article 3 months old

The Overnight Report: Bonds Are Boss

Daily Market Reports | May 30 2024

This story features BHP GROUP LIMITED, and other companies. For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: BHP

World Overnight
SPI Overnight 7640.00 – 52.00 – 0.68%
S&P ASX 200 7665.60 – 101.10 – 1.30%
S&P500 5306.04 + 1.32 0.02%
Nasdaq Comp 17019.88 + 99.09 0.59%
DJIA 38852.86 – 216.73 – 0.55%
S&P500 VIX 14.05 + 1.69 13.67%
US 10-year yield 4.61 + 0.07 1.54%
USD Index 105.11 + 0.49 0.47%
FTSE100 8224.89 – 29.29 – 0.35%
DAX30 18564.15 – 113.72 – 0.61%

No comments from Chris Weston today.

-Global bond yields extend their move up
-Rise in EU core yields also supported by higher-than-expected German CPI
-Higher yields dampen risk appetite. Global equities retreat
-USD stronger on higher US yields and safe-haven appeal
-ASX poised for a yet another weak opening

Higher-than-forecast inflation readings in Australia and Germany, plus sluggish demand for fresh US Treasuries, pushed bond yields higher across the globe on Wednesday, and equities have responded by heading south.

SPI futures are yet again signalling another weak opening for the local bourse today.

The Fed Beige book was released overnight and confirmed the economy and labour market are slowing with eight districts reporting slight growth — compared to five in April — and just two districts reporting modest or moderate growth, down from five.

But price action was led by bond yields, and they moved up (equities weaker in response).

Economists remain of the view the ECB stands ready to deliver a rate cut next week, which will be of global interest if/when they do/don’t.

European equities have now sunk to three-week lows. The Australian market has closed weaker in seven out of the past ten sessions.

Here's some technical background for the index: https://fnarena.com/index.php/2024/05/29/technical-views-on-nasdaq-asx200-wti-crude/

Ex-dividends the local ASX200 is still in the positive year-to-date, but that little surplus might be challenged today.

Locally, the big news is the Big Australian ((BHP)) won’t be pursuing the copper mines operated by Anglo American, at least not for the time being.

Also, Ramelius Resources ((RMS)) has reportedly approached Westgold Resources ((WGX)) for a potential $3b merger.

Reformed Lendlease ((LLC)) is already selling its first asset in the USA.

The Queensland Investment Corporation has launched a $129m sell down of Dalrymple Bay Infrastructure ((DBI)), underwritten by MacCap at a $2.58 per share.

Generation Development Group ((GDG)) plans to acquire the remaining shares of Lonsec

Yesterday

In yesterday’s session, shares in Lendlease slid -2.4% to $6.09 as investors digested the corporate restructuring including a $4.5bn plan to divest offshore operations and focus on Australia. FNArena has a story ready on Lendlease's plans, to be published shortly.

Shares in respirator company Fisher & Paykel Healthcare ((FPH)) gained 3.7% to $26.39 following a largely in-line FY24 performance, against the trend of the moment.

Base metal prices had a mixed session, with aluminium refusing to follow the pack (as is iron ore). Oil is struggling and gold was pushed back by US bond yields and a stronger USD.

Looking Ahead in Australia:

The calendar shows building approvals and business investment are scheduled for release. RBA Assistant Governor (Economic) Sarah Hunter speaks.

Life360 ((360)) and Sigma Healthcare ((SIG)) hold AGMS and Champion Iron ((CIA)) should release quarterly financials.

TechnologyOne ((TNE)) shares go ex-dividend.

Looking Ahead in the US:

Scheduled data include economic growth (GDP), jobless claims, pending home sales, inventories, and goods trade balance.

Earnings reports scheduled include Best Buy, Costco, Dollar General, Foot Locker, Hormel Foods, Kohl's, Marvell Technology, and Ulta Beauty.

Spot Metals,Minerals & Energy Futures
Gold (oz) 2336.40 – 24.50 – 1.04%
Silver (oz) 31.88 – 0.14 – 0.44%
Copper (lb) 4.72 – 0.03 – 0.58%
Aluminium (lb) 1.26 + 0.03 2.12%
Nickel (lb) 9.23 – 0.02 – 0.16%
Zinc (lb) 1.40 – 0.00 – 0.26%
West Texas Crude 79.28 – 1.00 – 1.25%
Brent Crude 83.38 – 0.93 – 1.10%
Iron Ore (t) 117.74 + 0.06 0.05%

The Australian share market over the past thirty days…

Index 29 May 2024 Week To Date Month To Date (May) Quarter To Date (Apr-Jun) Year To Date (2024)
S&P ASX 200 (ex-div) 7665.60 -0.80% 0.02% -2.93% 0.99%
BROKER RECOMMENDATION CHANGES PAST THREE TRADING DAYS
A2M a2 Milk Co Buy Citi
CMW Cromwell Property Accumulate Ord Minnett
DTL Data#3 Upgrade to Overweight from Equal-weight Morgan Stanley
HMC HMC Capital Upgrade to Outperform from Neutral Macquarie
KED Keypath Education International Downgrade to Neutral from Outperform Macquarie
PDN Paladin Energy Downgrade to Hold from Buy Bell Potter
PWR Peter Warren Automotive Downgrade to Sell from Neutral Citi
Downgrade to Hold from Buy Ord Minnett
SMP SmartPay Downgrade to Hold from Buy Bell Potter

For more detail go to FNArena's Australian Broker Call Report, which is updated each morning, Mon-Fri.

All overnight and intraday prices, average prices, currency conversions and charts for stock indices, currencies, commodities, bonds, VIX and more available on the FNArena website.  Click here. (Subscribers can access prices on the website.)

(Readers should note that all commentary, observations, names and calculations are provided for informative and educational purposes only. Investors should always consult with their licensed investment advisor first, before making any decisions. All views expressed are the author's and not by association FNArena's – see disclaimer on the website)

All paying members at FNArena are being reminded they can set an email alert specifically for The Overnight Report. Go to Portfolio and Alerts on the website and tick the box in front of The Overnight Report. You will receive an email alert every time a new Overnight Report has been published on the website.

Find out why FNArena subscribers like the service so much: "Your Feedback (Thank You)" – Warning this story contains unashamedly positive feedback on the service provided. www.fnarena.com

FNArena is proud about its track record and past achievements: Ten Years On

To share this story on social media platforms, click on the symbols below.

Click to view our Glossary of Financial Terms

CHARTS

360 BHP CIA DBI FPH GDG LLC RMS SIG TNE WGX

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: 360 - LIFE360 INC

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: BHP - BHP GROUP LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: CIA - CHAMPION IRON LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: DBI - DALRYMPLE BAY INFRASTRUCTURE LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: GDG - GENERATION DEVELOPMENT GROUP LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: LLC - LENDLEASE GROUP

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: RMS - RAMELIUS RESOURCES LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: SIG - SIGMA HEALTHCARE LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: TNE - TECHNOLOGY ONE LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: WGX - WESTGOLD RESOURCES LIMITED