The Overnight Report: Anxiety Rising

This story features PLATINUM ASSET MANAGEMENT LIMITED, and other companies. For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: PTM

SPI futures are suggesting another cautious, slightly weaker opening for the ASX today.

World Overnight
SPI Overnight 8199.00 – 22.00 – 0.27%
S&P ASX 200 8251.90 – 56.30 – 0.68%
S&P500 5955.25 – 28.00 – 0.47%
Nasdaq Comp 19026.39 – 260.54 – 1.35%
DJIA 43621.16 + 159.95 0.37%
S&P500 VIX 19.43 + 0.45 2.37%
US 10-year yield 4.30 – 0.10 – 2.16%
USD Index 106.18 – 0.36 – 0.34%
FTSE100 8668.67 + 9.69 0.11%
DAX30 22410.27 – 15.66 – 0.07%

Good morning.

That sound you are not hearing is anxiety creeping into global investors’ minds.

Elon Musk and US bond traders are not singing from the same song sheet. The Ukraine has reportedly agreed to the US administration’s proposal without guaranteed US protection.

US economic indicators are weakening. Disapproval is rising among US voters previously voting for change’.

US Treasuries had a fifth consecutive winning session overnight that saw prices move higher and yields lower.

US equities had a soft session in response following a third monthly decline in Conference Board consumer confidence and a lift in inflation expectations.

In Europe, the Euro Stoxx 50 closed down -0.1% and the FTSE100 gained 0.1%

The UK announced its intention to raise defence spending to 2.5% of GDP by 2027.

As explained by ANZ Bank economists this morning, US data suggest stagflation might become the next worry for investors.

“Growth concerns dominate the near-term outlook. The Conference Board consumer survey data follows the weak services PMI and a fall in University of Michigan consumer sentiment last week, and underscore rising concerns about weak growth coupled with a surge in inflation expectations.

“Inflation expectations are a closely watched metric at the Fed and a de-anchoring of inflation expectations for an extended period would risk undoing the progress on disinflation.”

Locally, the February results season is generating more ‘beats’ and ‘meets’ than ‘misses’ but there are plenty of proverbial car crashes around.

Platinum Asset Management ((PTM)) already revealed this morning it has not been able to stop the rot (i.e. fund outflows) with funds under management now at $11bn (January) from $16.2bn in December 2023.

Management says it remains on target to cut -$25m of costs from the business.

Also, Japanese company MIXI Inc has agreed to buy PointsBet ((PBT)) for a price of $1.06 per share – representing a premium of 27.7% to PointsBet’s most recent closing price.

On the local results calendar today we have Life360 ((360)), Bapcor ((BAP)), Harvey Norman ((HVN)), Integral Diagnostics ((IDX)), Tyro Payments ((TYR)), Worley ((WOR)) and WiseTech Global ((WTC)) among numerous others.

https://fnarena.com/index.php/financial-news/calendar/

On the calendar today:

-Australia Jan CPI

-US Jan Build permits

-US Jan new home sales

-Life360 ((360)) 4Q 2024 results

-Airtasker ((ART)) earnings report

-Attura ((ATA)) earnings report

Bapcor ((BAP)) earnings report

-Bendigo & Adelaide Bank ((BEN)) ex-div 30c (100%)

-Boss Energy ((BOE)) earnings report

-Downer EDI ((DOW)) ex-div 10.80c (75%)

-Emerald Resources ((EMR) earnings report

-Flight Centre ((FLT)) earnings report

(and more)

FNArena’s four-weekly calendar: https://fnarena.com/index.php/financial-news/calendar/

Corporate news in Australia:

-HMC Capital ((HMC)) hires Macquarie ((MQG)) for Healthscope takeover bid

-Dalrymple Bay Infrastructure ((DBI)) eyes acquisitions, with BHP Group’s ((BHP)) Hay Point Coal Terminal and Port of Newcastle as possible targets

Spot Metals,Minerals & Energy Futures
Gold (oz) 2925.52 – 39.07 – 1.32%
Silver (oz) 31.97 – 0.71 – 2.17%
Copper (lb) 4.56 + 0.00 0.03%
Aluminium (lb) 1.19 – 0.01 – 0.63%
Nickel (lb) 6.90 + 0.01 0.20%
Zinc (lb) 1.26 – 0.02 – 1.47%
West Texas Crude 69.09 – 1.73 – 2.44%
Brent Crude 72.65 – 1.68 – 2.26%
Iron Ore (t) 107.17 – 0.02 – 0.02%

The Australian share market over the past thirty days

Index 25 Feb 2025 Week To Date Month To Date (Feb) Quarter To Date (Jan-Mar) Year To Date (2025)
S&P ASX 200 (ex-div) 8251.90 -0.53% -3.29% 1.14% 1.14%
BROKER RECOMMENDATION CHANGES PAST THREE TRADING DAYS
ABB Aussie Broadband Upgrade to Buy from Neutral UBS
APA APA Group Upgrade to Neutral from Sell UBS
ASB Austal Downgrade to Neutral from Buy Citi
AX1 Accent Group Upgrade to Buy from Neutral Citi
Downgrade to Hold from Add Morgans
DHG Domain Holdings Australia Downgrade to Hold from Buy Bell Potter
GMD Genesis Minerals Downgrade to Hold from Buy Bell Potter
GOR Gold Road Resources Downgrade to Hold from Buy Ord Minnett
GYG Guzman y Gomez Upgrade to Add from Hold Morgans
HMC HMC Capital Upgrade to Add from Hold Morgans
HMY Harmoney Upgrade to Buy from Accumulate Ord Minnett
ING Inghams Group Downgrade to Hold from Add Morgans
IRE Iress Upgrade to Outperform from Neutral Macquarie
JIN Jumbo Interactive Upgrade to Outperform from Neutral Macquarie
Downgrade to Hold from Buy Bell Potter
LAU Lindsay Australia Downgrade to Hold from Add Morgans
MIN Mineral Resources Upgrade to Buy from Accumulate Ord Minnett
NAN Nanosonics Upgrade to Add from Hold Morgans
NWL Netwealth Group Upgrade to Accumulate from Hold Ord Minnett
PPE PeopleIN Upgrade to Add from Hold Morgans
QUB Qube Holdings Downgrade to Neutral from Buy UBS
REH Reece Upgrade to Hold from Reduce Morgans
Upgrade to Hold from Lighten Ord Minnett
RMS Ramelius Resources Downgrade to Neutral from Outperform Macquarie
SSM Service Stream Upgrade to Outperform from Neutral Macquarie
Downgrade to Hold from Accumulate Ord Minnett
SUL Super Retail Upgrade to Buy from Hold Ord Minnett
TAH Tabcorp Holdings Upgrade to Add from Hold Morgans
TLS Telstra Group Downgrade to Hold from Buy Bell Potter
Downgrade to Neutral from Outperform Macquarie
TLX Telix Pharmaceuticals Upgrade to Buy from Hold Bell Potter
TRS Reject Shop Downgrade to Hold from Add Morgans

For more detail go to FNArena’s Australian Broker Call Report, which is updated each morning, Mon-Fri.

All overnight and intraday prices, average prices, currency conversions and charts for stock indices, currencies, commodities, bonds, VIX and more available on the FNArena website.  Click here. (Subscribers can access prices on the website.)

(Readers should note that all commentary, observations, names and calculations are provided for informative and educational purposes only. Investors should always consult with their licensed investment advisor first, before making any decisions. All views expressed are the author’s and not by association FNArena’s – see disclaimer on the website)

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CHARTS

360 ART ATA BAP BEN BHP BOE DBI DOW FLT HMC HVN IDX MQG PTM TYR WOR WTC

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: 360 - LIFE360 INC

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: ART - AIRTASKER LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: ATA - ATTURRA LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: BAP - BAPCOR LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: BEN - BENDIGO & ADELAIDE BANK LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: BHP - BHP GROUP LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: BOE - BOSS ENERGY LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: DBI - DALRYMPLE BAY INFRASTRUCTURE LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: DOW - DOWNER EDI LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: FLT - FLIGHT CENTRE TRAVEL GROUP LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: HMC - HMC CAPITAL LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: HVN - HARVEY NORMAN HOLDINGS LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: IDX - INTEGRAL DIAGNOSTICS LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: MQG - MACQUARIE GROUP LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: PTM - PLATINUM ASSET MANAGEMENT LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: TYR - TYRO PAYMENTS LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: WOR - WORLEY LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: WTC - WISETECH GLOBAL LIMITED