GRAINCORP LIMITED (GNC)
Share Price Analysis and Chart

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GNC - GRAINCORP LIMITED

FNArena Sector : Agriculture
Year End: September
GICS Industry Group : Food, Beverage & Tobacco
Debt/EBITDA: 5.81
Index: ASX200 | ASX300 | ALL-ORDS

Graincorp is an Australian company with operations in grains and oilseeds in several countries. It also provides transport and marketing services. Originally founded in 1917, it was privatised in 1992 and listed on the ASX in 1998.

LAST PRICE CHANGE +/- CHANGE % VOLUME

$7.99

20 Nov
2024

-0.130

OPEN

$8.11

-1.60%

HIGH

$8.14

1,234,073

LOW

$7.96

TARGET
$9.462 18.4% upside
Franking for last dividend paid out: 100%
OTHER COMPANIES IN THE SAME SECTOR
AAC . AMN . APC . CBO . CXM . D2O . ELD . HFR . IPL . LGL . MWY . NUF . RIC . SGLLV . SHV . TFL . WLD .
FNARENA'S MARKET CONSENSUS FORECASTS
GNC: 1
Title FY23
Actual		 FY24
Actual		 FY25
Forecast		 FY26
Forecast
EPS (cps) xxx 27.7 52.5 xxx
DPS (cps) xxx 38.0 40.0 xxx
EPS Growth xxx - 75.3% 89.7% xxx
DPS Growth xxx - 29.6% 5.3% xxx
PE Ratio xxx N/A 15.2 xxx
Dividend Yield xxx N/A 5.0% xxx
Div Pay Ratio(%) xxx 137.4% 76.3% xxx

Dividend yield today if purchased 3 years ago: 5.42%

DIVIDEND YIELD CALCULATOR

Dividend Yield Today On Last Actual Payout :

 4.77

Estimated Dividend Growth
(Average Of Past Three Years)

  %

Amount Invested

 $ 

Tell Me The Dividend After This Many Years
Past performance is no guarantee for the future. Investors should take into account that heavy swings in share price or exceptional circumstances (a la 2009) can have a significant impact on short term calculations and averages

Last ex-div: 03/07 - ex-div 24c (franking 100%)

HISTORICAL DATA ARE ALL IN AUD
Copyright © 2024 FactSet UK Limited. All rights reserved
Title 201920202021202220232024
EPS Basic xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx27.7
DPS All xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx38.0
Sales/Revenue xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx6,490.5 M
Book Value Per Share xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx679.4
Net Operating Cash Flow xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx130.7 M
Net Profit Margin xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx0.95 %

EPS Basic

DPS All

Sales/Revenue

Book Value Per Share

Net Operating Cash Flow

Net Profit Margin

Title 201920202021202220232024
Return on Capital Employed xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx3.99 %
Return on Invested Capital xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx3.27 %
Return on Assets xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx1.93 %
Return on Equity xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx3.99 %
Return on Total Capital xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx1.62 %
Free Cash Flow ex dividends xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-45.1 M

Return on Capital Employed

Return on Invested Capital

Return on Assets

Return on Equity

Return on Total Capital

Free Cash Flow ex dividends

Title 201920202021202220232024
Short-Term Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx588 M
Long Term Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx352 M
Total Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx940 M
Goodwill - Gross xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx90 M
Cash & Equivalents - Generic xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx597 M
Price To Book Value xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx1.35

Short-Term Debt

Long Term Debt

Total Debt

Goodwill - Gross

Cash & Equivalents - Generic

Price To Book Value

Title 201920202021202220232024
Capex xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx54.7 M
Capex % of Sales xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx0.84 %
Cost of Goods Sold xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx6,314 M
Selling, General & Admin. Exp & Other xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx134 M
Research & Development xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx0 M
Investments - Total xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx62 M

Capex

Capex % of Sales

Cost of Goods Sold

Selling, General & Admin. Exp & Other

Research & Development

Investments - Total

EXPERT VIEWS
Display All Commentary

Sentiment Indicator

0.6

No. Of Recommendations

5
BROKER DATE RATING RECOMMENDATION TARGET PRICE % TO REACH TARGET COMMENTARY

Morgans

xx/xx/xxxx

3

xxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Macquarie

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxxxxxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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UBS

15/11/2024

1

Buy

$9.60

20.15%

GrainCorp remains Buy-rated by UBS. The share price target has been lowered to $9.60 (-20c).

Ord Minnett

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Bell Potter

xx/xx/xxxx

3

xxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Access Stockbroker Research History >
EXTRA COVERAGE
Display All Commentary

No. Of Recommendations

1

Please note: unlike Broker Call Report, BC Extra is not updated daily. The info you see might not be the latest. FNArena does its best to update ASAP.

BROKER DATE RATING RECOMMENDATION TARGET PRICE % TO REACH TARGET COMMENTARY

Wilsons

12/06/2024

3

Market Weight

$8.61

7.76%

Wilsons highlights the ABARES June crop report forecasts a 16% increase in the 2024/25 ECA winter crop, adding an extra 3mt of grain to GrainCorp’s supply chain.

This has led to material upgrades in FY25 earnings, with EBITDA revised up by 14%. Financial forecasts for FY26 have also been adjusted, with EBITDA now expected to be up by 3%.

The broker notes the potential for significant surplus capital available for investment or capital management, supporting valuation and investor sentiment.

Wilsons maintains a Market Weight rating, with the price target lifting to $8.61 from $8.27.

FORECAST
Wilsons forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 52.00 cents and EPS of 56.80 cents.
Access Extra Coverage Research History >

GNC STOCK CHART

FNArena News on GNC

1
ESG Focus: The Little Big Things – 21-11-2024

Nov 21 2024 - ESG Focus
2
Pros & Cons From GrainCorp’s Transformation

Nov 19 2024 - Australia
3
FNArena Corporate Results Monitor – 15-11-2024

Nov 15 2024 - Australia
4
Next Week At A Glance -18-22 Nov 2024

Nov 15 2024 - Weekly Reports
5
Weekly Ratings, Targets, Forecast Changes – 11-10-24

Oct 14 2024 - Weekly Reports

Latest Agriculture News

1
Cycle Optimism Building For Elders

Nov 20 2024 - Australia
2
Pros & Cons From GrainCorp’s Transformation

Nov 19 2024 - Australia
3
Uncertainty Awaits Incitec’s Pivot

Nov 13 2024 - Australia
4
Incitec Pivot Shares Eyeing $3.40

May 21 2024 - Technicals
5
Australia’s Agricultural Industry Diversifies

Dec 04 2023 - Australia
6
Next Week At A Glance – 27 Nov – 1 Dec 2023

Nov 24 2023 - Weekly Reports
7
Nufarm Crushes Seeds Of Doubt

May 25 2023 - Australia
8
Incitec Pivot Misses Expectations, Demerger Pending

May 18 2023 - Australia
9
Treasure Chest: Opportunities For Ridley Corp

Apr 26 2023 - Treasure Chest
10
Headwinds Linger for Select Harvests

Nov 24 2022 - Small Caps