Australian Broker Call

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August 04, 2021

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COMPANIES DISCUSSED IN THIS ISSUE

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The number next to the symbol represents the number of brokers covering it for this report -(if more than 1).

Last Updated: 05:00 PM

Your daily news report on the latest recommendation, valuation, forecast and opinion changes.

This report includes concise but limited reviews of research recently published by Stockbrokers, which should be considered as information concerning likely market behaviour rather than advice on the securities mentioned. Do not act on the contents of this Report without first reading the important information included at the end.

For more info about the different terms used by stockbrokers, as well as the different methodologies behind similar sounding ratings, download our guide HERE

Today's Upgrades and Downgrades
COF - Centuria Office REIT Overweight Morgan Stanley
29M  29METALS LIMITED

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Overnight Price: $2.35

Macquarie rates 29M as Initiation of coverage with Outperform (1) -

29Metals owns the Golden Grove multi-metal underground mine in Western Australia and the Capricorn copper mine in Queensland. The company expects to produce 37,000t of copper in 2021 from these two core operations.

Production growth is largely underpinned by rising head grades and the company is expected to deliver an 11% compound growth rate over the next five years.

Macquarie initiates coverage with an Outperform rating and $3 target and believes improved production results will be the key catalyst over 2021.

Target price is $3.00 Current Price is $2.35 Difference: $0.65
If 29M meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 28% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY21:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 15.10 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.56.

Forecast for FY22:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 1.90 cents and EPS of 6.20 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.81%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 37.90.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

AGI  AINSWORTH GAME TECHNOLOGY LIMITED

Gaming

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Overnight Price: $1.01

Macquarie rates AGI as Outperform (1) -

US casino revenues were up 8% versus pre-covid levels in June 2021, based on data from 25 US states, or around 95% of the market.

Locally, markets continue to outperform tourism driven markets, and Macquarie sees an improving trend in visitor traffic and airport passenger volumes.

For Ainsworth Game Technology, the broker maintains an Outperform rating, supported by improved balance sheet capacity, and the recent GameAccount Network deal. Macquarie also retains its $1.30 price target.

Target price is $1.30 Current Price is $1.01 Difference: $0.29
If AGI meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 29% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY21:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 3.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 28.06.

Forecast for FY22:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 3.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 27.30.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

ALL  ARISTOCRAT LEISURE LIMITED

Gaming

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Overnight Price: $41.56

Macquarie rates ALL as Neutral (3) -

US casino revenues were up 8% versus pre-covid levels in June 2021, based on data from 25 US states, or around 95% of the market.

Locally, markets continue to outperform tourism driven markets, and Macquarie sees an improving trend in visitor traffic and airport passenger volumes.

For Aristocrat Leisure, the broker maintains a Neutral rating, due to caution on digital volumes cycling covid benefits, and thinks that North American land-based expectations, which include growth, are captured in forecasts. The $39 price target is also maintained.

Target price is $39.00 Current Price is $41.56 Difference: minus $2.56 (current price is over target).
If ALL meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately minus 6% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $43.52, suggesting upside of 5.9% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in September.

Forecast for FY21:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 34.50 cents and EPS of 126.90 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.83%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 32.75.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 124.7, implying annual growth of -42.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 41.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 33.0.

Forecast for FY22:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 65.50 cents and EPS of 163.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.58%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 25.39.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 161.4, implying annual growth of 29.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 63.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 25.5.

Market Sentiment: 0.6

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

ANN  ANSELL LIMITED

Commercial Services & Supplies

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Overnight Price: $40.64

Macquarie rates ANN as Neutral (3) -

Increased demand for personal protective equipment during the pandemic has supported earnings in FY21 yet Macquarie is cautious heading into the results on August 23, particularly regarding the sustainability of growth over the medium to longer term.

The broker envisages a more favourable supply/demand balance will present downside risk to average selling prices in FY22 and into FY23.

Still, at present, industrial trends appear favourable and Ansell retains a strong balance sheet. Neutral maintained. Target is raised to $40.30 from $40.20.

Target price is $40.30 Current Price is $40.64 Difference: minus $0.34 (current price is over target).
If ANN meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately minus 1% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $45.01, suggesting upside of 12.6% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY21:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 108.17 cents and EPS of 259.36 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.66%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.67.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 256.1, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 109.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.6.

Forecast for FY22:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 105.24 cents and EPS of 238.44 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.59%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 17.04.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 244.5, implying annual growth of -4.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 108.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 16.3.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

APT  AFTERPAY LIMITED

Business & Consumer Credit

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Overnight Price: $127.85

Macquarie rates APT as Outperform (1) -

The proposed acquisition of Afterpay by Square is on par with the ratio that both companies' shares have traded at in the year to date, Macquarie observes.

While Afterpay has signed a "no-shop" clause whereby it cannot solicit other offers, the broker points out, if a superior offer is made and the clause is not breached, Afterpay still has the option of accepting at the cost of a -$375m break fee.

Macquarie retains an Outperform rating and moves the target to $160 from $140.

Target price is $160.00 Current Price is $127.85 Difference: $32.15
If APT meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 25% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $122.23, suggesting downside of -3.4% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY21:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 59.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 216.69.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is -22.7, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is N/A.

Forecast for FY22:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 72.40 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 176.59.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 22.2, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 570.0.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Morgan Stanley rates APT as No Rating (-1) -

In the wake of Afterpay's partly pre-reported FY21result, Morgan Stanley notes some investors have been concerned about the merchant fee falling.

The broker points out the fees were flat year-on-year at 3.9% in FY21, and improved by more than 15 basis points (bps) half-on-half to around 4.0% in the second half, on a mix tilt to SME's. 

Higher-margin US affiliate cards were introduced at the end of FY21 and Afterpay is trialing further monetisation opportunities.

The analyst reduces revenue forecasts by -5% in FY22-23, given lower FY21 gross merchant value (GMV), partly offset by circa 10bps better merchant margins. The underlying earnings (EBITDA) estimates fall -19% and -13% for FY22 and FY23, given the operating leverage.

The broker has no rating or target price. Industry view: In-Line.

Current Price is $127.85. Target price not assessed.

Current consensus price target is $122.23, suggesting downside of -3.4% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY21:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 29.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 440.86.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is -22.7, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is N/A.

Forecast for FY22:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 37.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 345.54.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 22.2, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 570.0.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

CBA  COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA

Banks

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Overnight Price: $101.45

Ord Minnett rates CBA as Hold (3) -

Ord Minnett has updated forecasts on Commonwealth Bank in line with changes made by the company to financial reporting. 

The broker notes the effect of these changes is a small uplift in operating expense forecasts, due to higher expensing of investment spending. Ord Minnett's cash net profit forecasts decrease -0.4% for the second half of FY21, and -0.3% for both FY22 and FY23 accordingly. 

Commonwealth Bank is Ord Minnett's least preferred pick among the major banks. The Hold rating and target price of $92.00 is retained.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Target price is $92.00 Current Price is $101.45 Difference: minus $9.45 (current price is over target).
If CBA meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately minus 9% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $89.54, suggesting downside of -12.4% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY21:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 335.00 cents and EPS of 461.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.30%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 22.01.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 471.7, implying annual growth of -13.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 343.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 21.7.

Forecast for FY22:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 390.00 cents and EPS of 503.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.84%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 20.17.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 520.0, implying annual growth of 10.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 390.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 19.7.

Market Sentiment: -0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

CCP  CREDIT CORP GROUP LIMITED

Business & Consumer Credit

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Overnight Price: $28.58

Macquarie rates CCP as Outperform (1) -

FY21 net profit was up 11% despite low purchased debt ledger (PDL) forward flows while FY22 guidance implies 8% growth, Macquarie notes. Results were supported by productivity in debt-buying business.

The broker believes the company is navigating the current low volumes well, while there are plenty of potential positives in the outlook. The broker retains an Outperform rating and reduces the target to $33.10 from $34.80.

Target price is $33.10 Current Price is $28.58 Difference: $4.52
If CCP meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 16% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $32.95, suggesting upside of 11.9% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 78.00 cents and EPS of 141.20 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.73%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 20.24.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 140.7, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 76.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 20.9.

Forecast for FY23:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 86.00 cents and EPS of 155.90 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.01%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 18.33.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 159.3, implying annual growth of 13.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 83.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 18.5.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Morgans rates CCP as Add (1) -

Credit Corp Group delivered FY21 profit in-line with expectations and up 10.7% on the underlying previous corresponding period. This was considered driven by the US division, which increased around 120%.

The broker highlights second half profit was up 8.5% on the first half, benefitting from the Collection House ((CLH)) book acquisition. FY22 guidance is for $85-95m, with the bottom-end considered to reflect a (typically) conservative position early in the year.

The analyst notes A&NZ purchased debt ledger (PDL) supply remains subdued, however, the group’s US outlook is building with a strong contracted purchasing position. Morgans retains its Add rating and raises its target price to $33.75 from $33.45.

Target price is $33.75 Current Price is $28.58 Difference: $5.17
If CCP meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 18% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $32.95, suggesting upside of 11.9% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 74.00 cents and EPS of 142.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.59%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 20.13.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 140.7, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 76.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 20.9.

Forecast for FY23:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 81.00 cents and EPS of 162.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.83%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 17.64.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 159.3, implying annual growth of 13.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 83.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 18.5.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Ord Minnett rates CCP as Buy (1) -

Credit Corp Group's underlying net profit for FY21 of $88.1m was a slight miss on Ord Minnett's forecast of $89.7m, but up 10.8% on FY20 results. The company has also reported a fully franked final dividend of 36 cents per share. 

Ord Minnett notes that guidance provided by management for FY22 was below market expectations, and the broker expects this to be conservative.

According to the broker, Credit Corp maintains a favourable market position with $370m in liquidity ready to capture market share gains when industry volumes return.

The Buy rating is retained and the target price increases to $32.00 from $31.50.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Target price is $32.00 Current Price is $28.58 Difference: $3.42
If CCP meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 12% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $32.95, suggesting upside of 11.9% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 76.00 cents and EPS of 139.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.66%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 20.56.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 140.7, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 76.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 20.9.

Forecast for FY23:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY23 EPS of 160.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 17.86.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 159.3, implying annual growth of 13.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 83.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 18.5.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

COF  CENTURIA OFFICE REIT

REITs

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Overnight Price: $2.45

Credit Suisse rates COF as Neutral (3) -

FY21 results were broadly in line with expectations while Credit Suisse suspects FY22 guidance could be conservative. A lower earnings outlook is largely stemming from an FY21 lease surrender payment as well as the sale of 465 Victoria Avenue, Chatswood.

The main driver over the short term is successful management of current vacancies and the upcoming lease expiries and the broker suspects FY22 will be a trough year. Neutral maintained. Target rises to $2.48 from $2.20.

Target price is $2.48 Current Price is $2.45 Difference: $0.03
If COF meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately 1% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $2.48, suggesting upside of 1.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 17.00 cents and EPS of 18.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.94%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.61.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 18.3, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 16.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.3.

Forecast for FY23:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 17.00 cents and EPS of 19.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.94%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 12.89.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 19.2, implying annual growth of 4.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 17.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 7.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.7.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Morgan Stanley rates COF as Overweight (1) -

In-line with Morgan Stanley's estimate, Centuria Office REIT reported FY21 funds from operations (FFO) of $102.2m. For the first time management provided FY22 FFO/DPS guidance of 18cps/16.6cps, both below the broker's 18.6cps/17.6cps estimates.

The analyst highlights positives including occupancy at the end of FY21 of 93.1%, up from 91.5% at the half-year, and leasing activity was strong. One negative is FY22 FFO guidance was -3% below the broker's estimate.

The broker remains bullish on the REIT and office markets in general, and estimates FY22 FFO of 18.3cps. Morgan Stanley maintains its Overweight rating and $2.70 target price. Industry view: In-line.

Target price is $2.70 Current Price is $2.45 Difference: $0.25
If COF meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately 10% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $2.48, suggesting upside of 1.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY22 EPS of 19.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 12.89.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 18.3, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 16.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.3.

Forecast for FY23:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY23 EPS of 20.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 12.25.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 19.2, implying annual growth of 4.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 17.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 7.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.7.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Morgans rates COF as Hold (3) -

FY21 results for Centuria Office REIT were in-line with guidance, as was the FY21 DPS of 16.5c (83% payout ratio). Guidance was for funds from operations (FFO) of 18c and DPS of 16.5c, which implies to Morgans a distribution yield of 6.8%, paid quarterly.

At June, the weighted average lease expiry (WALE) across the portfolio was 4.3 years and occupancy 93.1%. The analyst notes FY22 and FY23 lease expiries are 7.2% and 13.4%.

Morgans adjust its FY22 FFO to be in-line with guidance, with upside likely, dependent on some leasing outcomes, particularly at Robina Town Centre. The broker retains its Hold rating and edges up its price target to $2.50 from $2.49.

Target price is $2.50 Current Price is $2.45 Difference: $0.05
If COF meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 2% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $2.48, suggesting upside of 1.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 16.60 cents and EPS of 18.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.78%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.61.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 18.3, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 16.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.3.

Forecast for FY23:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 17.40 cents and EPS of 18.90 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 7.10%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 12.96.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 19.2, implying annual growth of 4.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 17.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 7.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.7.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


UBS rates COF as Sell (5) -

FY21 results were in line with UBS estimates. The result was supported by a Foxtel lease surrender payment and adjusting for this abnormal item, as well as guidance for FY22 of at least 18.0c per security, the broker is underwhelmed.

Yet, UBS acknowledges that maybe guidance is also conservative and reflecting caution regarding current lockdowns. Sell rating maintained and the target is steady at $2.25.

Target price is $2.25 Current Price is $2.45 Difference: minus $0.2 (current price is over target).
If COF meets the UBS target it will return approximately minus 8% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $2.48, suggesting upside of 1.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

UBS forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 17.00 cents and EPS of 18.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.94%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.61.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 18.3, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 16.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.3.

Forecast for FY23:

UBS forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 17.00 cents and EPS of 19.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.94%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 12.89.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 19.2, implying annual growth of 4.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 17.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 7.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.7.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

COH  COCHLEAR LIMITED

Medical Equipment & Devices

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Overnight Price: $249.20

Credit Suisse rates COH as Neutral (3) -

Credit Suisse expects a final dividend of $1.08 when the company reports its FY21 results on August 20. Management has not updated the market since the first half results in February, so unit and services sales growth will be key areas to focus on.

The broker expects management will provide a wide earnings guidance range for FY22 and forecasts net profit of $307m. As a result of FX changes, the broker upgrades estimates and increases the target to $235 from $225. Neutral maintained.

Target price is $235.00 Current Price is $249.20 Difference: minus $14.2 (current price is over target).
If COH meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately minus 6% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $220.73, suggesting downside of -11.4% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY21:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 223.00 cents and EPS of 370.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.89%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 67.35.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 377.5, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 238.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 66.0.

Forecast for FY22:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 303.00 cents and EPS of 467.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.22%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 53.36.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 455.8, implying annual growth of 20.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 325.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 54.7.

Market Sentiment: -0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

CSL  CSL LIMITED

Pharmaceuticals & Biotech/Lifesciences

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Overnight Price: $294.31

Macquarie rates CSL as Neutral (3) -

Foot traffic at the company's US plasma collection centres has remain subdued. These trends are likely to have an impact on finished products in the second half of FY22 and FY23, Macquarie suggests.

The number of new coronavirus cases in the US has increased recently and unemployment benefits will continue until September. Meanwhile, restrictions in relation to paid donations from Mexican citizens are ongoing.

This forms the basis of Macquarie's assumptions and a Neutral rating is maintained. Target is reduced to $308 from $312.

Target price is $308.00 Current Price is $294.31 Difference: $13.69
If CSL meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 5% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $301.44, suggesting upside of 3.3% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY21:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 298.92 cents and EPS of 674.17 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.02%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 43.66.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 679.1, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 270.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 43.0.

Forecast for FY22:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 302.92 cents and EPS of 683.36 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.03%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 43.07.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 657.8, implying annual growth of -3.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 290.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 44.4.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

EOS  ELECTRO OPTIC SYSTEMS HOLDINGS LIMITED

Hardware & Equipment

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Overnight Price: $4.30

Citi rates EOS as Buy (1) -

The $100bn Australian guided missile program is an opportunity for the company to expand into a new defence category yet Citi notes at this stage the earnings potential is unclear.

The government is likely to spread the contract over multiple partners and two decades. Initially, the company may also have to depend on foreign and other tech partners, the broker adds, while Electro Optic has not made any missile sales before.

Buy/High Risk retained. Target is $5.15.

Target price is $5.15 Current Price is $4.30 Difference: $0.85
If EOS meets the Citi target it will return approximately 20% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY21:

Citi forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 0.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 614.29.

Forecast for FY22:

Citi forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 10.30 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 41.75.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

GUD  G.U.D. HOLDINGS LIMITED

Household & Personal Products

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Overnight Price: $12.10

Citi rates GUD as Neutral (3) -

GUD Holdings released its FY21 financials earlier today and Citi, upon initial glance, concludes the bottom line result is broadly in-line when adjusted for several one-offs impacting on the financial performance.

These one-offs, explain the analysts, relate to acquisition due diligence and execution, as well as restructuring. Management has refrained from providing guidance; too many uncertainties.

Citi analysts note the shares have rallied ahead of today's release, but they see limited potential for consensus to further upgrade FY22 forecasts, excluding any further acquisitions.

Neutral. Target $14.20.

Target price is $14.20 Current Price is $12.10 Difference: $2.1
If GUD meets the Citi target it will return approximately 17% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $13.57, suggesting upside of 16.0% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY21:

Citi forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 50.00 cents and EPS of 65.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.13%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 18.42.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 68.6, implying annual growth of 36.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 50.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 17.1.

Forecast for FY22:

Citi forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 55.00 cents and EPS of 74.40 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.55%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 16.26.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 76.0, implying annual growth of 10.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 54.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.4.

Market Sentiment: 0.4

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

NWH  NRW HOLDINGS LIMITED

Mining Sector Contracting

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Overnight Price: $1.76

Macquarie rates NWH as Outperform (1) -

NRW Holdings has won numerous new contracts, totalling $155m with key clients, within the Minerals, Energy and Technology (METS) business. Macquarie sees upside in this business, with management targeting a revenue run-rate of $500-600m.

The METS business derives from the newly-acquired Primero Group. Macquarie maintains its Outperform rating and $2.15 target price.

Target price is $2.15 Current Price is $1.76 Difference: $0.39
If NWH meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 22% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY21:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 7.00 cents and EPS of 13.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.98%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 12.85.

Forecast for FY22:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 7.00 cents and EPS of 20.80 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.98%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 8.46.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

NWS  NEWS CORPORATION

Print, Radio & TV

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Overnight Price: $32.13

Macquarie rates NWS as Outperform (1) -

Macquarie considers the Oil Price Information Service acquisition for -US$1.15bn is in-line with group strategy though made at a reasonably full valuation.

Separately for upcoming results, the broker forecasts FY21 reported earnings (EBITDA) of US$1,350m, which is around 3% above consensus. It's estimated this is underpinned by continued strong cost management in the Books and SVS (Foxtel) businesses.

In the medium term, the analyst expects increasing focus on the performance of the digital assets, which underpin the high-single-digit earnings growth profile.

Macquarie retains its Outperform rating and lifts its target price to $51 from $46.30, with higher Dow Jones earnings (higher multiple) more than offsetting SVS' declines (lower multiple).

Target price is $51.00 Current Price is $32.13 Difference: $18.87
If NWS meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 59% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $42.33, suggesting upside of 32.0% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY21:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 26.64 cents and EPS of 73.93 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.83%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 43.46.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 67.9, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 27.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 47.2.

Forecast for FY22:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 26.64 cents and EPS of 121.75 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.83%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 26.39.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 94.8, implying annual growth of 39.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 28.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 33.8.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


UBS rates NWS as Buy (1) -

News Corp will acquire Oil Price Information Services for -US$1.15bn and expects a tax benefit of US$180m as part of the transaction. The service provides benchmark and reference pricing as well as news and analysis for both the oil sector and renewables.

The acquisition is subject to the completion of the S&P Global and IHS Markit merger in the fourth quarter of 2021. UBS observes this provides Dow Jones with another relatively defensive subscription-based data product.

OPIS revenues have grown at a consistent rate during the GFC and oil market downturn, as well as the current pandemic. The broker estimates the proposed acquisition will return the company to a modest net debt position by June 2022. Buy rating and $39.50 target retained.

Target price is $39.50 Current Price is $32.13 Difference: $7.37
If NWS meets the UBS target it will return approximately 23% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $42.33, suggesting upside of 32.0% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY21:

UBS forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 26.64 cents and EPS of 73.27 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.83%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 43.85.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 67.9, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 27.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 47.2.

Forecast for FY22:

UBS forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 26.64 cents and EPS of 78.59 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.83%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 40.88.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 94.8, implying annual growth of 39.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 28.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 33.8.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

NXL  NUIX LIMITED

Software & Services

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Overnight Price: $2.60

Morgan Stanley rates NXL as Overweight (1) -

Morgan Stanley conducts a read-over from Square Inc's proposed acquisition of Afterpay ((APT)). It views US/global players' interest in globally scalable technology and software out of Australia as fundamentally positive for stocks such as Nuix.

However, the broker concludes every M&A situation is unique, and there is no need to alter existing earnings/valuation or base case scenarios. Morgan Stanley retains its Overweight rating and $6.40 price target. Industry view is Attractive.

Target price is $6.40 Current Price is $2.60 Difference: $3.8
If NXL meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately 146% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY21:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 6.40 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 40.63.

Forecast for FY22:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 8.10 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 32.10.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

OSH  OIL SEARCH LIMITED

NatGas

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Overnight Price: $3.94

UBS rates OSH as Buy (1) -

Santos ((STO)) has lifted its proposed scrip ratio for the merger with Oil Search to 0.6275 of its shares for every Oil Search share. This is a 6.5% increase.

The Oil Search board will recommend the revised offer in the absence of a superior proposal and has granted four weeks of exclusive due diligence.

UBS remains supportive of the strategic rationale, given this merger will create the largest Australian listed oil & gas company with the opportunity to be self-funding.

The broker believes the market is currently undervaluing the Oil Search portfolio, although recognises the growth projects are more likely to achieve full value as part of a merged business. Buy rating and $4.65 target maintained.

Target price is $4.65 Current Price is $3.94 Difference: $0.71
If OSH meets the UBS target it will return approximately 18% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $4.57, suggesting upside of 14.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY21:

UBS forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 7.99 cents and EPS of 21.31 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.03%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 18.49.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 25.9, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 10.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.4.

Forecast for FY22:

UBS forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 7.99 cents and EPS of 26.64 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.03%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.79.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 32.1, implying annual growth of 23.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 13.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.4.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

REA  REA GROUP LIMITED

Real Estate

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Overnight Price: $166.12

Macquarie rates REA as Outperform (1) -

In a FY21 results preview, Macquarie sees upside risk to consensus EPS, underpinned by a continued mix-shift benefit. It's forecast listing volumes will reach prior cyclical peaks, given the strength of the housing market.

While the broker suggests valuation support is limited, the group's continued audience strength will likely underpin yield/EPS growth. Macquarie lifts its target price to $185 from $179.1, reflecting higher cash flow forecasts but partially offset by a higher risk-free rate.

The broker's Outperform rating is retained. The analyst will be focusing upon the execution of the Elara business, progress of the referrals model for Move and the cost-base outlook for the Australian business.

Target price is $185.00 Current Price is $166.12 Difference: $18.88
If REA meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 11% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $161.07, suggesting downside of -3.8% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY21:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 118.40 cents and EPS of 261.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.71%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 63.48.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 257.5, implying annual growth of 201.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 126.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 65.0.

Forecast for FY22:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 242.20 cents and EPS of 340.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.46%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 48.86.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 323.5, implying annual growth of 25.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 180.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 51.8.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

SDF  STEADFAST GROUP LIMITED

Insurance

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Overnight Price: $4.49

Macquarie rates SDF as Outperform (1) -

Premium rate trends incorporated in the recent results of Arthur J. Gallagher (one of the largest insurance brokers in the world), support Macquarie's investment case for Steadfast Group.

The broker makes no changes to EPS forecasts and retains its $4.70 target price and Outperform rating. 

Target price is $4.70 Current Price is $4.49 Difference: $0.21
If SDF meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 5% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $4.67, suggesting upside of 3.6% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY21:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 11.40 cents and EPS of 18.40 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.54%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 24.40.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 17.7, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 11.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 25.5.

Forecast for FY22:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 12.50 cents and EPS of 20.20 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.78%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 22.23.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 19.0, implying annual growth of 7.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 12.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 23.7.

Market Sentiment: 0.9

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

STO  SANTOS LIMITED

NatGas

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Overnight Price: $6.42

UBS rates STO as Buy (1) -

Santos has lifted its proposed scrip ratio for the merger with Oil Search ((OSH)) to 0.6275 of its shares for every Oil Search share. This is a 6.5% increase.

The Oil Search board will recommend the revised offer in the absence of a superior proposal and has granted four weeks of exclusive due diligence.

UBS remains supportive of the strategic rationale, given this merger will create the largest Australian listed oil & gas company with the opportunity to be self-funding. Buy rating and $8.25 target retained.

Target price is $8.25 Current Price is $6.42 Difference: $1.83
If STO meets the UBS target it will return approximately 29% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $8.02, suggesting upside of 24.4% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY21:

UBS forecasts a full year FY21 EPS of 43.96 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.60.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 47.6, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 16.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.6.

Forecast for FY22:

UBS forecasts a full year FY22 EPS of 51.95 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 12.36.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 58.4, implying annual growth of 22.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 18.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 11.0.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.7

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

TPW  TEMPLE & WEBSTER GROUP LIMITED

Furniture & Renovation

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Overnight Price: $12.57

Macquarie rates TPW as Neutral (3) -

Macquarie notes the trend of active customers spending more per transaction is positive, after the group reported absolute
active customer numbers were up 62% versus the previous corresponding period. Average revenue per active customer was up 12%.

The broker believes these metrics are key to the group achieving long term revenue and profitability targets, and supports investor confidence in the ability of the group to deliver.

Macquarie retains its $12.60 target price and Neutral rating.

Target price is $12.60 Current Price is $12.57 Difference: $0.03
If TPW meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 0% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $14.41, suggesting upside of 16.1% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 7.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 165.39.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 7.5, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 165.5.

Forecast for FY23:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 10.20 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 123.24.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 11.0, implying annual growth of 46.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 112.8.

Market Sentiment: 0.7

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

TYR  TYRO PAYMENTS LIMITED

Business & Consumer Credit

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Overnight Price: $3.49

Morgan Stanley rates TYR as Overweight (1) -

Morgan Stanley conducts a read-over from Square Inc's proposed acquisition of Afterpay ((APT)). It views US/global players' interest in globally scalable technology and software out of Australia as fundamentally positive for stocks such as Tyro Payments.

However, the broker concludes every M&A situation is unique, and there is no need to alter existing earnings/valuation or base case scenarios. Morgan Stanley retains its Overweight rating and $4.60 price target. Industry view is Attractive.

Target price is $4.60 Current Price is $3.49 Difference: $1.11
If TYR meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately 32% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $4.25, suggesting upside of 22.9% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY21:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 2.10 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 166.19.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is -2.2, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is N/A.

Forecast for FY22:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 0.80 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 436.25.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is -0.2, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is N/A.

Market Sentiment: 0.8

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

WTC  WISETECH GLOBAL LIMITED

Cloud services

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Overnight Price: $32.23

Morgan Stanley rates WTC as Overweight (1) -

Morgan Stanley conducts a read-over from Square Inc's proposed acquisition of Afterpay ((APT)). It views US/global players' interest in globally scalable technology and software out of Australia as fundamentally positive for stocks such as WiseTech Global.

However, the broker concludes every M&A situation is unique, and there is no need to alter existing earnings/valuation or base case scenarios. Morgan Stanley retains its Overweight rating and $35 price target. Industry view is Attractive.

Target price is $35.00 Current Price is $32.23 Difference: $2.77
If WTC meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately 9% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $33.23, suggesting upside of 2.1% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY21:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 1.80 cents and EPS of 30.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.06%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 107.43.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 30.2, implying annual growth of -40.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 4.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 107.7.

Forecast for FY22:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 2.80 cents and EPS of 45.40 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.09%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 70.99.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 44.5, implying annual growth of 47.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 6.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 73.1.

Market Sentiment: 0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

XRO  XERO LIMITED

Accountancy

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Overnight Price: $143.28

Morgan Stanley rates XRO as Overweight (1) -

Morgan Stanley conducts a read-over from Square Inc's proposed acquisition of Afterpay ((APT)). It views US/global players' interest in globally scalable technology and software out of Australia as fundamentally positive for stocks such as Xero.

However, the broker concludes every M&A situation is unique, and there is no need to alter existing earnings/valuation or base case scenarios. Morgan Stanley retains its Overweight rating and $137 price target. Industry view is  Attractive.

Target price is $137.00 Current Price is $143.28 Difference: minus $6.28 (current price is over target).
If XRO meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately minus 4% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $124.50, suggesting downside of -14.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in March.

Forecast for FY22:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 38.18 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 375.32.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 20.7, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 704.7.

Forecast for FY23:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 85.66 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 167.26.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 62.3, implying annual growth of 201.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 4.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 234.2.

This company reports in NZD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: -0.2

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

Today's Price Target Changes
Company Last Price Broker New Target Prev Target Change
ANN Ansell $39.97 Macquarie 40.30 40.20 0.25%
APT Afterpay $126.54 Macquarie 160.00 130.00 23.08%
Morgan Stanley N/A 145.00 -100.00%
CCP Credit Corp $29.45 Macquarie 33.10 34.80 -4.89%
Morgans 33.75 33.45 0.90%
Ord Minnett 32.00 31.50 1.59%
COF Centuria Office REIT $2.44 Credit Suisse 2.48 2.20 12.73%
Morgan Stanley 2.70 2.05 31.71%
Morgans 2.50 2.49 0.40%
COH Cochlear $249.10 Credit Suisse 235.00 225.00 4.44%
CSL CSL $291.89 Macquarie 308.00 312.00 -1.28%
MYX Mayne Pharma $0.31 Credit Suisse 0.36 0.37 -2.70%
NHF NIB $7.20 UBS 7.10 6.50 9.23%
NWS News Corp $32.07 Macquarie 51.00 46.30 10.15%
REA REA Group $167.49 Macquarie 185.00 179.10 3.29%
RHC Ramsay Health Care $65.52 Credit Suisse 69.00 70.00 -1.43%
Summaries
29M 29metals Initiation of coverage with Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $2.35
AGI Ainsworth Game Technology Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $1.01
ALL Aristocrat Leisure Neutral - Macquarie Overnight Price $41.56
ANN Ansell Neutral - Macquarie Overnight Price $40.64
APT Afterpay Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $127.85
No Rating - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $127.85
CBA CommBank Hold - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $101.45
CCP Credit Corp Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $28.58
Add - Morgans Overnight Price $28.58
Buy - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $28.58
COF Centuria Office REIT Neutral - Credit Suisse Overnight Price $2.45
Overweight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $2.45
Hold - Morgans Overnight Price $2.45
Sell - UBS Overnight Price $2.45
COH Cochlear Neutral - Credit Suisse Overnight Price $249.20
CSL CSL Neutral - Macquarie Overnight Price $294.31
EOS Electro Optic Systems Buy - Citi Overnight Price $4.30
GUD G.U.D. Neutral - Citi Overnight Price $12.10
NWH NRW Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $1.76
NWS News Corp Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $32.13
Buy - UBS Overnight Price $32.13
NXL Nuix Overweight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $2.60
OSH Oil Search Buy - UBS Overnight Price $3.94
REA REA Group Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $166.12
SDF Steadfast Group Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $4.49
STO Santos Buy - UBS Overnight Price $6.42
TPW Temple & Webster Neutral - Macquarie Overnight Price $12.57
TYR Tyro Payments Overweight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $3.49
WTC WiseTech Global Overweight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $32.23
XRO Xero Overweight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $143.28
RATING SUMMARY
Rating No. Of Recommendations
1. Buy

19

3. Hold

9

5. Sell

1

Wednesday 04 August 2021

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Disclaimer:
The content of this information does in no way reflect the opinions of FNArena, or of its journalists. In fact we don't have any opinion about the stock market, its value, future direction or individual shares. FNArena solely reports about what the main experts in the market note, believe and comment on. By doing so we believe we provide intelligent investors with a valuable tool that helps them in making up their own minds, reading market trends and getting a feel for what is happening beneath the surface. This document is provided for informational purposes only. It does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy any security or other financial instrument. FNArena employs very experienced journalists who base their work on information believed to be reliable and accurate, though no guarantee is given that the daily report is accurate or complete. Investors should contact their personal adviser before making any investment decision.