GENTRACK GROUP LIMITED (GTK)
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GTK

GTK - GENTRACK GROUP LIMITED

FNArena Sector : Software & Services
Year End: September
GICS Industry Group : Software & Services
Debt/EBITDA: 0.43
Index: ASX300 | ALL-ORDS | ALL-TECH

LAST PRICE CHANGE +/- CHANGE % VOLUME

$3.26

14 May
2026

-0.080

OPEN

$3.26

-2.40%

HIGH

$3.35

417,073

LOW

$3.23

TARGET
$4.137 26.9% upside
Franking for last dividend paid out: 9%
OTHER COMPANIES IN THE SAME SECTOR
360 . ALC . AMX . AR9 . ATA . AV1 . BMT . COS . DOC . KYP . NXL . PPL . QOR . RDY . SKO . UBN . VGL . XF1 . YOJ .
FNARENA'S MARKET CONSENSUS FORECASTS
GTK: 1
Title FY26
Forecast		 FY27
Forecast
EPS (cps) 9.3 xxx
DPS (cps) 0.0 xxx
EPS Growth N/A xxx
DPS Growth N/A xxx
PE Ratio 37.5 xxx
Dividend Yield 0.0% xxx
Div Pay Ratio(%) N/A xxx
This company reports in NZD.
All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Dividend yield today if purchased 3 years ago: 0.00%

DIVIDEND YIELD CALCULATOR

Dividend Yield Today On Last Actual Payout :

 0.00

Estimated Dividend Growth
(Average Of Past Three Years)

  %

Amount Invested

 $ 

Tell Me The Dividend After This Many Years
Past performance is no guarantee for the future. Investors should take into account that heavy swings in share price or exceptional circumstances (a la 2009) can have a significant impact on short term calculations and averages

Last ex-div: 06/12 - (franking ex-div NZ3.53c)

HISTORICAL DATA ARE ALL IN AUD
Copyright © 2026 FactSet UK Limited. All rights reserved
Title 202020212022202320242025
EPS Basic xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx17.8
DPS All xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx0.0
Sales/Revenue xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx209.6 M
Book Value Per Share xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx198.6
Net Operating Cash Flow xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx21.0 M
Net Profit Margin xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx9.07 %

EPS Basic

DPS All

Sales/Revenue

Book Value Per Share

Net Operating Cash Flow

Net Profit Margin

Title 202020212022202320242025
Return on Capital Employed xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx9.40 %
Return on Invested Capital xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx8.86 %
Return on Assets xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx6.93 %
Return on Equity xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx9.40 %
Return on Total Capital xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx11.35 %
Free Cash Flow ex dividends xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx19.4 M

Return on Capital Employed

Return on Invested Capital

Return on Assets

Return on Equity

Return on Total Capital

Free Cash Flow ex dividends

Title 202020212022202320242025
Short-Term Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx3 M
Long Term Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx11 M
Total Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx14 M
Goodwill - Gross xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx104 M
Cash & Equivalents - Generic xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx74 M
Price To Book Value xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx4.54

Short-Term Debt

Long Term Debt

Total Debt

Goodwill - Gross

Cash & Equivalents - Generic

Price To Book Value

Title 202020212022202320242025
Capex xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx1.6 M
Capex % of Sales xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx0.76 %
Cost of Goods Sold xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx154 M
Selling, General & Admin. Exp & Other xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx31 M
Research & Development xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx20 M
Investments - Total xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx13 M

Capex

Capex % of Sales

Cost of Goods Sold

Selling, General & Admin. Exp & Other

Research & Development

Investments - Total

EXPERT VIEWS
Display All Commentary

Sentiment Indicator

0.3

No. Of Recommendations

4
BROKER DATE RATING RECOMMENDATION TARGET PRICE % TO REACH TARGET COMMENTARY

Ord Minnett

xx/xx/xxxx

3

xxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Morgan Stanley

xx/xx/xxxx

3

xxxxx-xxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Bell Potter

06/05/2026

1

Buy

$5.60

71.78%

Gentrack Group has materially downgraded FY26 guidance for revenue and earnings, reflecting a strategic shift toward prioritising growth over near-term profitability, Bell Potter explains. Margins are now expected to compress significantly.

Earnings are now expected between NZ$13.5m-NZ$20m versus consensus of NZ$34.3m, implying to the analysts a midpoint margin of 7.2% compared to consensus of 13.5%.

The broker flags risks to future earnings, with project (NRR) revenue declining year-on-year, suggesting weaker pipeline conversion and potential delays or lost tenders. Concerns are therefore raised around the ability to sustain ARR growth over time.

Bell Potter cuts its target price to $5.60 from $8.80 but retains a Buy rating, citing structural growth tailwinds despite near-term execution challenges.

FORECAST
Bell Potter forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 3.94 cents.
Bell Potter forecasts a full year FY27 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 13.56 cents.

UBS

xx/xx/xxxx

3

xxxxxxx

-

xx.xx%

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EXTRA COVERAGE
Display All Commentary

No. Of Recommendations

4

Please note: unlike Broker Call Report, BC Extra is not updated daily. The info you see might not be the latest. FNArena does its best to update ASAP.

BROKER DATE RATING RECOMMENDATION TARGET PRICE % TO REACH TARGET COMMENTARY

Shaw and Partners

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Canaccord Genuity

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxx

-

xx.xx%

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Jarden

07/05/2026

4

Underweight

-

-

Jarden retains an Underweight rating on Gentrack Group and maintains a target price of NZ$8.85 following a disappointing downgrade of FY26 earnings guidance.

The broker notes underlying revenue guidance was cut by approximately -8% to NZ$229-238m, primarily driven by a lack of new business growth and a projected -20% year-on-year decline in non-recurring project revenue.

While management plans to shift toward a pricing model with higher recurring fees, the report views this as a sign of broader pricing pressure and a failure to convert a bullish pipeline into announced wins.

EBITDA guidance was also lowered significantly to NZ$13.5-20.0m, a -51% miss relative to prior Jarden estimates, as product development and international expansion costs remain elevated despite the revenue shortfall.

Although the company has signalled an intention to undertake an on-market share buyback of up to NZ$20m, the broker remains cautious as competitive momentum continues to move away from the business.

Moelis

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Access Extra Coverage Research History >

GTK STOCK CHART

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