Australian Broker Call

Produced and copyrighted by at www.fnarena.com

December 04, 2024

Access Broker Call Report Archives here

COMPANIES DISCUSSED IN THIS ISSUE

Click on symbol for fast access.

The number next to the symbol represents the number of brokers covering it for this report -(if more than 1).

Last Updated: 05:00 PM

Your daily news report on the latest recommendation, valuation, forecast and opinion changes.

This report includes concise but limited reviews of research recently published by Stockbrokers, which should be considered as information concerning likely market behaviour rather than advice on the securities mentioned. Do not act on the contents of this Report without first reading the important information included at the end.

For more info about the different terms used by stockbrokers, as well as the different methodologies behind similar sounding ratings, download our guide HERE

Today's Upgrades and Downgrades
GQG - GQG Partners Upgrade to Add from Hold Morgans
NST - Northern Star Resources Downgrade to Neutral from Buy Citi
29M  29METALS LIMITED

Copper

More Research Tools In Stock Analysis - click HERE

Overnight Price: $0.37

Citi rates 29M as Neutral/High Risk (3) -

29Metals' underwritten $180m equity raising exceeded Citi's forecast of a $100m issue. The difference is attributed to the final investment decision for Gossan Valley at Golden Grove, the broker notes.

Pricing was set at 27c per share, a -27% discount to the last close.

The analyst questions the delivery plan for Gossan despite a more optimistic pitch from management regarding higher grades, citing 29Metals' history of downgrades.

Spending approximately -$112m to fund Gossan, a "growth project," while Capricorn Copper remains idle and debt remains a concern, creates what Citi describes as a lack of a "full picture".

Neutral/High Risk rating maintained with a 45c target price.

Target price is $0.45 Current Price is $0.37 Difference: $0.085
If 29M meets the Citi target it will return approximately 23% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $0.53, suggesting upside of 42.6% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY24:

Citi forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 11.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 3.32.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is -12.1, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is N/A.

Forecast for FY25:

Citi forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 1.50 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 24.33.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is -1.1, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is N/A.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

AIA  AUCKLAND INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT LIMITED

Travel, Leisure & Tourism

More Research Tools In Stock Analysis - click HERE

Overnight Price: $7.26

Citi rates AIA as Buy (1) -

Citi notes the Auckland Future Fund Trustee, on behalf of Auckland Council, has initiated the sale process for its 9.7% stake in Auckland International Airport. A trading halt on the company’s shares remains in place.

The broker suggests investors may now shift focus to the airport's operating and fundamental outlook, as the share overhang has been removed. Citi highlights a positive medium-term outlook for the airport.

The broker retains a Buy rating with a target price of NZ$8.70.

Current Price is $7.26. Target price not assessed.

Current consensus price target is N/A

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY25:

Citi forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 13.13 cents and EPS of 17.63 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.81%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 41.17.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 17.8, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 12.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 40.8.

Forecast for FY26:

Citi forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 14.05 cents and EPS of 18.19 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.94%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 39.92.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 19.4, implying annual growth of 9.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 14.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 37.4.

This company reports in NZD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.7

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

ALQ  ALS LIMITED

Mining Sector Contracting

More Research Tools In Stock Analysis - click HERE

Overnight Price: $15.78

Bell Potter rates ALQ as Initiation of coverage with Buy (1) -

Bell Potter sees significant value in ALS Ltd, as the company benefits from growing societal demand for green environmental testing practices and stricter enforcement of PFAS remediation and monitoring programs.

The broker initiates coverage of the global Testing, Inspection, and Certification (TIC) company with a Buy rating and $17.30 target.

The recovery in global exploration testing volumes and increased activity in regional European contract research organisations (CROs) strengthens the analysts' investment case.

Bell Potter highlights ALS Ltd’s market-leading position in geochemical testing and its Life Sciences segment, which operates one of the largest global environmental testing businesses.

Target price is $17.30 Current Price is $15.78 Difference: $1.52
If ALQ meets the Bell Potter target it will return approximately 10% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $16.54, suggesting upside of 4.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in March.

Forecast for FY25:

Bell Potter forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 38.00 cents and EPS of 62.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.41%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 25.17.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 63.3, implying annual growth of 2270.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 38.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 25.0.

Forecast for FY26:

Bell Potter forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 43.20 cents and EPS of 71.20 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.74%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 22.16.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 72.1, implying annual growth of 13.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 43.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 21.9.

Market Sentiment: 0.9

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

AMI  AURELIA METALS LIMITED

Gold & Silver

More Research Tools In Stock Analysis - click HERE

Overnight Price: $0.17

Ord Minnett rates AMI as Speculative Buy (1) -

Ord Minnett holds a more upbeat view on the ramp-up of Federation, with first production seen as imminent.

The broker recently attended a site visit to Cobar to observe Aurelia Metals' Peak operation, noting signs of improving productivity and increased confidence in Federation.

Mining levels are expected to reach nameplate capacity by 2026, with the analyst forecasting zinc production to improve to approximately 41kt by FY27.

Ord Minnett raises earnings forecasts for FY26 and lifts the target price by 7% to 29c from 27c. The broker likes the stock for exposure to a growing zinc producer as market dynamics for zinc improve.

Speculative Buy rating remains unchanged.

Target price is $0.29 Current Price is $0.17 Difference: $0.12
If AMI meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 71% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY25:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 2.50 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 6.80.

Forecast for FY26:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 2.20 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 7.73.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

BOQ  BANK OF QUEENSLAND LIMITED

Banks

More Research Tools In Stock Analysis - click HERE

Overnight Price: $7.01

Morgan Stanley rates BOQ as Underweight (5) -

Morgan Stanley notes Bank of Queensland’s management expressed a commitment at the AGM to significantly grow returns beyond interim FY26 targets for an 8% return on equity (ROE) and a 56% cost-to-income (CTI) ratio.

The broker highlights improved returns are expected partly from the $250m productivity target, a portfolio mix shift towards higher-returning specialist business lending, and scaling the digital bank in FY26.

Morgan Stanley maintains an Underweight rating with a $6.10 target price. The sector view remains In-Line.

Target price is $6.10 Current Price is $7.01 Difference: minus $0.91 (current price is over target).
If BOQ meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately minus 13% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $5.86, suggesting downside of -16.1% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in August.

Forecast for FY25:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 34.00 cents and EPS of 48.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.85%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.60.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 48.9, implying annual growth of 12.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 35.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.3.

Forecast for FY26:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 36.00 cents and EPS of 51.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.14%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.75.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 56.2, implying annual growth of 14.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 38.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.4.

Market Sentiment: -0.8

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

BRE  BRAZILIAN RARE EARTHS LIMITED

Rare Earth Minerals

More Research Tools In Stock Analysis - click HERE

Overnight Price: $2.52

Ord Minnett rates BRE as Speculative Buy (1) -

Post the downgrade in the target price for Brazilian Rare Earths on November 26, Ord Minnett feels a more detailed explanation of the change is required.

The analyst confirms the price downgrade is appropriate, though it only values Monte Alto and excludes other prospects.

The target is based on a twelve-month window. The broker has adopted a conservative approach while acknowledging the potential for Brazilian Rare Earths to become a "ten-bagger" in the future.

Ord Minnett believes the company offers the best rare earth oxide project globally, with a low capex start-up and minimal equity dilution.

Speculative Buy rated. Target price: $5.50.

Target price is $5.50 Current Price is $2.52 Difference: $2.98
If BRE meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 118% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY25:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 17.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 14.32.

Forecast for FY26:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 13.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 19.38.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

BRG  BREVILLE GROUP LIMITED

Household & Personal Products

More Research Tools In Stock Analysis - click HERE

Overnight Price: $33.95

Macquarie rates BRG as Outperform (1) -

Macquarie highlights the positive trading update from Breville Group's AGM, noting the positive trends from 2H24 have been retained into 1H25. The analyst views the update as confirmation Breville continues to operate in line with its FY25 targets.

New products in coffee and food preparation are performing well, though logistics costs have increased.

Compared to Macquarie's Kitchen Benchmark with September quarter revenue growth of 1.6%, the broker states Breville has outperformed the benchmark by approximately 12% per annum from 2018 to 2023.

Breville, Nespresso, and SN are the only benchmark companies with revenue above their pandemic peaks, the analyst emphasises.

No change to the $35.10 target price and Outperform rating.

Target price is $35.10 Current Price is $33.95 Difference: $1.15
If BRG meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 3% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $33.73, suggesting downside of -2.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY25:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 37.10 cents and EPS of 92.80 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.09%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 36.58.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 93.4, implying annual growth of 13.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 36.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 37.1.

Forecast for FY26:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 42.10 cents and EPS of 105.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.24%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 32.33.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 106.4, implying annual growth of 13.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 41.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 32.6.

Market Sentiment: 0.4

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

CKF  COLLINS FOODS LIMITED

Food, Beverages & Tobacco

More Research Tools In Stock Analysis - click HERE

Overnight Price: $8.25

Citi rates CKF as Neutral (3) -

Citi notes that Collins Foods reported 1H25 net profit of $24.1m, which exceeded both the broker's and consensus forecasts due to lower-than-expected operating costs. Margins were above guidance provided in August.

Revenue was slightly lower than anticipated, and the dividend of 11c per share was in line with consensus.

The broker's tone was more upbeat following the earnings call regarding the outlook for KFC Australia, with signs the challenging conditions are moderating. KFC is outperforming the quick-service restaurant sector with a shift to a more "value" offering.

Revenue growth for same-store sales in KFC Australia has been driven by ticket and basket size, which the broker views positively.

CEO Simonet is due to visit European stores in January. Australia has a good pipeline of new store openings in Australia and rollouts in Europe remain challenging. 

Neutral rating. Target: $7.88.

Target price is $7.88 Current Price is $8.25 Difference: minus $0.37 (current price is over target).
If CKF meets the Citi target it will return approximately minus 4% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $9.50, suggesting upside of 15.4% (ex-dividends)

Forecast for FY25:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 38.4, implying annual growth of -20.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 22.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 21.4.

Forecast for FY26:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 53.1, implying annual growth of 38.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 29.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.5.

Market Sentiment: 0.6

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Macquarie rates CKF as Neutral (3) -

Hats off to Macquarie for the title of the day (so far), "Don't count your chickens," regarding the 1H25 results for Collins Foods.

The analyst notes earnings were better than expected, but downbeat guidance on margins, interest, and tax was disappointing.

Macquarie appreciated the momentum in KFC Australia same-store sales growth for the first seven weeks of 2H25 at 0.8%, forecasting 2H25 growth of 1.5%. Collins Foods has also increased its digital presence.

Margins in 2H25 are guided lower, partly due to seasonal factors, including more public holidays. KFC same-store sales growth remains challenged in Europe, down -3.8% in 1H25, and in the Netherlands, down -3.5%. Taco Bell also remains "challenged."

The broker lowers EPS forecasts by -13% and -4% for FY25 and FY26, respectively. The target price slips -1% to $8.20.

No change to the Neutral rating.

Target price is $8.20 Current Price is $8.25 Difference: minus $0.05 (current price is over target).
If CKF meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately minus 1% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $9.50, suggesting upside of 15.4% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in May.

Forecast for FY25:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 22.20 cents and EPS of 38.90 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.69%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 21.21.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 38.4, implying annual growth of -20.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 22.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 21.4.

Forecast for FY26:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 32.50 cents and EPS of 57.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.94%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.47.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 53.1, implying annual growth of 38.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 29.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.5.

Market Sentiment: 0.6

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Morgan Stanley rates CKF as Overweight (1) -

Morgan Stanley notes Collins Foods' first-half results showed softness and associated deleverage, yet ongoing execution and easier comparatives are expected to drive improvement in the second half of FY25, with potential for positive operating leverage.

Earnings for the half came in at $102.7m, slightly below consensus of $103m but above the broker's forecast of $101.1m.

A better-than-expected first-half earnings margin prompts Morgan Stanley to lift its FY25 margin forecast to 14.5% from 14.2%, aligning with management’s guidance of 14.2-14.7%.

Morgan Stanley reiterates an Overweight rating and raises the target price to $11.60 from $11.00 on a valuation roll-forward. The industry view remains In-Line.

Target price is $11.60 Current Price is $8.25 Difference: $3.35
If CKF meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately 41% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $9.50, suggesting upside of 15.4% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in May.

Forecast for FY25:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 21.40 cents and EPS of 39.40 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.59%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 20.94.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 38.4, implying annual growth of -20.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 22.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 21.4.

Forecast for FY26:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 26.70 cents and EPS of 49.10 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.24%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 16.80.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 53.1, implying annual growth of 38.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 29.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.5.

Market Sentiment: 0.6

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Morgans rates CKF as Add (1) -

In line with guidance, Collins Foods reported a 1H25 group underlying earnings (EBITDA) margin of 14.6%, down by approximately -120bps year-on-year, impacted by weak same-store sales growth and inflationary cost pressures, according to Morgans.

Underlying earnings of $102.7m were slightly ahead of broker and consensus forecasts of $101.7m and $103m, respectively.

While the trading update and outlook commentary were softer-than-expected, Morgans highlights several positives, including a profit beat of around 5%, improving same-store sales for KFC Australia, and robust cash flow conversion.

The fully franked interim dividend declined to 11cps from 12.5cps in the prior period. Morgans retains its $10.50 target and Add rating.

Target price is $10.50 Current Price is $8.25 Difference: $2.25
If CKF meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 27% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $9.50, suggesting upside of 15.4% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in May.

Forecast for FY25:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 25.00 cents and EPS of 38.30 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.03%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 21.54.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 38.4, implying annual growth of -20.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 22.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 21.4.

Forecast for FY26:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 29.00 cents and EPS of 52.20 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.52%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.80.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 53.1, implying annual growth of 38.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 29.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.5.

Market Sentiment: 0.6

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Ord Minnett rates CKF as Accumulate (2) -

Ord Minnett notes same-store sales growth for the first seven weeks of 2H25 for Collins Foods is below the rate needed to meet consensus expectations for FY25. The company continues to face a tough macroeconomic environment and weak consumer spending.

Margins for 1H25 were at the top end of guidance, supported by a more favourable earnings mix in KFC Australia. However, management flagged ongoing cost inflation as a concern and the analyst does not anticipate the pressures will subside into FY26.

The broker has lowered EPS forecasts by -10% and -13% for FY25 and FY26, respectively. The target price is reduced to $9 from $9.50.

No change to the Accumulate rating.

Target price is $9.00 Current Price is $8.25 Difference: $0.75
If CKF meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 9% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $9.50, suggesting upside of 15.4% (ex-dividends)

Forecast for FY25:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 38.4, implying annual growth of -20.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 22.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 21.4.

Forecast for FY26:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 53.1, implying annual growth of 38.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 29.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.5.

Market Sentiment: 0.6

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


UBS rates CKF as Buy (1) -

Looking past the "challenging" 1H25 result from Collins Foods, UBS finds reasons to be more optimistic for 2H25.

The analyst notes earnings margins in the first half were at the top end of guidance, which management attributed to achieving "profitable value" and offering innovative solutions to a weak consumer.

Like-for-like sales are expected to benefit from an easier comparison base in 2H25, and cost input inflation or deflation is anticipated in the range of -1% to -2%.

UBS also highlights the growth in digital sales to 35% from 28% a year earlier. The analyst sees potential for EPS growth in FY26 and forecasts a rise 43% year-on-year.

The broker lowers EPS forecasts by -14% and -6% for FY25 and FY26, respectively. The target price decreases to $9.80 from $10.40. Buy rating is maintained.

Target price is $9.80 Current Price is $8.25 Difference: $1.55
If CKF meets the UBS target it will return approximately 19% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $9.50, suggesting upside of 15.4% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in May.

Forecast for FY25:

UBS forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 22.00 cents and EPS of 37.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.67%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 22.30.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 38.4, implying annual growth of -20.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 22.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 21.4.

Forecast for FY26:

UBS forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 29.00 cents and EPS of 54.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.52%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.28.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 53.1, implying annual growth of 38.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 29.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.5.

Market Sentiment: 0.6

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

FEX  FENIX RESOURCES LIMITED

Iron Ore

More Research Tools In Stock Analysis - click HERE

Overnight Price: $0.29

Bell Potter rates FEX as Initiation of coverage with Buy (1) -

Bell Potter anticipates Fenix Resources' portfolio of low-capital mining assets and integrated logistics networks will sustain strong cash flows, supporting growth expenditure and shareholder returns.

The analysts note Fenix is unlocking stranded mining assets in Western Australia’s Mid-West region through iron ore mining, bulk commodity haulage via Newhaul Road Logistics, and port services through Newhaul Port Logistics.

Iron ore production is forecast to increase to 4mtpa by FY26 from 1.4mt in FY24, driven by Iron Ridge, Beebyn-W11 (10mt Right to Mine, with first production expected in Q3 FY25), and Shine.

The broker initiates coverage with a Buy rating and a 41c target.

Target price is $0.41 Current Price is $0.29 Difference: $0.12
If FEX meets the Bell Potter target it will return approximately 41% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY25:

Bell Potter forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 1.20 cents and EPS of 4.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.14%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 6.30.

Forecast for FY26:

Bell Potter forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 1.80 cents and EPS of 6.50 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.21%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 4.46.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

GQG  GQG PARTNERS INC

Wealth Management & Investments

More Research Tools In Stock Analysis - click HERE

Overnight Price: $2.09

Morgans rates GQG as Upgrade to Add from Hold (1) -

Morgans observes fund outflows for GQG Partners appeared to occur immediately after the negative news regarding Adani Group, a significant exposure, but have been mild since the initial first-day impact.

The broker highlights November investment strategy performance ranged from -3.3% to 6.8%, leading to relatively flat estimated monthly funds under management (FUM) before net fund flow impacts.

Morgans upgrades its rating for GQG Partners to Add from Hold and retains the $2.47 target price. Management plans to implement a $100m buyback starting December 6.

Target price is $2.47 Current Price is $2.09 Difference: $0.38
If GQG meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 18% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $3.00, suggesting upside of 41.0% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY24:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 19.91 cents and EPS of 21.12 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 9.53%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 9.90.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 22.6, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 20.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 9.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 9.4.

Forecast for FY25:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 20.97 cents and EPS of 22.63 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 10.03%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 9.24.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 24.9, implying annual growth of 10.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 23.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 10.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 8.6.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.8

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

IAG  INSURANCE AUSTRALIA GROUP LIMITED

Insurance

More Research Tools In Stock Analysis - click HERE

Overnight Price: $8.53

Citi rates IAG as Buy (1) -

Citi estimates the RACQ acquisition will be approximately 4% accretive to earnings in the first year, or FY26, for Insurance Australia Group.

The analyst notes the potential for the group to pursue additional motoring organisation "bolt-ons," which are smaller than RACQ.

Citi raises EPS forecasts by 0.2% and 4% for FY25 and FY26, respectively.

The target price increases to $9.55, with the Buy rating unchanged. The analyst acknowledges the earnings multiple is quite high but considers risks likely to "derail" near-term momentum as low.

Target price is $9.55 Current Price is $8.53 Difference: $1.02
If IAG meets the Citi target it will return approximately 12% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $8.57, suggesting downside of -0.0% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY25:

Citi forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 30.00 cents and EPS of 42.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.52%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 20.31.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 40.6, implying annual growth of 8.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 30.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 21.1.

Forecast for FY26:

Citi forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 32.00 cents and EPS of 44.50 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.75%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 19.17.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 44.1, implying annual growth of 8.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 32.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 19.4.

Market Sentiment: 0.4

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Morgan Stanley rates IAG as Equal-weight (3) -

Morgan Stanley notes Insurance Australia Group's management reaffirmed FY25 targets of mid- to high-single-digit GWP growth and a 13.5-15.5% margin during its investor day, aligning with expectations by the broker and consensus.

The broker observes management is delivering margins and returns above peers but highlights the need for reinvestment to protect volumes and market share.

Morgan Stanley maintains an Equal-weight rating with a $7.55 target price. The industry view remains In-Line.

Target price is $7.55 Current Price is $8.53 Difference: minus $0.98 (current price is over target).
If IAG meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately minus 11% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $8.57, suggesting downside of -0.0% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY25:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 33.00 cents and EPS of 41.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.87%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 20.80.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 40.6, implying annual growth of 8.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 30.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 21.1.

Forecast for FY26:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 36.00 cents and EPS of 45.20 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.22%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 18.87.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 44.1, implying annual growth of 8.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 32.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 19.4.

Market Sentiment: 0.4

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Ord Minnett rates IAG as Accumulate (2) -

Ord Minnett came away from Insurance Australia Group's investor day with a more upbeat outlook, including the recent $855m acquisition of RACQ.

The group continues to explore opportunities in car and home insurance to boost market share. Investment in technology is expected to enhance margins and improve efficiency for the company.

Ord Minnett raises EPS forecasts by 2% for FY26, and the target price increases to $9.30 from $9.00.

No change to the Accumulate rating.

Target price is $9.30 Current Price is $8.53 Difference: $0.77
If IAG meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 9% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $8.57, suggesting downside of -0.0% (ex-dividends)

Forecast for FY25:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 40.6, implying annual growth of 8.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 30.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 21.1.

Forecast for FY26:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 44.1, implying annual growth of 8.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 32.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 19.4.

Market Sentiment: 0.4

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


UBS rates IAG as Neutral (3) -

UBS views technology as a key factor in Insurance Australia Group's growth prospects, as outlined at the insurer's investor day.

The transition of retail and commercial divisions to new trans-Tasman platforms is expected to result in a reduction of the expense ratio by approximately -100bps in FY27, the broker highlights.

As the pricing cycle slows, UBS anticipates productivity improvements will be channeled into growth rather than a higher return on equity.

The analyst retains earnings forecasts and considers the stock fairly fully valued at 19x FY25 earnings. Neutral rating maintained with an $8.55 target price.

Target price is $8.55 Current Price is $8.53 Difference: $0.02
If IAG meets the UBS target it will return approximately 0% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $8.57, suggesting downside of -0.0% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY25:

UBS forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 29.00 cents and EPS of 42.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.40%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 20.31.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 40.6, implying annual growth of 8.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 30.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 21.1.

Forecast for FY26:

UBS forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 32.00 cents and EPS of 46.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.75%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 18.54.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 44.1, implying annual growth of 8.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 32.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 19.4.

Market Sentiment: 0.4

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

JHX  JAMES HARDIE INDUSTRIES PLC

Building Products & Services

More Research Tools In Stock Analysis - click HERE

Overnight Price: $56.86

Citi rates JHX as Neutral (3) -

Citi notes the delay in the start of purchasing US$300m shares by James Hardie Industries, pushing the buyback back by around 14 trading days or three weeks, which appears "high" to the analyst given historical trends.

As a rule, companies are generally unable to buy back shares when management has material non-public information.

Highlighting a possible reason, the analyst suggests a scrip takeover offer, which would require a US listing if it involved a US-based company, and explains there are only ten listed building materials companies James Hardie could potentially merge with in the US.

Citi remains Neutral rated with a $56 target price.

Target price is $56.00 Current Price is $56.86 Difference: minus $0.86 (current price is over target).
If JHX meets the Citi target it will return approximately minus 2% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $59.14, suggesting upside of 4.6% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in March.

Forecast for FY25:

Citi forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 224.47 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 25.33.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 231.5, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 24.4.

Forecast for FY26:

Citi forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 255.85 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 22.22.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 270.6, implying annual growth of 16.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 20.9.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.8

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

NST  NORTHERN STAR RESOURCES LIMITED

Gold & Silver

More Research Tools In Stock Analysis - click HERE

Overnight Price: $16.13

Citi rates NST as Downgrade to Neutral from Buy (3) -

Citi downgrades Northern Star Resources to Neutral from Buy and lowers the target price to $17 from $18.30 due to EPS dilution.

The broker highlights the De Grey Mining ((DEG)) acquisition contrasts with Northern Star's typical bolt-on or asset-turnaround strategy.

Citi emphasises Hemi is a Tier 1 greenfields ore body with long-term value accretion and an upgrade to Northern Star's portfolio. in the near term, risks are weighted against the company due to higher capex/opex and development challenges.

The analyst believes the deal detracts from the company's appeal as a "clean" gold exposure play.

Neutral rated. Target price $17.00 from $18.30. Citi's EPS forecasts are lowered by -4.5% in FY25 and -19.3% in FY26.

Target price is $17.00 Current Price is $16.13 Difference: $0.87
If NST meets the Citi target it will return approximately 5% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $18.25, suggesting upside of 13.1% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY25:

Citi forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 48.00 cents and EPS of 103.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.98%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.55.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 106.0, implying annual growth of 90.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 47.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.2.

Forecast for FY26:

Citi forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 53.00 cents and EPS of 110.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.29%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.57.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 126.7, implying annual growth of 19.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 51.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.7.

Market Sentiment: 0.4

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Morgans rates NST as Add (1) -

Morgans highlights the acquisition of the Hemi deposit via the De Grey Mining ((DEG)) takeover would establish a fourth global production centre for Northern Star Resources, adding 6moz in reserves and circa 530kozpa in production once developed.

The Northern Star Board has unanimously recommended the transaction, which offers 0.119 new Northern Star shares for each De Grey share, implying $2.08 per De Grey share.

The Buy rating and $20.18 target are maintained.

Target price is $20.18 Current Price is $16.13 Difference: $4.05
If NST meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 25% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $18.25, suggesting upside of 13.1% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY25:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 50.00 cents and EPS of 108.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.10%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.94.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 106.0, implying annual growth of 90.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 47.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.2.

Forecast for FY26:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 56.00 cents and EPS of 127.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.47%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 12.70.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 126.7, implying annual growth of 19.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 51.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.7.

Market Sentiment: 0.4

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

ORG  ORIGIN ENERGY LIMITED

NatGas

More Research Tools In Stock Analysis - click HERE

Overnight Price: $10.77

Macquarie rates ORG as Outperform (1) -

Macquarie notes the market share and trend data for FY24 from the Australian Energy Regulator. The update suggests to the analyst Kracken, when compared to its peers, has yet to capitalise on its capabilities for Origin Energy.

There is some evidence, as indicated by the company, of improvements emerging in FY25. Data for 1Q25 is due to be announced in late December. Macquarie expects signs of improvement across calls, complaints, and disconnections/hardship.

Use of AI is also highlighted as a potential driver of improvements in the digital channel and call centre.

The analyst emphasises the Trustpilot rating for Kracken remains at 4.6 stars, well above AGL Energy's ((AGL)), with modest churn and stable market share across regions.

No change to the Outperform rating and $10.35 target price. Earnings forecasts are retained.

Target price is $10.35 Current Price is $10.77 Difference: minus $0.42 (current price is over target).
If ORG meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately minus 4% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $10.59, suggesting downside of -1.0% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY25:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 59.50 cents and EPS of 90.20 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.52%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 11.94.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 77.9, implying annual growth of -4.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 54.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.7.

Forecast for FY26:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 61.00 cents and EPS of 72.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.66%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.81.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 67.5, implying annual growth of -13.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 55.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.9.

Market Sentiment: 0.6

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

PME  PRO MEDICUS LIMITED

Medical Equipment & Devices

More Research Tools In Stock Analysis - click HERE

Overnight Price: $256.73

Bell Potter rates PME as Hold (3) -

Bell Potter doubles its target price for Pro Medicus to $260, acknowledging it may have underestimated the value accretion from contract upgrades and the impact of price leadership in key markets. The Hold rating is maintained.

The analysts view the 10-year, $330m deal with Trinity Health for the Visage full stack as a reaffirmation of the product's market leadership in radiology viewing platforms and cloud archiving systems. They forecast EBIT margins advancing to 75%.

Bell Potter highlights a chronic shortage of radiologists in the US, leading to longer wait times and increased demand for workforce productivity, is driving Visage's popularity.

The broker also notes in eight out of eight contract renewals, hospitals have re-signed for multi-year deals with significant price increases, bypassing competitive tender processes.

Target price is $260.00 Current Price is $256.73 Difference: $3.27
If PME meets the Bell Potter target it will return approximately 1% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $181.10, suggesting downside of -30.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY25:

Bell Potter forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 49.70 cents and EPS of 104.30 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.19%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 246.15.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 105.5, implying annual growth of 33.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 52.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 247.6.

Forecast for FY26:

Bell Potter forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 63.10 cents and EPS of 159.80 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.25%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 160.66.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 151.6, implying annual growth of 43.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 71.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 172.3.

Market Sentiment: -0.4

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

REG  REGIS HEALTHCARE LIMITED

Aged Care & Seniors

More Research Tools In Stock Analysis - click HERE

Overnight Price: $6.60

Ord Minnett rates REG as Buy (1) -

Regis Healthcare provided a positive AGM trading update, with Ord Minnett noting 1Q25 occupancy at 95.5%, a rise of 30bps and better than expected. 1Q25 profit came in slightly above expectations, and government revenue per bed at $299 was in line with estimates.

The broker highlights the government's positive move to raise the soft cap on pricing from 1 January 2025, a strong demand-supply backdrop, and median house prices exceeding Regis Healthcare's prices by approximately four times.

Ord Minnett estimates the refundable accommodation deposit could reach around $700k by FY28, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of 8%-9%, compared to the broker's forecast of 5%.

Buy rated. Target price increases to $7.20 from $6.40.

Target price is $7.20 Current Price is $6.60 Difference: $0.6
If REG meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 9% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY25:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 16.80 cents and EPS of 16.80 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.55%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 39.29.

Forecast for FY26:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 22.30 cents and EPS of 22.30 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.38%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 29.60.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

SOL  WASHINGTON H. SOUL PATTINSON AND CO. LIMITED

Diversified Financials

More Research Tools In Stock Analysis - click HERE

Overnight Price: $34.74

Morgans rates SOL as Add (1) -

Morgans updates its forecasts for WH Soul Pattinson on a mark-to-market of dividend expectations for the company's portfolio of assets. The impacts of the recent AGM, post-result equity placement and convertible bond issue are also incorporated into forecasts. 

Th broker highlights how management continues to deliver both organic and inorganic growth over the long-term.

The Add rating is unchanged, and the target rises to $36.30 from $35.60.

Target price is $36.30 Current Price is $34.74 Difference: $1.56
If SOL meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 4% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in July.

Forecast for FY25:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 100.90 cents and EPS of 125.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.90%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 27.66.

Forecast for FY26:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 103.20 cents and EPS of 121.30 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.97%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 28.64.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

WTC  WISETECH GLOBAL LIMITED

Transportation & Logistics

More Research Tools In Stock Analysis - click HERE

Overnight Price: $127.77

Macquarie rates WTC as Outperform (1) -

Macquarie remains resolute in its position on WiseTech Global post the investor day, highlighting while new products might be delayed, the quality of the product is more important for the investment thesis.

The broker states, "we won't confuse a trading decision with an investment decision."

The reorganisation of management is viewed as a net positive, with Richard White freed up to spend an incremental 20% of his time on product development, a favourable outcome for the business. The depth and strength of management were also evident, confirming feedback from channel checks.

Macquarie noted existing customer penetration remains low, with CargoWise estimated at 9% of global manufactured freight volumes, and the company focusing on product development across all parts of the value chain.

The Outperform rating is re-stated with an unchanged $152.70 target price.

Target price is $152.70 Current Price is $127.77 Difference: $24.93
If WTC meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 20% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $139.79, suggesting upside of 7.9% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY25:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 23.10 cents and EPS of 118.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.18%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 108.28.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 112.6, implying annual growth of 41.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 22.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 115.1.

Forecast for FY26:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 34.30 cents and EPS of 175.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.27%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 73.01.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 161.1, implying annual growth of 43.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 31.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 80.4.

Market Sentiment: 0.9

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

Today's Price Target Changes
Company Last Price Broker New Target Prev Target Change
AMI Aurelia Metals $0.17 Ord Minnett 0.29 0.27 7.41%
CKF Collins Foods $8.23 Macquarie 8.20 8.30 -1.20%
Morgan Stanley 11.60 11.00 5.45%
Ord Minnett 9.00 10.50 -14.29%
UBS 9.80 10.40 -5.77%
IAG Insurance Australia Group $8.57 Citi 9.55 8.20 16.46%
Ord Minnett 9.30 8.90 4.49%
UBS 8.55 7.10 20.42%
NST Northern Star Resources $16.14 Citi 17.00 18.30 -7.10%
PME Pro Medicus $261.24 Bell Potter 260.00 131.00 98.47%
REG Regis Healthcare $6.81 Ord Minnett 7.20 6.40 12.50%
SOL WH Soul Pattinson $34.68 Morgans 36.30 N/A -
Summaries
29M 29Metals Neutral/High Risk - Citi Overnight Price $0.37
AIA Auckland International Airport Buy - Citi Overnight Price $7.26
ALQ ALS Ltd Initiation of coverage with Buy - Bell Potter Overnight Price $15.78
AMI Aurelia Metals Speculative Buy - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $0.17
BOQ Bank of Queensland Underweight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $7.01
BRE Brazilian Rare Earths Speculative Buy - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $2.52
BRG Breville Group Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $33.95
CKF Collins Foods Neutral - Citi Overnight Price $8.25
Neutral - Macquarie Overnight Price $8.25
Overweight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $8.25
Add - Morgans Overnight Price $8.25
Accumulate - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $8.25
Buy - UBS Overnight Price $8.25
FEX Fenix Resources Initiation of coverage with Buy - Bell Potter Overnight Price $0.29
GQG GQG Partners Upgrade to Add from Hold - Morgans Overnight Price $2.09
IAG Insurance Australia Group Buy - Citi Overnight Price $8.53
Equal-weight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $8.53
Accumulate - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $8.53
Neutral - UBS Overnight Price $8.53
JHX James Hardie Industries Neutral - Citi Overnight Price $56.86
NST Northern Star Resources Downgrade to Neutral from Buy - Citi Overnight Price $16.13
Add - Morgans Overnight Price $16.13
ORG Origin Energy Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $10.77
PME Pro Medicus Hold - Bell Potter Overnight Price $256.73
REG Regis Healthcare Buy - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $6.60
SOL WH Soul Pattinson Add - Morgans Overnight Price $34.74
WTC WiseTech Global Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $127.77
RATING SUMMARY
Rating No. Of Recommendations
1. Buy

16

2. Accumulate

2

3. Hold

8

5. Sell

1

Wednesday 04 December 2024

Access Broker Call Report Archives here

Disclaimer:
The content of this information does in no way reflect the opinions of FNArena, or of its journalists. In fact we don't have any opinion about the stock market, its value, future direction or individual shares. FNArena solely reports about what the main experts in the market note, believe and comment on. By doing so we believe we provide intelligent investors with a valuable tool that helps them in making up their own minds, reading market trends and getting a feel for what is happening beneath the surface. This document is provided for informational purposes only. It does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy any security or other financial instrument. FNArena employs very experienced journalists who base their work on information believed to be reliable and accurate, though no guarantee is given that the daily report is accurate or complete. Investors should contact their personal adviser before making any investment decision.