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Aussie Should Retest Lows

Technicals | Jul 09 2012

By Robert Clayton

Friday’s AUD-USD break of 1.0220 should now see the bears pave the road into the low 1.01 territory. Downside potential from the 1.0220 break holds towards the key level holding at support at 0.9965. On the open of the Australasian session should retest Friday’s low and attack the rising trend line at 1.0155-65. From the given weakness, technically this level is vulnerable. Sub 1.0155 then it is highly likely the bears will continue to grow in numbers and continue the decline to 0.9965. Reassess from there. On the topside, fresh advances will likely to struggle towards the 1.0255 resistance. Also to note, the 100-day moving average holds at 1.0254.

Range: High 1.0291; Low 1.0179; Last 1.0208

Technical bias: Downside potential has now heightened from the 1.0220 break

Resistance levels: 1st 1.0255; 2nd 1.0335-40; 3rd 1.0420

Support levels: 1st 1.0155-65; 2nd 1.0120; 3rd 1.0055

Rob Clayton – Senior Technical Analyst – has been providing technical analysis on Foreign Exchange, Futures, and Interest Rate products for the past 21 years. He held many senior analyst roles including the role of Senior Technical Analyst at Westpac Institutional Bank for 12 of those years. Rob is now part of the investments team at GTL Capital Management. Rob’s daily reports are read by institutional and professional clients in Australia, Asia, Europe and the Middle East.

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