article 3 months old

Gold Risk To The Downside

Commodities | Aug 08 2013

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By Jonathan Barratt
Gold is treading water …patiently waiting….but looks heavy

In the absence of any more geopolitical news concerning Al-Qaeda, Iran and a weaker US equity market it seems as if Gold once again has run out of friends. Although we continue to support the metal trading higher we feel that we are info a bit of a correction. It seems that even a weaker USD is not supporting dips and although physical buying is still at record levels the weight of selling primarily from the ETF market is having its way with the metal.  As it stands a break through US1271 opens the way for a move through to US1230 and maybe even a test of the lows again. Ouch!

Last week we mentioned that we would be happy to sit on the sidelines with our long positions and patiently wait. This week we are reducing the positions as we have broken back below the break out level of US1330 then US1300. Which is a bearish sign.

Chart Point – Gold:

Technically, we have just run out of steam. The very fact that it failed to push higher suggests a test to the down side. Momentum indicators look weak, which also suggests further losses.
 

 
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