NINE ENTERTAINMENT CO. HOLDINGS LIMITED (NEC)
Share Price Analysis and Chart

Enter the company code or Name for stock analysis:

NEC

NEC - NINE ENTERTAINMENT CO. HOLDINGS LIMITED

FNArena Sector : Print, Radio & TV
Year End: June
GICS Industry Group : Media
Debt/EBITDA: 2.34
Index: ASX200 | ASX300 | ALL-ORDS

Nine Entertaiment is an Australian media company with holdings in radio, television, newspapers and digital media. Nine listed in 2013 and merged with Fairfax Media in 2018.

LAST PRICE CHANGE +/- CHANGE % VOLUME

$1.64

13 Jun
2025

-0.005

OPEN

$1.65

-0.30%

HIGH

$1.67

2,143,915

LOW

$1.63

TARGET
$1.817 10.8% upside
Franking for last dividend paid out: 100%
OTHER COMPANIES IN THE SAME SECTOR
A1N . GTN . NWS . SKT . SWM . SXL .
FNARENA'S MARKET CONSENSUS FORECASTS
NEC: 1
Title FY23
Actual		 FY24
Actual		 FY25
Forecast		 FY26
Forecast
EPS (cps) xxx 6.9 9.7 xxx
DPS (cps) xxx 8.5 6.5 xxx
EPS Growth xxx - 36.9% 40.7% xxx
DPS Growth xxx - 22.7% - 23.5% xxx
PE Ratio xxx N/A 17.0 xxx
Dividend Yield xxx N/A 4.0% xxx
Div Pay Ratio(%) xxx 123.7% 67.2% xxx

Dividend yield today if purchased 3 years ago: 4.59%

DIVIDEND YIELD CALCULATOR

Dividend Yield Today On Last Actual Payout :

 5.18

Estimated Dividend Growth
(Average Of Past Three Years)

  %

Amount Invested

 $ 

Tell Me The Dividend After This Many Years
Past performance is no guarantee for the future. Investors should take into account that heavy swings in share price or exceptional circumstances (a la 2009) can have a significant impact on short term calculations and averages

Last ex-div: 12/09 - ex-div 4.5c (franking 100%)

HISTORICAL DATA ARE ALL IN AUD
Copyright © 2025 FactSet UK Limited. All rights reserved
Title 201920202021202220232024
EPS Basic xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx6.9
DPS All xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx8.5
Sales/Revenue xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx2,619.4 M
Book Value Per Share xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx100.3
Net Operating Cash Flow xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx293.4 M
Net Profit Margin xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx4.23 %

EPS Basic

DPS All

Sales/Revenue

Book Value Per Share

Net Operating Cash Flow

Net Profit Margin

Title 201920202021202220232024
Return on Capital Employed xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx6.78 %
Return on Invested Capital xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx4.36 %
Return on Assets xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx2.77 %
Return on Equity xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx6.78 %
Return on Total Capital xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx10.58 %
Free Cash Flow ex dividends xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx109.7 M

Return on Capital Employed

Return on Invested Capital

Return on Assets

Return on Equity

Return on Total Capital

Free Cash Flow ex dividends

Title 201920202021202220232024
Short-Term Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx139 M
Long Term Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx940 M
Total Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx1,079 M
Goodwill - Gross xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx2,590 M
Cash & Equivalents - Generic xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx93 M
Price To Book Value xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx1.40

Short-Term Debt

Long Term Debt

Total Debt

Goodwill - Gross

Cash & Equivalents - Generic

Price To Book Value

Title 201920202021202220232024
Capex xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx137.0 M
Capex % of Sales xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx5.23 %
Cost of Goods Sold xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx2,298 M
Selling, General & Admin. Exp & Other xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx17 M
Research & Development xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-
Investments - Total xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx33 M

Capex

Capex % of Sales

Cost of Goods Sold

Selling, General & Admin. Exp & Other

Research & Development

Investments - Total

EXPERT VIEWS
Display All Commentary

Sentiment Indicator

0.5

No. Of Recommendations

3
BROKER DATE RATING RECOMMENDATION TARGET PRICE % TO REACH TARGET COMMENTARY

Macquarie

xx/xx/xxxx

-1

xx xxxxxx

xx.xx%

Broker commentary and detailed analysis is available for Full Members Only.
Login above or Get a Free Trial

UBS

xx/xx/xxxx

3

xxxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

Broker commentary and detailed analysis is available for Full Members Only.
Login above or Get a Free Trial

Morgan Stanley

26/02/2025

1

Overweight

$2.00

21.95%

Nine Entertainment delivered first half results that beat estimates. Morgan Stanley believes the more positive start to the second half supports an optimistic view and Overweight rating.

The broker points out this is a "classic cyclical media stock", awaiting an advertising recovery. EBITDA estimates for FY25-27are lifted 3-4%.

Morgan Stanley does add that stocks that appear cheap on an SoTP basis rarely outperform unless there is positive earnings momentum. The target is $2. Industry View: Attractive.

FORECAST
Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY25 EPS of 10.50 cents.
Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY26 EPS of 12.60 cents.

Ord Minnett

xx/xx/xxxx

2

xxxxxxxxx xx xxxxxxxxxx xxxx xxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

Broker commentary and detailed analysis is available for Full Members Only.
Login above or Get a Free Trial
Access Stockbroker Research History >
EXTRA COVERAGE
Display All Commentary

No. Of Recommendations

1

Please note: unlike Broker Call Report, BC Extra is not updated daily. The info you see might not be the latest. FNArena does its best to update ASAP.

BROKER DATE RATING RECOMMENDATION TARGET PRICE % TO REACH TARGET COMMENTARY

Jarden

15/05/2025

2

Overweight

$1.80

9.76%

Jarden updates forecasts for Nine Entertainment, raising its FY25 EPS estimate by 1.2% on a stronger Publishing performance, though lowering FY26 EPS by -1.1% due to softness in TV and radio.

The broker's target price is trimmed to $1.80 from $1.85, incorporating the sale of Domain Holdings Australia ((DHG)) but excluding any special dividend.

The broker views the key near-term uncertainty as the TV advertising market, with a 1% revenue swing equating to an around $5m EBITDA impact.

Following the expected Domain sale, the broker believes Nine could pay a fully franked 47-49c special dividend, with the market valuing the remaining business at circa $1.05 per share. 

Post-Domain, Jarden expects Nine to be in a strong net cash position of $120-170m by June 2025, with around $300m in M&A or capital management capacity.

In an earlier update, the broker commented Nine Entertainment, with a 60.1% stake in Domain Holdings Australia ((DHG)), expects to pay 47-49c full franked special dividend from the sale proceeds to CoStar, assuming the deal takes effect.

Jarden estimates the company to be in a significantly net cash position of $120-160m after the likely dividend payment, leaving about $300m room for potential M&A.

This is on an assumption of leverage of 0.5x EBITDA, with a higher leverage opening up scope for up to $500m of M&A or capital management initiatives.

FORECAST
Jarden forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 5.70 cents and EPS of 8.20 cents.
Jarden forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 6.40 cents and EPS of 9.20 cents.
Access Extra Coverage Research History >

NEC STOCK CHART

FNArena News on NEC

1
Next Week At A Glance – 19 – 23 May 2025

May 16 2025 - Weekly Reports
2
In Case You Missed It – BC Extra Upgrades & Downgrades – 16-05-25

May 16 2025 - Weekly Reports
3
Australian Broker Call *Extra* Edition – May 15, 2025

May 15 2025 - Daily Market Reports
4
Australian Broker Call *Extra* Edition – May 13, 2025

May 13 2025 - Daily Market Reports
5
Australian Broker Call *Extra* Edition – May 12, 2025

May 12 2025 - Daily Market Reports

Latest Print, Radio & TV News

1
Cash Flows Boost News Corp’s Outlook

Feb 14 2025 - Australia
2
FNArena Book Review: The Men Who Killed The News

Jan 21 2025 - Book Reviews
3
Content Investment Key To Nine Entertainment

Aug 30 2021 - Australia
4
Heightened Interest In News Corp Buybacks

Aug 09 2021 - Australia
5
Nine Entertainment’s Digital Deal Welcomed

Jun 02 2021 - Australia
6
Radio Recovery Lights Up Southern Cross Media

Mar 04 2021 - Australia
7
The Short Report – 09 Jul 2020

Jul 09 2020 - Weekly Reports
8
Radio Advertising Market Pivotal For HT&E

Aug 16 2019 - Small Caps
9
Domain Is The Prize In Nine-Fairfax Merger

Jul 27 2018 - Australia
10
Domain The Main Game For Fairfax

Jul 04 2017 - Australia