The Overnight Report: Quiet Friday

This story features ARISTOCRAT LEISURE LIMITED, and other companies. For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: ALL

World Overnight
SPI Overnight 8445.00 – 31.00 – 0.37%
S&P ASX 200 8444.30 + 37.60 0.45%
S&P500 5998.74 – 22.89 – 0.38%
Nasdaq Comp 19060.48 – 115.10 – 0.60%
DJIA 44722.06 – 138.25 – 0.31%
S&P500 VIX 13.90 – 0.20 – 1.42%
US 10-year yield 4.24 0.00 0.00%
USD Index 106.14 + 0.11 0.10%
FTSE100 8281.22 + 6.47 0.08%
DAX30 19425.73 + 163.98 0.85%

Good Morning.

SPI futures are signalling a softer market locally on what will be the final trading session for November. It has been a very strong month for investors.

US markets were closed for Thanksgiving Day overnight. In Europe, the Euro Stoxx index closed up 0.5% and the FTSE 100 up 0.1%.

The yield on the German 10-year bund fell 3.4bp to 2.12%. Oil and gold were little changed, with WTI up 0.4% to US$69/bbl and gold down -0.2% to US$2,641.2/oz.

In yesterday’s session locally Governor Bullock’s speech was widely perceived as “the RBA is not in a rush to cut rates”.

Economists at ANZ Bank report base metals remained under pressure amid increasing external headwinds for the Chinese economy.

China’s domestic consumption remains sluggish, despite recent stimulus, and this is complicated by Trump’s promised policy to impose additional tariffs on Chinese products.

Copper prices fell below USD9,000/t. Aluminium prices retreated as the market’s reaction to the cancellation of China’s export rebate subsided.

Zinc prices gave up some gains after hitting above USD3,000/t due to a sharp withdrawal of stock from LME warehouses.

At SHFE, zinc inventories fell -40% over the past seven days.

While iron ore prices inched lower as investors waited for fresh stimulus to support property markets, the steel sector has improved, with narrowing losses in steel mill operations.

 Strong exports and destocking of steel have helped to improve profit margins. Also, Chinese steelmakers will boost steel exports ahead of rising global trade tensions. Australia’s iron ore exports, including from Port Hedland, fell from 32.4mt to 26mt for the week to 15 November.

On the calendar today:

-New Zealand consumer confidence

-Australia Oct private sector credit

-Japan Oct unemployment rate

-Eurozone Nov CPI

-US Nov Chicago PMI

-Aristocrat Leisure ((ALL)) ex-div 42.00c

-Aroa Biosurgery ((ARX)) earnings report

-Cromwell Property ((CMW)) AGM

-Centuria Capital Group ((CNI)) AGM

-Emerald Resources ((EMR)) AGM

-Paladin Resources ((PDN)) AGM

-Wildcat Resources ((WC8)) AGM

FNArena’s four-weekly calendar: https://fnarena.com/index.php/financial-news/calendar/

Corporate news in Australia:

-CommBank ((CBA)) says its big generative AI bet is already fast-tracking core system upgrades, enhancing customer engagement and cutting fraud by 30% via proactive alerts

-Maas Group ((MGH)) is acquiring three construction material companies for -$252m and is raising $125m

-AVJennings ((AVJ)) is being acquired by Proprium Capital Partners in a deal valued at $374m

-Macquarie Asset Management ((MQG)) is considering a bid for I-MED, a large radiology company

-Dexus ((DXS)) is selling two office properties for a total of $443.2m

Spot Metals,Minerals & Energy Futures
Gold (oz) 2661.80 – 0.42 – 0.02%
Silver (oz) 30.68 + 0.10 0.33%
Copper (lb) 4.13 – 0.01 – 0.25%
Aluminium (lb) 1.17 – 0.00 – 0.38%
Nickel (lb) 7.25 + 0.09 1.23%
Zinc (lb) 1.37 – 0.04 – 2.83%
West Texas Crude 68.88 + 0.11 0.16%
Brent Crude 72.68 + 0.30 0.41%
Iron Ore (t) 103.35 + 1.18 1.15%

The Australian share market over the past thirty days

Index 28 Nov 2024 Week To Date Month To Date (Nov) Quarter To Date (Oct-Dec) Year To Date (2024)
S&P ASX 200 (ex-div) 8444.30 0.60% 3.48% 2.11% 11.24%
BROKER RECOMMENDATION CHANGES PAST THREE TRADING DAYS
ADA Adacel Technologies Downgrade to Hold from Buy Bell Potter
AMC Amcor Upgrade to Outperform from Neutral Macquarie
HVN Harvey Norman Downgrade to Neutral from Buy UBS
IAG Insurance Australia Group Downgrade to Accumulate from Buy Ord Minnett
QAN Qantas Airways Downgrade to Neutral from Buy UBS
WTC WiseTech Global Upgrade to Outperform from Neutral Macquarie

For more detail go to FNArena’s Australian Broker Call Report, which is updated each morning, Mon-Fri.

All overnight and intraday prices, average prices, currency conversions and charts for stock indices, currencies, commodities, bonds, VIX and more available on the FNArena website.  Click here. (Subscribers can access prices on the website.)

(Readers should note that all commentary, observations, names and calculations are provided for informative and educational purposes only. Investors should always consult with their licensed investment advisor first, before making any decisions. All views expressed are the author’s and not by association FNArena’s – see disclaimer on the website)

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CHARTS

ALL ARX AVJ CBA CMW CNI DXS EMR MGH MQG PDN WC8

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: ALL - ARISTOCRAT LEISURE LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: ARX - AROA BIOSURGERY LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: AVJ - AVJENNINGS LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: CBA - COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: CMW - CROMWELL PROPERTY GROUP

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: CNI - CENTURIA CAPITAL GROUP

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: DXS - DEXUS

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: EMR - EMERALD RESOURCES NL

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: MGH - MAAS GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: MQG - MACQUARIE GROUP LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: PDN - PALADIN ENERGY LIMITED

For more info SHARE ANALYSIS: WC8 - WILDCAT RESOURCES LIMITED