BHP GROUP LIMITED (BHP)
Share Price Analysis and Chart

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BHP

BHP - BHP GROUP LIMITED

FNArena Sector : Bulks
Year End: June
GICS Industry Group : Materials
Debt/EBITDA: 0.98
Index: ASX20 | ASX50 | ASX100 | ASX200 | ASX300 | ALL-ORDS

BHP Group is an Anglo-Australian multinational bulks, metals and (soon to be) potash producer. BHP is Australia's largest company by market cap, representing circa 11% of the ASX200. As the Broken Hill Proprietary Co it was first listed in August 1885.

LAST PRICE CHANGE +/- CHANGE % VOLUME

$44.54

10 Dec
2025

0.240

OPEN

$44.39

0.54%

HIGH

$44.81

5,975,056

LOW

$44.13

TARGET
$45.317 1.7% upside
Franking for last dividend paid out: 100%
OTHER COMPANIES IN THE SAME SECTOR
RIO .
FNARENA'S MARKET CONSENSUS FORECASTS
BHP: 1
Title FY26
Forecast		 FY27
Forecast
EPS (cps) 326.4 xxx
DPS (cps) 174.2 xxx
EPS Growth N/A xxx
DPS Growth N/A xxx
PE Ratio 13.8 xxx
Dividend Yield 3.9% xxx
Div Pay Ratio(%) 53.4% xxx
This company reports in USD.
All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Dividend yield today if purchased 3 years ago: 3.49%

DIVIDEND YIELD CALCULATOR

Dividend Yield Today On Last Actual Payout :

 3.69

Estimated Dividend Growth
(Average Of Past Three Years)

  %

Amount Invested

 $ 

Tell Me The Dividend After This Many Years
Past performance is no guarantee for the future. Investors should take into account that heavy swings in share price or exceptional circumstances (a la 2009) can have a significant impact on short term calculations and averages

Last ex-div: 12/09 - ex-div 109.21c (franking 100%)

HISTORICAL DATA ARE ALL IN AUD
Copyright © 2025 FactSet UK Limited. All rights reserved
Title 202020212022202320242025
EPS Basic 234.7299.7619.6379.3237.8274.5
DPS All 174.9402.7987.1261.4220.6171.0
Sales/Revenue 64,040.5 M81,530.2 M89,766.7 M80,007.7 M84,936.7 M79,153.1 M
Book Value Per Share 1,376.61,350.31,291.71,319.91,323.31,433.1
Net Operating Cash Flow 23,428.7 M36,509.4 M44,366.2 M27,802.1 M31,535.8 M28,862.1 M
Net Profit Margin 18.53 %18.59 %31.10 %24.01 %14.19 %17.59 %

EPS Basic

DPS All

Sales/Revenue

Book Value Per Share

Net Operating Cash Flow

Net Profit Margin

Title 202020212022202320242025
Return on Capital Employed 17.33 %21.98 %41.77 %29.06 %17.99 %19.92 %
Return on Invested Capital 11.75 %15.59 %31.33 %21.94 %13.05 %13.79 %
Return on Assets 8.02 %10.20 %19.70 %13.22 %7.89 %8.72 %
Return on Equity 17.33 %21.98 %41.77 %29.06 %17.99 %19.92 %
Return on Total Capital 21.20 %40.52 %46.27 %32.59 %33.33 %26.78 %
Free Cash Flow ex dividends 2,879.0 M17,061.6 M11,676.9 M-1,932.7 M6,369.7 M4,464.0 M

Return on Capital Employed

Return on Invested Capital

Return on Assets

Return on Equity

Return on Total Capital

Free Cash Flow ex dividends

Title 202020212022202320242025
Short-Term Debt 7,280 M3,500 M3,813 M10,776 M3,120 M3,079 M
Long Term Debt 32,006 M24,449 M20,077 M22,793 M27,901 M34,299 M
Total Debt 39,285 M27,949 M23,890 M33,569 M31,022 M37,379 M
Goodwill - Gross 359 M1,594 M1,741 M2,087 M2,083 M2,123 M
Cash & Equivalents - Generic 19,553 M20,312 M25,506 M18,714 M19,105 M18,566 M
Price To Book Value 2.603.603.193.413.232.56

Short-Term Debt

Long Term Debt

Total Debt

Goodwill - Gross

Cash & Equivalents - Generic

Price To Book Value

Title 202020212022202320242025
Capex 11,396.6 M9,544.9 M8,426.7 M10,530.0 M14,151.0 M15,122.8 M
Capex % of Sales 17.80 %11.71 %9.39 %13.16 %16.66 %19.11 %
Cost of Goods Sold 33,568 M34,961 M35,006 M38,879 M41,080 M42,251 M
Selling, General & Admin. Exp & Other 6,681 M2,570 M9,227 M8,333 M8,691 M7,229 M
Research & Development ------
Investments - Total 7,418 M4,465 M3,231 M4,109 M4,329 M7,979 M

Capex

Capex % of Sales

Cost of Goods Sold

Selling, General & Admin. Exp & Other

Research & Development

Investments - Total

EXPERT VIEWS
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Sentiment Indicator

0.3

No. Of Recommendations

6
BROKER DATE RATING RECOMMENDATION TARGET PRICE % TO REACH TARGET COMMENTARY

Ord Minnett

xx/xx/xxxx

2

xxxxxxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Macquarie

xx/xx/xxxx

3

xxxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Citi

xx/xx/xxxx

3

xxxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Morgan Stanley

25/11/2025

1

Overweight

$48.00

7.77%

BHP Group is now on a six-month restriction from making any bids for Anglo and Morgan Stanley asserts this lays to rest any further speculation the company may pursue a combination, as this restriction will carry past the Anglo shareholder vote.

The broker believes the announcement removes a key "overhang" on the stock, noting the company has underscored its confidence in organic growth potential.

Morgan Stanley retains Overweight rating and a $48 target. Industry view: Attractive.

FORECAST
Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 189.79 cents and EPS of 343.81 cents.
Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY27 dividend of 169.57 cents and EPS of 306.47 cents.

UBS

xx/xx/xxxx

3

xxxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Morgans

xx/xx/xxxx

3

xxxxxxxxx xx xxxx xxxx xxxxxxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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EXTRA COVERAGE
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No. Of Recommendations

0

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BROKER DATE RATING RECOMMENDATION TARGET PRICE % TO REACH TARGET COMMENTARY
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BHP STOCK CHART

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