LOVISA HOLDINGS LIMITED (LOV)
Share Price Analysis and Chart

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LOV - LOVISA HOLDINGS LIMITED

FNArena Sector : Retailing
Year End: June
GICS Industry Group : Retailing
Debt/EBITDA: 1.61
Index: ASX200 | ASX300 | ALL-ORDS

Lovisa is an Australian retailer of fashion jewellery and accessories. It has stores in Australia, New Zealand, Asia, Europe and South Africa, but management is constantly on the look out to enter more geographies. The company has been listed since 2014. Has been one of the fastest growing retailers on the ASX since.

LAST PRICE CHANGE +/- CHANGE % VOLUME

$28.93

02 Dec
2024

-0.480

OPEN

$29.80

-1.63%

HIGH

$29.88

277,377

LOW

$28.93

TARGET
$31.00 7.2% upside
OTHER COMPANIES IN THE SAME SECTOR
ATG . KGN . TOY .
FNARENA'S MARKET CONSENSUS FORECASTS
LOV: 1
Title FY23
Actual		 FY24
Actual		 FY25
Forecast		 FY26
Forecast
EPS (cps) xxx 75.4 91.6 xxx
DPS (cps) xxx 87.0 82.5 xxx
EPS Growth xxx 19.2% 21.5% xxx
DPS Growth xxx 26.1% - 5.2% xxx
PE Ratio xxx N/A 31.9 xxx
Dividend Yield xxx N/A 2.8% xxx
Div Pay Ratio(%) xxx 115.4% 90.0% xxx

Dividend yield today if purchased 3 years ago: 4.27%

DIVIDEND YIELD CALCULATOR

Dividend Yield Today On Last Actual Payout :

 2.98

Estimated Dividend Growth
(Average Of Past Three Years)

  %

Amount Invested

 $ 

Tell Me The Dividend After This Many Years
Past performance is no guarantee for the future. Investors should take into account that heavy swings in share price or exceptional circumstances (a la 2009) can have a significant impact on short term calculations and averages

Last ex-div: 13/09 - (franking ex-di

HISTORICAL DATA ARE ALL IN AUD
Copyright © 2024 FactSet UK Limited. All rights reserved
Title 201920202021202220232024
EPS Basic xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx75.4
DPS All xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx87.0
Sales/Revenue xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx698.7 M
Book Value Per Share xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx73.2
Net Operating Cash Flow xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx187.5 M
Net Profit Margin xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx11.80 %

EPS Basic

DPS All

Sales/Revenue

Book Value Per Share

Net Operating Cash Flow

Net Profit Margin

Title 201920202021202220232024
Return on Capital Employed xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx102.84 %
Return on Invested Capital xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx21.24 %
Return on Assets xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx15.58 %
Return on Equity xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx102.84 %
Return on Total Capital xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx29.14 %
Free Cash Flow ex dividends xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx60.2 M

Return on Capital Employed

Return on Invested Capital

Return on Assets

Return on Equity

Return on Total Capital

Free Cash Flow ex dividends

Title 201920202021202220232024
Short-Term Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx58 M
Long Term Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx301 M
Total Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx359 M
Goodwill - Gross xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-
Cash & Equivalents - Generic xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx21 M
Price To Book Value xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx44.91

Short-Term Debt

Long Term Debt

Total Debt

Goodwill - Gross

Cash & Equivalents - Generic

Price To Book Value

Title 201920202021202220232024
Capex xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx38.6 M
Capex % of Sales xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx5.53 %
Cost of Goods Sold xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx432 M
Selling, General & Admin. Exp & Other xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx136 M
Research & Development xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-
Investments - Total xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx0 M

Capex

Capex % of Sales

Cost of Goods Sold

Selling, General & Admin. Exp & Other

Research & Development

Investments - Total

EXPERT VIEWS
Display All Commentary

Sentiment Indicator

0.1

No. Of Recommendations

7
BROKER DATE RATING RECOMMENDATION TARGET PRICE % TO REACH TARGET COMMENTARY

Bell Potter

xx/xx/xxxx

3

xxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Morgans

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Citi

xx/xx/xxxx

5

xxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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UBS

25/11/2024

3

Neutral

$29.00

0.24%

Lovisa Holdings' trading update at the AGM revealed a slowdown in sales growth in weeks 9-20 year-to-date for FY25 compared to the first eight weeks.

UBS notes the comps the company is cycling will make FY25 results more challenging, with a risk of like-for-like sales growth remaining soft.

Lovisa Holdings also opened fewer stores (both gross and net) in the first 20 weeks compared to the same period in FY24. The analyst highlights a skew toward lower-sales-per-store franchised markets and less toward higher-sales-per-store markets.

UBS retains a Neutral rating and a $29 target price.

FORECAST
UBS forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 90.00 cents and EPS of 89.00 cents.
UBS forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 103.00 cents and EPS of 101.00 cents.

Morgan Stanley

xx/xx/xxxx

3

xxxxx-xxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Ord Minnett

xx/xx/xxxx

3

xxxxxxx xx xxxx xxxx xxxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Macquarie

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxxxxxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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EXTRA COVERAGE
Display All Commentary

No. Of Recommendations

3

Please note: unlike Broker Call Report, BC Extra is not updated daily. The info you see might not be the latest. FNArena does its best to update ASAP.

BROKER DATE RATING RECOMMENDATION TARGET PRICE % TO REACH TARGET COMMENTARY

Jarden

xx/xx/xxxx

2

xxxxxxx xx xxxxxxxxxx xxxx xxxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Canaccord Genuity

04/09/2024

3

Hold

$31.20

7.85%

Lovisa Holdings delivered few surprises in its FY24 result yet Canaccord Genuity notes the market was expecting more and as a result was left disappointed.

The focus will remain on the roll-out and the extent to which the business can balance store openings with cost pressures. Management remains confident in its ability to grow its global footprint.

Caution prevails for the broker and a Hold rating is retained. Target is raised to $31.20 from $29.00.

FORECAST
Canaccord Genuity forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 90.00 cents and EPS of 89.00 cents.
Canaccord Genuity forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 95.00 cents and EPS of 103.00 cents.

Wilsons

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxxxxxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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LOV STOCK CHART

FNArena News on LOV

1
Weekly Ratings, Targets, Forecast Changes – 29-11-24

Dec 02 2024 - Weekly Reports
2
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4
Australian Broker Call *Extra* Edition – Nov 27, 2024

Nov 27 2024 - Daily Market Reports
5
Weekly Ratings, Targets, Forecast Changes – 22-11-24

Nov 25 2024 - Weekly Reports

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