LOVISA HOLDINGS LIMITED (LOV)
Share Price Analysis and Chart

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LOV

LOV - LOVISA HOLDINGS LIMITED

FNArena Sector : Retailing
Year End: June
GICS Industry Group : Retailing
Debt/EBITDA: 1.61
Index: ASX200 | ASX300 | ALL-ORDS

Lovisa is an Australian retailer of fashion jewellery and accessories. It has stores in Australia, New Zealand, Asia, Europe and South Africa, but management is constantly on the look out to enter more geographies. The company has been listed since 2014. Has been one of the fastest growing retailers on the ASX since.

LAST PRICE CHANGE +/- CHANGE % VOLUME

$23.04

03 Apr
2025

-0.840

OPEN

$23.70

-3.52%

HIGH

$24.72

906,989

LOW

$22.04

TARGET
$30.251 31.3% upside
OTHER COMPANIES IN THE SAME SECTOR
ATG . KGN . TOY .
FNARENA'S MARKET CONSENSUS FORECASTS
LOV: 1
Title FY23
Actual
FY24
Actual
FY25
Forecast
FY26
Forecast
EPS (cps) xxx 75.4 83.0 xxx
DPS (cps) xxx 87.0 79.0 xxx
EPS Growth xxx 19.2% 10.0% xxx
DPS Growth xxx 26.1% - 9.3% xxx
PE Ratio xxx N/A 27.5 xxx
Dividend Yield xxx N/A 3.5% xxx
Div Pay Ratio(%) xxx 115.4% 95.2% xxx

Dividend yield today if purchased 3 years ago: 4.65%

DIVIDEND YIELD CALCULATOR

Dividend Yield Today On Last Actual Payout :

3.81

Estimated Dividend Growth
(Average Of Past Three Years)

 %

Amount Invested

Tell Me The Dividend After This Many Years

Past performance is no guarantee for the future. Investors should take into account that heavy swings in share price or exceptional circumstances (a la 2009) can have a significant impact on short term calculations and averages

Last ex-div: 13/09 - (franking ex-di

HISTORICAL DATA ARE ALL IN AUD
Copyright © 2025 FactSet UK Limited. All rights reserved
Title 201920202021202220232024
EPS Basic xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx75.4
DPS All xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx87.0
Sales/Revenue xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx698.7 M
Book Value Per Share xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx73.2
Net Operating Cash Flow xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx187.5 M
Net Profit Margin xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx11.80 %

EPS Basic

DPS All

Sales/Revenue

Book Value Per Share

Net Operating Cash Flow

Net Profit Margin

Title 201920202021202220232024
Return on Capital Employed xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx102.84 %
Return on Invested Capital xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx21.24 %
Return on Assets xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx15.58 %
Return on Equity xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx102.84 %
Return on Total Capital xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx29.14 %
Free Cash Flow ex dividends xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx60.2 M

Return on Capital Employed

Return on Invested Capital

Return on Assets

Return on Equity

Return on Total Capital

Free Cash Flow ex dividends

Title 201920202021202220232024
Short-Term Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx58 M
Long Term Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx301 M
Total Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx359 M
Goodwill - Gross xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-
Cash & Equivalents - Generic xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx21 M
Price To Book Value xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx44.91

Short-Term Debt

Long Term Debt

Total Debt

Goodwill - Gross

Cash & Equivalents - Generic

Price To Book Value

Title 201920202021202220232024
Capex xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx38.6 M
Capex % of Sales xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx5.53 %
Cost of Goods Sold xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx432 M
Selling, General & Admin. Exp & Other xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx136 M
Research & Development xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-
Investments - Total xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx0 M

Capex

Capex % of Sales

Cost of Goods Sold

Selling, General & Admin. Exp & Other

Research & Development

Investments - Total

EXPERT VIEWS
Display All Commentary

Sentiment Indicator

0.3

No. Of Recommendations

7
BROKER DATE RATING RECOMMENDATION TARGET PRICE % TO REACH TARGET COMMENTARY

Citi

xx/xx/xxxx

5

xxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Morgan Stanley

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxxxxxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Bell Potter

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Ord Minnett

26/02/2025

3

Hold

$29.00

25.87%

Ord Minnett highlights Lovisa’s 1H25 earnings missed consensus due to weak like-for-like sales, though margins remained strong. The broker notes early 2H sales have improved slightly.

Cost pressures persist, with US tariffs and a weaker Australian dollar expected to impact FY26 earnings, with Lovisa absorbing 33% of the negative effect.

Ord Minnett expects net new store additions of at least 55 in 2H25, including in the US. The analyst cuts EPS forecasts by -10% for FY25 and by -11% for FY26/27.

The price target is trimmed to $29.00 from $29.20. Hold rating maintained.

UBS

xx/xx/xxxx

5

xxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Macquarie

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxxxxxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Morgans

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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EXTRA COVERAGE
Display All Commentary

No. Of Recommendations

2

Please note: unlike Broker Call Report, BC Extra is not updated daily. The info you see might not be the latest. FNArena does its best to update ASAP.

BROKER DATE RATING RECOMMENDATION TARGET PRICE % TO REACH TARGET COMMENTARY

Jarden

xx/xx/xxxx

2

xxxxxxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Canaccord Genuity

03/03/2025

3

Hold

$28.70

24.57%

The strength of gross profit execution continues to be a feature of Lovisa Holdings' results, with gross margin eclipsing 82% for the first time, Canaccord Genuity comments.

Quite astoundingly, says Canaccord Genuity, cost of goods sold was down and incremental gross profit dollars were greater than incremental sales.

In the period, Lovisa added 57 new stores, relocated 2 and closed 12 for net new store growth of 43. Roll out was weakest in US, with only 2 net new stores on a closing network base of 209, the broker observes.

The extent to which recent performance can be held is important to growth over the coming periods, Canaccord suggests. Target rises to $28.70 from $25.80, Hold retained.

FORECAST
Canaccord Genuity forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 80.00 cents and EPS of 82.00 cents.
Canaccord Genuity forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 85.00 cents and EPS of 91.00 cents.

LOV STOCK CHART