FYI | Jan 22 2016
By Rudi Filapek-Vandyck, Editor FNArena
I like to question the ruling logic that goads the herd, or at the very least stimulate independent thinking. There's a big difference between playing market momentum as a short term trader and trying to figure out what the best asset purchases are for longer term investing.
Since 2012 I maintain my own feed of quotes, comments, responses and market insights via Twitter. Not everyone is on Twitter, which explains the requests to make my Twitter items also available through the newsfeed on the FNArena website.
Below are my Tweets since January 8. Enjoy.
Investors can follow me on Twitter via @filapek
****
– Citi sees global econ balance at risk; rising downside risks growth + central bank policy stimulus less forthcoming, less effective #ausbiz
– Macquarie sees near-term downside risk to #bank earnings but sees this risk as captured in current valuations #ausbiz #investing #stocks
– "the Fed Funds futures market is now also pricing in four rate hikes – but over the next three years" – BofA
– UBS has lowered year-end 2016 price target for ASX200 to 5,500 from 5,700 on further downgrades to #commodities prices forecasts #ausbiz
– Credit Suisse's model continues to point to negative risk appetite over next six months, albeit at less negative levels #ausbiz #investing
– Trading tip from Morgan Stanley: ANZ Bank shares to underperform the ASX200 over next 60 days on dividend and other risks #ausbiz #banks
– Ord Minnett is preparing for yet another dismal reporting season from mining services providers #neverendingstory #ausbiz #stocks
– Tadaaa… Morgan Stanley predicts ANZ Bank will cut dividend in second half of FY16 on higher than forecast loan losses #ausbiz #investing
– Bell Potter initiates coverage on Temple & Webster (TPW) with Speculative Buy rating and $1.30 price target #ausbiz #investing #stocks
– Trading tip from Morgan Stanley: Crown Resorts (CWN) to outperform the index over next 30 days on strong VIP turnover #ausbiz #stocks
– Trading tip from Morgan Stanley: Star Entertainment (SGR) shares to outperform over next 30 days on strong VIP momentum #ausbiz #stocks
– CommBank believes RBA's cash rate will remain at 2% throughout 2016 #ausbiz #investing #stocks
– China's 6.9% GDP figure masks two concerns: that growth is weaker than reported, and that much worse lies ahead
– UBS predicts a tough quarter ahead of tough results for #energy stocks in Australia, but the worst is likely yet to come #ausbiz #stocks
– Translation of today's #China data: happy to admit we're not making our targets, but allow us to save face #ausbiz #commodities #stocks
– JP Morgan concludes Rio Tinto no longer offers compelling value for long term investors. Cuts target to $36 from $60 #ausbiz #investing
– Low, lower, lowest… JP Morgan updates commodity prices forecasts and cuts price target BHP Billiton to (wait for it) $13 from $18 #ausbiz
– Morgan Stanley strategists say investors should focus on cycle agnostic growth + defensives with catalyst #ausbiz #equities #investing
– Morgan Stanley has a message for investors banking on PE re-rating in 2016: tell them they're dreaming… #ausbiz #investing #stocks
– CLSA: rising risk aversion overwhelms all other considerations. Companies with solid free cashflow + earnings visibility stand out #ausbiz
– 2015 marked a turning point in #china steel over-capacity, argues @GaveKalCapital. 2016 should see more of the same #ausbiz #investing
– CBA economists predict #China Q4 GDP growth 6.9%, right on 7% target full year, but warns things will get worse #ausbiz #commodities
– Australia's ASX 200 down 1.73% at 4808.3 in early trade. Just 10 points away from entering a technical bear market
– Woolworths $WOW said it intends to "pursue an orderly prospective sale or wind-up" of its Masters Home Improvement business #ausbiz ^SD
– #ASX 200 closed below the 4900pt level on Friday for the first time since 5 July 2013 #ausbiz ^SD
– Moelis suggests RCG Corp (RCG) is worth chasing through equities carnage. Buy. $1.75 price target #ausbiz #investing #stocks
– Deutsche Bank suggests Fed will relent post March hike if market conditions to remain shaky and volatile #ausbiz #investing #stocks
– Investors pay attention: it's a global bear market. Act accordingly #ausbiz #investing #stocks
– Must read for investors in #commodities stocks: http://www.moneyweb.co.za/moneyweb-opinion/the-depressive-super-cycle/ … #ausbiz #investing
– Question: is this a market wherein retail investors are buying shares and instos then grab opportunity to sell? #ausbiz #stocks #investing
– UBS sees another good year for A-REITs, prefers Westfield, anticipates recovery property developers #ausbiz #investing #stocks
– RBC Capital lowers Brent #crudeoil forecast to US$43/bbl (from US$56/bbl) in 2016 and to US$60/bbl (from US$67/bbl) in 2017 #ausbiz #energy
– Trading tip from Morgan Stanley: BlueScope Steel (BSL) to outperform broader market in next 60 days as guidance to surprise #ausbiz #stocks
– CBA: continue to believe sub-trend Asian GDP growth will complicate the commodity complex, but fail to derail US expansion #ausbiz #stocks
– Shock and awe? Credit Suisse continues to see the ASX200 at 6000 by year-end #ausbiz #investing #stocks
– UBS' revised #crudeoil price forecasts place BHP forecasts some 60% below market consensus. Retains Buy, $22 target #ausbiz #investing
– CLSA downgrades Greencross (GXL) to Underperform as competitive pressures are building and take-over may not eventuate #ausbiz
– Morgan Stanley upgrades BHP Billiton to Overweight, lifting forecasts and price target to $22.50, on long term investment horizon #ausbiz
– Morgan Stanley has lowered its 2016 year-end target for ASX200 to 4800 from 5150 citing lack of earnings support #ausbiz #stocks #investing
– CIBC: Fed's Beige Book yet another reason we believe that central bank won’t be able to hike rates four times this year.#ausbiz #investing
– Deutsche Bank predicts EM assets will remain under pressure, though do not expect 1980s-90s style EM crises #ausbiz #investing
– Deutsche Bank sees 10-15% upside US &Europe #equities, earnings growth + slightly higher valuations contributing to index gains #ausbiz
– Credit Suisse suggests a merger between Santos (STO) and Origin Energy (ORG) would make a lot of sense #ausbiz #investing #stocks
– CLSA further lowers commodity prices forecasts, but also upgrades Rio Tinto and Independence Group to Outperform/Buy #ausbiz #investing
– CLSA warns the risk of #equities meltdown is growing. Advises investors to sell any strength in 1Q #ausbiz #investing
– Citi: 2016 likely a year for careful and selective approach to portfolio construction, not a year for aggressive risk taking #stocks
– ANZ Bank predicts #ironore prices are likely to retest recent lows over the coming weeks #ausbiz #investing #commodities
– CLSA's Brian Johnson questions validity sell-off Macquarie (MQG) shares. Retains stock as Conviction Buy #ausbiz #investing #banks
– WilsonHTM cuts price target for 3P Learning (3PL) to $2.07 from $2.49 as CEO departs, casting doubt over growth beyond FY16 #ausbiz #stocks
– Bell Potter responds to share price weakness. Upgrades CommBank (CBA) to Buy, target $85.50 #ausbiz #banks #investing
– Macquarie stubbornly projects 17% total return for Oz #equities this year. Top picks LLC, ORA, ECX, IPL, BBN & QAN #ausbiz #investing
– CLSA sees reasonable chance Crown Resorts (CWN) might be privatised this year. Lifts rating to Outperform #ausbiz #investing
– #Oil just wants to drop — WTI down as much as 2% and #Brent crude falling as much as 1.8% in early Asian trade
– JP Morgan is targeting ASX200 at 5500 by 2016 year-end for a return of 10% for the year, despite many challenges #ausbiz #investing
– Citi report suggests #energy stocks to make a come-back later in 2016, but first #crudeoil price to head lower in Q1 #ausbiz #equities
– Current conditions warrant a pause in Fed hikes to June, says UBS. Still not too late to sell #energy stocks #ausbiz #investing #stocks
– UBS's Art Cashin: Stay wary, alert, and very, very nimble. Have an absolutely wonderful weekend! You deserve it #ausbiz #investing
– Deutsche Bank says ABS surveys overstated jobs creation by up to 13k/month in 2015. Unemployment rate likely move sideways in 2016 #ausbiz
– Global markets are facing a crisis, investors need to be very cautious, George Soros warns http://bloom.bg/1mDTtuN
– Saudi Arabia contemplating IPO for Saudi Aramco is bearish signal for outlook #crudeoil prices, argues @CreditSuisse #ausbiz #investing
– It's a bear market, says Dennis Gartman. Advises investors should treat/trade accordingly #ausbiz #investing #equities
– GaveKal's Joyce Poon predicts emerging markets will be hurt by inevitable renminbi devaluation #commodities #ausbiz #investing
– Deutsche Bank sees better year ahead for global #equities, but admits earnings growth a challenge in Australia, most regions #ausbiz
– Deutsche Bank suggests #China has now joined global currency war and financial markets are understandably uncomfortable about it #ausbiz
You can add my regular Tweets on Twitter via @filapek
Find out why FNArena subscribers like the service so much: "Your Feedback (Thank You)" – Warning this story contains unashamedly positive feedback on the service provided.
