Australian Broker Call

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March 30, 2023

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COMPANIES DISCUSSED IN THIS ISSUE

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The number next to the symbol represents the number of brokers covering it for this report -(if more than 1).

Last Updated: 05:00 PM

Your daily news report on the latest recommendation, valuation, forecast and opinion changes.

This report includes concise but limited reviews of research recently published by Stockbrokers, which should be considered as information concerning likely market behaviour rather than advice on the securities mentioned. Do not act on the contents of this Report without first reading the important information included at the end.

For more info about the different terms used by stockbrokers, as well as the different methodologies behind similar sounding ratings, download our guide HERE

Today's Upgrades and Downgrades
29M - 29Metals Upgrade to Neutral from Underperform Macquarie
ALQ - ALS Ltd Downgrade to Sell from Lighten Ord Minnett
CIA - Champion Iron Upgrade to Outperform from Neutral Macquarie
CMM - Capricorn Metals Downgrade to Neutral from Outperform Macquarie
LTR - Liontown Resources Downgrade to Neutral from Buy UBS
MND - Monadelphous Group Downgrade to Hold from Accumulate Ord Minnett
NHC - New Hope Downgrade to Neutral from Outperform Macquarie
S32 - South32 Upgrade to Outperform from Neutral Macquarie
29M  29METALS LIMITED

Copper

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Overnight Price: $1.19

Macquarie rates 29M as Upgrade to Neutral from Underperform (3) -

Macquarie reviews the Australian resources sector after revising commodity price forecasts: copper, gold and zinc forecasts are tipped to rise while nickel, cobalt, palladium and coal forecasts fall. Coking coal, iron ore and silver forecasts are mixed across the 2023 to 2027 forecast period. Coking coal forecasts fall sharply. Companies are upgraded and downgraded according to their exposures.

The broker upgrades near-term earnings forecasts between 14% to 23% for large caps with iron ore exposures.

Macquarie raises 29Metals EPS forecasts in FY23 to reflect higher copper price forecasts. FY24 EPS forecasts fall.

Rating is upgraded to Neutral from Underperform. Target price rises 20% to $1.20 from $1.

Target price is $1.20 Current Price is $1.19 Difference: $0.01
If 29M meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 1% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $1.54, suggesting upside of 38.5% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY23:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 32.40 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 3.67.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is -12.9, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is N/A.

Forecast for FY24:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 6.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 17.76.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is -3.3, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 2.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is N/A.

Market Sentiment: -0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

ALQ  ALS LIMITED

Mining Sector Contracting

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Overnight Price: $12.10

Macquarie rates ALQ as Outperform (1) -

ALS Ltd has upgraded FY23 profit guidance ahead of its FY23 result by a modest 2% at the midpoint, higher prices boosting revenue and margins.

Guidance now outpaces consensus and Macquarie's estimates and the broker's EPS forecasts rise 2% in FY23 and 6% in FY24 and FY25.

Macquarie sheets the price rises back to the company's portfolio strength and growth drivers, stronger commodities prices, a recovery in junior commodities financing (it had all but dried up by mid last year), a likely rise in expenditure from senior gold producers, and continued strength in green commodities.

Outperform rating and $13.60 target price retained, the broker observing the company is trading at a -12% discount to global peers.

Target price is $13.60 Current Price is $12.10 Difference: $1.5
If ALQ meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 12% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $12.18, suggesting upside of 0.5% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in March.

Forecast for FY23:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 39.60 cents and EPS of 66.10 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.27%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 18.31.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 65.3, implying annual growth of 65.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 37.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 18.6.

Forecast for FY24:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 40.90 cents and EPS of 68.40 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.38%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 17.69.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 67.4, implying annual growth of 3.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 40.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 18.0.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Ord Minnett rates ALQ as Downgrade to Sell from Lighten (5) -

Ord Minnett downgrades its rating for ALS Ltd to Sell from Lighten on valuation after a recent share price rally.

No changes are made to the broker's forecasts and the $8.40 target is unchanged.

Target price is $8.40 Current Price is $12.10 Difference: minus $3.7 (current price is over target).
If ALQ meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately minus 31% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $12.18, suggesting upside of 0.5% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in March.

Forecast for FY23:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 35.70 cents and EPS of 67.20 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.95%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 18.01.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 65.3, implying annual growth of 65.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 37.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 18.6.

Forecast for FY24:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 40.90 cents and EPS of 68.20 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.38%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 17.74.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 67.4, implying annual growth of 3.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 40.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 18.0.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

AMI  AURELIA METALS LIMITED

Gold & Silver

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Overnight Price: $0.11

Macquarie rates AMI as Outperform (1) -

Macquarie reviews the Australian resources sector after revising commodity price forecasts: copper, gold and zinc forecasts are tipped to rise while nickel, cobalt, palladium and coal forecasts fall. Coking coal, iron ore and silver forecasts are mixed across the 2023 to 2027 forecast period. Coking coal forecasts fall sharply. Companies are upgraded and downgraded according to their exposures.

The broker upgrades near-term earnings forecasts between 14% to 23% for large caps with iron ore exposures.

Macquarie raises Aurelia Metals' EPS forecasts for FY23 and FY24 to reflect higher forecast copper prices, observing the company's strong leverage to the copper price.

Outperform rating retained. Target price rises to 25c from 23c.

Target price is $0.25 Current Price is $0.11 Difference: $0.145
If AMI meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 138% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY23:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 1.30 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 8.08.

Forecast for FY24:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 1.30 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 8.08.

Market Sentiment: 0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

ASX  ASX LIMITED

Wealth Management & Investments

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Overnight Price: $64.80

Morgan Stanley rates ASX as Equal-weight (3) -

Morgan Stanley feels the breadth of the announced ASIC investigation into the ASX, and the wide range of potential outcomes, may not yet be fully reflected in the current share price. The shares are considered to be trading on a high multiple.

The investigation relates to the ASX's continuous disclosure obligations, as well as director and officer duties, during the October-2020 to March-2022 period, concerning the (ultimately failed) CHESS replacement program.

The Equal-weight rating and target price of $68.90 are retained. Industry view: In-Line.

Target price is $68.90 Current Price is $64.80 Difference: $4.1
If ASX meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately 6% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $70.63, suggesting upside of 8.5% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY23:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY23 EPS of 259.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 25.02.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 266.0, implying annual growth of 1.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 240.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 24.5.

Forecast for FY24:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY24 EPS of 271.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 23.91.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 278.4, implying annual growth of 4.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 252.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 23.4.

Market Sentiment: 0.2

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

AWC  ALUMINA LIMITED

Aluminium, Bauxite & Alumina

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Overnight Price: $1.44

Macquarie rates AWC as Underperform (5) -

Macquarie reviews the Australian resources sector after revising commodity price forecasts: copper, gold and zinc forecasts are tipped to rise while nickel, cobalt, palladium and coal forecasts fall. Coking coal, iron ore and silver forecasts are mixed across the 2023 to 2027 forecast period. Companies are upgraded and downgraded according to their exposures.

The broker upgrades near-term earnings forecasts between 14% to 23% for large caps with iron ore exposures.

Macquarie raises Alumina Ltd's target price to $1.10 from $1.00 to reflect alumina price rises, but retains an Underperform rating to reflect forecast dividend yield challenges.

EPS forecasts fall sharply in FY23 to reflect cost challenges but rise sharply in FY24.

Target price is $1.10 Current Price is $1.44 Difference: minus $0.34 (current price is over target).
If AWC meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately minus 24% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $1.52, suggesting upside of 3.4% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY23:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 1.46 cents and EPS of 2.25 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.01%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 64.11.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 0.8, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 0.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 183.8.

Forecast for FY24:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 6.42 cents and EPS of 12.24 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.46%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 11.77.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 10.4, implying annual growth of 1200.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 6.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.1.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

AZY  ANTIPA MINERALS LIMITED

Mining

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Overnight Price: $0.02

Shaw and Partners rates AZY as Buy (1) -

Antipa Minerals has significantly expanded its 2023 exploration program, notes Shaw and Partners, having significantly increased the mineral resource at the Minyari Dome project in WA.

The new exploration program will involve up to 12,000m of drilling from May 2023 onwards.

The pre-feasibility study will be paused to incorporate the 2023 drilling program results, with work expected to recommence in early 2024.

To better align with its emerging gold sector coverage, the broker alters its valuation method, and its target drops to 6c from 8c. Buy.

Target price is $0.06 Current Price is $0.02 Difference: $0.042
If AZY meets the Shaw and Partners target it will return approximately 233% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY23:

Shaw and Partners forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 0.00 cents.

Forecast for FY24:

Shaw and Partners forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 0.20 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 9.00.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

BGL  BELLEVUE GOLD LIMITED

Gold & Silver

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Overnight Price: $1.21

Macquarie rates BGL as Outperform (1) -

Macquarie reviews the Australian resources sector after revising commodity price forecasts: copper, gold and zinc forecasts are tipped to rise while nickel, cobalt, palladium and coal forecasts fall. Coking coal, iron ore and silver forecasts are mixed across the 2023 to 2027 forecast period. Coking coal forecasts fall sharply. Companies are upgraded and downgraded according to their exposures.

The broker upgrades near-term earnings forecasts between 14% to 23% for large caps with iron ore exposures.

Macquarie is forecasting a 9% to 18% rise in the gold price between 2023 and 2027. 

While the broker acknowledges uncertainty surrounding US Federal Reserve movements post the banks debacle, Macquarie says China is ready to step in and buy the dip given its strong appetite for physical gold.

Bellevue Gold is one of Macquarie's preferred sector picks. 

Outperform rating and $1.70 target price retained.

Target price is $1.70 Current Price is $1.21 Difference: $0.49
If BGL meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 40% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY23:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 1.90 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 63.68.

Forecast for FY24:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 5.50 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 22.00.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

BHP  BHP GROUP LIMITED

Bulks

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Overnight Price: $45.00

Macquarie rates BHP as Outperform (1) -

Macquarie reviews global iron ore miners, upgrading near-term iron ore price forecasts to reflect rising demand; and a -2% reduction in shipments and lower port inventories as poor weather slowed operations.

Shipments from smaller ports in the year to date were a touch higher than forecast.

The broker raises target prices across the sector, observing free cash flow yields are rising.

Macquarie prefers BHP among the large caps, citing its stronger organic growth options. On the current run rate, the broker expects BHP's Pilbara shipments to be in the upper half of guidance, and Rio Tinto's ((RIO)) to be in the lower half of its guidance.

Mt Gibson's ((MGX)) target price falls to 50c from 60c.

Outperform rating retained for BHP. Target price rises to $53 from $52.

Target price is $53.00 Current Price is $45.00 Difference: $8
If BHP meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 18% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $44.47, suggesting downside of -3.5% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY23:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 338.34 cents and EPS of 462.59 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 7.52%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 9.73.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 459.8, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 294.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 10.0.

Forecast for FY24:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 325.22 cents and EPS of 432.99 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 7.23%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 10.39.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 431.2, implying annual growth of -6.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 303.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 10.7.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.2

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

BOE  BOSS ENERGY LIMITED

Uranium

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Overnight Price: $2.24

Macquarie rates BOE as Outperform (1) -

Macquarie reviews the Australian resources sector after revising commodity price forecasts: copper, gold and zinc forecasts are tipped to rise while nickel, cobalt, palladium and coal forecasts fall. Coking coal, iron ore and silver forecasts are mixed across the 2023 to 2027 forecast period. Coking coal forecasts fall sharply. Uranium forecasts are trimmed. Companies are upgraded and downgraded according to their exposures.

The broker upgrades near-term earnings forecasts between 14% to 23% for large caps with iron ore exposures.

Macquarie cuts Boss Energy's EPS forecasts in FY24.

Outperform rating retained. Target price steady at $3.20.

Target price is $3.20 Current Price is $2.24 Difference: $0.96
If BOE meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 43% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY23:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 0.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 320.00.

Forecast for FY24:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 3.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 74.67.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

CIA  CHAMPION IRON LIMITED

Iron Ore

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Overnight Price: $6.80

Macquarie rates CIA as Upgrade to Outperform from Neutral (1) -

Macquarie reviews the Australian resources sector after revising commodity price forecasts: copper, gold and zinc forecasts are tipped to rise while nickel, cobalt, palladium and coal forecasts fall. Coking coal, iron ore and silver forecasts are mixed across the 2023 to 2027 forecast period. Companies are upgraded and downgraded according to their exposures.

The broker upgrades near-term earnings forecasts between 14% to 23% for large caps with iron ore exposures.

Macquarie upgrades Champion Iron to Outperform from Neutral, nominating as a preferred sector pick. Target price rises to $8 from $7.70.

Target price is $8.00 Current Price is $6.80 Difference: $1.2
If CIA meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 18% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in March.

Forecast for FY23:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 32.03 cents and EPS of 62.30 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.71%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 10.91.

Forecast for FY24:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 44.18 cents and EPS of 126.26 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.50%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 5.39.

This company reports in CAD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

CMM  CAPRICORN METALS LIMITED

Gold & Silver

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Overnight Price: $4.74

Macquarie rates CMM as Downgrade to Neutral from Outperform (3) -

Macquarie reviews the Australian resources sector after revising commodity price forecasts: copper, gold and zinc forecasts are tipped to rise while nickel, cobalt, palladium and coal forecasts fall. Coking coal, iron ore and silver forecasts are mixed across the 2023 to 2027 forecast period. Coking coal forecasts fall sharply. Companies are upgraded and downgraded according to their exposures.

The broker upgrades near-term earnings forecasts between 14% to 23% for large caps with iron ore exposures.

Macquarie is forecasting a 9% to 18% rise in the gold price between 2023 and 2027. 

Capricorn Metals's rating is downgraded to Neutral from Outperform after its recent share price run. Target price rises to $4.90 from $4.70. FY24 EPS forecasts rise sharply.

Target price is $4.90 Current Price is $4.74 Difference: $0.16
If CMM meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 3% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY23:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 20.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 23.01.

Forecast for FY24:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 35.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.54.

Market Sentiment: 0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

CRN  CORONADO GLOBAL RESOURCES INC

Coal

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Overnight Price: $1.60

Macquarie rates CRN as Outperform (1) -

Macquarie reviews the Australian resources sector after revising commodity price forecasts: copper, gold and zinc forecasts are tipped to rise while nickel, cobalt, palladium and coal forecasts fall. Coking coal, iron ore and silver forecasts are mixed across the 2023 to 2027 forecast period. Companies are upgraded and downgraded according to their exposures.

The broker upgrades near-term earnings forecasts between 14% to 23% for large caps with iron ore exposures.

Macquarie raises EPS forecasts for Coronado Global Resources in 2023 and 2024 but cuts thereafter to reflect the Kami expansion.

Outperform rating retained. Target price falls to $2.50 from $2.60.

Target price is $2.50 Current Price is $1.60 Difference: $0.9
If CRN meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 56% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $2.15, suggesting upside of 32.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY23:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 5.25 cents and EPS of 76.71 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.28%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 2.09.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 55.5, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 26.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 16.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 2.9.

Forecast for FY24:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 39.96 cents and EPS of 73.94 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 24.97%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 2.16.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 43.0, implying annual growth of -22.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 27.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 16.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 3.8.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.6

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

CTM  CENTAURUS METALS LIMITED

Nickel

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Overnight Price: $0.94

Macquarie rates CTM as Outperform (1) -

Macquarie reviews the Australian resources sector after revising commodity price forecasts: copper, gold and zinc forecasts are tipped to rise while nickel, cobalt, palladium and coal forecasts fall. Coking coal, iron ore and silver forecasts are mixed across the 2023 to 2027 forecast period. Coking coal forecasts fall sharply. Companies are upgraded and downgraded according to their exposures.

The broker upgrades near-term earnings forecasts between 14% to 23% for large caps with iron ore exposures.

Outperform rating and $1.60 target price retained for Centaurus Metals.

Target price is $1.60 Current Price is $0.94 Difference: $0.665
If CTM meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 71% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY23:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 3.40 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 27.50.

Forecast for FY24:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 2.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 35.96.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

DCN  DACIAN GOLD LIMITED

Gold & Silver

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Overnight Price: $0.08

Macquarie rates DCN as Neutral (3) -

Macquarie reviews the Australian resources sector after revising commodity price forecasts: copper, gold and zinc forecasts are tipped to rise while nickel, cobalt, palladium and coal forecasts fall. Coking coal, iron ore and silver forecasts are mixed across the 2023 to 2027 forecast period. Coking coal forecasts fall sharply. Companies are upgraded and downgraded according to their exposures.

The broker upgrades near-term earnings forecasts between 14% to 23% for large caps with iron ore exposures.

Macquarie is forecasting a 9% to 18% rise in the gold price between 2023 and 2027. 

While the broker acknowledges uncertainty surrounding US Federal Reserve movements post the banks debacle, Macquarie says China is ready to step in and buy the dip given its strong appetite for physical gold.

Macquarie tinkers with Dacian Gold's EPS forecasts.

Neutral rating retained. Target price falls to 8c from 10c.

Target price is $0.08 Current Price is $0.08 Difference: $0.003
If DCN meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 4% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY23:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 3.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 2.08.

Forecast for FY24:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 0.80 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 9.63.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

DEG  DE GREY MINING LIMITED

Gold & Silver

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Overnight Price: $1.52

Macquarie rates DEG as Outperform (1) -

Macquarie reviews the Australian resources sector after revising commodity price forecasts: copper, gold and zinc forecasts are tipped to rise while nickel, cobalt, palladium and coal forecasts fall. Coking coal, iron ore and silver forecasts are mixed across the 2023 to 2027 forecast period. Coking coal forecasts fall sharply. Companies are upgraded and downgraded according to their exposures.

The broker upgrades near-term earnings forecasts between 14% to 23% for large caps with iron ore exposures.

Macquarie is forecasting a 9% to 18% rise in the gold price between 2023 and 2027. 

While the broker acknowledges uncertainty surrounding US Federal Reserve movements post the banks debacle, Macquarie says China is ready to step in and buy the dip given its strong appetite for physical gold.

De Grey Mining is a preferred gold-sector pick. Outperform rating and $1.9 target price retained.

Target price is $1.90 Current Price is $1.52 Difference: $0.38
If DEG meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 25% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY23:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 0.90 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 168.89.

Forecast for FY24:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 0.10 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 1520.00.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

DRR  DETERRA ROYALTIES LIMITED

Iron Ore

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Overnight Price: $4.76

Macquarie rates DRR as Neutral (3) -

Macquarie reviews the Australian resources sector after revising commodity price forecasts: copper, gold and zinc forecasts are tipped to rise while nickel, cobalt, palladium and coal forecasts fall. Coking coal, iron ore and silver forecasts are mixed across the 2023 to 2027 forecast period. Companies are upgraded and downgraded according to their exposures.

The broker upgrades near-term earnings forecasts between 14% to 23% for large caps with iron ore exposures.

EPS forecasts for Deterra Royalties rise near term but fall in FY25-26.

Outperfrom rating and $5 target price are retained. 

Target price is $5.00 Current Price is $4.76 Difference: $0.24
If DRR meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 5% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $5.07, suggesting upside of 5.6% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY23:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 32.60 cents and EPS of 32.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.85%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.60.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 31.2, implying annual growth of -7.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 31.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.4.

Forecast for FY24:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 34.60 cents and EPS of 35.30 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 7.27%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.48.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 30.7, implying annual growth of -1.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 30.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.6.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

EVN  EVOLUTION MINING LIMITED

Gold & Silver

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Overnight Price: $2.97

Macquarie rates EVN as Neutral (3) -

Macquarie reviews the Australian resources sector after revising commodity price forecasts: copper, gold and zinc forecasts are tipped to rise while nickel, cobalt, palladium and coal forecasts fall. Coking coal, iron ore and silver forecasts are mixed across the 2023 to 2027 forecast period. Coking coal forecasts fall sharply. Companies are upgraded and downgraded according to their exposures.

The broker upgrades near-term earnings forecasts between 14% to 23% for large caps with iron ore exposures.

Macquarie is forecasting a 9% to 18% rise in the gold price between 2023 and 2027. 

While the broker acknowledges uncertainty surrounding US Federal Reserve movements post the banks debacle, Macquarie says China is ready to step in and buy the dip given its strong appetite for physical gold.

Macquarie raises Evolution Mining EPS forecasts 14% in FY23 and 15% in FY24, to reflect its additional exposure to the copper price.

Neutral rating retained. Target price rises to $3 from $2.80. 

Target price is $3.00 Current Price is $2.97 Difference: $0.03
If EVN meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 1% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $3.07, suggesting upside of 1.5% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY23:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 4.00 cents and EPS of 16.40 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.35%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 18.11.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 14.2, implying annual growth of -20.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 3.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 21.3.

Forecast for FY24:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 4.00 cents and EPS of 17.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.35%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 16.78.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 22.5, implying annual growth of 58.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 8.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.4.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

FMG  FORTESCUE METALS GROUP LIMITED

Iron Ore

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Overnight Price: $21.16

Macquarie rates FMG as Underperform (5) -

Production at Fortescue Metals' Iron Bridge Magnetite Project has been postponed by about one month to the second half of April due to poor weather.

Management reiterated shipment and project capital estimates.

Macquarie observes spot iron ore prices suggest 54% and 92% higher earnings over FY24 and FY25, which could drive an upgrade, but notes it's a moving feast at the moment. The broker also observes uncertainty surrounding capital expenditure on Fortescue Future Industries.

FY24 and FY25 EPS forecasts rise sharply.

Underperform rating and $17.50 target price retained for now. 

Target price is $17.50 Current Price is $21.16 Difference: minus $3.66 (current price is over target).
If FMG meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately minus 17% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $16.36, suggesting downside of -24.2% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY23:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 142.19 cents and EPS of 271.55 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.72%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 7.79.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 242.8, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 162.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 7.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 8.9.

Forecast for FY24:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 128.92 cents and EPS of 214.09 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.09%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 9.88.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 179.8, implying annual growth of -25.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 130.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.0.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: -0.9

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

GOR  GOLD ROAD RESOURCES LIMITED

Gold & Silver

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Overnight Price: $1.68

Macquarie rates GOR as Outperform (1) -

Macquarie reviews the Australian resources sector after revising commodity price forecasts: copper, gold and zinc forecasts are tipped to rise while nickel, cobalt, palladium and coal forecasts fall. Coking coal, iron ore and silver forecasts are mixed across the 2023 to 2027 forecast period. Coking coal forecasts fall sharply. Companies are upgraded and downgraded according to their exposures.

The broker upgrades near-term earnings forecasts between 14% to 23% for large caps with iron ore exposures.

Macquarie is forecasting a 9% to 18% rise in the gold price between 2023 and 2027. 

While the broker acknowledges uncertainty surrounding US Federal Reserve movements post the banks debacle, Macquarie says China is ready to step in and buy the dip given its strong appetite for physical gold.

Gold Road Resources is a preferred gold-sector pick. EPS forecasts rise 18% in 2023.

Outperform rating retained. Target price rises to $1.80 from $1.70.

Target price is $1.80 Current Price is $1.68 Difference: $0.125
If GOR meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 7% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $1.85, suggesting upside of 13.5% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY23:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 2.90 cents and EPS of 9.20 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.73%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 18.21.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 11.3, implying annual growth of 74.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 2.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.4.

Forecast for FY24:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 2.30 cents and EPS of 7.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.37%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 21.75.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 10.8, implying annual growth of -4.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 2.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.1.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

IGO  IGO LIMITED

Nickel

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Overnight Price: $12.69

Macquarie rates IGO as Outperform (1) -

Macquarie reviews the Australian resources sector after revising commodity price forecasts: copper, gold and zinc forecasts are tipped to rise while nickel, cobalt, palladium and coal forecasts fall. Coking coal, iron ore and silver forecasts are mixed across the 2023 to 2027 forecast period. Coking coal forecasts fall sharply. Companies are upgraded and downgraded according to their exposures.

The broker upgrades near-term earnings forecasts between 14% to 23% for large caps with iron ore exposures.

Macquarie favours IGO as a sector pick among the base metals given its lithium exposure. EPS forecasts are shaved for FY23 and FY24 to reflect weaker nickel prices.

Outperform rating retained. Target price falls to $19 from $20.

Target price is $19.00 Current Price is $12.69 Difference: $6.31
If IGO meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 50% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $15.58, suggesting upside of 24.1% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY23:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 35.00 cents and EPS of 192.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.76%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 6.59.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 192.3, implying annual growth of 340.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 33.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 6.5.

Forecast for FY24:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 44.00 cents and EPS of 213.50 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.47%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 5.94.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 194.0, implying annual growth of 0.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 66.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 6.5.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

JMS  JUPITER MINES LIMITED

Industrial Metals

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Overnight Price: $0.22

Macquarie rates JMS as Outperform (1) -

Macquarie reviews the Australian resources sector after revising commodity price forecasts: copper, gold and zinc forecasts are tipped to rise while nickel, cobalt, palladium and coal forecasts fall. Coking coal, iron ore and silver forecasts are mixed across the 2023 to 2027 forecast period. Coking coal forecasts fall sharply. Companies are upgraded and downgraded according to their exposures.

The broker upgrades near-term earnings forecasts between 14% to 23% for large caps with iron ore exposures.

EPS forecasts forecasts rise 14% for Jupiter Mines in FY23.

Outperform rating and 26c target price retained.

Target price is $0.26 Current Price is $0.22 Difference: $0.04
If JMS meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 18% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in February.

Forecast for FY23:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 1.90 cents and EPS of 2.76 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 8.64%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 7.97.

Forecast for FY24:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 1.90 cents and EPS of 2.88 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 8.64%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 7.64.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

JRV  JERVOIS GLOBAL LIMITED

New Battery Elements

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Overnight Price: $0.07

Macquarie rates JRV as Outperform (1) -

Macquarie reviews the Australian resources sector after revising commodity price forecasts: copper, gold and zinc forecasts are tipped to rise while nickel, cobalt, palladium and coal forecasts fall. Coking coal, iron ore and silver forecasts are mixed across the 2023 to 2027 forecast period. Coking coal forecasts fall sharply. Companies are upgraded and downgraded according to their exposures.

The broker upgrades near-term earnings forecasts between 14% to 23% for large caps with iron ore exposures.

EPS forecasts for Jervois Global forecasts fall -38% to -182% across 2023 and 2027 due to a weaker than predicted cobalt price.

Outperform rating retained. Target price falls to 25c from 40c.

Target price is $0.25 Current Price is $0.07 Difference: $0.183
If JRV meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 273% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY23:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 1.90 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 3.53.

Forecast for FY24:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 1.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 6.70.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

KLS  KELSIAN GROUP LIMITED

Travel, Leisure & Tourism

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Overnight Price: $5.88

Ord Minnett rates KLS as Buy (1) -

Ord Minnett believes the well-telegraphed decision by Kelsian Group to acquire US-based All aboard America! Holdings will be positively appreciated by the market. The transaction is expected to insulate FY24 earnings during a downgrade cycle.

All aboard America! Holdings provides a potential platform for growth in the US bus segment, which is hard to achieve without a track record, explains the analyst.

The company provides motorcoach services to corporate, government, education, LNG, and tourism sector customers across six brands in seven states of the US.

The broker expresses some concerns including the acquistion multiple paid and the use of diesel (as opposed to electric) across the bus fleet.

The target falls to $6.88 from $7.19 to reflects the acquisition, associated funding and a higher assumed weighted average cost of capital (WACC). Buy.

Target price is $6.88 Current Price is $5.88 Difference: $1
If KLS meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 17% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $7.66, suggesting upside of 30.5% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY23:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 14.20 cents and EPS of 28.30 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.41%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 20.78.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 31.1, implying annual growth of 30.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 17.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 18.9.

Forecast for FY24:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 22.50 cents and EPS of 45.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.83%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.07.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 41.2, implying annual growth of 32.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 22.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.2.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

LAU  LINDSAY AUSTRALIA LIMITED

Transportation & Logistics

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Overnight Price: $0.97

Morgans rates LAU as Add (1) -

Morgans believes the demise of Scottt's Refrigerated Logistics, which fell into receivership in February, will drive market share growth for remaining participants in cold store Logistics services, including for Lindsay Australia.

Based on its strategic aims, the analyst suspects Lindsay will aim to acquire Scott's rail assets, and potentially some road assets and/or property.

The broker incorporates a greater share of market volumes into its forecasts and raises its target for Lindsay Australia to $1.07 from 86c. Add.

Target price is $1.07 Current Price is $0.97 Difference: $0.1
If LAU meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 10% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY23:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 3.40 cents and EPS of 8.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.51%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 12.13.

Forecast for FY24:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 3.90 cents and EPS of 10.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.02%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 9.70.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

LTR  LIONTOWN RESOURCES LIMITED

New Battery Elements

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Overnight Price: $2.59

Macquarie rates LTR as Outperform (1) -

Macquarie has taken recent developments in its stride, including a rejected take-over approach by Albemarle at $2.50 per share. Operationally the broker sees ongoing upside potential.

Forecasts have gone up. New target price of $3 compares with $2.70 previously. Outperform.

Target price is $3.00 Current Price is $2.59 Difference: $0.41
If LTR meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 16% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $2.69, suggesting upside of 3.5% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY23:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 0.90 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 287.78.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is -0.6, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is N/A.

Forecast for FY24:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 1.30 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 199.23.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is -0.2, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is N/A.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


UBS rates LTR as Downgrade to Neutral from Buy (3) -

UBS raises its target for Liontown Resources to $2.70 from $1.85 after the board received and rejected the unsolicited $2.50 bid from Albemarle.

The new target allows for an anticipated market repricing of Liontown's assets and the lithium price outlook, explains the analyst. It's thought a further approach from Albemarle would need to be comfortably above the rejected bid.

The broker lowers its rating to Neutral from Buy after a rally in share price.

Target price is $2.70 Current Price is $2.59 Difference: $0.11
If LTR meets the UBS target it will return approximately 4% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $2.69, suggesting upside of 3.5% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY23:

UBS forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 1.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 259.00.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is -0.6, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is N/A.

Forecast for FY24:

UBS forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 1.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 259.00.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is -0.2, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is N/A.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

MCR  MINCOR RESOURCES NL

Nickel

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Overnight Price: $1.50

Macquarie rates MCR as Neutral (3) -

Macquarie reviews the Australian resources sector after revising commodity price forecasts: copper, gold and zinc forecasts are tipped to rise while nickel, cobalt, palladium and coal forecasts fall. Coking coal, iron ore and silver forecasts are mixed across the 2023 to 2027 forecast period. Coking coal forecasts fall sharply. Companies are upgraded and downgraded according to their exposures.

The broker upgrades near-term earnings forecasts between 14% to 23% for large caps with iron ore exposures.

EPS forecasts for Mincor Resources rise in FY23 and fall in FY24. Neutral rating and $1.50 target price are retained.

Target price is $1.50 Current Price is $1.50 Difference: $0
If MCR meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 0% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $1.78, suggesting upside of 24.5% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY23:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 2.80 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 53.57.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 2.8, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 1.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 51.1.

Forecast for FY24:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 6.50 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 23.08.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 19.9, implying annual growth of 610.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 2.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 7.2.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

MGX  MOUNT GIBSON IRON LIMITED

Iron Ore

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Overnight Price: $0.50

Macquarie rates MGX as Neutral (3) -

Macquarie reviews the Australian resources sector after revising commodity price forecasts: copper, gold and zinc forecasts are tipped to rise while nickel, cobalt, palladium and coal forecasts fall. Coking coal, iron ore and silver forecasts are mixed across the 2023 to 2027 forecast period. Companies are upgraded and downgraded according to their exposures.

The broker upgrades near-term earnings forecasts between 14% to 23% for large caps with iron ore exposures.

Macquarie raises Mount Gibson Iron's FY23 EPS forecasts sharply.

Neutral rating retained. Target price slumps -17% to 50c from 60c.

Target price is $0.50 Current Price is $0.50 Difference: $0
If MGX meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 0% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY23:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 12.30 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 4.07.

Forecast for FY24:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 10.00 cents and EPS of 19.80 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 20.00%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 2.53.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

MND  MONADELPHOUS GROUP LIMITED

Mining Sector Contracting

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Overnight Price: $12.11

Ord Minnett rates MND as Downgrade to Hold from Accumulate (3) -

Following a recent share price rally, Ord Minnett downgrades its rating for Monadelphous Group to Hold from Accumulate on valuation.

The broker's forecasts are unchanged and the $13.65 target is maintained.

Target price is $13.65 Current Price is $12.11 Difference: $1.54
If MND meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 13% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $13.23, suggesting upside of 6.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY23:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 49.00 cents and EPS of 52.80 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.05%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 22.94.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 55.9, implying annual growth of 1.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 48.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 22.2.

Forecast for FY24:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 64.00 cents and EPS of 72.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.28%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 16.68.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 65.9, implying annual growth of 17.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 56.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 18.8.

Market Sentiment: -0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

MP1  MEGAPORT LIMITED

Cloud services

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Overnight Price: $3.96

Ord Minnett rates MP1 as Buy (1) -

Ord Minnett continues to believe Megaport shares have been oversold over the course of the last year though concedes the board appears unconcerned with optics.

The analyst holds this view after an abrupt CFO exit (not entirely unexpected) only weeks after a similar outcome for the company CEO. However, the company simultaneously announced the CEO replacement will be Michael Reid, formerly of Cisco, effective from May 15.

In a positive, the broker points out Cisco was a key partner for Megaport's mobile virtual edge and software-defined wide area network services.

The Buy rating and $13 target are unchanged.

Target price is $13.00 Current Price is $3.96 Difference: $9.04
If MP1 meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 228% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $9.02, suggesting upside of 118.9% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY23:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 13.90 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 28.49.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is -15.7, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is N/A.

Forecast for FY24:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 4.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 84.26.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is -3.7, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is N/A.

Market Sentiment: 0.7

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

NCM  NEWCREST MINING LIMITED

Gold & Silver

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Overnight Price: $26.61

Macquarie rates NCM as Outperform (1) -

Macquarie reviews the Australian resources sector after revising commodity price forecasts: copper, gold and zinc forecasts are tipped to rise while nickel, cobalt, palladium and coal forecasts fall. Coking coal, iron ore and silver forecasts are mixed across the 2023 to 2027 forecast period. Coking coal forecasts fall sharply. Companies are upgraded and downgraded according to their exposures.

The broker upgrades near-term earnings forecasts between 14% to 23% for large caps with iron ore exposures.

Macquarie is forecasting a 9% to 18% rise in the gold price between 2023 and 2027. 

EPS forecasts for Newcrest Mining rise 27% in FY23 and 10% in FY24, further buoyed by its additional exposure to copper.

Outperform rating retained. Target price rises to $28 from $26.

Target price is $28.00 Current Price is $26.61 Difference: $1.39
If NCM meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 5% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $27.65, suggesting upside of 4.1% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY23:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 67.09 cents and EPS of 124.25 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.52%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 21.42.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 124.2, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 51.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 21.4.

Forecast for FY24:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 21.88 cents and EPS of 157.07 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.82%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 16.94.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 123.6, implying annual growth of -0.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 29.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 21.5.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.6

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

NHC  NEW HOPE CORPORATION LIMITED

Coal

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Overnight Price: $5.46

Macquarie rates NHC as Downgrade to Neutral from Outperform (3) -

Macquarie reviews the Australian resources sector after revising commodity price forecasts: copper, gold and zinc forecasts are tipped to rise while nickel, cobalt, palladium and coal forecasts fall. Coking coal, iron ore and silver forecasts are mixed across the 2023 to 2027 forecast period. Coking coal forecasts fall sharply. Companies are upgraded and downgraded according to their exposures.

The broker upgrades near-term earnings forecasts between 14% to 23% for large caps with iron ore exposures.

EPS and DPS forecasts for New Hope fall -25% to -60% over FY23 to FY27 to reflect lower forecast coal prices.

Ratings downgraded to Neutral from Outperform. Target price falls to $5.50 from $6.00.

Target price is $5.50 Current Price is $5.46 Difference: $0.04
If NHC meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 1% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $5.74, suggesting upside of 3.0% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in July.

Forecast for FY23:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 75.00 cents and EPS of 139.80 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 13.74%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 3.91.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 141.6, implying annual growth of 19.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 79.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 14.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 3.9.

Forecast for FY24:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 60.00 cents and EPS of 115.40 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 10.99%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 4.73.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 114.8, implying annual growth of -18.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 63.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 11.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 4.9.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

NIC  NICKEL INDUSTRIES LIMITED

Nickel

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Overnight Price: $0.89

Macquarie rates NIC as Neutral (3) -

Macquarie reviews the Australian resources sector after revising commodity price forecasts: copper, gold and zinc forecasts are tipped to rise while nickel, cobalt, palladium and coal forecasts fall. Coking coal, iron ore and silver forecasts are mixed across the 2023 to 2027 forecast period. Coking coal forecasts fall sharply. Companies are upgraded and downgraded according to their exposures.

The broker upgrades near-term earnings forecasts between 14% to 23% for large caps with iron ore exposures.

Neutral rating retained for Nickel Industries. Target price falls to 92c from $1.05 to reflect weaker forecast nickel prices. 

Target price is $0.92 Current Price is $0.89 Difference: $0.03
If NIC meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 3% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY23:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 4.00 cents and EPS of 8.30 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.49%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 10.72.

Forecast for FY24:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 4.00 cents and EPS of 11.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.49%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 7.67.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

NST  NORTHERN STAR RESOURCES LIMITED

Gold & Silver

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Overnight Price: $11.98

Macquarie rates NST as Outperform (1) -

Macquarie reviews the Australian resources sector after revising commodity price forecasts: copper, gold and zinc forecasts are tipped to rise while nickel, cobalt, palladium and coal forecasts fall. Coking coal, iron ore and silver forecasts are mixed across the 2023 to 2027 forecast period. Coking coal forecasts fall sharply. Companies are upgraded and downgraded according to their exposures.

The broker upgrades near-term earnings forecasts between 14% to 23% for large caps with iron ore exposures.

Macquarie is forecasting a 9% to 18% rise in the gold price between 2023 and 2027. 

While the broker acknowledges uncertainty surrounding US Federal Reserve movements post the banks debacle, Macquarie says China is ready to step in and buy the dip given its strong appetite for physical gold.

Northern Star Resources is a preferred gold-sector pick. EPS forecasts rise 18% in FY23 and 7% in FY24.

Outperform rating retained. Target price rises to $14.30 from $14.20.

Target price is $14.30 Current Price is $11.98 Difference: $2.32
If NST meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 19% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $12.43, suggesting upside of 3.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY23:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 30.80 cents and EPS of 35.20 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.57%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 34.03.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 31.2, implying annual growth of -15.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 28.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 38.4.

Forecast for FY24:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 33.80 cents and EPS of 46.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.82%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 26.04.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 49.5, implying annual growth of 58.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 34.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 24.2.

Market Sentiment: 0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

OZL  OZ MINERALS LIMITED

Copper

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Overnight Price: $28.05

Macquarie rates OZL as No Rating (-1) -

Macquarie reviews the Australian resources sector after revising commodity price forecasts: copper, gold and zinc forecasts are tipped to rise while nickel, cobalt, palladium and coal forecasts fall. Coking coal, iron ore and silver forecasts are mixed across the 2023 to 2027 forecast period. Coking coal forecasts fall sharply. Companies are upgraded and downgraded according to their exposures.

The broker upgrades near-term earnings forecasts between 14% to 23% for large caps with iron ore exposures.

Macquarie is on rating restriction for OZ Minerals but EPS and DPS forecasts are sharply higher for FY23.

Current Price is $28.05. Target price not assessed.

Current consensus price target is $27.51, suggesting downside of -1.9% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY23:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 10.00 cents and EPS of 100.10 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.36%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 28.02.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 89.8, implying annual growth of 44.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 19.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 31.2.

Forecast for FY24:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 8.00 cents and EPS of 63.30 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.29%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 44.31.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 106.1, implying annual growth of 18.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 13.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 26.4.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

PAN  PANORAMIC RESOURCES LIMITED

Nickel

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Overnight Price: $0.14

Macquarie rates PAN as Outperform (1) -

Macquarie reviews the Australian resources sector after revising commodity price forecasts: copper, gold and zinc forecasts are tipped to rise while nickel, cobalt, palladium and coal forecasts fall. Coking coal, iron ore and silver forecasts are mixed across the 2023 to 2027 forecast period. Coking coal forecasts fall sharply. Companies are upgraded and downgraded according to their exposures.

The broker upgrades near-term earnings forecasts between 14% to 23% for large caps with iron ore exposures.

EPS forecasts for Panoramic Resources fall sharply in FY23 and FY24 to reflect forecast weakness in the nickel price.

Outperform rating retained. Target price falls to 19c from 20c.

Target price is $0.19 Current Price is $0.14 Difference: $0.05
If PAN meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 36% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY23:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 0.50 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 28.00.

Forecast for FY24:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 0.10 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 140.00.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

PDN  PALADIN ENERGY LIMITED

Uranium

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Overnight Price: $0.60

Macquarie rates PDN as Outperform (1) -

Macquarie reviews the Australian resources sector after revising commodity price forecasts: copper, gold and zinc forecasts are tipped to rise while nickel, cobalt, palladium and coal forecasts fall. Coking coal, iron ore and silver forecasts are mixed across the 2023 to 2027 forecast period. Coking coal forecasts fall sharply. Companies are upgraded and downgraded according to their exposures.

The broker upgrades near-term earnings forecasts between 14% to 23% for large caps with iron ore exposures.

Macquarie trims uranium price forecasts and cuts Paladin Energy's FY24 EPS forecasts.

Outperform rating and $1 target price are retained.

Target price is $1.00 Current Price is $0.60 Difference: $0.4
If PDN meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 67% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $1.10, suggesting upside of 68.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY23:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 1.02 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 58.77.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is -3.5, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is N/A.

Forecast for FY24:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 0.00 cents.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 1.5, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 43.3.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

PLS  PILBARA MINERALS LIMITED

New Battery Elements

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Overnight Price: $3.94

Citi rates PLS as Buy (1) -

The board at Pilbara Minerals has approved the final investment decision for the P1000 project which is expected to produce 1000ktpa of spodumene concentrate.

Capex is around -$200m worse than the consensus forecast, which didn't surprise the analyst in the current inflationary environment.

The broker lowers its target to $4.60 from $4.80 though notes potential upside for realised pricing heading into the March quarter result. Buy.

Target price is $4.60 Current Price is $3.94 Difference: $0.66
If PLS meets the Citi target it will return approximately 17% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $5.58, suggesting upside of 40.1% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY23:

Citi forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 24.00 cents and EPS of 80.30 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.09%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 4.91.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 85.5, implying annual growth of 350.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 27.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 4.7.

Forecast for FY24:

Citi forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 17.00 cents and EPS of 67.80 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.31%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 5.81.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 79.3, implying annual growth of -7.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 19.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 5.0.

Market Sentiment: 0.8

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Macquarie rates PLS as Outperform (1) -

Now that Pilbara Minerals has approved the P1000 project, Macquarie highlights this should increase production capacity to circa 1mtpa.

Staying on the conservative side, the broker's projections for both capex and production ramp up are more cautious than is the company's guidance.

Macquarie highlights Pilbara Minerals is generating strong cash flow. On its projections, free cash flow yields are 22% and 21% for this year and FY24 (labeled "impressive").

Price target has lifted to $7.70 from $7.50. Outperform.

Target price is $7.70 Current Price is $3.94 Difference: $3.76
If PLS meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 95% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $5.58, suggesting upside of 40.1% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY23:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 41.00 cents and EPS of 84.30 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 10.41%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 4.67.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 85.5, implying annual growth of 350.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 27.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 4.7.

Forecast for FY24:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 30.00 cents and EPS of 99.80 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 7.61%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 3.95.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 79.3, implying annual growth of -7.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 19.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 5.0.

Market Sentiment: 0.8

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

PRU  PERSEUS MINING LIMITED

Gold & Silver

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Overnight Price: $2.34

Macquarie rates PRU as Outperform (1) -

Macquarie reviews the Australian resources sector after revising commodity price forecasts: copper, gold and zinc forecasts are tipped to rise while nickel, cobalt, palladium and coal forecasts fall. Coking coal, iron ore and silver forecasts are mixed across the 2023 to 2027 forecast period. Coking coal forecasts fall sharply. Companies are upgraded and downgraded according to their exposures.

The broker upgrades near-term earnings forecasts between 14% to 23% for large caps with iron ore exposures.

Macquarie is forecasting a 9% to 18% rise in the gold price between 2023 and 2027. 

While the broker acknowledges uncertainty surrounding US Federal Reserve movements post the banks debacle, Macquarie says China is ready to step in and buy the dip given its strong appetite for physical gold.

Macquarie raises Perseus Mining's EPS forecasts 7% in FY23 and 3% in FY24.

Outperform rating retained. Target price rises to $2.70 from $2.60.

Target price is $2.70 Current Price is $2.34 Difference: $0.36
If PRU meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 15% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY23:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 2.10 cents and EPS of 18.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.90%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 12.51.

Forecast for FY24:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 2.30 cents and EPS of 19.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.98%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 11.88.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

RMS  RAMELIUS RESOURCES LIMITED

Gold & Silver

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Overnight Price: $1.20

Macquarie rates RMS as Outperform (1) -

Macquarie reviews the Australian resources sector after revising commodity price forecasts: copper, gold and zinc forecasts are tipped to rise while nickel, cobalt, palladium and coal forecasts fall. Coking coal, iron ore and silver forecasts are mixed across the 2023 to 2027 forecast period. Coking coal forecasts fall sharply. Companies are upgraded and downgraded according to their exposures.

The broker upgrades near-term earnings forecasts between 14% to 23% for large caps with iron ore exposures.

Macquarie is forecasting a 9% to 18% rise in the gold price between 2023 and 2027. 

While the broker acknowledges uncertainty surrounding US Federal Reserve movements post the banks debacle, Macquarie says China is ready to step in and buy the dip given its strong appetite for physical gold.

Macquarie raise EPS forecasts for Ramelius Resources by 11% in FY23 and 4% in FY24.

Outperform rating retained. Target price rises to $1.35 from $1.30.

Target price is $1.30 Current Price is $1.20 Difference: $0.105
If RMS meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 9% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $1.38, suggesting upside of 13.4% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY23:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 3.00 cents and EPS of 7.10 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.51%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 16.83.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 8.6, implying annual growth of 489.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 2.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.2.

Forecast for FY24:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 4.00 cents and EPS of 9.40 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.35%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 12.71.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 12.4, implying annual growth of 44.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 3.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 9.8.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

RRL  REGIS RESOURCES LIMITED

Gold & Silver

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Overnight Price: $1.90

Macquarie rates RRL as Outperform (1) -

Macquarie reviews the Australian resources sector after revising commodity price forecasts: copper, gold and zinc forecasts are tipped to rise while nickel, cobalt, palladium and coal forecasts fall. Coking coal, iron ore and silver forecasts are mixed across the 2023 to 2027 forecast period. Coking coal forecasts fall sharply. Companies are upgraded and downgraded according to their exposures.

The broker upgrades near-term earnings forecasts between 14% to 23% for large caps with iron ore exposures.

Macquarie is forecasting a 9% to 18% rise in the gold price between 2023 and 2027. 

Regis Resources is one of the broker's favoured sector picks. EPS forecasts for Regis Resources rise 83% in FY23 and 4% in FY24, higher-cost stocks yielding the stronger earnings upgrades.

Outperform rating retained. Target price rises to $3.10 from $3.

Target price is $3.10 Current Price is $1.90 Difference: $1.2
If RRL meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 63% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $2.33, suggesting upside of 16.5% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY23:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 1.00 cents and EPS of minus 3.80 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.53%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 50.00.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 4.8, implying annual growth of 163.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 1.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 41.7.

Forecast for FY24:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 1.00 cents and EPS of 10.50 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.53%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 18.10.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 18.1, implying annual growth of 277.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 2.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 11.0.

Market Sentiment: 0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

RSG  RESOLUTE MINING LIMITED

Gold & Silver

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Overnight Price: $0.39

Macquarie rates RSG as Outperform (1) -

Macquarie reviews the Australian resources sector after revising commodity price forecasts: copper, gold and zinc forecasts are tipped to rise while nickel, cobalt, palladium and coal forecasts fall. Coking coal, iron ore and silver forecasts are mixed across the 2023 to 2027 forecast period. Coking coal forecasts fall sharply. Companies are upgraded and downgraded according to their exposures.

The broker upgrades near-term earnings forecasts between 14% to 23% for large caps with iron ore exposures.

Macquarie is forecasting a 9% to 18% rise in the gold price between 2023 and 2027. 

While the broker acknowledges uncertainty surrounding US Federal Reserve movements post the banks debacle, Macquarie says China is ready to step in and buy the dip given its strong appetite for physical gold.

Macquarie raises EPS forecasts for Resolute Mining by 37% in FY23 and cuts by -3% for FY24.

Outperform rating retained. Target price rises to 45c from 37c.

Target price is $0.45 Current Price is $0.39 Difference: $0.06
If RSG meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 15% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY23:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 0.88 cents and EPS of 0.39 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.24%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 98.98.

Forecast for FY24:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 0.88 cents and EPS of 6.85 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.24%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 5.69.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

S32  SOUTH32 LIMITED

Mining

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Overnight Price: $4.23

Macquarie rates S32 as Upgrade to Outperform from Neutral (1) -

Macquarie reviews the Australian resources sector after revising commodity price forecasts: copper, gold and zinc forecasts are tipped to rise while nickel, cobalt, palladium and coal forecasts fall. Coking coal, iron ore and silver forecasts are mixed across the 2023 to 2027 forecast period. Companies are upgraded and downgraded according to their exposures.

The broker upgrades near-term earnings forecasts between 14% to 23% for large caps with iron ore exposures.

Macquarie upgrades South32 to Outperform from Neutral to reflect higher forecast aluminium, alumina and copper prices (although weak coal prices are expected to offset these gains).

EPS forecasts for the company rise between 3% to 26%. Target price rises to $5.10 from $4.60.

Target price is $5.10 Current Price is $4.23 Difference: $0.87
If S32 meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 21% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $5.13, suggesting upside of 18.1% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY23:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 18.81 cents and EPS of 46.67 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.45%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 9.06.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 46.2, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 21.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 9.4.

Forecast for FY24:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 19.83 cents and EPS of 49.44 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.69%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 8.56.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 51.8, implying annual growth of 12.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 25.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 8.4.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.8

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

SBM  ST. BARBARA LIMITED

Gold & Silver

More Research Tools In Stock Analysis - click HERE

Overnight Price: $0.66

Macquarie rates SBM as No Rating (-1) -

Macquarie reviews the Australian resources sector after revising commodity price forecasts: copper, gold and zinc forecasts are tipped to rise while nickel, cobalt, palladium and coal forecasts fall. Coking coal, iron ore and silver forecasts are mixed across the 2023 to 2027 forecast period. Coking coal forecasts fall sharply. Companies are upgraded and downgraded according to their exposures.

The broker upgrades near-term earnings forecasts between 14% to 23% for large caps with iron ore exposures.

Macquarie is forecasting a 9% to 18% rise in the gold price between 2023 and 2027. 

While the broker acknowledges uncertainty surrounding US Federal Reserve movements post the banks debacle, Macquarie says China is ready to step in and buy the dip given its strong appetite for physical gold.

Macquarie raises St. Barbara's EPS forecasts 23% in FY23 and 11% in FY24.

Macquarie is rating-restricted on St. Barbara.

Current Price is $0.66. Target price not assessed.

Current consensus price target is $1.12, suggesting upside of 69.2% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY23:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 5.10 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 12.84.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is -4.1, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is N/A.

Forecast for FY24:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 7.10 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 9.23.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is -1.0, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is N/A.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

SFR  SANDFIRE RESOURCES LIMITED

Copper

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Overnight Price: $6.25

Macquarie rates SFR as Outperform (1) -

Macquarie reviews the Australian resources sector after revising commodity price forecasts: copper, gold and zinc forecasts are tipped to rise while nickel, cobalt, palladium and coal forecasts fall. Coking coal, iron ore and silver forecasts are mixed across the 2023 to 2027 forecast period. Coking coal forecasts fall sharply. Companies are upgraded and downgraded according to their exposures.

The broker upgrades near-term earnings forecasts between 14% to 23% for large caps with iron ore exposures.

Macquarie favours Sandfire Resources among the base miners, as Motheo ramps up on time and on budget.

The broker cuts the companys forecast loss per share by -75% and FY24 EPS forecasts roughly double.

Outperform rating retained. Target price rises to $7.30 from $7.

Target price is $7.30 Current Price is $6.25 Difference: $1.05
If SFR meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 17% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $6.77, suggesting upside of 8.2% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY23:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 6.56 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 95.23.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is -13.8, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is N/A.

Forecast for FY24:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 15.90 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 39.32.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 13.7, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 2.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 45.7.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.7

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

SLR  SILVER LAKE RESOURCES LIMITED

Gold & Silver

More Research Tools In Stock Analysis - click HERE

Overnight Price: $1.15

Macquarie rates SLR as Outperform (1) -

Macquarie reviews the Australian resources sector after revising commodity price forecasts: copper, gold and zinc forecasts are tipped to rise while nickel, cobalt, palladium and coal forecasts fall. Coking coal, iron ore and silver forecasts are mixed across the 2023 to 2027 forecast period. Coking coal forecasts fall sharply. Companies are upgraded and downgraded according to their exposures.

The broker upgrades near-term earnings forecasts between 14% to 23% for large caps with iron ore exposures.

Macquarie is forecasting a 9% to 18% rise in the gold price between 2023 and 2027. 

While the broker acknowledges uncertainty surrounding US Federal Reserve movements post the banks debacle, Macquarie says China is ready to step in and buy the dip given its strong appetite for physical gold.

Macquarie raises Silver Lake Resources' EPS forecasts by 27% in FY23 and 7% in FY24.

Outperform rating retained. Target price rises to $1.70 from $1.60.

Target price is $1.70 Current Price is $1.15 Difference: $0.555
If SLR meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 48% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY23:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 4.90 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 23.37.

Forecast for FY24:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 13.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 8.81.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

SRL  SUNRISE ENERGY METALS LIMITED

New Battery Elements

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Overnight Price: $1.79

Macquarie rates SRL as Neutral (3) -

Macquarie reviews the Australian resources sector after revising commodity price forecasts: copper, gold and zinc forecasts are tipped to rise while nickel, cobalt, palladium and coal forecasts fall. Coking coal, iron ore and silver forecasts are mixed across the 2023 to 2027 forecast period. Coking coal forecasts fall sharply. Companies are upgraded and downgraded according to their exposures.

The broker upgrades near-term earnings forecasts between 14% to 23% for large caps with iron ore exposures.

Neutral rating retained for Sunrise Energy Metals. Target price falls to $1.62 from $1.70. EPS forecasts are fairly steady.

Target price is $1.62 Current Price is $1.79 Difference: minus $0.17 (current price is over target).
If SRL meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately minus 9% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY23:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 10.40 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 17.21.

Forecast for FY24:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 10.50 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 17.05.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

WAF  WEST AFRICAN RESOURCES LIMITED

Gold & Silver

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Overnight Price: $0.97

Macquarie rates WAF as Outperform (1) -

Macquarie reviews the Australian resources sector after revising commodity price forecasts: copper, gold and zinc forecasts are tipped to rise while nickel, cobalt, palladium and coal forecasts fall. Coking coal, iron ore and silver forecasts are mixed across the 2023 to 2027 forecast period. Coking coal forecasts fall sharply. Companies are upgraded and downgraded according to their exposures.

The broker upgrades near-term earnings forecasts between 14% to 23% for large caps with iron ore exposures.

Macquarie is forecasting a 9% to 18% rise in the gold price between 2023 and 2027. 

While the broker acknowledges uncertainty surrounding US Federal Reserve movements post the banks debacle, Macquarie says China is ready to step in and buy the dip given its strong appetite for physical gold.

West African Resources is a preferred gold-sector pick. EPS forecasts rise 14% in 2023 and fall -2% in 2024 to reflect a forecast of a softer 2024 gold price.

Outperform rating and $1.70 target price retained.

Target price is $1.70 Current Price is $0.97 Difference: $0.73
If WAF meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 75% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY23:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 14.40 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 6.74.

Forecast for FY24:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 10.20 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 9.51.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

WGX  WESTGOLD RESOURCES LIMITED

Gold & Silver

More Research Tools In Stock Analysis - click HERE

Overnight Price: $1.26

Macquarie rates WGX as Outperform (1) -

Macquarie reviews the Australian resources sector after revising commodity price forecasts: copper, gold and zinc forecasts are tipped to rise while nickel, cobalt, palladium and coal forecasts fall. Coking coal, iron ore and silver forecasts are mixed across the 2023 to 2027 forecast period. Coking coal forecasts fall sharply. Companies are upgraded and downgraded according to their exposures.

The broker upgrades near-term earnings forecasts between 14% to 23% for large caps with iron ore exposures.

Macquarie is forecasting a 9% to 18% rise in the gold price between 2023 and 2027. 

While the broker acknowledges uncertainty surrounding US Federal Reserve movements post the banks debacle, Macquarie says China is ready to step in and buy the dip given its strong appetite for physical gold.

Macquarie raises Westgold Resources EPS forecasts by 34% in 2023 and 15% in 2024. 

Outperform rating retained. Target price rises to $1.50 from $1.40.

Target price is $1.50 Current Price is $1.26 Difference: $0.24
If WGX meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 19% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY23:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 1.00 cents and EPS of 5.40 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.79%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 23.33.

Forecast for FY24:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 2.00 cents and EPS of 10.90 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.59%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 11.56.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

WHC  WHITEHAVEN COAL LIMITED

Coal

More Research Tools In Stock Analysis - click HERE

Overnight Price: $6.49

Macquarie rates WHC as Outperform (1) -

Macquarie reviews the Australian resources sector after revising commodity price forecasts: copper, gold and zinc forecasts are tipped to rise while nickel, cobalt, palladium and coal forecasts fall. Coking coal, iron ore and silver forecasts are mixed across the 2023 to 2027 forecast period. Coking coal forecasts fall sharply. Companies are upgraded and downgraded according to their exposures.

The broker upgrades near-term earnings forecasts between 14% to 23% for large caps with iron ore exposures.

EPS and DPS forecasts for Whitehaven Coal fall -25% to -60% over FY23 to FY27 to reflect lower forecast coal prices.

Outperform rating retained. Target price slumps -32% to $8.50 from $12.

Target price is $8.50 Current Price is $6.49 Difference: $2.01
If WHC meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 31% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $10.05, suggesting upside of 50.2% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY23:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 63.00 cents and EPS of 320.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 9.71%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 2.03.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 342.8, implying annual growth of 73.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 67.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 10.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 2.0.

Forecast for FY24:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 50.00 cents and EPS of 201.20 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 7.70%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 3.23.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 209.8, implying annual growth of -38.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 63.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 9.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 3.2.

Market Sentiment: 0.9

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

Today's Price Target Changes
Company Last Price Broker New Target Prev Target Change
29M 29Metals $1.11 Macquarie 1.20 1.00 20.00%
ALQ ALS Ltd $12.12 Ord Minnett 8.40 13.20 -36.36%
AMI Aurelia Metals $0.10 Macquarie 0.25 0.23 8.70%
AWC Alumina Ltd $1.47 Macquarie 1.10 1.00 10.00%
AZY Antipa Minerals $0.02 Shaw and Partners 0.06 0.08 -26.83%
BHP BHP Group $46.08 Macquarie 53.00 52.00 1.92%
CIA Champion Iron $6.92 Macquarie 8.00 7.70 3.90%
CMM Capricorn Metals $4.57 Macquarie 4.90 4.70 4.26%
CRN Coronado Global Resources $1.62 Macquarie 2.50 2.60 -3.85%
DCN Dacian Gold $0.08 Macquarie 0.08 0.09 -11.11%
EVN Evolution Mining $3.02 Macquarie 3.00 2.80 7.14%
GOR Gold Road Resources $1.63 Macquarie 1.80 1.60 12.50%
IGO IGO $12.56 Macquarie 19.00 20.00 -5.00%
JRV Jervois Global $0.06 Macquarie 0.25 0.40 -37.50%
KLS Kelsian Group $5.87 Ord Minnett 6.88 7.19 -4.31%
LAU Lindsay Australia $0.97 Morgans 1.07 0.86 24.42%
LTR Liontown Resources $2.60 Macquarie 3.00 2.70 11.11%
UBS 2.70 1.85 45.95%
MGX Mount Gibson Iron $0.52 Macquarie 0.50 0.60 -16.67%
NCM Newcrest Mining $26.55 Macquarie 28.00 25.00 12.00%
NHC New Hope $5.57 Macquarie 5.50 6.00 -8.33%
NIC Nickel Industries $0.90 Macquarie 0.92 1.05 -12.38%
NST Northern Star Resources $11.98 Macquarie 14.30 14.20 0.70%
PAN Panoramic Resources $0.14 Macquarie 0.19 0.20 -5.00%
PLS Pilbara Minerals $3.98 Citi 4.60 4.80 -4.17%
Macquarie 7.70 7.50 2.67%
PRU Perseus Mining $2.34 Macquarie 2.70 2.50 8.00%
RIO Rio Tinto $117.25 Macquarie 123.00 122.00 0.82%
RRL Regis Resources $2.00 Macquarie 3.10 2.70 14.81%
RSG Resolute Mining $0.39 Macquarie 0.45 0.33 36.36%
S32 South32 $4.34 Macquarie 5.10 4.60 10.87%
SFR Sandfire Resources $6.26 Macquarie 7.30 7.00 4.29%
SLR Silver Lake Resources $1.13 Macquarie 1.70 1.50 13.33%
SRL Sunrise Energy Metals $1.84 Macquarie 1.62 1.70 -4.71%
WGX Westgold Resources $1.28 Macquarie 1.50 1.20 25.00%
WHC Whitehaven Coal $6.69 Macquarie 8.50 12.00 -29.17%
Summaries
29M 29Metals Upgrade to Neutral from Underperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $1.19
ALQ ALS Ltd Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $12.10
Downgrade to Sell from Lighten - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $12.10
AMI Aurelia Metals Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $0.11
ASX ASX Equal-weight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $64.80
AWC Alumina Ltd Underperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $1.44
AZY Antipa Minerals Buy - Shaw and Partners Overnight Price $0.02
BGL Bellevue Gold Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $1.21
BHP BHP Group Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $45.00
BOE Boss Energy Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $2.24
CIA Champion Iron Upgrade to Outperform from Neutral - Macquarie Overnight Price $6.80
CMM Capricorn Metals Downgrade to Neutral from Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $4.74
CRN Coronado Global Resources Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $1.60
CTM Centaurus Metals Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $0.94
DCN Dacian Gold Neutral - Macquarie Overnight Price $0.08
DEG De Grey Mining Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $1.52
DRR Deterra Royalties Neutral - Macquarie Overnight Price $4.76
EVN Evolution Mining Neutral - Macquarie Overnight Price $2.97
FMG Fortescue Metals Underperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $21.16
GOR Gold Road Resources Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $1.68
IGO IGO Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $12.69
JMS Jupiter Mines Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $0.22
JRV Jervois Global Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $0.07
KLS Kelsian Group Buy - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $5.88
LAU Lindsay Australia Add - Morgans Overnight Price $0.97
LTR Liontown Resources Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $2.59
Downgrade to Neutral from Buy - UBS Overnight Price $2.59
MCR Mincor Resources Neutral - Macquarie Overnight Price $1.50
MGX Mount Gibson Iron Neutral - Macquarie Overnight Price $0.50
MND Monadelphous Group Downgrade to Hold from Accumulate - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $12.11
MP1 Megaport Buy - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $3.96
NCM Newcrest Mining Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $26.61
NHC New Hope Downgrade to Neutral from Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $5.46
NIC Nickel Industries Neutral - Macquarie Overnight Price $0.89
NST Northern Star Resources Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $11.98
OZL OZ Minerals No Rating - Macquarie Overnight Price $28.05
PAN Panoramic Resources Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $0.14
PDN Paladin Energy Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $0.60
PLS Pilbara Minerals Buy - Citi Overnight Price $3.94
Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $3.94
PRU Perseus Mining Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $2.34
RMS Ramelius Resources Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $1.20
RRL Regis Resources Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $1.90
RSG Resolute Mining Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $0.39
S32 South32 Upgrade to Outperform from Neutral - Macquarie Overnight Price $4.23
SBM St. Barbara No Rating - Macquarie Overnight Price $0.66
SFR Sandfire Resources Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $6.25
SLR Silver Lake Resources Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $1.15
SRL Sunrise Energy Metals Neutral - Macquarie Overnight Price $1.79
WAF West African Resources Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $0.97
WGX Westgold Resources Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $1.26
WHC Whitehaven Coal Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $6.49
RATING SUMMARY
Rating No. Of Recommendations
1. Buy

34

3. Hold

13

5. Sell

3

Thursday 30 March 2023

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Disclaimer:
The content of this information does in no way reflect the opinions of FNArena, or of its journalists. In fact we don't have any opinion about the stock market, its value, future direction or individual shares. FNArena solely reports about what the main experts in the market note, believe and comment on. By doing so we believe we provide intelligent investors with a valuable tool that helps them in making up their own minds, reading market trends and getting a feel for what is happening beneath the surface. This document is provided for informational purposes only. It does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy any security or other financial instrument. FNArena employs very experienced journalists who base their work on information believed to be reliable and accurate, though no guarantee is given that the daily report is accurate or complete. Investors should contact their personal adviser before making any investment decision.