Your Editor On Twitter

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By Rudi Filapek-Vandyck, Editor FNArena

I joined Twitter. Not because I am curious what this celebrity has to say about her kids, or to read that another one is waiting for a connecting flight, impatiently. Twitter allows me to follow news and commentary sources such as Dow Jones' Marketwatch, Bloomberg News and the Wall Street Journal. It assists me in keeping up with what is happening across the globe, while I am observing and analysing financial markets myself.

While I am on Twitter, reading a quote here and a news flash there, I offer my own succinct insights and commentary. Those amongst you who have already discovered the virtues of a Twitter account can add my Tweets to their daily news via @filapek.

For those who have no intention to join Twitter, but would like to stay up to date, below are my Tweets from the week past:

– BA-ML global strategists cautious on short term outlook global #equities, but remain positive longer term. Look for early cycle cyclicals

– And now for a change: #China analysts at BA-ML happy to stick with 8% GDP growth forecast for 2013. Growth to pick up in next 3 quarters

– BCA Research sticks with view that a global turnaround in favour of #cyclical #equities is just around the corner http://bit.ly/13l11TH

– Macquarie's Conviction list: remove property stocks Charter Hall (#CHC) and GPT (#GPT), but add News Corp (#NWS) as a buy idea #equities

– Question: why is it that financial markets are only forward looking when the trend is up? When down it's always temporarily & misguided?

– #Commodities: only 4 left with positive performance YTD: NatGas, cotton, lean hogs, cocoa. #Silver worst performer (-22.8%),#gold 2nd worst

– JP Morgan exits long #Newcrest (#NCM) position as sell-off in #gold is expected to leave longer lasting impact, plus $AUD has strong support

– Someone has to say it: there is NO risk appetite. Forced asset re-allocation has been widely misinterpreted. Anyone to show me I am wrong?

– Today is Opposite day in #Commodities land: crude oil, gold, most metals up; #ironore down by US70c to US$138.60/t #investing

– JPM strategists: weakening momentum in global growth will challenge equity markets in Q2. June ASX200 target 4900. Defensive looks best

– Citi economists suggest GDP forecasts for 2014 are too high, in particular for Europe and #China. They also anticipate stronger #USD ahead

– Standard Bank: avoid big #ironore producers who still think we are in 2007. The market will force their hand to reconsider their capex plans

– Standard Chartered concerned wave of downgrades about to hit #commodities stocks; when commodities fall a bit, margins get compressed a lot

– The "Magic" of timing. Surely Macquarie must be thinking about that moment when they decided to upgrade #BHP and #RIO to Outperform on 10/4

– Shares in #BHP Billiton now at 3.9% FY14 div yield estimate (at today's AUDUSD). Historically, 4% has been pretty solid support #equities

– ANZ throws Aust off the mining investment cliff: http://bit.ly/15h2u17 . Along with falling commodity prices, this is the key risk facing Oz

– Satyajit Das on #China: every investor should read and think about this http://on.mktw.net/11z0KMH

– My analysis: investors in Oz share market are betting on Black Caviar (and with good reasons too) http://bit.ly/XHm8Po #equities

– Chinese Auditor Warns "Out Of Control" Chinese Debt Could Spark Bigger Crisis Than US Housing Crash http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-04-17/chinese-auditor-warns-out-control-chinese-debt-could-spark-bigger-crisis-us-housing- …

– Goldmans raises forecasts, estimates for Oz retailers as outlook continues to improve for consumer spending. Harvey Norman upgraded to Buy

– Only one term applies these days to charts of #commodities: ugly http://bit.ly/1748XuO

– UBS stategists have been hinting at how well Sell in May strategies have worked in prior years. They suggest 2013 may not be different

– Insto desk at Goldman Sachs summarises general sentiment across the globe: "People are nervous!!!" #equities #investing

– Goldman Sachs slaps a Sell on Woolworths (#WOW). Predictable motivation: great franchise, growth will be slowing, valuation too high

– Weak earnings and growth concerns persist: equities down, oil below $100 (Brent), copper dives 3%, gold lower. #ironore -US10c to US$139.30

– UBS finds Infrastructure #equities look more attractive than REITs based on yield plus growth analysis #dividends #yield #equities

– BA-ML Global Funds Managers Survey: allocations to #commodities dropped to lowest since Jan 2009; to #Energy stocks to all-time low

– CS: like defensives in Oz. Resources stocks are cheap, but yet to see #commodity prices bottom. RBA rate plays expensive #equities

– CS: proprietary asset allocation model suggests #gold could continue to underperform other asset classes. Gold most expensive US asset class

– JP Morgan: A sharp decline in investment efficiency appears to be the most ready explanation for recent sub-par economic expansion in #China

– Citi in Europe: all #gold miners now rated Sell, except one (no rating). Only 1 mining stock rated Buy; Rio Tinto ((RIO)) #commodities

– Says Citi: #commodities sector is back in downgrade mode. Earnings estimates cut by 5% for 2013, 15% for 2014 and 14% for 2015

– Citi in Europe: maintain bearish view on Metals and Mining sector; value is 10-15% below today's prices with dividend yield line in the sand

– Citi says RBA commentary too sanguine. Continues to favour a further rate cut if next week's Q1 CPI report is favourable #equities

– Note which cos continue to surprise in US reporting season: Coca-Cola and Johnson & Johnson, both All-Weather Stocks (W Buffet owns them)

– Meanwhile in the background: Downgrades by stockbrokers are again outnumbering upgrades. We can all blame #commodity sector updates for that

– Got to feel for Cyprus. They were going to use gold reserves to fund the bigger bailout.

– Citi declares 2013 will be the year in which the death bells ring for #commodities #supercycle. Time to focus on individual opportunities!

– True impact of weak #China data yesterday: global growth projections are being scaled back sub-8% for China, #commodities also impacted

– CIBC: #China's recovery unexpectedly loses momentum, casting a shadow over the global recovery and commodity markets. 8% GDP growth at risk

– #Ironore really is something else. Amidst overnight carnage for gold, energy and commodities, spot iron ore drops US10c to US$140.90/t

– Just a thought: relatively benign volumes as gold and materials take massive blows. Funds managers already Underweight, caring less? #stocks

– Post soft #China data, NAB cuts 2013 GDP growth estimate to below 8% from 8.2% previously. Sees PBoC rate hike by early 2014 on soft CPI

– JP Morgan cuts China 2013 GDP view to below 7.8% http://sns.mx/quoMy8

– Stockbroker DJ Carmichael: #ironore prices expected to fall over the next few years. Like gold, we are in a bearish cycle for the #commodity

– ANZ Bank projects #China GDP growth 8.1%+8.0% for Q2 and Q3, sub-8% likely in Q4. For the whole year, GDP forecast cut to 7.8% from 8.1%

– Now THIS is interesting: China official apologises for wrong data http://tinyurl.com/d5h8rw9

– Hot on the heels of yet another set of data disappointments from #China, World Bank cuts growth forecasts http://tinyurl.com/cbwqqnd

– Goldmans retains Neutral sector call on Oz banks, but #NAB is now a Buy with Conviction while #CBA was upgraded to Hold from Sell #equities

– Is the world's real problem too low fertility rates? A compelling case can be made http://bit.ly/YRWNDd

You can add my regular Tweets on Twitter via @filapek

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