Danske Bank sees the threat of inflation as the biggest driver of forex markets in coming months as only a few central banks are suitably positioned to fight the threat with higher rates.
After hiking 25 points, the ECB indicated no further hikes, allowing the US dollar to rally and the Dow to bounce back 73.
The Dow fell 166 points last night as oil closed above US$143 and Merrill Lynch suggested General Motors could go bankrupt.
A not-so-bad sales result for General Motors turned around a weak Wall Street last night. The Dow closed up 32.
The first half came to an end last night with oil and the Dow barely changed.
Oil hit US$142.99 on Friday before settling at US$140.21. The Dow lost 106.
Broker downgrades hit Wall Street last night before OPEC called oil to US$170 on a weak US dollar. Oil hit US$140. The Dow fell 358.
The Fed left the cash rate unchanged, as expected, while suggesting a more hawkish bias. An unchanged Dow belied a 0.6% rise in the broad market and a 1.4% gain in the Nasdaq.
It was another choppy night on Wall Street ahead of tonight’s Fed rate decision. The Dow lost 34 points.
The Dow closed unchanged last night, but it wasn’t all about a quiet market. A strong energy sector was offset by ever more weakness in financials. Gold took a dive.