FYI | Oct 24 2014
By Rudi Filapek-Vandyck, Editor FNArena
I like to question the ruling logic that goads the herd, or at the very least stimulate independent thinking. There's a big difference between playing market momentum as a short term trader and trying to figure out what the best asset purchases are for longer term investing.
Since 2012 I maintain my own feed of quotes, comments, responses and market insights via Twitter. Not everyone is on Twitter, which explains the requests to make my Twitter items also available through the newsfeed on the FNArena website.
Usually I combine all Tweets from the week past in one weekly story. Below are my Tweets from the week past. Enjoy.
Investors can follow me on Twitter via @filapek
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– Macquarie maintains the RBA might well be forced to cut cash rate in 2015, which is opposite of current market expectations #ausbiz
– Lonsec calculates FY16 valuation target of $2.33/share – representing a 16-50% premium to the proposed IPO price range #ausbiz 2/2
– Lonsec expects Medibank to generate 6% pa compounded earnings growth over FY15-17 and offer a yield of around 4.0% fully franked #ausbiz 1/2
– Morgan Stanley says investor perception of SAI Global (SAI) has changed and this means sustained de-rating for the stock #ausbiz
-Trading Tip from Morgan Stanley: WorleyParsons (WOR) shares to rise over the next thirty days #ausbiz
– Morgan Stanley says if insufficient production leaves #ironore market, the price can drop as low as US$55/t next year (bear case) #ausbiz
– US shale revolution has strong internat appeal, incl Australia, but lower oil prices are problem for global copy cats http://tiny.cc/y3u3nx
– UBS strategists suggest Oz #equities can bounce back into long term PE range 14-14.5x; retains ASX200 target 5600 for year-end #ausbiz
– Citi reports what everyone's thinking: lower oil, unemployment peaking and no extra tax burden must all be good for retail spending #ausbiz
– GaveKal: #China GDP growth certain to be 7% or lower next year; government likely to lower official growth target for 2015 #ausbiz
– New Conference Board study on #China outlook projects GDP growth at 4% in 2020-2025; the Long Soft Fall to have many consequences #ausbiz
– Deutsche Bank goes ant-consensus: fears about capital requirements #banks overplayed; sees attractive values sector current levels #ausbiz
– UBS opines Oz Banks are not cheap, but finds the case for a material Underweight stance in the #banks now appears harder to justify #ausbiz
– Macquarie finds room upward move #ironore into year end, but case for strong price rally much less compelling than previous years #ausbiz
– Citi strategists project 21% gains for global #equities by end-2015. They advise investors to buy into further 4Q14 weakness #ausbiz
– JP Morgan expects OPEC to announce crude #oil production cuts in end Nov meeting but these will likely take 4-6 months to implement #ausbiz
– Danske Bank: Our models suggest we will stay in this phase for the rest of the year and hence should expect continued high volatility
– Glushkin Sheff's Rosenberg: has to be emphasized corrections not the same as bear markets. Suggests #equities are now 2/3 done correcting
You can add my regular Tweets on Twitter via @filapek
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