ARCADIUM LITHIUM PLC (LTM)
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LTM - ARCADIUM LITHIUM PLC

FNArena Sector : New Battery Elements
Year End: December
GICS Industry Group : Materials
Debt/EBITDA: 0.6
Index: ASX200 | ASX300 | ALL-ORDS

LAST PRICE CHANGE +/- CHANGE % VOLUME

$8.05

08 Nov
2024

-0.170

OPEN

$8.15

-2.07%

HIGH

$8.16

1,236,238

LOW

$8.02

TARGET
$7.942 -1.3% downside
Franking for last dividend paid out: 0%
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FNARENA'S MARKET CONSENSUS FORECASTS
LTM: 1
Title FY22
Actual
FY23
Actual
FY24
Forecast
FY25
Forecast
EPS (cps) xxx 46.3 13.8 xxx
DPS (cps) xxx 0.0 0.0 xxx
EPS Growth xxx 26.1% - 70.3% xxx
DPS Growth xxx N/A N/A xxx
PE Ratio xxx N/A 58.8 xxx
Dividend Yield xxx N/A 0.0% xxx
Div Pay Ratio(%) xxx N/A N/A xxx

Dividend yield today if purchased 3 years ago: 0.00%

DIVIDEND YIELD CALCULATOR

Dividend Yield Today On Last Actual Payout :

0.00

Estimated Dividend Growth
(Average Of Past Three Years)

 %

Amount Invested

Tell Me The Dividend After This Many Years

Past performance is no guarantee for the future. Investors should take into account that heavy swings in share price or exceptional circumstances (a la 2009) can have a significant impact on short term calculations and averages
HISTORICAL DATA ARE ALL IN AUD
Copyright © 2024 FactSet UK Limited. All rights reserved
Title 20222023
EPS Basic xxx46.3
DPS All xxx0.0
Sales/Revenue xxx1,329.5 M
Book Value Per Share xxx243.4
Net Operating Cash Flow xxx447.9 M
Net Profit Margin xxx37.41 %

EPS Basic

DPS All

Sales/Revenue

Book Value Per Share

Net Operating Cash Flow

Net Profit Margin

Title 20222023
Return on Capital Employed xxx20.97 %
Return on Invested Capital xxx17.91 %
Return on Assets xxx12.76 %
Return on Equity xxx20.97 %
Return on Total Capital xxx22.59 %
Free Cash Flow ex dividends xxx-44.9 M

Return on Capital Employed

Return on Invested Capital

Return on Assets

Return on Equity

Return on Total Capital

Free Cash Flow ex dividends

Title 20222023
Short-Term Debt xxx5 M
Long Term Debt xxx447 M
Total Debt xxx453 M
Goodwill - Gross xxx-
Cash & Equivalents - Generic xxx348 M
Price To Book Value xxx4.61

Short-Term Debt

Long Term Debt

Total Debt

Goodwill - Gross

Cash & Equivalents - Generic

Price To Book Value

Title 20222023
Capex xxx492.8 M
Capex % of Sales xxx37.07 %
Cost of Goods Sold xxx515 M
Selling, General & Admin. Exp & Other xxx104 M
Research & Development xxx9 M
Investments - Total xxx51 M

Capex

Capex % of Sales

Cost of Goods Sold

Selling, General & Admin. Exp & Other

Research & Development

Investments - Total

EXPERT VIEWS
Display All Commentary

Sentiment Indicator

0.0

No. Of Recommendations

6
BROKER DATE RATING RECOMMENDATION TARGET PRICE % TO REACH TARGET COMMENTARY

Morgans

xx/xx/xxxx

3

xxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Citi

xx/xx/xxxx

3

xxxxxxxxx xx xxxxxxx xxxx xxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Macquarie

xx/xx/xxxx

3

xxxxxxxxx xx xxxxxxx xxxx xxxxxxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Bell Potter

14/10/2024

3

Hold

$8.70

8.07%

Bell Potter highlights the takeover agreement reached between Arcadium Lithium and Rio Tinto ((RIO)) in an all-cash offer of US$5.85 per share, a 90% premium to Arcadium Lithium's  share price on October 4. 

The analyst notes Rio Tinto referred to the offer as "full and fair" and includes long term prices of US$1500/t for 6% Li2) spodumene concentrate and US$20,000/t for battery grade lithium carbonate.

The target price is raised to $8.70 from $6.55 reflecting the new offer price. Hold rating unchanged.

FORECAST
Bell Potter forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 21.80 cents.
Bell Potter forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 35.80 cents.

Ord Minnett

xx/xx/xxxx

3

xxxxxxxxx xx xxxx xxxx xxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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UBS

xx/xx/xxxx

3

xx-xxxxxxxxxx xx xxxxxxxx xxxx xxxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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EXTRA COVERAGE
Display All Commentary

No. Of Recommendations

1

Please note: unlike Broker Call Report, BC Extra is not updated daily. The info you see might not be the latest. FNArena does its best to update ASAP.

BROKER DATE RATING RECOMMENDATION TARGET PRICE % TO REACH TARGET COMMENTARY

Goldman Sachs

08/08/2024

3

Neutral

$6.35

-21.12%

Arcadium Lithium's June Q sales volumes were below Goldman Sachs, partly offset by higher realised pricing, for broadly in-line group revenue. Opex was lower for an improved earnings though softer operating cash flow led to weaker free cash flow and higher net debt.

Arcadium plans to reduce the planned capital spending by some -US$500m over the next 24 months. A detailed review of expansion plans and broader strategic objectives will be presented at Investor Day in September.

2024 guidance is retained, projecting a 25% increase in combined lithium hydroxide and carbonate volume in both 2024 and again in 2025. Cost savings in 2024 are expected at the higher end of the guidance range.

Neutral and $6.35 target retained.

FORECAST
Goldman Sachs forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 2.90 cents.
Goldman Sachs forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus -1.90 cents.

LTM STOCK CHART