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The Overnight Report: Slowly Rising

Daily Market Reports | Dec 17 2010

By Greg Peel

The Dow rose 41 points or 0.4% while the S&P gained 0.6% to 1242 and the Nasdaq added 0.8%.

A weaker than expected revenue report from economic bellwether FedEx had Wall Street off to a weak start last night until traders realised the company had actually increased its profit guidance. Then the Philadelphia Fed manufacturing index came in with a rise to 24.3 to 22.5 when economists had expected a drop to 17.5 and a positive tone took hold.

US housing starts rose 3.9% in November but the annualised rate of 550,000 means starts are still down 5.8% on the same time last year. A slight drop in weekly new jobless claims was nevertheless well received.

Currency markets were quiet last night as EU members met in Brussels to discuss a permanent mechanism to tackle sovereign debt problems. The US dollar index fell slightly to 80.06 and the Aussie was slightly higher at US$0.9879. Gold, however, was hit by talk of more imposing futures trading limits and profit-taking was the order of the day as the year draws to a close, sending gold down US$10.80 to US$1370.20/oz.

Base metals were mostly slightly weaker and oil fell US26c to US$88.36/bbl. Following its strong run in recent sessions, the ten-year bond yield fell 10 basis points to 3.44%.

Mostly it was a session of cautious optimism, without a lot of conviction or volume. Given the indices have all now pushed past the levels from which they fell when Lehman went down, there is a distinct lack of excitement despite the positive tone. Uncertainties such as European debt and a likely Chinese rate hike are keeping things subdued. With only a couple of weeks to go to year-end, there's very much an air of “winding down”.

The SPI Overnight rose 8 points or 0.2%. 

[Note: All paying members at FNArena are being reminded they can set an email alert specifically for The Overnight Report. Go to Portfolio and Alerts in the Cockpit and tick the box in front of The Overnight Report. You will receive an email alert every time a new Overnight Report has been published on the website.]

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