FYI | May 19 2020
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Lithium demand is shifting from lithium carbonate to lithium hydroxide. Pitt Street Research reports Piedmont Lithium should be among the beneficiaries
By Pitt Street Research
An integrated and low-cost lithium processing play
Piedmont Lithium ((PPL)) is developing a hard-rock lithium mine and associated processing operation in North Carolina.
Like Kidman (acquired in 2019 for $776m) PLL intends to be an integrated player from spodumene mining to hydroxide processing.
PLL’s mine has a higher-than-average lithium grade, is already ESG-compliant and is in the advanced stage of development.
A US-based integrated alternative
Currently a great deal of lithium carbonate and hydroxide has to be sourced from China.
Given the ongoing US-China trade war and the expected backlash against China related to the Coronavirus, a US-based lithium supplier with reduced supply chain risk is likely to be welcomed by potential customers.
Lithium hydroxide demand on the rise
Given its technological superiority, lithium-ion battery makers for Electric Vehicles are gradually shifting from lithium carbonate to lithium hydroxide, with demand for the latter material expected to rise 25% p.a. for the next five years.
PLL expects to benefit from this shift with its hydroxide plant.
Valuation range of $0.34–0.62 per share
We value PLL at $0.34 per share base case and $0.62 per share optimistic case using a DCF approach.
We expect a steady growth in lithium prices, further progress on the project development plan and clarity on project funding will help re-rate the stock to our valuation range.
Download the full report
Last week the report above was released by Pitt Street Research for which FNArena is a partner in distribution. The full report can be accessed here:
https://www.fnarena.com/index.php/pitt-street-research/PLL/
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