article 3 months old

The Overnight Report: That Was Quick

Daily Market Reports | Aug 08 2023

Array
(
    [0] => Array
        (
            [0] => ((RMD))
            [1] => ((SQ2))
            [2] => ((EHE))
            [3] => ((ORG))
            [4] => ((CBA))
            [5] => ((JHX))
            [6] => ((CRN))
        )

    [1] => Array
        (
            [0] => RMD
            [1] => SQ2
            [2] => EHE
            [3] => ORG
            [4] => CBA
            [5] => JHX
            [6] => CRN
        )

)
List StockArray ( [0] => RMD [1] => ORG [2] => CBA [3] => JHX [4] => CRN )

This story features RESMED INC, and other companies.
For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: RMD

The company is included in ASX50, ASX100, ASX200, ASX300 and ALL-ORDS

World Overnight
SPI Overnight 7275.00 + 29.00 0.40%
S&P ASX 200 7309.20 – 16.10 – 0.22%
S&P500 4518.44 + 40.41 0.90%
Nasdaq Comp 13994.40 + 85.16 0.61%
DJIA 35473.13 + 407.51 1.16%
S&P500 VIX 15.77 – 1.33 – 7.78%
US 10-year yield 4.08 + 0.02 0.44%
USD Index 102.06 + 0.04 0.04%
FTSE100 7554.49 – 9.88 – 0.13%
DAX30 15950.76 – 1.10 – 0.01%

By Greg Peel

Rinse and Repeat

In another seemingly sluggish session on the ASX yesterday, the sellers dominated the morning before the buyers appeared in the afternoon. The ASX200 was down -30 points at lunchtime, slipping under 7300 as it had done on Friday, sparking buyers into action.

Wall Street has rebounded overnight and our futures are up 29 points this morning.

Healthcare was again the worst performing sector (-1.1%), as ResMed ((RMD)) copped some follow-through selling (-4.3%) in the wake of Friday’s earnings report "miss".

Speaking of follow-through selling, Block ((SQ2)) fell -5% on its result on Friday and yesterday fell -10.1%. Technology lost -0.3%.

Moves in other sectors were mixed and modest, with weakness led by the banks (-0.4%) and materials (-0.3%).

The winners were real estate and discretionary, both up 0.5% on lower bond yields.

The latest takeover story is that of residential aged care services provider Estia Health ((EHE)), which jumped 8.5% after receiving an offer from private equity.

Meanwhile, the ACCC has again delayed its decision on the takeover of Origin Energy ((ORG)).

In economic news, job ads rose 0.4% in July having fallen -2.7% in June. Ads are down -10.4% from their peak last September but remain historically high, ANZ Bank notes, hence no signs yet of trouble in the labour market.

Investors are likely wary of taking too much risk as we head into results season proper. There were a handful of reports out yesterday and another handful today, but things heat up from Wednesday when Commonwealth Bank ((CBA)) reports.

That may explain why Wall Street was up 0.9% but our futures suggest only 0.4% today. Commodity prices were steady last night, other a small drop in oil prices.

Head Fake?

After a four-day losing streak last week, potential buyers appeared to have called time and Wall Street bounced last night, with no obvious impetus. Was that the pullback?

It is not unusual for corrections to see the odd snap-back rally on the way, but nothing is certain.

Wall Street did seem to latch on to comments from the New York Fed president, who suggested “I think we’re pretty close to where a peak rate would be”. John Williams also opined that the Fed could begin cutting rates next year even if a hard landing does not eventuate.

At the same time, the Atlanta Fed president said “I supported raising the federal funds rate at our July meeting, and I expect that additional increases will likely be needed to lower inflation”.

So take your pick.

Berkshire Hathaway reported an earnings beat last night, and rose 3.5%. If you’re interested in buying a share in Warren Buffet’s company you’d better first empty the shrapnel jar – one Class A will cost you US$550k.

You can, nonetheless, slum it with a Class B at US$360.

There were other positive results out last night, and with 85% of S&P500 companies now having reported, an 80% beat-rate is being maintained. This hasn’t necessarily translated into share price gains, as last week attests, and only 34 companies report this week.

Guidance has been important, as always, and while the June quarter is still being seen as the earnings trough, forecasts for the September quarter growth have slipped to a mere 0.2% from 0.4% ahead of the season.

The December quarter is otherwise shaping up with a 0.8% growth forecast.

Bond yields were little moved last night, and the VIX volatility index has slipped back after popping up last week, which likely makes those buyers more confident to jump in.

We’ll see how long it lasts. The July CPI is out on Thursday night.

Commodities

Spot Metals,Minerals & Energy Futures
Gold (oz) 1936.40 – 6.20 – 0.32%
Silver (oz) 23.10 – 0.53 – 2.24%
Copper (lb) 3.82 + 0.00 0.03%
Aluminium (lb) 0.98 – 0.00 – 0.40%
Nickel (lb) 9.52 + 0.05 0.56%
Zinc (lb) 1.12 – 0.01 – 0.96%
West Texas Crude 81.94 – 0.88 – 1.06%
Brent Crude 85.88 – 0.36 – 0.42%
Iron Ore (t) 104.73 – 0.45 – 0.43%

Nothing much to see here.

Oil prices slipped for no reason other than they were up 15% in July and another 1% in August to date.

The Aussie is steady at US$0.6575.

Today

The SPI Overnight closed up 29 points or 0.4%.

The NAB business and Westpac consumer confidence surveys are out today.

China will report July trade numbers.

Today’s earnings releases include those of James Hardie ((JHX)) and Coronado Resources ((CRN)).

The Australian share market over the past thirty days…

Index 07 Aug 2023 Week To Date Month To Date (Aug) Quarter To Date (Jul-Sep) Year To Date (2023)
S&P ASX 200 (ex-div) 7309.20 -0.22% -1.37% 1.47% 3.84%
BROKER RECOMMENDATION CHANGES PAST THREE TRADING DAYS
AIS Aeris Resources Downgrade to Hold from Buy Ord Minnett
CBL Control Bionics Downgrade to Hold from Speculative Buy Morgans
CCX City Chic Collective Upgrade to Buy from Hold Bell Potter
FLT Flight Centre Travel Downgrade to Neutral from Outperform Macquarie
JDO Judo Capital Downgrade to Neutral from Outperform Macquarie
NHC New Hope Downgrade to Hold from Add Morgans
ORI Orica Upgrade to Buy from Neutral Citi
SVR Solvar Downgrade to Hold from Buy Bell Potter

For more detail go to FNArena's Australian Broker Call Report, which is updated each morning, Mon-Fri.

All overnight and intraday prices, average prices, currency conversions and charts for stock indices, currencies, commodities, bonds, VIX and more available on the FNArena website.  Click here. (Subscribers can access prices on the website.)

(Readers should note that all commentary, observations, names and calculations are provided for informative and educational purposes only. Investors should always consult with their licensed investment advisor first, before making any decisions. All views expressed are the author's and not by association FNArena's – see disclaimer on the website)

All paying members at FNArena are being reminded they can set an email alert specifically for The Overnight Report. Go to Portfolio and Alerts on the website and tick the box in front of The Overnight Report. You will receive an email alert every time a new Overnight Report has been published on the website.

Find out why FNArena subscribers like the service so much: "Your Feedback (Thank You)" – Warning this story contains unashamedly positive feedback on the service provided. www.fnarena.com

FNArena is proud about its track record and past achievements: Ten Years On

To share this story on social media platforms, click on the symbols below.

Click to view our Glossary of Financial Terms

CHARTS

CBA CRN JHX ORG RMD

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: CBA - COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: CRN - CORONADO GLOBAL RESOURCES INC

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: JHX - JAMES HARDIE INDUSTRIES PLC

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: ORG - ORIGIN ENERGY LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: RMD - RESMED INC

Australian investors stay informed with FNArena – your trusted source for Australian financial news. We deliver expert analysis, daily updates on the ASX and commodity markets, and deep insights into companies on the ASX200 and ASX300, and beyond. Whether you're seeking a reliable financial newsletter or comprehensive finance news and detailed insights, FNArena offers unmatched coverage of the stock market news that matters. As a leading financial online newspaper, we help you stay ahead in the fast-moving world of Australian finance news.