Australian Broker Call

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June 18, 2020

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COMPANIES DISCUSSED IN THIS ISSUE

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The number next to the symbol represents the number of brokers covering it for this report -(if more than 1).

Last Updated: 05:00 PM

Your daily news report on the latest recommendation, valuation, forecast and opinion changes.

This report includes concise but limited reviews of research recently published by Stockbrokers, which should be considered as information concerning likely market behaviour rather than advice on the securities mentioned. Do not act on the contents of this Report without first reading the important information included at the end.

For more info about the different terms used by stockbrokers, as well as the different methodologies behind similar sounding ratings, download our guide HERE

Today's Upgrades and Downgrades
ANN - Ansell Downgrade to Neutral from Buy Citi
CAR - Carsales.Com Downgrade to Neutral from Outperform Macquarie
FCT - Firstwave Cloud Technology Upgrade to Add from Hold Morgans
FMG - Fortescue Downgrade to Hold from Accumulate Ord Minnett
GXY - Galaxy Resources Downgrade to Hold from Accumulate Ord Minnett
MIN - Mineral Resources Downgrade to Hold from Accumulate Ord Minnett
MP1 - Megaport Downgrade to Hold from Add Morgans
NAB - National Australia Bank Downgrade to Equal-weight from Overweight Morgan Stanley
RRL - Regis Resources Downgrade to Sell from Hold Ord Minnett
WBC - Westpac Banking Upgrade to Equal-weight from Underweight Morgan Stanley
WSA - Western Areas Downgrade to Hold from Accumulate Ord Minnett
ANN  ANSELL LIMITED

Commercial Services & Supplies

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Overnight Price: $35.67

Citi rates ANN as Downgrade to Neutral from Buy (3) -

Ansell’s CEO Magnus Nicolin has delayed retirement and will be staying until December 2021. This is due to the pandemic making it difficult to assess CEO candidates.

FY20 guidance remains unchanged with the company noting increased demand for products used by essential workers. Citi highlights the company is expanding its manufacturing and distribution capacity even as it tries to shift its focus away from pandemic-hit industries. 

Ansell is also not increasing its prices except to compensate for increased costs, a strategy appreciated by the broker.

Citi downgrades to Neutral from Buy noting the stock reflects fair value currently. The target increases to $35 from $34.50.

Target price is $35.00 Current Price is $35.67 Difference: minus $0.67 (current price is over target).
If ANN meets the Citi target it will return approximately minus 2% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $31.85, suggesting downside of -9.9% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Citi forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 77.35 cents and EPS of 171.26 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.17%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 20.83.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 175.1, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 77.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 20.2.

Forecast for FY21:

Citi forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 86.34 cents and EPS of 188.30 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.42%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 18.94.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 181.3, implying annual growth of 3.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 79.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 19.5.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

ANZ  AUSTRALIA & NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP

Banks

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Overnight Price: $19.16

Morgan Stanley rates ANZ as Overweight (1) -

Morgan Stanley retains an Overweight rating, given ANZ Bank's improving franchise performance in Australia and the potential for more credible cost reductions.

The broker is also more confident about the relative credit risk because of the bank's business mix and exposures.

Target is raised to $20.10 from $17.10. Industry view is In-Line.

Target price is $20.10 Current Price is $19.16 Difference: $0.94
If ANZ meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately 5% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $20.59, suggesting upside of 8.3% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in September.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 40.00 cents and EPS of 136.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.09%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.09.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 126.0, implying annual growth of -40.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 43.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.1.

Forecast for FY21:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 105.00 cents and EPS of 177.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.48%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 10.79.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 163.6, implying annual growth of 29.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 100.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 11.6.

Market Sentiment: 0.4

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

APT  AFTERPAY LIMITED

Business & Consumer Credit

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Overnight Price: $57.73

Ord Minnett rates APT as Buy (1) -

On Ord Minnett's revised estimates, Afterpay should reach around 9.8m active customers by the end of June. The broker expects the company will take advantage of the step up in the proportion of sales from e-commerce.

Strategic interest in the BNPL sector has also been recently highlighted by the Heights Capital investment in Zip Co ((Z1P)) following Tencent's 5% stake in Afterpay.

Ord Minnett retains a Buy rating and raises the target to $64.70 from $34.00.

Target price is $64.70 Current Price is $57.73 Difference: $6.97
If APT meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 12% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $37.30, suggesting downside of -35.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 9.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 641.44.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is -18.4, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is N/A.

Forecast for FY21:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 1.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 3608.12.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is -8.5, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is N/A.

Market Sentiment: 0.2

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

AQR  APN CONVENIENCE RETAIL REIT

REITs

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Overnight Price: $3.35

Morgans rates AQR as Add (1) -

APN Convenience Retail REIT has completed an institutional placement of $50m with another $5m sought from an SPP, which will be used to pay down debt and fund acquisitions, including two new Coles Express stores which are about to settle.

FY20 guidance is maintained and FY21 is expected to be "no less" than FY20. A short term catalyst is offered by the potential sale of Puma Energy to Chevron, the broker suggests, and with asset re-ratings.

Stores have seen little impact from the virus. Target falls to $3.75 from $3.87 on dilution, Add retained.

Target price is $3.75 Current Price is $3.35 Difference: $0.4
If AQR meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 12% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 20.90 cents and EPS of 21.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.24%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.44.

Forecast for FY21:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 21.80 cents and EPS of 22.30 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.51%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.02.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

BLX  BEACON LIGHTING GROUP LIMITED

Furniture & Renovation

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Overnight Price: $1.22

Citi rates BLX as Buy (1) -

Beacon Lighting Group delivered a strong trading update with second-half like-for-like sales up 17% (year to date), driven by an increase in the DIY category demand.

Citi is cautious and forecasts FY21 first-half sales growth of 1.5% while acknowledging upside risk given the company’s customers will continue to have limited spending options.

Also, the broker highlights a lot of the company’s customers fall in the middle to upper-income category and are less likely to lose their jobs. Short term positives include better rental deals and lower expenses.

Citi retains its Buy rating with target price increased to $1.40 from $1.24.

Target price is $1.40 Current Price is $1.22 Difference: $0.18
If BLX meets the Citi target it will return approximately 15% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Citi forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 4.60 cents and EPS of 8.50 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.77%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.35.

Forecast for FY21:

Citi forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 4.30 cents and EPS of 7.80 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.52%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.64.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Morgans rates BLX as Add (1) -

Beacon Lighting lived brighter during the lockdowns, seeing sales surge 17% in the second half as locked in households ramped up renovations. FY20 profit guidance is 23% above the broker's prior forecast and debt is expected to be negligible at end-June. 

Given strength in sales, the broker now expects a ramp up of store rollouts which were previously assumed to be modest. While the April-June sales surge is not expected to be repeated, the broker still believes in-home spending will remain favourable through to end-2020. Add retained, target rises to $1.35 from 93c.

Target price is $1.35 Current Price is $1.22 Difference: $0.13
If BLX meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 11% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 5.00 cents and EPS of 8.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.10%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.25.

Forecast for FY21:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 5.00 cents and EPS of 8.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.10%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.25.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

BXB  BRAMBLES LIMITED

Transportation & Logistics

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Overnight Price: $11.53

Citi rates BXB as Buy (1) -

Citi notes despite significant disruptions in global supply chains from the pandemic, things are looking good for Brambles as per Citi’s US Cost Monitor with lumber prices stabilising and transport costs continuing to fall in May.

Operating income is expected to increase in the second half. The broker finds the company attractive due to its strong balance sheet, defensive portfolio, a move away from capital expenditure intensive growth and flexibility to reduce costs.

The broker retains its Buy rating with a target price of $13.80.

Target price is $13.80 Current Price is $11.53 Difference: $2.27
If BXB meets the Citi target it will return approximately 20% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $12.63, suggesting upside of 12.6% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Citi forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 41.02 cents and EPS of 49.88 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.56%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 23.12.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 56.1, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 44.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 20.0.

Forecast for FY21:

Citi forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 39.15 cents and EPS of 61.18 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.40%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 18.85.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 60.4, implying annual growth of 7.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 38.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 18.6.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.7

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

CAR  CARSALES.COM LIMITED

Automobiles & Components

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Overnight Price: $18.00

Credit Suisse rates CAR as Neutral (3) -

Carsales.com has reinstated guidance for operating earnings (EBITDA) of $202-206m and the mid point of the range is 4% ahead of Credit Suisse forecasts.

Management has signalled that lead volumes have grown strongly since April. Meanwhile, Credit Suisse notes that refinancing of debt maturing in July 2021 and the increase to the facility have removed concerns about the balance sheet.

Neutral maintained. Target is raised to $16.60 from $14.40.

Target price is $16.60 Current Price is $18.00 Difference: minus $1.4 (current price is over target).
If CAR meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately minus 8% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $16.07, suggesting downside of -7.8% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 40.10 cents and EPS of 47.69 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.23%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 37.74.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 49.2, implying annual growth of 40.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 40.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 35.4.

Forecast for FY21:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 43.20 cents and EPS of 56.35 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.40%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 31.94.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 57.3, implying annual growth of 16.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 44.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 30.4.

Market Sentiment: 0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Macquarie rates CAR as Downgrade to Neutral from Outperform (3) -

The company stated that lead volumes have grown strongly since late April, a surprise to Macquarie. The broker suspects part of this increase is cyclical, and one-off factors such as pent-up demand following the easing of social distancing restrictions as well as government stimulus have contributed.

On the basis the strength is cyclical this impact should normalise over time and have little bearing on long-term trends, in the broker's view.

Car ownership may be rising to some extent as a result of the pandemic, for which the implications are positive.

Following a 41% increase in the share price since late April Macquarie assesses value is better reflected at current levels and downgrades to Neutral from Outperform. Target rises to $18.00 from $15.30.

Target price is $18.00 Current Price is $18.00 Difference: $0
If CAR meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 0% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $16.07, suggesting downside of -7.8% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 40.50 cents and EPS of 48.80 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.25%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 36.89.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 49.2, implying annual growth of 40.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 40.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 35.4.

Forecast for FY21:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 49.10 cents and EPS of 59.20 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.73%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 30.41.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 57.3, implying annual growth of 16.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 44.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 30.4.

Market Sentiment: 0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Morgan Stanley rates CAR as Overweight (1) -

Morgan Stanley expects the FY20 earnings base for Carsales to be slightly more than expected with guidance ahead of consensus. Dealer lead volumes have also recovered strongly and the broker expects this to continue into FY21. 

Even though aware of the risks surrounding the recovery, Morgan Stanley remains positive and maintains its Overweight rating with a target price of $15.50. Industry view: Attractive.

Target price is $15.50 Current Price is $18.00 Difference: minus $2.5 (current price is over target).
If CAR meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately minus 14% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $16.07, suggesting downside of -7.8% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY20 EPS of 60.30 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 29.85.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 49.2, implying annual growth of 40.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 40.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 35.4.

Forecast for FY21:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY21 EPS of 64.80 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 27.78.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 57.3, implying annual growth of 16.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 44.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 30.4.

Market Sentiment: 0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


UBS rates CAR as Neutral (3) -

The company's update has confirmed industry tailwinds, although the quantum of the upgrade to reinstated guidance was slightly ahead of UBS estimates.

The broker suspects the lift in demand is likely to be driven by the JobKeeper payment stimulus, early access to superannuation and favourable instant asset write-off tax rules.

There could also be an increase in car use because of social distancing. Still, some of these factors may fall away and the broker points out the economic outlook remains uncertain.

Hence, minimal growth in FY21 is forecast. Neutral rating and $16 target maintained.

Target price is $16.00 Current Price is $18.00 Difference: minus $2 (current price is over target).
If CAR meets the UBS target it will return approximately minus 11% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $16.07, suggesting downside of -7.8% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

UBS forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 39.00 cents and EPS of 48.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.17%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 37.50.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 49.2, implying annual growth of 40.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 40.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 35.4.

Forecast for FY21:

UBS forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 43.00 cents and EPS of 57.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.39%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 31.58.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 57.3, implying annual growth of 16.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 44.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 30.4.

Market Sentiment: 0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

CBA  COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA

Banks

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Overnight Price: $69.59

Morgan Stanley rates CBA as Underweight (5) -

Morgan Stanley notes pressure on retail side profitability and growth prospects while expecting no cost relief in the near-term.

There may be a larger than expected dividend cut or possibly deferral, comments the broker and predicts the bank will offer less upside in case of a rebound.

Morgan Stanley retains its Underweight rating with target price increased to $61.50 from $56.

Target price is $61.50 Current Price is $69.59 Difference: minus $8.09 (current price is over target).
If CBA meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately minus 12% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $64.01, suggesting downside of -7.2% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 330.00 cents and EPS of 435.80 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.74%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.97.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 424.1, implying annual growth of -12.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 292.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 16.3.

Forecast for FY21:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 340.00 cents and EPS of 490.80 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.89%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.18.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 420.2, implying annual growth of -0.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 320.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 16.4.

Market Sentiment: -0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

CSL  CSL LIMITED

Pharmaceuticals & Biotech/Lifesciences

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Overnight Price: $287.16

Morgan Stanley rates CSL as Equal-weight (3) -

CSL announced the resignation of its CFO, David Lamont effective October 30, 2020. Morgan Stanley notes the company's R&D capability and future growth prospects point to an increase in the risk profile and points out the next CFO could be someone with experience in biotechnology.

The company also entered into a joint venture with Thermo Scientific about the leasing of the Lengnau facility and has acquired Vitaeris.

The broker retains its Equal-Weight rating with a target price of $288. Industry view: In-line.

Target price is $288.00 Current Price is $287.16 Difference: $0.84
If CSL meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately 0% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $311.67, suggesting upside of 9.2% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in May.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 297.26 cents and EPS of 686.22 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.04%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 41.85.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 672.2, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 297.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 42.5.

Forecast for FY21:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 346.09 cents and EPS of 779.99 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.21%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 36.82.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 758.6, implying annual growth of 12.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 336.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 37.6.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.4

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

EBO  EBOS GROUP LIMITED

Healthcare services

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Overnight Price: $21.00

Morgans rates EBO as Add (1) -

The Federal Government has executed the 7th Community Pharmacy Agreement which will be in place for the next five years, which provides a period of certainty for Ebos Group and fellow pharmacy companies, the broker notes.

Ebos provided many services and products that were in high demand during the crisis, and is well funded, the analysts note.

The broker makes no changes to forecasts and believes the company is well placed to grow in the medium term. Target falls to $24.58 from $24.65 to reflect a higher share count. Add retained.

Target price is $24.58 Current Price is $21.00 Difference: $3.58
If EBO meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 17% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $24.04, suggesting upside of 15.3% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 65.00 cents and EPS of 103.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.10%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 20.39.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 101.7, implying annual growth of 13.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 20.5.

Forecast for FY21:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 67.00 cents and EPS of 110.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.19%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 19.09.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 110.7, implying annual growth of 8.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 18.8.

Market Sentiment: 0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

FCT  FIRSTWAVE CLOUD TECHNOLOGY LIMITED

Cloud services

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Overnight Price: $0.09

Morgans rates FCT as Upgrade to Add from Hold (1) -

Firstwave Cloud Technology has completed a $15m capital raising, and on rising sales and tight cost control should reach cash flow breakeven by end-2022, Morgans estimates. With funding now settled, management can return focus to the business.

For Firstwave, the key to growing sales revenue is to continue adding distributors who pay to use the company's comprehensive cyber security offering, the broker suggests. Upgrade to Speculative Buy from Hold, target rises to 16.5c from 10.6c.

Target price is $0.17 Current Price is $0.09 Difference: $0.075
If FCT meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 83% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

FMG  FORTESCUE METALS GROUP LTD

Iron Ore

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Overnight Price: $14.62

Ord Minnett rates FMG as Downgrade to Hold from Accumulate (3) -

Ord Minnett downgrades to Hold from Accumulate following a material outperformance of the share price.

The broker still envisages Fortescue Metals will offer strong yields but, given Brazilian iron ore exports are expected to recover in the second half of 2020, lower iron ore prices could weigh. Target is reduced to $14.60 from $15.10.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Target price is $14.60 Current Price is $14.62 Difference: minus $0.02 (current price is over target).
If FMG meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately minus 0% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $12.62, suggesting downside of -10.1% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 202.44 cents and EPS of 212.86 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 13.85%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 6.87.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 213.6, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 223.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 15.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 6.6.

Forecast for FY21:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 129.50 cents and EPS of 144.39 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 8.86%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 10.13.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 149.0, implying annual growth of -30.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 181.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 12.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 9.4.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

GXY  GALAXY RESOURCES LIMITED

New Battery Elements

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Overnight Price: $0.86

Ord Minnett rates GXY as Downgrade to Hold from Accumulate (3) -

Ord Minnett downgrades to Hold from Accumulate because of recent appreciation in the share price. Target is steady at 90c.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Target price is $0.90 Current Price is $0.86 Difference: $0.04
If GXY meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 5% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $0.94, suggesting upside of 7.9% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY20:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY20 EPS of minus 7.44 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 11.55.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is -4.4, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is N/A.

Forecast for FY21:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY21 EPS of minus 4.47 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 19.26.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is -3.3, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is N/A.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

IFN  INFIGEN ENERGY

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Overnight Price: $0.88

Morgans rates IFN as Hold (3) -

Infigen Energy had received an offer of $0.80 from UAC Energy which the broker considered a fair price, albeit the board had not yet recommended the offer. Now international wind energy company Iberdrola has offered 86c.

The broker retains Hold, noting FIRB approval is required and UAC might go again, and lifts its target to the new offer price of 86c from the prior 80c.

Target price is $0.86 Current Price is $0.88 Difference: minus $0.02 (current price is over target).
If IFN meets the Morgans target it will return approximately minus 2% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $0.75, suggesting downside of -19.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 2.00 cents and EPS of 3.50 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.27%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 25.14.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 3.9, implying annual growth of -9.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 2.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 23.8.

Forecast for FY21:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 2.00 cents and EPS of 4.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.27%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 19.13.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 3.7, implying annual growth of -5.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 2.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 25.1.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Ord Minnett rates IFN as Hold (3) -

Infigen Energy has entered a bid implementation agreement with Iberdrola, the world's largest wind power company, at $0.86 per share cash.

Ord Minnett believes the bid values the company at close to replacement cost and raises the target to the current offer price of $0.86 from $0.74. Hold maintained.

The broker still envisages the possibility of further competing bids, including UAC Energy which also has an offer on the table.

Target price is $0.86 Current Price is $0.88 Difference: minus $0.02 (current price is over target).
If IFN meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately minus 2% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $0.75, suggesting downside of -19.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 2.00 cents and EPS of 5.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.27%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 17.60.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 3.9, implying annual growth of -9.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 2.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 23.8.

Forecast for FY21:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY21 EPS of 4.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 22.00.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 3.7, implying annual growth of -5.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 2.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 25.1.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

IMD  IMDEX LIMITED

Mining Sector Contracting

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Overnight Price: $1.05

UBS rates IMD as Buy (1) -

UBS estimates that lockdowns in exploration regions globally for the fourth quarter of FY20 will result in a -47% decline in revenue.

A sharp global recovery in the subsequent quarter is also unlikely as cases of coronavirus in South America continue to rise and the ramping up of drilling in North America is slow.

Imdex remains highly leveraged to a faster-than-expected recovery from the second half of FY21 with a stabilising cost base, as little incremental cost is required to support materially higher revenue.

The broker considers the FY22 earnings multiples attractive and retains a Buy rating. Target is reduced to $1.30 from $1.70.

Target price is $1.30 Current Price is $1.05 Difference: $0.25
If IMD meets the UBS target it will return approximately 24% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

UBS forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 1.00 cents and EPS of 5.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.95%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 21.00.

Forecast for FY21:

UBS forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 1.00 cents and EPS of 5.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.95%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 21.00.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

JMS  JUPITER MINES LIMITED

Industrial Metals

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Overnight Price: $0.26

Macquarie rates JMS as Outperform (1) -

First quarter production was stronger than Macquarie expected while sales were affected by shipments being rolled over into the second quarter.

Mining has now ramped back up following the pandemic-led curtailment and operations have since outperformed monthly targets. Macquarie finds the dividend yield attractive and retains an Outperform rating. Target is $0.35.

Target price is $0.35 Current Price is $0.26 Difference: $0.09
If JMS meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 35% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in February.

Forecast for FY21:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 1.90 cents and EPS of 2.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 7.31%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.00.

Forecast for FY22:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 4.20 cents and EPS of 4.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 16.15%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 5.53.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

MIN  MINERAL RESOURCES LIMITED

Iron Ore

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Overnight Price: $20.16

Ord Minnett rates MIN as Downgrade to Hold from Accumulate (3) -

Ord Minnett downgrades to Hold from Accumulate because of recent appreciation in the share price. Target is raised to $17.80 from $17.20.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Target price is $17.80 Current Price is $20.16 Difference: minus $2.36 (current price is over target).
If MIN meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately minus 12% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $19.27, suggesting downside of -2.5% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY20 EPS of 173.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 11.65.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 170.3, implying annual growth of 95.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 52.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 11.6.

Forecast for FY21:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY21 EPS of 287.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 7.02.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 215.9, implying annual growth of 26.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 90.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 9.2.

Market Sentiment: 0.7

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

MP1  MEGAPORT LIMITED

Cloud services

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Overnight Price: $13.45

Morgans rates MP1 as Downgrade to Hold from Add (3) -

Demand for remote working and other cloud/collaboration solutions provided by cloud service providers has, unsurprisingly Morgans notes, been incredibly strong over the last six months. Megaport has now been included in the ASX200. The broker makes no changes to near term forecasts but lifts its target to $14.14 from $12.87 after rolling forward forecasts by 12 months.

The stock has rallied 122% year on year and shot up after the initial March sell-off. As the share price is now within 10% of target Morgans pulls back to Hold from Add.

Target price is $14.14 Current Price is $13.45 Difference: $0.69
If MP1 meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 5% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $13.03, suggesting downside of -1.1% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 25.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 53.80.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is -25.0, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is N/A.

Forecast for FY21:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 19.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 70.79.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is -15.5, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is N/A.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

MTS  METCASH LIMITED

Food, Beverages & Tobacco

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Overnight Price: $2.88

Ord Minnett rates MTS as Accumulate (2) -

Ahead of the FY20 result on June 22, Ord Minnett anticipates food earnings (EBIT) will rise by around 10.7% in the second half because of the pandemic, which is driving operating leverage.

Food inflation is a medium-term positive with liquor earnings also forecast to rise. Hardware has improved but a fall in earnings is expected because of trade.

Ord Minnett maintains an Accumulate rating and raises the target to $3.15 from $3.00.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Target price is $3.15 Current Price is $2.88 Difference: $0.27
If MTS meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 9% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $2.97, suggesting upside of 3.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in April.

Forecast for FY20:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 13.50 cents and EPS of 23.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.69%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 12.52.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 22.8, implying annual growth of 9.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 12.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.5.

Forecast for FY21:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 13.00 cents and EPS of 20.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.51%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.40.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 19.1, implying annual growth of -16.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 11.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.0.

Market Sentiment: 0.4

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

NAB  NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED

Banks

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Overnight Price: $18.96

Morgan Stanley rates NAB as Downgrade to Equal-weight from Overweight (3) -

While National Australia Bank’s margin improvement is strong as is its credit quality, Morgan Stanley expects loss rates to be higher than peers due to exposure to businesses.

The broker points out the AUSTRAC issue has created uncertainty. All in all, the broker thinks the bank is more expensive than ANZ Bank and Westpac.

Morgan Stanley downgrades to Equal Weight from Overweight and increases its target to $18.50 from $16.70.

Target price is $18.50 Current Price is $18.96 Difference: minus $0.46 (current price is over target).
If NAB meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately minus 2% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $19.82, suggesting upside of 5.8% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in September.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 60.00 cents and EPS of 114.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.16%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 16.63.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 117.3, implying annual growth of -34.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 69.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 16.0.

Forecast for FY21:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 95.00 cents and EPS of 145.90 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.01%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.00.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 147.4, implying annual growth of 25.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 94.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.7.

Market Sentiment: 0.8

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

NGI  NAVIGATOR GLOBAL INVESTMENTS LIMITED

Wealth Management & Investments

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Overnight Price: $1.29

Macquarie rates NGI as Outperform (1) -

Funds under management as of May 2020 were US$12.05bn. The company continues to highlight an increase in redemption risk and outflows are expected to increase over the period to the end of June.

Macquarie forecasts -US$3.1bn of net outflows across the second half and FY21.

The broker retains an Outperform rating, supported by valuation, and the redemption risk is already Incorporated into forecasts. Target is reduced to $1.58 from $1.65, reflecting FX changes.

Target price is $1.58 Current Price is $1.29 Difference: $0.29
If NGI meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 22% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 21.12 cents and EPS of 21.12 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 16.37%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 6.11.

Forecast for FY21:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 11.31 cents and EPS of 10.87 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 8.77%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 11.87.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

RHC  RAMSAY HEALTH CARE LIMITED

Healthcare services

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Overnight Price: $66.98

UBS rates RHC as Neutral (3) -

Public hospital elective surgery data for the four major states indicates, in aggregate, the number of people waiting surgery increased 9% in the March quarter.

UBS suspects that delays because of the pandemic are likely to result in additional pressures on the waiting lists in the June quarter.

Still, Ramsay Health Care is likely to benefit from local "spot" contracts and more formalised outsourcing of state work.

While not equivalent to private insurance funded admissions, this is still likely to add to operating profit, the broker adds. Neutral rating and $71.20 target maintained.

Target price is $71.20 Current Price is $66.98 Difference: $4.22
If RHC meets the UBS target it will return approximately 6% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $67.52, suggesting upside of 2.2% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

UBS forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 63.00 cents and EPS of 189.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.94%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 35.44.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 193.1, implying annual growth of -27.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 63.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 34.2.

Forecast for FY21:

UBS forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 68.00 cents and EPS of 192.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.02%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 34.89.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 214.2, implying annual growth of 10.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 77.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 30.8.

Market Sentiment: 0.2

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

RRL  REGIS RESOURCES LIMITED

Gold & Silver

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Overnight Price: $5.19

Ord Minnett rates RRL as Downgrade to Sell from Hold (5) -

Ord Minnett downgrades to Sell from Hold because of recent appreciation in the share price. Target is reduced to $4.10 from $4.20.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Target price is $4.10 Current Price is $5.19 Difference: minus $1.09 (current price is over target).
If RRL meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately minus 21% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $5.30, suggesting upside of 3.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY20 EPS of 45.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 11.53.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 44.6, implying annual growth of 38.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 17.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 11.5.

Forecast for FY21:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY21 EPS of 74.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 7.01.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 53.7, implying annual growth of 20.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 18.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 9.5.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

SZL  SEZZLE INC

Diversified Financials

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Overnight Price: $3.30

Ord Minnett rates SZL as Buy (1) -

Ord Minnett assesses the Buy Now Pay Later (BNPL) sector is benefiting from strong growth in online retail. Sezzle's growth is underscored by record merchant sales in the month of April, which are annualised at over $1bn.

Since then active customers have jumped to over 1.3m. Strategic interest has been at the top of Ord Minnett's view, as a number of the company's key competitors attract high-quality strategic investment.

Buy rating maintained. Target rises to $4.00 from $3.10.

Target price is $4.00 Current Price is $3.30 Difference: $0.7
If SZL meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 21% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY20:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 12.95 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 25.48.

Forecast for FY21:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 9.82 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 33.59.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

TWE  TREASURY WINE ESTATES LIMITED

Food, Beverages & Tobacco

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Overnight Price: $11.06

Citi rates TWE as Neutral (3) -

The share price of Treasury Wine Estates has settled in the past month and reflects a more stable operating environment, comments Citi. The broker notes a reduction in the US’s oversupply but a weak recovery in China. 

Even with the backdrop becoming less volatile, the broker is cautious about recovery in FY21 and its FY21 operating income forecast, which is below consensus, reflects this stance.

The broker has reduced earnings forecasts for FY20-21 while leaving it mostly unchanged for FY22.

Citi retains its Neutral rating with a target price of $10.60.

Target price is $10.60 Current Price is $11.06 Difference: minus $0.46 (current price is over target).
If TWE meets the Citi target it will return approximately minus 4% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $11.15, suggesting upside of 3.0% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Citi forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 20.00 cents and EPS of 43.30 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.81%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 25.54.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 48.2, implying annual growth of -17.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 23.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 22.5.

Forecast for FY21:

Citi forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 28.00 cents and EPS of 48.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.53%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 22.76.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 52.2, implying annual growth of 8.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 24.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 20.7.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

WBC  WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION

Banks

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Overnight Price: $18.15

Morgan Stanley rates WBC as Upgrade to Equal-weight from Underweight (3) -

While Westpac has weak retail banking momentum and no plan for medium-term cost reductions, Morgan Stanley upgrades to Equal-weight from Underweight.

The upgrade stems from an improved margin outlook because of lower funding costs, amid less concern about loan losses and a reduced risk of a capital raising.

Target is raised to $18.10 from $15.00. Industry view: In Line.

Target price is $18.10 Current Price is $18.15 Difference: minus $0.05 (current price is over target).
If WBC meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately minus 0% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $19.84, suggesting upside of 9.8% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in September.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 40.00 cents and EPS of 112.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.20%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 16.12.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 107.8, implying annual growth of -53.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 48.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 16.8.

Forecast for FY21:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 105.00 cents and EPS of 165.10 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.79%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 10.99.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 158.2, implying annual growth of 46.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 105.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 11.4.

Market Sentiment: 0.6

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

WSA  WESTERN AREAS NL

Nickel

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Overnight Price: $2.29

Ord Minnett rates WSA as Downgrade to Hold from Accumulate (3) -

Ord Minnett downgrades to Hold from Accumulate because of recent appreciation in the share price. Target is steady at $2.20.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Target price is $2.20 Current Price is $2.29 Difference: minus $0.09 (current price is over target).
If WSA meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately minus 4% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $2.55, suggesting upside of 10.6% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY20 EPS of 20.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 11.45.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 17.7, implying annual growth of 241.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 2.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.1.

Forecast for FY21:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY21 EPS of 21.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 10.90.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 15.2, implying annual growth of -14.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 2.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.2.

Market Sentiment: 0.6

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

Today's Price Target Changes
Company Last Price Broker New Target Prev Target Change
ANN Ansell $35.34 Citi 35.00 34.50 1.45%
ANZ ANZ Banking Group $19.02 Morgan Stanley 20.10 17.10 17.54%
APT Afterpay $58.02 Ord Minnett 64.70 34.00 90.29%
AQR Apn Convenience Retail Reit $3.50 Morgans 3.75 3.87 -3.10%
AWC Alumina $1.68 Ord Minnett 1.70 1.50 13.33%
BHP BHP $35.65 Ord Minnett 42.00 37.00 13.51%
BLX Beacon Lighting $1.17 Citi 1.40 1.24 12.90%
Morgans 1.35 0.93 45.16%
BSL Bluescope Steel $12.21 Ord Minnett 14.90 11.90 25.21%
CAR Carsales.Com $17.42 Credit Suisse 16.60 14.40 15.28%
Macquarie 18.00 15.30 17.65%
CBA Commbank $69.00 Morgan Stanley 61.50 56.00 9.82%
EBO EBOS Group $20.85 Morgans 24.58 24.65 -0.28%
FCT Firstwave Cloud Technology $0.10 Morgans 0.17 0.11 50.00%
FMG Fortescue $14.04 Ord Minnett 14.60 12.90 13.18%
GOR Gold Road Resources $1.47 Ord Minnett 1.90 1.95 -2.56%
IFN Infigen Energy $0.93 Morgans 0.86 0.80 7.50%
Ord Minnett 0.86 0.74 16.22%
IGO IGO Co $4.98 Ord Minnett 5.30 5.20 1.92%
ILU Iluka Resources $8.40 Ord Minnett 8.70 8.90 -2.25%
IMD Imdex $1.00 UBS 1.30 1.70 -23.53%
MIN Mineral Resources $19.76 Ord Minnett 17.80 17.20 3.49%
MP1 Megaport $13.18 Morgans 14.14 12.94 9.27%
MTS Metcash $2.86 Ord Minnett 3.15 3.00 5.00%
NAB National Australia Bank $18.73 Morgan Stanley 18.50 16.70 10.78%
NCM Newcrest Mining $29.80 Ord Minnett 32.00 31.00 3.23%
NGI Navigator Global Investments $1.26 Macquarie 1.58 1.65 -4.24%
OGC Oceanagold $2.96 Ord Minnett 3.00 2.50 20.00%
ORE Orocobre $2.44 Ord Minnett 2.45 2.35 4.26%
PLS Pilbara Minerals $0.27 Ord Minnett 0.12 0.13 -7.69%
RIO Rio Tinto $97.51 Ord Minnett 112.00 99.00 13.13%
RRL Regis Resources $5.11 Ord Minnett 4.10 4.20 -2.38%
S32 South32 $2.06 Ord Minnett 2.60 1.50 73.33%
SBM St Barbara $2.99 Ord Minnett 4.20 4.10 2.44%
SFR Sandfire $4.79 Ord Minnett 5.20 4.50 15.56%
SGM Sims Metal Management $8.25 Ord Minnett 8.30 6.90 20.29%
SZL Sezzle Inc $3.69 Ord Minnett 4.00 3.10 29.03%
TWE Treasury Wine Estates $10.83 Citi 10.60 11.05 -4.07%
WBC Westpac Banking $18.07 Morgan Stanley 18.10 15.00 20.67%
Summaries
ANN Ansell Downgrade to Neutral from Buy - Citi Overnight Price $35.67
ANZ ANZ Banking Group Overweight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $19.16
APT Afterpay Buy - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $57.73
AQR Apn Convenience Retail Reit Add - Morgans Overnight Price $3.35
BLX Beacon Lighting Buy - Citi Overnight Price $1.22
Add - Morgans Overnight Price $1.22
BXB Brambles Buy - Citi Overnight Price $11.53
CAR Carsales.Com Neutral - Credit Suisse Overnight Price $18.00
Downgrade to Neutral from Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $18.00
Overweight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $18.00
Neutral - UBS Overnight Price $18.00
CBA Commbank Underweight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $69.59
CSL CSL Equal-weight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $287.16
EBO EBOS Group Add - Morgans Overnight Price $21.00
FCT Firstwave Cloud Technology Upgrade to Add from Hold - Morgans Overnight Price $0.09
FMG Fortescue Downgrade to Hold from Accumulate - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $14.62
GXY Galaxy Resources Downgrade to Hold from Accumulate - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $0.86
IFN Infigen Energy Hold - Morgans Overnight Price $0.88
Hold - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $0.88
IMD Imdex Buy - UBS Overnight Price $1.05
JMS JUPITER MINES Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $0.26
MIN Mineral Resources Downgrade to Hold from Accumulate - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $20.16
MP1 Megaport Downgrade to Hold from Add - Morgans Overnight Price $13.45
MTS Metcash Accumulate - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $2.88
NAB National Australia Bank Downgrade to Equal-weight from Overweight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $18.96
NGI Navigator Global Investments Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $1.29
RHC Ramsay Health Care Neutral - UBS Overnight Price $66.98
RRL Regis Resources Downgrade to Sell from Hold - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $5.19
SZL Sezzle Inc Buy - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $3.30
TWE Treasury Wine Estates Neutral - Citi Overnight Price $11.06
WBC Westpac Banking Upgrade to Equal-weight from Underweight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $18.15
WSA Western Areas Downgrade to Hold from Accumulate - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $2.29
RATING SUMMARY
Rating No. Of Recommendations
1. Buy

13

2. Accumulate

1

3. Hold

16

5. Sell

2

Thursday 18 June 2020

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Disclaimer:
The content of this information does in no way reflect the opinions of FNArena, or of its journalists. In fact we don't have any opinion about the stock market, its value, future direction or individual shares. FNArena solely reports about what the main experts in the market note, believe and comment on. By doing so we believe we provide intelligent investors with a valuable tool that helps them in making up their own minds, reading market trends and getting a feel for what is happening beneath the surface. This document is provided for informational purposes only. It does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy any security or other financial instrument. FNArena employs very experienced journalists who base their work on information believed to be reliable and accurate, though no guarantee is given that the daily report is accurate or complete. Investors should contact their personal adviser before making any investment decision.