RIO TINTO LIMITED (RIO)
Share Price Analysis and Chart

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RIO

RIO - RIO TINTO LIMITED

FNArena Sector : Bulks
Year End: December
GICS Industry Group : Materials
Debt/EBITDA: 0.75
Index: ASX20 | ASX50 | ASX100 | ASX200 | ASX300 | ALL-ORDS

Rio Tinto is an Anglo-Australian multinational and the world's second largest metals and mining company behind BHP. It produces iron ore, copper, diamonds, gold, titanium dioxide and zircon, uranium, and more. It has been a listed entity since 1962.

LAST PRICE CHANGE +/- CHANGE % VOLUME

$108.80

04 Jul
2025

-1.450

OPEN

$108.31

-1.32%

HIGH

$109.13

1,646,375

LOW

$107.67

TARGET
$115.917 6.5% upside
Franking for last dividend paid out: 100%
OTHER COMPANIES IN THE SAME SECTOR
BHP .
FNARENA'S MARKET CONSENSUS FORECASTS
RIO: 1
Title FY25
Forecast
FY26
Forecast
EPS (cps) 956.1 xxx
DPS (cps) 593.6 xxx
EPS Growth N/A xxx
DPS Growth N/A xxx
PE Ratio 11.4 xxx
Dividend Yield 5.5% xxx
Div Pay Ratio(%) 62.1% xxx
This company reports in USD.
All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Dividend yield today if purchased 3 years ago: 6.57%

DIVIDEND YIELD CALCULATOR

Dividend Yield Today On Last Actual Payout :

5.64

Estimated Dividend Growth
(Average Of Past Three Years)

 %

Amount Invested

Tell Me The Dividend After This Many Years

Past performance is no guarantee for the future. Investors should take into account that heavy swings in share price or exceptional circumstances (a la 2009) can have a significant impact on short term calculations and averages

Last ex-div: 15/08 - ex-div 269.98c (franking 100%)

HISTORICAL DATA ARE ALL IN AUD
Copyright © 2025 FactSet UK Limited. All rights reserved
Title 201920202021202220232024
EPS Basic xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx1,079.0
DPS All xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx598.2
Sales/Revenue xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx81,349.4 M
Book Value Per Share xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx5,495.7
Net Operating Cash Flow xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx24,372.4 M
Net Profit Margin xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx21.53 %

EPS Basic

DPS All

Sales/Revenue

Book Value Per Share

Net Operating Cash Flow

Net Profit Margin

Title 201920202021202220232024
Return on Capital Employed xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx20.70 %
Return on Invested Capital xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx16.67 %
Return on Assets xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx11.02 %
Return on Equity xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx20.70 %
Return on Total Capital xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx17.95 %
Free Cash Flow ex dividends xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-864.2 M

Return on Capital Employed

Return on Invested Capital

Return on Assets

Return on Equity

Return on Total Capital

Free Cash Flow ex dividends

Title 201920202021202220232024
Short-Term Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx862 M
Long Term Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx21,515 M
Total Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx22,377 M
Goodwill - Gross xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx24,161 M
Cash & Equivalents - Generic xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx14,397 M
Price To Book Value xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx2.14

Short-Term Debt

Long Term Debt

Total Debt

Goodwill - Gross

Cash & Equivalents - Generic

Price To Book Value

Title 201920202021202220232024
Capex xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx14,586.1 M
Capex % of Sales xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx17.93 %
Cost of Goods Sold xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx60,036 M
Selling, General & Admin. Exp & Other xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx1,606 M
Research & Development xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx603 M
Investments - Total xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx9,573 M

Capex

Capex % of Sales

Cost of Goods Sold

Selling, General & Admin. Exp & Other

Research & Development

Investments - Total

EXPERT VIEWS
Display All Commentary

Sentiment Indicator

0.2

No. Of Recommendations

6
BROKER DATE RATING RECOMMENDATION TARGET PRICE % TO REACH TARGET COMMENTARY

UBS

xx/xx/xxxx

3

xxxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Morgan Stanley

xx/xx/xxxx

3

xxxxx-xxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Ord Minnett

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Morgans

23/06/2025

3

Downgrade to Hold from Accumulate

$108.00

-0.74%

Morgans downgrades Rio Tinto to Hold from Accumulate with the new target price set at $108 from $119.

The broker has revised down iron ore forecasts to US$89/t for FY26, with the long-term price unchanged at US$77/t, and has downgraded the sector view to Neutral from Overweight. The iron ore price is expected to slip to the mid-US$80s/t in 2H 2025, prior to a supply-side response.

Morgans explains Chinese export profits are under pressure from tariffs, and Beijing is anticipated to adopt an enforcement policy on high-emission mills to cut production.

The analyst highlights that around 70% of 2025 expected earnings (EBITDA) for the company is generated from iron ore, underwriting circa 6% variance in earnings for every US$5/t move in the iron ore price, either up or down.

Morgans emphasises risks around rising costs for Pilbara, execution on Simandou, Canadian tariffs, Mongolian rents, and instability in Guinea, which leaves the company with little room on earnings if the iron ore price moves lower than US$85/t.

FORECAST
Morgans forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 508.03 cents and EPS of 903.34 cents.
Morgans forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 518.84 cents and EPS of 897.16 cents.

Citi

xx/xx/xxxx

3

xxxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Macquarie

xx/xx/xxxx

3

xxxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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EXTRA COVERAGE
Display All Commentary

No. Of Recommendations

0

Please note: unlike Broker Call Report, BC Extra is not updated daily. The info you see might not be the latest. FNArena does its best to update ASAP.

BROKER DATE RATING RECOMMENDATION TARGET PRICE % TO REACH TARGET COMMENTARY

RIO STOCK CHART