at or near the foundation contract, removing pricing risk.

Citi raises the target price to $8.99 from $8.75. Neutral rating retained.

Target price is $8.99 Current Price is $9.67 Difference: minus $0.68 (current price is over target).
If APA meets the Citi target it will return approximately minus 7% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $9.26, suggesting downside of -4.3% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Citi forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 46.50 cents and EPS of 24.30 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.81%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 39.79.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 25.0, implying annual growth of 7.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 46.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 38.7.

Forecast for FY20:

Citi forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 47.50 cents and EPS of 25.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.91%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 37.63.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 28.9, implying annual growth of 15.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 49.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 33.5.

Market Sentiment: 0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Credit Suisse rates APA as Upgrade to Neutral from Underperform (3) -

First half earnings were ahead of Credit Suisse forecasts. The broker asserts arbitration rules are proving ineffective, and the upcoming elections and the outcome of the review in August signal the risk has not entirely diminished.

Growth projects are largely on track. The broker believes there is upside to consensus FY20 forecasts. Rating is upgraded to Neutral from Underperform, to reflect the upside. Target is raised to $8.75 from $7.65.

Target price is $8.75 Current Price is $9.67 Difference: minus $0.92 (current price is over target).
If APA meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately minus 10% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $9.26, suggesting downside of -4.3% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 46.50 cents and EPS of 24.58 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.81%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 39.34.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 25.0, implying annual growth of 7.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 46.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 38.7.

Forecast for FY20:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 48.80 cents and EPS of 30.33 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.05%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 31.88.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 28.9, implying annual growth of 15.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 49.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 33.5.

Market Sentiment: 0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Deutsche Bank rates APA as Upgrade to Buy from Hold (1) -

Deutsche Bank believes the interim report was "solid". It was clearly better-than-expected by the broker beforehand. As management continues to deliver solid, consistent and predictable distributions, the recommendation is upgraded to Buy from Hold. Target $9.90.

Target price is $9.90 Current Price is $9.67 Difference: $0.23
If APA meets the Deutsche Bank target it will return approximately 2% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $9.26, suggesting downside of -4.3% (ex-dividends)

Forecast for FY19:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 25.0, implying annual growth of 7.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 46.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 38.7.

Forecast for FY20:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 28.9, implying annual growth of 15.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 49.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 33.5.

Market Sentiment: 0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Macquarie rates APA as Neutral (3) -

Operating earnings (EBITDA) were below Macquarie's estimates. A bond rally has provided momentum for the share price.

This is now fading and the broker assesses the development of the MSP/SWQP expansion and other incremental opportunities in Australia will be the next major catalysts.

Neutral rating maintained. Target is raised to $9.49 from $9.18. FY20 and FY21 estimates are raised by 4%.

Target price is $9.49 Current Price is $9.67 Difference: minus $0.18 (current price is over target).
If APA meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately minus 2% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $9.26, suggesting downside of -4.3% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 46.50 cents and EPS of 25.90 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.81%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 37.34.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 25.0, implying annual growth of 7.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 46.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 38.7.

Forecast for FY20:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 50.40 cents and EPS of 28.50 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.21%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 33.93.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 28.9, implying annual growth of 15.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 49.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 33.5.

Market Sentiment: 0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Morgan Stanley rates APA as Equal-weight (3) -

The company has reiterated FY19 distribution guidance of 46.5c per security and tightened operating earnings (EBITDA) guidance to within the upper end of the $1.55-1.58bn range.

Morgan Stanley retains a positive view of the company's growth strategy and exposure to evolving gas markets.

Equal-weight rating. Industry view is Cautious. Price target is raised to $9.28 from $8.88.

Target price is $9.28 Current Price is $9.67 Difference: minus $0.39 (current price is over target).
If APA meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately minus 4% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $9.26, suggesting downside of -4.3% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 46.50 cents and EPS of 24.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.81%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 40.29.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 25.0, implying annual growth of 7.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 46.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 38.7.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 49.00 cents and EPS of 28.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.07%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 34.54.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 28.9, implying annual growth of 15.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 49.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 33.5.

Market Sentiment: 0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Morgans rates APA as Hold (3) -

APA Group's first-half result met the broker but cash-flow proved a miss. Gearing improved thanks to last year's capital raising and the broker notes the possibility of a US acquisition.

Earnings-per-share forecasts are adjusted up 1% to 3% to reflect guidance, a decent first half, restructuring, revenue to debt and returns from the capital expenditure program.

Target price rises to $8.53 from $8.40. Hold rating retained, the broker believing the strong share price is factoring in takeover potential.

Target price is $8.53 Current Price is $9.67 Difference: minus $1.14 (current price is over target).
If APA meets the Morgans target it will return approximately minus 12% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $9.26, suggesting downside of -4.3% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 46.50 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.81%.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 25.0, implying annual growth of 7.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 46.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 38.7.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 50.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.17%.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 28.9, implying annual growth of 15.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 49.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 33.5.

Market Sentiment: 0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Ord Minnett rates APA as Hold (3) -

First half results were stronger than expected. Nevertheless, Ord Minnett envisages better value in cyclical stocks.

Management has indicated investigations regarding M&A options have recommenced in the US. Ord Minnett suggests any acquisition should be looked at purely on a financial return basis.

Hold rating maintained. Target is raised to $10.00 from $9.65.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Target price is $10.00 Current Price is $9.67 Difference: $0.33
If APA meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 3% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $9.26, suggesting downside of -4.3% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 47.00 cents and EPS of 25.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.86%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 38.68.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 25.0, implying annual growth of 7.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 46.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 38.7.

Forecast for FY20:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 52.00 cents and EPS of 29.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.38%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 33.34.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 28.9, implying annual growth of 15.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 49.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 33.5.

Market Sentiment: 0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


UBS rates APA as Neutral (3) -

It was a solid result from APA, the broker suggests, as new projects were brought on line and the company passed through tariff increases. APA is extracting more value from its existing assets by providing additional services such as storage and multi-point delivery, UBS notes, underpinning resilience in the core business and offsetting regulation headwinds.

Growth beyond FY19 remains unclear but a strong track record in organic/M&A growth provides the broker with confidence. UBS has removed its takeover bid premium in valuation to reset its target at $9.10, down from $10.00. Neutral retained.

Target price is $9.10 Current Price is $9.67 Difference: minus $0.57 (current price is over target).
If APA meets the UBS target it will return approximately minus 6% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $9.26, suggesting downside of -4.3% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

UBS forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 46.00 cents and EPS of 26.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.76%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 37.19.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 25.0, implying annual growth of 7.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 46.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 38.7.

Forecast for FY20:

UBS forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 49.00 cents and EPS of 32.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.07%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 30.22.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 28.9, implying annual growth of 15.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 49.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 33.5.

Market Sentiment: 0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

APE  AP EAGERS LIMITED

Automobiles & Components

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Overnight Price: $7.05

Credit Suisse rates APE as Neutral (3) -

Credit Suisse was impressed with 2018 results, given the 2% increase in pre-tax profit. 2019 performance will be affected by the current negative momentum in the automotive industry and any cyclical recovery.

The main issue for the company going forward is whether it can increase finance penetration, as it has optimistic targets in this regard.

The broker maintains a Neutral rating and reduces the target to $7.00 from $7.90.

Target price is $7.00 Current Price is $7.05 Difference: minus $0.05 (current price is over target).
If APE meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately minus 1% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $7.38, suggesting upside of 4.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY19:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 36.50 cents and EPS of 46.38 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.18%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.20.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 49.6, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 36.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.2.

Forecast for FY20:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 38.00 cents and EPS of 50.84 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.39%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.87.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 52.2, implying annual growth of 5.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 37.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.5.

Market Sentiment: 0.4

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Morgan Stanley rates APE as Equal-weight (3) -

2018 results were previously released and in line. Morgan Stanley observes a strong performance in car and truck retailing, up 5% and 20% respectively, in the context of the current environment.

The company also grew market share in new vehicles across several states and held share in NSW and Queensland.

Equal-weight retained. Target is $7. Industry view: In line.

Target price is $7.00 Current Price is $7.05 Difference: minus $0.05 (current price is over target).
If APE meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately minus 1% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $7.38, suggesting upside of 4.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY19:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY19 EPS of 48.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.69.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 49.6, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 36.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.2.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY20 EPS of 50.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.10.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 52.2, implying annual growth of 5.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 37.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.5.

Market Sentiment: 0.4

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Morgans rates APE as Upgrade to Add from Hold (1) -

AP Eagers 2018 result met the broker, defying industry weakness thanks to years of cost control, risk-based pricing and business restructuring.

The company improved volumes, market penetration and margin retention and the company remains confident on these fronts. Broker notes the stock is well-positioned for acquisitions, although this would pose downside risk to the share price and dividend.

Target price inches up to $8.03 from $8. Broker upgrades to Add from Hold.

Target price is $8.03 Current Price is $7.05 Difference: $0.98
If APE meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 14% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $7.38, suggesting upside of 4.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY19:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 38.00 cents and EPS of 54.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.39%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.06.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 49.6, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 36.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.2.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 39.00 cents and EPS of 56.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.53%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 12.59.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 52.2, implying annual growth of 5.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 37.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.5.

Market Sentiment: 0.4

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Ord Minnett rates APE as Upgrade to Accumulate from Hold (2) -

The 2018 result was in line with the guidance provided in mid January. Ord Minnett observes the economics of dealerships have changed and will continue to evolve.

The company reported margin expansion in the second half in both operating divisions, providing a level of comfort in what is expected to be a weak new vehicle sales environment.

That said, the company is ideally positioned to participate in industry consolidation. Rating is upgraded to Accumulate from Hold and the target raised to $7.50 from $7.00.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Target price is $7.50 Current Price is $7.05 Difference: $0.45
If APE meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 6% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $7.38, suggesting upside of 4.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY19:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 36.00 cents and EPS of 50.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.11%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.10.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 49.6, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 36.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.2.

Forecast for FY20:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 36.00 cents and EPS of 52.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.11%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.56.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 52.2, implying annual growth of 5.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 37.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.5.

Market Sentiment: 0.4

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

ARB  ARB CORPORATION LIMITED

Automobiles & Components

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Overnight Price: $16.47

Credit Suisse rates ARB as Neutral (3) -

Patchy business conditions and weak new vehicle sales have constrained growth. Credit Suisse found the first half result reflected the softer conditions in the automotive aftermarket, being slightly below expectations.

Still, the company retains a healthy net cash position. No quantitative guidance has been provided. The broker maintains a Neutral rating and reduces the target to $17.20 from $17.90.

Target price is $17.20 Current Price is $16.47 Difference: $0.73
If ARB meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately 4% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $17.89, suggesting upside of 8.6% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 40.00 cents and EPS of 73.31 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.43%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 22.47.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 73.1, implying annual growth of 13.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 40.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 22.5.

Forecast for FY20:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 42.57 cents and EPS of 77.94 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.58%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 21.13.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 80.0, implying annual growth of 9.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 44.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 20.6.

Market Sentiment: 0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Macquarie rates ARB as Outperform (1) -

First half revenue and pre-tax profit were slightly below Macquarie's estimates. The broker still found the results commendable, given the market headwinds.

The broker believes ARB is a high-quality franchise and resilient. Medium-term growth prospects are robust.

Outperform rating maintained and the target is reduced to $20 from $22.

Target price is $20.00 Current Price is $16.47 Difference: $3.53
If ARB meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 21% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $17.89, suggesting upside of 8.6% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 40.00 cents and EPS of 71.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.43%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 23.00.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 73.1, implying annual growth of 13.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 40.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 22.5.

Forecast for FY20:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 43.50 cents and EPS of 78.40 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.64%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 21.01.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 80.0, implying annual growth of 9.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 44.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 20.6.

Market Sentiment: 0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

ASX  ASX LIMITED

Wealth Management & Investments

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Overnight Price: $69.51

Morgans rates ASX as Reduce (5) -

ASX's first-half result met consensus and the broker, market volatility boosting revenue.

The company will be upgrading systems in FY19/FY20 and operating expenditure rose to reflect this but was in line with guidance.

EPS estimates rise 2% to 3% across FY19 to FY21 to reflect higher interest income forecasts. Target price rises to $57.11 from $53.63.

Broker retains a Reduce recommendation noting the stock is trading on a hefty price-earnings multiple of 29x.

Target price is $57.11 Current Price is $69.51 Difference: minus $12.4 (current price is over target).
If ASX meets the Morgans target it will return approximately minus 18% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $59.84, suggesting downside of -13.9% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 229.00 cents and EPS of 254.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.29%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 27.37.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 254.5, implying annual growth of 5.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 228.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 27.3.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 242.00 cents and EPS of 269.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.48%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 25.84.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 263.7, implying annual growth of 3.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 235.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 26.4.

Market Sentiment: -0.8

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

AWC  ALUMINA LIMITED

Aluminium, Bauxite & Alumina

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Overnight Price: $2.66

UPDATED

Macquarie rates AWC as Outperform (1) -

2018 financials represent an in-line performance, Macquarie suggests. Shareholders are anticipating more dividends. This year (2019) will mark another record for Alumina Ltd dividends, the broker predicts.

Target price is $2.70 Current Price is $2.66 Difference: $0.04
If AWC meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 2% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $2.76, suggesting upside of 3.8% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY18:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 29.86 cents and EPS of 32.71 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 11.23%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 8.13.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 33.9, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 30.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 11.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 7.8.

Forecast for FY19:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 32.31 cents and EPS of 32.85 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 12.15%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 8.10.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 28.2, implying annual growth of -16.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 27.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 10.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 9.4.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.6

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Ord Minnett rates AWC as Hold (3) -

It would appear the 2018 financial performance was a little below expectations, but Ord Minnett catergorises it as strong and in-line. The big surprise, however, was the dividend, and the analysts think the market will reward the company for it.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Target price is $2.60 Current Price is $2.66 Difference: minus $0.06 (current price is over target).
If AWC meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately minus 2% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $2.76, suggesting upside of 3.8% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY18:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 26.87 cents and EPS of 30.91 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 10.10%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 8.61.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 33.9, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 30.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 11.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 7.8.

Forecast for FY19:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 13.44 cents and EPS of 20.16 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.05%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.20.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 28.2, implying annual growth of -16.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 27.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 10.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 9.4.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.6

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

BXB  BRAMBLES LIMITED

Transportation & Logistics

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Overnight Price: $11.60

Ord Minnett rates BXB as Buy (1) -

Pact Group ((PGH)) has won the Aldi reusable plastic container pooling contract from the company's CHEP division.

Ord Minnett considers the loss of the contract immaterial and believes investors should stay focused on the main issue, that being the turnaround of CHEP in the US.

Ord Minnett maintains a Buy rating and $12.55 target.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Target price is $12.55 Current Price is $11.60 Difference: $0.95
If BXB meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 8% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $11.39, suggesting downside of -1.8% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 28.48 cents and EPS of 55.61 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.46%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 20.86.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 58.9, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 34.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 19.7.

Forecast for FY20:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 20.00 cents and EPS of 44.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.72%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 26.36.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 68.7, implying annual growth of 16.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 39.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 16.9.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

CDD  CARDNO LIMITED

Mining Sector Contracting

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Overnight Price: $0.99

Deutsche Bank rates CDD as Buy (1) -

The 1H report revealed sluggish growth, comment the analysts, but they retain a positive view, declaring the risk remains to the upside for the three years ahead.

Buy rating retained, while the price target drops to $1.35 from $1.65.

Target price is $1.35 Current Price is $0.99 Difference: $0.36
If CDD meets the Deutsche Bank target it will return approximately 36% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

CQR  CHARTER HALL RETAIL REIT

REITs

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Overnight Price: $4.56

Citi rates CQR as Sell (5) -

Charter Hall Retail's first half result met the broker, but Citi says the market remains tough and retains a Sell rating. Overall, portfolio metrics improved after repositioning but tailwinds from the asset re-valuation are waning.

Citi believes Charter Hall looks more appealing than pressured peers but sees a number of headwinds developing, including pressure on shopping centre values. The broker notes the stock is trading an an 8% premium to NTA, increasing the risk profile.

Target price eases to $3.68 from $3.70.

Target price is $3.68 Current Price is $4.56 Difference: minus $0.88 (current price is over target).
If CQR meets the Citi target it will return approximately minus 19% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $4.11, suggesting downside of -10.0% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Citi forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 28.60 cents and EPS of 31.30 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.27%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.57.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 30.9, implying annual growth of -14.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 29.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.8.

Forecast for FY20:

Citi forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 28.60 cents and EPS of 31.30 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.27%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.57.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 31.4, implying annual growth of 1.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 29.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.5.

Market Sentiment: -0.6

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Macquarie rates CQR as Underperform (5) -

First half earnings were slightly ahead of Macquarie's expectations. FY19 guidance is reaffirmed.

The broker considers the stock a relatively defensive proposition, as 50% of its income is underpinned by covenants to Woolworths ((WOW)) and Wesfarmers ((WES)).

However, the stock is trading at an 8% premium to net tangible assets so the broker retains an Underperform rating. Target is raised to $4.07 from $4.02.

Target price is $4.07 Current Price is $4.56 Difference: minus $0.49 (current price is over target).
If CQR meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately minus 11% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $4.11, suggesting downside of -10.0% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 28.60 cents and EPS of 30.10 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.27%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.15.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 30.9, implying annual growth of -14.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 29.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.8.

Forecast for FY20:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 29.50 cents and EPS of 31.10 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.47%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.66.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 31.4, implying annual growth of 1.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 29.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.5.

Market Sentiment: -0.6

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


UBS rates CQR as Neutral (3) -

Charter Hall Retail reported in line with UBS and FY guidance is unchanged. Given a divestment of negative growth assets over FY18 the broker expected to see sales metrics supported, but specialty sales and supermarkets both slowed. The REIT now has a lot of leasing to do in the second half.

Given skinny development margins the broker sees a 6% yield as providing support but with the stock trading at an 8% premium to net tangible asset valuation the broker retains Neutral. Target rises to $4.31 from $4.21.

Target price is $4.31 Current Price is $4.56 Difference: minus $0.25 (current price is over target).
If CQR meets the UBS target it will return approximately minus 5% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $4.11, suggesting downside of -10.0% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

UBS forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 28.60 cents and EPS of 31.10 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.27%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.66.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 30.9, implying annual growth of -14.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 29.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.8.

Forecast for FY20:

UBS forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 29.40 cents and EPS of 31.80 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.45%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.34.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 31.4, implying annual growth of 1.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 29.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.5.

Market Sentiment: -0.6

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

CTD  CORPORATE TRAVEL MANAGEMENT LIMITED

Travel, Leisure & Tourism

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Overnight Price: $29.27

Macquarie rates CTD as Neutral (3) -

First half results were in line at the net profit line while earnings beat estimates. Guidance has firmed towards the top end of the EBITDA range of $144-150m.

Macquarie considers the results solid across all regions, with Australasia standing out. The sector remains highly fragmented and the broker expects the company to continue assessing M&A opportunities.

The stock appears fairly valued and a Neutral rating maintained. Target is raised to $28.70 from $24.50.

Target price is $28.70 Current Price is $29.27 Difference: minus $0.57 (current price is over target).
If CTD meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately minus 2% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $31.01, suggesting upside of 6.0% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 45.30 cents and EPS of 100.50 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.55%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 29.12.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 95.4, implying annual growth of 31.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 42.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 30.7.

Forecast for FY20:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 50.70 cents and EPS of 112.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.73%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 25.99.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 112.2, implying annual growth of 17.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 50.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 26.1.

Market Sentiment: 0.8

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Morgan Stanley rates CTD as Overweight (1) -

The company has reiterated FY19 guidance. Revenue and earnings were slightly ahead of Morgan Stanley's estimates in the first half. The area that disappointed most was the US, and most of the concerns about the company's global expansion centre on this jurisdiction.

However, guidance for double-digit second half growth has cause the broker to become more confident.

Overweight rating. Target is raised to $31 from $27. In-Line industry view.

Target price is $31.00 Current Price is $29.27 Difference: $1.73
If CTD meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately 6% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $31.01, suggesting upside of 6.0% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 43.00 cents and EPS of 101.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.47%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 28.98.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 95.4, implying annual growth of 31.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 42.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 30.7.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 52.00 cents and EPS of 121.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.78%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 24.19.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 112.2, implying annual growth of 17.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 50.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 26.1.

Market Sentiment: 0.8

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Morgans rates CTD as Add (1) -

Corporate Travel Management's first-half result beat the broker, outpacing its peers on cash flow.

Management reiterated guidance, which Morgans believes is conservative given the strong first-half and favourable foreign exchange profile. It also believes US and Asian margins should start to scale.

The broker tinkers with earnings forecasts to sit slightly ahead of guidance. Target price rises to $31.65 from $26.72. Add rating retained.

Target price is $31.65 Current Price is $29.27 Difference: $2.38
If CTD meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 8% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $31.01, suggesting upside of 6.0% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 44.00 cents and EPS of 94.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.50%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 31.14.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 95.4, implying annual growth of 31.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 42.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 30.7.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 53.00 cents and EPS of 110.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.81%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 26.61.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 112.2, implying annual growth of 17.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 50.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 26.1.

Market Sentiment: 0.8

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Ord Minnett rates CTD as Buy (1) -

Interim results were largely in line with Ord Minnett's forecasts, the highlight being the strong operational performance in a period of significant distraction.

The broker believes the business is well-positioned to supplement organic growth with suitable acquisitions.

Estimates are updated to account for higher amortisation of software based on the technology expenditure in the US.

Ord Minnett retains a Buy rating and believes the stock will outperform over the coming year. Target is raised to $31.47 from $30.30.

Target price is $31.47 Current Price is $29.27 Difference: $2.2
If CTD meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 8% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $31.01, suggesting upside of 6.0% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 39.60 cents and EPS of 88.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.35%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 33.26.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 95.4, implying annual growth of 31.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 42.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 30.7.

Forecast for FY20:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 48.40 cents and EPS of 107.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.65%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 27.20.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 112.2, implying annual growth of 17.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 50.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 26.1.

Market Sentiment: 0.8

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


UBS rates CTD as Buy (1) -

It was another solid performance from Corporate Travel, ahead of the broker. Soft cash flow conversion was well flagged and well explained, the broker suggests, and FY conversion should be close to 100%.

With the tech platform now running live in the US and Asia, the broker looks with anticipation to gauge uptake from clients old and new, which will drive revenue growth and earnings margin upside. Buy retained, target rises to $32.25 from $31.20.

Target price is $32.25 Current Price is $29.27 Difference: $2.98
If CTD meets the UBS target it will return approximately 10% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $31.01, suggesting upside of 6.0% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

UBS forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 42.00 cents and EPS of 93.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.43%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 31.27.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 95.4, implying annual growth of 31.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 42.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 30.7.

Forecast for FY20:

UBS forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 49.20 cents and EPS of 110.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.68%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 26.61.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 112.2, implying annual growth of 17.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 50.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 26.1.

Market Sentiment: 0.8

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

CWN  CROWN RESORTS LIMITED

Gaming

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Overnight Price: $11.40

UPDATED

Deutsche Bank rates CWN as Hold (3) -

Hold rating retained as the analysts observe Crown Resorts' interim performance proved -9% below market expectations with VIP turnover down -12% on a softer November/December plus higher opex.

Not helping, the analysts note the margin declined by -190bp to 28.2%. Hold rating retained on valuation. Price target falls to $11.70 from $12.30.

Target price is $11.70 Current Price is $11.40 Difference: $0.3
If CWN meets the Deutsche Bank target it will return approximately 3% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $12.32, suggesting upside of 8.0% (ex-dividends)

Forecast for FY19:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 56.5, implying annual growth of -30.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 60.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 20.2.

Forecast for FY20:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 61.5, implying annual growth of 8.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 60.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 18.5.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Macquarie rates CWN as Neutral (3) -

The first half result has confirmed the challenges facing the domestic business while VIP moderated faster than Macquarie expected.

Macro conditions remain challenging into the second half while operating costs continue to grow.

While cautious on earnings, Macquarie notes there is no share price premium in the stock and capital management is also likely to provide support.

Neutral rating maintained. Target reduced to $12.20 from $12.65.

Target price is $12.20 Current Price is $11.40 Difference: $0.8
If CWN meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 7% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $12.32, suggesting upside of 8.0% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 60.00 cents and EPS of 55.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.26%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 20.73.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 56.5, implying annual growth of -30.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 60.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 20.2.

Forecast for FY20:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 60.00 cents and EPS of 60.30 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.26%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 18.91.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 61.5, implying annual growth of 8.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 60.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 18.5.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Morgan Stanley rates CWN as Equal-weight (3) -

First half results were softer than Morgan Stanley estimated and down -6% versus the prior corresponding half. The company provided no outlook as is usual.

The broker calculates, to meet consensus estimates for EBITDA in FY19 of $869m, Crown Resorts needs to deliver $450m in the second half, implying 4% growth.

Morgan Stanley retains an Equal-weight rating, Cautious industry view and $13.50 target.

Target price is $13.50 Current Price is $11.40 Difference: $2.1
If CWN meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately 18% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $12.32, suggesting upside of 8.0% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 60.00 cents and EPS of 63.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.26%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 18.10.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 56.5, implying annual growth of -30.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 60.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 20.2.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY20 EPS of 70.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 16.29.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 61.5, implying annual growth of 8.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 60.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 18.5.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Ord Minnett rates CWN as Hold (3) -

First half net profit was below Ord Minnett's forecasts on the back of weakness in the VIP business. The broker believes the Australian VIP market recovery has potentially stalled and the company has lost share to Star Entertainment ((SGR)).

The broker maintains a Hold rating and reduces the target to $12.00 from $13.45.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Target price is $12.00 Current Price is $11.40 Difference: $0.6
If CWN meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 5% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $12.32, suggesting upside of 8.0% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 60.00 cents and EPS of 51.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.26%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 22.35.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 56.5, implying annual growth of -30.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 60.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 20.2.

Forecast for FY20:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 60.00 cents and EPS of 56.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.26%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 20.36.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 61.5, implying annual growth of 8.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 60.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 18.5.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


UBS rates CWN as Neutral (3) -

Crown's result missed the broker by -5%, mainly due to wage increases in Melbourne. UBS expects elevated costs to retreat from FY20. The other negative element was a -55% decline in VIP earnings in the Dec Q but this was cycling a 70% increase in the previous Dec Q. The main floor showed improvement.

The broker expects earnings to remain flat until FY22 when Barangaroo opens, given fewer Chinese VIP visits and consumer weakness impacting the main floor. The share buyback and solid dividend yield will otherwise support valuation. Neutral retained. Target falls to $12.05 from $12.60.

Target price is $12.05 Current Price is $11.40 Difference: $0.65
If CWN meets the UBS target it will return approximately 6% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $12.32, suggesting upside of 8.0% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

UBS forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 60.00 cents and EPS of 56.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.26%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 20.36.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 56.5, implying annual growth of -30.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 60.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 20.2.

Forecast for FY20:

UBS forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 60.00 cents and EPS of 58.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.26%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 19.66.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 61.5, implying annual growth of 8.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 60.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 18.5.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

DMP  DOMINO'S PIZZA ENTERPRISES LIMITED

Food, Beverages & Tobacco

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Overnight Price: $44.41

Citi rates DMP as Neutral (3) -

Domino Pizza's first-half result met consensus but Citi notes foreign-exchange headwinds and believes the company will struggle to meet lowered guidance.

EPS forecasts fall -7% in FY19 and -6% in FY20, although the broker notes the medium-term outlook is more favourable.

Neutral rating retained and target price rises to $45.60 from $43.40 on a roll-forward valuation basis.

Target price is $45.60 Current Price is $44.41 Difference: $1.19
If DMP meets the Citi target it will return approximately 3% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $44.40, suggesting downside of -0.0% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Citi forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 115.50 cents and EPS of 164.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.60%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 26.96.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 165.3, implying annual growth of 18.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 120.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 26.9.

Forecast for FY20:

Citi forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 135.70 cents and EPS of 191.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.06%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 23.18.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 191.2, implying annual growth of 15.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 136.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 23.2.

Market Sentiment: -0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Credit Suisse rates DMP as Underperform (5) -

First half earnings were lower than the prior corresponding half. Guidance for store openings is downgraded -12%. Guidance for same-store sales and earnings (EBIT) are downgraded to the lower end of the current range for FY19.

Credit Suisse maintains an Underperform rating and reduces the target to $35.40 from $36.12.

Target price is $35.40 Current Price is $44.41 Difference: minus $9.01 (current price is over target).
If DMP meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately minus 20% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $44.40, suggesting downside of -0.0% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 127.00 cents and EPS of 171.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.86%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 25.97.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 165.3, implying annual growth of 18.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 120.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 26.9.

Forecast for FY20:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 138.00 cents and EPS of 197.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.11%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 22.54.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 191.2, implying annual growth of 15.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 136.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 23.2.

Market Sentiment: -0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Deutsche Bank rates DMP as Sell (5) -

Deutsche Bank analysts are worried. The operational margin (EBITDA/sales) has fallen, for the first time since 2009. The analysts surmise this could mark a new phase, whereby profits redistribution to franchisees becomes the dominant factor. Investors beware, is the underlying message.

Going straight to the core: Deutsche Bank believes Domino's Pizza is now a 10% organic growth business. The analysts do not believe the valuation is low enough to compensate for the risks. Sell rating retained. Target loses -$1 to $35.

Target price is $35.00 Current Price is $44.41 Difference: minus $9.41 (current price is over target).
If DMP meets the Deutsche Bank target it will return approximately minus 21% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $44.40, suggesting downside of -0.0% (ex-dividends)

Forecast for FY19:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 165.3, implying annual growth of 18.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 120.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 26.9.

Forecast for FY20:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 191.2, implying annual growth of 15.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 136.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 23.2.

Market Sentiment: -0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Macquarie rates DMP as Outperform (1) -

The business may no longer deliver the growth rates enjoyed in previous years but Macquarie suggests this does not mean a meaningful de-rating should occur.

The broker believes the current PE of 26x FY19 estimates provides valuation support for a business that should grow in excess of double digits per annum.

Outperform rating is maintained. Target is lowered to $51.40 from $54.00. FY19 and FY20 estimates are revised down -5.8% and -5.4%, respectively.

Target price is $51.40 Current Price is $44.41 Difference: $6.99
If DMP meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 16% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $44.40, suggesting downside of -0.0% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 116.30 cents and EPS of 167.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.62%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 26.48.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 165.3, implying annual growth of 18.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 120.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 26.9.

Forecast for FY20:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 135.90 cents and EPS of 196.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.06%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 22.66.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 191.2, implying annual growth of 15.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 136.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 23.2.

Market Sentiment: -0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Morgan Stanley rates DMP as Overweight (1) -

Morgan Stanley observes the company is moving to a lower growth phase as the Australasian business matures. Growth is increasingly driven by Europe and Japan.

First half network sales growth of 14.6% and EBITDA of 12.1% while strong, were soft based on historical standards, the broker acknowledges.

Morgan Stanley believes relative valuation is cheap. Overweight rating retained. Cautious industry view. Target is reduced to $50 from $65.

Target price is $50.00 Current Price is $44.41 Difference: $5.59
If DMP meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately 13% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $44.40, suggesting downside of -0.0% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 120.00 cents and EPS of 170.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.70%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 26.12.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 165.3, implying annual growth of 18.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 120.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 26.9.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 134.00 cents and EPS of 191.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.02%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 23.25.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 191.2, implying annual growth of 15.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 136.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 23.2.

Market Sentiment: -0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Morgans rates DMP as Hold (3) -

Domino Pizza's first-half result met consensus and the broker, higher margins eroding higher revenues. Management reiterated guidance.

EPS forecasts are downgraded -5%, -6% and -7% across FY19/FY20/FY21 to reflect the bottom end of guidance. The target price falls to $47.27 from $49.62.

Hold rating retained, broker believing the stock is fully priced.

Target price is $47.27 Current Price is $44.41 Difference: $2.86
If DMP meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 6% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $44.40, suggesting downside of -0.0% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 117.00 cents and EPS of 168.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.63%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 26.43.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 165.3, implying annual growth of 18.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 120.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 26.9.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 132.00 cents and EPS of 188.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.97%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 23.62.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 191.2, implying annual growth of 15.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 136.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 23.2.

Market Sentiment: -0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Ord Minnett rates DMP as Lighten (4) -

First half net profit was below Ord Minnett's forecasts. Operating risks appear more balanced, with strong growth from Japan, but growth in Australasia and Europe appear more difficult to achieve.

Ord Minnett maintains a Lighten rating and reduces the target to $42.00 from $42.50.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Target price is $42.00 Current Price is $44.41 Difference: minus $2.41 (current price is over target).
If DMP meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately minus 5% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $44.40, suggesting downside of -0.0% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 124.00 cents and EPS of 149.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.79%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 29.81.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 165.3, implying annual growth of 18.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 120.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 26.9.

Forecast for FY20:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 141.00 cents and EPS of 186.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.17%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 23.88.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 191.2, implying annual growth of 15.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 136.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 23.2.

Market Sentiment: -0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


UPDATED

UBS rates DMP as Neutral (3) -

Domino's Pizza's result missed the broker, again, featuring misses in all divisions. Outlook commentary was also disappointing. UBS has cut forecasts and suggests downside risk to the low end of guidance.

The question is as to whether the worst has now been seen. On this point the broker is not yet convinced, suggesting signs of improvement in the EU along with stabilisation in A&NZ and acquisitions are required before becoming more positive.

Target falls to $48.50 from $57.00, but at that price the broker sees valuation as reasonable hence Neutral retained.

Target price is $48.50 Current Price is $44.41 Difference: $4.09
If DMP meets the UBS target it will return approximately 9% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $44.40, suggesting downside of -0.0% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

UBS forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 121.00 cents and EPS of 167.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.72%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 26.59.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 165.3, implying annual growth of 18.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 120.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 26.9.

Forecast for FY20:

UBS forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 137.00 cents and EPS of 189.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.08%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 23.50.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 191.2, implying annual growth of 15.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 136.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 23.2.

Market Sentiment: -0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

DTL  DATA#3 LIMITED

IT & Support

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Overnight Price: $1.64

Morgans rates DTL as Upgrade to Add from Hold (1) -

Data#3's first-half result outpaced the broker by 4%, the dividend doubling off a low figure in the previous corresponding period.

Product outpaced Services and the company outstripped peers thanks to its diversified customer base.

On the downside, the gross profit margin fell below 13% for the first time in a decade due to weakness in Services. The Federal election could also create a drag in the second half.

EPS forecasts rise 3% in FY19 and 11% in FY20. Target price rises to $1.85 from $1.67 and rating upgraded to Add from Hold.

Target price is $1.85 Current Price is $1.64 Difference: $0.21
If DTL meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 13% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 9.00 cents and EPS of 11.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.49%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.91.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 10.00 cents and EPS of 12.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.10%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.67.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

EBO  EBOS GROUP LIMITED

Healthcare services

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Overnight Price: $21.20

Morgans rates EBO as Hold (3) -

Ebos Group's first half result met the broker and management guided to a stronger full-year as acquisitions and growth in animal care offset weakness from PBS reforms and in community pharmacy care.

Ebos has swtiched its accounting to A$ from NZ$. FY19 forecasts edge up to reflect guidance, FY20 forecast is steady and FY21 is upgraded to reflect expected margin improvement as efficiency gains flow through.

Target price rises to $20.43 from $18.60. Hold rating retained.

Target price is $20.43 Current Price is $21.20 Difference: minus $0.77 (current price is over target).
If EBO meets the Morgans target it will return approximately minus 4% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $20.43, suggesting downside of -3.6% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 65.00 cents and EPS of 92.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.07%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 23.04.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 93.0, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 65.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 22.8.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 67.00 cents and EPS of 100.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.16%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 21.20.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 104.5, implying annual growth of 12.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 72.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 20.3.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


UBS rates EBO as Neutral (3) -

Ebos posted a solid result, ahead of the broker, despite industry headwinds. Community pharmacy weighed on robust growth in other divisions, but given the magnitude of PBS, competitive and retail trading headwinds the broker is otherwise impressed.

Catalysts from here include competitor results, competitor mergers and Ebos' own acquisition pipeline.  Neutral and NZ$21.50 target retained.

Current Price is $21.20. Target price not assessed.

Current consensus price target is $20.43, suggesting downside of -3.6% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

UBS forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 66.00 cents and EPS of 94.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.11%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 22.55.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 93.0, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 65.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 22.8.

Forecast for FY20:

UBS forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 77.00 cents and EPS of 109.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.63%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 19.45.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 104.5, implying annual growth of 12.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 72.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 20.3.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

FBU  FLETCHER BUILDING LIMITED

Building Products & Services

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Overnight Price: $4.69

Citi rates FBU as Neutral (3) -

Fletcher Building's first half beat consensus, declaring its first dividend in 18 months and increasing FY19 guidance.

However, the stock faces industry headwinds, given the weakening residential market and increased competition.

Citi expects the company's balance sheet to be fully restored by the end of FY19 and the company signifies no interest in M&A or dividend management, suggesting the stock is feathering/cushioning the nest.

Neutral rating retained. Target price eases to NZ$5.30 from NZ$5.40.

Current Price is $4.69. Target price not assessed.

Current consensus price target is $4.81, suggesting upside of 2.6% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Citi forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 24.20 cents and EPS of 41.97 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.16%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 11.17.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 42.6, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 25.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 11.0.

Forecast for FY20:

Citi forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 29.78 cents and EPS of 40.39 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.35%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 11.61.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 41.3, implying annual growth of -3.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 27.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 11.4.

This company reports in NZD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Deutsche Bank rates FBU as Hold (3) -

It appears the interim performance was slightly better-than-expected, but Deutsche Bank analysts point at one-off impacts, and a weak organic growth picture.

Despite a lot of spending and attention, the Australian operations don't seem to find any traction, and margins in New Zealand are under pressure, point out the analysts.

Hold rating retained. Price target NZ$5.15.

Current Price is $4.69. Target price not assessed.

Current consensus price target is $4.81, suggesting upside of 2.6% (ex-dividends)

Forecast for FY19:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 42.6, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 25.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 11.0.

Forecast for FY20:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 41.3, implying annual growth of -3.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 27.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 11.4.

This company reports in NZD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Morgan Stanley rates FBU as Equal-weight (3) -

First half results were below Morgan Stanley's expectations. Conditions in key markets are at, or near, a peak and the broker believes the environment will become tougher.

The broker would prefer to revisit the stock when a cyclical downturn has played out more fully.

Equal-weight rating maintained. Target is raised to $4.81 from $4.72. Cautious industry view.

Target price is $4.81 Current Price is $4.69 Difference: $0.12
If FBU meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately 3% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $4.81, suggesting upside of 2.6% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 21.41 cents and EPS of 40.95 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.56%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 11.45.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 42.6, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 25.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 11.0.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 20.48 cents and EPS of 38.16 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.37%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 12.29.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 41.3, implying annual growth of -3.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 27.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 11.4.

This company reports in NZD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


UBS rates FBU as Neutral (3) -

The broker's take-out from Fletcher's result, which includes many different earnings numbers, is that the bear case is more obvious, that of cyclical headwinds and a history of sub-optimal capital allocation. The broker only retains Neutral because valuation is relatively low.

To be re-rated the company would need to reduce uncertainty around stranded costs, stabilise Australian earnings and demonstrate that poor capital allocation will not be repeated, the broker suggests. Target falls to NZ$5.15 from NZ$5.45.

Current Price is $4.69. Target price not assessed.

Current consensus price target is $4.81, suggesting upside of 2.6% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

UBS forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 27.92 cents and EPS of 40.86 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.95%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 11.48.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 42.6, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 25.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 11.0.

Forecast for FY20:

UBS forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 27.92 cents and EPS of 40.86 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.95%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 11.48.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 41.3, implying annual growth of -3.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 27.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 11.4.

This company reports in NZD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

FLT  FLIGHT CENTRE LIMITED

Travel, Leisure & Tourism

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Overnight Price: $44.30

Citi rates FLT as Neutral (3) -

Upon first read, it appears the H1 result barely scraped into the guidance range, missing Citi's expectations by some -3%. While offshore operations continue performing well, the analysts highlight a -29% decline in the Australian Leisure business.

Neutral rating retained as current margin projections for FY22 do not suggest the current share price looks overly cheap. In addition, Citi analysts point out management adjusting FY19 guidance to the bottom of the $390m-$420m guidance range, implies a -4% reduction in market consensus.

Target price is $51.00 Current Price is $44.30 Difference: $6.7
If FLT meets the Citi target it will return approximately 15% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $54.07, suggesting upside of 22.0% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Citi forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 173.20 cents and EPS of 288.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.91%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.35.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 291.3, implying annual growth of 11.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 175.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.2.

Forecast for FY20:

Citi forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 193.70 cents and EPS of 322.90 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.37%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.72.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 321.3, implying annual growth of 10.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 193.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.8.

Market Sentiment: 0.4

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


UPDATED

Macquarie rates FLT as Neutral (3) -

At first glance, the interim performance missed Macquarie by some -3%, although it was still at the lower end of the guidance range. Management has further guided towards the lower end of the range.

While the ordinary dividend was slightly lower than the 61c expected by Macquarie, there is a $1.49 special dividend to make up for it. The analysts observe Australian leisure business remains "weak".

Target price is $47.00 Current Price is $44.30 Difference: $2.7
If FLT meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 6% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $54.07, suggesting upside of 22.0% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 171.90 cents and EPS of 285.20 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.88%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.53.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 291.3, implying annual growth of 11.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 175.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.2.

Forecast for FY20:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 184.00 cents and EPS of 305.20 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.15%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.52.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 321.3, implying annual growth of 10.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 193.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.8.

Market Sentiment: 0.4

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

FMG  FORTESCUE METALS GROUP LTD

Iron Ore

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Overnight Price: $6.41

Citi rates FMG as Neutral (3) -

Fortescue Metals' first-half result outpaced consensus and the broker, thanks to an FX windfall and capitalisation of mining costs.

Management announced a special 11c dividend on top of an interim dividend of 19c. FY19 guidance remains unchanged.

Citi upgrades FY19 and FY20 EPS forecasts 6% and 2% (the latter reflecting the balance of the buyback program).

Target price rises to $6.40 from $6.20. Neutral rating retained, the share price outpacing the target price.

Target price is $6.40 Current Price is $6.41 Difference: minus $0.01 (current price is over target).
If FMG meets the Citi target it will return approximately minus 0% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $6.13, suggesting downside of -4.4% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Citi forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 89.59 cents and EPS of 99.36 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 13.98%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 6.45.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 74.7, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 55.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 8.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 8.6.

Forecast for FY20:

Citi forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 52.94 cents and EPS of 92.17 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 8.26%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 6.95.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 65.8, implying annual growth of -11.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 47.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 7.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 9.7.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: -0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Credit Suisse rates FMG as Downgrade to Neutral from Outperform (3) -

Underlying operating earnings (EBITDA) were 8% ahead of Credit Suisse expectations, supported by lower shipping costs and lower operating expenditure.

The stock has rallied 60% so far in 2019 and moved well ahead of the broker's valuation. Hence the rating is downgraded to Neutral from Outperform.

Credit Suisse now assesses the valuation and investment case is too stretched for fresh money. Target is raised to $6.00 from $5.10.

Target price is $6.00 Current Price is $6.41 Difference: minus $0.41 (current price is over target).
If FMG meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately minus 6% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $6.13, suggesting downside of -4.4% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 50.56 cents and EPS of 57.69 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 7.89%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 11.11.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 74.7, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 55.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 8.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 8.6.

Forecast for FY20:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 31.42 cents and EPS of 48.35 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.90%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.26.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 65.8, implying annual growth of -11.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 47.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 7.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 9.7.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: -0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Deutsche Bank rates FMG as Sell (5) -

Deutsche Bank has retained its Sell rating post what the analysts acknowledge was a better-than-expected performance in H1. A larger than anticipated dividend marks a 104% payout ratio for the period, note the analysts.

It is their suspicion elevated iron ore prices will prove but a temporary phenomenon. Also, the resulting tsunami in cash flows will, on their expectation, largely flow into the pockets of shareholders. Target jumps to $4.90.

Target price is $4.90 Current Price is $6.41 Difference: minus $1.51 (current price is over target).
If FMG meets the Deutsche Bank target it will return approximately minus 24% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $6.13, suggesting downside of -4.4% (ex-dividends)

Forecast for FY19:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 74.7, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 55.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 8.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 8.6.

Forecast for FY20:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 65.8, implying annual growth of -11.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 47.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 7.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 9.7.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: -0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Macquarie rates FMG as Outperform (1) -

First half earnings reflected a material increase in dividends and Macquarie believes this is a sign shareholders should expect higher cash returns going forward. Estimates for the dividend pay-out ratio are increased accordingly.

At spot prices the company's free cash flow yield rises over 20% from FY20 onward. Macquarie maintains an Outperform rating and lifts the target to $7.60 from $7.50.

Target price is $7.60 Current Price is $6.41 Difference: $1.19
If FMG meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 19% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $6.13, suggesting downside of -4.4% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 56.80 cents and EPS of 71.30 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 8.86%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 8.99.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 74.7, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 55.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 8.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 8.6.

Forecast for FY20:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 54.40 cents and EPS of 68.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 8.49%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 9.43.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 65.8, implying annual growth of -11.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 47.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 7.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 9.7.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: -0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Morgan Stanley rates FMG as Equal-weight (3) -

Operating earnings were better than Morgan Stanley expected in the first half. The company also surprised with a fully franked dividend of $0.30 a share, including an $0.11 special.

Price realisation continues to improve as well. Equal-weight maintained. Target is $6.30. Industry view is Attractive.

Target price is $6.30 Current Price is $6.41 Difference: minus $0.11 (current price is over target).
If FMG meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately minus 2% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $6.13, suggesting downside of -4.4% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 32.58 cents and EPS of 48.87 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.08%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.12.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 74.7, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 55.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 8.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 8.6.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 20.36 cents and EPS of 31.22 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.18%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 20.53.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 65.8, implying annual growth of -11.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 47.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 7.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 9.7.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: -0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Morgans rates FMG as Reduce (5) -

Fortescue Metals' first-half result outpaced the broker, higher earnings resulting in a higher dividend of 19c, in addition to the special dividend of 11c. Morgans expects the company will post a strong second half thanks to cyclical strength in the iron-ore price.

The broker notes stable net debt and while the metrics are good, it believes iron-ore price strength has been priced in and maintains a Reduce recommendation.

Target price inches up to $5.50 from $5.45.

Target price is $5.50 Current Price is $6.41 Difference: minus $0.91 (current price is over target).
If FMG meets the Morgans target it will return approximately minus 14% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $6.13, suggesting downside of -4.4% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 57.01 cents and EPS of 59.73 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 8.89%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 10.73.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 74.7, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 55.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 8.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 8.6.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 23.08 cents and EPS of 47.51 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.60%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.49.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 65.8, implying annual growth of -11.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 47.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 7.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 9.7.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: -0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Ord Minnett rates FMG as Hold (3) -

First half earnings were ahead of Ord Minnett's forecasts. The company has enjoyed a significant rally over the past year, Ord Minnett observes and is now in an upgrade cycle.

However, the broker senses a reluctance from local investors to chase the share price higher.

Additionally, while cash flow is likely to be elevated for the near term, the current market environment is considered unsustainable as marginal supply is likely to respond.

Hold rating maintained. Target rises to $6.70 from $6.00.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Target price is $6.70 Current Price is $6.41 Difference: $0.29
If FMG meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 5% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $6.13, suggesting downside of -4.4% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 62.44 cents and EPS of 89.59 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 9.74%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 7.15.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 74.7, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 55.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 8.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 8.6.

Forecast for FY20:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 48.87 cents and EPS of 86.87 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 7.62%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 7.38.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 65.8, implying annual growth of -11.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 47.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 7.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 9.7.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: -0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


UBS rates FMG as Sell (5) -

Fortescue's result beat the broker by 19%. The broker had forecast a dividend of 9c but 30c was delivered, including an 11c special, as the company accelerates the return of franking credits to shareholders. The question remains as to whether the buyback will continue post a big rally in the share price, as management said it will depend on whether they see value.

The stock has rallied 60% in 2019, 39% of which came after the Vale disaster. Current iron ore prices won't last forever which is why the broker moved to Sell after the quarterly production report release. Target now rises to $5.60 from $5.45.

Target price is $5.60 Current Price is $6.41 Difference: minus $0.81 (current price is over target).
If FMG meets the UBS target it will return approximately minus 13% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $6.13, suggesting downside of -4.4% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

UBS forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 52.94 cents and EPS of 81.44 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 8.26%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 7.87.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 74.7, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 55.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 8.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 8.6.

Forecast for FY20:

UBS forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 39.37 cents and EPS of 78.73 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.14%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 8.14.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 65.8, implying annual growth of -11.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 47.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 7.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 9.7.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: -0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

ILU  ILUKA RESOURCES LIMITED

Mineral Sands

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Overnight Price: $9.44

UPDATED

Macquarie rates ILU as Outperform (1) -

Iluka's 2018 performance, upon first read, seems to have missed expectations at Macquarie by some -4-5%. Cash flow was solid and is accompanied by a higher dividend, the analysts note.

Guidance for the year ahead is also below what Macquarie had penciled in. It appears the analysts expect upside risk to rutile price assumptions. Company is now officially under review.

Target price is $9.10 Current Price is $9.44 Difference: minus $0.34 (current price is over target).
If ILU meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately minus 4% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $10.91, suggesting upside of 15.6% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY18:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 25.00 cents and EPS of 74.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.65%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 12.64.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 73.4, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 21.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.9.

Forecast for FY19:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 30.00 cents and EPS of 104.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.18%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 9.02.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 100.5, implying annual growth of 36.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 28.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 9.4.

Market Sentiment: 0.9

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Ord Minnett rates ILU as Accumulate (2) -

Upon early read, Ord Minnett believes the 2018 result marks a slight "beat", carried by lower than expected marketing costs & inventory movement. The 19c dividend is below the broker (20c) but well above market consensus of 13c.

However, the key news coming out of today's update is a potential investment by the International Finance Corporation (IFC) into Sierra Rutile, highlights the broker, with current discussions suggesting an equity stake of up to 10% for US$60m.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Target price is $9.50 Current Price is $9.44 Difference: $0.06
If ILU meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 1% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $10.91, suggesting upside of 15.6% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY18:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 30.00 cents and EPS of 67.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.18%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.09.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 73.4, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 21.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.9.

Forecast for FY19:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 37.00 cents and EPS of 86.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.92%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 10.98.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 100.5, implying annual growth of 36.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 28.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 9.4.

Market Sentiment: 0.9

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

LOV  LOVISA HOLDINGS LIMITED

Luxury

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Overnight Price: $9.77

Citi rates LOV as Buy (1) -

Lovisa's first-half result met consensus and the broker is anticipating the US and France rollout of 342 stores - which the broker estimates would imply a target price of $13.32.

On the downside, sales growth is under pressure, foreign-exchange headwinds are growing and costs from the rollout will continue to rise. Net profit forecasts fall -3% to -6%.

Target price is steady at $10.75. Buy rating retained.

Target price is $10.75 Current Price is $9.77 Difference: $0.98
If LOV meets the Citi target it will return approximately 10% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $10.33, suggesting upside of 5.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Citi forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 30.00 cents and EPS of 33.20 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.07%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 29.43.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 34.4, implying annual growth of 0.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 31.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 28.4.

Forecast for FY20:

Citi forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 36.00 cents and EPS of 40.50 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.68%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 24.12.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 40.5, implying annual growth of 17.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 34.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 24.1.

Market Sentiment: 0.8

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Macquarie rates LOV as Outperform (1) -

First half results were better than expected. Macquarie is pleased the roll-out of stores in the US has materialised as a catalyst, providing highly visible medium to longer term growth for the business.

The broker reiterates an Outperform rating and raises the target to $11.00 from $10.50.

Target price is $11.00 Current Price is $9.77 Difference: $1.23
If LOV meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 13% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $10.33, suggesting upside of 5.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 33.50 cents and EPS of 35.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.43%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 27.44.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 34.4, implying annual growth of 0.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 31.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 28.4.

Forecast for FY20:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 38.70 cents and EPS of 42.90 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.96%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 22.77.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 40.5, implying annual growth of 17.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 34.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 24.1.

Market Sentiment: 0.8

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Morgan Stanley rates LOV as Equal-weight (3) -

Morgan Stanley envisages improving comparables growth will be partially offset by lower gross margins and higher costs.

The company requires significant execution on its roll-out strategy in order to justify the valuation, in the broker's view.

Nevertheless, the speed of the roll-out has surprised to the upside  although the company is yet to provide long-term targets.

Equal-weight. Target is raised to $9.00 from $8.40. Industry view is In-Line.

Target price is $9.00 Current Price is $9.77 Difference: minus $0.77 (current price is over target).
If LOV meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately minus 8% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $10.33, suggesting upside of 5.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 29.00 cents and EPS of 34.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.97%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 28.16.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 34.4, implying annual growth of 0.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 31.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 28.4.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 30.00 cents and EPS of 38.50 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.07%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 25.38.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 40.5, implying annual growth of 17.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 34.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 24.1.

Market Sentiment: 0.8

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Morgans rates LOV as Add (1) -

Lovisa's first-half result met consensus, strong cash generation supporting a higher interim dividend.

The company plans to fully roll out in US and France to create a strong platform for long-term growth and margin upside, which will come at a cost.

Morgans expects operating deleverage to hasten in the second half and continue into FY20 and adjusts earnings-per-share forecasts -5.5%, -5.5% and +1% across FY19-21.

Target price rises to $10.57 from $7.94. Add rating retained, reflecting the growth profile.

Target price is $10.57 Current Price is $9.77 Difference: $0.8
If LOV meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 8% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $10.33, suggesting upside of 5.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 32.00 cents and EPS of 34.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.28%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 28.74.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 34.4, implying annual growth of 0.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 31.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 28.4.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 34.00 cents and EPS of 40.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.48%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 24.42.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 40.5, implying annual growth of 17.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 34.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 24.1.

Market Sentiment: 0.8

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

MAI  MAINSTREAM GROUP HOLDINGS LTS

Diversified Financials

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Overnight Price: $0.55

UPDATED

Morgans rates MAI as Add (1) -

The interim report proved a "miss" in the order of -8% and a decline in operational margin is to blame, according to Morgans. An accelerated amortisation schedule post the Combined Super contract loss meant the net profit result came out well below expectations.

The positive take-away, suggest the analysts, is management reiterated guidance for revenues and EBITDA for FY19. Estimates have been reduced, but the broker remains "encouraged" and optimistic. Price target drops to 81c from 84c. Add.

Target price is $0.81 Current Price is $0.55 Difference: $0.26
If MAI meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 47% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 1.70 cents and EPS of 1.50 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.09%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 36.67.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 2.50 cents and EPS of 3.40 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.55%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 16.18.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

MMS  MCMILLAN SHAKESPEARE LIMITED

Vehicle Leasing & Salary Packaging

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Overnight Price: $12.30

Citi rates MMS as Buy (1) -

McMillan Shakespeare's first-half result missed the broker but Citi sees the recent share price retreat as an opportunity. No guidance was provided.

Citi notes the stock is trading above budget, yields have been maintained, novated leasing volumes are robust, it has plenty of options and management is confident of extending existing contracts.

Target price falls to $16.82 from $17.57. Buy rating retained.

Target price is $16.82 Current Price is $12.30 Difference: $4.52
If MMS meets the Citi target it will return approximately 37% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $15.12, suggesting upside of 22.9% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Citi forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 73.50 cents and EPS of 111.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.98%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 11.01.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 109.0, implying annual growth of 79.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 71.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 11.3.

Forecast for FY20:

Citi forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 79.00 cents and EPS of 124.40 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.42%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 9.89.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 120.0, implying annual growth of 10.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 77.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 10.3.

Market Sentiment: 0.8

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Credit Suisse rates MMS as Outperform (1) -

First half results missed Credit Suisse estimates, mainly because of the contribution from small lower-quality business, which should be made up by a stronger second half.

The broker is wary of consumer/car trends which contribute to some operating challenges. However the novated lease business appears to be outperforming the market.

Should the EclipX ((ECX)) merger proceed, material synergy benefits are considered likely. Outperform rating maintained. Target is reduced to $14.45 from $17.65.

Target price is $14.45 Current Price is $12.30 Difference: $2.15
If MMS meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately 17% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $15.12, suggesting upside of 22.9% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 74.59 cents and EPS of 111.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.06%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 11.08.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 109.0, implying annual growth of 79.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 71.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 11.3.

Forecast for FY20:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 82.36 cents and EPS of 123.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.70%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 10.00.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 120.0, implying annual growth of 10.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 77.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 10.3.

Market Sentiment: 0.8

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Macquarie rates MMS as Outperform (1) -

First half results missed Macquarie's estimates. The broker is disappointed as costs have expanded in a tough operating environment. Uncertainty over the EclipX ((ECX)) bid is ongoing.

Macquarie maintains an Outperform rating and reduces the target to $14.21 from $17.41. Estimates for earnings per share are reduced by -14% for FY19 and -18% for FY20.

Target price is $14.21 Current Price is $12.30 Difference: $1.91
If MMS meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 16% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $15.12, suggesting upside of 22.9% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 69.00 cents and EPS of 105.30 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.61%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 11.68.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 109.0, implying annual growth of 79.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 71.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 11.3.

Forecast for FY20:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 75.60 cents and EPS of 116.30 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.15%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 10.58.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 120.0, implying annual growth of 10.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 77.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 10.3.

Market Sentiment: 0.8

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Morgan Stanley rates MMS as Overweight (1) -

First half earnings were below Morgan Stanley's expectations. Operating performance was stronger than expected.

The broker believes the stock is capturing the earnings risks and the overhang from the uncertainty over the EclipX ((ECX)) merger.

Overweight. Target is reduced to $16.60 from $17.25. In-Line sector view.

Target price is $16.60 Current Price is $12.30 Difference: $4.3
If MMS meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately 35% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $15.12, suggesting upside of 22.9% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 68.20 cents and EPS of 105.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.54%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 11.71.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 109.0, implying annual growth of 79.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 71.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 11.3.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 76.00 cents and EPS of 117.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.18%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 10.51.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 120.0, implying annual growth of 10.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 77.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 10.3.

Market Sentiment: 0.8

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


UPDATED

Ord Minnett rates MMS as Hold (3) -

First half results disappointed Ord Minnett. The EclipX ((ECX)) transaction is still providing mixed messages about the strength of McMillan Shakespeare's underlying business, the broker asserts, and the result did little to mitigate concerns.

Ord Minnett reduces FY19 and FY20 net profit forecasts by -7% and -11%, respectively. Hold maintained. Target is reduced to $13.50 from $16.00.

Target price is $13.50 Current Price is $12.30 Difference: $1.2
If MMS meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 10% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $15.12, suggesting upside of 22.9% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 72.00 cents and EPS of 112.20 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.85%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 10.96.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 109.0, implying annual growth of 79.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 71.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 11.3.

Forecast for FY20:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 76.00 cents and EPS of 119.40 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.18%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 10.30.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 120.0, implying annual growth of 10.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 77.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 10.3.

Market Sentiment: 0.8

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

MOE  MOELIS AUSTRALIA LIMITED

Wealth Management & Investments

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Overnight Price: $5.12

Ord Minnett rates MOE as Upgrade to Buy from Accumulate (1) -

2018 operating earnings (EBITDA) were ahead of Ord Minnett estimates. Asset management underpins the strong performance, with total segment revenue up 95%.

The broker believes corporate advisory is largely a distraction to the base business. The broker upgrades to Buy from Accumulate and reduces the target to $6.63 from $6.67.

Target price is $6.63 Current Price is $5.12 Difference: $1.51
If MOE meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 29% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY19:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 7.50 cents and EPS of 20.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.46%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 25.60.

Forecast for FY20:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 9.90 cents and EPS of 26.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.93%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 19.25.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

NEA  NEARMAP LTD

Software & Services

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Overnight Price: $2.44

Morgan Stanley rates NEA as Overweight (1) -

The company posted strong sales and cash flow discipline in the first half. Break even has been reiterated for the BAU operations.

Given improved churn and sustained sales productivity, Morgan Stanley suspects the company is on track for upside to near-term estimates.

Overweight. Industry view is In-Line. Price target is $2.25.

Target price is $2.25 Current Price is $2.44 Difference: minus $0.19 (current price is over target).
If NEA meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately minus 8% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 1.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 244.00.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 1.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 244.00.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

NEC  NINE ENTERTAINMENT CO. HOLDINGS LIMITED

Print, Radio & TV

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Overnight Price: $1.57

UPDATED

Macquarie rates NEC as Outperform (1) -

Given Nine Entertainment now also includes Fairfax Media, there is a lot of pro formas going on in Macquarie's early assessment of the interim financials. It appears the performance is a bit below expectations.

The analysts are willing to use the phrase "broadly in line". Because of a positive outlook, Outperform rating retained.

Target price is $1.95 Current Price is $1.57 Difference: $0.38
If NEC meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 24% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $1.98, suggesting upside of 26.1% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 12.80 cents and EPS of 18.20 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 8.15%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 8.63.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 16.2, implying annual growth of -32.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 10.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 9.7.

Forecast for FY20:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 14.60 cents and EPS of 16.90 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 9.30%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 9.29.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 15.8, implying annual growth of -2.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 10.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 9.9.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

NWH  NRW HOLDINGS LIMITED

Mining Sector Contracting

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Overnight Price: $2.23

UPDATED

Deutsche Bank rates NWH as Hold (3) -

Deutsche Bank saw an interim earnings "beat", driven driven by both revenue and margin. The view is this is a "very good" result.

The analysts continue to see the company as well placed to capitalise on further iron ore work. Target $2.31 (up from $2.20). Hold.

Target price is $2.31 Current Price is $2.23 Difference: $0.08
If NWH meets the Deutsche Bank target it will return approximately 4% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $2.37, suggesting upside of 6.3% (ex-dividends)

Forecast for FY19:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 16.4, implying annual growth of 41.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 5.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.6.

Forecast for FY20:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 17.6, implying annual growth of 7.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 5.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.7.

Market Sentiment: 0.7

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


UBS rates NWH as Buy (1) -

NRW posted a strong result, 10% ahead of guidance. The first half was a sweet spot in margin terms and UBS expects a dip in the second. The broker has upgraded its expected win-rate across visible iron ore projects and upgraded forecasts based on solid civil mining margins which, if they can be maintained, suggest further upside.

Buy retained, target rises to $2.55 from $2.35.

Target price is $2.55 Current Price is $2.23 Difference: $0.32
If NWH meets the UBS target it will return approximately 14% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $2.37, suggesting upside of 6.3% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

UBS forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 4.00 cents and EPS of 16.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.79%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.94.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 16.4, implying annual growth of 41.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 5.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.6.

Forecast for FY20:

UBS forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 4.00 cents and EPS of 17.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.79%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.12.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 17.6, implying annual growth of 7.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 5.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.7.

Market Sentiment: 0.7

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

OGC  OCEANAGOLD CORPORATION

Gold & Silver

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Overnight Price: $4.71

Deutsche Bank rates OGC as Hold (3) -

It appears reported financials were largely in line. Deutsche Bank analysts have made minor adjustments. Price target improves to $4.70 from $4.50. Hold rating retained.

Target price is $4.70 Current Price is $4.71 Difference: minus $0.01 (current price is over target).
If OGC meets the Deutsche Bank target it will return approximately minus 0% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $4.90, suggesting upside of 4.0% (ex-dividends)

Forecast for FY19:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 23.3, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 5.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 20.2.

Forecast for FY20:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 33.2, implying annual growth of 42.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 6.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.2.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Macquarie rates OGC as Neutral (3) -

Fourth quarter earnings missed Macquarie's estimates. Haile remains in the spotlight following a challenging quarter, and the broker plans to take a closer look into the operation at a site visit on March 1.

The company is looking to the Greater Basin in the US to fill its development pipeline. Neutral. Target is $5.00.

Target price is $5.00 Current Price is $4.71 Difference: $0.29
If OGC meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 6% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $4.90, suggesting upside of 4.0% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY19:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 10.86 cents and EPS of 21.72 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.31%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 21.69.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 23.3, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 5.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 20.2.

Forecast for FY20:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 10.86 cents and EPS of 51.58 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.31%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 9.13.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 33.2, implying annual growth of 42.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 6.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.2.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


UBS rates OGC as Neutral (3) -

OceanaGold's result fell short of the broker, mostly on corporate costs and exploration write-offs. Free cash flow was nevertheless better than expected.

It's a year of transition for the miner, UBS notes, with Waihi production and earnings expected to recover and Haile starting to bounce back after wet weather with new milling capacity set to be installed. Permitting is then key for new mining areas to be opened up.

Neutral retained, target rises to $4.75 from $4.60.

Target price is $4.75 Current Price is $4.71 Difference: $0.04
If OGC meets the UBS target it will return approximately 1% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $4.90, suggesting upside of 4.0% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY19:

UBS forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 2.72 cents and EPS of 14.93 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.58%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 31.55.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 23.3, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 5.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 20.2.

Forecast for FY20:

UBS forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 5.41 cents and EPS of 16.22 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.15%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 29.04.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 33.2, implying annual growth of 42.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 6.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.2.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

ORG  ORIGIN ENERGY LIMITED

NatGas

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Overnight Price: $7.66

Macquarie rates ORG as Outperform (1) -

Upon initial assessment, Macquarie believes the 2018 report was slightly better-than-expected. The analysts note management left guidance unchanged and the share price continues to offer leverage to the price of oil. Otherwise, similar dynamics as for AGL Energy ((AGL)) apply.

Target price is $8.53 Current Price is $7.66 Difference: $0.87
If ORG meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 11% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $8.25, suggesting upside of 7.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 20.00 cents and EPS of 61.50 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.61%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 12.46.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 58.2, implying annual growth of 266.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 21.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.2.

Forecast for FY20:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 46.00 cents and EPS of 67.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.01%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 11.31.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 64.3, implying annual growth of 10.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 38.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 11.9.

Market Sentiment: 0.8

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

PGH  PACT GROUP HOLDINGS LTD

Paper & Packaging

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Overnight Price: $2.63

UPDATED

Deutsche Bank rates PGH as Buy (1) -

The interim report marked yet another miss to Deutsche Bank's expectations, accompanied by another profit warning. Management has now scrapped the dividend and flagged increased capex requirement (to serve fresh customer Aldi, among other items).

Deutsche Bank analysts suspect Pact Group is cum capital raising. On their calculations, the company could raise circa $100m in equity to reduce net leverage from 3x to 2.5x. Despite all of the above, the analysts continue to see "value" at the present share price. Buy. Target $4.25 (down from $5).

Target price is $4.25 Current Price is $2.63 Difference: $1.62
If PGH meets the Deutsche Bank target it will return approximately 62% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $3.24, suggesting upside of 23.0% (ex-dividends)

Forecast for FY19:

Current consensus EPS estimate is -8.4, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 4.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is N/A.

Forecast for FY20:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 24.9, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 6.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 10.6.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Macquarie rates PGH as Underperform (5) -

First half net profit was below Macquarie's forecasts. The company is reviewing its capital options. No interim dividend was provided and the broker assumes no final dividend.

The company may explore equity, asset sales or hybrid debt/equity options. Ongoing concerns about the balance-sheet are likely to mean the shares trade at a discount, the broker suggests, despite the stock looking cheap on a fundamental basis.

Underperform maintained. Target is reduced to $2.66 from $3.40.

Target price is $2.66 Current Price is $2.63 Difference: $0.03
If PGH meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 1% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $3.24, suggesting upside of 23.0% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 21.40 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 12.29.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is -8.4, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 4.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is N/A.

Forecast for FY20:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 6.50 cents and EPS of 26.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.47%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 10.12.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 24.9, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 6.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 10.6.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Morgans rates PGH as Upgrade to Hold from Reduce (3) -

Pact Group's first-half result met the broker and last week's trading update. The company has won an RPC pooling contract to serve ALDI growers, but the balance sheet was stretched (gearing increased to 3.3x and interest cover fell to 6.5x) and no dividend was forthcoming.

The company is backing off acquisitions and will be consolidating and rationalising.

Target price falls to $2.62 from $3.01. Morgans upgrades to Hold from Reduce to reflect the recent share price retreat and the price-earnings multiple of 10.8x and an expected 2% rise in total shareholder return.

Target price is $2.62 Current Price is $2.63 Difference: minus $0.01 (current price is over target).
If PGH meets the Morgans target it will return approximately minus 0% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $3.24, suggesting upside of 23.0% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 24.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 10.96.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is -8.4, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 4.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is N/A.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 27.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 9.74.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 24.9, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 6.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 10.6.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


UPDATED

Ord Minnett rates PGH as Hold (3) -

First half guidance was achieved and the outlook for FY19 is reiterated. The company also announced a new long-term crate pooling contract with Aldi.

Unfortunately, Ord Minnett notes stress on the balance sheet has led the company to suspend dividend payments. The broker maintains a Hold rating and cuts the target to $2.80 from $3.60.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Target price is $2.80 Current Price is $2.63 Difference: $0.17
If PGH meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 6% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $3.24, suggesting upside of 23.0% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 103.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 2.55.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is -8.4, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 4.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is N/A.

Forecast for FY20:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 21.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 12.52.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 24.9, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 6.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 10.6.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

QAN  QANTAS AIRWAYS LIMITED

Transportation & Logistics

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Overnight Price: $5.77

Macquarie rates QAN as No Rating (-1) -

Upon first read, it appears Qantas' H1 performance proved slightly better than anticipated, with the return of the share buyback and a higher than expected dividend of 12c (versus 10c expected).

Macquarie is restricted and notes the absence of any formal guidance.

Current Price is $5.77. Target price not assessed.

Current consensus price target is $6.31, suggesting upside of 9.3% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 20.00 cents and EPS of 59.40 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.47%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 9.71.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 61.1, implying annual growth of 9.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 20.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 9.4.

Forecast for FY20:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 30.00 cents and EPS of 66.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.20%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 8.66.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 63.6, implying annual growth of 4.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 25.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 9.1.

Market Sentiment: 0.2

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


UPDATED

Ord Minnett rates QAN as Sell (5) -

Ord Minnett found the H1 result disappointing from Qantas, missing estimates by -7%. Further clouding the outlook, the analysts suggest, is that capex will have to be higher, at some stage.

The broker suggests the current share price doesn’t capture the operating risks surrounding the airline.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Target price is $4.95 Current Price is $5.77 Difference: minus $0.82 (current price is over target).
If QAN meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately minus 14% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $6.31, suggesting upside of 9.3% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 20.00 cents and EPS of 58.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.47%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 9.95.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 61.1, implying annual growth of 9.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 20.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 9.4.

Forecast for FY20:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 19.00 cents and EPS of 56.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.29%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 10.30.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 63.6, implying annual growth of 4.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 25.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 9.1.

Market Sentiment: 0.2

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

RDC  REDCAPE HOTEL GROUP

Travel, Leisure & Tourism

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Overnight Price: $1.04

Ord Minnett rates RDC as Buy (1) -

First half operating earnings (EBITDA) were ahead of Ord Minnett forecasts. Revenue growth was 17.5%, predominantly from the presence of new assets.

With venue improvements ongoing and earnings on track, the broker expects the discount to net tangible assets to reverse in the short term. Buy rating and $1.18 target.

Target price is $1.18 Current Price is $1.04 Difference: $0.14
If RDC meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 13% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 7.70 cents and EPS of 5.50 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 7.40%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 18.91.

Forecast for FY20:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 8.70 cents and EPS of 7.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 8.37%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.51.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

RIC  RIDLEY CORPORATION LIMITED

Agriculture

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Overnight Price: $1.37

Credit Suisse rates RIC as Neutral (3) -

First half earnings (EBITDA) were below Credit Suisse forecasts, largely because of lower property earnings. Agribusiness has been affected by the residual Maroota rendering impact and the loss of Inghams ((ING)) poultry volumes.

The broker makes minor earnings revisions, lowering estimates for FY19 by -6% and raising estimates for FY20-21 by 1%.

Neutral rating and $1.35 target maintained.

Target price is $1.35 Current Price is $1.37 Difference: minus $0.02 (current price is over target).
If RIC meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately minus 1% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 4.02 cents and EPS of 8.57 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.93%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.99.

Forecast for FY20:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 4.38 cents and EPS of 7.89 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.20%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 17.36.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

RRL  REGIS RESOURCES LIMITED

Gold & Silver

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Overnight Price: $5.53

Credit Suisse rates RRL as Underperform (5) -

First half net profit was below Credit Suisse estimates. This stemmed from any cost adjustment on an accounting policy change, and a slight difference in corporate costs.

There is no change to guidance or update on the operating outlook. The broker maintains an Underperform rating and $4.45 target.

Target price is $4.45 Current Price is $5.53 Difference: minus $1.08 (current price is over target).
If RRL meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately minus 20% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $4.72, suggesting downside of -14.6% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 15.52 cents and EPS of 31.12 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.81%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 17.77.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 31.5, implying annual growth of -9.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 15.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 17.6.

Forecast for FY20:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 19.30 cents and EPS of 38.59 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.49%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.33.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 37.0, implying annual growth of 17.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 17.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.9.

Market Sentiment: -0.6

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


UPDATED

Deutsche Bank rates RRL as Downgrade to Sell from Hold (5) -

Interim performance missed Deutsche Bank's expectations, despite tail winds from an accounting adjustment. Target rises to $4.50 from $4.30 but with the share price trading well above this level, the rating is downgraded to Sell from Hold.

Target price is $4.50 Current Price is $5.53 Difference: minus $1.03 (current price is over target).
If RRL meets the Deutsche Bank target it will return approximately minus 19% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $4.72, suggesting downside of -14.6% (ex-dividends)

Forecast for FY19:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 31.5, implying annual growth of -9.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 15.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 17.6.

Forecast for FY20:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 37.0, implying annual growth of 17.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 17.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.9.

Market Sentiment: -0.6

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Macquarie rates RRL as Neutral (3) -

First half earnings were weaker than Macquarie expected. Progress at McPhillamys and Rosemont underground are the key growth catalysts.

While the result was soft, Macquarie points out Regis Resources is one of the most consistent performers in the sector and is expected to hit the top of its FY19 guidance.

Neutral rating maintained. Target is raised to $5.60 from $5.10.

Target price is $5.60 Current Price is $5.53 Difference: $0.07
If RRL meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 1% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $4.72, suggesting downside of -14.6% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 14.00 cents and EPS of 34.30 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.53%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 16.12.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 31.5, implying annual growth of -9.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 15.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 17.6.

Forecast for FY20:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 17.00 cents and EPS of 44.40 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.07%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 12.45.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 37.0, implying annual growth of 17.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 17.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.9.

Market Sentiment: -0.6

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


UPDATED

UBS rates RRL as Downgrade to Sell from Neutral (5) -

Regis Resources posted a small beat of UBS' forecast on lower costs. Net cash and bullion means the miner is well funded to develop Rosemont underground and McPhillamy's, although the broker suspects the McPhillamy's feasibility study will show an increase on previously assumed capex given mining cost inflation.

The stock has rallied hard on the rising A$ gold price but the broker now believes too far. The gold price may continue to rise but the broker sees better value in Evolution Mining ((EVN)) and Northern Star ((NST)). Downgrade to Sell from Neutral. Target unchanged at $5.00.

Target price is $5.00 Current Price is $5.53 Difference: minus $0.53 (current price is over target).
If RRL meets the UBS target it will return approximately minus 10% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $4.72, suggesting downside of -14.6% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

UBS forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 16.00 cents and EPS of 32.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.89%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 17.28.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 31.5, implying annual growth of -9.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 15.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 17.6.

Forecast for FY20:

UBS forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 18.00 cents and EPS of 36.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.25%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.36.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 37.0, implying annual growth of 17.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 17.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.9.

Market Sentiment: -0.6

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

SBM  ST BARBARA LIMITED

Gold & Silver

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Overnight Price: $4.82

Credit Suisse rates SBM as Underperform (5) -

First half earnings and dividends were in line with Credit Suisse forecasts. The broker considers the growth opportunities are well funded. M&A appears unlikely in the current environment, as gold equities are trading at a material premium to net asset value.

FY19 guidance is unchanged. Underperform rating and $3.90 target maintained.

Target price is $3.90 Current Price is $4.82 Difference: minus $0.92 (current price is over target).
If SBM meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately minus 19% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $4.56, suggesting downside of -5.4% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 12.00 cents and EPS of 31.64 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.49%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.23.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 35.3, implying annual growth of -20.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 11.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.7.

Forecast for FY20:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 11.32 cents and EPS of 28.30 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.35%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 17.03.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 35.6, implying annual growth of 0.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 12.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.5.

Market Sentiment: -0.2

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


UPDATED

Deutsche Bank rates SBM as Hold (3) -

Turns out, the interim report was decisively weaker than what Deutsche Bank was expecting. Several items seem to be responsible. Cash flow came out in-line.

Updating the modeling has resulted in a slightly higher Net Present Value (NPV); to $4.80 from $4.50. Hold rating retained.

Target price is $4.80 Current Price is $4.82 Difference: minus $0.02 (current price is over target).
If SBM meets the Deutsche Bank target it will return approximately minus 0% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $4.56, suggesting downside of -5.4% (ex-dividends)

Forecast for FY19:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 35.3, implying annual growth of -20.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 11.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.7.

Forecast for FY20:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 35.6, implying annual growth of 0.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 12.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.5.

Market Sentiment: -0.2

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Macquarie rates SBM as Neutral (3) -

First half results were in line with Macquarie's expectations. The balance sheet continues to strengthen and the broker believes the company is in a strong position to progress opportunities.

The extension project at Gwalia is on track. Neutral rating maintained. Target is raised to $5.20 from $4.80.

Target price is $5.20 Current Price is $4.82 Difference: $0.38
If SBM meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 8% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $4.56, suggesting downside of -5.4% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 9.00 cents and EPS of 33.20 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.87%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.52.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 35.3, implying annual growth of -20.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 11.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.7.

Forecast for FY20:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 15.00 cents and EPS of 40.40 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.11%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 11.93.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 35.6, implying annual growth of 0.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 12.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.5.

Market Sentiment: -0.2

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

SCG  SCENTRE GROUP

REITs

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Overnight Price: $3.84

Citi rates SCG as Sell (5) -

Scentre Group's full-year result fell shy of consensus but met guidance and the broker. However, Citi says the mix was weaker than it had forecast.

Citi downgrades forecasts to reflect higher development fees, lower floating rate, low occupancy rates and weak rental income and expects structural and cyclical pressures to continue.

Valuation-based target price falls to $3.54 from $3.66 to reflect softer property values and higher beta. Sell rating retained.

Target price is $3.54 Current Price is $3.84 Difference: minus $0.3 (current price is over target).
If SCG meets the Citi target it will return approximately minus 8% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $4.06, suggesting upside of 5.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY19:

Citi forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 22.60 cents and EPS of 25.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.89%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.94.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 25.4, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 22.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.1.

Forecast for FY20:

Citi forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 22.60 cents and EPS of 25.50 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.89%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.06.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 25.5, implying annual growth of 0.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 23.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.1.

Market Sentiment: 0.2

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


UPDATED

Deutsche Bank rates SCG as Hold (3) -

As it turned out, the 2018 performance proved in-line, but guidance for the year ahead is below expectations at Deutsche Bank. Management provided FY19 FFO guidance of 3% whereas Deutsche Bank had penciled in 4%.

Partially responsible for the below expectation guidance, the analysts explain, are downtime from Myer ((MYR)) vacating Belconnen and Hornsby, Target ((WES)) closing Hurstville in January and David Jones relocating to a single level at Carindale.

Hold rating retained on valuation. Target price has declined to $3.94 from $4.12.

Target price is $3.94 Current Price is $3.84 Difference: $0.1
If SCG meets the Deutsche Bank target it will return approximately 3% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $4.06, suggesting upside of 5.7% (ex-dividends)

Forecast for FY19:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 25.4, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 22.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.1.

Forecast for FY20:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 25.5, implying annual growth of 0.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 23.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.1.

Market Sentiment: 0.2

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Macquarie rates SCG as Neutral (3) -

2018 results were marginally below Macquarie's forecasts. Sluggish retail conditions persist and this combines with a balance sheet that warrants dilutive asset sales, in the broker's view.

Despite the reasonable yield, Macquarie observes conditions are slowing and gearing is heavy. Hence, the outlook for valuation is to the downside.

The broker retains a Neutral rating and reduces the target to $3.69 from $4.12.

Target price is $3.69 Current Price is $3.84 Difference: minus $0.15 (current price is over target).
If SCG meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately minus 4% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $4.06, suggesting upside of 5.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY19:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 22.60 cents and EPS of 24.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.89%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.61.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 25.4, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 22.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.1.

Forecast for FY20:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 23.30 cents and EPS of 25.30 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.07%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.18.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 25.5, implying annual growth of 0.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 23.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.1.

Market Sentiment: 0.2

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Ord Minnett rates SCG as Hold (3) -

2018 results were in line with Ord Minnett's estimates. The company has guided to growth of 3% in 2019, boosted by the completion of around $800m in developments.

The broker suspects the high level of retail assets on the market will likely soften capitalisation rates in 2019 and the company's portfolio will not be immune.

Hold rating maintained and the target is reduced to $4.30 from $4.50.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Target price is $4.30 Current Price is $3.84 Difference: $0.46
If SCG meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 12% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $4.06, suggesting upside of 5.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY19:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 23.00 cents and EPS of 25.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.99%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.36.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 25.4, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 22.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.1.

Forecast for FY20:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 23.00 cents and EPS of 25.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.99%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.36.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 25.5, implying annual growth of 0.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 23.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.1.

Market Sentiment: 0.2

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


UBS rates SCG as Buy (1) -

Scentre Group reported 4% funds form operations growth, in line with guidance. FY19 guidance of 3% FFO growth disappointed given the broker forecast 4%. Net tangible asset value was also flat.

Acknowledging a tougher environment, the broker cuts its target to $4.18 from $4.58. But the broker believes the sell-off was overdone now credit rating concerns have been alleviated, operating metrics were stable and the Newmarket development will receive a boost from a new luxury precinct. A 6% yield is attractive in a defensive environment. Buy retained.

Target price is $4.18 Current Price is $3.84 Difference: $0.34
If SCG meets the UBS target it will return approximately 9% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $4.06, suggesting upside of 5.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY19:

UBS forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 23.00 cents and EPS of 26.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.99%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.77.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 25.4, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 22.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.1.

Forecast for FY20:

UBS forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 23.00 cents and EPS of 26.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.99%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.77.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 25.5, implying annual growth of 0.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 23.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.1.

Market Sentiment: 0.2

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

SDF  STEADFAST GROUP LIMITED

Insurance

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Overnight Price: $3.06

UPDATED

Credit Suisse rates SDF as Neutral (3) -

First half result was slightly ahead of estimates. The company benefited from a mix of organic growth and acquisitions and both of these aspects are expected to continue in the second half.

Credit Suisse notes, while there is evidence of early benefits from the client trading platform initiative, usage has been delayed by problems with the insurers.

Earnings growth and upside risk support a PE premium but Credit Suisse believes uncertainty over commissions will hold the stock at current levels. Neutral rating and $3 target maintained.

Target price is $3.00 Current Price is $3.06 Difference: minus $0.06 (current price is over target).
If SDF meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately minus 2% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $3.26, suggesting upside of 6.5% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 8.00 cents and EPS of 14.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.61%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 21.86.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 13.2, implying annual growth of 57.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 8.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 23.2.

Forecast for FY20:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 9.00 cents and EPS of 15.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.94%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 20.40.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 14.5, implying annual growth of 9.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 9.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 21.1.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Macquarie rates SDF as Outperform (1) -

Macquarie finds organic growth, market conditions and the balance sheet all supportive of the business. FY19 guidance is unchanged for underlying operating earnings of $190-200m.

The broker maintains an Outperform rating and $3.90 target.

Target price is $3.90 Current Price is $3.06 Difference: $0.84
If SDF meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 27% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $3.26, suggesting upside of 6.5% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 8.20 cents and EPS of 14.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.68%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 20.96.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 13.2, implying annual growth of 57.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 8.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 23.2.

Forecast for FY20:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 9.30 cents and EPS of 16.50 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.04%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 18.55.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 14.5, implying annual growth of 9.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 9.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 21.1.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

SGM  SIMS METAL MANAGEMENT LIMITED

Steel & Scrap

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Overnight Price: $11.44

Credit Suisse rates SGM as Outperform (1) -

First half net profit was slightly below Credit Suisse estimates. The broker observes operating cash is very weak.

However, the outlook appears more positive. There are early signs of improvement in demand from Turkey and support from higher iron ore prices.

Credit Suisse maintains an Outperform rating and $12.90 target.

Target price is $12.90 Current Price is $11.44 Difference: $1.46
If SGM meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately 13% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $12.00, suggesting upside of 4.9% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 44.12 cents and EPS of 80.10 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.86%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.28.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 82.8, implying annual growth of -23.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 44.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.8.

Forecast for FY20:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 45.48 cents and EPS of 90.99 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.98%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 12.57.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 90.5, implying annual growth of 9.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 46.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.6.

Market Sentiment: 0.4

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


UPDATED

Deutsche Bank rates SGM as Hold (3) -

The first half report was in line with prior guidance but, most importantly, Deutsche Bank analysts see a tough road ahead, with lots more risk than management appears to be willing to acknowledge.

Whereas management finds Turkey is showing signs of improvement and prices are stabilising for scrap, Deutsche Bank analysts are concerned about the key risk from Chinese Category 6 restrictions on higher quality non-ferrous scrap kicking in from July 2019.

Target price $11 (was $10.50). Hold rating retained on valuation.

Target price is $11.00 Current Price is $11.44 Difference: minus $0.44 (current price is over target).
If SGM meets the Deutsche Bank target it will return approximately minus 4% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $12.00, suggesting upside of 4.9% (ex-dividends)

Forecast for FY19:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 82.8, implying annual growth of -23.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 44.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.8.

Forecast for FY20:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 90.5, implying annual growth of 9.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 46.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.6.

Market Sentiment: 0.4

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Macquarie rates SGM as Outperform (1) -

The company expects a better second half and has pointed to scrap price recovery and improvement in European demand.

Macquarie also notes an altered raw material market for steel and operating improvements support the business. The main risk is Chinese rulings on scrap imports.

The broker considers the valuation attractive and retains an Outperform rating. Target is reduced to $14.00 and $14.65.

Target price is $14.00 Current Price is $11.44 Difference: $2.56
If SGM meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 22% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $12.00, suggesting upside of 4.9% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 46.00 cents and EPS of 83.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.02%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.78.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 82.8, implying annual growth of -23.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 44.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.8.

Forecast for FY20:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 43.00 cents and EPS of 87.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.76%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.15.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 90.5, implying annual growth of 9.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 46.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.6.

Market Sentiment: 0.4

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Morgan Stanley rates SGM as Overweight (1) -

First half results were in line with previous guidance. The outlook is for improved conditions in the second half. End markets will always be volatile but Morgan Stanley believes the outlook is more favourable.

Steel prices appear to have bottomed and iron ore pricing is elevated, while the Turkey scrap market is recovering.

Morgan Stanley reiterates an Overweight rating. Target is $12.50. Industry view is Cautious.

Target price is $12.50 Current Price is $11.44 Difference: $1.06
If SGM meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately 9% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $12.00, suggesting upside of 4.9% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 47.00 cents and EPS of 87.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.11%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.15.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 82.8, implying annual growth of -23.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 44.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.8.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 55.00 cents and EPS of 108.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.81%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 10.59.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 90.5, implying annual growth of 9.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 46.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.6.

Market Sentiment: 0.4

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


UBS rates SGM as Sell (5) -

It is unclear how Sims' result compared to the broker's forecast. The upshot is target rises to $9.10 from $8.50, Sell retained.

Scrap markets have begun to settle after a period of disruption in 2018, the broker notes, supported by the spike in iron ore prices. That price may remain elevated for a while but will still prove temporary, and the real issue is a structural one with regard non-ferrous scrap. It's hard to be positive, the broker suggests, when China is planning to ban all scrap.

Target price is $9.10 Current Price is $11.44 Difference: minus $2.34 (current price is over target).
If SGM meets the UBS target it will return approximately minus 20% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $12.00, suggesting upside of 4.9% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

UBS forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 42.00 cents and EPS of 74.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.67%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.46.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 82.8, implying annual growth of -23.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 44.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.8.

Forecast for FY20:

UBS forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 41.00 cents and EPS of 83.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.58%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.78.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 90.5, implying annual growth of 9.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 46.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.6.

Market Sentiment: 0.4

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

SGP  STOCKLAND

Infra & Property Developers

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Overnight Price: $3.65

UPDATED

Citi rates SGP as Downgrade to Neutral from Buy (3) -

Stockland's first-half result missed the broker - primarily because of an unexpected residential skew to the second half. The broker notes operating conditions are deteriorating faster than expected and management lowered guidance despite weaker debt costs.

Funds from operations estimates ease -1% to -2% to account for lower residential volumes.

Target price falls to $3.88 from $4. Citi downgrades to Neutral from Buy.

Target price is $3.88 Current Price is $3.65 Difference: $0.23
If SGP meets the Citi target it will return approximately 6% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $3.92, suggesting upside of 7.4% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Citi forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 27.50 cents and EPS of 37.10 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 7.53%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 9.84.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 34.4, implying annual growth of -18.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 27.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 7.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 10.6.

Forecast for FY20:

Citi forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 28.00 cents and EPS of 37.10 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 7.67%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 9.84.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 35.4, implying annual growth of 2.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 28.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 7.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 10.3.

Market Sentiment: 0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Deutsche Bank rates SGP as Buy (1) -

It is the analysts' observation the interim result missed expectations due to timing of residential settlements and a deteriorating retail market. Both factors are also responsible for management narrowing FY19 guidance to the bottom end of its guidance range.

There's no denying Stockland continues to face headwinds from the retail and residential market, but Deutsche Bank believes this is already in the price. Buy rating retained. Price target drops to $4.39 from $4.55.

Target price is $4.39 Current Price is $3.65 Difference: $0.74
If SGP meets the Deutsche Bank target it will return approximately 20% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $3.92, suggesting upside of 7.4% (ex-dividends)

Forecast for FY19:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 34.4, implying annual growth of -18.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 27.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 7.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 10.6.

Forecast for FY20:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 35.4, implying annual growth of 2.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 28.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 7.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 10.3.

Market Sentiment: 0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Macquarie rates SGP as Neutral (3) -

Retail, residential and retirement sub sectors remain difficult, Macquarie observes. Net deposits in the second quarter were down -17% and are expected to be down -25% in the third quarter.

The company has reiterated FY19 residential targets, although refined estimates to the lower end of the range.

Macquarie maintains a Neutral rating and reduces the target to $3.59 from $3.71.

Target price is $3.59 Current Price is $3.65 Difference: minus $0.06 (current price is over target).
If SGP meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately minus 2% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $3.92, suggesting upside of 7.4% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 27.50 cents and EPS of 30.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 7.53%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 11.89.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 34.4, implying annual growth of -18.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 27.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 7.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 10.6.

Forecast for FY20:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 28.60 cents and EPS of 32.80 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 7.84%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 11.13.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 35.4, implying annual growth of 2.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 28.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 7.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 10.3.

Market Sentiment: 0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Ord Minnett rates SGP as Accumulate (2) -

First half earnings were well below Ord Minnett's forecasts. The miss was driven by several factors, some of which were related to timing. Residential sales slowed but the margin outlook remains strong.

While the challenging market for retail and retirement asset sales exists, Ord Minnett suggests any success could mean proceeds are reinvested in the buyback. An Accumulate rating and $4.30 target are maintained.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Target price is $4.30 Current Price is $3.65 Difference: $0.65
If SGP meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 18% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $3.92, suggesting upside of 7.4% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 28.00 cents and EPS of 32.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 7.67%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 11.41.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 34.4, implying annual growth of -18.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 27.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 7.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 10.6.

Forecast for FY20:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 29.00 cents and EPS of 33.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 7.95%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 11.06.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 35.4, implying annual growth of 2.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 28.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 7.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 10.3.

Market Sentiment: 0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


UBS rates SGP as Sell (5) -

Stockland's funds from operations fell -6% short of the broker, mostly reflecting a large second half skew in residential. In a difficult residential/retail environment management has reduced FY guidance to 5% FFO growth but the broker still thinks this looks a bit of stretch given 3,600 lots need to be settled in the second half.

On the positive side, debt covenants have been addressed and the workplace/logistics portfolios are delivering strong returns, justifying increased weighting. But the broker retains Sell and a $3.60 target.

Target price is $3.60 Current Price is $3.65 Difference: minus $0.05 (current price is over target).
If SGP meets the UBS target it will return approximately minus 1% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $3.92, suggesting upside of 7.4% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

UBS forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 27.80 cents and EPS of 36.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 7.62%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 9.97.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 34.4, implying annual growth of -18.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 27.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 7.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 10.6.

Forecast for FY20:

UBS forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 29.30 cents and EPS of 37.30 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 8.03%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 9.79.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 35.4, implying annual growth of 2.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 28.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 7.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 10.3.

Market Sentiment: 0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

SGR  THE STAR ENTERTAINMENT GROUP LIMITED

Gaming

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Overnight Price: $4.65

Macquarie rates SGR as Outperform (1) -

The interim report marked minor growth and, upon first read, seems to have missed Macquarie by -6%. The analysts highlight a -33% decline in VIP turnover was worse than expected. The analysts suggest the combination of low visibility and high volatility in earnings is here to stay, while the trend domestically seems positive.

Target price is $5.40 Current Price is $4.65 Difference: $0.75
If SGR meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 16% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $5.85, suggesting upside of 25.8% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 23.00 cents and EPS of 29.30 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.95%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.87.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 29.7, implying annual growth of 58.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 23.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.7.

Forecast for FY20:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 24.00 cents and EPS of 31.20 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.16%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.90.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 32.2, implying annual growth of 8.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 24.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.4.

Market Sentiment: 0.9

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

SHL  SONIC HEALTHCARE LIMITED

Healthcare services

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Overnight Price: $24.58

UPDATED

Citi rates SHL as Downgrade to Neutral from Buy (3) -

Sonic Healthcare's first-half result was in line with Citi forecasts. Guidance was revised up by 6%-8%.

Interest guidance also fell to reflect a $328m placement (compared with an expect $100m), which results in a -2% share dilution in FY20 and beyond.

This has resulted in a dilution to the discounted cash-flow based target price to $24.75 (a price-earnings multiple of 20x) from $25.25.

The broker downgrades to Neutral from Buy, noting the recent sharp rally in the share price.

Target price is $24.75 Current Price is $24.58 Difference: $0.17
If SHL meets the Citi target it will return approximately 1% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $25.76, suggesting upside of 4.8% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Citi forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 84.00 cents and EPS of 117.30 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.42%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 20.95.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 117.0, implying annual growth of 3.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 83.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 21.0.

Forecast for FY20:

Citi forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 92.00 cents and EPS of 126.20 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.74%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 19.48.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 125.1, implying annual growth of 6.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 90.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 19.6.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Credit Suisse rates SHL as Neutral (3) -

First half underlying earnings (EBITDA) were slightly ahead of Credit Suisse estimates. The company considers the underlying pathology market in Australia is strong, which the broker notes is in contrast to the view from its competitor Healius ((HLS)).

The company also recorded 8% revenue growth in the US, well ahead of peers. The broker maintains a Neutral rating and $24.70 target.

Target price is $24.70 Current Price is $24.58 Difference: $0.12
If SHL meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately 0% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $25.76, suggesting upside of 4.8% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 82.00 cents and EPS of 115.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.34%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 21.37.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 117.0, implying annual growth of 3.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 83.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 21.0.

Forecast for FY20:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 89.00 cents and EPS of 122.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.62%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 20.15.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 125.1, implying annual growth of 6.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 90.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 19.6.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


UPDATED

Deutsche Bank rates SHL as Downgrade to Hold from Buy (3) -

Sonic Healthcare's interim result was "broadly in line" (read: slightly disappointing) with Deutsche Bank. Margins disappointed a little, but the broker expects this will be rectified in H2.

Downgrade to Hold from Buy. Target declines slightly to $24.70 from $24.85.

Target price is $24.70 Current Price is $24.58 Difference: $0.12
If SHL meets the Deutsche Bank target it will return approximately 0% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $25.76, suggesting upside of 4.8% (ex-dividends)

Forecast for FY19:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 117.0, implying annual growth of 3.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 83.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 21.0.

Forecast for FY20:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 125.1, implying annual growth of 6.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 90.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 19.6.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Macquarie rates SHL as Neutral (3) -

First half results were ahead of Macquarie's forecasts. Aurora provided a boost while, more generally, organic revenue growth was stable.

Macquarie suggests reimbursement pressure in key markets presents both an earnings headwind and acquisition opportunities.

The broker considers the stock fairly valued and retains a Neutral rating. Target is raised to $25.50 from $25.20.

Target price is $25.50 Current Price is $24.58 Difference: $0.92
If SHL meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 4% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $25.76, suggesting upside of 4.8% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 87.10 cents and EPS of 120.40 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.54%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 20.42.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 117.0, implying annual growth of 3.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 83.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 21.0.

Forecast for FY20:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 92.80 cents and EPS of 127.50 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.78%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 19.28.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 125.1, implying annual growth of 6.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 90.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 19.6.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Morgan Stanley rates SHL as Overweight (1) -

Morgan Stanley believes funding risk is adequately captured in guidance. First half underlying operating earnings (EBITDA) and revenue were in line with estimates.

Despite the company's two largest US-based peers declaring low revenue growth, Sonic Healthcare experienced 8% constant currency growth.

Overweight reiterated. Target is raised to $27.00 from $26.40. Industry view: In Line.

Target price is $27.00 Current Price is $24.58 Difference: $2.42
If SHL meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately 10% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $25.76, suggesting upside of 4.8% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 82.70 cents and EPS of 117.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.36%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 21.01.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 117.0, implying annual growth of 3.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 83.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 21.0.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 91.00 cents and EPS of 128.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.70%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 19.20.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 125.1, implying annual growth of 6.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 90.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 19.6.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Morgans rates SHL as Add (1) -

Sonic Healthcare's first-half result beat the broker, the company reporting strong organic cash flow and cash conversion of 101%.

Nearly all divisions and countries save Germany put in a solid performance. The only slight misses were a softening in sales and an easing in operating margins which were affected by German one-offs (weather) and US regulatory changes. 

The broker lifts earnings forecasts slightly. Target price raised to $28 from $27.95. Add rating retained to reflect the total shareholder return of greater than 10%. 

Target price is $28.00 Current Price is $24.58 Difference: $3.42
If SHL meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 14% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $25.76, suggesting upside of 4.8% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 84.00 cents and EPS of 121.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.42%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 20.31.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 117.0, implying annual growth of 3.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 83.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 21.0.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 92.00 cents and EPS of 132.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.74%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 18.62.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 125.1, implying annual growth of 6.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 90.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 19.6.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Ord Minnett rates SHL as Upgrade to Accumulate from Hold (2) -

First half net profit was better than Ord Minnett expected while, at the operating level, results were in line. The broker is encouraged by the strong lift in US revenues, given this was delivered despite funding cuts.

Domestic collection costs are stable and the broker envisages few funding risks for the near term. Rating is upgraded to Accumulate from Hold and the target to $27.40 from $24.10.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Target price is $27.40 Current Price is $24.58 Difference: $2.82
If SHL meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 11% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $25.76, suggesting upside of 4.8% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 83.00 cents and EPS of 114.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.38%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 21.56.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 117.0, implying annual growth of 3.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 83.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 21.0.

Forecast for FY20:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 88.00 cents and EPS of 122.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.58%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 20.15.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 125.1, implying annual growth of 6.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 90.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 19.6.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


UPDATED

UBS rates SHL as Neutral (3) -

Sonic Healthcare's result was in line with the broker, featuring robust revenue growth offset by higher costs and margin decline. The broker is concerned earnings growth is not matching revenue growth despite acquisitions made in FY16-18. While those businesses are lower margin, the broker would have expected a more positive contribution based on synergies.

Material improvement in earnings growth is required to drive a re-rate, the broker suggests. Neutral retained. Target rises to $24.00 from $23.20.

Target price is $24.00 Current Price is $24.58 Difference: minus $0.58 (current price is over target).
If SHL meets the UBS target it will return approximately minus 2% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $25.76, suggesting upside of 4.8% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

UBS forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 84.00 cents and EPS of 114.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.42%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 21.56.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 117.0, implying annual growth of 3.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 83.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 21.0.

Forecast for FY20:

UBS forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 87.00 cents and EPS of 118.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.54%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 20.83.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 125.1, implying annual growth of 6.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 90.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 19.6.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

SPK  SPARK NEW ZEALAND LIMITED

Telecommunication

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Overnight Price: $3.59

Credit Suisse rates SPK as Underperform (5) -

First half earnings growth was in line with forecasts, although Credit Suisse suspects the business may be heading towards the bottom end of guidance for FY19.

To achieve the growth expected over the next two years the broker believes the company will need to execute on the next wave of cost reduction initiatives.

Underperform rating retained on valuation and the risks around competition and investment. NZ$3.28 target maintained.

Current Price is $3.59. Target price not assessed.

Current consensus price target is N/A

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 23.27 cents and EPS of 21.78 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.48%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 16.48.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 21.8, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 24.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 16.5.

Forecast for FY20:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 23.27 cents and EPS of 22.52 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.48%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.94.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 22.8, implying annual growth of 4.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 24.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.7.

This company reports in NZD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


UPDATED

Deutsche Bank rates SPK as Hold (3) -

Deutsche Bank analysts suggest the 1H result revealed strong margins and progress with cost reductions. Hold rating retained. Target price rises 5% to NZ$4.

Current Price is $3.59. Target price not assessed.

Current consensus price target is N/A

Forecast for FY19:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 21.8, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 24.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 16.5.

Forecast for FY20:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 22.8, implying annual growth of 4.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 24.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.7.

This company reports in NZD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Macquarie rates SPK as Neutral (3) -

The company is on track for FY19 guidance, Macquarie suggests, although targets for earnings per share appears challenging.

A driver of earnings in FY19 will be execution of the Quantum cost reductions, which are also critical to earnings growth in FY20.

Valuation appears challenging in the context of the outlook and the broker retains a Neutral rating. Target is raised to NZ$3.75 from NZ$3.70.

Current Price is $3.59. Target price not assessed.

Current consensus price target is N/A

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 23.27 cents and EPS of 20.20 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.48%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 17.78.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 21.8, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 24.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 16.5.

Forecast for FY20:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 23.27 cents and EPS of 21.31 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.48%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 16.84.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 22.8, implying annual growth of 4.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 24.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.7.

This company reports in NZD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


UBS rates SPK as Neutral (3) -

Spark NZ's result missed by -5%, a forecast UBS admits may have been a little optimistic on the half to half skew. But the backdrop for mobile and IT services is becoming more challenging.

Costs are being reduced and margins improved but growth is missing. Neutral and NZ$3.90 target retained.

Current Price is $3.59. Target price not assessed.

Current consensus price target is N/A

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

UBS forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 23.27 cents and EPS of 20.48 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.48%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 17.53.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 21.8, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 24.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 16.5.

Forecast for FY20:

UBS forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 23.27 cents and EPS of 21.50 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.48%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 16.70.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 22.8, implying annual growth of 4.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 24.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.7.

This company reports in NZD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

STO  SANTOS LIMITED

NatGas

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Overnight Price: $6.98

UPDATED

Macquarie rates STO as Outperform (1) -

It appears Santos' financial performance was well above expectations at Macquarie, as well as handsomely beating market consensus. The final dividend, too, marks a significant beat, Macquarie suggests.

Upon closer inspection, this turns out to be FX related. with the underlying numbers merely in-line.

Target price is $6.80 Current Price is $6.98 Difference: minus $0.18 (current price is over target).
If STO meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately minus 3% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $6.86, suggesting downside of -1.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY18:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 7.47 cents and EPS of 40.04 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.07%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 17.43.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 40.1, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 11.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 17.4.

Forecast for FY19:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 11.40 cents and EPS of 43.71 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.63%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.97.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 43.6, implying annual growth of 8.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 12.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 16.0.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.6

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

SVW  SEVEN GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED

Diversified Financials

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Overnight Price: $18.83

Credit Suisse rates SVW as Outperform (1) -

Interim results beat Credit Suisse expectations. The beat was driven entirely by WesTrac and contrasted with softness at Coates. The broker believes the WesTrac business is extremely well-positioned.

Guidance for EBIT of $621m has not been amended. Credit Suisse maintains an Outperform rating and raises the target to $20.10 from $18.70.

Target price is $20.10 Current Price is $18.83 Difference: $1.27
If SVW meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately 7% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $22.29, suggesting upside of 18.4% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 42.00 cents and EPS of 141.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.23%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.35.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 136.8, implying annual growth of 1.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 42.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.8.

Forecast for FY20:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 42.00 cents and EPS of 152.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.23%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 12.39.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 150.1, implying annual growth of 9.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 43.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.5.

Market Sentiment: 0.9

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Deutsche Bank rates SVW as Buy (1) -

It is the broker's view the present cyclical upswing in equipment capex and rental demand is still at an early stage. Yesterday's interim result, comment the analysts, is indicative of the strong cyclical recovery underway plus efficiencies achieved through the downturn.

Buy rating and $23.70 price target retained.

Target price is $23.70 Current Price is $18.83 Difference: $4.87
If SVW meets the Deutsche Bank target it will return approximately 26% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $22.29, suggesting upside of 18.4% (ex-dividends)

Forecast for FY19:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 136.8, implying annual growth of 1.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 42.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.8.

Forecast for FY20:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 150.1, implying annual growth of 9.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 43.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.5.

Market Sentiment: 0.9

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Macquarie rates SVW as Outperform (1) -

First half operating earnings (EBIT) were ahead of Macquarie's estimates. Exceptional results occurred at WesTrac and the broker expects industry conditions to remain favourable.

Macquarie considers the stock a quality exposure to the resources and infrastructure sectors. Outperform rating maintained. Target is reduced to $23.00 from $24.10.

Target price is $23.00 Current Price is $18.83 Difference: $4.17
If SVW meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 22% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $22.29, suggesting upside of 18.4% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 42.00 cents and EPS of 135.20 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.23%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.93.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 136.8, implying annual growth of 1.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 42.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.8.

Forecast for FY20:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 42.00 cents and EPS of 149.50 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.23%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 12.60.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 150.1, implying annual growth of 9.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 43.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.5.

Market Sentiment: 0.9

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Ord Minnett rates SVW as Accumulate (2) -

First half net profit was well ahead of Ord Minnett's estimates. Momentum is strong but the broker currently expects the growth rate to drop to 7% in FY20 from the "supernormal" 44% in FY19.

Valuation appears attractive relative to the growth opportunities and the broker maintains an Accumulate rating. Target is raised to $22.67 from $21.44.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Target price is $22.67 Current Price is $18.83 Difference: $3.84
If SVW meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 20% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $22.29, suggesting upside of 18.4% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 43.00 cents and EPS of 139.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.28%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.55.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 136.8, implying annual growth of 1.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 42.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.8.

Forecast for FY20:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 47.00 cents and EPS of 149.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.50%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 12.64.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 150.1, implying annual growth of 9.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 43.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.5.

Market Sentiment: 0.9

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


UBS rates SVW as Buy (1) -

Seven  Group's earnings beat the broker by some 22% on better than expected results from WesTrac and Energy. WesTrac's performance reflected both increased mine activity and ongoing normalisation of the equipment maintenance cycle. Coates Hire's result also stood out.

The broker believes FY guidance is conservative. Its two most preferred investment themes are east coast infra investment (good for Coates) and a normalisation of mine capex in the west after years if underinvestment (good for WesTrac). Buy and $22.00 target retained.

Target price is $22.00 Current Price is $18.83 Difference: $3.17
If SVW meets the UBS target it will return approximately 17% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $22.29, suggesting upside of 18.4% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

UBS forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 43.00 cents and EPS of 132.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.28%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.27.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 136.8, implying annual growth of 1.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 42.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.8.

Forecast for FY20:

UBS forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 44.00 cents and EPS of 150.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.34%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 12.55.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 150.1, implying annual growth of 9.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 43.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.5.

Market Sentiment: 0.9

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

SXY  SENEX ENERGY LIMITED

Crude Oil

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Overnight Price: $0.37

Morgan Stanley rates SXY as Equal-weight (3) -

Forecasts for the full year are slightly below Morgan Stanley's assumptions, driven by higher exploration expenses and other costs.

The broker believes 2019 is shaping up as a critical year for the company. Success on longer-dated expansion projects is expected to underpin the business as a material gas producer.

Equal-weight maintained. Target is $0.38. Industry view: In-Line.

Target price is $0.38 Current Price is $0.37 Difference: $0.01
If SXY meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately 3% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $0.48, suggesting upside of 28.6% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 1.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 37.00.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 1.1, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 33.6.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY20 EPS of 2.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 18.50.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 2.4, implying annual growth of 118.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.4.

Market Sentiment: 0.6

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Ord Minnett rates SXY as Downgrade to Hold from Buy (3) -

While exposure to domestic gas prices and strong production growth are positives, Ord Minnett is concerned about well performance relative to other Queensland gas assets.

As the stock is now trading within 6% of valuation the broker downgrades to Hold from Buy. The $0.40 target is unchanged.

The broker believes the company will require high prices to ensure an appropriate rate of return on its Queensland assets.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Target price is $0.40 Current Price is $0.37 Difference: $0.03
If SXY meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 8% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $0.48, suggesting upside of 28.6% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 0.00 cents.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 1.1, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 33.6.

Forecast for FY20:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 2.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 18.50.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 2.4, implying annual growth of 118.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.4.

Market Sentiment: 0.6

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

SYD  SYDNEY AIRPORT HOLDINGS LIMITED

Infrastructure & Utilities

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Overnight Price: $7.07

UPDATED

Deutsche Bank rates SYD as Buy (1) -

On an initial reading, Deutsche Bank observes the update revealed strong international traffic growth of 4.9%, better than the broker's anticipated 4.0% in January.

The strong performance was underpinned by double digit passenger growth on three of the airport’s top 10 markets, the analysts highlight.

Both Buy rating and $8 price target have been retained.

Target price is $8.00 Current Price is $7.07 Difference: $0.93
If SYD meets the Deutsche Bank target it will return approximately 13% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $7.08, suggesting upside of 0.1% (ex-dividends)

Forecast for FY18:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 17.0, implying annual growth of 9.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 37.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 41.6.

Forecast for FY19:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 18.3, implying annual growth of 7.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 39.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 38.6.

Market Sentiment: 0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Macquarie rates SYD as Underperform (5) -

The 2018 financials seem to have beaten and missed on different items, with Macquarie's own estimates not always in line with market consensus. The analysts do point out the release revealed "poor working capital performance".

Declared dividend slightly missed the $0.395 anticipated by the broker, but it is fully covered and management predicts that will remain the case.

Target price is $6.64 Current Price is $7.07 Difference: minus $0.43 (current price is over target).
If SYD meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately minus 6% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $7.08, suggesting upside of 0.1% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY18:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 37.50 cents and EPS of 16.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.30%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 42.59.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 17.0, implying annual growth of 9.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 37.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 41.6.

Forecast for FY19:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 39.00 cents and EPS of 18.10 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.52%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 39.06.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 18.3, implying annual growth of 7.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 39.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 38.6.

Market Sentiment: 0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

WES  WESFARMERS LIMITED

Food, Beverages & Tobacco

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Overnight Price: $34.97

Macquarie rates WES as Outperform (1) -

Upon initial read, Macquarie saw a "good" result, slightly better-than-expected. And then there was a $1 special dividend.

Looking at the composition of the result, Macquarie analysts comment Bunnings and Officeworks were slightly ahead, partially offset by Kmart and Industrials performing below expectations.

Target price is $36.51 Current Price is $34.97 Difference: $1.54
If WES meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 4% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $31.89, suggesting downside of -8.8% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 172.60 cents and EPS of 172.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.94%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 20.26.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 219.1, implying annual growth of 107.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 181.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 16.0.

Forecast for FY20:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 175.20 cents and EPS of 194.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.01%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 17.97.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 178.7, implying annual growth of -18.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 158.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 19.6.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


UPDATED

Ord Minnett rates WES as Lighten (4) -

Ord Minnett suggests, upon initial assessment of the interim report, Wesfarmers is performing in line with expectations.

The announcement of a special dividend of $1 per share reflects capital discipline by the company as it involves much of the proceeds of asset sales, the analysts believe. Also, they highlight strong cash conversion.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Target price is $29.00 Current Price is $34.97 Difference: minus $5.97 (current price is over target).
If WES meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately minus 17% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $31.89, suggesting downside of -8.8% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 185.00 cents and EPS of 454.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.29%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 7.69.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 219.1, implying annual growth of 107.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 181.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 16.0.

Forecast for FY20:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 159.00 cents and EPS of 188.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.55%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 18.53.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 178.7, implying annual growth of -18.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 158.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 19.6.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

WOR  WORLEYPARSONS LIMITED

Energy Sector Contracting

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Overnight Price: $14.78

UPDATED

Citi rates WOR as Buy (1) -

Worley Parson's first-half result missed the broker, thanks to a general decline in gross margins. Depreciation and amortisation also increased faster than revenue.

Citi notes an improvement in underlying operating metrics, an uptick in contract wins, a growing backlog and potential upside from the acquisition of ECR.

Earnings forecasts fall -4% to -7% across FY19/21 to reflect the miss. Target price falls to $18.85 from $20.70. Buy rating retained.

Target price is $18.85 Current Price is $14.78 Difference: $4.07
If WOR meets the Citi target it will return approximately 28% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $18.54, suggesting upside of 25.4% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Citi forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 33.50 cents and EPS of 63.90 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.27%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 23.13.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 59.3, implying annual growth of 154.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 29.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 24.9.

Forecast for FY20:

Citi forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 62.00 cents and EPS of 99.40 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.19%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.87.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 95.8, implying annual growth of 61.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 49.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.4.

Market Sentiment: 0.7

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Credit Suisse rates WOR as Outperform (1) -

Interim results were in line with Credit Suisse estimates, although cash conversion was notably soft. The company has confirmed earnings will be weighted to the second half.

The outlook features several positives, the broker assesses, amid improved diversification. Outperform rating maintained. Target is raised to $18.20 from $17.60.

Target price is $18.20 Current Price is $14.78 Difference: $3.42
If WOR meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately 23% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $18.54, suggesting upside of 25.4% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 32.00 cents and EPS of 51.46 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.17%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 28.72.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 59.3, implying annual growth of 154.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 29.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 24.9.

Forecast for FY20:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 54.73 cents and EPS of 91.21 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.70%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 16.20.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 95.8, implying annual growth of 61.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 49.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.4.

Market Sentiment: 0.7

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


UPDATED

Deutsche Bank rates WOR as Buy (1) -

The interim report missed expectations, but Deutsche bank analysts spotted enough signs that a recovery is under way. Among the items highlighted are the order book increasing 10% y/y and the number of announced contract awards in 1H19 being the highest in 10 years, according to company management.

Cash conversion, on the other hand, was very weak, the analysts point out. Buy rating retained on the firming outlook. Price target drops to $19.95 from $20.65.

Target price is $19.95 Current Price is $14.78 Difference: $5.17
If WOR meets the Deutsche Bank target it will return approximately 35% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $18.54, suggesting upside of 25.4% (ex-dividends)

Forecast for FY19:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 59.3, implying annual growth of 154.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 29.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 24.9.

Forecast for FY20:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 95.8, implying annual growth of 61.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 49.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.4.

Market Sentiment: 0.7

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Macquarie rates WOR as Outperform (1) -

First half underlying net profit was ahead of Macquarie's estimates. This is also the first time in a while that the company has exceeded the broker's revenue forecasts.

Macquarie suggests there is re-rating potential because of the solid outlook, boosted by $130m in cost savings from ECR.

The broker suspects consensus estimates are yet to fully factor in the ECR acquisition, with the deal to close in late March or early April 2019.

Outperform maintained. Target is reduced to $21.15 from $21.30.

Target price is $21.15 Current Price is $14.78 Difference: $6.37
If WOR meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 43% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $18.54, suggesting upside of 25.4% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 29.00 cents and EPS of 70.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.96%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 20.93.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 59.3, implying annual growth of 154.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 29.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 24.9.

Forecast for FY20:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 39.40 cents and EPS of 113.30 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.67%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.05.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 95.8, implying annual growth of 61.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 49.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.4.

Market Sentiment: 0.7

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Morgan Stanley rates WOR as Equal-weight (3) -

First half results were marginally below Morgan Stanley's estimates. The company generated a disappointing $21m in operating cash during the half year, affected by a number of factors including higher receivables and greater provisions.

The broker finds the macro backdrop encouraging although does not believe the company will trade on the same multiples as in the prior year.

Equal-weight rating. Target is raised to $16.00 from $15.70. Industry view is In-Line.

Target price is $16.00 Current Price is $14.78 Difference: $1.22
If WOR meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately 8% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $18.54, suggesting upside of 25.4% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 28.60 cents and EPS of 61.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.94%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 24.23.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 59.3, implying annual growth of 154.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 29.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 24.9.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 45.75 cents and EPS of 92.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.10%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 16.07.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 95.8, implying annual growth of 61.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 49.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.4.

Market Sentiment: 0.7

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Ord Minnett rates WOR as Buy (1) -

First half net profit was below Ord Minnett's estimates. The broker finds indicators for the growth outlook are positive, while capital expenditure from key customer markets is expected to continue increasing.

The broker maintains a Buy rating and raises the target to $18.50 from $18.40.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Target price is $18.50 Current Price is $14.78 Difference: $3.72
If WOR meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 25% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $18.54, suggesting upside of 25.4% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 29.00 cents and EPS of 51.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.96%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 28.98.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 59.3, implying annual growth of 154.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 29.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 24.9.

Forecast for FY20:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 53.00 cents and EPS of 90.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.59%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 16.42.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 95.8, implying annual growth of 61.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 49.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.4.

Market Sentiment: 0.7

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


UBS rates WOR as Neutral (3) -

WorleyParsons' earnings growth was a little shy of the broker, underpinned by the UKIS acquisition and an improved Minerals performance. No formal guidance was provided other than to suggest a stronger second half. An upbeat outlook reflects resource sector customers increasing activity in preparation for the next investment cycle.

UBS remains constructive on the global oil and gas capex cycle but suggests this is priced in. Neutral retained. A target cut to $17.10 from $19.30 reflects the proposed acquisition of Jacobs ECR and updated capital structure.

Target price is $17.10 Current Price is $14.78 Difference: $2.32
If WOR meets the UBS target it will return approximately 16% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $18.54, suggesting upside of 25.4% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

UBS forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 26.00 cents and EPS of 58.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.76%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 25.48.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 59.3, implying annual growth of 154.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 29.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 24.9.

Forecast for FY20:

UBS forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 40.00 cents and EPS of 89.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.71%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 16.61.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 95.8, implying annual growth of 61.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 49.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.4.

Market Sentiment: 0.7

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

WOW  WOOLWORTHS LIMITED

Food, Beverages & Tobacco

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Overnight Price: $28.35

UPDATED

Citi rates WOW as Neutral (3) -

Woolworth's first-half result missed consensus and the broker, margin contraction raising concerns for the medium term, although long-term margin forecasts remain firm.

Citi downgrades EPS forecasts -6% to -7% across FY19 to FY21. Target price falls to $29 from $31.30.

Woolworths is expected to cut the store network by -11% and Big W, if sold, could free up $2-3bn in capital. Citi believes capital expenditure has peaked but will remain elevated.

Neutral rating retained, Citi noting the stock is trading on a price-earnings multiple of 20.2x FY20 estimates and Coles ((COL)) is trading at 16.4x FY20 estimates.

Target price is $29.00 Current Price is $28.35 Difference: $0.65
If WOW meets the Citi target it will return approximately 2% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $28.22, suggesting downside of -0.5% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Citi forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 99.40 cents and EPS of 135.10 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.51%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 20.98.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 128.3, implying annual growth of -6.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 97.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 22.1.

Forecast for FY20:

Citi forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 100.10 cents and EPS of 142.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.53%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 19.96.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 136.1, implying annual growth of 6.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 101.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 20.8.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Credit Suisse rates WOW as Neutral (3) -

Credit Suisse believes Woolworths is in the process of establishing a significant technological advantage but this may take several years to show up.

The company expects a subdued consumer environment will continue and cost pressures will increase in the second half.

The broker remains positive on the outlook, noting change is accelerating at Big W as the company reassesses its strategy.

While the broker is not confident a material improvement will be achieved to warrant the required time and investment, a closure or exit of the business also looks unattractive.

Neutral rating maintained. Target is reduced to $27.84 from $28.68.

Target price is $27.84 Current Price is $28.35 Difference: minus $0.51 (current price is over target).
If WOW meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately minus 2% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $28.22, suggesting downside of -0.5% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 98.36 cents and EPS of 129.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.47%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 21.98.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 128.3, implying annual growth of -6.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 97.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 22.1.

Forecast for FY20:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 99.73 cents and EPS of 136.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.52%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 20.85.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 136.1, implying annual growth of 6.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 101.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 20.8.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


UPDATED

Deutsche Bank rates WOW as Buy (1) -

Deutsche Bank talks about a "credible" result, but it is clear expectations were not quite met. Irrespective, the analysts retain their bullish bias, arguing this company's key operations remain well-positioned for future growth.

Price target of $31 and Buy rating retained, as Deutsche Bank repeats its forecast that food inflation is beginning to emerge and this should enhance sales and leverage. Plus Woolworths is likely to gain market share for some time, on the broker's assertion.

Target price is $31.00 Current Price is $28.35 Difference: $2.65
If WOW meets the Deutsche Bank target it will return approximately 9% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $28.22, suggesting downside of -0.5% (ex-dividends)

Forecast for FY19:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 128.3, implying annual growth of -6.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 97.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 22.1.

Forecast for FY20:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 136.1, implying annual growth of 6.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 101.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 20.8.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Macquarie rates WOW as Underperform (5) -

Macquarie observes this is the third time in a row Woolworths has missed estimates for half-year results. While capital management may ease some investor concerns, the broker is cautious because of weak conditions.

A new enterprise bargaining agreement is also expected to hinder earnings in the second half. Macquarie reduces estimates for earnings per share in FY19-21 by -4-6%. Target is reduced -6% to $26.26. Underperform maintained.

Target price is $26.26 Current Price is $28.35 Difference: minus $2.09 (current price is over target).
If WOW meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately minus 7% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $28.22, suggesting downside of -0.5% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 87.50 cents and EPS of 125.30 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.09%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 22.63.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 128.3, implying annual growth of -6.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 97.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 22.1.

Forecast for FY20:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 92.30 cents and EPS of 131.90 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.26%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 21.49.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 136.1, implying annual growth of 6.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 101.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 20.8.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Morgan Stanley rates WOW as Underweight (5) -

First half food performance was weaker than expected. This is compounded by rising labour costs and declining liquor earnings. Still, healthy EBIT margins are forecast compared with global standards, at 4.68% for FY19.

Morgan Stanley observes the stock is priced for considerable growth that has not materialised. Management has indicated it will return up to $1.7bn in capital following the petrol divestment, potentially via an off market buyback.

Target is $23. Underweight rating. Industry view: Cautious.

Target price is $23.00 Current Price is $28.35 Difference: minus $5.35 (current price is over target).
If WOW meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately minus 19% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $28.22, suggesting downside of -0.5% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 104.00 cents and EPS of 110.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.67%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 25.77.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 128.3, implying annual growth of -6.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 97.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 22.1.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 104.00 cents and EPS of 110.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.67%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 25.77.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 136.1, implying annual growth of 6.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 101.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 20.8.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Morgans rates WOW as Hold (3) -

Woolworths's first-half result missed the broker, all divisions disappointing as did the dividend. Endeavour Drinks was the biggest laggard and is expected to continue dragging on FY19 earnings.

FY19 earning forecasts fall -5%. Target price falls to $27.82 from $27.92 and Hold rating retained, the broker believing the sale of the petrol business should provide a floor.

Target price is $27.82 Current Price is $28.35 Difference: minus $0.53 (current price is over target).
If WOW meets the Morgans target it will return approximately minus 2% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $28.22, suggesting downside of -0.5% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 98.00 cents and EPS of 124.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.46%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 22.86.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 128.3, implying annual growth of -6.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 97.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 22.1.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 107.00 cents and EPS of 136.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.77%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 20.85.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 136.1, implying annual growth of 6.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 101.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 20.8.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Ord Minnett rates WOW as Hold (3) -

First half net profit was below Ord Minnett's forecasts. Higher overheads and lower earnings from liquor and NZ divisions overshadowed better earnings from the food business.

Food earnings (EBIT) margins are expected to increase modestly. The turnaround at Big W is uncertain and the broker notes a strategic review is being undertaken.

Valuation is elevated and Ord Minnett maintains a Hold rating. Target is $30.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Target price is $30.00 Current Price is $28.35 Difference: $1.65
If WOW meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 6% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $28.22, suggesting downside of -0.5% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 92.00 cents and EPS of 140.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.25%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 20.25.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 128.3, implying annual growth of -6.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 97.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 22.1.

Forecast for FY20:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 97.00 cents and EPS of 150.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.42%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 18.90.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 136.1, implying annual growth of 6.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 101.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 20.8.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


UBS rates WOW as Buy (1) -

Woolworths' result missed the broker by -5%, with all divisions softer than expected. Solid cost control and cash flow provided some offset. A flat gross margin was blamed on a 10% increase in wastage, which is being addressed in the second half.

The good news is the second half is proving stronger so far. UBS retains Buy, pointing to capital management potential, a strategy rethink for its competitor, suggesting market share gain opportunity, and a Big W restructure that could lead to earnings upgrades or a sale. Target falls to $30.80 from $31.85.

Target price is $30.80 Current Price is $28.35 Difference: $2.45
If WOW meets the UBS target it will return approximately 9% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $28.22, suggesting downside of -0.5% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

UBS forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 103.00 cents and EPS of 135.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.63%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 21.00.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 128.3, implying annual growth of -6.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 97.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 22.1.

Forecast for FY20:

UBS forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 111.00 cents and EPS of 147.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.92%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 19.29.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 136.1, implying annual growth of 6.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 101.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 20.8.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

WSA  WESTERN AREAS NL

Nickel

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Overnight Price: $2.35

Credit Suisse rates WSA as Outperform (1) -

First half operating earnings (EBITDA) were marginally below Credit Suisse estimates. The results revealed break even at the EBIT line against the broker's expectations of a loss.

The broker maintains a forecast for a token second half final dividend of 2c per share, which will have a limited impact on the company's ability to fund growth.

FY19 guidance is unchanged. Credit Suisse maintains an Outperform rating and $2.65 target.

Target price is $2.65 Current Price is $2.35 Difference: $0.3
If WSA meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately 13% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $2.66, suggesting upside of 13.4% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 2.00 cents and EPS of 4.93 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.85%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 47.67.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 6.5, implying annual growth of 49.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 2.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 36.2.

Forecast for FY20:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 2.00 cents and EPS of 16.45 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.85%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.29.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 16.4, implying annual growth of 152.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 3.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.3.

Market Sentiment: 0.7

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Deutsche Bank rates WSA as Buy (1) -

Operationally the interim report was in line, but at the net profit level it marked a "miss" with Deutsche Bank analysts blaming higher D&A and higher interest expense.

Management has left FY19 guidance unchanged. The analysts remain positive on the outlook for nickel prices. Target remains at $3.10. Buy rating unchanged.

Target price is $3.10 Current Price is $2.35 Difference: $0.75
If WSA meets the Deutsche Bank target it will return approximately 32% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $2.66, suggesting upside of 13.4% (ex-dividends)

Forecast for FY19:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 6.5, implying annual growth of 49.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 2.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 36.2.

Forecast for FY20:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 16.4, implying annual growth of 152.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 3.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.3.

Market Sentiment: 0.7

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Macquarie rates WSA as Outperform (1) -

Macquarie makes modest changes to forward estimates and expects completion of the MREP project will enable the company to secure higher payability for some of its Forrestania product.

Development of the Odysseus project significantly enhances the leverage to nickel and extends mine life beyond 10 years. The broker maintains an Outperform rating and raises the target to $2.70 from $2.60.

Target price is $2.70 Current Price is $2.35 Difference: $0.35
If WSA meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 15% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $2.66, suggesting upside of 13.4% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 2.00 cents and EPS of 4.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.85%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 50.00.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 6.5, implying annual growth of 49.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 2.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 36.2.

Forecast for FY20:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 7.00 cents and EPS of 23.40 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.98%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 10.04.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 16.4, implying annual growth of 152.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 3.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.3.

Market Sentiment: 0.7

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Morgan Stanley rates WSA as Equal-weight (3) -

First half results slightly missed Morgan Stanley's estimates. The focus is on Odysseus being on schedule and budget, and the commissioning of MREP. FY19 guidance is maintained.

The broker maintains an Equal-weight rating. Industry view is Attractive. Target is $2.20.

Target price is $2.20 Current Price is $2.35 Difference: minus $0.15 (current price is over target).
If WSA meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately minus 6% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $2.66, suggesting upside of 13.4% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 1.00 cents and EPS of 3.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.43%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 78.33.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 6.5, implying annual growth of 49.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 2.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 36.2.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 2.00 cents and EPS of 8.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.85%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 29.38.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 16.4, implying annual growth of 152.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 3.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.3.

Market Sentiment: 0.7

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


UBS rates WSA as Neutral (3) -

A breakeven profit result from Western Areas in a low nickel price environment was as the broker expected. The bottom line is the miner's strong leverage to nickel prices means they have to be higher to make money. The broker's longer term nickel price view is bullish on EV demand.

In the meantime, Neutral retained given the stock is trading at a full price with Odysseus carrying development risk. Target rises to $2.40 from $2.30.

Target price is $2.40 Current Price is $2.35 Difference: $0.05
If WSA meets the UBS target it will return approximately 2% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $2.66, suggesting upside of 13.4% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

UBS forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 1.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 235.00.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 6.5, implying annual growth of 49.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 2.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 36.2.

Forecast for FY20:

UBS forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 21.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 11.19.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 16.4, implying annual growth of 152.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 3.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.3.

Market Sentiment: 0.7

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

WTC  WISETECH GLOBAL LIMITED

Cloud services

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Overnight Price: $19.90

UPDATED

Citi rates WTC as Neutral (3) -

WiseTech Global's first-half result broadly met expectations, the company posting strong M&A and organic growth.

Management guidance for strong growth may fall shy of consensus but was close to Citi's forecasts.

Neutral rating retained, Citi noting the recent share price rally, and advises waiting for a better entry point. Target price rises to $21.09 from $20.66.

Target price is $21.09 Current Price is $19.90 Difference: $1.19
If WTC meets the Citi target it will return approximately 6% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $19.80, suggesting downside of -0.5% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Citi forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 4.10 cents and EPS of 19.30 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.21%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 103.11.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 18.6, implying annual growth of 33.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 3.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 107.0.

Forecast for FY20:

Citi forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 5.50 cents and EPS of 27.90 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.28%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 71.33.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 27.0, implying annual growth of 45.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 5.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 73.7.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Macquarie rates WTC as Neutral (3) -

First half results were broadly in line with expectations. Macquarie considers the business high-quality and capable of driving long-term value via both organic growth and acquisitions.

Forecasts assume acquisitions are ongoing. Successful penetration into other market verticals will also be an important barometer.

As the stock trades at a significant premium to both domestic and international peers a Neutral rating is maintained. Target rises 7% to $20.00.

Target price is $20.00 Current Price is $19.90 Difference: $0.1
If WTC meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 1% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $19.80, suggesting downside of -0.5% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 3.40 cents and EPS of 18.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.17%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 110.56.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 18.6, implying annual growth of 33.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 3.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 107.0.

Forecast for FY20:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 5.40 cents and EPS of 27.10 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.27%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 73.43.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 27.0, implying annual growth of 45.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 5.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 73.7.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Morgan Stanley rates WTC as Overweight (1) -

First half results beat Morgan Stanley's estimates. Revenue guidance has been lifted for FY19 to $322-335m. Operating earnings (EBITDA) guidance is unchanged at $102-107m.

Target is $20. Overweight rating. Industry view is Attractive.

Target price is $20.00 Current Price is $19.90 Difference: $0.1
If WTC meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately 1% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $19.80, suggesting downside of -0.5% (ex-dividends)

Forecast for FY19:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 18.6, implying annual growth of 33.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 3.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 107.0.

Forecast for FY20:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 27.0, implying annual growth of 45.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 5.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 73.7.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Ord Minnett rates WTC as Downgrade to Hold from Buy (3) -

The first half result was better than Ord Minnett expected. The only issue the broker has is with guidance, which was revised slightly higher and potentially implies softer second half organic growth.

Ord Minnett lowers the rating to Hold from Buy as some risk is creeping into FY20. Target is raised to $18.12 from $17.87.

Target price is $18.12 Current Price is $19.90 Difference: minus $1.78 (current price is over target).
If WTC meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately minus 9% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $19.80, suggesting downside of -0.5% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 3.60 cents and EPS of 18.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.18%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 106.99.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 18.6, implying annual growth of 33.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 3.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 107.0.

Forecast for FY20:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 4.80 cents and EPS of 25.90 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.24%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 76.83.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 27.0, implying annual growth of 45.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 5.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 73.7.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

Today's Price Target Changes
Company Broker New Target Prev Target Change
A2M A2 MILK Citi 14.60 10.65 37.09%
Macquarie 15.75 12.60 25.00%
Morgan Stanley 10.50 9.60 9.38%
Morgans 13.66 12.35 10.61%
AFG AUSTRALIAN FINANCE Morgans 1.80 2.00 -10.00%
ANZ ANZ BANKING GROUP Morgans 29.00 28.50 1.75%
APA APA Citi 8.99 11.00 -18.27%
Credit Suisse 8.75 7.65 14.38%
Deutsche Bank 9.90 11.00 -10.00%
Macquarie 9.49 9.18 3.38%
Morgan Stanley 9.28 8.88 4.50%
Morgans 8.53 8.40 1.55%
Ord Minnett 10.00 9.65 3.63%
UBS 9.10 10.00 -9.00%
APE AP EAGERS Credit Suisse 7.00 7.90 -11.39%
Morgans 8.03 7.94 1.13%
Ord Minnett 7.50 7.00 7.14%
ARB ARB CORP Credit Suisse 17.20 17.90 -3.91%
Macquarie 20.00 22.00 -9.09%
ASX ASX Morgans 57.11 53.63 6.49%
CDD CARDNO Deutsche Bank 1.35 1.65 -18.18%
CQR CHARTER HALL RETAIL Citi 3.68 3.70 -0.54%
Macquarie 4.07 4.00 1.75%
UBS 4.31 4.21 2.38%
CTD CORPORATE TRAVEL Macquarie 28.70 24.50 17.14%
Morgan Stanley 31.00 27.00 14.81%
Morgans 31.65 26.72 18.45%
Ord Minnett 31.47 30.30 3.86%
UBS 32.25 31.20 3.37%
CWN CROWN RESORTS Deutsche Bank 11.70 12.30 -4.88%
Macquarie 12.20 12.65 -3.56%
Ord Minnett 12.00 13.45 -10.78%
UBS 12.05 12.90 -6.59%
DMP DOMINO'S PIZZA Citi 45.60 43.40 5.07%
Credit Suisse 35.40 36.04 -1.78%
Deutsche Bank 35.00 36.00 -2.78%
Macquarie 51.40 54.00 -4.81%
Morgan Stanley 50.00 65.00 -23.08%
Morgans 47.27 50.01 -5.48%
Ord Minnett 42.00 42.50 -1.18%
UBS 48.50 57.00 -14.91%
DTL DATA#3 Morgans 1.85 1.67 10.78%
EBO EBOS GROUP Morgans 20.43 N/A -
FBU FLETCHER BUILDING Morgan Stanley 4.81 4.72 1.91%
FMG FORTESCUE Citi 6.40 6.20 3.23%
Credit Suisse 6.00 5.10 17.65%
Deutsche Bank 4.90 3.30 48.48%
Macquarie 7.60 7.50 1.33%
Morgans 5.50 5.45 0.92%
Ord Minnett 6.70 6.00 11.67%
UBS 5.60 5.00 12.00%
LOV LOVISA Macquarie 11.00 11.50 -4.35%
Morgan Stanley 9.00 8.40 7.14%
Morgans 10.57 8.06 31.14%
MMS MCMILLAN SHAKESPEARE Citi 16.82 17.57 -4.27%
Credit Suisse 14.45 17.65 -18.13%
Macquarie 14.21 17.41 -18.38%
Morgan Stanley 16.60 17.25 -3.77%
Ord Minnett 13.50 16.00 -15.63%
MOE MOELIS AUSTRALIA Ord Minnett 6.63 6.67 -0.60%
NWH NRW HOLDINGS Deutsche Bank 2.31 2.20 5.00%
UBS 2.55 2.35 8.51%
OGC OCEANAGOLD Deutsche Bank 4.70 4.50 4.44%
UBS 4.75 4.60 3.26%
PGH PACT GROUP Deutsche Bank 4.25 5.00 -15.00%
Macquarie 2.66 3.40 -21.76%
Morgans 2.62 3.01 -12.96%
Ord Minnett 2.80 3.60 -22.22%
RRL REGIS RESOURCES Deutsche Bank 4.50 4.30 4.65%
Macquarie 5.60 5.10 9.80%
SBM ST BARBARA Deutsche Bank 4.80 4.50 6.67%
Macquarie 5.20 4.80 8.33%
SCG SCENTRE GROUP Citi 3.54 3.66 -3.28%
Deutsche Bank 3.94 4.12 -4.37%
Macquarie 3.69 4.12 -10.44%
Ord Minnett 4.30 4.50 -4.44%
UBS 4.18 4.58 -8.73%
SGM SIMS METAL MANAGEMENT Deutsche Bank 11.00 10.50 4.76%
Macquarie 14.00 14.65 -4.44%
UBS 9.10 8.50 7.06%
SGP STOCKLAND Citi 3.88 4.00 -3.00%
Deutsche Bank 4.39 4.55 -3.52%
Macquarie 3.59 3.71 -3.23%
SHL SONIC HEALTHCARE Citi 24.75 25.25 -1.98%
Deutsche Bank 24.70 24.85 -0.60%
Macquarie 25.50 25.20 1.19%
Morgan Stanley 27.00 26.40 2.27%
Morgans 28.00 27.95 0.18%
Ord Minnett 27.40 24.10 13.69%
UBS 24.00 23.20 3.45%
SVW SEVEN GROUP Credit Suisse 20.10 18.00 11.67%
Macquarie 23.00 24.10 -4.56%
Ord Minnett 22.67 21.44 5.74%
SXY SENEX ENERGY Morgan Stanley 0.38 0.40 -5.00%
WOR WORLEYPARSONS Citi 18.85 20.70 -8.94%
Credit Suisse 18.20 17.60 3.41%
Deutsche Bank 19.95 20.65 -3.39%
Macquarie 21.15 21.30 -0.70%
Morgan Stanley 16.00 18.33 -12.71%
Ord Minnett 18.50 18.40 0.54%
UBS 17.10 19.30 -11.40%
WOW WOOLWORTHS Citi 29.00 31.30 -7.35%
Credit Suisse 27.84 29.17 -4.56%
Macquarie 26.26 27.91 -5.91%
Morgans 27.82 29.11 -4.43%
UBS 30.80 31.25 -1.44%
WSA WESTERN AREAS Deutsche Bank 3.10 3.10 0.00%
Macquarie 2.70 2.60 3.85%
UBS 2.40 2.30 4.35%
WTC WISETECH GLOBAL Citi 21.09 20.66 2.08%
Macquarie 20.00 18.70 6.95%
Ord Minnett 18.12 17.87 1.40%
Summaries
A2M A2 MILK Neutral - Citi Overnight Price $14.10
Downgrade to Neutral from Outperform - Credit Suisse Overnight Price $14.10
Buy - Deutsche Bank Overnight Price $14.10
Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $14.10
Underweight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $14.10
Downgrade to Hold from Add - Morgans Overnight Price $14.10
Neutral - UBS Overnight Price $14.10
AFG AUSTRALIAN FINANCE Add - Morgans Overnight Price $1.18
AHY ASALEO CARE Buy - Citi Overnight Price $0.93
Outperform - Credit Suisse Overnight Price $0.93
No Rating - Macquarie Overnight Price $0.93
ANZ ANZ BANKING GROUP Add - Morgans Overnight Price $27.77
APA APA Neutral - Citi Overnight Price $9.67
Upgrade to Neutral from Underperform - Credit Suisse Overnight Price $9.67
Upgrade to Buy from Hold - Deutsche Bank Overnight Price $9.67
Neutral - Macquarie Overnight Price $9.67
Equal-weight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $9.67
Hold - Morgans Overnight Price $9.67
Hold - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $9.67
Neutral - UBS Overnight Price $9.67
APE AP EAGERS Neutral - Credit Suisse Overnight Price $7.05
Equal-weight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $7.05
Upgrade to Add from Hold - Morgans Overnight Price $7.05
Upgrade to Accumulate from Hold - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $7.05
ARB ARB CORP Neutral - Credit Suisse Overnight Price $16.47
Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $16.47
ASX ASX Reduce - Morgans Overnight Price $69.51
AWC ALUMINA Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $2.66
Hold - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $2.66
BXB BRAMBLES Buy - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $11.60
CDD CARDNO Buy - Deutsche Bank Overnight Price $0.99
CQR CHARTER HALL RETAIL Sell - Citi Overnight Price $4.56
Underperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $4.56
Neutral - UBS Overnight Price $4.56
CTD CORPORATE TRAVEL Neutral - Macquarie Overnight Price $29.27
Overweight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $29.27
Add - Morgans Overnight Price $29.27
Buy - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $29.27
Buy - UBS Overnight Price $29.27
CWN CROWN RESORTS Hold - Deutsche Bank Overnight Price $11.40
Neutral - Macquarie Overnight Price $11.40
Equal-weight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $11.40
Hold - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $11.40
Neutral - UBS Overnight Price $11.40
DMP DOMINO'S PIZZA Neutral - Citi Overnight Price $44.41
Underperform - Credit Suisse Overnight Price $44.41
Sell - Deutsche Bank Overnight Price $44.41
Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $44.41
Overweight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $44.41
Hold - Morgans Overnight Price $44.41
Lighten - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $44.41
Neutral - UBS Overnight Price $44.41
DTL DATA#3 Upgrade to Add from Hold - Morgans Overnight Price $1.64
EBO EBOS GROUP Hold - Morgans Overnight Price $21.20
Neutral - UBS Overnight Price $21.20
FBU FLETCHER BUILDING Neutral - Citi Overnight Price $4.69
Hold - Deutsche Bank Overnight Price $4.69
Equal-weight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $4.69
Neutral - UBS Overnight Price $4.69
FLT FLIGHT CENTRE Neutral - Citi Overnight Price $44.30
Neutral - Macquarie Overnight Price $44.30
FMG FORTESCUE Neutral - Citi Overnight Price $6.41
Downgrade to Neutral from Outperform - Credit Suisse Overnight Price $6.41
Sell - Deutsche Bank Overnight Price $6.41
Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $6.41
Equal-weight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $6.41
Reduce - Morgans Overnight Price $6.41
Hold - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $6.41
Sell - UBS Overnight Price $6.41
ILU ILUKA RESOURCES Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $9.44
Accumulate - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $9.44
LOV LOVISA Buy - Citi Overnight Price $9.77
Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $9.77
Equal-weight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $9.77
Add - Morgans Overnight Price $9.77
MAI MAINSTREAM GROUP HOLDINGS Add - Morgans Overnight Price $0.55
MMS MCMILLAN SHAKESPEARE Buy - Citi Overnight Price $12.30
Outperform - Credit Suisse Overnight Price $12.30
Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $12.30
Overweight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $12.30
Hold - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $12.30
MOE MOELIS AUSTRALIA Upgrade to Buy from Accumulate - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $5.12
NEA NEARMAP Overweight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $2.44
NEC NINE ENTERTAINMENT Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $1.57
NWH NRW HOLDINGS Hold - Deutsche Bank Overnight Price $2.23
Buy - UBS Overnight Price $2.23
OGC OCEANAGOLD Hold - Deutsche Bank Overnight Price $4.71
Neutral - Macquarie Overnight Price $4.71
Neutral - UBS Overnight Price $4.71
ORG ORIGIN ENERGY Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $7.66
PGH PACT GROUP Buy - Deutsche Bank Overnight Price $2.63
Underperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $2.63
Upgrade to Hold from Reduce - Morgans Overnight Price $2.63
Hold - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $2.63
QAN QANTAS AIRWAYS No Rating - Macquarie Overnight Price $5.77
Sell - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $5.77
RDC REDCAPE HOTEL Buy - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $1.04
RIC RIDLEY CORP Neutral - Credit Suisse Overnight Price $1.37
RRL REGIS RESOURCES Underperform - Credit Suisse Overnight Price $5.53
Downgrade to Sell from Hold - Deutsche Bank Overnight Price $5.53
Neutral - Macquarie Overnight Price $5.53
Downgrade to Sell from Neutral - UBS Overnight Price $5.53
SBM ST BARBARA Underperform - Credit Suisse Overnight Price $4.82
Hold - Deutsche Bank Overnight Price $4.82
Neutral - Macquarie Overnight Price $4.82
SCG SCENTRE GROUP Sell - Citi Overnight Price $3.84
Hold - Deutsche Bank Overnight Price $3.84
Neutral - Macquarie Overnight Price $3.84
Hold - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $3.84
Buy - UBS Overnight Price $3.84
SDF STEADFAST GROUP Neutral - Credit Suisse Overnight Price $3.06
Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $3.06
SGM SIMS METAL MANAGEMENT Outperform - Credit Suisse Overnight Price $11.44
Hold - Deutsche Bank Overnight Price $11.44
Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $11.44
Overweight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $11.44
Sell - UBS Overnight Price $11.44
SGP STOCKLAND Downgrade to Neutral from Buy - Citi Overnight Price $3.65
Buy - Deutsche Bank Overnight Price $3.65
Neutral - Macquarie Overnight Price $3.65
Accumulate - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $3.65
Sell - UBS Overnight Price $3.65
SGR STAR ENTERTAINMENT Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $4.65
SHL SONIC HEALTHCARE Downgrade to Neutral from Buy - Citi Overnight Price $24.58
Neutral - Credit Suisse Overnight Price $24.58
Downgrade to Hold from Buy - Deutsche Bank Overnight Price $24.58
Neutral - Macquarie Overnight Price $24.58
Overweight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $24.58
Add - Morgans Overnight Price $24.58
Upgrade to Accumulate from Hold - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $24.58
Neutral - UBS Overnight Price $24.58
SPK SPARK NEW ZEALAND Underperform - Credit Suisse Overnight Price $3.59
Hold - Deutsche Bank Overnight Price $3.59
Neutral - Macquarie Overnight Price $3.59
Neutral - UBS Overnight Price $3.59
STO SANTOS Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $6.98
SVW SEVEN GROUP Outperform - Credit Suisse Overnight Price $18.83
Buy - Deutsche Bank Overnight Price $18.83
Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $18.83
Accumulate - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $18.83
Buy - UBS Overnight Price $18.83
SXY SENEX ENERGY Equal-weight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $0.37
Downgrade to Hold from Buy - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $0.37
SYD SYDNEY AIRPORT Buy - Deutsche Bank Overnight Price $7.07
Underperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $7.07
WES WESFARMERS Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $34.97
Lighten - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $34.97
WOR WORLEYPARSONS Buy - Citi Overnight Price $14.78
Outperform - Credit Suisse Overnight Price $14.78
Buy - Deutsche Bank Overnight Price $14.78
Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $14.78
Equal-weight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $14.78
Buy - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $14.78
Neutral - UBS Overnight Price $14.78
WOW WOOLWORTHS Neutral - Citi Overnight Price $28.35
Neutral - Credit Suisse Overnight Price $28.35
Buy - Deutsche Bank Overnight Price $28.35
Underperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $28.35
Underweight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $28.35
Hold - Morgans Overnight Price $28.35
Hold - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $28.35
Buy - UBS Overnight Price $28.35
WSA WESTERN AREAS Outperform - Credit Suisse Overnight Price $2.35
Buy - Deutsche Bank Overnight Price $2.35
Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $2.35
Equal-weight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $2.35
Neutral - UBS Overnight Price $2.35
WTC WISETECH GLOBAL Neutral - Citi Overnight Price $19.90
Neutral - Macquarie Overnight Price $19.90
Overweight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $19.90
Downgrade to Hold from Buy - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $19.90
RATING SUMMARY
Rating No. Of Recommendations
1. Buy

63

2. Accumulate

5

3. Hold

77

4. Reduce

2

5. Sell

22

Thursday 21 February 2019

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