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Top Ten Weekly Recommendation, Target Price, Earnings Forecast Changes

FYI | Aug 22 2011

This story features WEBJET LIMITED, and other companies. For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: WEB

The past week has been another big one for upgrades in ratings, as among the eight brokers covered in the FNArena database there have been 27 ratings upgrades against just 11 downgrades. This brings the total proportion of Buy ratings to 56.2%, up from around 55% last week.

Among those enjoying upgrades were Domino's Pizza ((DMP)), Mermaid Marine ((MRM)) and Webjet ((WEB)) on the back of solid or better than expected earnings results. There were also valuation based upgrades for the likes of Macmahon Holdings ((MAH)), David Jones ((DJS)) and Mount Gibson ((MGX)).

Extract Resources ((EXT)) was upgraded during the week to reflect potential upside from an increase in reserves, while Oakton ((OKN)) enjoyed upgrades on the back of turnaround potential.

On the other side of the ledger valuation issues saw Imdex ((IMD)) and Challenger Diversified Property ((CDI)) downgraded, while questions over the cost of future growth were behind cuts to ratings for Newcrest ((NCM)). 

Along with an upgrade in rating, Macmahon enjoyed some increases to both earnings estimates and price targets, while a record result from ARB Group ((ARP)) similarly generated increases to both earnings estimates and price targets.

Domino's Pizza continued to enjoy upgrades to numbers following its well received profit result, while signs of operating improvement at Telstra ((TLS)) were enough for brokers to lift expectations for the telco giant. 

Weak fourth quarter sales meant cuts to numbers for David Jones, while a tough outlook saw estimates and price targets reduced for GWA International ((GWA)). Computershare ((CPU)) delivered a weaker earnings result as expected, but brokers have still responded by lowering price targets for the stock, while ongoing issues for the domestic steel market saw cuts to targets for OneSteel ((OST)). 

A strategic review at Ten Network ((TEN)) has prompted brokers to lower earnings expectations and as a result price targets, while weaker revenue assumptions at UGL ((UGL)) have prompted a similar reaction.

Earnings estimates for Woodside ((WPL)) benefited from a rolling forward of a broker's model for the company, while a solid earnings result for Echo Entertainment ((EGP)) has meant increases to estimates in coming years. 

As with OneSteel, forecasts for BlueScope ((BSL)) have been trimmed to reflect the impact of the strong Australian dollar, while lower margin expectations contribute to reductions to earnings estimates for Alumina ((AWC)) and a challenging operating environment prompted cuts to forecasts for Salmat ((SLM)). 

Total Recommendations
Recommendation Changes

 

Broker Recommendation Breakup

 

Recommendation

Positive Change Covered by > 2 Brokers

Order Symbol Previous Rating New Rating Change Recs
1 DMP 33.0% 83.0% 50.0% 6
2 MRM 40.0% 80.0% 40.0% 5
3 OKN 60.0% 100.0% 40.0% 5
4 MGX 50.0% 88.0% 38.0% 8
5 MAH 33.0% 67.0% 34.0% 3
6 EXT 33.0% 67.0% 34.0% 3
7 DXS 14.0% 43.0% 29.0% 7
8 DJS – 13.0% 13.0% 26.0% 8
9 WEB 25.0% 50.0% 25.0% 4
10 BWP 25.0% 50.0% 25.0% 4

Negative Change Covered by > 2 Brokers

Order Symbol Previous Rating New Rating Change Recs
1 IMD 100.0% 67.0% – 33.0% 3
2 NCM 75.0% 50.0% – 25.0% 8
3 CDI 75.0% 50.0% – 25.0% 4
4 ASX 57.0% 43.0% – 14.0% 7
5 TLS 63.0% 50.0% – 13.0% 8
6 WPL 63.0% 50.0% – 13.0% 8
 

Target Price

Positive Change Covered by > 2 Brokers

Order Symbol Previous Target New Target Change Recs
1 MAH 0.607 0.713 17.46% 3
2 ARP 8.063 8.675 7.59% 4
3 SGT 2.540 2.700 6.30% 5
4 DMP 6.653 6.965 4.69% 6
5 TLS 3.195 3.291 3.00% 8
6 EXT 8.600 8.767 1.94% 3
7 BWP 1.878 1.903 1.33% 4
8 OKN 2.332 2.354 0.94% 5
9 DXS 0.929 0.934 0.54% 7
10 SAI 5.427 5.447 0.37% 7

Negative Change Covered by > 2 Brokers

Order Symbol Previous Target New Target Change Recs
1 DJS 3.693 3.065 – 17.01% 8
2 GWA 3.228 2.755 – 14.65% 6
3 CPU 9.690 8.323 – 14.11% 7
4 OST 2.521 2.179 – 13.57% 7
5 TEN 1.258 1.135 – 9.78% 8
6 UGL 16.146 14.706 – 8.92% 8
7 SGP 3.979 3.684 – 7.41% 7
8 AWC 2.529 2.348 – 7.16% 8
9 ALL 2.984 2.809 – 5.86% 8
10 BBG 7.089 6.825 – 3.72% 8
 

Earning Forecast

Positive Change Covered by > 2 Brokers

Order Symbol Previous EF New EF Change Recs
1 WPL 183.434 204.151 11.29% 8
2 MAH 5.433 5.800 6.76% 3
3 EGP 19.586 20.763 6.01% 8
4 ARP 54.350 57.225 5.29% 4
5 TLS 26.900 28.038 4.23% 8
6 WEB 16.250 16.900 4.00% 4
7 IMD 19.433 20.133 3.60% 3
8 NWS 130.243 134.459 3.24% 6
9 DMP 34.217 35.250 3.02% 6
10 DXS 7.457 7.629 2.31% 7

Negative Change Covered by > 2 Brokers

Order Symbol Previous EF New EF Change Recs
1 BSL 6.786 3.843 – 43.37% 7
2 OST 29.086 25.129 – 13.60% 7
3 AWC 8.487 7.489 – 11.76% 8
4 GCL 72.000 63.820 – 11.36% 5
5 GWA 23.233 20.783 – 10.55% 6
6 ROC 2.941 2.679 – 8.91% 4
7 SLM 38.417 35.567 – 7.42% 6
8 OZL 125.475 116.375 – 7.25% 8
9 IIN 31.267 29.067 – 7.04% 5
10 FBU 53.285 50.478 – 5.27% 8
 

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CHARTS

CPU EXT TLS WEB

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: CPU - COMPUTERSHARE LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: EXT - EXCITE TECHNOLOGY SERVICES LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: TLS - TELSTRA GROUP LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: WEB - WEBJET LIMITED