Following yesterday’s RBA statement, the rush is on amongst economists to completely rethink their interest rate forecasts.
Falling oil, positive data and earnings spurred on Wall Street last night. The Fed provided the kicker with a “no change” to rates. The Dow jumped 331 points.
The Dow fell 42 points following big falls in commodity prices including oil, metals and gold.
Weak economic data from Europe, the UK and China added to US woes on Friday despite a slightly better than expected jobs number. The Dow fell 51.
A weaker than expected GDP set the tone but half last night’s 200 point fall occurred in the last half hour on end-of-month scrambling.
Oil jumped over US$4 last night but the Dow rallied 186. You don’t see that every day.
The magic price is 22 cents in the dollar, enough to send the Dow up 266 aided by another US$2 fall in oil.
According to GaveKal the Aussie dollar’s strength has been due to its attraction in the carry trade but if rates come down as the economy slows the currency is likely to tumble.
The financial sector led the Dow down 240 points last as the IMF declared no end in sight to housing woes.
Some better economic data saved Wall Street from further destruction on Friday, although attempts to rally were mostly snuffed out. The Dow closed up 21.