Australian Broker Call
September 08, 2017
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COMPANIES DISCUSSED IN THIS ISSUE
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The number next to the symbol represents the number of brokers covering it for this report -(if more than 1)
Last Updated: 10:26 AM
Your daily news report on the latest recommendation, valuation, forecast and opinion changes.
This report includes concise but limited reviews of research recently published by Stockbrokers, which should be considered as information concerning likely market behaviour rather than advice on the securities mentioned. Do not act on the contents of this Report without first reading the important information included at the end.
For more info about the different terms used by stockbrokers, as well as the different methodologies behind similar sounding ratings, download our guide HERE
Today's Upgrades and Downgrades
NST - | NORTHERN STAR | Downgrade to Neutral from Outperform | Macquarie |
RRL - | REGIS RESOURCES | Downgrade to Underperform from Neutral | Macquarie |
SAR - | SARACEN MINERAL | Downgrade to Neutral from Outperform | Macquarie |
VOC - | VOCUS COMMUNICATIONS | Upgrade to Accumulate from Hold | Ord Minnett |
Deutsche Bank rates DXS as Initiation of coverage with Hold (3) -
Deutsche Bank believes, since the appointment of new CEO in 2012, the sale of offshore assets in favour of Sydney office assets has proven positive.
While currently believing the company's office exposure in Sydney is the most attractive market at present, the broker notes office income has lagged peers, notwithstanding a premium to net tangible assets.
The broker forecasts FY18 distributions growth of 4.1%. Deutsche Bank initiates coverage with a Hold rating and $9.00 target.
Target price is $9.00 Current Price is $9.53 Difference: minus $0.53 (current price is over target).
If DXS meets the Deutsche Bank target it will return approximately minus 6% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).
Current consensus price target is $9.55, suggesting upside of 0.2% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY18:
Deutsche Bank forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 47.00 cents and EPS of 60.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 58.2, implying annual growth of -55.4%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 47.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.9%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 16.4. |
Forecast for FY19:
Deutsche Bank forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 48.00 cents and EPS of 62.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 58.1, implying annual growth of -0.2%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 47.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.0%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 16.4. |
Market Sentiment: 0.0
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Ord Minnett rates HUO as Buy (1) -
Ord Minnett expects the company will be able to roll out a number of its proposals which should keep a lid on cost increases. These include more automation, reducing labour costs and increasing feed efficiencies.
The company has also made a number of positive comments regarding pricing, suggesting the wholesale price has remained strong.
The stock offers a 16% compound annual growth rate in earnings per share over FY17-20 and the broker maintains a Buy rating and $6 target.
This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.
Target price is $6.00 Current Price is $5.00 Difference: $1
If HUO meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 20% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY18:
Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 12.00 cents and EPS of 66.00 cents. |
Forecast for FY19:
Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 17.00 cents and EPS of 55.00 cents. |
Market Sentiment: 1.0
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Citi rates JHX as Sell (5) -
Hurricane Harvey represents an attractive opportunity for James Hardie in the re-building of Houston over the next three years, Citi suggests. Flooding in Houston is estimated to have it damaged 100,000 homes, 40,000 of which need to be demolished.
The company's external cladding market share in Houston is forecast to be in excess of 35% because of low stucco and brick presence. Citi estimates 15% of the company's North American sales volume may be attributable to the Houston market alone.
The question for Citi is whether the company has the ability to service the opportunity, given capacity constraints. As the company is committed to protecting its market share, volume will need to come from elsewhere in an already-stretched network. Citi maintains a Sell rating and $16 target.
Target price is $16.00 Current Price is $18.24 Difference: minus $2.24 (current price is over target).
If JHX meets the Citi target it will return approximately minus 12% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).
Current consensus price target is $19.65, suggesting upside of 7.7% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in March.
Forecast for FY18:
Citi forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 46.24 cents and EPS of 75.69 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 76.2, implying annual growth of N/A. Current consensus DPS estimate is 51.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.8%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 23.9. |
Forecast for FY19:
Citi forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 50.20 cents and EPS of 81.51 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 88.3, implying annual growth of 15.9%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 57.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.1%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 20.7. |
This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.
Market Sentiment: 0.5
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Macquarie rates MIN as Outperform (1) -
Macquarie benchmarks cost estimates for the Wodgina spodumene project against industry peers and also recent cost guidance for Mt Marion. The broker assumes costs for Wodgina fall -35%, bringing estimates in line with other large-scale spodumene cost assumptions.
Hence, earnings estimates are upgraded, and recent upgrades to iron ore price forecasts suggest to the broker the company is well-placed to beat FY18 operating earnings guidance of at least $500m.
Outperform rating retained. Target is raised to $20.00 from $17.00.
Target price is $20.00 Current Price is $16.00 Difference: $4
If MIN meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 25% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $17.17, suggesting upside of 7.3% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY18:
Macquarie forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 71.10 cents and EPS of 149.50 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 121.1, implying annual growth of 12.5%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 59.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.7%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.2. |
Forecast for FY19:
Macquarie forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 86.80 cents and EPS of 162.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 514.7, implying annual growth of 325.0%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 92.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.8%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 3.1. |
Market Sentiment: 0.7
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Macquarie rates NST as Downgrade to Neutral from Outperform (3) -
The Western Australian government has proposed an increase in the gold royalty to 3.75% from 2.50%. Macquarie observes high-cost mines will feel the pinch, as a mine with a cash margin of just $100/oz or $200/oz would experience cash profits pre-tax falling -20% and -10% respectively.
The proposed royalty increase has a negligible impact on the earnings outlook for higher-margin producers. However, strong share price performance in recent weeks has pushed some stocks beyond their targets. Macquarie downgrades Northern Star to Neutral from Outperform. Target is $5.40.
Target price is $5.40 Current Price is $5.48 Difference: minus $0.08 (current price is over target).
If NST meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately minus 1% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).
Current consensus price target is $4.88, suggesting downside of -10.9% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY18:
Macquarie forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 10.00 cents and EPS of 33.58 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 42.0, implying annual growth of 17.0%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 9.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.8%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.0. |
Forecast for FY19:
Macquarie forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 10.00 cents and EPS of 39.78 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 48.4, implying annual growth of 15.2%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 10.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.9%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 11.3. |
Market Sentiment: -0.2
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Morgan Stanley rates PTM as Underweight (5) -
Morgan Stanley estimates around $120m in inflows in August, confirming the positive trends announced at the results. Nevertheless, the broker considers the valuation full.
This month the company will launch two quoted managed funds listed on the main board. Morgan Stanley expects, combined with strong recent investment performance, this will be supportive for flows. The broker would become more positive if these early signs of inflows are sustained.
Underweight retained. Target: $4.40. Industry View: In Line.
Target price is $4.40 Current Price is $5.92 Difference: minus $1.52 (current price is over target).
If PTM meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately minus 26% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).
Current consensus price target is $4.40, suggesting downside of -25.7% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY18:
Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 26.00 cents and EPS of 29.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 27.9, implying annual growth of -12.1%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 26.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.5%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 21.2. |
Forecast for FY19:
Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 25.00 cents and EPS of 28.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 27.3, implying annual growth of -2.2%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 26.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.4%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 21.7. |
Market Sentiment: -1.0
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Macquarie rates RRL as Downgrade to Underperform from Neutral (5) -
The Western Australian government has proposed an increase in the gold royalty to 3.75% from 2.50%. Macquarie observes high-cost mines will feel the pinch, as a mine with a cash margin of just $100/oz or $200/oz would experience cash profits pre-tax falling -20% and -10% respectively.
The proposed royalty increase has a negligible impact on the earnings outlook for higher-margin producers. However, strong share price performance in recent weeks has pushed some stocks beyond their targets.
Rating is downgraded to Underperform from Neutral. Target is $3.40.
Target price is $3.40 Current Price is $4.25 Difference: minus $0.85 (current price is over target).
If RRL meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately minus 20% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).
Current consensus price target is $3.48, suggesting downside of -18.1% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY18:
Macquarie forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 21.00 cents and EPS of 35.10 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 31.8, implying annual growth of 15.3%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 17.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.2%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.4. |
Forecast for FY19:
Macquarie forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 27.00 cents and EPS of 46.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 37.2, implying annual growth of 17.0%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 21.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.1%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 11.4. |
Market Sentiment: -0.6
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Macquarie rates SAR as Downgrade to Neutral from Outperform (3) -
The Western Australian government has proposed an increase in the gold royalty to 3.75% from 2.50%. Macquarie observes high-cost mines will feel the pinch, as a mine with a cash margin of just $100/oz or $200/oz would experience cash profits pre-tax falling -20% and -10% respectively.
The proposed royalty increase has a negligible impact on the earnings outlook for higher-margin producers. However, strong share price performance in recent weeks has pushed some stocks beyond their targets.
Rating is downgraded to Neutral from Outperform. Target is $1.50.
Target price is $1.50 Current Price is $1.42 Difference: $0.085
If SAR meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 6% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY18:
Macquarie forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 2.00 cents and EPS of 10.40 cents. |
Forecast for FY19:
Macquarie forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 2.00 cents and EPS of 16.10 cents. |
Market Sentiment: 0.0
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Citi rates SIG as Sell (5) -
First half results were in line and Citi notes challenging conditions continue. The broker considers the stock overvalued relative to the market and given the underlying risks associated with the business.
Citi continues to assume the company loses Chemist Warehouse as a customer at the end of the current service contract. While Sigma continues to negotiate, it expects arbitration is the most likely scenario.
The broker is also wary of the short-term returns on the proposed Sydney distribution centre should the company lose the contract. Sell. Target $0.65.
Target price is $0.65 Current Price is $0.89 Difference: minus $0.235 (current price is over target).
If SIG meets the Citi target it will return approximately minus 27% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).
Current consensus price target is $0.75, suggesting downside of -15.0% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in January.
Forecast for FY18:
Citi forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 5.50 cents and EPS of 5.60 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 5.6, implying annual growth of 3.7%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 5.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.0%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.8. |
Forecast for FY19:
Citi forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 5.50 cents and EPS of 5.60 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 5.6, implying annual growth of N/A. Current consensus DPS estimate is 5.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.1%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.8. |
Market Sentiment: -0.8
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Credit Suisse rates SIG as Neutral (3) -
Operating earnings in the first half were in line with prior guidance and Credit Suisse forecasts. Sales revenue was below the broker's forecasts but this was countered by better gross margin performance.
The broker expects, with PBS revenue expected to remain under pressure, higher growth of non-PBS revenue, as well as the potential winding back of the remaining trade discounts to pharmacy, should sustain gross profit growth through FY18.
Credit Suisse retains a Neutral rating and raises the target to $0.89 from $0.85.
Target price is $0.89 Current Price is $0.89 Difference: $0.005
If SIG meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately 1% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $0.75, suggesting downside of -15.0% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in January.
Forecast for FY18:
Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 5.20 cents and EPS of 5.54 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 5.6, implying annual growth of 3.7%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 5.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.0%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.8. |
Forecast for FY19:
Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 5.25 cents and EPS of 5.82 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 5.6, implying annual growth of N/A. Current consensus DPS estimate is 5.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.1%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.8. |
Market Sentiment: -0.8
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
UBS rates SIG as Sell (5) -
First half results were in line with the company's previous downgrade. Trading EBIT fell -8.7%.
UBS observes limited data on segment growth rates. The company expects PBS growth to be flat in the second half and growth of 3-5% in FY19. The dispute with Chemist Warehouse is in mediation.
UBS maintains a Sell rating and 70c target.
Target price is $0.70 Current Price is $0.89 Difference: minus $0.185 (current price is over target).
If SIG meets the UBS target it will return approximately minus 21% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).
Current consensus price target is $0.75, suggesting downside of -15.0% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in January.
Forecast for FY18:
UBS forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 5.00 cents and EPS of 6.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 5.6, implying annual growth of 3.7%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 5.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.0%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.8. |
Forecast for FY19:
UBS forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 6.00 cents and EPS of 6.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 5.6, implying annual growth of N/A. Current consensus DPS estimate is 5.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.1%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.8. |
Market Sentiment: -0.8
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
UBS rates STO as Neutral (3) -
GLNG will divert a further 30PJ of gas to the domestic market in 2018/19.
GLNG partners are taking the opportunity of the company's gas supply in the Cooper Basin and strong demand/prices to reduce contracted LNG volumes over the next few years.
UBS expects the impact for Santos should be marginally positive. Neutral maintained. Target is $3.95.
Target price is $3.85 Current Price is $3.90 Difference: minus $0.05 (current price is over target).
If STO meets the UBS target it will return approximately minus 1% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).
Current consensus price target is $3.98, suggesting upside of 2.0% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in December.
Forecast for FY17:
UBS forecasts a full year FY17 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 18.43 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 12.2, implying annual growth of N/A. Current consensus DPS estimate is 2.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.5%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 32.0. |
Forecast for FY18:
UBS forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 21.07 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 18.5, implying annual growth of 51.6%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 4.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.2%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 21.1. |
This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.
Market Sentiment: 0.6
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Macquarie rates SYR as Neutral (3) -
Macquarie reviews its forecasts, expecting over time that the company will become a leading supplier of both traditional and battery anode graphite products.
Nevertheless, near-term technical risk continues to outweigh the longer-term view on the stock. Neutral maintained. Target is lifted 9% to $3.50.
Target price is $3.50 Current Price is $3.30 Difference: $0.2
If SYR meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 6% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $4.67, suggesting upside of 41.5% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in December.
Forecast for FY17:
Macquarie forecasts a full year FY17 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 8.30 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is -9.0, implying annual growth of N/A. Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is N/A. |
Forecast for FY18:
Macquarie forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 11.40 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 5.1, implying annual growth of N/A. Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 64.7. |
Market Sentiment: 0.6
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Ord Minnett rates VOC as Upgrade to Accumulate from Hold (2) -
Ord Minnett has now more confidence around FY18 guidance and finds the current level an attractive entry point for the stock. Rating is upgraded to Accumulate from Hold. Target is reduced to $3.00 from $3.30.
For a company expected to be able to grow core operating earnings at low-to-mid-single digits in the near and medium term Vocus is the broker's preferred stock in the sector following a reset of expectations.
This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.
Target price is $3.00 Current Price is $2.55 Difference: $0.45
If VOC meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 18% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $2.68, suggesting upside of 5.0% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY18:
Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 14.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 21.9, implying annual growth of N/A. Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 11.6. |
Forecast for FY19:
Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 8.00 cents and EPS of 15.00 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 22.0, implying annual growth of 0.5%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 3.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.5%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 11.6. |
Market Sentiment: -0.1
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Macquarie rates VRL as Neutral (3) -
Village Roadshow has entered a sale and lease-back for the Gold Coast theme parks freehold. Macquarie observes this deal reinforces the company's commitment to de-leveraging with the proceeds to be used to reduce debt and improve the balance sheet.
The broker believes the main challenge for the company is restoring credibility following successive downgrades and operating conditions remain uncertain.
Neutral retained. Target rises to $3.95 from $3.80.
Target price is $3.95 Current Price is $3.70 Difference: $0.25
If VRL meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 7% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).
Current consensus price target is $3.80, suggesting upside of 2.8% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in June.
Forecast for FY18:
Macquarie forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 21.30 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 18.4, implying annual growth of N/A. Current consensus DPS estimate is 4.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.3%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 20.1. |
Forecast for FY19:
Macquarie forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 14.80 cents and EPS of 29.70 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 24.1, implying annual growth of 31.0%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 10.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.9%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.4. |
Market Sentiment: -0.3
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Citi rates WPL as Sell (5) -
Citi expects prevailing weakness in LNG markets to continue for some time. The broker now models losses from Corpus Christi LNG trading, which reduces earnings by around -10% for 2020-22 and reduces the risked valuation by -1%.
The broker's earnings forecasts are now -39% below consensus for 2019 and a dividend yield of only 3.4% is forecast. Citi considers, at the current price, the stock is not a low-risk story. Sell maintained. Target reduced to $27.16 from $27.49.
Target price is $27.16 Current Price is $29.13 Difference: minus $1.97 (current price is over target).
If WPL meets the Citi target it will return approximately minus 7% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).
Current consensus price target is $30.00, suggesting upside of 3.0% (ex-dividends)
The company's fiscal year ends in December.
Forecast for FY17:
Citi forecasts a full year FY17 dividend of 127.72 cents and EPS of 158.26 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 145.2, implying annual growth of N/A. Current consensus DPS estimate is 115.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.0%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 20.1. |
Forecast for FY18:
Citi forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 129.03 cents and EPS of 159.97 cents. How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections? Current consensus EPS estimate is 156.2, implying annual growth of 7.6%. Current consensus DPS estimate is 123.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.2%. Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 18.6. |
This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.
Market Sentiment: 0.0
All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources
Summaries
DXS - | DEXUS PROPERTY | Initiation of coverage with Hold - Deutsche Bank | Overnight Price $9.53 |
HUO - | HUON AQUACULTURE | Buy - Ord Minnett | Overnight Price $5.00 |
JHX - | JAMES HARDIE | Sell - Citi | Overnight Price $18.24 |
MIN - | MINERAL RESOURCES | Outperform - Macquarie | Overnight Price $16.00 |
NST - | NORTHERN STAR | Downgrade to Neutral from Outperform - Macquarie | Overnight Price $5.48 |
PTM - | PLATINUM | Underweight - Morgan Stanley | Overnight Price $5.92 |
RRL - | REGIS RESOURCES | Downgrade to Underperform from Neutral - Macquarie | Overnight Price $4.25 |
SAR - | SARACEN MINERAL | Downgrade to Neutral from Outperform - Macquarie | Overnight Price $1.42 |
SIG - | SIGMA HEALTHCARE | Sell - Citi | Overnight Price $0.89 |
Neutral - Credit Suisse | Overnight Price $0.89 | ||
Sell - UBS | Overnight Price $0.89 | ||
STO - | SANTOS | Neutral - UBS | Overnight Price $3.90 |
SYR - | SYRAH RESOURCES | Neutral - Macquarie | Overnight Price $3.30 |
VOC - | VOCUS COMMUNICATIONS | Upgrade to Accumulate from Hold - Ord Minnett | Overnight Price $2.55 |
VRL - | VILLAGE ROADSHOW | Neutral - Macquarie | Overnight Price $3.70 |
WPL - | WOODSIDE PETROLEUM | Sell - Citi | Overnight Price $29.13 |
RATING SUMMARY
Rating | No. Of Recommendations |
1. Buy | 2 |
2. Accumulate | 1 |
3. Hold | 7 |
5. Sell | 6 |
Friday 08 September 2017
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