FYI | Mar 11 2016
By Rudi Filapek-Vandyck, Editor FNArena
I like to question the ruling logic that goads the herd, or at the very least stimulate independent thinking. There's a big difference between playing market momentum as a short term trader and trying to figure out what the best asset purchases are for longer term investing.
Since 2012 I maintain my own feed of quotes, comments, responses and market insights via Twitter. Not everyone is on Twitter, which explains the requests to make my Twitter items also available through the newsfeed on the FNArena website.
Usually I combine all Tweets from the week past in one weekly story. Below are my Tweets from the week past. Enjoy.
Investors can follow me on Twitter via @filapek
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– Deutsche Bank research suggests AUDUSD would need to rise to 80c before pulling RBA into action #ausbiz #investing #stocks
– Key markets have approached overhead resistance, warns CLSA. Their tech analyst says: It’s time to sell again! #ausbiz #investing #stocks
– WSJ SURVEY: About 3/4 of economists see Fed waiting until June to raise rates http://on.wsj.com/1RBMVo7 @KateDavidson
– Moelis initiates coverage Pro Medicus (PME) with Buy rating, $3.61 target. Label 'Netflix of Medical Digital Imaging Software' #ausbiz
– Citi adds Brambles (BXB) and Vitaco (VIT) to its Focus List Australia/NZ, removes James Hardie (JHX) #ausbiz #investing #stocks
– U.S. Sector PMI: 3 Sectors Post Lower Output In February http://seekingalpha.com/article/3957274-u-s-sector-pmi-3-sectors-post-lower-output-february?source=feed_f … $XLB $XLE $XLF $XLI $XLK $XLP $XLU $XLV $XLY $XTL
– My analysis of the February reporting season: http://goo.gl/Uc3mnm #ausbiz #investing #stocks
– Bell Potter initiated coverage on Praemium (PPS) with Buy and 55c price target #ausbiz #investing #stocks
– Nice bouquet, but the story is bollocks, reports CLSA re #ironore. "rally represents a squeeze in an illiquid market" #ausbiz #investing
– UBS technical analysts report #equities are topping, weakness is forthcoming. "Sell into strength!" #ausbiz #investing #stocks
– It's been bear market rally, not new bull market, says @DougKass. Risk vs reward has deteriorated markedly in last several weeks #ausbiz
– Global Leading Indicators Fall Sharply Into 2016 http://dlvr.it/KkPj2c
– FNArena Reporting Season Monitor February 2016 (incl excel sheet to download) http://goo.gl/nbkpAc #ausbiz #investing #stocks
– Rudi's Bear Market Diaries – Episode Four. All eyes on USD & Fed http://bit.ly/1nvbFXc #ausbiz #investing #stocks
– UBS forecasts #ironore to average US$45/t in 2016 and US$47/t in 2017 (CFR China) #ausbiz #investing #stocks
– CS strategists: ASX200 has gained in four weeks what usually takes three months, due for a pause #ausbiz #investing #stocks
– I'll be on @SkyBusiness at 10.45am today (via Skype-link) to discuss stockbroker views and ratings #ausbiz #investing #stocks
– CLSA points out ANZ Bank, deriving 22% of earnings from NZ, is at risk of rising impaired dairy debt #ausbiz #investing #stocks
– UBS puts sentiment against fundamentals. Downgrades oil producers across the board, exceptions are Woodside & Karoon #ausbiz #crudeoil
– Citi: slower GDP growth + shift to services implies ongoing slowing in 'industrial' GDP growth in #China to 2-4%, slowest on record #ausbiz
– Citi is forecasting annual average #ironore price of US$38/t for 2016, US$35/t for 2017 and 2018 #ausbiz #investing #stocks
– Citi remains bearish short-to-medium term #ironore prices despite recent price rally by over 60% from 2015 lows #ausbiz #investing #stocks
– UBS observes: Recent commodity rally driven by macro factors & short covering… Yet demand remains an issue #ausbiz #investing #stocks
– Market has given up its early gains. #ASX 200 now down 0.15% or 7pts to 5135. Local shares rose 1% on Monday #ausbiz
– CLSA analysts have gone the distance, issuing detailed report on Ramsay Health Care (RHC). Buy. Target $80 #ausbiz #investing #stocks
– CLSA's Brian Johnson says investors should sell ANZ Bank into this rally, and CBA too #ausbiz #investing #banks #stocks
– Observed: @DougKass is now all-in short US #equities. Does not believe in fundamentals behind latest rally #ausbiz #investing #stocks
– Macquarie admits the obvious: #ironore prices are now trading well above our forecasts for the next two years #ausbiz #investing #stocks
– One has to feel for analysts at UBS today. Downgrading Fortescue to Neutral when shorts are being squeezed #ausbiz #investing #stocks
– I hereby declare March 2016 month of the shorts squeeze… kinda fun to know there's scrambling behind the upward moves #ausbiz #investing
– Anything is possible with #commodities: #ironore up US$9.99 to US$63.74/t, +18.59% overnight. China infra stimulus! #ausbiz #investing
– Alliance Bernstein: think the odds are high that commodity prices will surprise on the upside over the next year or so #ausbiz #investing
– Observed: @InvastGlobal, having been negative for a while, is now suggesting investors Buy ANZ Bank (1 mth horizon) #ausbiz #investing
– Ord Minnett doesn't believe #metals rally justified. Remain bearish on fundamentals, but Neutral as a tactical trade #ausbiz #commodities
– Ord Minnett sticks with 5,500 target for the S&P/ASX 200 Index by end 2016 #ausbiz #investing #stocks
– Macquarie reports reporting season reaffirmed positive view on earnings outlook for AMC, BRG, ECX, JHX, MTR, OML, ORA & QAN #ausbiz #stocks
– CLSA's Brian Johnson maintains Australian major #banks are $31bn short of CET1 capital #ausbiz #investing #stocks
– CLSA downgrades ANZ Bank to Sell following last week's rally #ausbiz #investing #stocks
– Citi's Buy idea for March is Vitaco Holdings (VIT) #ausbiz #investing #stocks
– Macquarie thinks RBNZ ready for rate cuts in 2016, just not this week #ausbiz #investing #stocks
– Macquarie post Feb reporting: At this stage there is significant downside risk to 2017 growth estimates #ausbiz #investing #stocks
– China sets growth target in range of 6.5%-7% for 2016, a goal that acknowledges its slowing momentum http://on.wsj.com/21LzOeX
– Huntley's cuts #ironore price forecast from US$55 to US$35 per tonne to FY20. Rates Rio Tinto (RIO) Reduce #ausbiz #investing #stocks
You can add my regular Tweets on Twitter via @filapek
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