article 3 months old

ASX200 Must Hold 5050

Technicals | Mar 21 2016

By Nick Linton-Ffrost

Our 5400 target remains in play while support at 5050 holds

We suspect the market is trading within a corrective rally which should carry to 5400 over the next 5-10 days. From there we will be looking for a pull back to 5200 before another leg higher towards 5700. Our view is based on the following assumption and is contingent of the XJO holding above 5050.

  • the break above the head and shoulders pattern at 5050 implies a 5400 target
  • the five wave completion down from 6000 implies a bounce to 5400 which is the top of wave’4′
  • 5440 is where wave ‘3’ equals 1.618 the length of wave ‘1’
  • the 50% retracement of the descent from 6000 to 4700 is 5380

A confirmed break above the 12 month trend line down indicates a target around 5700 (i.e height of the channel added to the 5200 break point).

Trading below 5050 for more than two days negates our view and should set up a drop to 4800.

Another trading idea from

Fifth Wave | fwtc.com.au                                               

FW generates over 150 Trading Alerts on the ASX100 each year. We are a subscription service specialising in short term technical strategies based on 27 years experience.

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