article 3 months old

Icarus Signal New Entries For Today

FYI | Jun 06 2011

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(
    [0] => Array
        (
            [0] => ((COH))
            [1] => ((WTF))
            [2] => ((CAH))
            [3] => ((DLX))
            [4] => ((LYL))
            [5] => ((ANN))
        )

    [1] => Array
        (
            [0] => COH
            [1] => WTF
            [2] => CAH
            [3] => DLX
            [4] => LYL
            [5] => ANN
        )

)
List StockArray ( [0] => COH [1] => LYL [2] => ANN )

This story features COCHLEAR LIMITED, and other companies.
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: COH

The company is included in ASX50, ASX100, ASX200, ASX300 and ALL-ORDS

Daily update on share prices and consensus price targets.

By Rudi Filapek-Vandyck

On Friday I highlighted Cochlear ((COH)) as one classic examply as to why investors should keep an eye on valuations and price targets. One other classic case of "Icarus" is provided by online bookings services provider Wotif.com ((WTF)). Similar as with Cochlear, I have long been warning investors about the lofty share price and the rather subdued earnings growth for the company; a combination that seldom remains unpunished. Wotif shares rallied to $8 in April 2010, they subsequently corrected to below $4.50 in the following six months.

This year the shares rallied back to $5.70, which again was much higher than where stockbroker targets saw value, and guess what? The shares have corrected back to $4.90, below consensus price target of $5.02. Taking guidance from history, it is likely Wotif shares will continue trying to push above target and provide many more examples of "Icarus" than just the two that occurred in April 2010 and May-April this year.

Seven new names, including Wotif.com, entered the list of stocks approaching targets on Friday. Three amongst those did so on the back of share price weakness: Catalpa ((CAH)) -in play-, DuluxGroup ((DLX)) and Lycopodium ((LYL)). Ansell ((ANN)) disappeared from the list due to share price weakness. It's a sign of the times.

So is the shrinking list of stocks trading above target. The tally stopped at 28 on Friday. A weaker share market in general on Monday will virtually guarantee this number will have shrunk further in tomorrow's daily update.

Investors should consider the information and data are provided for research purposes only.

Stocks <3% Below Consensus

Order Symbol Current Price($) Consensus Price($) Difference(%)
1 CAH $ 1.74 $ 1.75 0.86%
2 CEU $ 0.48 $ 0.48 1.47%
3 DLX $ 2.90 $ 2.93 0.93%
4 LYL $ 5.88 $ 5.98 1.70%
5 MND $ 18.80 $ 19.23 2.28%
6 MSF $ 4.02 $ 4.12 2.49%
7 WTF $ 4.98 $ 5.02 0.88%

Stocks Above Consensus

Order Symbol Current Price($) Consensus Price($) Difference(%)
1 COH $ 76.68 $ 75.61 – 1.40%
2 GNG $ 2.00 $ 1.94 – 3.00%
3 ILU $ 15.85 $ 15.71 – 0.88%
4 NUF $ 5.12 $ 5.04 – 1.56%

Top 50 Stocks Furthest from Consensus

Order Symbol Current Price($) Consensus Price($) Difference(%)
1 DVN $ 0.23 $ 0.34 51.11%
2 SAR $ 0.65 $ 1.00 55.04%

To see the full Icarus Signal, please go to this link

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CHARTS

ANN COH LYL

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: ANN - ANSELL LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: COH - COCHLEAR LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: LYL - LYCOPODIUM LIMITED

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