LOVISA HOLDINGS LIMITED (LOV)
Share Price Analysis and Chart

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LOV - LOVISA HOLDINGS LIMITED

FNArena Sector : Retailing

Year End: June

GICS Industry Group : Retailing

Debt/EBITDA: 1.61

Index: ASX200 | ASX300 | ALL-ORDS

Lovisa is an Australian retailer of fashion jewellery and accessories. It has stores in Australia, New Zealand, Asia, Europe and South Africa, but management is constantly on the look out to enter more geographies. The company has been listed since 2014. Has been one of the fastest growing retailers on the ASX since.

LAST PRICE	CHANGE +/-	CHANGE %	VOLUME
$24.00 31 Mar 2025	-0.720 OPEN $24.25	-2.91% HIGH $24.38	156,892 LOW $24.00

TARGET

$30.251

26.0% upside

OTHER COMPANIES IN THE SAME SECTOR
ATG . KGN . TOY .

FNARENA'S MARKET CONSENSUS FORECASTS

Title	FY23 Actual	FY24 Actual	FY25 Forecast	FY26 Forecast
EPS (cps)	xxx	75.4	83.0	xxx
DPS (cps)	xxx	87.0	79.0	xxx
EPS Growth	xxx	19.2%	10.0%	xxx
DPS Growth	xxx	26.1%	- 9.3%	xxx
PE Ratio	xxx	N/A	28.8	xxx
Dividend Yield	xxx	N/A	3.3%	xxx
Div Pay Ratio(%)	xxx	115.4%	95.2%	xxx

Dividend yield today if purchased 3 years ago: 4.75%

DIVIDEND YIELD CALCULATOR

Past performance is no guarantee for the future. Investors should take into account that heavy swings in share price or exceptional circumstances (a la 2009) can have a significant impact on short term calculations and averages

Last ex-div: 13/09 - (franking ex-di

HISTORICAL DATA ARE ALL IN AUD

Copyright © 2025 FactSet UK Limited. All rights reserved

Title	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024
EPS Basic	xxx	xxx	xxx	xxx	xxx	75.4
DPS All	xxx	xxx	xxx	xxx	xxx	87.0
Sales/Revenue	xxx	xxx	xxx	xxx	xxx	698.7 M
Book Value Per Share	xxx	xxx	xxx	xxx	xxx	73.2
Net Operating Cash Flow	xxx	xxx	xxx	xxx	xxx	187.5 M
Net Profit Margin	xxx	xxx	xxx	xxx	xxx	11.80 %

EPS Basic

Negative
Growth
Slowing

DPS All

Negative
Growth
Slowing

Sales/Revenue

Negative
Growth
Slowing

Book Value Per Share

Negative
Growth
Slowing

Net Operating Cash Flow

Negative
Growth
Slowing

Net Profit Margin

Negative
Growth
Slowing

Title	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024
Return on Capital Employed	xxx	xxx	xxx	xxx	xxx	102.84 %
Return on Invested Capital	xxx	xxx	xxx	xxx	xxx	21.24 %
Return on Assets	xxx	xxx	xxx	xxx	xxx	15.58 %
Return on Equity	xxx	xxx	xxx	xxx	xxx	102.84 %
Return on Total Capital	xxx	xxx	xxx	xxx	xxx	29.14 %
Free Cash Flow ex dividends	xxx	xxx	xxx	xxx	xxx	60.2 M

Return on Capital Employed

Negative
Growth
Slowing

Return on Invested Capital

Negative
Growth
Slowing

Return on Assets

Negative
Growth
Slowing

Return on Equity

Negative
Growth
Slowing

Return on Total Capital

Negative
Growth
Slowing

Free Cash Flow ex dividends

Negative
Growth
Slowing

Title	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024
Short-Term Debt	xxx	xxx	xxx	xxx	xxx	58 M
Long Term Debt	xxx	xxx	xxx	xxx	xxx	301 M
Total Debt	xxx	xxx	xxx	xxx	xxx	359 M
Goodwill - Gross	xxx	xxx	xxx	xxx	xxx	-
Cash & Equivalents - Generic	xxx	xxx	xxx	xxx	xxx	21 M
Price To Book Value	xxx	xxx	xxx	xxx	xxx	44.91

Short-Term Debt

Negative
Growth
Slowing

Long Term Debt

Negative
Growth
Slowing

Total Debt

Negative
Growth
Slowing

Goodwill - Gross

Cash & Equivalents - Generic

Negative
Growth
Slowing

Price To Book Value

Negative
Growth
Slowing

Title	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024
Capex	xxx	xxx	xxx	xxx	xxx	38.6 M
Capex % of Sales	xxx	xxx	xxx	xxx	xxx	5.53 %
Cost of Goods Sold	xxx	xxx	xxx	xxx	xxx	432 M
Selling, General & Admin. Exp & Other	xxx	xxx	xxx	xxx	xxx	136 M
Research & Development	xxx	xxx	xxx	xxx	xxx	-
Investments - Total	xxx	xxx	xxx	xxx	xxx	0 M

Capex

Negative
Growth
Slowing

Capex % of Sales

Negative
Growth
Slowing

Cost of Goods Sold

Negative
Growth
Slowing

Selling, General & Admin. Exp & Other

Negative
Growth
Slowing

Research & Development

Investments - Total

Negative
Growth
Slowing

Negative

Growth

Slowing

EXPERT VIEWS
EXTRA COVERAGE

EXPERT VIEWS

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Sentiment Indicator

0.3

No. Of Recommendations

BROKER	DATE	RATING	RECOMMENDATION	TARGET PRICE	% TO REACH TARGET	COMMENTARY
Citi	xx/xx/xxxx	5	xxxx	$xx.xx	xx.xx%	Broker commentary and detailed analysis is available for Full Members Only. Login above or Get a Free Trial
Bell Potter	xx/xx/xxxx	1	xxx	$xx.xx	xx.xx%	Broker commentary and detailed analysis is available for Full Members Only. Login above or Get a Free Trial
Ord Minnett	xx/xx/xxxx	3	xxxx	$xx.xx	xx.xx%	Broker commentary and detailed analysis is available for Full Members Only. Login above or Get a Free Trial
UBS	25/02/2025	5	Sell	$27.00	12.50%	Lovisa Holdings delivered a mixed result in the first half, UBS assesses. Revenues in Asia, Africa, Europe and Australasia were below the market forecasts and partially offset by stronger Americas. The broker reduces estimates for EPS by -2.4% in FY25 because of higher costs, net interest and effective tax rate. A Sell rating is maintained because of concerns about the pace and size of recovery in like-for-like sales and net new store growth. The broker finds the risk/reward not compelling and holds a $27 target. FORECAST UBS forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 79.00 cents and EPS of 82.00 cents. UBS forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 92.00 cents and EPS of 96.00 cents.
Morgan Stanley	xx/xx/xxxx	1	xxxxxxxxxx	$xx.xx	xx.xx%	Broker commentary and detailed analysis is available for Full Members Only. Login above or Get a Free Trial
Macquarie	xx/xx/xxxx	1	xxxxxxxxxx	$xx.xx	xx.xx%	Broker commentary and detailed analysis is available for Full Members Only. Login above or Get a Free Trial
Morgans	xx/xx/xxxx	1	xxx	$xx.xx	xx.xx%	Broker commentary and detailed analysis is available for Full Members Only. Login above or Get a Free Trial

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EXTRA COVERAGE

Display All Commentary

No. Of Recommendations

Please note: unlike Broker Call Report, BC Extra is not updated daily. The info you see might not be the latest. FNArena does its best to update ASAP.

BROKER	DATE	RATING	RECOMMENDATION	TARGET PRICE	% TO REACH TARGET	COMMENTARY
Jarden	xx/xx/xxxx	2	xxxxxxxxxx	$xx.xx	xx.xx%	Broker commentary and detailed analysis is available for Full Members Only. Login above or Get a Free Trial
Canaccord Genuity	03/03/2025	3	Hold	$28.70	19.58%	The strength of gross profit execution continues to be a feature of Lovisa Holdings' results, with gross margin eclipsing 82% for the first time, Canaccord Genuity comments. Quite astoundingly, says Canaccord Genuity, cost of goods sold was down and incremental gross profit dollars were greater than incremental sales. In the period, Lovisa added 57 new stores, relocated 2 and closed 12 for net new store growth of 43. Roll out was weakest in US, with only 2 net new stores on a closing network base of 209, the broker observes. The extent to which recent performance can be held is important to growth over the coming periods, Canaccord suggests. Target rises to $28.70 from $25.80, Hold retained. FORECAST Canaccord Genuity forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 80.00 cents and EPS of 82.00 cents. Canaccord Genuity forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 85.00 cents and EPS of 91.00 cents.
Wilsons	xx/xx/xxxx	1	xxxxxxxxxx	$xx.xx	xx.xx%	Broker commentary and detailed analysis is available for Full Members Only. Login above or Get a Free Trial

BROKER

DATE

RATING

RECOMMENDATION

TARGET PRICE

% TO REACH TARGET

COMMENTARY

Jarden

xx/xx/xxxx

xxxxxxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

Broker commentary and detailed analysis is available for Full Members Only.
Login above or Get a Free Trial

Canaccord Genuity

03/03/2025

Hold

$28.70

19.58%

The strength of gross profit execution continues to be a feature of Lovisa Holdings' results, with gross margin eclipsing 82% for the first time, Canaccord Genuity comments.

Quite astoundingly, says Canaccord Genuity, cost of goods sold was down and incremental gross profit dollars were greater than incremental sales.

In the period, Lovisa added 57 new stores, relocated 2 and closed 12 for net new store growth of 43. Roll out was weakest in US, with only 2 net new stores on a closing network base of 209, the broker observes.

The extent to which recent performance can be held is important to growth over the coming periods, Canaccord suggests. Target rises to $28.70 from $25.80, Hold retained.

FORECAST
Canaccord Genuity forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 80.00 cents and EPS of 82.00 cents.
Canaccord Genuity forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 85.00 cents and EPS of 91.00 cents.

Wilsons

xx/xx/xxxx

xxxxxxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

Broker commentary and detailed analysis is available for Full Members Only.
Login above or Get a Free Trial

Access Extra Coverage Research History >

LOV STOCK CHART

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Dividend Yield Today On Last Actual Payout :	3.64
Estimated Dividend Growth (Average Of Past Three Years)	%
Amount Invested	$
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LOVISA HOLDINGS LIMITED (LOV)
Share Price Analysis and Chart