DBS Group has developed a Dashboard measure for assessing where Asia is on the GDP growth curve.
Chinese data this week have not continued to surprise to the upside. They disappointed instead.
China is now rapidly becoming Brazil’s top trading partner, at the expense of the US.
DBS Group has developed a new Dashboard measure for assessing the state of the Asian economy, the latest numbers indicating the recovery is real and sustainable.
The latest batch of economic data releases have kept hopes alive China might be on the road to economic recovery.
In the view of Standard Chartered the latest fiscal stimulus package announced in Japan shuold boost growth but it will require an easing in monetary policy by the BoJ to be most effective.
Westpac believes China might eventually achieve its 8% growth target, but more likely in H2 2010 than this year.
According to Bank of Finland even the fiscal stimulus package won’t be enough to lift Chinese GDP above 5% this year.
There’s a constant caveat when discussing China’s economy, official data are questionable, which is why Google searches are able to offer some valuable insight.
China’s trade surplus may be spiralling out of control, but Standard Chartered think China’s external imbalance will actually improve.