article 3 months old

Aussie Dollar Poised

Technicals | Nov 13 2014

By Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist

Talking Points:

  • AUD-USD Technical Strategy: Flat
  • Support:0.8659, 0.8531, 0.8441
  • Resistance:0.8743, 0.8869, 0.8970

The Australian dollar advanced as expected against its US counterpart after prices put in a Bullish Engulfing candlestick pattern. A daily close above the 23.6% Fibonacci retracementat 0.8743 exposes the 38.2% level at 0.8869. Alternatively, a reversal back below the January 2014 low at 0.8659 opens the door for a challenge of the 50% Fib expansion at 0.8531.

Risk/reward considerations argue against entering long with prices in close proximity to resistance. On the other hand, the absence of a defined bearish reversal signal suggests taking up the short side is premature. We will remain flat for now, waiting for a more actionable opportunity to present itself.
 


 

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