AMPOL LIMITED (ALD)
Share Price Analysis and Chart

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ALD - AMPOL LIMITED

FNArena Sector : Consumer Products & Services
Year End: December
GICS Industry Group : Energy
Debt/EBITDA: 2.95
Index: ASX100 | ASX200 | ASX300 | ALL-ORDS

Ampol (previously branded as Caltex Australia) is an Australian petroleum company first incorporated in 1936 in New South Wales. The company first listed on the ASX in 1948.

LAST PRICE CHANGE +/- CHANGE % VOLUME

$33.42

22 Jul
2024

0.030

OPEN

$33.39

0.09%

HIGH

$33.60

604,764

LOW

$33.12

TARGET
$35.938 7.5% upside
Franking for last dividend paid out: 100%
OTHER COMPANIES IN THE SAME SECTOR
MMM . PFP . WES .
FNARENA'S MARKET CONSENSUS FORECASTS
ALD: 1
Title FY22
Actual
FY23
Actual
FY24
Forecast
FY25
Forecast
EPS (cps) xxx 230.4 258.9 xxx
DPS (cps) xxx 275.0 243.3 xxx
EPS Growth xxx - 27.5% 12.3% xxx
DPS Growth xxx 0.0% - 11.5% xxx
PE Ratio xxx N/A 13.0 xxx
Dividend Yield xxx N/A 7.3% xxx
Div Pay Ratio(%) xxx 119.3% 94.0% xxx

Dividend yield today if purchased 3 years ago: 9.56%

DIVIDEND YIELD CALCULATOR

Dividend Yield Today On Last Actual Payout :

8.20

Estimated Dividend Growth
(Average Of Past Three Years)

 %

Amount Invested

Tell Me The Dividend After This Many Years

Past performance is no guarantee for the future. Investors should take into account that heavy swings in share price or exceptional circumstances (a la 2009) can have a significant impact on short term calculations and averages

Last ex-div: 01/03 - ex-div 180c (franking 100%)

HISTORICAL DATA ARE ALL IN AUD
Copyright © 2024 FactSet UK Limited. All rights reserved
Title 201820192020202120222023
EPS Basic xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx230.4
DPS All xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx275.0
Sales/Revenue xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx37,454.5 M
Book Value Per Share xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx1,493.5
Net Operating Cash Flow xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx1,504.0 M
Net Profit Margin xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx1.47 %

EPS Basic

DPS All

Sales/Revenue

Book Value Per Share

Net Operating Cash Flow

Net Profit Margin

Title 201820192020202120222023
Return on Capital Employed xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx15.27 %
Return on Invested Capital xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx8.02 %
Return on Assets xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx4.13 %
Return on Equity xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx15.27 %
Return on Total Capital xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx10.36 %
Free Cash Flow ex dividends xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx381.1 M

Return on Capital Employed

Return on Invested Capital

Return on Assets

Return on Equity

Return on Total Capital

Free Cash Flow ex dividends

Title 201820192020202120222023
Short-Term Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx296 M
Long Term Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx3,399 M
Total Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx3,695 M
Goodwill - Gross xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx688 M
Cash & Equivalents - Generic xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx301 M
Price To Book Value xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx2.42

Short-Term Debt

Long Term Debt

Total Debt

Goodwill - Gross

Cash & Equivalents - Generic

Price To Book Value

Title 201820192020202120222023
Capex xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx539.3 M
Capex % of Sales xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx1.44 %
Cost of Goods Sold xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx35,014 M
Selling, General & Admin. Exp & Other xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx1,647 M
Research & Development xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-
Investments - Total xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx311 M

Capex

Capex % of Sales

Cost of Goods Sold

Selling, General & Admin. Exp & Other

Research & Development

Investments - Total

EXPERT VIEWS
Display All Commentary

Sentiment Indicator

0.3

No. Of Recommendations

4
BROKER DATE RATING RECOMMENDATION TARGET PRICE % TO REACH TARGET COMMENTARY

UBS

xx/xx/xxxx

3

xxxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Morgan Stanley

xx/xx/xxxx

3

xxxxx-xxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Ord Minnett

11/07/2024

3

Downgrade to Hold from Buy

$36.50

9.22%

A general sector update on energy companies shows Ampol is currently rated Hold versus Buy on July 3.

FORECAST
Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 317.00 cents and EPS of 310.00 cents.
Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 344.00 cents and EPS of 313.00 cents.

Macquarie

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxxxxxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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EXTRA COVERAGE
Display All Commentary

No. Of Recommendations

1

Please note: unlike Broker Call Report, BC Extra is not updated daily. The info you see might not be the latest. FNArena does its best to update ASAP.

BROKER DATE RATING RECOMMENDATION TARGET PRICE % TO REACH TARGET COMMENTARY

Goldman Sachs

28/02/2024

1

Buy

$36.80

10.11%

Ampol's FY23 earnings (EBITDA) missed Goldman Sachs' forecast by -1%, but profit was a 2% beat. Convenience Retail shop profit remained relatively stable as fuel margins continued a strong performance over the 2H, explains the broker.

The Convenience Retail fuel and shop margin improved by 3%, largely driven by fuel margins, explain the analysts, which remained strong over the 2H as shop profit remained resilient to declining tobacco sales.

The Lytton Refinery achieved a US$13.33/bbl gross margin in January, slightly ahead of the broker's US$12.7/bbl estimate for Q1.

A total dividend of 180cps was declared, including a 60cps special dividend. The broker's target eases to $36.80 from $37.10. Buy.

FORECAST
Goldman Sachs forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 170.00 cents and EPS of 243.20 cents.
Goldman Sachs forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 163.00 cents and EPS of 233.00 cents.

ALD STOCK CHART