BHP GROUP LIMITED (BHP)
Share Price Analysis and Chart

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BHP

BHP - BHP GROUP LIMITED

FNArena Sector : Bulks
Year End: June
GICS Industry Group : Materials
Debt/EBITDA: 0.72
Index: ASX20 | ASX50 | ASX100 | ASX200 | ASX300 | ALL-ORDS

BHP Group is an Anglo-Australian multinational bulks, metals and (soon to be) potash producer. BHP is Australia's largest company by market cap, representing circa 11% of the ASX200. As the Broken Hill Proprietary Co it was first listed in August 1885.

LAST PRICE CHANGE +/- CHANGE % VOLUME

$38.15

29 May
2025

-0.300

OPEN

$38.60

-0.78%

HIGH

$38.68

6,731,510

LOW

$38.04

TARGET
$42.867 12.4% upside
Franking for last dividend paid out: 100%
OTHER COMPANIES IN THE SAME SECTOR
RIO .
FNARENA'S MARKET CONSENSUS FORECASTS
BHP: 1
Title FY25
Forecast		 FY26
Forecast
EPS (cps) 298.9 xxx
DPS (cps) 152.6 xxx
EPS Growth N/A xxx
DPS Growth N/A xxx
PE Ratio 12.8 xxx
Dividend Yield 4.0% xxx
Div Pay Ratio(%) 51.1% xxx
This company reports in USD.
All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Dividend yield today if purchased 3 years ago: 5.06%

DIVIDEND YIELD CALCULATOR

Dividend Yield Today On Last Actual Payout :

 5.95

Estimated Dividend Growth
(Average Of Past Three Years)

  %

Amount Invested

 $ 

Tell Me The Dividend After This Many Years
Past performance is no guarantee for the future. Investors should take into account that heavy swings in share price or exceptional circumstances (a la 2009) can have a significant impact on short term calculations and averages

Last ex-div: 12/09 - ex-div 109.21c (franking 100%)

HISTORICAL DATA ARE ALL IN AUD
Copyright © 2025 FactSet UK Limited. All rights reserved
Title 201920202021202220232024
EPS Basic xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx237.8
DPS All xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx220.6
Sales/Revenue xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx84,936.7 M
Book Value Per Share xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx1,323.3
Net Operating Cash Flow xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx31,535.8 M
Net Profit Margin xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx14.19 %

EPS Basic

DPS All

Sales/Revenue

Book Value Per Share

Net Operating Cash Flow

Net Profit Margin

Title 201920202021202220232024
Return on Capital Employed xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx17.99 %
Return on Invested Capital xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx13.05 %
Return on Assets xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx7.89 %
Return on Equity xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx17.99 %
Return on Total Capital xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx33.33 %
Free Cash Flow ex dividends xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx6,369.7 M

Return on Capital Employed

Return on Invested Capital

Return on Assets

Return on Equity

Return on Total Capital

Free Cash Flow ex dividends

Title 201920202021202220232024
Short-Term Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx3,120 M
Long Term Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx27,901 M
Total Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx31,022 M
Goodwill - Gross xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx2,083 M
Cash & Equivalents - Generic xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx19,105 M
Price To Book Value xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx3.23

Short-Term Debt

Long Term Debt

Total Debt

Goodwill - Gross

Cash & Equivalents - Generic

Price To Book Value

Title 201920202021202220232024
Capex xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx14,151.0 M
Capex % of Sales xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx16.66 %
Cost of Goods Sold xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx41,080 M
Selling, General & Admin. Exp & Other xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx8,691 M
Research & Development xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-
Investments - Total xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx4,329 M

Capex

Capex % of Sales

Cost of Goods Sold

Selling, General & Admin. Exp & Other

Research & Development

Investments - Total

EXPERT VIEWS
Display All Commentary

Sentiment Indicator

0.8

No. Of Recommendations

6
BROKER DATE RATING RECOMMENDATION TARGET PRICE % TO REACH TARGET COMMENTARY

UBS

xx/xx/xxxx

3

xxxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Ord Minnett

xx/xx/xxxx

2

xxxxxxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Morgans

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Macquarie

22/04/2025

1

Outperform

$42.00

10.09%

BHP Group reported better-than-expected copper production, up 5% for 3Q25, while iron ore was in line with consensus estimates, Macquarie observes.

BHP Mitsubishi coal came in below expectations by -5% due to weather, and NSW Energy Coal was better than anticipated by 4%.

Escondida increased copper production by 400kt for FY27–FY31 with the extension of the Los Colorados life beyond FY29, and Macquarie raises the group copper production forecast by 3% for FY25, 11% for FY26, and 5% for FY29–FY31, with demolition capex deferred until FY31.

Macquarie retains an Outperform rating and $42 target price, and tweaks EPS estimates.

FORECAST
Macquarie forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 147.90 cents and EPS of 297.33 cents.
Macquarie forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 164.84 cents and EPS of 298.88 cents.

Citi

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Morgan Stanley

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxxxxxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Access Stockbroker Research History >
EXTRA COVERAGE
Display All Commentary

No. Of Recommendations

1

Please note: unlike Broker Call Report, BC Extra is not updated daily. The info you see might not be the latest. FNArena does its best to update ASAP.

BROKER DATE RATING RECOMMENDATION TARGET PRICE % TO REACH TARGET COMMENTARY

Goldman Sachs

30/04/2025

1

Buy

$45.10

18.22%

Goldman Sachs highlights BHP Group reported a solid 3Q25, with stronger copper production at Escondida and slightly better iron ore and met coal volumes despite heavy rains.

The analyst observes the re-sequencing of concentrator projects at Escondida, expected to offset the previously forecast FY30 production dip, lifting copper production targets to 900–1,000ktpa across FY27–FY31.

FY25 production guidance remains unchanged though met coal unit costs are expected to rise to US$128–US$133/t, and the production range is unlikely to reach its upper end.

Goldman Sachs tweaks FY25–FY27 earnings (EBITDA) forecasts 1%, -1% and -2%, respectively.

Buy rating retained with a $45.10 target price.

FORECAST
Goldman Sachs forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 154.06 cents and EPS of 308.12 cents.
Goldman Sachs forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 143.28 cents and EPS of 286.55 cents.
Access Extra Coverage Research History >

BHP STOCK CHART

FNArena News on BHP

1
Next Week At A Glance – 2-6 June 2025

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2
Rudi’s View: The Contrarians’ View

May 29 2025 - Rudi's View
3
Rudi’s View: Rate Cut Winners & AI Beneficiaries

May 22 2025 - Rudi's View
4
Next Week At A Glance – 19 – 23 May 2025

May 16 2025 - Weekly Reports
5
Rudi’s View: 30 For ’30 & Best Buy Convictions

May 15 2025 - Rudi's View

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